Maxwell playoff projections heading into 2023 season

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Aug 16, 2023

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2023 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAAA	0-0	100.06	998,537	3.92	819,778	681,203	478,342	308,577	2.24
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	0-0	98.29	997,311	3.69	766,641	608,168	396,078	222,042	3.50
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	0-0	96.73	996,621	3.17	661,951	408,897	236,456	126,965	6.88
North Cobb	5-AAAAAAA	0-0	94.52	999,756	3.01	617,000	382,862	182,004	86,361	10.58
Milton	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	94.22	995,588	3.05	581,397	339,810	173,732	78,957	11.67
Carrollton	2-AAAAAAA	0-0	93.11	999,325	2.82	542,159	290,519	128,005	55,245	17.10
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	0-0	91.80	974,827	2.54	530,473	223,278	100,314	38,796	24.78
Walton	5-AAAAAAA	0-0	90.57	998,901	2.44	428,846	215,358	80,804	28,530	34.05
Westlake	2-AAAAAAA	0-0	88.42	996,820	2.29	358,602	136,349	44,525	13,410	73.57
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	87.93	999,827	2.16	224,929	124,295	43,368	12,458	79.27
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	0-0	86.29	936,610	1.82	266,298	76,949	21,381	5,355	185.74
Valdosta	1-AAAAAAA	0-0	85.77	929,099	1.76	249,432	68,815	18,742	4,442	224.12
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	0-0	85.63	875,352	1.62	237,994	62,796	17,566	4,290	232.10
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	0-0	84.86	958,358	1.90	267,754	63,049	18,074	4,073	244.52
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	0-0	84.56	841,172	1.47	193,494	47,052	11,976	2,514	396.77
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	0-0	84.33	902,796	1.45	142,982	51,209	11,610	2,462	405.17
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	82.71	998,494	1.79	108,447	44,064	9,958	1,815	549.96
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	80.85	833,918	1.46	98,418	26,967	4,641	713	1,401.52
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	0-0	81.44	831,169	1.28	124,547	22,349	4,175	700	1,427.57
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	0-0	80.23	975,309	1.59	130,860	21,778	3,584	504	1,983.13
McEachern	3-AAAAAAA	0-0	79.75	859,504	1.31	99,566	16,136	2,739	381	2,623.67
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	0-0	79.58	855,721	1.30	95,760	15,203	2,459	349	2,864.33
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	0-0	79.23	843,884	1.26	88,002	13,494	2,211	290	3,447.28
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	78.36	733,903	1.16	54,075	12,376	1,689	195	5,127.21
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	78.28	730,070	1.14	52,848	11,977	1,647	187	5,346.59
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	77.55	692,850	1.06	43,558	9,182	1,149	132	7,574.76
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	0-0	78.23	519,483	0.68	37,021	5,314	767	98	10,203.08
Archer	4-AAAAAAA	0-0	78.14	514,632	0.67	36,439	5,086	690	71	14,083.51
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	0-0	75.16	927,283	1.27	52,848	4,628	429	29	34,481.76
Dacula	8-AAAAAAA	0-0	75.99	578,193	0.69	22,993	3,819	361	27	37,036.04
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	0-0	74.72	494,042	0.58	15,659	2,217	184	11	90,908.09
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAAAA	0-0	72.49	895,641	0.97	11,652	1,715	125	6	166,665.67
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	0-0	72.15	482,533	0.57	10,387	862	56	6	166,665.67
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	0-0	73.96	274,534	0.32	7,937	769	79	4	249,999.00
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAAA	0-0	71.78	306,501	0.36	8,387	581	44	4	249,999.00
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	0-0	70.06	833,882	0.88	5,738	671	31	1	999,999.00
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	64.06	832,474	0.90	2,573	100	5	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	63.54	815,057	0.88	2,285	97	-	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAAA	0-0	59.52	245,633	0.25	98	3	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	52.97	226,815	0.23	35	1	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	0-0	59.46	29,121	0.03	34	1	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	0-0	56.32	13,671	0.01	7	1	-	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	0-0	56.52	101,263	0.11	89	-	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	49.90	126,707	0.13	7	-	-	-	-
Osborne	5-AAAAAAA	0-0	48.46	26,187	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	28.75	626	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	678,736	225,968	67,367	24,550	996,621	3,379
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	140,228	309,031	298,372	188,979	936,610	63,390
1-AAAAAAA	Valdosta	127,655	290,656	306,985	203,803	929,099	70,901
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	50,335	152,188	267,258	361,388	831,169	168,831
1-AAAAAAA	Richmond Hill	3,046	22,157	60,018	221,280	306,501	693,499
2-AAAAAAA	Carrollton	593,349	300,742	81,814	23,420	999,325	675
2-AAAAAAA	Westlake	311,848	433,808	187,600	63,564	996,820	3,180
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	71,460	187,463	439,192	277,194	975,309	24,691
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	23,307	76,970	283,897	543,109	927,283	72,717
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	36	1,017	7,497	92,713	101,263	898,737
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	441,882	265,973	156,483	94,020	958,358	41,642
3-AAAAAAA	McEachern	184,272	226,440	238,517	210,275	859,504	140,496
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	178,085	223,414	239,255	214,967	855,721	144,279
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	165,507	214,838	239,440	224,099	843,884	156,116
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	30,254	69,335	126,305	256,639	482,533	517,467
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	557,598	251,726	118,238	47,265	974,827	25,173
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	201,696	284,167	241,948	147,541	875,352	124,648
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	163,055	251,019	256,435	170,663	841,172	158,828
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	34,611	90,636	155,130	239,106	519,483	480,517
4-AAAAAAA	Archer	33,704	88,717	153,292	238,919	514,632	485,368
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	9,336	33,735	74,957	156,506	274,534	725,466
5-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	612,264	350,352	32,873	4,267	999,756	244
5-AAAAAAA	Walton	371,725	540,893	75,262	11,021	998,901	1,099
5-AAAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	10,429	65,401	479,486	340,325	895,641	104,359
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	5,448	40,063	352,350	436,021	833,882	166,118
5-AAAAAAA	Wheeler	133	3,223	55,703	186,574	245,633	754,367
5-AAAAAAA	Osborne	1	68	4,326	21,792	26,187	973,813
6-AAAAAAA	Milton	759,405	175,892	43,572	16,719	995,588	4,412
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	93,240	279,164	257,454	204,060	833,918	166,082
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	52,926	190,050	237,720	253,207	733,903	266,097
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	51,468	188,272	236,202	254,128	730,070	269,930
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	42,940	166,199	222,208	261,503	692,850	307,150
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	21	423	2,844	10,383	13,671	986,329
7-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	649,831	320,488	26,440	3,068	999,827	173
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	336,386	570,407	80,030	11,671	998,494	1,506
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	7,317	54,737	413,815	356,605	832,474	167,526
7-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	6,279	49,569	388,583	370,626	815,057	184,943
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	149	3,501	60,422	162,743	226,815	773,185
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	38	1,298	30,687	94,684	126,707	873,293
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	23	603	626	999,374
