Maxwell Week 5 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Sep 18

Game Rate	Class	Favorite	Percent	Margin	Opponent	Class
18.87	AAA	Southwest	74.4%	11	Jordan	AAA
18.61	AAAA	Crisp County	89.1%	21	Dougherty	AAAA
5.28	AA	Screven County	96.8%	33	Windsor Forest	AAAA

Sep 19

Game Rate	Class	Favorite	Percent	Margin	Opponent	Class
83.79	AAAAAA	McEachern	50.5%	1	Lovejoy	AAAAAA
79.73	AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	72.4%	10	Collins Hill	AAAAAA
73.70	AAAAAA	Milton	78.9%	13	Roswell	AAAAAA
71.64	AAAAAA	Grayson	85.6%	18	Parkview	AAAAAA
70.21	AAAAA	Creekside	60.5%	5	Stephenson	AAAAA
67.96	AAA	Washington County	81.2%	15	Burke County	AAAA
65.71	AAAAAA	Dacula	87.0%	19	South Gwinnett	AAAAAA
65.66	AAAAA	Coffee	66.0%	7	Glynn Academy	AAAAA
62.76	AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	65.0%	6	Shiloh	AAAAAA
60.12	AAAAAA	Lowndes	94.4%	28	Newton	AAAAAA
59.23	AAAAA	Carver (Columbus)	69.0%	8	Troup	AAAA
58.22	AAAAA	Ware County	88.8%	21	Richmond Hill	AAAAA
57.83	AAAAA	Warner Robins	63.1%	6	Houston County	AAAAA
56.55	AAAA	Cairo	68.7%	8	Westover	AAAA
56.54	AAAAA	Harris County	61.1%	5	Callaway	AAA
55.82	AAAA	Thomas County Central	81.9%	15	Bainbridge	AAAA
54.86	AAA	West Hall	57.9%	3	North Oconee	AAAA
54.78	AAAAAA	Alpharetta	89.3%	21	Lambert	AAAAAA
54.51	AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	95.3%	30	Jones County	AAAAA
54.25	AAA	Laney	50.1%	0	Elbert County	AAA
54.21	AAAAA	Brunswick	67.5%	8	Effingham County	AAAAA
53.63	AAAAA	Stockbridge	76.1%	12	Rockdale County	AAAAAA
53.53	AAAAAA	Camden County	96.9%	33	Wayne County	AAAA
51.35	AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	64.7%	6	Evans	AAAAA
51.22	AAAA	Carrollton	82.3%	16	North Hall	AAAA
50.84	AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	55.5%	3	Centennial	AAAAAA
49.44	AAAAAA	Brookwood	85.3%	18	Berkmar	AAAAAA
48.97	AAAA	Thomson	69.8%	9	Washington-Wilkes	AA
48.80	AAAA	Baldwin	59.7%	4	Thomasville	AA
48.76	AAAAA	Tri-Cities	50.5%	1	Union Grove	AAAAA
48.28	AAAA	Mary Persons	79.1%	13	LaGrange	AAAAA
46.82	AAAAA	Clarke Central	73.2%	10	Salem	AAAAA
46.64	AA	Fitzgerald	83.2%	16	Macon County	AA
46.26	AAAAAA	Norcross	97.8%	35	Mountain View	AAAAAA
46.05	AAAAAA	South Forsyth	71.0%	9	North Forsyth	AAAAAA
45.72	AAAA	Buford	99.3%	40	White County	AAAA
45.65	AAAA	Eastside	67.5%	8	Jonesboro	AAAA
45.57	AAAAAA	Mill Creek	96.3%	32	Duluth	AAAAAA
45.40	AAAAA	Flowery Branch	85.3%	18	Heritage (Conyers)	AAAAA
45.30	AA	Lovett	90.9%	23	B.E.S.T. Academy	AA
45.29	AAAAA	Dalton	84.8%	17	Cass	AAAAA
45.06	AAAAAA	Northview	79.3%	14	Johns Creek	AAAAAA
44.94	AAAAA	Rome	58.1%	4	Creekview	AAAAA
44.33	AAAAA	Miller Grove	64.9%	6	Banneker	AAAAA
43.69	AAAAA	Mundy's Mill	82.8%	16	McIntosh	AAAAA
42.96	A	Hawkinsville	54.1%	2	Brookstone	A
42.90	AAAA	Whitewater	90.3%	22	Eagle's Landing Christian	A
42.87	AAA	Jenkins	58.3%	4	Pierce County	AAA
42.35	AAAA	Grady	67.5%	8	Lithonia	AAAA
42.34	AA	Lamar County	80.0%	14	Ola	AAAAA
42.12	AA	Brooks County	90.8%	23	Perry	AAAA
41.71	AAAAA	Lanier	92.2%	24	Cedar Shoals	AAAAA
