Study: Gwinnett will have highest metro Atlanta population by 2050

Food trucks in downtown Lilburn last year. (Credit: Facebook photo)

Food trucks in downtown Lilburn last year. (Credit: Facebook photo)

Gwinnett is expected to overtake Fulton for the distinction of metro Atlanta’s most populous county by 2050, according to new data from the Atlanta Regional Commission.

Over the next 30 years, Gwinnett will add 589,000 people and reach a population of 1.48 million, according to the ARC’s most recent employment and population forecasts. Gwinnett is expected to follow regional trends of its population growing more diverse and having a larger share of people aged 75 and older.

READ | ARC: Metro Atlanta will be more diverse, older by 2050. Are we ready?

Gwinnett’s population in 2015 was 39% white, 26% black, 21% Hispanic, and 14% other, a category that includes people of Asian descent. That distribution will shift to 28% Hispanic, 27% black, 26% other and 18% white by 2050, according to the ARC. The population aged 75 and older is expected to grow to 13% by 2050, an increase from 3% in 2015.

Gwinnett is also expected to add more people than Fulton and surpass Fulton as the most populous county. Fulton is projected to add 462,745 people by 2050, reaching a population of 1.47 million, just under Gwinnett’s projected 1.48 million.

The ARC previously projected Gwinnett would overtake Fulton in 2040.

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