8-AAAAAAA	Buford	536,086	381,965	70,907	9,579	998,537	1,463
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	426,060	457,098	99,545	14,608	997,311	2,689
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	32,443	122,573	521,506	226,274	902,796	97,204
8-AAAAAAA	Dacula	3,258	22,111	168,686	384,138	578,193	421,807
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	2,151	16,138	134,845	340,908	494,042	505,958
8-AAAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	2	115	4,511	24,493	29,121	970,879

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	0-0	90.45	993,363	3.69	848,037	557,134	354,399	219,207	3.56
Hughes	5-AAAAAA	0-0	90.19	998,427	3.61	733,990	553,485	379,230	216,844	3.61
Roswell	7-AAAAAA	0-0	89.42	998,840	3.37	727,995	484,054	275,579	160,364	5.24
Rome	6-AAAAAA	0-0	88.17	994,554	3.15	664,614	392,700	224,079	119,446	7.37
Marist	4-AAAAAA	0-0	87.33	999,949	3.08	681,495	404,097	206,376	106,101	8.42
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAAA	0-0	84.99	999,921	3.19	645,869	404,251	192,102	78,949	11.67
Gainesville	8-AAAAAA	0-0	81.84	995,838	2.46	410,668	192,835	74,350	24,118	40.46
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	0-0	81.25	912,240	2.23	427,975	171,527	64,419	20,256	48.37
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAAA	0-0	81.23	982,658	2.24	373,870	166,245	59,042	18,325	53.57
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	0-0	78.91	852,408	1.82	305,160	105,493	32,574	8,360	118.62
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	0-0	77.31	995,630	2.40	363,465	106,081	34,597	7,720	128.53
Thomas County Central	1-AAAAAA	0-0	77.85	817,620	1.64	256,117	82,465	23,406	5,546	179.31
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	0-0	78.06	900,715	1.67	200,280	72,438	21,569	5,173	192.31
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	0-0	75.79	864,859	1.59	154,978	46,752	11,220	2,137	466.95
Alpharetta	7-AAAAAA	0-0	75.15	916,183	1.49	134,211	40,152	9,022	1,629	612.87
Creekview	6-AAAAAA	0-0	75.23	815,998	1.30	118,689	34,836	8,106	1,471	678.81
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	0-0	74.49	819,296	1.42	120,118	32,694	6,981	1,237	807.41
St. Pius X	4-AAAAAA	0-0	73.66	992,338	1.53	136,411	36,116	6,965	1,119	892.66
North Forsyth	8-AAAAAA	0-0	73.81	951,829	1.59	126,945	33,032	6,389	1,068	935.33
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	0-0	70.65	895,769	1.30	65,688	13,015	1,819	209	4,783.69
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	0-0	68.48	935,191	1.64	95,331	14,376	1,794	162	6,171.84
Sequoyah	6-AAAAAA	0-0	70.95	599,874	0.80	41,314	8,604	1,281	162	6,171.84
Lovejoy	3-AAAAAA	0-0	67.64	966,661	1.62	82,959	12,800	1,284	109	9,173.31
Newnan	5-AAAAAA	0-0	69.59	552,106	0.79	35,073	6,116	770	86	11,626.91
River Ridge	6-AAAAAA	0-0	69.27	492,316	0.62	24,823	4,502	561	63	15,872.02
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	0-0	65.46	865,089	1.34	49,704	5,580	506	40	24,999.00
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	0-0	66.40	954,620	1.14	38,758	4,491	444	28	35,713.29
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	0-0	67.77	427,980	0.58	19,768	2,927	319	24	41,665.67
Veterans	1-AAAAAA	0-0	67.39	231,902	0.30	15,610	2,097	215	12	83,332.33
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	0-0	65.21	679,933	0.81	14,779	1,901	155	7	142,856.14
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	0-0	66.40	192,467	0.24	11,095	1,346	106	7	142,856.14
Sprayberry	7-AAAAAA	0-0	65.36	480,166	0.55	10,911	1,258	99	7	142,856.14
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	0-0	64.68	245,573	0.31	6,046	636	54	7	142,856.14
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	0-0	64.89	448,842	0.51	9,103	1,000	77	5	199,999.00
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAAA	0-0	58.70	749,039	0.94	10,022	542	19	1	999,999.00
Etowah	6-AAAAAA	0-0	63.67	192,674	0.22	3,159	332	16	1	999,999.00
Evans	2-AAAAAA	0-0	60.88	663,005	0.86	13,363	1,015	40	-	-
Riverwood	4-AAAAAA	0-0	59.83	822,122	0.87	8,864	514	20	-	-
Jonesboro	3-AAAAAA	0-0	57.40	670,365	0.80	6,141	264	8	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	0-0	58.41	249,750	0.27	1,058	65	4	-	-
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	0-0	60.01	84,748	0.10	788	72	2	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	0-0	53.50	490,896	0.55	1,849	39	1	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAAA	0-0	56.55	172,651	0.18	483	27	1	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	0-0	53.96	231,124	0.26	877	38	-	-	-
Pope	7-AAAAAA	0-0	57.14	105,622	0.11	427	25	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	2-AAAAAA	0-0	52.15	158,003	0.17	374	11	-	-	-
Lassiter	7-AAAAAA	0-0	55.19	67,689	0.07	178	9	-	-	-
Grovetown	2-AAAAAA	0-0	51.92	151,958	0.17	353	6	-	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAAA	0-0	46.99	135,550	0.14	70	2	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAAA	0-0	51.47	54,230	0.06	36	2	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAAA	0-0	45.83	105,828	0.11	70	1	-	-	-
South Cobb	4-AAAAAA	0-0	45.24	95,421	0.10	31	-	-	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAAA	0-0	51.73	7,011	0.01	5	-	-	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAAA	0-0	48.41	3,869	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	0-0	36.84	8,680	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAAA	0-0	36.78	8,610	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	0-0	35.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	662,369	225,112	78,090	27,792	993,363	6,637
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	158,661	312,420	267,787	173,372	912,240	87,760
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	97,142	229,065	282,717	243,484	852,408	147,592
1-AAAAAA	Thomas County Central	75,977	196,133	269,816	275,694	817,620	182,380
1-AAAAAA	Veterans	3,464	21,365	56,374	150,699	231,902	768,098
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	2,387	15,905	45,216	128,959	192,467	807,533
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	691,487	218,814	67,553	17,776	995,630	4,370
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	178,449	371,175	259,693	125,874	935,191	64,809
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	95,134	253,604	315,981	200,370	865,089	134,911
2-AAAAAA	Evans	29,500	113,764	216,015	303,726	663,005	336,995
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	2,876	20,371	61,846	146,031	231,124	768,876
2-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	1,325	11,446	40,191	105,041	158,003	841,997
2-AAAAAA	Grovetown	1,229	10,826	38,721	101,182	151,958	848,042
3-AAAAAA	Woodward Academy	895,989	96,489	6,807	636	999,921	79
3-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	89,565	607,767	195,458	73,871	966,661	33,339
3-AAAAAA	Mundy's Mill	10,523	164,984	327,827	245,705	749,039	250,961
3-AAAAAA	Jonesboro	2,980	85,756	265,275	316,354	670,365	329,635
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	883	40,110	169,933	279,970	490,896	509,104
3-AAAAAA	Morrow	59	4,692	31,748	69,329	105,828	894,172
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	1	110	1,498	7,071	8,680	991,320
3-AAAAAA	Forest Park	-	92	1,454	7,064	8,610	991,390
4-AAAAAA	Marist	828,740	151,266	17,441	2,502	999,949	51
4-AAAAAA	St. Pius X	134,109	557,996	237,924	62,309	992,338	7,662
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	31,100	220,454	471,644	231,422	954,620	45,380
4-AAAAAA	Riverwood	5,971	66,341	239,693	510,117	822,122	177,878
4-AAAAAA	Dunwoody	49	2,512	19,970	113,019	135,550	864,450
4-AAAAAA	South Cobb	31	1,431	13,328	80,631	95,421	904,579
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Hughes	826,355	137,229	28,620	6,223	998,427	1,573
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	85,056	352,411	267,576	159,816	864,859	135,141
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	61,986	287,619	281,393	188,298	819,296	180,704
5-AAAAAA	Newnan	15,427	112,187	184,777	239,715	552,106	447,894
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	8,276	72,852	138,672	208,180	427,980	572,020
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	2,568	30,811	75,136	137,058	245,573	754,427
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	329	6,703	22,583	55,133	84,748	915,252
