Sports
Maxwell Week Ten Playoff Projections
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2014 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons and teams with 100 or more championship wins in the simulation are shown.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAA team).
Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by using the standard GHSA method.
Class AAAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colquitt County | 1-AAAAAA | 109.35 | 867,887 | 806,070 | 0.24 |
| Dacula | 8-AAAAAA | 87.02 | 224,428 | 38,194 | 25.18 |
| McEachern | 4-AAAAAA | 84.96 | 210,733 | 36,304 | 26.55 |
| Lee County | 1-AAAAAA | 85.15 | 171,814 | 28,136 | 34.54 |
| North Gwinnett | 7-AAAAAA | 83.76 | 126,229 | 20,590 | 47.57 |
| Milton | 5-AAAAAA | 81.74 | 87,597 | 15,459 | 63.69 |
| Grayson | 8-AAAAAA | 84.42 | 24,415 | 11,285 | 87.61 |
| Valdosta | 1-AAAAAA | 81.78 | 71,681 | 10,565 | 93.65 |
| Lowndes | 1-AAAAAA | 82.17 | 49,985 | 9,345 | 106.01 |
| Peachtree Ridge | 7-AAAAAA | 79.76 | 17,029 | 4,302 | 231.45 |
| Mill Creek | 7-AAAAAA | 79.19 | 14,673 | 2,995 | 332.89 |
| Westlake | 3-AAAAAA | 75.16 | 38,042 | 2,852 | 349.63 |
| Archer | 8-AAAAAA | 76.78 | 7,449 | 2,283 | 437.02 |
| Hillgrove | 4-AAAAAA | 72.73 | 15,166 | 1,881 | 530.63 |
| Tucker | 2-AAAAAA | 75.81 | 10,128 | 1,690 | 590.72 |
| Roswell | 5-AAAAAA | 72.52 | 13,419 | 1,447 | 690.09 |
| Norcross | 7-AAAAAA | 76.16 | 14,800 | 1,433 | 696.84 |
| Hughes | 3-AAAAAA | 74.15 | 4,850 | 1,373 | 727.33 |
| Alpharetta | 6-AAAAAA | 71.80 | 5,626 | 1,282 | 779.03 |
| Lovejoy | 2-AAAAAA | 73.54 | 6,378 | 782 | 1,277.77 |
| North Cobb | 4-AAAAAA | 72.68 | 3,955 | 619 | 1,614.51 |
| Tift County | 1-AAAAAA | 75.48 | 1,671 | 477 | 2,095.44 |
| Etowah | 5-AAAAAA | 69.63 | 8,202 | 380 | 2,630.58 |
Most Likely Region Seeding
Each region is shown with the top four most likely region seeding orders.
| 1-AAAAAA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 25.0% | Colquitt County | Lee County | Lowndes | Valdosta |
| 21.8% | Colquitt County | Lee County | Valdosta | Lowndes |
| 13.7% | Colquitt County | Valdosta | Lee County | Lowndes |
| 12.8% | Colquitt County | Lowndes | Valdosta | Lee County |
| 2-AAAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 33.2% | Tucker | Lovejoy | Newton | Rockdale County |
| 25.5% | Lovejoy | Tucker | Newton | Rockdale County |
| 20.9% | Tucker | Lovejoy | Rockdale County | Newton |
| 16.0% | Lovejoy | Tucker | Rockdale County | Newton |
| 3-AAAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 83.5% | Westlake | Hughes | East Coweta | Douglas County |
| 8.8% | Westlake | Hughes | Douglas County | East Coweta |
| 3.5% | Westlake | Hughes | South Cobb | East Coweta |
| 2.8% | Westlake | Hughes | Douglas County | South Cobb |
| 4-AAAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 55.9% | McEachern | Hillgrove | North Cobb | North Paulding |
| 17.3% | Hillgrove | McEachern | North Cobb | North Paulding |
| 14.8% | McEachern | Hillgrove | North Paulding | North Cobb |
| 4.6% | Hillgrove | McEachern | North Paulding | North Cobb |
