Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 2

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Aug 25, 2021

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2021 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	1-0	101.98	1,000,000	3.77	783,075	591,495	483,258	343,034	1.92
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	0-1	99.61	998,972	3.78	816,528	585,210	416,563	261,110	2.83
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	0-1	96.06	1,000,000	2.99	594,371	348,364	226,095	104,369	8.58
North Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	0-1	94.11	998,035	3.15	683,595	354,048	191,803	84,808	10.79
Milton	5-AAAAAAA	1-0	91.51	994,886	3.06	615,682	372,350	137,290	51,197	18.53
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	1-0	91.99	995,661	2.92	604,723	285,414	134,594	50,727	18.71
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	0-1	89.06	968,544	2.59	499,730	251,178	84,746	24,286	40.18
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	1-0	89.48	999,956	2.26	281,721	109,850	54,736	17,152	57.30
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	1-0	87.98	989,975	2.37	377,091	145,954	48,143	13,432	73.45
Archer	7-AAAAAAA	0-1	88.28	999,966	2.18	254,362	90,780	42,162	11,959	82.62
North Cobb	3-AAAAAAA	0-1	88.06	861,479	1.70	241,585	122,295	36,394	10,127	97.75
Roswell	5-AAAAAAA	1-0	85.12	957,390	2.18	324,782	141,666	31,219	6,789	146.30
McEachern	2-AAAAAAA	1-0	85.44	998,726	2.01	251,004	92,969	23,365	5,205	191.12
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	1-0	85.87	777,868	1.31	147,546	63,699	15,966	3,735	266.74
Walton	3-AAAAAAA	1-0	84.77	742,028	1.20	122,468	49,346	11,273	2,383	418.64
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	1-0	84.00	1,000,000	1.69	175,233	62,383	11,892	2,290	435.68
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	1-0	80.93	940,610	1.62	155,626	53,313	8,446	1,205	828.88
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	0-1	83.39	641,919	0.95	77,243	27,918	5,675	1,069	934.45
Tift County	1-AAAAAAA	1-0	81.88	1,000,000	1.55	131,380	41,533	6,283	1,018	981.32
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	1-0	81.15	993,789	1.65	140,716	36,897	6,357	989	1,010.12
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	0-1	83.20	660,092	0.97	78,280	27,979	5,594	970	1,029.93
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	1-0	80.16	879,222	1.50	129,748	40,119	5,565	716	1,395.65
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	0-1	80.57	825,865	1.39	122,498	30,878	4,905	696	1,435.78
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	1-0	79.27	716,944	1.14	85,214	19,519	2,603	308	3,245.75
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	0-1	77.87	870,595	1.29	82,811	21,115	2,477	258	3,874.97
Newnan	2-AAAAAAA	0-1	75.65	978,032	1.27	55,806	9,757	866	69	14,491.75
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	1-0	77.70	316,614	0.38	11,498	2,549	304	30	33,332.33
Alpharetta	5-AAAAAAA	1-0	74.14	623,737	0.80	23,339	4,232	308	18	55,554.56
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	1-0	73.08	755,451	1.06	39,265	5,897	351	16	62,499.00
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	0-1	74.49	489,675	0.66	24,779	3,497	268	16	62,499.00
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	1-0	72.88	627,735	0.75	18,816	2,539	215	11	90,908.09
Gainesville	6-AAAAAAA	0-1	72.18	585,778	0.69	14,628	1,844	112	5	199,999.00
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	1-0	68.41	875,856	0.94	8,589	734	33	2	499,999.00
Woodstock	5-AAAAAAA	0-1	68.99	258,622	0.30	3,151	375	13	1	999,999.00
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	0-1	71.70	542,071	0.63	12,256	1,414	90	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAAA	0-1	69.56	286,143	0.33	3,560	416	19	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	8-AAAAAAA	0-1	65.78	260,878	0.31	3,418	264	9	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	1-0	67.67	286,851	0.31	2,366	175	7	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	0-1	57.68	749,451	0.77	628	14	1	-	-
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	1-0	64.50	146,360	0.15	516	17	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	54.52	613,749	0.63	215	2	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	0-1	54.11	514,858	0.52	129	1	-	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	0-0	53.45	153,597	0.15	25	1	-	-	-
Dunwoody	7-AAAAAAA	0-1	45.68	114,529	0.12	4	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	0-1	34.54	7,491	0.01	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	628,986	308,415	50,178	12,421	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	316,909	477,537	150,192	55,362	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	35,451	122,944	412,379	429,226	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Tift County	18,654	91,104	387,251	502,991	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAAA	McEachern	544,206	312,888	109,518	32,114	998,726	1,274
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	321,803	380,339	222,050	69,597	993,789	6,211
2-AAAAAAA	Newnan	109,731	233,962	411,742	222,597	978,032	21,968
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	24,142	70,879	244,589	536,246	875,856	124,144
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	118	1,932	12,101	139,446	153,597	846,403
3-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	332,114	231,567	174,784	123,014	861,479	138,521
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	202,369	206,811	198,457	170,231	777,868	222,132
3-AAAAAAA	Walton	190,078	194,841	186,458	170,651	742,028	257,972
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	124,792	159,244	180,799	195,257	660,092	339,908
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	122,410	152,884	173,481	193,144	641,919	358,081
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	28,237	54,653	86,021	147,703	316,614	683,386
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	748,137	212,139	31,149	7,547	998,972	1,028
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	200,780	489,259	203,433	75,072	968,544	31,456
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	25,119	145,654	365,968	289,124	825,865	174,135
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	21,227	105,642	258,536	331,539	716,944	283,056
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	4,737	47,306	140,914	296,718	489,675	510,325
5-AAAAAAA	Milton	629,170	267,864	79,350	18,502	994,886	5,114
5-AAAAAAA	Roswell	256,013	366,096	240,699	94,582	957,390	42,610
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	89,875	246,707	353,795	188,845	879,222	120,778
5-AAAAAAA	Alpharetta	18,162	77,162	188,390	340,023	623,737	376,263
5-AAAAAAA	Etowah	3,679	20,897	69,694	191,873	286,143	713,857
5-AAAAAAA	Woodstock	3,101	21,274	68,072	166,175	258,622	741,378
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	457,745	263,064	145,421	74,380	940,610	59,390
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	295,971	272,656	183,712	118,256	870,595	129,405
6-AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	88,803	149,079	192,805	197,048	627,735	372,265
6-AAAAAAA	Gainesville	71,654	133,543	181,339	199,242	585,778	414,222
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	63,388	117,102	166,298	195,283	542,071	457,929
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	17,077	45,973	86,600	137,201	286,851	713,149
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	5,362	18,583	43,825	78,590	146,360	853,640
7-AAAAAAA	Archer	504,288	484,598	10,725	355	999,966	34
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	494,954	493,899	10,765	338	999,956	44
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	457	11,286	429,783	307,925	749,451	250,549
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	178	5,726	298,322	309,523	613,749	386,251
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	122	4,267	215,057	295,412	514,858	485,142
7-AAAAAAA	Dunwoody	1	222	34,323	79,983	114,529	885,471
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	2	1,025	6,464	7,491	992,509
8-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	459,625	346,480	171,408	20,522	998,035	1,965
