Trump is front-runner, but indictments worry Georgia Republicans

Gov. Brian Kemp, right, was among the first speakers at the Gathering, a conservative political conference in Buckhead that News 95.5 AM 750 WSB host Erick Erickson organized. Kemp has frequently warned that if Republicans want to win the presidency in 2024, they must focus on the future and not on Donald Trump's false claims about a stolen election in 2020. (Arvin Temkar / arvin.temkar@ajc.com)

Credit: arvin.temkar@ajc.com

Credit: arvin.temkar@ajc.com

Gov. Brian Kemp, right, was among the first speakers at the Gathering, a conservative political conference in Buckhead that News 95.5 AM 750 WSB host Erick Erickson organized. Kemp has frequently warned that if Republicans want to win the presidency in 2024, they must focus on the future and not on Donald Trump's false claims about a stolen election in 2020. (Arvin Temkar / arvin.temkar@ajc.com)

Gov. Brian Kemp brought an unusual prop when he took the stage at a Republican conference just days after Donald Trump was charged with a far-reaching conspiracy in an explosive Atlanta indictment. A few minutes into his remarks, the Republican pulled out a tiny pencil.

It was meant to demonstrate, he told conservative activists, how President Joe Biden and Democrats are “pencil-whipping” Georgians with control of the nation’s regulatory system. And until Republicans win the “pencil battle,” he said, they can’t put an eraser to his policies.

The sprawling Fulton County indictment last week accusing Trump and 18 allies of orchestrating a broad “criminal enterprise” has only heightened the paradox for Kemp and other mainstream Republicans who fear his mountain of legal problems and fixation on his 2020 defeat will doom him in 2024.

Trump is now facing 91 charges across four jurisdictions that carry significant prison sentences, but he remains the unquestioned front-runner in the race for the presidency, with massive double-digit leads over his closest rivals.

And Trump’s critics are wrestling with the reality that he’s waging his comeback on his own terms, dominating the GOP field despite the unprecedented legal peril he faces and grave misgivings from some of the party’s top leaders.

That dynamic was on vivid display this weekend at the Gathering, a two-day conference in Atlanta that drew a half-dozen White House contenders where Trump loomed large despite organizer Erick Erickson’s preference to avoid mention of his name.

Some, such as Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, tiptoed around mention of Trump and his mountain of legal problems. Business executive Vivek Ramaswamy promised to pardon Trump on “day one” if he’s elected, calling the indictments a politicization of the justice system.

Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, speaking Saturday at the Gathering, a conservative political conference in Buckhead, predicted that former President Donald Trump will lose in Georgia if he's the GOP nominee in 2024. "There’s nothing more selfish than what he’s doing,” said Christie, whose own presidential candidacy is lagging in single digits in most public polls. “He’s been charged with four different crimes. And yet he still persists in insisting that he has to be a candidate for president.” (Arvin Temkar / arvin.temkar@ajc.com)

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Credit: arvin.temkar@ajc.com

Only former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie leaned into criticizing Trump, saying he’s doomed to lose Georgia — and the White House — if Republicans choose him as their nominee for a third consecutive presidential campaign.

“There’s nothing more selfish than what he’s doing,” said Christie, who is lagging in single digits in most public polls. “He’s been charged with four different crimes. And yet he still persists in insisting that he has to be a candidate for president.”

‘Extreme’

Yet with Trump’s huge leads in most public polls, Georgia Republicans are also coming to grips with the likelihood — or at least the growing possibility — that he’ll be back atop the GOP ticket in 2024.

Already, many state Republicans and activists are vowing to back Trump if he’s the nominee, casting any conservative contender as better than four more years of Biden in the White House.

“I was on Team Trump, but I’ve had it with him. I have to begin to wonder why he can’t accept reality,” said JoEllen Artz of Rutledge, one of hundreds of conservatives at the conference. “Do I really want him to be president? No, but I’ll still vote for him. Anyone who runs on the Democratic side represents even worse.”

Of course, her sentiment also underscores the party’s challenge in Georgia, one of a handful of politically competitive states on the 2026 map.

Former President Donald Trump, right, promoted former football star Herschel Walker as the Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2022. But the campaign collapsed as legions of Georgians who cast ballots for other GOP statewide candidates split their ticket to back Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock. (Audra Melton/The New York Times).

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Former football star Herschel Walker’s troubled campaign for the U.S. Senate — promoted by Trump — collapsed last year as legions of Georgians who cast ballots for other GOP statewide candidates split their ticket to back Democratic incumbent Raphael Warnock in the Senate campaign.

And a bloc of moderate and independent voters revolted against Trump in 2020 to help flip the state to the Democratic column for the first time since 1992. Georgia Democrats envision another battleground victory — particularly if Trump is atop the ballot.

“Republicans can plug their extreme, out-of-touch agenda of cutting Medicare and Social Security, banning abortion nationwide, and raising costs for families all they want,” said U.S. Rep. Nikema Williams, chair of the state Democratic Party.

“But Georgians already rejected MAGA extremism in 2020,” she said, “and we’ll do it again in 2024.”

Georgia Democrats -- including the state party's chair, U.S. Rep. Nikema Williams -- envision another victory in next year's presidential race. “Georgians already rejected MAGA extremism in 2020,” she said, “and we’ll do it again in 2024.” (Nathan Posner for The Atlanta Journal-Constitution)

Credit: Nathan Posner for The AJC

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Credit: Nathan Posner for The AJC

For now, many state Republicans are engaged in a tightrope act, neither condemning Trump nor praising his actions. Georgia House Speaker Jon Burns, whose fractious caucus includes far-right conservatives and mainstream Republicans, tried to navigate those competing pressures in a letter this week to members.

“I agree with Governor Brian Kemp’s statement released on Tuesday: ‘The future of our country is at stake in 2024 and that must be our focus,’ ” he wrote.

Not ‘forgiving’

Any hint of disloyalty to Trump can bring backlash, too. After Kemp publicly rebuked Trump’s lies about a “rigged” 2020 election in Georgia, U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene warned it could spur an ultraconservative revolt — and publicly mused over a Senate bid in 2026 when Kemp may seek the office.

U.S. Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene, after Gov. Brian Kemp's rebuked former President Donald Trump over false claims about the 2020 election in Georgia being rigged, predicted the governor could face an ultraconservative revolt. (Natrice Miller/Atlanta Journal-Constitution/TNS)

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Credit: TNS

“He could be stopping what (Fulton District Attorney Fani Willis is) doing, as a Republican governor, but instead he came out and wants to basically argue with President Trump all in an effort to defend his own ego,” said Greene, one of Trump’s most ardent Georgia allies. “And Republican voters in Georgia are not going to be very forgiving of that.”

Kemp’s tried to find his own balance. Like other Republican leaders, he’s pledged to support Trump if he win’s the GOP nod. He tells Republicans they can “believe whatever you want about the 2020 election” — so long as they focus on the 2024 vote.

“If we don’t win, we don’t get to govern,” Kemp said. “We don’t get the pencil. It’s that simple to me.”

Staff writer Tia Mitchell contributed to this report.

Gov. Brian Kemp, holding a pencil as a prop during his appearance at the Gathering political conference in Buckhead, told the crowd to “believe whatever you want about the 2020 election” as long as the party unites in 2024. “If we don’t win, we don’t get to govern,” he said. (Arvin Temkar / arvin.temkar@ajc.com)

Credit: Arvin Temkar/AJC

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Credit: Arvin Temkar/AJC