40.53	AA	Bowdon	74.0%	11	Darlington	AA
40.46	AAA	Central (Carrollton)	87.4%	19	Fayette County	AAAA
39.98	AAAAAA	Valdosta	98.1%	36	Veterans	AAAA
39.52	AAAAA	Statesboro	81.9%	15	South Effingham	AAAAA
38.70	AA	Heard County	68.8%	8	Cedartown	AAA
38.54	AAAAAA	Tift County	95.8%	30	Alcovy	AAAAAA
38.49	A	Irwin County	68.6%	8	Clinch County	A
37.31	AAA	Blessed Trinity	96.6%	32	Maynard Jackson	AAAA
36.86	AAAA	Eagle's Landing	88.6%	20	Spalding	AAAA
36.83	AAAAA	Kell	98.2%	37	Forsyth Central	AAAAA
36.42	AAAA	Arabia Mountain	79.9%	14	Chamblee	AAAA
36.25	A	Aquinas	87.9%	20	Stratford Academy	A
35.57	AAAAA	Loganville	85.2%	18	Winder-Barrow	AAAAA
34.72	AA	Dublin	74.1%	11	Bleckley County	AA
34.04	AAAAA	Dunwoody	68.3%	8	Lakeside (Atlanta)	AAAAAA
33.68	AA	Vidalia	92.1%	24	McIntosh County Academy	AA
33.52	AAAAA	Shaw	73.5%	10	Northeast	AA
32.02	AAAAAA	Colquitt County	99.8%	41	Pelham	AA
31.36	AAAA	Upson-Lee	85.5%	18	Northside (Columbus)	AAAAA
31.34	A	Calvary Day	84.5%	17	Johnson County	A
31.25	AA	Benedictine	95.5%	30	Bacon County	AA
31.12	AAAAA	Sequoyah	90.1%	22	River Ridge	AAAAA
30.58	A	Pacelli	73.3%	10	Greenville	A
30.56	AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	88.0%	20	Dade County	AA
30.42	A	Marion County	90.0%	22	Columbus	AAAAA
29.68	AAA	Decatur	83.6%	16	North Clayton	AAA
29.67	A	Emanuel County Institute	87.3%	19	Claxton	A
29.54	A	Tattnall Square	76.5%	12	Hancock Central	A
29.10	AAA	East Hall	72.2%	10	Jackson County	AAA
29.09	AAAA	Marist	99.2%	40	Stone Mountain	AAAA
28.73	AA	Jefferson County	90.2%	22	Glenn Hills	AAA
28.53	AAAA	Riverdale	83.3%	16	Walnut Grove	AAAA
28.32	AAAA	Pike County	54.0%	2	Henry County	AAAA
28.13	A	Trion	60.3%	4	Pinecrest Academy	A
28.12	AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	98.0%	36	Towers	AAA
28.01	AAA	Westside (Macon)	97.2%	34	Central (Macon)	AAA
27.55	AAA	Kendrick	57.2%	3	Rutland	AAA
27.53	A	Turner County	52.3%	1	Telfair County	A
26.88	AA	Manchester	63.0%	6	Mitchell County	A
26.04	AAAAA	Gainesville	99.2%	40	Apalachee	AAAAA
25.74	AAAAA	Richmond Academy	75.5%	11	Greenbrier	AAAAA
25.65	AAAAA	Northgate	89.9%	22	Morrow	AAAAA
25.24	A	Our Lady of Mercy	67.2%	7	Lumpkin County	AAA
25.12	AA	Bremen	58.0%	4	Rockmart	AAA
23.92	A	Prince Avenue Christian	90.3%	22	Athens Christian	A
23.21	AA	Union County	66.0%	7	Fannin County	AAA
23.14	A	Commerce	75.8%	12	Athens Academy	A
22.72	AAA	Morgan County	84.3%	17	Monticello	AA
22.03	AAAAAA	West Forsyth	98.3%	37	Habersham Central	AAAAAA
21.87	AAAAA	Starr's Mill	90.2%	22	Forest Park	AAAAA
21.63	AA	Seminole County	86.5%	19	Miller County	A
21.50	AAA	Therrell	50.5%	1	South Atlanta	AAA
21.24	AAAA	Americus-Sumter	89.9%	22	Albany	AAAA
21.24	AAA	Dodge County	90.0%	22	Southeast Bulloch	AAA
21.05	AAA	Appling County	95.8%	30	Beach	AAA
20.50	AAA	Calhoun	99.7%	41	North Murray	AAA
20.45	AAA	Oconee County	74.2%	11	Greene County	AA
19.96	AAA	Peach County	99.1%	40	Spencer	AAA
19.44	AAAAA	Grovetown	81.3%	15	Cross Creek	AAAAA
19.26	AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	99.7%	41	Meadowcreek	AAAAAA