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	385,211	355,234	216,977	38,239	995,661	4,339
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	149,828	277,572	481,805	80,770	989,975	10,025
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	4,950	17,664	109,479	623,358	755,451	244,549
8-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	386	3,050	20,331	237,111	260,878	739,122

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	1-0	98.75	999,922	4.17	932,413	669,612	585,416	477,388	1.09
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	1-0	94.75	1,000,000	3.77	912,517	478,259	385,010	257,816	2.88
Westlake	4-AAAAAA	1-0	86.59	998,017	3.24	652,743	453,639	238,391	70,034	13.28
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	0-1	85.31	998,548	2.97	603,215	408,977	116,574	44,086	21.68
Carrollton	5-AAAAAA	1-0	85.13	979,991	2.99	640,463	371,287	145,982	43,153	22.17
Rome	5-AAAAAA	1-0	84.76	972,665	2.91	619,532	351,124	130,896	37,719	25.51
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	1-0	84.58	984,147	2.78	561,291	289,312	148,520	34,669	27.84
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	1-0	81.23	1,000,000	2.88	582,682	237,296	98,270	17,360	56.60
Richmond Hill	2-AAAAAA	0-1	79.07	990,734	2.00	223,041	90,882	29,191	4,515	220.48
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	0-1	76.56	1,000,000	2.46	382,694	118,556	33,278	3,676	271.03
Creekview	7-AAAAAA	1-0	76.57	930,393	1.72	194,606	63,222	16,109	1,929	517.40
Kell	6-AAAAAA	0-1	76.00	964,991	1.74	195,640	77,803	14,680	1,803	553.63
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	0-0-1	76.69	980,955	1.77	154,814	55,066	12,308	1,663	600.32
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	1-0	74.77	969,182	1.63	121,268	38,386	7,082	748	1,335.90
Hughes	4-AAAAAA	0-1	73.81	923,437	1.50	108,629	35,852	5,323	520	1,922.08
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	1-0	73.77	867,582	1.41	123,584	31,852	5,498	507	1,971.39
Lovejoy	4-AAAAAA	1-0	73.75	895,121	1.45	102,326	32,898	5,090	476	2,099.84
Sprayberry	6-AAAAAA	0-0	72.78	912,368	1.37	104,563	31,751	4,827	424	2,357.49
Tucker	4-AAAAAA	0-1	73.05	891,436	1.39	88,214	26,478	3,707	357	2,800.12
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	1-0	73.53	607,958	1.06	103,034	26,110	3,327	339	2,948.85
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	0-1	72.94	754,637	1.14	83,443	23,943	3,715	285	3,507.77
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	1-0	72.55	557,197	0.93	82,048	19,475	2,164	210	4,760.90
Sequoyah	7-AAAAAA	1-0	71.03	757,602	1.09	71,493	14,992	1,626	133	7,517.80
Dalton	5-AAAAAA	0-1	70.58	434,518	0.67	46,525	9,150	902	71	14,083.51
Evans	3-AAAAAA	1-0	64.65	980,782	1.17	124,379	17,854	504	27	37,036.04
River Ridge	7-AAAAAA	1-0	67.51	524,457	0.67	27,751	4,239	276	18	55,554.56
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	1-0	67.96	256,612	0.36	17,264	2,732	214	15	66,665.67
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	0-1	68.13	441,594	0.56	20,428	4,160	292	14	71,427.57
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAAA	1-0	67.45	364,442	0.46	14,882	2,982	213	11	90,908.09
Cambridge	7-AAAAAA	0-0	66.84	475,278	0.59	22,473	3,282	182	11	90,908.09
Riverwood	7-AAAAAA	0-0	66.08	397,525	0.48	16,193	2,372	119	7	142,856.14
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	0-1	66.62	171,049	0.23	8,856	1,191	86	5	199,999.00
Statesboro	2-AAAAAA	1-0	64.47	660,708	0.77	12,729	1,796	99	4	249,999.00
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	0-1	65.39	284,207	0.34	7,591	1,296	55	3	333,332.33
Kennesaw Mountain	6-AAAAAA	1-0	62.43	430,568	0.46	3,336	312	19	2	499,999.00
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	1-0	63.12	171,051	0.20	2,880	389	18	1	999,999.00
Heritage (Conyers)	3-AAAAAA	0-1	55.05	749,380	0.78	9,856	483	4	1	999,999.00
Pope	6-AAAAAA	1-0	61.51	342,829	0.36	2,055	165	19	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	0-1	54.55	681,886	0.71	6,547	280	3	-	-
Wheeler	6-AAAAAA	0-1	60.40	233,775	0.24	1,014	71	3	-	-
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	1-0	61.12	257,599	0.29	2,259	172	2	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	3-AAAAAA	0-1	52.97	626,322	0.64	3,922	147	2	-	-
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	0-0	56.03	159,975	0.17	448	20	2	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	0-0	56.60	176,513	0.19	547	42	1	-	-
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	0-1	58.71	20,010	0.02	217	13	1	-	-
Grovetown	3-AAAAAA	0-0	51.37	539,141	0.55	2,178	46	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	0-1	49.29	422,489	0.43	959	17	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAAA	0-1	56.15	33,818	0.04	185	7	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAAA	0-1	56.21	101,896	0.10	134	4	-	-	-
Morrow	4-AAAAAA	0-1	51.95	34,390	0.04	35	3	-	-	-
Centennial	7-AAAAAA	0-1	53.06	13,345	0.01	42	2	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	2-AAAAAA	0-1	51.59	61,933	0.06	61	1	-	-	-
South Cobb	6-AAAAAA	1-0	50.04	15,019	0.02	1	-	-	-	-
Osborne	6-AAAAAA	0-0	29.93	6	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	0-1	89.95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	1-0	34.50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	834,769	137,351	27,880	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	109,379	539,798	350,823	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	55,852	322,851	621,297	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	450,526	303,587	185,481	51,140	990,734	9,266
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	277,012	328,986	292,396	82,561	980,955	19,045
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	250,522	298,697	304,671	115,292	969,182	30,818
2-AAAAAA	Statesboro	20,042	56,846	158,334	425,486	660,708	339,292
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	952	5,604	26,298	143,659	176,513	823,487
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	836	5,335	25,922	127,882	159,975	840,025
2-AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	110	945	6,898	53,980	61,933	938,067
3-AAAAAA	Evans	657,626	206,116	83,697	33,343	980,782	19,218
3-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	127,109	232,956	214,494	174,821	749,380	250,620
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	88,213	187,883	207,952	197,838	681,886	318,114
3-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	61,209	161,486	197,029	206,598	626,322	373,678
3-AAAAAA	Grovetown	41,577	124,917	167,728	204,919	539,141	460,859
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	24,266	86,642	129,100	182,481	422,489	577,511
4-AAAAAA	Westlake	754,414	183,558	44,358	15,687	998,017	1,983
4-AAAAAA	Hughes	88,336	296,344	304,196	234,561	923,437	76,563
4-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	85,798	253,164	292,704	263,455	895,121	104,879
4-AAAAAA	Tucker	68,962	245,440	297,868	279,166	891,436	108,564
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	2,438	20,597	55,404	179,160	257,599	742,401
4-AAAAAA	Morrow	52	897	5,470	27,971	34,390	965,610
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Carrollton	478,572	346,021	115,216	40,182	979,991	20,009
5-AAAAAA	Rome	431,896	360,096	131,370	49,303	972,665	27,335
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	35,716	106,632	240,611	224,999	607,958	392,042
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	29,743	89,357	210,087	228,010	557,197	442,803
5-AAAAAA	Dalton	16,053	57,905	156,909	203,651	434,518	565,482
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	5,384	25,277	87,648	138,303	256,612	743,388
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	2,564	14,017	53,493	100,975	171,049	828,951
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	72	695	4,666	14,577	20,010	979,990
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	694,831	230,944	64,489	8,284	998,548	1,452
6-AAAAAA	Kell	192,053	400,876	288,341	83,721	964,991	35,009
6-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	104,908	293,614	363,341	150,505	912,368	87,632
6-AAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	3,819	32,339	115,876	278,534	430,568	569,432
6-AAAAAA	Pope	2,483	23,424	88,554	228,368	342,829	657,171
6-AAAAAA	Wheeler	1,688	14,651	56,004	161,432	233,775	766,225