| 5-AAAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 31.9% | Roswell | Milton | Etowah | Cherokee |
| 26.2% | Milton | Etowah | Roswell | Cherokee |
| 9.3% | Milton | Roswell | Etowah | Cherokee |
| 8.3% | Roswell | Milton | Walton | Cherokee |
| 6-AAAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 14.3% | Alpharetta | Lambert | South Forsyth | Northview |
| 11.3% | Alpharetta | South Forsyth | Northview | Lambert |
| 10.7% | Alpharetta | South Forsyth | Lambert | Northview |
| 9.4% | Alpharetta | South Forsyth | Centennial | Lambert |
| 7-AAAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 19.6% | North Gwinnett | Peachtree Ridge | Mill Creek | Norcross |
| 12.0% | North Gwinnett | Mill Creek | Peachtree Ridge | Norcross |
| 10.0% | North Gwinnett | Peachtree Ridge | Norcross | Mill Creek |
| 9.7% | Norcross | North Gwinnett | Mill Creek | Peachtree Ridge |
| 8-AAAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 55.3% | Dacula | Grayson | Archer | Central Gwinnett |
| 26.9% | Dacula | Grayson | Archer | Parkview |
| 14.4% | Dacula | Grayson | Archer | South Gwinnett |
| 1.2% | Grayson | Archer | Dacula | Central Gwinnett |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket is seeded from the most likely region seeds and assumes every favorite wins.
Class AAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allatoona | 5-AAAAA | 86.71 | 658,971 | 522,466 | 0.91 |
| Ware County | 3-AAAAA | 78.13 | 370,929 | 163,990 | 5.10 |
| South Paulding | 5-AAAAA | 74.33 | 165,425 | 60,681 | 15.48 |
| Dalton | 7-AAAAA | 71.05 | 132,147 | 44,886 | 21.28 |
| Northside (Warner Robins) | 2-AAAAA | 70.66 | 116,688 | 44,862 | 21.29 |
| Alexander | 5-AAAAA | 70.93 | 96,711 | 31,791 | 30.46 |
| Coffee | 3-AAAAA | 70.49 | 55,531 | 24,329 | 40.10 |
| Houston County | 2-AAAAA | 67.28 | 76,142 | 21,738 | 45.00 |
| Lanier | 8-AAAAA | 66.23 | 74,576 | 16,649 | 59.06 |
| Creekside | 6-AAAAA | 68.24 | 48,041 | 16,350 | 60.16 |
| Harris County | 1-AAAAA | 66.23 | 32,114 | 10,713 | 92.34 |
| Kell | 7-AAAAA | 64.72 | 28,940 | 7,649 | 129.74 |
| Gainesville | 8-AAAAA | 65.41 | 22,913 | 7,433 | 133.54 |
| New Manchester | 5-AAAAA | 66.36 | 26,578 | 7,350 | 135.05 |
| Mays | 6-AAAAA | 68.77 | 24,084 | 6,378 | 155.79 |
| East Paulding | 5-AAAAA | 65.77 | 9,297 | 3,058 | 326.01 |
| Stephenson | 6-AAAAA | 60.41 | 8,351 | 1,409 | 708.72 |
| Stockbridge | 4-AAAAA | 59.46 | 8,950 | 1,371 | 728.39 |
| Carver (Columbus) | 1-AAAAA | 60.06 | 8,270 | 1,254 | 796.45 |
| Jones County | 2-AAAAA | 60.26 | 7,679 | 1,209 | 826.13 |
| Sprayberry | 7-AAAAA | 59.79 | 6,178 | 1,161 | 860.33 |
| Warner Robins | 2-AAAAA | 60.01 | 5,969 | 962 | 1,038.50 |
| Glynn Academy | 3-AAAAA | 58.35 | 4,422 | 869 | 1,149.75 |
| Lakeside (Evans) | 2-AAAAA | 58.88 | 1,884 | 350 | 2,856.14 |
| Drew | 4-AAAAA | 56.69 | 2,110 | 297 | 3,366.00 |
| Carver (Atlanta) | 6-AAAAA | 58.61 | 1,368 | 237 | 4,218.41 |
| Mundy's Mill | 4-AAAAA | 54.18 | 1,639 | 197 | 5,075.14 |
| Brunswick | 3-AAAAA | 53.42 | 1,561 | 129 | 7,750.94 |
| Southwest DeKalb | 6-AAAAA | 54.60 | 1,011 | 105 | 9,522.81 |
Most Likely Region Seeding
Each region is shown with the top four most likely region seeding orders.
