The economy has delivered a mixed message: Georgia lost 3,800 jobs in May, but the unemployment rate has dipped below 5.0 percent for the first time since October of 2007.
It was the second consecutive month of job losses after a dozen in a row with gains, the state Labor Department reported Thursday.
However, the longer-term trajectory is positive, with the unemployment rate dipping to 4.9 percent from 5.0 percent in April, a level last seen before the economy crashed nearly a decade ago, said Mark Butler, the state labor commissioner.
The state has added more than 100,000 jobs in the past year, he said. “It’s a testament to the attractiveness of Georgia’s job market when we continue to see more and more individuals enter and re-enter the job market and find employment.”
Still it was a weaker than average May (were the hiring people stuck in traffic because of the I-85 collapse?).
Here are some things to mention if you want to sound smart around the water cooler talking about Georgia’s jobless rate:
1. Dueling data. The unemployment rate and job growth numbers come from separate surveys. They don't always agree.
Sometimes that means the economy is shifting through a transition. Sometimes it doesn’t mean much. It’s just one month, after all...
2. The Big Picture. Georgia's rate a year ago was 5.3 percent. It is still above the national rate – as it has been since 2007. The U.S. rate jobless rate is 4.3 percent.
But at least during the past several years, the pace of job growth in Georgia has been more rapid than the national expansion.
3. Comparisons. It was a weaker than average May for job growth. During the five previous years, from April to May, the number of jobs in the state grew by an average of 10,600.
4. How far we've come. When things were at their weakest – coming out of the 2007-09 recession – the Georgia jobless rate was 10.5 percent – not including many tens of thousands of people who had simply given up looking for work.
The rate is now back to where it was when the recession began more than ten years ago.
5. What unemployed means. There has been nearly seven years of job growth. The number of jobs in the state has increased by a very robust 600,000. Still, in Georgia's workforce of 5 million people, there are still nearly a quarter-million Georgians actively looking for work.
That is far lower than it was during the worst of the jobs crisis. But about 30 percent of the unemployed have been looking for more than six months. And anyone not actively looking for work is not officially counted as unemployed.
6. The glass half empty. The sectors losing jobs included professional and business services – the corporate sector – which shed 4,400.
But other declines came in leisure and hospitality, which dipped 2,200, manufacturing, which was down 2,000; and information services, 1,000.
7. The glass half full.
There was growth in logistics – trade, transportation and warehousing – which added 3,400; government, which grew by 2,400 and construction, up 1,400.
The state has its own site for job seekers. Click here http://dol.georgia.gov/find-job
Change in number of Georgia jobs for May
2007 -- 5879
2008 -- 10522
2009 -- 3621
2010 -- 559
2011 -- 7750
2012 -- 341
2013 -- down 2614
2014 -- 3566
2015 -- 2508
2016 -- 8095
2017 -- down 3800
Unemployment rate in May
2007 -- 4.5 percent
2008 -- 5.9 percent
2009 -- 10.0 percent
2010 -- 10.3 percent
2011 -- 10.1 percent
2012 -- 9.2 percent
2013 -- 8.3 percent
2014 -- 7.2 percent
2015 -- 6.0 percent
2016 -- 5.3 percent
2017 -- 4.9 percent
Sources: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Georgia Department of Labor
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