6-AAAAAA	Lassiter	215	3,962	21,455	76,264	101,896	898,104
6-AAAAAA	South Cobb	3	190	1,940	12,886	15,019	984,981
6-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	-	6	6	999,994
7-AAAAAA	Creekview	432,069	259,963	153,301	85,060	930,393	69,607
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	278,433	259,101	197,800	132,248	867,582	132,418
7-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	148,683	206,805	219,109	183,005	757,602	242,398
7-AAAAAA	River Ridge	62,073	109,012	155,467	197,905	524,457	475,543
7-AAAAAA	Cambridge	43,892	90,973	145,022	195,391	475,278	524,722
7-AAAAAA	Riverwood	34,114	70,806	117,886	174,719	397,525	602,475
7-AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	622	2,644	8,442	22,110	33,818	966,182
7-AAAAAA	Centennial	114	696	2,973	9,562	13,345	986,655
8-AAAAAA	Buford	843,103	148,922	7,259	638	999,922	78
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	147,245	651,087	147,270	38,545	984,147	15,853
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	6,692	107,979	400,168	239,798	754,637	245,363
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	1,276	38,211	163,911	238,196	441,594	558,406
8-AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	1,148	29,310	129,686	204,298	364,442	635,558
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	390	17,738	95,733	170,346	284,207	715,793
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	146	6,753	55,973	108,179	171,051	828,949

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Warner Robins	1-AAAAA	1-0	96.11	996,649	3.78	665,330	621,914	519,367	364,350	1.74
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	1-0	93.47	999,750	3.57	608,221	545,772	433,547	247,712	3.04
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAA	1-0	92.46	999,558	3.49	586,236	518,716	400,803	211,229	3.73
Coffee	1-AAAAA	0-0	86.80	943,345	2.76	444,121	359,298	168,886	59,934	15.69
Ware County	1-AAAAA	1-0	86.73	942,073	2.77	455,812	368,173	165,377	59,201	15.89
Jones County	4-AAAAA	0-1	80.91	980,497	2.87	738,854	228,742	83,779	19,759	49.61
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	1-0	79.66	985,989	2.47	382,695	248,460	47,998	10,953	90.30
Dutchtown	4-AAAAA	1-0	77.31	938,401	2.41	567,387	159,251	36,280	6,619	150.08
Starr's Mill	2-AAAAA	1-0	76.39	988,202	2.28	467,454	144,047	28,410	4,650	214.05
St. Pius X	5-AAAAA	0-1	75.65	996,839	2.13	251,830	150,712	24,632	3,657	272.45
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	0-0	74.67	994,720	2.50	493,202	84,988	19,941	2,865	348.04
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAA	1-0	75.16	995,609	1.62	161,353	92,864	13,351	2,011	496.27
Veterans	1-AAAAA	0-1	76.51	576,379	1.14	136,581	77,489	11,985	1,944	513.40
Griffin	2-AAAAA	1-0	73.07	965,911	1.89	329,252	73,226	10,604	1,234	809.37
Creekside	3-AAAAA	1-0	74.00	993,832	1.51	131,864	71,312	9,218	1,188	840.75
Wayne County	1-AAAAA	0-1	75.13	541,554	1.01	109,468	57,841	7,492	1,118	893.45
Ola	4-AAAAA	1-0	71.74	793,338	1.55	271,622	49,036	6,126	637	1,568.86
Eastside	8-AAAAA	0-0	70.18	970,717	2.15	316,077	45,377	5,549	504	1,983.13
Stockbridge	4-AAAAA	1-0	69.88	652,718	1.15	171,406	27,388	2,695	232	4,309.34
Harris County	2-AAAAA	0-1	66.02	811,948	1.15	106,299	11,639	766	42	23,808.52
Union Grove	4-AAAAA	1-0	66.79	459,930	0.71	79,564	9,710	651	37	27,026.03
Chapel Hill	6-AAAAA	0-1	63.89	967,700	1.66	130,344	15,434	735	34	29,410.76
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAAA	0-1	65.85	919,545	1.14	29,731	9,628	530	33	30,302.03
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-1	64.41	898,703	1.65	135,407	10,698	674	29	34,481.76
Decatur	5-AAAAA	1-0	62.56	839,318	0.95	11,703	2,929	123	13	76,922.08
Northgate	2-AAAAA	0-1	61.97	642,170	0.79	41,244	2,670	131	4	249,999.00
New Manchester	6-AAAAA	0-1	59.94	910,780	1.34	59,405	4,113	127	4	249,999.00
Hiram	7-AAAAA	0-1	62.55	469,398	0.59	10,476	2,246	77	3	333,332.33
Cass	7-AAAAA	1-0	61.52	463,747	0.57	8,475	1,669	56	2	499,999.00
Whitewater	2-AAAAA	0-1	59.40	435,266	0.50	17,119	789	18	1	999,999.00
Maynard Jackson	6-AAAAA	0-0	55.94	735,050	0.92	17,231	638	11	1	999,999.00
Jonesboro	3-AAAAA	0-0	61.93	786,957	0.82	3,485	791	34	-	-
Villa Rica	6-AAAAA	0-1	54.83	700,006	0.86	13,196	450	9	-	-
Greenbrier	8-AAAAA	0-0	57.03	507,458	0.73	21,093	839	6	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	4-AAAAA	0-1	58.52	77,190	0.09	2,915	176	3	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-1	54.30	323,011	0.43	7,917	239	2	-	-
M.L. King	5-AAAAA	0-1	57.13	544,775	0.56	1,131	188	2	-	-
Locust Grove	4-AAAAA	0-1	58.17	70,377	0.08	2,522	147	2	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	0-0	52.29	207,399	0.27	3,449	84	1	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAAA	0-1	54.64	375,957	0.38	373	47	1	-	-
Northview	5-AAAAA	0-1	52.61	283,853	0.29	141	12	1	-	-
Lithia Springs	6-AAAAA	0-1	51.59	519,831	0.59	4,289	100	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	1-0	56.99	525,118	0.54	485	57	-	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	2-AAAAA	1-0	52.79	112,785	0.12	1,107	24	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	1-0	53.29	81,558	0.09	234	21	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAA	0-1	55.57	376,940	0.38	219	21	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	4-AAAAA	1-0	55.00	27,549	0.03	508	16	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAAA	0-1	48.83	97,356	0.12	718	13	-	-	-
Midtown	6-AAAAA	0-1	45.63	155,884	0.16	269	3	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	3-AAAAA	0-0	51.36	214,779	0.22	31	2	-	-	-
McIntosh	2-AAAAA	1-0	48.13	43,718	0.04	149	1	-	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	0-0	49.46	106,138	0.11	4	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	5-AAAAA	1-0	44.96	39,713	0.04	1	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	0-1	35.10	10,749	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAAA	0-1	33.70	636	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAA	0-0	33.75	627	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	5-AAAAA	1-0	43.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAAA	0-0	19.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAAA	0-1	-14.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Warner Robins	630,866	259,205	87,007	19,571	996,649	3,351
1-AAAAA	Coffee	182,992	333,032	298,793	128,528	943,345	56,655
1-AAAAA	Ware County	165,064	303,845	331,717	141,447	942,073	57,927
1-AAAAA	Veterans	12,582	59,082	152,421	352,294	576,379	423,621
1-AAAAA	Wayne County	8,496	44,836	130,062	358,160	541,554	458,446
2-AAAAA	Starr's Mill	518,393	311,627	121,305	36,877	988,202	11,798
2-AAAAA	Griffin	345,749	347,952	191,760	80,450	965,911	34,089
2-AAAAA	Harris County	90,494	185,930	300,751	234,773	811,948	188,052
2-AAAAA	Northgate	29,804	96,029	219,327	297,010	642,170	357,830
2-AAAAA	Whitewater	14,699	52,082	131,455	237,030	435,266	564,734
2-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	762	5,276	27,096	79,651	112,785	887,215
2-AAAAA	McIntosh	99	1,104	8,306	34,209	43,718	956,282
3-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	548,185	351,951	79,304	16,169	995,609	4,391
3-AAAAA	Creekside	409,039	458,268	104,880	21,645	993,832	6,168
3-AAAAA	Jonesboro	29,523	112,491	400,728	244,215	786,957	213,043
3-AAAAA	Banneker	8,217	41,577	195,042	280,282	525,118	474,882
3-AAAAA	Mundy's Mill	3,993	25,048	128,702	219,197	376,940	623,060
3-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	779	7,504	63,463	143,033	214,779	785,221
3-AAAAA	Drew	264	3,161	27,814	74,899	106,138	893,862
3-AAAAA	Forest Park	-	-	67	560	627	999,373
4-AAAAA	Jones County	552,427	263,069	118,375	46,626	980,497	19,503
4-AAAAA	Dutchtown	274,589	346,638	208,155	109,019	938,401	61,599
4-AAAAA	Ola	97,969	186,989	281,138	227,242	793,338	206,662
4-AAAAA	Stockbridge	49,405	124,460	211,045	267,808	652,718	347,282
4-AAAAA	Union Grove	24,081	69,099	139,691	227,059	459,930	540,070
4-AAAAA	Locust Grove	758	4,358	16,796	48,465	70,377	929,623
4-AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	638	4,281	19,135	53,136	77,190	922,810
4-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	133	1,106	5,665	20,645	27,549	972,451
5-AAAAA	St. Pius X	744,901	189,645	50,679	11,614	996,839	3,161