| 1-AAAAA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 56.7% | Harris County | Carver (Columbus) | LaGrange | Northside (Columbus) |
| 27.4% | Harris County | Carver (Columbus) | Northside (Columbus) | LaGrange |
| 3.0% | LaGrange | Harris County | Carver (Columbus) | Northside (Columbus) |
| 3.0% | Harris County | LaGrange | Carver (Columbus) | Northside (Columbus) |
| 2-AAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 23.6% | Northside (WR) | Houston County | Warner Robins | Lakeside (Evans) |
| 22.0% | Northside (WR) | Houston County | Jones County | Warner Robins |
| 18.4% | Houston County | Northside (WR) | Warner Robins | Lakeside (Evans) |
| 16.7% | Houston County | Jones County | Northside (WR) | Warner Robins |
| 3-AAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 96.8% | Ware County | Coffee | Glynn Academy | Brunswick |
| 1.9% | Ware County | Coffee | Brunswick | Glynn Academy |
| 0.7% | Ware County | Coffee | Brunswick | South Effingham |
| 0.3% | Ware County | Coffee | Brunswick | Effingham County |
| 4-AAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 11.7% | Stockbridge | Mundy's Mill | Drew | Dutchtown |
| 9.2% | Stockbridge | Drew | Mundy's Mill | Dutchtown |
| 8.9% | Stockbridge | Mundy's Mill | Drew | Northgate |
| 6.7% | Drew | Stockbridge | Mundy's Mill | Dutchtown |
| 5-AAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 24.7% | Allatoona | Alexander | South Paulding | New Manchester |
| 21.9% | Allatoona | South Paulding | Alexander | East Paulding |
| 20.9% | Allatoona | South Paulding | New Manchester | Alexander |
| 18.4% | Allatoona | South Paulding | Alexander | New Manchester |
| 6-AAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 24.4% | Creekside | Stephenson | Mays | Carver (Atlanta) |
| 14.5% | Creekside | Stephenson | Mays | Southwest DeKalb |
| 12.7% | Creekside | Southwest DeKalb | Mays | Stephenson |
| 11.2% | Creekside | Southwest DeKalb | Mays | Carver (Atlanta) |
| 7-AAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 15.0% | Dalton | Kell | Sprayberry | Cambridge |
| 12.2% | Dalton | Kell | Sprayberry | Creekview |
| 10.5% | Dalton | Sprayberry | Kell | Cambridge |
| 8.5% | Dalton | Sprayberry | Kell | Creekview |
| 8-AAAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 86.6% | Lanier | Gainesville | Salem | Winder-Barrow |
| 8.6% | Lanier | Gainesville | Salem | Heritage (Conyers) |
| 4.2% | Lanier | Gainesville | Winder-Barrow | Salem |
| 0.2% | Lanier | Salem | Gainesville | Winder-Barrow |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket is seeded from the most likely region seeds and assumes every favorite wins.