5-AAAAAA	New Manchester	3	188	1,243	5,577	7,011	992,989
6-AAAAAA	Rome	718,620	200,121	58,495	17,318	994,554	5,446
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	151,802	350,429	255,968	142,516	900,715	99,285
6-AAAAAA	Creekview	83,189	240,343	284,649	207,817	815,998	184,002
6-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	27,474	112,006	195,182	265,212	599,874	400,126
6-AAAAAA	River Ridge	16,516	78,607	152,575	244,618	492,316	507,684
6-AAAAAA	Etowah	2,397	18,433	52,639	119,205	192,674	807,326
6-AAAAAA	Woodstock	2	61	492	3,314	3,869	996,131
7-AAAAAA	Roswell	699,117	237,003	54,793	7,927	998,840	1,160
7-AAAAAA	Blessed Trinity	224,272	465,405	234,750	58,231	982,658	17,342
7-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	68,631	232,687	436,855	178,010	916,183	83,817
7-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	4,161	32,190	127,000	316,815	480,166	519,834
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	3,610	28,950	116,390	299,892	448,842	551,158
7-AAAAAA	Pope	144	2,548	19,226	83,704	105,622	894,378
7-AAAAAA	Lassiter	65	1,217	10,986	55,421	67,689	932,311
8-AAAAAA	Gainesville	664,563	234,866	76,557	19,852	995,838	4,162
8-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	198,678	372,931	262,723	117,497	951,829	48,171
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	105,289	258,660	334,574	197,246	895,769	104,231
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	27,278	101,793	213,330	337,532	679,933	320,067
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	2,742	19,230	61,893	165,885	249,750	750,250
8-AAAAAA	Jackson County	1,296	10,788	40,659	119,908	172,651	827,349
8-AAAAAA	Apalachee	154	1,732	10,264	42,080	54,230	945,770

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Ware County	1-AAAAA	0-0	92.39	999,989	4.07	812,617	725,369	535,004	382,802	1.61
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	0-0	88.26	999,513	3.91	827,706	730,296	390,526	226,692	3.41
Warner Robins	2-AAAAA	0-0	88.56	999,035	3.48	642,037	496,986	352,298	181,850	4.50
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	0-0	81.86	995,733	3.13	606,620	471,572	183,246	60,795	15.45
Coffee	1-AAAAA	0-0	82.15	999,490	2.86	457,654	291,014	147,531	47,436	20.08
Creekside	5-AAAAA	0-0	81.03	998,558	2.82	627,056	229,685	122,193	37,423	25.72
Jefferson	8-AAAAA	0-0	79.85	980,006	2.71	426,545	317,654	115,254	32,505	29.76
Jones County	2-AAAAA	0-0	76.32	956,258	2.48	451,582	154,489	40,932	9,443	104.90
Cambridge	6-AAAAA	0-0	76.19	998,130	2.34	456,186	107,010	35,017	8,350	118.76
Dutchtown	2-AAAAA	0-0	75.51	945,927	2.45	459,770	145,149	35,180	7,605	130.49
Kell	6-AAAAA	0-0	72.23	993,320	1.91	272,169	52,810	12,326	1,964	508.16
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	0-0	71.30	816,040	1.54	150,586	53,854	9,587	1,396	715.33
Eastside	8-AAAAA	0-0	68.74	697,493	1.18	94,246	24,394	3,530	374	2,672.80
Mays	5-AAAAA	0-0	68.16	912,831	1.49	132,160	18,960	2,949	309	3,235.25
Dalton	7-AAAAA	0-0	67.54	862,797	1.31	99,832	19,501	2,506	257	3,890.05
Ola	2-AAAAA	0-0	65.83	630,110	1.37	251,234	34,228	2,985	232	4,309.34
Flowery Branch	8-AAAAA	0-0	67.45	624,173	1.00	70,433	15,757	2,033	189	5,290.01
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-0	66.10	537,931	0.82	49,708	9,159	988	84	11,903.76
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAAAA	0-0	64.27	944,025	1.21	52,623	10,322	890	62	16,128.03
Tucker	4-AAAAA	0-0	61.22	964,798	1.59	153,730	14,245	844	38	26,314.79
Union Grove	2-AAAAA	0-0	61.97	376,419	0.73	110,043	10,414	597	35	28,570.43
Cass	7-AAAAA	0-0	64.02	742,932	1.00	50,054	5,905	560	35	28,570.43
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	0-0	61.28	884,836	1.54	162,217	14,673	775	34	29,410.76
Decatur	4-AAAAA	0-0	60.61	958,291	1.54	139,071	12,475	708	31	32,257.06
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	0-0	62.33	688,215	0.89	26,573	3,931	231	15	66,665.67
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	0-0	62.89	341,490	0.46	18,558	2,340	216	11	90,908.09
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAAA	0-0	58.38	976,111	1.27	85,842	6,617	299	7	142,856.14
Northgate	3-AAAAA	0-0	58.00	973,350	1.25	78,185	5,908	255	7	142,856.14
Jenkins	1-AAAAA	0-0	57.65	774,296	1.19	79,022	4,572	184	5	199,999.00
Harris County	3-AAAAA	0-0	55.51	950,429	1.12	39,972	2,311	64	5	199,999.00
Centennial	6-AAAAA	0-0	58.32	803,209	0.88	9,525	1,621	66	4	249,999.00
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	0-0	55.43	854,797	1.07	39,606	2,152	65	2	499,999.00
Hiram	7-AAAAA	0-0	57.86	370,583	0.43	8,238	414	14	2	499,999.00
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	0-0	59.84	532,686	0.64	11,349	1,683	81	1	999,999.00
Maynard Jackson	5-AAAAA	0-0	58.17	420,275	0.49	6,218	863	27	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAAA	0-0	54.37	89,901	0.14	10,187	411	13	-	-
Banneker	5-AAAAA	0-0	56.41	311,687	0.35	2,907	385	13	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	0-0	52.68	750,170	0.86	16,551	630	11	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	0-0	47.85	215,851	0.26	3,560	55	1	-	-
Chattahoochee	6-AAAAA	0-0	48.51	218,153	0.22	221	20	1	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	0-0	49.33	820,379	0.86	4,965	103	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	5-AAAAA	0-0	52.31	132,305	0.14	448	37	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	0-0	44.94	125,538	0.14	1,190	12	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAAA	0-0	44.21	249,886	0.26	494	8	-	-	-
Lithonia	4-AAAAA	0-0	43.57	222,058	0.23	392	6	-	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	0-0	39.62	279,731	0.28	63	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	0-0	44.70	28,442	0.03	34	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAAA	0-0	40.05	2,350	0.00	16	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	8-AAAAA	0-0	44.13	2,867	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	0-0	38.83	27,163	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Northview	6-AAAAA	0-0	36.66	16,000	0.02	1	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	5-AAAAA	0-0	40.19	3,443	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Midtown	5-AAAAA	0-0	36.69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	4-AAAAA	0-0	-14.05	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Ware County	777,423	216,282	5,987	297	999,989	11
1-AAAAA	Coffee	219,217	713,610	61,592	5,071	999,490	510
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	2,437	46,422	524,761	311,216	884,836	115,164
1-AAAAA	Jenkins	897	21,296	322,752	429,351	774,296	225,704
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	23	1,724	55,605	158,499	215,851	784,149
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	3	666	29,303	95,566	125,538	874,462
2-AAAAA	Warner Robins	754,304	191,803	44,842	8,086	999,035	965
2-AAAAA	Jones County	125,860	376,057	330,708	123,633	956,258	43,742
2-AAAAA	Dutchtown	107,243	340,063	356,628	141,993	945,927	54,073
2-AAAAA	Ola	9,733	63,926	168,501	387,950	630,110	369,890
2-AAAAA	Union Grove	2,726	25,642	84,307	263,744	376,419	623,581
2-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	134	2,503	14,890	72,374	89,901	910,099
2-AAAAA	Locust Grove	-	6	124	2,220	2,350	997,650
3-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	363,891	299,228	208,798	104,194	976,111	23,889
3-AAAAA	Northgate	342,174	300,015	219,349	111,812	973,350	26,650
3-AAAAA	Harris County	225,828	266,350	285,351	172,900	950,429	49,571
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	64,203	118,193	238,354	399,629	820,379	179,621
3-AAAAA	Drew	3,904	16,214	48,148	211,465	279,731	720,269
4-AAAAA	Tucker	404,516	298,284	177,398	84,600	964,798	35,202
4-AAAAA	Decatur	366,632	303,904	193,377	94,378	958,291	41,709
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	141,112	212,354	280,939	220,392	854,797	145,203
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	76,422	143,208	235,690	294,850	750,170	249,830
4-AAAAA	M.L. King	6,337	22,886	60,376	160,287	249,886	750,114
4-AAAAA	Lithonia	4,981	19,364	52,220	145,493	222,058	777,942
4-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Creekside	825,118	143,553	24,896	4,991	998,558	1,442
5-AAAAA	Mays	121,489	450,274	227,411	113,657	912,831	87,169