19.14	A	Whitefield Academy	53.9%	2	Walker	A
18.69	AA	Early County	93.9%	27	Calhoun County	A
18.40	A	Mount Paran Christian	94.8%	28	King's Ridge Christian	A
18.32	AA	Bryan County	69.0%	8	Groves	AA
17.46	AAA	Pepperell	78.5%	13	Chattooga	AA
17.30	AAA	Cedar Grove	98.2%	37	Douglass	AAA
17.05	AAA	Tattnall County	87.8%	20	Savannah	AAA
16.45	AAAA	Columbia	98.2%	37	Redan	AAAA
15.73	A	Charlton County	95.6%	30	Atkinson County	A
15.28	AAAAA	Riverwood	98.1%	36	North Atlanta	AAAAA
15.00	A	Mount de Sales	74.8%	11	Strong Rock Christian	A
14.43	AAAAA	Sprayberry	95.2%	29	North Springs	AAAAA
13.96	AAAAAA	Lee County	99.2%	40	Terrell County	A
13.26	A	Wilcox County	86.5%	19	Lanier County	A
13.03	AA	Rabun County	90.0%	22	Riverside Military Academy	AA
12.44	AA	Greater Atlanta Christian	99.6%	41	Hapeville	AA
12.38	AAAA	Pickens	97.6%	35	Johnson (Gainesville)	AAAA
12.19	AAAA	Locust Grove	95.9%	31	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	AAAA
10.91	A	Savannah Country Day	69.3%	8	Montgomery County	A
10.88	A	Taylor County	81.1%	15	Schley County	A
10.14	AAAA	Griffin	99.9%	42	Hampton	AAAA
9.97	A	Mount Zion (Carroll)	86.2%	18	St. Francis	A
9.45	A	Savannah Christian	98.2%	37	Treutlen	A
9.20	A	Christian Heritage	86.6%	19	Fellowship Christian	A
9.16	A	First Presbyterian	94.2%	27	Georgia Military College	A
8.16	AAAA	Woodward Academy	99.7%	41	Clarkston	AAAAA
7.43	AAA	Ringgold	98.7%	38	Gordon Central	AAA
7.03	AAA	Haralson County	73.3%	10	Temple	AA
6.92	AA	Swainsboro	92.3%	25	Butler	AAA
6.86	A	Wilkinson County	82.0%	15	Warren County	A
6.82	A	Landmark Christian	98.1%	36	Josey	AAA
5.36	AA	Long County	90.3%	22	Jeff Davis	AA
4.38	A	Jenkins County	85.0%	17	Wheeler County	A
3.88	AAA	Hart County	99.7%	41	Oglethorpe County	AA
2.75	AAA	Franklin County	89.3%	21	East Jackson	AAA
0.32	A	Dooly County	98.4%	37	Central (Talbotton)	A
-2.34	A	Lincoln County	96.1%	31	Twiggs County	A
-2.61	AA	Chattahoochee County	83.9%	17	Crawford County	AA
-2.65	AAA	Hephzibah	79.3%	14	New Hampstead	AAAA
-3.68	A	Hebron Christian Academy	78.1%	13	Towns County	A
-6.43	AA	Wesleyan	98.7%	38	K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate	AA
-7.65	AAA	Sonoraville	97.6%	35	Coahulla Creek	AAA
-8.12	AA	Harlem	76.0%	12	Glascock County	A
-8.46	AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	86.5%	19	Murray County	AAA
-16.56	AA	East Laurens	96.9%	33	Stewart County	A
-16.76	AA	Putnam County	96.9%	33	Social Circle	AA
-22.46	AAA	Banks County	98.4%	37	North Cobb Christian	A
-31.33	A	George Walton Academy	99.8%	41	Providence Christian	A

Sep 20

Game Rate	Class	Favorite	Percent	Margin	Opponent	Class
55.86	AAAAA	Mays	72.3%	10	Southwest DeKalb	AAAAA
52.25	AAAAA	Carver (Atlanta)	57.6%	3	M. L. King	AAAAA
42.71	AAAA	Liberty County	51.0%	1	Monroe	AAAA
34.73	AA	Holy Innocents	63.4%	6	Pace Academy	AA
18.60	AAA	Washington	89.2%	21	McNair	AAA
15.12	AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	80.3%	14	Brantley County	AAA
-3.15	AAA	Cook	99.0%	39	Islands	AAA
-28.54	A	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	90.0%	22	Cross Keys	AAAA