5-AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	138,536	379,293	272,383	129,333	919,545	80,455
5-AAAAA	Decatur	90,651	264,840	296,029	187,798	839,318	160,682
5-AAAAA	M.L. King	15,053	86,670	175,839	267,213	544,775	455,225
5-AAAAA	Lithonia	6,427	46,962	113,917	208,651	375,957	624,043
5-AAAAA	Northview	4,357	30,907	82,875	165,714	283,853	716,147
5-AAAAA	Stone Mountain	75	1,683	8,278	29,677	39,713	960,287
5-AAAAA	Chamblee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	492,605	273,161	138,835	63,099	967,700	32,300
6-AAAAA	New Manchester	291,037	295,425	203,111	121,207	910,780	89,220
6-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	89,938	168,282	236,961	239,869	735,050	264,950
6-AAAAA	Villa Rica	85,883	155,583	220,468	238,072	700,006	299,994
6-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	36,605	91,644	157,400	234,182	519,831	480,169
6-AAAAA	Midtown	3,892	15,587	41,327	95,078	155,884	844,116
6-AAAAA	North Springs	40	318	1,898	8,493	10,749	989,251
7-AAAAA	Blessed Trinity	487,018	417,048	90,478	5,014	999,558	442
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	477,270	434,155	84,579	3,746	999,750	250
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	35,186	142,771	719,234	88,798	985,989	14,011
7-AAAAA	Hiram	324	3,452	52,743	412,879	469,398	530,602
7-AAAAA	Cass	196	2,434	47,333	413,784	463,747	536,253
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	6	140	5,633	75,779	81,558	918,442
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	580,985	286,860	105,626	21,249	994,720	5,280
8-AAAAA	Eastside	292,873	392,658	215,662	69,524	970,717	29,283
8-AAAAA	Loganville	109,923	234,253	383,486	171,041	898,703	101,297
8-AAAAA	Greenbrier	9,767	46,220	142,904	308,567	507,458	492,542
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	3,950	23,513	81,872	213,676	323,011	676,989
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	2,095	12,528	49,131	143,645	207,399	792,601
8-AAAAA	Walnut Grove	407	3,968	21,273	71,708	97,356	902,644
8-AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	46	590	636	999,364

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Marist	6-AAAA	0-0	92.87	999,874	4.42	934,670	836,173	679,293	592,163	0.69
Jefferson	8-AAAA	1-0	84.27	999,051	3.49	777,691	557,493	261,287	143,418	5.97
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	0-0	82.24	999,444	3.45	806,085	498,620	218,494	103,520	8.66
Benedictine	3-AAAA	0-0	78.48	1,000,000	3.03	803,222	234,936	111,175	42,013	22.80
Cedartown	7-AAAA	1-0	76.19	997,968	3.09	579,295	349,796	195,877	38,650	24.87
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	1-0	76.24	982,280	2.51	457,327	281,974	130,232	26,929	36.13
Cairo	1-AAAA	0-0	73.73	987,870	2.55	488,659	221,674	87,116	15,205	64.77
Carver (Columbus)	2-AAAA	0-1	73.58	996,335	2.30	304,526	188,955	78,428	12,662	77.98
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	0-1	73.41	939,107	1.95	308,504	149,250	63,549	9,575	103.44
Perry	4-AAAA	1-0	69.84	927,341	1.81	177,675	66,818	22,829	2,614	381.56
Troup	2-AAAA	1-0	69.55	986,062	1.84	161,764	74,352	21,370	2,426	411.20
West Laurens	4-AAAA	0-1	69.28	922,977	1.78	173,725	62,823	21,146	2,254	442.66
Stephenson	6-AAAA	1-0	69.65	872,225	1.43	160,078	64,609	19,667	2,104	474.29
North Oconee	8-AAAA	0-1	68.70	902,986	1.47	161,861	61,473	17,235	1,560	640.03
Baldwin	4-AAAA	1-0	68.57	893,060	1.64	140,563	49,326	14,928	1,525	654.74
Riverdale	5-AAAA	0-0	64.76	994,388	2.09	295,611	74,194	17,269	1,030	969.87
Thomas County Central	1-AAAA	0-1	66.03	923,136	1.66	233,636	57,076	12,646	876	1,140.55
Mays	6-AAAA	0-1	66.30	764,310	1.06	76,434	24,425	5,398	351	2,848.00
Jenkins	3-AAAA	1-0	63.89	1,000,000	1.52	163,256	30,935	5,763	331	3,020.15
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	1-0	63.23	1,000,000	1.46	139,190	25,259	4,341	226	4,423.78
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	0-0	62.01	838,776	1.58	120,466	17,307	2,390	124	8,063.52
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-0	63.66	673,266	0.83	38,149	9,584	1,740	114	8,770.93
Westside (Macon)	4-AAAA	1-0	63.05	656,741	0.95	37,601	9,941	1,683	90	11,110.11
Islands	3-AAAA	0-0	60.22	1,000,000	1.29	79,856	10,907	1,398	59	16,948.15
Hardaway	2-AAAA	0-0	61.88	883,074	1.21	34,860	7,456	1,145	58	17,240.38
Westover	1-AAAA	0-1	60.26	728,666	0.98	72,796	7,874	935	34	29,410.76
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-1	59.02	754,600	1.30	73,591	7,055	676	28	35,713.29
Howard	4-AAAA	1-0	61.51	529,361	0.72	22,061	5,374	769	27	37,036.04
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	0-0	57.93	675,540	1.11	56,757	4,914	427	13	76,922.08
LaGrange	2-AAAA	1-0	58.97	777,468	0.98	19,188	2,803	308	10	99,999.00
Pickens	7-AAAA	0-0	55.47	486,389	0.74	28,443	1,973	146	4	249,999.00
Madison County	8-AAAA	1-0	58.76	385,892	0.43	8,040	1,248	120	4	249,999.00
Fayette County	5-AAAA	1-0	53.49	860,751	1.15	28,248	1,693	122	2	499,999.00
Arabia Mountain	6-AAAA	1-0	57.29	240,448	0.26	3,435	495	44	1	999,999.00
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-0	50.47	723,852	0.88	9,902	391	23	-	-
Monroe	1-AAAA	0-1	51.82	223,393	0.25	4,913	183	8	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAAA	1-0	50.21	246,727	0.33	5,612	236	7	-	-
Luella	5-AAAA	0-1	49.21	674,398	0.79	6,767	203	7	-	-
Spalding	4-AAAA	0-1	50.94	68,298	0.07	298	33	3	-	-
Shaw	2-AAAA	0-0	49.25	172,002	0.19	564	23	3	-	-
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	1-0	50.71	130,795	0.14	412	44	2	-	-
Columbus	2-AAAA	0-1	48.54	147,388	0.16	440	17	1	-	-
Dougherty	1-AAAA	0-0	48.92	137,491	0.15	1,671	47	-	-	-
Hampton	5-AAAA	0-1	45.51	420,084	0.46	1,513	27	-	-	-
McDonough	5-AAAA	1-0	42.77	290,475	0.31	504	9	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	0-0	47.50	34,265	0.04	54	1	-	-	-
Spencer	2-AAAA	1-0	43.01	35,337	0.04	34	1	-	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	0-0	46.20	22,260	0.02	41	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAAA	0-0	34.65	36,052	0.04	7	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	0-1	27.90	53,241	0.05	5	-	-	-	-
Rutland	4-AAAA	0-1	38.89	2,222	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AAAA	0-1	34.94	2,165	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AAAA	0-1	28.79	169	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-1	35.64	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	701,860	250,906	40,618	6,060	999,444	556
1-AAAA	Cairo	249,931	499,454	188,631	49,854	987,870	12,130
1-AAAA	Thomas County Central	39,063	180,524	481,463	222,086	923,136	76,864
1-AAAA	Westover	8,366	57,495	217,328	445,477	728,666	271,334
1-AAAA	Monroe	619	7,981	44,062	170,731	223,393	776,607
1-AAAA	Dougherty	161	3,640	27,898	105,792	137,491	862,509
2-AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	579,389	297,019	94,606	25,321	996,335	3,665
2-AAAA	Troup	319,894	409,719	189,468	66,981	986,062	13,938
2-AAAA	Hardaway	67,888	177,341	369,332	268,513	883,074	116,926
2-AAAA	LaGrange	31,210	102,518	270,559	373,181	777,468	222,532
2-AAAA	Shaw	925	7,177	38,553	125,347	172,002	827,998
2-AAAA	Columbus	652	5,670	31,907	109,159	147,388	852,612
2-AAAA	Spencer	42	545	5,395	29,355	35,337	964,663
2-AAAA	Jordan	-	11	168	1,986	2,165	997,835
2-AAAA	Kendrick	-	-	12	157	169	999,831
3-AAAA	Benedictine	810,595	154,510	25,377	9,518	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Jenkins	84,969	323,158	315,856	276,017	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	64,493	294,924	331,283	309,300	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Islands	39,943	227,408	327,484	405,165	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	West Laurens	332,302	266,993	201,000	122,682	922,977	77,023
4-AAAA	Perry	305,339	273,373	219,424	129,205	927,341	72,659
4-AAAA	Baldwin	251,761	251,030	230,140	160,129	893,060	106,940
4-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	68,285	120,905	189,290	278,261	656,741	343,259
4-AAAA	Howard	41,263	83,403	145,487	259,208	529,361	470,639
4-AAAA	Spalding	1,050	4,268	14,388	48,592	68,298	931,702
4-AAAA	Rutland	-	28	271	1,923	2,222	997,778
5-AAAA	Riverdale	743,740	183,489	51,916	15,243	994,388	5,612
5-AAAA	Fayette County	137,027	331,865	239,628	152,231	860,751	139,249
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	56,508	197,562	244,550	225,232	723,852	276,148