Class AAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buford | 8-AAAA | 94.93 | 815,587 | 742,296 | 0.35 |
| Woodward Academy | 5-AAAA | 75.28 | 561,349 | 117,681 | 7.50 |
| Cartersville | 7-AAAA | 72.82 | 85,696 | 42,236 | 22.68 |
| Sandy Creek | 5-AAAA | 71.66 | 50,748 | 23,459 | 41.63 |
| St. Pius X | 6-AAAA | 67.74 | 191,421 | 23,408 | 41.72 |
| Griffin | 4-AAAA | 71.58 | 46,952 | 18,309 | 53.62 |
| Mary Persons | 2-AAAA | 67.93 | 106,543 | 13,851 | 71.20 |
| Marist | 6-AAAA | 70.87 | 20,196 | 9,108 | 108.79 |
| Cairo | 1-AAAA | 65.07 | 36,972 | 4,473 | 222.56 |
| Thomas County Central | 1-AAAA | 61.29 | 14,374 | 1,347 | 741.39 |
| North Oconee | 8-AAAA | 57.65 | 17,057 | 973 | 1,026.75 |
| West Laurens | 2-AAAA | 58.33 | 10,817 | 772 | 1,294.34 |
| Worth County | 1-AAAA | 57.03 | 6,654 | 472 | 2,117.64 |
| Baldwin | 2-AAAA | 54.99 | 5,822 | 279 | 3,583.23 |
| Columbia | 6-AAAA | 56.74 | 1,463 | 236 | 4,236.29 |
| Gilmer | 7-AAAA | 53.90 | 6,298 | 230 | 4,346.83 |
| Whitewater | 5-AAAA | 55.65 | 4,122 | 182 | 5,493.51 |
| Stephens County | 8-AAAA | 51.84 | 4,188 | 159 | 6,288.31 |
| Burke County | 3-AAAA | 52.87 | 2,515 | 143 | 6,992.01 |
| Troup | 5-AAAA | 54.60 | 2,512 | 107 | 9,344.79 |
Most Likely Region Seeding
Each region is shown with the top four most likely region seeding orders.
| 1-AAAA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 12.4% | Thomas County Central | Worth County | Cairo | Monroe |
| 10.2% | Cairo | Worth County | Thomas County Central | Bainbridge |
| 8.8% | Cairo | Worth County | Thomas County Central | Monroe |
| 7.3% | Cairo | Worth County | Thomas County Central | Westover |
| 2-AAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 20.3% | Mary Persons | Upson-Lee | Baldwin | West Laurens |
| 16.9% | Mary Persons | Upson-Lee | West Laurens | Baldwin |
| 12.3% | West Laurens | Mary Persons | Upson-Lee | Baldwin |
| 10.1% | Baldwin | Mary Persons | West Laurens | Upson-Lee |
| 3-AAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 70.7% | Burke County | Wayne County | Thomson | Liberty County |
| 23.9% | Wayne County | Burke County | Thomson | Liberty County |
| 3.8% | Wayne County | Thomson | Burke County | Liberty County |
| 0.6% | Burke County | Wayne County | Windsor Forest | Liberty County |
| 4-AAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 23.1% | Griffin | Eastside | Locust Grove | Spalding |
| 17.4% | Griffin | Eastside | Locust Grove | Eagle's Landing |
| 9.8% | Griffin | Eastside | Spalding | Jonesboro |
| 9.1% | Griffin | Locust Grove | Eagle's Landing | Spalding |
| 5-AAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 34.3% | Woodward Academy | Sandy Creek | Carrollton | Whitewater |
| 26.4% | Woodward Academy | Sandy Creek | Carrollton | Troup |
| 10.1% | Woodward Academy | Sandy Creek | Whitewater | Carrollton |
| 9.6% | Woodward Academy | Sandy Creek | Fayette County | Carrollton |
| 6-AAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 86.4% | St. Pius X | Marist | Columbia | Lithonia |
| 10.2% | St. Pius X | Marist | Columbia | Arabia Mountain |
| 2.0% | St. Pius X | Marist | Columbia | Redan |
| 1.3% | St. Pius X | Marist | Arabia Mountain | Columbia |
| 7-AAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 35.6% | Cartersville | Gilmer | Pickens | Northwest Whitfield |
| 21.6% | Cartersville | Pickens | Gilmer | Northwest Whitfield |
| 13.7% | Cartersville | Gilmer | Pickens | Southeast Whitfield |
| 8.5% | Cartersville | Gilmer | Pickens | Heritage (Ringgold) |
| 8-AAAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 56.9% | Buford | North Oconee | Stephens County | White County |
| 32.1% | Buford | Stephens County | North Oconee | White County |
| 4.1% | Buford | North Oconee | Stephens County | Madison County |
| 2.8% | Buford | Stephens County | North Oconee | Madison County |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket is seeded from the most likely region seeds and assumes every favorite wins.
