Now that the Braves have dispatched the Nationals yet again and bounced back from a series loss to the Mets to post a 4-2 record on their first homestand, it’s back on the road to face a couple of other NL East rivals in Philly beginning tonight and New York beginning Friday.
And while the Nats are the Braves’ primary, and probably only, competition for the division title this year, the Phillies and Mets have proven to be tougher opponents in head-to-head competition over the past two or three seasons than the Nationals, whom the Braves have beaten in 22 of their past 29 meetings
Not just beaten – the Braves have a 2.05 ERA in those 29 games against the Nats, who’ve hit just .216 while averaging about 2.5 runs in those games. One of those baseball things that you just can’t really explain. At this point there is no doubt the Braves are in the Nats’ noggins, but we know how quickly that can change and how things can balance out.
The Braves need to be at their best the next time they face the Nats, just as they were this weekend in Atlanta. Keep hammering them head-to-head and the chances of defending the division title look pretty good for the Bravos.
The Nationals will have two-plus months to think about it and try to get healthy before they face the Braves again in a four-game series June 19-22 in D.C. In the meantime, they can stew over how the Braves turned a two-game deficit into a one-game lead over the Nats with the weekend sweep in Atlanta that also gave the Braves a stunning 10-1 record against them over the past two Aprils.
Now it’s on to face the Phillies, who had their half-decade run of the NL East but have just mostly old and ill-conceived as a unit for a couple of years. While the Braves haven’t dominated them quite like they have the Nats of late, Atlanta is 22-12 with a 3.23 ERA in its past 34 games against the Phillies, going back to the beginning of July 2012.
However, the Phillies won four of the last seven games between the teams in 2013, including a three-game sweep here in Philly Sept. 6-8. And the Phillies will be jacked up and ready to keep a good thing going after completing a Chase Utley-fueled sweep of the Marlins over the weekend to even their record at 6-6, one game behind the second-place Nats and two behind the Braves.
While the Braves have two of the majors’ hottest hitters in Freddie Freeman and Justin Upton, the latter of whom seems likely to win the NL Player of the Week award that will be announced later today, it’s the Phillies who have the major league leader in batting average, OBP, slugging percentage and OPS. All the same guy: Chase Utley.
He’s turned back the clock so far this season, finally healthy and playing like the Utley of several years ago. The second baseman is batting a ridiculous .500 with a .565 OBP and .875 slugging percentage, for a tidy 1.440 OPS.
Freeman is third in the majors in average (.442) and second in the other three categories: OBP (.519), slugging (.814) and OPS (1.333).
Meanwhile, Justin Upton has been even hotter the past week than both of them.
In his past past 8 games, J-Up has hit .552 (16-for-29) with 4 HR, a .629 OBP and a 1.034 slugging percentage, and in his past four games he has 11 hits, four homers and eight RBIs.
I would think he’ll be NL Player of the Week over Utley and the Dodgers’ Adrian Gonzalez, who was a one-man wrecking crew with three homers and 10 RBIs in a three-game weekend sweep at Arizona. Thing is, Upton has a higher average, OBP and slugging percentage than Gonzalez over the past week, and the same number of doubles (two) and homers (four).
This series in Philly will feature hitters with three of the five highest OPS in the majors, with Upton fifth at 1.175.
By the way, in his past 15 games against the Nationals, Justin Upton is 28-for-60 (.487) with four doubles, six homers, 12 RBIs, a .543 OBP and an .833 slugging percentage.