5-AAAA	Luella	42,088	165,890	232,844	233,576	674,398	325,602
5-AAAA	Hampton	13,917	76,971	133,899	195,297	420,084	579,916
5-AAAA	McDonough	6,591	42,092	88,503	153,289	290,475	709,525
5-AAAA	North Clayton	129	2,131	8,660	25,132	36,052	963,948
6-AAAA	Marist	906,899	81,282	10,295	1,398	999,874	126
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	53,681	433,281	299,291	152,854	939,107	60,893
6-AAAA	Stephenson	23,215	259,493	338,058	251,459	872,225	127,775
6-AAAA	Mays	8,901	156,004	260,677	338,728	764,310	235,690
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	6,850	46,391	-	-	53,241	946,759
6-AAAA	Arabia Mountain	382	17,924	54,883	167,259	240,448	759,552
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	72	5,625	36,796	88,302	130,795	869,205
7-AAAA	Cedartown	819,563	142,161	28,410	7,834	997,968	2,032
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	93,635	323,267	253,726	168,148	838,776	161,224
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	42,011	240,414	258,751	213,424	754,600	245,400
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	26,553	163,728	231,430	253,829	675,540	324,460
7-AAAA	Pickens	15,804	97,387	154,751	218,447	486,389	513,611
7-AAAA	Ridgeland	2,434	33,043	72,932	138,318	246,727	753,273
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Jefferson	738,938	211,154	40,722	8,237	999,051	949
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	199,242	487,974	229,636	65,428	982,280	17,720
8-AAAA	North Oconee	47,424	215,005	422,128	218,429	902,986	97,014
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	12,154	61,375	204,181	395,556	673,266	326,734
8-AAAA	Madison County	2,220	23,833	94,638	265,201	385,892	614,108
8-AAAA	East Hall	16	431	5,297	28,521	34,265	965,735
8-AAAA	Chestatee	6	228	3,398	18,628	22,260	977,740

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	0-0	91.40	997,109	4.33	954,723	757,325	645,773	498,059	1.01
Peach County	2-AAA	0-1	84.34	998,036	3.23	713,763	339,922	236,352	115,645	7.65
Greater Atlanta Christian	5-AAA	0-1	83.19	972,274	3.46	778,194	516,444	297,538	114,770	7.71
Oconee County	8-AAA	1-0	83.21	999,059	3.14	601,232	354,336	207,633	86,171	10.60
Pierce County	1-AAA	0-1	81.04	999,997	3.25	691,610	400,701	176,066	64,937	14.40
Crisp County	2-AAA	0-0	81.75	995,752	2.92	589,420	266,287	155,862	60,808	15.45
Rockmart	6-AAA	0-1	75.94	999,681	2.71	583,513	247,431	79,892	18,845	52.06
Appling County	1-AAA	1-0	74.34	999,944	2.82	523,147	293,974	56,344	13,233	74.57
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	1-0	75.38	809,190	1.97	331,483	164,174	42,327	9,821	100.82
Westminster (Atlanta)	5-AAA	1-0	75.09	810,343	1.95	327,040	158,457	40,249	8,883	111.57
Thomson	4-AAA	1-0	71.62	988,095	2.19	380,299	149,712	23,450	4,290	232.10
Monroe Area	8-AAA	1-0	70.50	941,770	1.96	242,947	65,540	11,083	1,662	600.68
White County	7-AAA	0-1	67.97	980,742	1.39	95,762	37,043	4,333	557	1,794.33
Hart County	8-AAA	1-0	67.31	889,635	1.66	177,342	40,074	4,479	528	1,892.94
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	0-1	68.78	359,774	0.67	69,326	26,368	3,170	429	2,330.00
Burke County	4-AAA	0-0	66.83	953,167	1.55	155,798	39,543	4,140	427	2,340.92
Mary Persons	2-AAA	1-0	66.80	728,079	1.23	121,601	25,375	2,716	285	3,507.77
Dawson County	7-AAA	0-1	65.99	968,769	1.26	68,014	21,229	2,176	201	4,974.12
Stephens County	8-AAA	1-0	65.07	850,495	1.43	125,269	23,253	1,981	150	6,665.67
North Hall	7-AAA	1-0	64.68	952,606	1.19	54,597	14,891	1,323	115	8,694.65
Morgan County	4-AAA	0-0	62.49	849,639	1.12	56,736	9,353	636	46	21,738.13
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	0-1	63.65	505,665	0.76	56,988	9,863	634	38	26,314.79
North Murray	6-AAA	0-0	61.12	938,478	1.32	76,166	11,734	573	32	31,249.00
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-0	61.54	822,476	1.01	35,903	5,108	328	21	47,618.05
Jackson	2-AAA	0-1	61.78	400,467	0.57	34,102	4,912	252	18	55,554.56
Liberty County	3-AAA	0-1	57.73	988,305	1.71	44,033	6,277	321	11	90,908.09
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	0-1	56.22	978,245	1.59	31,474	3,817	157	6	166,665.67
Central (Macon)	2-AAA	0-1	59.38	217,688	0.29	12,553	1,386	41	4	249,999.00
Cherokee Bluff	7-AAA	1-0	54.41	779,270	0.81	6,601	490	19	3	333,332.33
Douglass	5-AAA	0-1	58.98	47,620	0.06	1,874	372	12	2	499,999.00
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	0-0	53.85	963,635	1.42	17,777	1,644	54	1	999,999.00
Adairsville	6-AAA	1-0	56.27	795,938	0.94	15,697	1,387	39	1	999,999.00
Franklin County	8-AAA	1-0	55.87	310,493	0.38	9,453	737	30	1	999,999.00
Sumter County	2-AAA	0-0	57.12	143,477	0.18	5,443	481	10	-	-
Sonoraville	6-AAA	1-0	52.47	527,736	0.57	3,094	177	5	-	-
West Hall	7-AAA	1-0	48.92	235,669	0.24	635	18	1	-	-
Harlem	4-AAA	0-0	50.13	158,083	0.16	342	15	1	-	-
Tattnall County	1-AAA	1-0	44.52	916,199	1.09	1,666	37	-	-	-
Ringgold	6-AAA	0-0	49.99	378,484	0.40	1,104	35	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-AAA	0-0	43.71	887,306	1.04	1,505	30	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	0-0	51.52	226,848	0.24	762	30	-	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	0-0	47.92	214,355	0.22	361	9	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	0-0	42.64	573,824	0.61	316	7	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	0-0	40.55	424,397	0.44	158	1	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	0-0	44.39	90,584	0.09	39	1	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	0-1	47.90	10,836	0.01	58	-	-	-	-
Gilmer	7-AAA	0-0	41.19	52,699	0.05	25	-	-	-	-
Long County	1-AAA	0-1	31.21	196,554	0.20	21	-	-	-	-
Salem	5-AAA	1-0	49.20	3,431	0.00	17	-	-	-	-
Murray County	6-AAA	1-0	41.57	36,856	0.04	9	-	-	-	-
East Jackson	8-AAA	0-1	39.11	8,548	0.01	5	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-AAA	0-0	30.94	67,410	0.07	1	-	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	1-0	38.76	17,888	0.02	1	-	-	-	-
Redan	5-AAA	0-0	43.08	259	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
East Forsyth	7-AAA	0-1	28.21	28,610	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-1	20.37	4,184	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	0-1	33.57	1,692	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	0-1	30.14	1,635	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Pierce County	732,426	265,026	2,472	73	999,997	3
1-AAA	Appling County	267,030	713,988	18,130	796	999,944	56
1-AAA	Tattnall County	295	10,345	530,591	374,968	916,199	83,801
1-AAA	Brantley County	246	10,127	411,496	465,437	887,306	112,694
1-AAA	Long County	3	514	37,311	158,726	196,554	803,446
2-AAA	Peach County	602,510	332,614	54,244	8,668	998,036	1,964
2-AAA	Crisp County	370,311	514,331	94,737	16,373	995,752	4,248
2-AAA	Mary Persons	19,310	90,074	377,939	240,756	728,079	271,921
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	4,916	33,440	202,823	264,486	505,665	494,335
2-AAA	Jackson	2,001	18,276	149,514	230,676	400,467	599,533
2-AAA	Central (Macon)	673	7,601	73,302	136,112	217,688	782,312
2-AAA	Sumter County	276	3,610	45,307	94,284	143,477	856,523
2-AAA	Pike County	3	54	2,134	8,645	10,836	989,164
3-AAA	Liberty County	421,604	322,411	195,353	48,937	988,305	11,695
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	337,585	314,243	251,445	74,972	978,245	21,755
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	221,604	295,723	333,478	112,830	963,635	36,365
3-AAA	Beach	12,695	41,860	128,297	390,972	573,824	426,176
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	6,385	24,512	83,007	310,493	424,397	575,603
3-AAA	Savannah	127	1,232	8,227	57,824	67,410	932,590
3-AAA	Groves	-	19	193	3,972	4,184	995,816
4-AAA	Thomson	566,372	261,673	114,995	45,055	988,095	11,905
4-AAA	Burke County	236,403	336,601	248,562	131,601	953,167	46,833
4-AAA	Morgan County	122,101	216,758	276,446	234,334	849,639	150,361
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	69,575	156,726	272,131	324,044	822,476	177,524
4-AAA	Hephzibah	3,319	17,173	52,144	154,212	226,848	773,152
4-AAA	Harlem	2,230	11,064	35,563	109,226	158,083	841,917
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	5	159	1,528	1,692	998,308
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	687,376	232,859	59,787	17,087	997,109	2,891
