It’s hard to say. I love polls, all kinds of polls. Karen Handel won the straw poll in Columbus for a governor’s race that is not happening until November 2010. Next weekend, the well-respected Family Research Council Values Voter Summit will take the first straw poll for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination. Straw polls depend on how well you mobilize your folks at the meeting. I’m predicting a three-way contest between Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin. Rick Santorum is a favorite with this crowd, so he is one to watch, too.
This primary will be a battle leading up to 2012. If conservatives act like conservatives, and their walk matches their talk, they will pick up seats in the House and Senate in 2010. They might even win back the House depending on how health care reform is handled. And in 2012, there will be a battle royal for the Republican, and maybe the Democrat, presidential nomination.