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	28,394	176,464	263,968	219,389	688,215	311,785
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	13,138	104,283	192,569	222,696	532,686	467,314
5-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	7,491	69,444	146,208	197,132	420,275	579,725
5-AAAAA	Banneker	3,712	43,589	104,540	159,846	311,687	688,313
5-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	657	12,326	39,811	79,511	132,305	867,695
5-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	1	67	597	2,778	3,443	996,557
5-AAAAA	Midtown	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	Cambridge	570,995	309,947	95,028	22,160	998,130	1,870
6-AAAAA	Kell	331,989	419,690	188,040	53,601	993,320	6,680
6-AAAAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	77,909	196,509	435,754	233,853	944,025	55,975
6-AAAAA	Centennial	18,449	67,462	239,789	477,509	803,209	196,791
6-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	650	6,133	37,222	174,148	218,153	781,847
6-AAAAA	North Springs	6	187	2,803	24,167	27,163	972,837
6-AAAAA	Northview	2	72	1,364	14,562	16,000	984,000
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	677,980	284,374	32,540	4,619	999,513	487
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	297,301	556,985	119,384	22,063	995,733	4,267
7-AAAAA	Dalton	17,163	97,647	452,476	295,511	862,797	137,203
7-AAAAA	Cass	6,714	48,954	289,347	397,917	742,932	257,068
7-AAAAA	Hiram	839	11,880	100,910	256,954	370,583	629,417
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	3	160	5,343	22,936	28,442	971,558
8-AAAAA	Jefferson	643,128	213,763	87,888	35,227	980,006	19,994
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	152,020	272,349	227,266	164,405	816,040	183,960
8-AAAAA	Eastside	85,203	188,234	217,977	206,079	697,493	302,507
8-AAAAA	Flowery Branch	61,324	151,390	196,390	215,069	624,173	375,827
8-AAAAA	Loganville	42,353	116,639	167,393	211,546	537,931	462,069
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	15,970	57,549	102,636	165,335	341,490	658,510
8-AAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	2	76	450	2,339	2,867	997,133

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Benedictine	3-AAAA	0-0	89.07	999,837	4.09	883,616	668,257	567,184	400,666	1.50
Cedartown	7-AAAA	0-0	85.57	999,743	3.96	854,765	671,855	501,555	273,951	2.65
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	0-0	81.66	999,944	3.31	657,339	564,989	268,792	120,298	7.31
North Oconee	8-AAAA	0-0	80.70	999,737	3.25	782,557	311,794	217,239	95,477	9.47
Perry	2-AAAA	0-0	77.72	995,746	2.90	538,130	414,958	135,017	49,316	19.28
Burke County	3-AAAA	0-0	73.25	972,991	2.22	347,238	136,018	47,277	10,644	92.95
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-AAAA	0-0	73.03	845,482	1.84	256,434	101,222	34,582	8,183	121.20
Troup	4-AAAA	0-0	72.98	844,082	1.84	255,778	100,910	34,408	8,105	122.38
Stockbridge	5-AAAA	0-0	70.77	986,952	2.56	507,265	195,769	38,440	7,867	126.11
Starr's Mill	4-AAAA	0-0	72.17	813,134	1.70	221,826	85,815	26,878	5,781	171.98
Holy Innocents	6-AAAA	0-0	69.57	881,670	1.89	317,054	101,224	20,404	3,619	275.32
Cairo	1-AAAA	0-0	69.79	996,742	1.82	195,005	108,688	19,039	3,484	286.03
Wayne County	3-AAAA	0-0	69.71	938,287	1.81	205,911	76,898	17,967	3,071	324.63
Whitewater	4-AAAA	0-0	70.12	716,685	1.35	147,249	54,213	13,605	2,462	405.17
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	0-0	67.61	816,252	1.57	222,566	60,832	10,423	1,572	635.13
Stephenson	6-AAAA	0-0	67.49	812,733	1.55	217,339	59,552	10,046	1,474	677.43
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	0-0	66.38	765,108	1.37	171,334	42,681	6,789	881	1,134.07
LaGrange	4-AAAA	0-0	67.83	579,226	0.98	84,212	28,660	5,755	865	1,155.07
Lovett	5-AAAA	0-0	64.87	926,027	1.83	229,730	53,401	6,952	730	1,368.86
Pace Academy	5-AAAA	0-0	63.73	901,443	1.68	182,617	38,329	4,709	445	2,246.19
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	0-0	63.74	836,134	1.30	107,621	19,316	2,535	252	3,967.25
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	0-0	63.67	796,678	1.15	60,126	18,049	1,990	217	4,607.29
Baldwin	2-AAAA	0-0	63.92	783,053	1.09	53,462	17,058	2,193	214	4,671.90
Griffin	2-AAAA	0-0	62.31	702,195	0.91	34,039	9,213	1,078	85	11,763.71
Spalding	2-AAAA	0-0	61.47	655,456	0.83	26,530	6,462	710	63	15,872.02
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-0	61.06	730,184	1.04	67,422	9,396	885	61	16,392.44
Sonoraville	7-AAAA	0-0	60.74	716,164	1.01	63,751	8,528	708	57	17,542.86
Southwest DeKalb	6-AAAA	0-0	61.21	460,961	0.65	41,955	6,636	672	53	18,866.92
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	0-0	60.68	713,029	1.01	62,758	8,391	720	47	21,275.60
Madison County	8-AAAA	0-0	57.50	669,087	0.92	35,124	3,785	294	16	62,499.00
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-0	57.87	690,870	0.96	38,841	4,159	318	10	99,999.00
Riverdale	4-AAAA	0-0	61.10	194,500	0.26	9,224	2,137	218	8	124,999.00
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	0-0	57.65	263,276	0.33	11,807	1,257	102	7	142,856.14
Westside (Macon)	2-AAAA	0-0	56.97	364,142	0.41	5,305	766	63	6	166,665.67
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAAA	0-0	56.17	584,357	0.77	24,878	2,270	118	4	249,999.00
Woodland (Stockbridge)	5-AAAA	0-0	55.38	497,671	0.63	16,838	1,441	91	2	499,999.00
North Hall	8-AAAA	0-0	54.76	488,640	0.62	16,301	1,301	59	2	499,999.00
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	0-0	54.45	467,866	0.59	14,701	1,132	57	2	499,999.00
West Laurens	2-AAAA	0-0	56.01	308,258	0.34	3,490	454	28	2	499,999.00
Hardaway	1-AAAA	0-0	53.12	858,398	0.94	5,225	337	21	1	999,999.00
Hampton	5-AAAA	0-0	54.10	406,887	0.50	10,269	706	27	-	-
Westover	1-AAAA	0-0	53.07	858,622	0.94	5,166	391	24	-	-
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAAA	0-0	54.68	269,900	0.31	3,216	498	19	-	-
Howard	2-AAAA	0-0	53.58	191,150	0.21	1,291	147	8	-	-
Luella	5-AAAA	0-0	49.24	159,196	0.18	1,242	59	1	-	-
McDonough	5-AAAA	0-0	48.02	121,274	0.13	696	23	-	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	0-0	46.54	89,858	0.10	562	17	-	-	-
Shaw	1-AAAA	0-0	41.88	286,294	0.29	145	4	-	-	-
Fayette County	4-AAAA	0-0	48.79	6,890	0.01	27	2	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAAA	0-0	42.49	22,307	0.02	16	-	-	-	-
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	0-0	39.14	8,419	0.01	7	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-0	34.79	4,746	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	0-0	34.24	1,166	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-0	30.90	550	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	4-AAAA	0-0	24.88	1	-	-	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	6-AAAA	0-0	37.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	0-0	23.96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAA	0-0	20.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	6-AAAA	0-0	14.83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	808,889	180,696	9,214	1,145	999,944	56
1-AAAA	Cairo	180,531	677,300	118,183	20,728	996,742	3,258
1-AAAA	Westover	5,237	68,136	404,506	380,743	858,622	141,378
1-AAAA	Hardaway	5,210	68,015	405,001	380,172	858,398	141,602
1-AAAA	Shaw	133	5,853	63,096	217,212	286,294	713,706
2-AAAA	Perry	805,258	143,179	36,914	10,395	995,746	4,254
2-AAAA	Baldwin	79,737	291,204	237,695	174,417	783,053	216,947
2-AAAA	Griffin	52,754	221,615	229,747	198,079	702,195	297,805
2-AAAA	Spalding	41,929	190,606	217,191	205,730	655,456	344,544
2-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	10,196	70,560	118,522	164,864	364,142	635,858
2-AAAA	West Laurens	7,271	54,980	100,130	145,877	308,258	691,742
2-AAAA	Howard	2,855	27,856	59,801	100,638	191,150	808,850
3-AAAA	Benedictine	848,761	130,708	16,958	3,410	999,837	163
3-AAAA	Burke County	94,650	464,327	297,783	116,231	972,991	27,009
3-AAAA	Wayne County	45,489	289,059	391,222	212,517	938,287	61,713
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	10,564	101,847	241,267	443,000	796,678	203,322
3-AAAA	Southeast Bulloch	535	13,835	49,979	205,551	269,900	730,100
3-AAAA	Islands	1	224	2,791	19,291	22,307	977,693
4-AAAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	267,437	230,049	195,559	152,437	845,482	154,518
4-AAAA	Troup	266,746	228,677	196,485	152,174	844,082	155,918
