The Maxwell Ratings will rank Georgia's 417 teams throughout the 2014 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Interesting results after Round 1:

- To the delight of North Georgia fans everywhere, Region 1-AAAAAA finally lost a game this past Friday as Tucker downed Tift County 31-29 in a back and forth battle at Hallford Stadium. Meanwhile, Lee County defended Region 1-AAAAAA against Lovejoy by an unexpected 44-6 margin and Colquitt County demolished Rockdale County 62-12 in a game that wasn't even as close as the score would indicate. However, in perhaps the biggest surprise in a weekend full of upsets, Newton shocked Valdosta with a 27-14 victory for their first playoff win in nearly three decades. The result was a drop in the ratings of all Region 1-AAAAAA teams in spite of the impressive Lee County and Colquitt County victories while Region 2-AAAAAA received a nice boost. In fact, Colquitt, in contention for one of the highest ratings ever according to Maxwell, was downgraded by roughly a field goal in spite of putting a running clock on Rockdale in the first quarter.

- The playoffs, where many relatively isolated regions are more firmly connected to the rest of the state, are traditionally a time of turbulence in the ratings. Region 1-AAA gained the most, with their competitive rating jumping 9.39 points after a 4-0 sweep of Region 2-AAA, including an Appling County upset of last week's highest rated Class AAA team, Peach County. Conversely Region 2-AAA's competitive rating fell 9.96 points, the largest drop after the weekend.

- The shuffle in the ratings naturally spills over to the highest rated matchups as well. Not only are great pairings being added each week as the playoffs advance, but some others are being reevaluated in light of results results. Last week, ten of the top 15 matchups, including the top seven, were all Region 1-AAAAAA games. This week, only four of the top 15 are.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 0.12%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,924 of 2,136 total games including 4 ties (90.17%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.73 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

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Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Home Advantage: 0.78

By Class

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. Please submit errors or omissions through their forums.

### = Active playoff team; # = Eliminated playoff team

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the rating required to win 80% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, and its “Average Rating”, which is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.