- However, the Packer's spot in the record books is not yet assured. Although Colquitt dominated Region 1-AAAAAA, which started with an impressive 29-0 record against outside opponents during the regular season, the geographically isolated group played a suspect out-of-region schedule and then submitted a rather middling 1-3 record in the playoffs when not counting Colquitt's four wins. As a result, the Packer's rating has dropped significantly from its high of nearly 112 late in the regular season. An impressive victory by Archer, currently riding a 10-game winning streak, can knock the Packers below 100 and out of the discussion of Georgia's greatest teams altogether. However, Maxwell cautions that regardless of the outcome of this week's Class AAAAAA championship game, expect Colquitt to remain the top rated team overall. The ratings measure the entire season as opposed to a single game and week in, week out the Packers have simply turned in the best performance.

- Mays continues to be the all-class Cinderella team, having less than a 20% probability of surviving to this point if they replayed their same opponents from earlier rounds. Below is each team's probability of going undefeated if it replayed each of their same opponents from earlier rounds:

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 0.10%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 2,013 of 2,234 total games including 4 ties (90.20%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.91 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

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Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Home Advantage: 0.87

By Class

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. Please submit errors or omissions through their forums.

### = Active playoff team; # = Eliminated playoff team

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the rating required to win 80% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, and its “Average Rating”, which is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.