4-AAAA	Starr's Mill	226,029	217,780	200,308	169,017	813,134	186,866
4-AAAA	Whitewater	145,494	174,331	193,552	203,308	716,685	283,315
4-AAAA	LaGrange	83,384	122,593	160,936	212,313	579,226	420,774
4-AAAA	Riverdale	10,856	26,268	51,816	105,560	194,500	805,500
4-AAAA	Fayette County	54	302	1,344	5,190	6,890	993,110
4-AAAA	North Clayton	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
5-AAAA	Stockbridge	570,315	263,188	117,635	35,814	986,952	13,048
5-AAAA	Lovett	218,521	318,120	264,730	124,656	926,027	73,973
5-AAAA	Pace Academy	174,334	284,631	292,441	150,037	901,443	98,557
5-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	20,326	66,281	144,336	266,728	497,671	502,329
5-AAAA	Hampton	13,047	48,358	113,721	231,761	406,887	593,113
5-AAAA	Luella	2,184	11,738	38,869	106,405	159,196	840,804
5-AAAA	McDonough	1,273	7,682	28,228	84,091	121,274	878,726
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	2	40	508	550	999,450
6-AAAA	Holy Innocents	322,689	242,789	187,112	129,080	881,670	118,330
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	222,374	219,655	205,378	168,845	816,252	183,748
6-AAAA	Stephenson	217,759	217,242	206,200	171,532	812,733	187,267
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	171,842	195,425	205,016	192,825	765,108	234,892
6-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	48,489	86,418	126,870	199,184	460,961	539,039
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	16,847	38,471	69,424	138,534	263,276	736,724
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Stone Mountain	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAA	Cedartown	912,204	78,353	7,086	2,100	999,743	257
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	35,751	323,103	272,893	204,387	836,134	163,866
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	18,282	208,118	243,858	259,926	730,184	269,816
7-AAAA	Sonoraville	17,065	195,707	238,751	264,641	716,164	283,836
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	16,698	194,655	236,421	265,255	713,029	286,971
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	64	991	3,691	4,746	995,254
8-AAAA	North Oconee	939,016	53,496	6,152	1,073	999,737	263
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	19,542	257,977	225,203	188,148	690,870	309,130
8-AAAA	Madison County	17,324	240,615	220,030	191,118	669,087	330,913
8-AAAA	Cherokee Bluff	11,036	182,055	196,179	195,087	584,357	415,643
8-AAAA	North Hall	6,824	131,829	165,456	184,531	488,640	511,360
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	6,092	122,253	158,103	181,418	467,866	532,134
8-AAAA	Chestatee	164	11,300	26,682	51,712	89,858	910,142
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	2	434	1,960	6,023	8,419	991,581
8-AAAA	East Hall	-	41	235	890	1,166	998,834
8-AAAA	Seckinger	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	0-0	91.06	1,000,000	4.31	903,344	799,242	684,474	565,056	0.77
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	0-0	81.55	1,000,000	3.22	671,702	489,018	320,564	120,811	7.28
Oconee County	8-AAA	0-0	80.74	986,494	3.20	693,667	533,869	235,901	107,966	8.26
Thomasville	1-AAA	0-0	76.47	988,059	3.00	668,614	272,909	131,808	40,440	23.73
Carver (Columbus)	1-AAA	0-0	76.04	986,375	2.95	651,320	258,737	120,517	35,688	27.02
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	0-0	76.60	1,000,000	2.47	471,430	306,120	127,227	35,381	27.26
Monroe Area	8-AAA	0-0	75.66	945,890	2.19	408,169	262,484	91,748	27,359	35.55
Peach County	2-AAA	0-0	75.70	999,323	2.72	557,855	161,602	80,708	26,554	36.66
Calvary Day	3-AAA	0-0	73.02	997,819	2.72	561,540	237,321	62,781	16,211	60.69
Stephens County	8-AAA	0-0	72.60	891,442	1.63	251,093	136,809	39,685	9,252	107.08
Crisp County	1-AAA	0-0	70.23	938,333	2.33	431,040	121,674	31,296	5,946	167.18
Hart County	8-AAA	0-0	69.40	797,395	1.18	132,066	58,725	13,757	2,491	400.45
Savannah Christian	3-AAA	0-0	67.11	984,604	2.15	351,198	97,310	18,082	2,460	405.50
Dawson County	7-AAA	0-0	66.24	985,610	2.08	176,831	82,381	16,046	1,988	502.02
Dougherty	1-AAA	0-0	65.66	838,824	1.81	269,481	55,805	9,082	1,115	895.86
Adairsville	6-AAA	0-0	63.94	987,869	1.85	99,215	26,515	5,806	559	1,787.91
Mary Persons	2-AAA	0-0	62.59	964,861	1.63	138,925	21,311	3,298	267	3,744.32
Wesleyan	7-AAA	0-0	59.65	908,324	1.53	54,961	13,895	1,263	93	10,751.69
Ringgold	6-AAA	0-0	59.82	956,876	1.59	48,096	9,280	1,172	80	12,499.00
Jackson	2-AAA	0-0	59.70	933,635	1.40	87,530	10,761	1,211	71	14,083.51
Hebron Christian	8-AAA	0-0	62.10	376,090	0.43	16,577	4,098	524	51	19,606.84
Morgan County	4-AAA	0-0	57.80	984,028	1.30	67,682	8,673	757	45	22,221.22
Harlem	4-AAA	0-0	57.64	983,403	1.29	65,077	8,113	743	32	31,249.00
Liberty County	3-AAA	0-0	57.57	832,354	1.15	51,973	5,536	462	29	34,481.76
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	0-0	56.81	881,468	1.17	48,105	4,488	335	17	58,822.53
White County	7-AAA	0-0	56.62	816,955	1.24	26,127	4,688	306	15	66,665.67
Bremen	6-AAA	0-0	55.42	863,227	1.25	19,997	2,701	174	10	99,999.00
Monroe	1-AAA	0-0	54.59	209,881	0.32	17,079	1,348	70	6	166,665.67
Pickens	7-AAA	0-0	54.10	701,518	0.98	12,850	1,760	104	2	499,999.00
Hephzibah	4-AAA	0-0	51.76	926,475	1.03	14,300	939	30	2	499,999.00
Douglass	5-AAA	0-0	49.87	1,000,000	1.04	7,158	544	13	2	499,999.00
Savannah Country Day	3-AAA	0-0	52.39	576,123	0.68	10,404	622	35	1	999,999.00
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	0-0	48.83	515,862	0.62	2,946	244	6	-	-
Long County	3-AAA	0-0	49.07	359,820	0.40	2,895	119	6	-	-
Gilmer	7-AAA	0-0	47.46	284,527	0.34	1,112	74	3	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-0	45.71	755,450	0.78	2,417	62	3	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	0-0	46.52	230,214	0.25	1,011	30	2	-	-
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	0-0	47.43	282,753	0.34	1,060	63	1	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	0-0	46.05	327,566	0.38	968	51	-	-	-
Gordon Lee	6-AAA	0-0	44.88	261,598	0.30	587	40	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AAA	0-0	46.37	38,528	0.05	728	20	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	0-0	43.66	220,713	0.23	658	19	-	-	-
Salem	4-AAA	0-0	38.89	336,619	0.34	164	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	6-AAA	0-0	37.49	43,134	0.05	21	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	0-0	37.54	43,868	0.05	19	-	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	0-0	35.90	19,033	0.02	4	-	-	-	-
West Hall	7-AAA	0-0	36.31	20,313	0.02	3	-	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AAA	0-0	39.52	2,689	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	0-0	23.53	14,025	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-0	18.26	33	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Thomasville	414,708	321,640	177,298	74,413	988,059	11,941
1-AAA	Carver (Columbus)	389,324	327,692	188,244	81,115	986,375	13,625
1-AAA	Crisp County	141,765	226,796	339,850	229,922	938,333	61,667
1-AAA	Dougherty	52,408	113,689	253,749	418,978	838,824	161,176
1-AAA	Monroe	1,736	9,574	36,028	162,543	209,881	790,119
1-AAA	Columbus	59	609	4,831	33,029	38,528	961,472
2-AAA	Peach County	777,771	176,436	34,276	10,840	999,323	677
2-AAA	Mary Persons	119,249	386,374	294,578	164,660	964,861	35,139
2-AAA	Jackson	66,997	261,654	342,531	262,453	933,635	66,365
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	35,317	164,753	294,803	386,595	881,468	118,532
2-AAA	Pike County	666	10,783	33,812	175,452	220,713	779,287
3-AAA	Calvary Day	652,580	276,055	58,827	10,357	997,819	2,181
3-AAA	Savannah Christian	291,099	478,160	170,141	45,204	984,604	15,396
3-AAA	Liberty County	42,262	155,980	396,356	237,756	832,354	167,646
3-AAA	Savannah Country Day	9,836	54,735	199,555	311,997	576,123	423,877
3-AAA	Long County	3,057	23,529	108,790	224,444	359,820	640,180
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	1,164	11,353	63,346	154,351	230,214	769,786
3-AAA	Beach	2	188	2,984	15,859	19,033	980,967
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	1	32	33	999,967
4-AAA	Morgan County	410,429	326,408	179,259	67,932	984,028	15,972
4-AAA	Harlem	400,960	328,946	183,468	70,029	983,403	16,597
4-AAA	Hephzibah	145,924	233,083	345,986	201,482	926,475	73,525
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	37,772	90,441	220,280	406,957	755,450	244,550