Class AAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington County | 3-AAA | 82.88 | 592,524 | 394,222 | 1.54 |
| Calhoun | 6-AAA | 80.46 | 524,844 | 249,409 | 3.01 |
| Blessed Trinity | 4-AAA | 81.17 | 305,143 | 188,871 | 4.29 |
| Jefferson | 8-AAA | 73.93 | 129,235 | 49,078 | 19.38 |
| Peach County | 2-AAA | 73.19 | 135,638 | 45,192 | 21.13 |
| Westside (Macon) | 2-AAA | 72.79 | 117,842 | 38,839 | 24.75 |
| Westminster (Atlanta) | 4-AAA | 67.60 | 81,333 | 17,024 | 57.74 |
| Hart County | 8-AAA | 65.02 | 64,340 | 11,286 | 87.61 |
| Central (Carrollton) | 5-AAA | 62.06 | 30,382 | 4,267 | 233.36 |
| Adairsville | 6-AAA | 60.24 | 4,061 | 746 | 1,339.48 |
| Cedar Grove | 4-AAA | 55.83 | 4,142 | 358 | 2,792.30 |
| Elbert County | 8-AAA | 55.63 | 3,635 | 319 | 3,133.80 |
| Cook | 1-AAA | 52.22 | 3,241 | 176 | 5,680.82 |
Most Likely Region Seeding
Each region is shown with the top four most likely region seeding orders.
| 1-AAA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 23.9% | Cook | Dodge County | Appling County | Pierce County |
| 11.1% | Cook | Dodge County | Jenkins | Pierce County |
| 9.1% | Cook | Pierce County | Dodge County | Appling County |
| 8.9% | Cook | Dodge County | Jenkins | Appling County |
| 2-AAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 22.6% | Peach County | Westside (Macon) | Jackson | Rutland |
| 19.3% | Westside (Macon) | Peach County | Jackson | Rutland |
| 16.2% | Peach County | Westside (Macon) | Jackson | Central (Macon) |
| 13.9% | Westside (Macon) | Peach County | Jackson | Central (Macon) |
| 3-AAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 43.9% | Washington County | Laney | Butler | Westside (Augusta) |
| 30.6% | Washington County | Laney | Westside (Augusta) | Hephzibah |
| 11.0% | Washington County | Westside (Augusta) | Laney | Butler |
| 7.5% | Washington County | Laney | Westside (Augusta) | Butler |
| 4-AAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 49.8% | Blessed Trinity | Cedar Grove | Westminster (Atlanta) | Washington |
| 36.1% | Blessed Trinity | Cedar Grove | Westminster (Atlanta) | Maynard Jackson |
| 4.2% | Blessed Trinity | Cedar Grove | Washington | Westminster (Atlanta) |
| 4.1% | Cedar Grove | Blessed Trinity | Westminster (Atlanta) | Washington |
| 5-AAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 48.5% | Central (Carrollton) | Callaway | Cedartown | Rockmart |
| 25.5% | Central (Carrollton) | Callaway | Rockmart | Cedartown |
| 9.4% | Callaway | Central (Carrollton) | Cedartown | Rockmart |
| 9.1% | Central (Carrollton) | Callaway | Rockmart | Pepperell |
| 6-AAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 93.7% | Calhoun | Adairsville | Ringgold | Sonoraville |
| 6.1% | Calhoun | Adairsville | Sonoraville | Ringgold |
| 0.2% | Calhoun | Adairsville | North Murray | Ringgold |
| 0.0% | Calhoun | Adairsville | Sonoraville | North Murray |
| 7-AAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 19.4% | West Hall | Lumpkin County | Fannin County | East Hall |
| 18.2% | West Hall | Lumpkin County | East Hall | Fannin County |
| 10.9% | West Hall | Lumpkin County | Fannin County | Banks County |
| 9.4% | West Hall | Lumpkin County | East Hall | Franklin County |
| 8-AAA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 58.8% | Jefferson | Hart County | Elbert County | Oconee County |
| 24.6% | Hart County | Jefferson | Elbert County | Oconee County |
| 10.7% | Jefferson | Hart County | Oconee County | Elbert County |
| 5.1% | Hart County | Jefferson | Oconee County | Elbert County |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket is seeded from the most likely region seeds and assumes every favorite wins.