5-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	225,894	458,990	207,882	79,508	972,274	27,726
5-AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	41,201	141,044	321,216	306,882	810,343	189,657
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	41,109	135,361	305,748	326,972	809,190	190,810
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	4,365	30,500	95,796	229,113	359,774	640,226
5-AAA	Douglass	55	1,229	9,196	37,140	47,620	952,380
5-AAA	Salem	-	16	357	3,058	3,431	996,569
5-AAA	Redan	-	1	18	240	259	999,741
6-AAA	Rockmart	884,094	101,389	12,333	1,865	999,681	319
6-AAA	North Murray	82,655	523,315	234,936	97,572	938,478	61,522
6-AAA	Adairsville	22,461	219,203	343,857	210,417	795,938	204,062
6-AAA	Sonoraville	7,244	80,896	185,010	254,586	527,736	472,264
6-AAA	Ringgold	2,275	44,824	123,132	208,253	378,484	621,516
6-AAA	LaFayette	1,037	21,881	64,514	126,923	214,355	785,645
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	194	6,160	23,708	60,522	90,584	909,416
6-AAA	Murray County	37	1,810	8,857	26,152	36,856	963,144
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	3	522	3,653	13,710	17,888	982,112
7-AAA	White County	404,245	297,148	197,137	82,212	980,742	19,258
7-AAA	Dawson County	286,266	299,491	259,062	123,950	968,769	31,231
7-AAA	North Hall	237,688	271,332	293,335	150,251	952,606	47,394
7-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	42,273	113,770	198,350	424,877	779,270	220,730
7-AAA	East Forsyth	25,986	2,624	-	-	28,610	971,390
7-AAA	West Hall	3,414	14,513	45,717	172,025	235,669	764,331
7-AAA	Gilmer	127	1,117	6,275	45,180	52,699	947,301
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	1	5	124	1,505	1,635	998,365
8-AAA	Oconee County	782,924	170,267	34,988	10,880	999,059	941
8-AAA	Monroe Area	105,478	386,341	286,583	163,368	941,770	58,230
8-AAA	Hart County	67,389	239,411	324,541	258,294	889,635	110,365
8-AAA	Stephens County	42,251	177,293	283,782	347,169	850,495	149,505
8-AAA	Franklin County	1,955	26,621	68,966	212,951	310,493	689,507
8-AAA	East Jackson	3	67	1,140	7,338	8,548	991,452

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Callaway	5-AA	1-0	80.56	998,366	3.95	798,341	694,709	486,059	310,400	2.22
Fitzgerald	1-AA	0-0	80.49	998,486	3.59	768,276	551,395	399,790	249,794	3.00
Rabun County	8-AA	0-1	77.94	999,989	3.61	851,633	467,785	340,803	181,002	4.52
Thomasville	1-AA	1-0	77.15	994,924	3.16	644,330	446,483	269,410	131,269	6.62
Lovett	6-AA	0-1	70.68	997,056	3.04	663,235	350,596	114,709	37,729	25.50
Dodge County	3-AA	1-0	69.89	973,258	2.11	307,938	181,787	59,940	18,186	53.99
Jefferson County	4-AA	0-1	68.52	999,917	2.50	479,803	199,853	66,039	18,020	54.49
Pace Academy	6-AA	0-0	66.01	984,783	2.44	455,032	170,157	40,092	8,719	113.69
Bremen	5-AA	1-0	67.15	914,425	2.08	275,222	132,659	37,132	8,561	115.81
Washington County	3-AA	0-0	67.69	941,467	1.74	209,875	109,332	31,163	7,909	125.44
Bleckley County	3-AA	1-0	67.51	935,685	1.68	196,047	100,251	28,505	7,066	140.52
Vidalia	2-AA	0-0	64.64	951,575	2.17	338,194	87,574	23,566	4,444	224.02
Heard County	5-AA	1-0	65.45	881,137	1.83	204,088	86,945	20,989	4,135	240.84
Northeast	3-AA	1-0	65.08	873,315	1.34	119,168	49,962	12,073	2,483	401.74
Jeff Davis	2-AA	1-0	62.89	920,414	1.98	279,167	63,319	14,552	2,466	404.52
Swainsboro	2-AA	0-1	62.00	918,159	1.90	247,025	52,472	10,914	1,600	624.00
Toombs County	2-AA	0-1	61.75	901,386	1.84	234,505	48,889	9,921	1,447	690.09
Early County	1-AA	1-0	63.36	840,673	1.27	93,899	37,229	7,138	1,260	792.65
Haralson County	5-AA	1-0	62.29	811,610	1.46	112,646	37,594	6,930	1,067	936.21
Fannin County	7-AA	1-0	61.58	988,064	1.56	90,102	29,132	5,600	845	1,182.43
Pepperell	7-AA	0-1	60.81	984,927	1.50	75,550	22,616	3,996	530	1,885.79
Cook	1-AA	0-1	61.59	769,638	1.09	66,704	22,540	3,427	447	2,236.14
Elbert County	8-AA	0-1	58.74	991,316	1.68	174,337	23,511	3,963	384	2,603.17
Union County	8-AA	0-1	56.78	984,336	1.49	113,747	13,456	1,787	139	7,193.24
South Atlanta	6-AA	0-1	53.86	674,126	0.89	41,732	3,740	312	26	38,460.54
Washington	6-AA	1-0	53.99	679,068	0.90	42,442	3,892	360	24	41,665.67
Temple	5-AA	0-1	55.12	394,462	0.56	15,317	2,735	237	16	62,499.00
Putnam County	4-AA	0-0	52.22	972,951	1.25	34,155	3,664	228	15	66,665.67
Columbia	6-AA	0-1	52.20	563,666	0.70	23,593	1,844	145	9	111,110.11
Worth County	1-AA	1-0	53.83	283,501	0.33	6,082	1,049	64	3	333,332.33
Lamar County	3-AA	1-0	52.24	173,576	0.19	1,636	189	12	2	499,999.00
Laney	4-AA	1-0	44.44	805,468	0.88	5,679	175	7	2	499,999.00
Model	7-AA	0-1	51.33	806,051	0.91	8,655	1,112	79	1	999,999.00
Bacon County	2-AA	0-1	49.61	263,302	0.34	7,702	496	34	-	-
Chattooga	7-AA	0-1	49.36	711,307	0.78	4,617	514	18	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	0-0	44.20	786,833	0.86	5,204	166	3	-	-
Berrien	1-AA	1-0	48.29	112,778	0.12	711	61	2	-	-
Southwest	3-AA	0-0	49.60	81,353	0.09	457	41	1	-	-
Banks County	8-AA	0-1	40.53	596,543	0.62	1,590	40	-	-	-
Coosa	7-AA	0-0	40.99	199,252	0.20	158	10	-	-	-
Riverside Military Academy	8-AA	0-0	36.61	427,816	0.44	437	7	-	-	-
East Laurens	2-AA	1-0	41.79	45,164	0.05	237	7	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-1	35.44	237,579	0.24	229	4	-	-	-
Dade County	7-AA	1-0	39.06	129,354	0.13	40	3	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	0-1	40.06	46,030	0.05	106	2	-	-	-
Therrell	6-AA	0-0	40.59	52,782	0.05	138	1	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	4-AA	0-0	31.99	110,156	0.11	61	1	-	-	-
Jasper County	3-AA	0-1	44.23	21,346	0.02	34	1	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-1	40.57	181,045	0.18	107	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-0	29.72	57,209	0.06	13	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-0	26.94	29,887	0.03	2	-	-	-	-
Towers	6-AA	0-1	31.34	2,408	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
McNair	6-AA	0-0	23.48	81	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Fitzgerald	624,421	308,948	54,422	10,695	998,486	1,514
1-AA	Thomasville	333,493	496,231	134,447	30,753	994,924	5,076
1-AA	Early County	23,561	108,912	408,985	299,215	840,673	159,327
1-AA	Cook	17,371	74,547	299,732	377,988	769,638	230,362
1-AA	Worth County	1,045	9,649	78,126	194,681	283,501	716,499
1-AA	Berrien	109	1,713	24,288	86,668	112,778	887,222
2-AA	Vidalia	296,944	261,056	226,407	167,168	951,575	48,425
2-AA	Jeff Davis	259,272	247,515	227,689	185,938	920,414	79,586
2-AA	Swainsboro	224,646	237,329	243,258	212,926	918,159	81,841
2-AA	Toombs County	211,125	228,232	240,417	221,612	901,386	98,614
2-AA	Bacon County	7,657	24,071	54,803	176,771	263,302	736,698
2-AA	East Laurens	356	1,797	7,426	35,585	45,164	954,836
3-AA	Dodge County	402,325	275,218	184,969	110,746	973,258	26,742
3-AA	Washington County	249,298	271,384	245,329	175,456	941,467	58,533
3-AA	Bleckley County	218,008	254,693	263,221	199,763	935,685	64,315
3-AA	Northeast	126,139	181,237	253,725	312,214	873,315	126,685
3-AA	Lamar County	3,310	12,869	35,149	122,248	173,576	826,424
3-AA	Southwest	829	4,084	14,572	61,868	81,353	918,647
3-AA	Jasper County	91	515	3,035	17,705	21,346	978,654
4-AA	Jefferson County	896,336	93,972	8,383	1,226	999,917	83
4-AA	Putnam County	77,761	564,575	240,355	90,260	972,951	27,049
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	15,026	171,412	318,289	282,106	786,833	213,167
4-AA	Laney	10,278	147,906	323,798	323,486	805,468	194,532
4-AA	Butler	505	14,683	65,112	157,279	237,579	762,421
4-AA	Oglethorpe County	67	5,168	26,503	78,418	110,156	889,844
4-AA	Glenn Hills	20	1,613	12,036	43,540	57,209	942,791
4-AA	Josey	7	671	5,524	23,685	29,887	970,113
5-AA	Callaway	759,603	186,055	40,216	12,492	998,366	1,634
5-AA	Bremen	118,560	338,982	279,565	177,318	914,425	85,575
5-AA	Heard County	80,574	263,604	312,905	224,054	881,137	118,863
5-AA	Haralson County	36,672	169,070	272,330	333,538	811,610	188,390
5-AA	Temple	4,591	42,289	94,984	252,598	394,462	605,538
6-AA	Lovett	598,592	322,356	62,968	13,140	997,056	2,944
6-AA	Pace Academy	351,641	443,701	144,725	44,716	984,783	15,217
6-AA	South Atlanta	20,101	87,056	276,241	290,728	674,126	325,874
6-AA	Washington	18,976	87,028	281,408	291,656	679,068	320,932
6-AA	Columbia	10,588	57,863	211,833	283,382	563,666	436,334
6-AA	Therrell	59	1,046	12,225	39,452	52,782	947,218