4-AAA	Salem	4,903	20,995	69,420	241,301	336,619	663,381
4-AAA	Cross Creek	12	127	1,587	12,299	14,025	985,975
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	723,870	216,918	58,227	985	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	196,309	486,531	308,463	8,697	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	79,704	295,313	598,848	26,135	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Douglass	117	1,238	34,462	964,183	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Adairsville	555,069	281,527	116,956	34,317	987,869	12,131
6-AAA	Ringgold	291,815	359,771	218,410	86,880	956,876	43,124
6-AAA	Bremen	120,414	234,301	325,365	183,147	863,227	136,773
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	20,015	66,303	158,365	271,179	515,862	484,138
6-AAA	LaFayette	7,542	32,299	92,437	195,288	327,566	672,434
6-AAA	Gordon Lee	4,813	22,792	70,906	163,087	261,598	738,402
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	172	1,573	8,873	33,250	43,868	956,132
6-AAA	Ridgeland	160	1,434	8,688	32,852	43,134	956,866
7-AAA	Dawson County	603,539	244,178	100,763	37,130	985,610	14,390
7-AAA	Wesleyan	208,651	318,626	240,936	140,111	908,324	91,676
7-AAA	White County	111,383	221,842	270,122	213,608	816,955	183,045
7-AAA	Pickens	60,680	148,328	226,399	266,111	701,518	298,482
7-AAA	Gilmer	7,912	33,419	79,101	164,095	284,527	715,473
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	7,746	32,918	78,723	163,366	282,753	717,247
7-AAA	West Hall	89	689	3,956	15,579	20,313	979,687
8-AAA	Oconee County	534,559	275,086	122,795	54,054	986,494	13,506
8-AAA	Monroe Area	247,450	314,707	242,901	140,832	945,890	54,110
8-AAA	Stephens County	138,817	230,526	294,597	227,502	891,442	108,558
8-AAA	Hart County	70,107	144,864	251,663	330,761	797,395	202,605
8-AAA	Hebron Christian	9,067	34,802	87,713	244,508	376,090	623,910
8-AAA	Franklin County	-	15	331	2,343	2,689	997,311

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Fitzgerald	1-AA	0-0	80.19	998,829	4.01	869,422	724,342	467,670	316,133	2.16
Pierce County	3-AA	0-0	77.79	998,929	3.50	709,480	484,471	323,272	174,807	4.72
Appling County	3-AA	0-0	76.60	998,433	3.35	662,357	431,000	269,395	134,376	6.44
Thomson	4-AA	0-0	76.96	999,809	2.94	515,528	335,567	184,894	103,619	8.65
Rockmart	7-AA	0-0	75.02	998,524	3.21	717,704	349,944	174,375	88,297	10.33
Fellowship Christian	8-AA	0-0	73.56	999,623	3.14	706,673	307,399	187,236	75,506	12.24
Callaway	5-AA	0-0	70.68	999,772	3.05	677,829	356,872	132,425	43,974	21.74
Eagle's Landing Christian	5-AA	0-0	70.06	999,724	2.97	653,749	326,714	115,451	36,866	26.13
Northeast	2-AA	0-0	64.91	999,631	2.48	447,010	189,996	45,974	8,741	113.40
Athens Academy	8-AA	0-0	65.29	993,713	2.14	327,131	75,429	24,225	5,150	193.17
South Atlanta	6-AA	0-0	64.50	999,337	2.15	308,639	87,962	19,549	4,209	236.59
Cook	1-AA	0-0	63.94	843,815	1.56	185,276	68,769	14,764	2,613	381.70
Dodge County	1-AA	0-0	63.22	817,273	1.45	156,496	54,781	10,944	1,780	560.80
Putnam County	4-AA	0-0	63.35	982,824	1.69	137,008	44,212	10,075	1,758	567.83
Fannin County	7-AA	0-0	60.52	897,949	1.69	157,765	31,691	5,728	791	1,263.22
North Murray	7-AA	0-0	58.99	860,270	1.51	119,713	21,955	3,331	389	2,569.69
North Cobb Christian	6-AA	0-0	57.40	992,172	1.61	107,393	22,487	2,450	243	4,114.23
Washington County	4-AA	0-0	58.35	942,671	1.33	74,941	17,298	2,119	224	4,463.29
Toombs County	3-AA	0-0	56.10	673,651	1.12	54,923	10,757	906	92	10,868.57
Worth County	1-AA	0-0	57.69	514,959	0.70	32,209	7,075	864	88	11,362.64
Vidalia	3-AA	0-0	56.39	689,188	1.15	58,750	11,679	1,003	84	11,903.76
Columbia	5-AA	0-0	55.41	979,033	1.34	68,792	8,435	796	73	13,697.63
Haralson County	7-AA	0-0	55.39	723,577	1.11	55,844	7,657	773	61	16,392.44
Jeff Davis	1-AA	0-0	56.69	447,084	0.59	22,387	4,625	471	39	25,640.03
Laney	4-AA	0-0	54.46	868,920	1.06	35,415	5,956	477	34	29,410.76
Union County	8-AA	0-0	54.14	892,556	1.15	50,182	5,279	434	25	39,999.00
Tattnall County	3-AA	0-0	51.93	410,994	0.60	17,849	2,281	124	9	111,110.11
Model	7-AA	0-0	51.79	511,993	0.70	20,795	1,990	118	9	111,110.11
Berrien	1-AA	0-0	53.85	280,628	0.34	7,706	1,159	89	7	142,856.14
Mount Paran Christian	6-AA	0-0	47.58	901,148	1.05	11,311	713	33	1	999,999.00
Sumter County	1-AA	0-0	48.85	97,412	0.11	764	81	6	1	999,999.00
East Jackson	8-AA	0-0	45.69	535,405	0.58	4,695	268	5	1	999,999.00
Washington	6-AA	0-0	44.88	826,090	0.91	5,291	217	9	-	-
Spencer	2-AA	0-0	44.16	800,828	0.90	4,293	277	6	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-AA	0-0	43.42	767,804	0.85	3,279	196	6	-	-
Landmark Christian	5-AA	0-0	43.87	757,871	0.80	4,038	95	2	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AA	0-0	44.00	90,404	0.11	886	59	1	-	-
Brantley County	3-AA	0-0	45.95	138,401	0.18	2,120	143	-	-	-
Banks County	8-AA	0-0	43.13	373,950	0.39	1,796	85	-	-	-
ACE Charter	2-AA	0-0	39.12	524,554	0.55	614	25	-	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	0-0	42.21	191,820	0.20	639	24	-	-	-
Providence Christian	8-AA	0-0	39.54	204,753	0.21	440	15	-	-	-
Southwest	2-AA	0-0	38.31	471,262	0.49	373	10	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-0	37.59	424,359	0.44	275	9	-	-	-
Redan	5-AA	0-0	34.36	199,011	0.20	133	1	-	-	-
Therrell	6-AA	0-0	33.83	190,341	0.19	74	-	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-AA	0-0	28.14	56,066	0.06	5	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	0-0	26.11	34,846	0.03	3	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	0-0	31.10	6,321	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
Towers	5-AA	0-0	26.35	39,349	0.04	1	-	-	-	-
McNair	5-AA	0-0	24.46	25,240	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AA	0-0	22.13	10,579	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-0	28.70	7,682	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-0	27.44	5,206	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-0	25.86	1,366	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-0	22.60	1,068	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AA	0-0	15.29	983	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Walker	6-AA	0-0	17.57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Fitzgerald	854,584	118,529	21,353	4,363	998,829	1,171
1-AA	Cook	66,482	340,245	269,147	167,941	843,815	156,185
1-AA	Dodge County	56,119	303,769	275,098	182,287	817,273	182,727
1-AA	Worth County	11,410	105,118	172,136	226,295	514,959	485,041
1-AA	Jeff Davis	8,187	83,254	147,197	208,446	447,084	552,916
1-AA	Berrien	2,886	40,393	87,937	149,412	280,628	719,372
1-AA	Sumter County	332	8,692	27,132	61,256	97,412	902,588
2-AA	Northeast	914,492	74,398	9,025	1,716	999,631	369
2-AA	Spencer	36,124	325,473	257,938	181,293	800,828	199,172
2-AA	Central (Macon)	30,009	286,166	257,050	194,579	767,804	232,196
2-AA	ACE Charter	8,243	123,831	176,772	215,708	524,554	475,446
2-AA	Southwest	6,273	102,999	156,651	205,339	471,262	528,738
2-AA	Rutland	4,856	86,618	140,307	192,578	424,359	575,641
2-AA	Kendrick	3	496	2,121	7,959	10,579	989,421
2-AA	Jordan	-	19	136	828	983	999,017
3-AA	Pierce County	529,619	418,816	44,978	5,516	998,929	1,071
3-AA	Appling County	456,586	476,384	57,706	7,757	998,433	1,567
3-AA	Vidalia	6,557	45,123	343,050	294,458	689,188	310,812
3-AA	Toombs County	5,817	42,375	328,208	297,251	673,651	326,349
3-AA	Tattnall County	1,313	14,304	159,286	236,091	410,994	589,006
3-AA	Brantley County	76	2,024	41,885	94,416	138,401	861,599
3-AA	Windsor Forest	32	974	24,887	64,511	90,404	909,596
4-AA	Thomson	813,443	157,005	23,846	5,515	999,809	191
4-AA	Putnam County	123,879	470,477	272,835	115,633	982,824	17,176
4-AA	Washington County	44,683	241,182	386,850	269,956	942,671	57,329
4-AA	Laney	17,697	124,222	283,759	443,242	868,920	131,080
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	297	7,051	31,710	152,762	191,820	808,180
4-AA	Butler	1	36	593	7,052	7,682	992,318
4-AA	Josey	-	23	362	4,821	5,206	994,794
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	4	45	1,019	1,068	998,932
5-AA	Callaway	500,806	412,827	80,093	6,046	999,772	228
5-AA	Eagle's Landing Christian	462,889	439,683	90,082	7,070	999,724	276
5-AA	Columbia	34,656	134,704	648,758	160,915	979,033	20,967
5-AA	Landmark Christian	1,610	11,950	155,484	588,827	757,871	242,129
5-AA	Redan	39	795	21,734	176,443	199,011	800,989