Class AA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vidalia | 2-AA | 71.36 | 471,581 | 329,871 | 2.03 |
| Fitzgerald | 1-AA | 66.43 | 425,835 | 227,762 | 3.39 |
| Greater Atlanta Christian | 6-AA | 68.08 | 323,348 | 190,188 | 4.26 |
| Lovett | 6-AA | 62.39 | 212,755 | 81,002 | 11.35 |
| Thomasville | 1-AA | 60.09 | 213,556 | 75,940 | 12.17 |
| Benedictine | 2-AA | 61.30 | 138,841 | 47,560 | 20.03 |
| Brooks County | 1-AA | 58.65 | 118,761 | 34,492 | 27.99 |
| Macon County | 4-AA | 52.16 | 21,436 | 4,100 | 242.90 |
| Lamar County | 4-AA | 51.21 | 16,025 | 2,980 | 334.57 |
| Screven County | 3-AA | 45.97 | 26,912 | 2,848 | 350.12 |
| Bowdon | 5-AA | 46.14 | 11,492 | 1,789 | 557.97 |
| Darlington | 7-AA | 42.89 | 6,556 | 582 | 1,717.21 |
| Rabun County | 8-AA | 41.46 | 3,113 | 258 | 3,874.97 |
| Bleckley County | 4-AA | 40.22 | 1,704 | 140 | 7,141.86 |
| Wesleyan | 6-AA | 38.58 | 2,015 | 123 | 8,129.08 |
Most Likely Region Seeding
Each region is shown with the top four most likely region seeding orders.
| 1-AA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 27.8% | Thomasville | Fitzgerald | Brooks County | Early County |
| 14.9% | Fitzgerald | Brooks County | Thomasville | Early County |
| 12.4% | Thomasville | Fitzgerald | Brooks County | Seminole County |
| 11.3% | Thomasville | Fitzgerald | Brooks County | Berrien |
| 2-AA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 92.7% | Vidalia | Benedictine | Bacon County | Bryan County |
| 4.1% | Vidalia | Benedictine | Groves | Bacon County |
| 2.6% | Vidalia | Benedictine | Bacon County | Groves |
| 0.3% | Vidalia | Benedictine | Bryan County | Groves |
| 3-AA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 49.2% | Screven County | Swainsboro | Jefferson County | Dublin |
| 33.9% | Screven County | Jefferson County | Swainsboro | Dublin |
| 6.9% | Screven County | Jefferson County | Metter | Swainsboro |
| 4.4% | Screven County | Jefferson County | Metter | Dublin |
| 4-AA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 23.6% | Macon County | Lamar County | Bleckley County | Northeast |
| 23.3% | Macon County | Lamar County | Bleckley County | Monticello |
| 20.9% | Lamar County | Macon County | Bleckley County | Monticello |
| 19.0% | Lamar County | Macon County | Bleckley County | Northeast |
| 5-AA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 26.7% | Bowdon | Bremen | Heard County | Chattahoochee County |
| 23.1% | Bowdon | Bremen | Heard County | Manchester |
| 18.6% | Bowdon | Heard County | Bremen | Chattahoochee County |
| 16.0% | Bowdon | Heard County | Bremen | Manchester |
| 6-AA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 22.6% | Greater Atlanta Christian | Lovett | Wesleyan | B.E.S.T. Academy |
| 21.8% | Greater Atlanta Christian | Lovett | Wesleyan | Pace Academy |
| 12.8% | Lovett | Greater Atlanta Christian | Wesleyan | B.E.S.T. Academy |
| 12.2% | Lovett | Greater Atlanta Christian | Wesleyan | Pace Academy |
| 7-AA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 39.1% | Darlington | Coosa | Model | Dade County |
| 23.3% | Darlington | Coosa | Model | Chattooga |
| 21.0% | Coosa | Darlington | Model | Dade County |
| 12.6% | Coosa | Darlington | Model | Chattooga |
| 8-AA | ||||
| Pct | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
| 58.9% | Rabun County | Union County | Greene County | Washington-Wilkes |
| 23.3% | Rabun County | Greene County | Union County | Washington-Wilkes |
| 4.8% | Greene County | Rabun County | Union County | Washington-Wilkes |
| 3.9% | Greene County | Union County | Rabun County | Washington-Wilkes |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket is seeded from the most likely region seeds and assumes every favorite wins.