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	43	938	10,275	34,774	46,030	953,970
6-AA	Towers	-	12	318	2,078	2,408	997,592
6-AA	McNair	-	-	7	74	81	999,919
7-AA	Fannin County	499,137	324,141	125,358	39,428	988,064	11,936
7-AA	Pepperell	396,328	386,373	151,873	50,353	984,927	15,073
7-AA	Model	62,212	149,430	322,842	271,567	806,051	193,949
7-AA	Chattooga	37,728	111,783	266,603	295,193	711,307	288,693
7-AA	Coosa	2,054	11,913	53,135	132,150	199,252	800,748
7-AA	Gordon Central	1,647	10,142	47,508	121,748	181,045	818,955
7-AA	Dade County	894	6,218	32,681	89,561	129,354	870,646
8-AA	Rabun County	904,228	85,926	9,316	519	999,989	11
8-AA	Elbert County	53,214	527,899	361,498	48,705	991,316	8,684
8-AA	Union County	41,841	361,360	505,014	76,121	984,336	15,664
8-AA	Banks County	610	17,640	80,256	498,037	596,543	403,457
8-AA	Riverside Military Academy	107	7,175	43,916	376,618	427,816	572,184

Class A Public

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A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Irwin County	2-A Public	0-0	82.56	998,557	4.41	902,590	847,749	699,667	484,486	1.06
Brooks County	2-A Public	0-1	79.85	996,151	4.13	846,037	765,537	583,772	312,969	2.20
Dublin	4-A Public	0-0	73.05	999,161	3.19	662,525	571,336	209,596	80,501	11.42
Clinch County	2-A Public	0-1	72.92	964,592	3.06	638,855	498,342	203,351	68,819	13.53
Metter	3-A Public	1-0	66.37	992,530	2.98	717,972	267,194	80,933	17,133	57.37
Commerce	8-A Public	1-0	67.28	999,496	2.36	227,475	158,753	61,821	14,214	69.35
Pelham	1-A Public	1-0	64.40	999,820	2.69	649,432	161,655	51,801	9,135	108.47
Wilcox County	4-A Public	0-0	62.06	958,437	1.49	174,439	93,192	16,641	2,402	415.32
Mitchell County	1-A Public	0-1	60.16	996,597	2.27	458,560	113,175	15,447	2,036	490.16
Macon County	5-A Public	1-0	60.26	872,573	2.10	389,993	67,252	14,324	1,868	534.33
Turner County	2-A Public	0-1	61.63	627,016	1.02	124,536	64,517	9,782	1,349	740.29
Marion County	5-A Public	0-1	59.09	858,941	2.03	365,985	54,945	11,057	1,232	810.69
Lincoln County	8-A Public	0-0	59.18	991,729	1.91	107,277	53,340	8,845	1,083	922.36
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Public	0-1	58.73	992,492	1.89	100,610	49,121	7,690	863	1,157.75
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Public	0-0-1	57.25	882,511	1.76	283,219	40,702	6,006	593	1,685.34
Manchester	5-A Public	0-0	56.28	719,521	1.50	209,859	28,051	3,735	310	3,224.81
Bowdon	6-A Public	1-0	55.67	958,336	1.69	94,646	34,183	3,806	295	3,388.83
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Public	1-0	55.39	805,817	1.44	192,428	23,965	2,751	211	4,738.34
Chattahoochee County	5-A Public	1-0	54.78	605,564	1.20	146,348	17,462	1,946	140	7,141.86
Warren County	7-A Public	1-0	53.79	999,002	1.64	157,291	22,530	1,967	115	8,694.65
Schley County	5-A Public	1-0	53.72	550,195	1.05	117,559	13,157	1,275	78	12,819.51
Johnson County	4-A Public	0-0	53.77	659,949	0.72	15,893	4,765	488	31	32,257.06
Taylor County	5-A Public	1-0	52.31	379,970	0.69	67,024	6,258	560	29	34,481.76
Atkinson County	2-A Public	1-0	54.23	185,635	0.23	11,422	3,691	256	22	45,453.55
Charlton County	2-A Public	0-0	54.44	180,258	0.22	11,747	3,899	293	20	49,999.00
Hancock Central	7-A Public	0-0	50.33	996,061	1.44	86,045	8,197	537	18	55,554.56
Gordon Lee	6-A Public	0-1	50.22	860,705	1.21	26,843	6,483	395	12	83,332.33
Telfair County	4-A Public	0-0	52.16	584,778	0.63	10,923	2,920	269	10	99,999.00
Mount Zion (Carroll)	6-A Public	1-0	49.50	821,953	1.11	19,915	4,644	281	8	124,999.00
Screven County	3-A Public	0-0	49.70	513,404	0.70	44,477	2,950	187	7	142,856.14
Claxton	3-A Public	0-1	49.89	535,138	0.76	52,498	3,775	242	4	249,999.00
Dooly County	4-A Public	1-0	50.43	461,983	0.48	4,815	1,076	89	2	499,999.00
Trion	6-A Public	0-0	46.71	693,622	0.86	8,322	1,472	57	2	499,999.00
Terrell County	1-A Public	1-0	45.22	717,541	0.85	22,394	818	28	2	499,999.00
Jenkins County	3-A Public	0-1	46.06	262,806	0.33	11,769	524	18	1	999,999.00
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-A Public	0-1	46.22	633,462	0.77	6,031	1,027	38	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Public	0-0	48.24	300,543	0.31	1,747	325	18	-	-
Miller County	1-A Public	0-1	43.15	754,705	0.87	15,809	494	17	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Public	1-0	48.70	47,791	0.05	949	198	6	-	-
Seminole County	1-A Public	0-1	38.21	505,558	0.54	3,124	70	4	-	-
Social Circle	8-A Public	1-0	38.94	458,259	0.53	1,516	106	2	-	-
Wilkinson County	7-A Public	0-0	37.60	935,495	1.01	5,224	88	1	-	-
Towns County	8-A Public	1-0	35.52	264,731	0.29	380	17	1	-	-
Greene County	8-A Public	0-0	36.01	293,293	0.33	491	21	-	-	-
Georgia Military College	7-A Public	1-0	35.24	810,742	0.86	2,749	19	-	-	-
Greenville	5-A Public	1-0	37.90	13,229	0.02	197	4	-	-	-
Hawkinsville	4-A Public	0-0	39.16	27,090	0.03	14	1	-	-	-
ACE Charter	7-A Public	0-1	22.77	128,912	0.13	17	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	7-A Public	0-1	22.49	100,488	0.10	11	-	-	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Public	1-0	31.58	5,674	0.01	9	-	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Public	0-0	22.23	25,779	0.03	4	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	7-A Public	0-1	19.31	29,300	0.03	2	-	-	-	-
Armuchee	6-A Public	0-0	28.98	31,922	0.03	1	-	-	-	-
Wheeler County	4-A Public	0-0	34.27	5,105	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Portal	3-A Public	0-0	28.98	2,120	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Public	0-1	33.03	2,954	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	5-A Public	0-1	20.59	7	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Public	0-0	20.88	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Public	0-0	16.57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Glascock County	7-A Public	0-0	14.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
GSIC	7-A Public	0-0	-1.67	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Public	Mitchell County	495,517	434,761	55,349	12,735	998,362	1,638
1-A Public	Pelham	484,175	442,784	62,865	8,829	998,653	1,347
1-A Public	Miller County	9,819	61,450	361,594	336,434	769,297	230,703
1-A Public	Terrell County	9,296	47,130	330,144	313,726	700,296	299,704
1-A Public	Seminole County	1,193	13,819	184,284	308,051	507,347	492,653
1-A Public	Randolph-Clay	-	56	5,764	20,225	26,045	973,955
1-A Public	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Public	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Public	Irwin County	545,836	318,774	118,591	15,189	998,390	1,610
2-A Public	Brooks County	338,254	407,261	222,014	29,454	996,983	3,017
2-A Public	Clinch County	110,616	245,333	477,008	138,521	971,478	28,522
2-A Public	Turner County	4,877	24,301	140,374	491,162	660,714	339,286
2-A Public	Charlton County	249	2,439	22,273	145,655	170,616	829,384
2-A Public	Atkinson County	160	1,684	16,714	141,375	159,933	840,067
2-A Public	Lanier County	8	208	3,026	38,644	41,886	958,114
3-A Public	Metter	720,675	189,373	61,225	20,212	991,485	8,515
3-A Public	McIntosh County Academy	132,992	326,745	245,069	155,633	860,439	139,561
3-A Public	Emanuel County Institute	75,624	217,837	258,864	213,564	765,889	234,111
3-A Public	Claxton	42,912	137,919	196,077	230,822	607,730	392,270
3-A Public	Screven County	19,914	88,496	157,535	233,791	499,736	500,264
3-A Public	Jenkins County	7,881	39,572	80,805	143,216	271,474	728,526
3-A Public	Portal	2	43	307	1,838	2,190	997,810
3-A Public	Bryan County	-	15	118	924	1,057	998,943
4-A Public	Dublin	820,457	153,493	21,722	3,618	999,290	710
4-A Public	Wilcox County	144,381	543,912	199,431	74,685	962,409	37,591
4-A Public	Johnson County	15,748	122,666	284,429	257,335	680,178	319,822
4-A Public	Telfair County	14,277	107,336	237,852	244,781	604,246	395,754
4-A Public	Dooly County	3,185	41,956	140,262	210,537	395,940	604,060
4-A Public	Montgomery County	1,917	29,467	108,020	179,891	319,295	680,705
4-A Public	Hawkinsville	31	1,019	6,627	21,409	29,086	970,914
4-A Public	Wheeler County	4	80	960	4,539	5,583	994,417
4-A Public	Treutlen	-	71	697	3,205	3,973	996,027
5-A Public	Marion County	424,341	226,231	149,204	101,486	901,262	98,738
5-A Public	Macon County	253,653	257,806	196,059	139,862	847,380	152,620