5-AA	Towers	-	29	2,499	36,821	39,349	960,651
5-AA	McNair	-	12	1,350	23,878	25,240	974,760
6-AA	South Atlanta	681,322	258,905	49,113	9,997	999,337	663
6-AA	North Cobb Christian	262,457	493,886	181,900	53,929	992,172	7,828
6-AA	Mount Paran Christian	37,183	149,611	410,247	304,107	901,148	98,852
6-AA	Washington	18,565	90,740	304,829	411,956	826,090	173,910
6-AA	Therrell	428	5,765	40,031	144,117	190,341	809,659
6-AA	B.E.S.T. Academy	32	769	8,923	46,342	56,066	943,934
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	13	324	4,957	29,552	34,846	965,154
6-AA	Walker	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AA	Rockmart	802,432	157,330	29,859	8,903	998,524	1,476
7-AA	Fannin County	92,882	341,037	285,908	178,122	897,949	102,051
7-AA	North Murray	66,720	274,859	298,565	220,126	860,270	139,730
7-AA	Haralson County	27,853	151,463	238,177	306,084	723,577	276,423
7-AA	Model	10,112	75,205	146,360	280,316	511,993	488,007
7-AA	Murray County	1	96	993	5,231	6,321	993,679
7-AA	Gordon Central	-	10	138	1,218	1,366	998,634
8-AA	Fellowship Christian	722,417	242,843	31,207	3,156	999,623	377
8-AA	Athens Academy	247,210	564,005	157,388	25,110	993,713	6,287
8-AA	Union County	26,764	148,632	503,912	213,248	892,556	107,444
8-AA	East Jackson	2,402	26,363	159,841	346,799	535,405	464,595
8-AA	Banks County	989	13,532	99,922	259,507	373,950	626,050
8-AA	Providence Christian	218	4,625	47,730	152,180	204,753	795,247

Class A Division I

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Prince Avenue Christian	5-A Division I	0-0	83.37	1,000,000	4.09	954,174	672,432	476,435	329,031	2.04
Irwin County	1-A Division I	0-0	80.41	1,000,000	3.71	752,248	541,401	424,319	222,630	3.49
Rabun County	8-A Division I	0-0	79.22	1,000,000	3.99	922,540	737,505	338,909	195,626	4.11
Brooks County	1-A Division I	0-0	78.59	1,000,000	3.44	695,327	441,006	322,402	148,664	5.73
Swainsboro	2-A Division I	0-0	74.48	999,116	2.77	442,781	229,695	122,124	44,194	21.63
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	0-0	70.01	996,487	2.59	381,155	207,004	80,331	19,243	50.97
Metter	3-A Division I	0-0	69.85	1,000,000	2.81	688,118	247,103	54,907	17,420	56.41
Darlington	7-A Division I	0-0	65.80	998,169	2.46	406,537	220,493	52,569	8,225	120.58
Dublin	2-A Division I	0-0	66.20	990,197	2.43	371,612	180,885	45,150	7,472	132.83
Elbert County	8-A Division I	0-0	62.99	1,000,000	2.52	484,044	171,024	32,554	3,760	264.96
Lamar County	4-A Division I	0-0	60.72	1,000,000	2.21	295,822	110,279	16,719	1,534	650.89
Whitefield Academy	6-A Division I	0-0	59.43	1,000,000	1.96	239,135	33,930	8,837	711	1,405.47
Commerce	8-A Division I	0-0	58.02	1,000,000	2.02	307,498	54,088	7,894	546	1,830.50
Heard County	4-A Division I	0-0	57.18	1,000,000	1.86	176,556	45,855	4,758	294	3,400.36
St. Francis	6-A Division I	0-0	56.86	1,000,000	1.73	151,882	19,463	3,441	210	4,760.90
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Division I	0-0	55.71	1,000,000	1.65	123,897	15,337	2,260	136	7,351.94
Trion	7-A Division I	0-0	56.02	961,318	1.53	80,723	17,138	1,627	84	11,903.76
Mount Vernon	6-A Division I	0-0	54.78	1,000,000	1.58	103,554	12,495	1,567	76	13,156.89
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-0	54.50	879,502	1.25	89,988	15,951	1,160	57	17,542.86
Pepperell	7-A Division I	0-0	53.85	932,973	1.38	55,882	7,877	671	38	26,314.79
Social Circle	5-A Division I	0-0	52.07	1,000,000	1.46	118,457	6,704	876	33	30,302.03
Pelham	1-A Division I	0-0	52.62	1,000,000	1.42	54,675	5,431	247	11	90,908.09
Screven County	3-A Division I	0-0	47.23	994,579	1.14	23,162	2,847	99	2	499,999.00
Temple	4-A Division I	0-0	48.20	1,000,000	1.20	20,662	2,151	80	2	499,999.00
Athens Christian	8-A Division I	0-0	46.25	1,000,000	1.13	21,656	836	35	1	999,999.00
Dade County	7-A Division I	0-0	45.67	641,717	0.77	15,214	341	17	-	-
Oglethorpe County	5-A Division I	0-0	39.40	1,000,000	1.05	4,065	123	5	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Division I	0-0	38.71	964,302	0.99	1,356	62	2	-	-
Chattooga	7-A Division I	0-0	41.14	336,976	0.38	3,605	49	2	-	-
Jasper County	5-A Division I	0-0	41.04	1,000,000	1.07	6,892	219	1	-	-
Bacon County	1-A Division I	0-0	39.20	1,000,000	1.09	4,477	200	1	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division I	0-0	38.69	963,983	0.99	1,333	61	1	-	-
East Laurens	2-A Division I	0-0	39.19	134,698	0.14	698	13	-	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	0-0	33.64	74,176	0.08	158	1	-	-	-
Crawford County	4-A Division I	0-0	29.94	1,000,000	1.00	30	1	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	0-0	32.34	54,671	0.06	87	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division I	0-0	15.80	77,136	0.08	-	-	-	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Division I	0-0	28.24	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division I	Irwin County	554,037	430,925	14,719	319	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Brooks County	443,282	534,066	22,145	507	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Pelham	2,608	33,607	802,728	161,057	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Bacon County	73	1,402	160,408	838,117	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Swainsboro	545,842	300,531	127,359	25,384	999,116	884
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	290,976	379,345	262,410	63,756	996,487	3,513
2-A Division I	Dublin	151,348	280,034	425,769	133,046	990,197	9,803
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	11,780	39,129	177,240	651,353	879,502	120,498
2-A Division I	East Laurens	54	961	7,222	126,461	134,698	865,302
3-A Division I	Metter	939,273	57,712	2,516	499	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Screven County	46,380	595,727	250,202	102,270	994,579	5,421
3-A Division I	Claxton	7,192	172,089	370,355	414,347	963,983	36,017
3-A Division I	Bryan County	7,150	173,499	371,362	412,291	964,302	35,698
3-A Division I	Savannah	5	973	5,565	70,593	77,136	922,864
4-A Division I	Lamar County	570,821	326,700	96,883	5,596	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Heard County	352,803	451,705	182,748	12,744	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Temple	75,346	216,181	627,515	80,958	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Crawford County	1,030	5,414	92,854	900,702	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Prince Avenue Christian	981,555	18,232	186	27	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Social Circle	16,313	720,161	199,252	64,274	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Jasper County	1,269	149,763	432,498	416,470	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	863	111,844	368,064	519,229	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	373,608	282,637	195,349	148,406	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	St. Francis	248,800	262,228	253,537	235,435	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	205,213	239,106	271,507	284,174	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Mount Vernon	172,379	216,029	279,607	331,985	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Division I	Darlington	706,125	218,556	61,381	12,107	998,169	1,831
7-A Division I	Trion	167,059	385,121	296,546	112,592	961,318	38,682
7-A Division I	Pepperell	109,501	298,101	361,761	163,610	932,973	67,027
7-A Division I	Dade County	14,029	71,239	180,685	375,764	641,717	358,283
7-A Division I	Chattooga	3,085	23,601	78,286	232,004	336,976	663,024
7-A Division I	Armuchee	134	2,077	12,706	59,259	74,176	925,824
7-A Division I	Coosa	67	1,305	8,635	44,664	54,671	945,329
8-A Division I	Rabun County	865,274	119,541	13,692	1,493	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Elbert County	96,204	550,288	291,236	62,272	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Commerce	36,040	294,865	512,315	156,780	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Christian	2,482	35,306	182,757	779,455	1,000,000	-

Class A Division II

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Bowdon	7-A Division II	0-0	63.90	1,000,000	3.63	664,874	501,611	314,652	418,668	1.39
Schley County	6-A Division II	0-0	62.78	996,429	3.04	726,739	466,979	295,707	371,492	1.69
Clinch County	2-A Division II	0-0	62.10	989,646	3.39	621,095	401,394	264,785	301,649	2.32
