- However, bracket busters are not necessarily weaker teams who have pulled off big upsets. Included in the group are Tucker, Archer, Jones County, West Laurens, and Pace Academy. Each would be favored over the competition they've already defeated, but the chances of them winning all of the contests again falls below 50%. This is indicative of a good team surviving a tough draw.

- Below are the nine bracket busters by class (Class AAA and Class A do not have any bracket busters to date):

- Washington County was unseated again as the top team in Class AAA, this time by Blessed Trinity. The last team to hold the number one spot in the Maxwell ratings aside from Washington County was Peach County, who held it for one week before being upset in the first round of the playoffs by Appling County. In Class AA, Greater Atlanta Christian has moved past Vidalia into number one. However Vidalia has a prime opportunity to reclaim the top spot this Friday when the two face off in perhaps the best quarterfinals matchup across all classifications.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 0.10%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,979 of 2,192 total games including 4 ties (90.37%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.89 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Home Advantage: 0.78

By Class

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. Please submit errors or omissions through their forums.

### = Active playoff team; # = Eliminated playoff team

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the rating required to win 80% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, and its “Average Rating”, which is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.