5-A Public	Manchester	134,886	192,477	207,598	193,055	728,016	271,984
5-A Public	Chattahoochee County	78,816	137,930	168,011	208,226	592,983	407,017
5-A Public	Schley County	60,225	113,008	148,940	200,732	522,905	477,095
5-A Public	Taylor County	48,027	72,242	128,452	150,826	399,547	600,453
5-A Public	Greenville	52	306	1,735	5,801	7,894	992,106
5-A Public	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	1	12	13	999,987
6-A Public	Bowdon	417,318	261,192	163,834	99,663	942,007	57,993
6-A Public	Gordon Lee	249,825	249,283	215,297	163,463	877,868	122,132
6-A Public	Mount Zion (Carroll)	156,499	208,048	226,486	211,104	802,137	197,863
6-A Public	B.E.S.T. Academy	90,233	142,269	197,975	256,251	686,728	313,272
6-A Public	Trion	85,914	138,097	190,969	249,232	664,212	335,788
6-A Public	Armuchee	211	1,111	5,439	20,287	27,048	972,952
7-A Public	Warren County	530,538	368,002	86,959	13,715	999,214	786
7-A Public	Hancock Central	388,827	430,936	147,165	30,225	997,153	2,847
7-A Public	Wilkinson County	73,574	160,376	524,851	179,339	938,140	61,860
7-A Public	Georgia Military College	6,816	36,297	185,450	464,147	692,710	307,290
7-A Public	ACE Charter	132	2,174	28,209	145,712	176,227	823,773
7-A Public	Crawford County	58	1,222	14,507	97,219	113,006	886,994
7-A Public	Twiggs County	55	993	12,859	69,643	83,550	916,450
7-A Public	Glascock County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Public	GSIC	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-A Public	Commerce	628,615	260,155	106,127	4,785	999,682	318
8-A Public	Washington-Wilkes	188,707	394,982	382,072	30,232	995,993	4,007
8-A Public	Lincoln County	181,856	336,506	431,361	44,007	993,730	6,270
8-A Public	Social Circle	418	4,119	37,508	388,989	431,034	568,966
8-A Public	Greene County	340	3,130	29,556	334,465	367,491	632,509
8-A Public	Towns County	64	1,108	13,376	197,522	212,070	787,930

Class A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-A Private	0-1	82.11	1,000,000	3.90	720,062	629,316	562,253	401,804	1.49
Prince Avenue Christian	8-A Private	0-1	78.41	999,900	3.56	645,709	562,996	420,643	234,646	3.26
Athens Academy	8-A Private	0-1	75.35	999,628	3.10	514,868	422,088	285,825	129,546	6.72
Fellowship Christian	6-A Private	1-0	73.42	999,981	3.58	804,134	609,678	287,472	115,088	7.69
Wesleyan	5-A Private	1-0	71.14	998,853	2.84	653,686	219,121	118,137	44,498	21.47
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-A Private	1-0	67.49	1,000,000	2.27	600,315	408,755	96,951	28,654	33.90
Savannah Christian	3-A Private	0-1	66.23	1,000,000	2.50	465,573	152,066	45,267	11,331	87.25
Holy Innocents	5-A Private	0-0	65.09	992,056	2.29	428,274	123,110	32,439	7,458	133.08
Calvary Day	3-A Private	1-0	64.35	1,000,000	2.34	399,596	114,485	28,482	5,959	166.81
Christian Heritage	7-A Private	0-1	63.63	990,347	2.31	418,483	149,556	28,797	5,888	168.84
Darlington	7-A Private	0-0	62.73	987,338	2.17	368,310	124,568	22,133	4,246	234.52
North Cobb Christian	7-A Private	1-0	62.46	983,087	2.16	365,988	124,875	21,310	4,170	238.81
Hebron Christian	5-A Private	0-0	60.16	980,288	1.90	265,147	70,876	9,221	1,379	724.16
George Walton Academy	8-A Private	0-1	63.04	990,852	1.26	51,983	24,471	7,549	1,373	727.33
Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5-A Private	0-1	59.87	978,430	1.89	259,852	70,254	8,854	1,251	798.36
Whitefield Academy	2-A Private	1-0	59.20	1,000,000	1.91	86,832	36,034	7,553	887	1,126.40
Aquinas	3-A Private	0-0	58.09	1,000,000	1.84	198,807	36,194	4,540	532	1,878.70
Stratford Academy	1-A Private	0-0	58.21	935,385	1.54	156,449	27,425	3,915	486	2,056.61
Savannah Country Day	3-A Private	1-0	57.06	1,000,000	1.76	171,223	27,537	3,160	337	2,966.36
First Presbyterian	1-A Private	1-0	55.93	888,134	1.32	96,091	14,287	1,532	168	5,951.38
Mount Paran Christian	7-A Private	1-0	55.27	908,266	1.23	77,446	11,871	1,165	125	7,999.00
Brookstone	4-A Private	1-0	52.76	1,000,000	1.52	71,758	16,913	1,179	78	12,819.51
Mount de Sales	1-A Private	1-0	53.95	802,766	1.10	57,143	7,201	599	39	25,640.03
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Private	0-1	52.72	976,330	1.07	26,891	5,776	541	29	34,481.76
Tattnall Square	1-A Private	0-0	50.96	650,694	0.81	24,097	2,291	135	9	111,110.11
St. Anne-Pacelli	4-A Private	1-0	48.17	1,000,000	1.26	20,056	2,968	129	7	142,856.14
Athens Christian	8-A Private	1-0	48.88	764,552	0.83	16,611	2,042	99	5	199,999.00
Heritage (Newnan)	4-A Private	0-1	47.12	1,000,000	1.22	15,304	2,105	90	5	199,999.00
Deerfield-Windsor	1-A Private	0-1	47.90	453,421	0.53	7,940	570	21	2	499,999.00
Landmark Christian	2-A Private	0-1	40.91	1,000,000	1.20	6,530	350	5	-	-
Strong Rock Christian	1-A Private	0-1	43.96	269,600	0.30	1,884	84	4	-	-
Lakeview Academy	6-A Private	0-1	41.35	685,146	0.69	869	48	-	-	-
St. Francis	6-A Private	0-1	41.33	720,516	0.73	650	45	-	-	-
Loganville Christian	8-A Private	0-1	38.72	245,068	0.25	812	26	-	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Private	0-0	38.35	618,027	0.62	352	13	-	-	-
Providence Christian	5-A Private	1-0	35.22	50,373	0.05	87	5	-	-	-
Walker	7-A Private	0-1	38.52	130,962	0.13	188	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Private	Stratford Academy	419,114	259,333	166,524	90,414	935,385	64,615
1-A Private	First Presbyterian	266,222	268,587	216,065	137,260	888,134	111,866
1-A Private	Mount de Sales	177,236	212,011	227,172	186,347	802,766	197,234
1-A Private	Tattnall Square	87,812	147,631	190,703	224,548	650,694	349,306
1-A Private	Deerfield-Windsor	37,663	78,266	127,828	209,664	453,421	546,579
1-A Private	Strong Rock Christian	11,953	34,172	71,708	151,767	269,600	730,400
2-A Private	Eagle's Landing Christian	943,271	56,328	401	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Whitefield Academy	56,138	842,172	101,690	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Landmark Christian	591	101,500	897,909	-	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Christian	419,985	315,187	166,886	97,942	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Calvary Day	347,407	309,799	203,513	139,281	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Aquinas	128,738	209,500	330,030	331,732	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Country Day	103,870	165,514	299,571	431,045	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	815,019	154,927	22,450	7,604	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Brookstone	114,399	433,792	278,351	173,458	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Heritage (Newnan)	35,422	185,381	349,354	429,843	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	St. Anne-Pacelli	35,160	225,900	349,845	389,095	1,000,000	-
5-A Private	Wesleyan	606,543	258,914	90,086	43,310	998,853	1,147
5-A Private	Holy Innocents	220,714	372,184	249,927	149,231	992,056	7,944
5-A Private	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	91,957	177,185	310,992	398,296	978,430	21,570
5-A Private	Hebron Christian	80,760	191,107	346,545	361,876	980,288	19,712
5-A Private	Providence Christian	26	610	2,450	47,287	50,373	949,627
6-A Private	Fellowship Christian	922,523	74,788	2,357	313	999,981	19
6-A Private	Mount Pisgah Christian	69,315	656,127	197,317	53,571	976,330	23,670
6-A Private	Lakeview Academy	3,789	91,754	270,913	318,690	685,146	314,854
6-A Private	St. Francis	2,824	100,299	304,312	313,081	720,516	279,484
6-A Private	King's Ridge Christian	1,549	77,032	225,101	314,345	618,027	381,973
7-A Private	Christian Heritage	317,633	303,832	244,151	124,731	990,347	9,653
7-A Private	North Cobb Christian	313,453	282,258	236,802	150,574	983,087	16,913
7-A Private	Darlington	294,376	283,497	250,696	158,769	987,338	12,662
7-A Private	Mount Paran Christian	74,227	127,711	257,466	448,862	908,266	91,734
7-A Private	Walker	311	2,702	10,885	117,064	130,962	869,038
8-A Private	Prince Avenue Christian	545,721	386,242	63,783	4,154	999,900	100
8-A Private	Athens Academy	421,294	467,355	102,875	8,104	999,628	372
8-A Private	George Walton Academy	31,857	138,291	718,105	102,599	990,852	9,148
8-A Private	Athens Christian	1,111	7,606	102,433	653,402	764,552	235,448
8-A Private	Loganville Christian	17	506	12,804	231,741	245,068	754,932

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 2

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