Early County	1-A Division II	0-0	61.07	999,165	3.25	601,552	349,382	204,753	233,052	3.29
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	0-0	57.69	995,212	2.92	543,885	268,884	123,610	113,239	7.83
Johnson County	5-A Division II	0-0	56.96	999,906	2.73	458,924	231,876	127,046	100,709	8.93
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	0-0	56.67	978,693	2.71	415,679	234,991	105,462	85,133	10.75
Charlton County	2-A Division II	0-0	56.98	955,134	2.40	392,563	187,458	89,525	73,801	12.55
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	0-0	55.75	993,252	2.32	376,500	178,318	76,450	57,440	16.41
Manchester	6-A Division II	0-0	55.53	925,851	1.89	291,796	136,995	58,131	42,842	22.34
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	0-0	54.15	957,618	2.32	309,810	147,340	54,881	37,418	25.73
Christian Heritage	7-A Division II	0-0	54.48	1,000,000	2.11	289,995	144,816	55,427	36,275	26.57
Macon County	6-A Division II	0-0	53.91	946,464	1.83	286,944	119,949	45,848	29,995	32.34
Aquinas	8-A Division II	0-0	52.90	941,567	2.14	262,073	113,264	38,294	23,690	41.21
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	0-0	53.06	984,956	1.93	262,658	101,392	35,276	21,648	45.19
Turner County	2-A Division II	0-0	52.40	876,511	1.69	215,396	74,242	24,146	14,196	69.44
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-0	51.08	966,382	2.00	260,586	86,793	25,703	13,479	73.19
Telfair County	4-A Division II	0-0	50.16	957,710	1.88	223,847	69,467	19,278	9,445	104.88
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	0-0	48.95	961,338	1.68	155,454	43,948	11,967	4,982	199.72
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	0-0	49.28	839,789	1.25	116,083	36,290	9,359	4,185	237.95
Lanier County	2-A Division II	0-0	48.54	744,687	1.19	108,170	27,357	6,280	2,673	373.11
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	0-0	46.92	1,000,000	1.41	88,264	23,641	5,070	1,689	591.07
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	0-0	46.17	922,953	1.25	72,221	15,374	3,079	982	1,017.33
Montgomery County	3-A Division II	0-0	45.28	908,275	1.19	59,246	11,685	2,070	623	1,604.14
Warren County	8-A Division II	0-0	43.91	642,450	0.95	41,625	7,925	1,230	334	2,993.01
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	0-0	43.16	434,022	0.57	26,450	4,172	554	126	7,935.51
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	0-0	41.12	716,605	0.91	26,630	3,515	422	81	12,344.68
Terrell County	1-A Division II	0-0	40.49	765,315	0.96	26,557	3,356	387	68	14,704.88
Greene County	8-A Division II	0-0	40.16	395,330	0.52	12,637	1,566	162	31	32,257.06
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	0-0	37.98	961,391	1.14	13,446	1,473	136	23	43,477.26
Miller County	1-A Division II	0-0	38.79	681,402	0.82	16,321	1,691	144	15	66,665.67
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	0-0	36.84	949,937	1.10	10,365	1,061	69	8	124,999.00
Seminole County	1-A Division II	0-0	36.76	563,821	0.65	8,577	715	49	4	249,999.00
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	0-0	35.88	938,392	1.06	7,821	700	31	2	499,999.00
Taylor County	6-A Division II	0-0	35.47	107,204	0.11	822	78	4	1	999,999.00
Greenville	6-A Division II	0-0	35.16	49,903	0.05	288	23	1	1	999,999.00
Towns County	8-A Division II	0-0	31.82	84,342	0.10	435	21	1	1	999,999.00
Marion County	6-A Division II	0-0	36.49	134,343	0.15	1,366	132	6	-	-
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	0-0	33.49	250,385	0.27	1,557	100	4	-	-
Portal	3-A Division II	0-0	30.39	190,564	0.20	478	18	1	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	0-0	29.29	113,706	0.12	251	8	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	0-0	17.79	111,476	0.11	13	-	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	0-0	20.90	28,305	0.03	6	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	0-0	12.98	38,898	0.04	1	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-0	7.60	654	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	0-0	5.91	17	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	0-0	18.93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
GSIC	8-A Division II	0-0	-17.57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	799,335	170,104	24,327	5,399	999,165	835
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	152,838	498,754	223,392	86,354	961,338	38,662
1-A Division II	Terrell County	23,997	149,512	307,576	284,230	765,315	234,685
1-A Division II	Miller County	15,187	108,700	250,214	307,301	681,402	318,598
1-A Division II	Seminole County	8,620	72,340	188,461	294,400	563,821	436,179
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	23	588	5,976	21,718	28,305	971,695
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	2	54	598	654	999,346
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Clinch County	565,538	276,753	106,333	41,022	989,646	10,354
2-A Division II	Charlton County	264,737	348,422	229,350	112,625	955,134	44,866
2-A Division II	Turner County	112,526	217,127	317,509	229,349	876,511	123,489
2-A Division II	Lanier County	46,716	116,583	238,769	342,619	744,687	255,313
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	10,483	41,115	108,039	274,385	434,022	565,978
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	491,357	307,397	134,291	60,207	993,252	6,748
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	332,078	347,315	203,249	102,314	984,956	15,044
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	96,084	179,918	326,163	320,788	922,953	77,047
3-A Division II	Montgomery County	79,568	158,358	309,508	360,841	908,275	91,725
3-A Division II	Portal	913	7,012	26,789	155,850	190,564	809,436
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	580,571	272,199	112,803	29,639	995,212	4,788
4-A Division II	Dooly County	212,973	332,464	302,646	118,299	966,382	33,618
4-A Division II	Telfair County	181,096	305,902	331,948	138,764	957,710	42,290
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	23,116	74,028	189,900	429,561	716,605	283,395
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	1,902	12,101	45,549	190,833	250,385	749,615
4-A Division II	Treutlen	342	3,306	17,154	92,904	113,706	886,294
5-A Division II	Johnson County	868,375	113,215	14,126	4,190	999,906	94
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	54,190	342,562	319,893	244,746	961,391	38,609
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	42,672	288,571	326,251	292,443	949,937	50,063
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	34,669	250,554	318,524	334,645	938,392	61,608
5-A Division II	Glascock County	86	4,304	16,154	90,932	111,476	888,524
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	8	794	5,052	33,044	38,898	961,102
6-A Division II	Schley County	660,113	221,230	88,097	26,989	996,429	3,571
6-A Division II	Macon County	167,554	311,998	288,211	178,701	946,464	53,536
6-A Division II	Manchester	111,352	288,110	295,947	230,442	925,851	74,149
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	59,615	165,231	271,162	343,781	839,789	160,211
6-A Division II	Marion County	775	7,010	27,490	99,068	134,343	865,657
6-A Division II	Taylor County	489	4,844	21,028	80,843	107,204	892,796
6-A Division II	Greenville	102	1,577	8,064	40,160	49,903	950,097
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	1	16	17	999,983
7-A Division II	Bowdon	740,477	213,503	46,020	-	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Christian Heritage	207,545	537,702	254,753	-	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	51,978	248,795	699,227	-	1,000,000	-
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	433,420	298,875	181,001	65,397	978,693	21,307
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	291,091	305,511	253,589	107,427	957,618	42,382
8-A Division II	Aquinas	234,291	282,536	289,446	135,294	941,567	58,433
8-A Division II	Warren County	30,724	76,429	171,561	363,736	642,450	357,550
8-A Division II	Greene County	10,009	33,697	90,532	261,092	395,330	604,670
8-A Division II	Towns County	465	2,952	13,871	67,054	84,342	915,658
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-A Division II	GSIC	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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Maxwell playoff projections heading into 2023 season

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