Class A-Public
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marion County | 4-A | 60.05 | 695,365 | 433,789 | 1.31 |
| Irwin County | 2-A | 58.01 | 537,020 | 286,928 | 2.49 |
| Hawkinsville | 4-A | 55.61 | 374,307 | 184,624 | 4.42 |
| Charlton County | 2-A | 49.66 | 148,571 | 51,552 | 18.40 |
| Emanuel County Institute | 3-A | 40.51 | 65,853 | 12,666 | 77.95 |
| Clinch County | 2-A | 42.57 | 51,563 | 11,292 | 87.56 |
| Dooly County | 4-A | 42.17 | 47,210 | 9,914 | 99.87 |
| Greenville | 4-A | 38.77 | 20,069 | 3,198 | 311.70 |
| Calhoun County | 1-A | 33.03 | 13,205 | 1,413 | 706.71 |
| Wilcox County | 2-A | 35.25 | 7,934 | 1,039 | 961.46 |
| Telfair County | 2-A | 32.63 | 9,083 | 929 | 1,075.43 |
| Claxton | 3-A | 32.19 | 8,042 | 815 | 1,225.99 |
| Schley County | 4-A | 33.71 | 5,997 | 669 | 1,493.77 |
| Mount Zion (Carroll) | 6-A | 29.38 | 4,914 | 408 | 2,449.98 |
| Atkinson County | 2-A | 30.10 | 3,697 | 310 | 3,224.81 |
| Commerce | 8-A | 27.40 | 4,649 | 296 | 3,377.38 |
| Lincoln County | 7-A | 29.68 | 1,628 | 110 | 9,089.91 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.
Class A-Private
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team | Region | Rating | Finals | Champion | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Paran Christian | 6-A | 54.13 | 538,978 | 394,885 | 1.53 |
| Aquinas | 7-A | 46.85 | 291,282 | 137,298 | 6.28 |
| Pacelli | 4-A | 47.74 | 230,868 | 120,804 | 7.28 |
| Calvary Day | 3-A | 45.66 | 265,311 | 118,387 | 7.45 |
| Tattnall Square | 7-A | 44.79 | 212,719 | 88,368 | 10.32 |
| Landmark Christian | 5-A | 41.98 | 115,524 | 40,810 | 23.50 |
| Mount Pisgah Christian | 6-A | 40.75 | 120,333 | 36,547 | 26.36 |
| Eagle's Landing Christian | 5-A | 42.47 | 74,273 | 29,144 | 33.31 |
| Savannah Christian | 3-A | 38.60 | 48,841 | 13,796 | 71.48 |
| Our Lady of Mercy | 5-A | 34.27 | 24,440 | 5,053 | 196.90 |
| Pinecrest Academy | 6-A | 33.93 | 22,785 | 4,737 | 210.10 |
| Stratford Academy | 7-A | 35.73 | 17,457 | 4,068 | 244.82 |
| First Presbyterian | 7-A | 32.28 | 9,119 | 1,605 | 622.05 |
| Brookstone | 4-A | 35.60 | 6,536 | 1,571 | 635.54 |
| Prince Avenue Christian | 8-A | 28.92 | 10,419 | 1,412 | 707.22 |
| St. Francis | 6-A | 30.00 | 5,653 | 904 | 1,105.19 |
| Athens Christian | 8-A | 26.87 | 5,243 | 599 | 1,668.45 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.
