OK, the presidential election is still a year away, but according to a new poll we have another long night of watching results in Florida and Ohio to look forward to.
A NBC/Wall Street Journal poll released Tuesday shows Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton would tie Republican Ben Carson, 47% to 47%, in a hypothetical matchup with the man leading the most recent GOP presidential poll.
Clinton would defeat any of the other Republican candidates in the election, the NBC/WSJpoll shows, including the bombastic businessman himself, Donald Trump, by eight points.
Here is how Clinton stacks up against the leading GOP candidates:
- Clinton 47%, Carson 47%
- Clinton 50%, Trump 42%
- Clinton 47%, Rubio 44%
- Clinton 47%, Bush 43%
Bernie Sanders, whom polls have consistently shown in second place in the Democratic race, would defeat Trump by an even wider margin, according to the poll, getting 50% of the vote to Trump’s 41%.
The poll was conducted Oct. 25-29, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.
Poll: Clinton passes Sanders in New Hampshire
Hillary Clinton has regained the lead over Bernie Sanders in New Hampshire, site of next year’s first Democratic primary, according to a new poll released Tuesday.
Clinton leads Sanders 48% to 45%, according to the Monmouth University Poll. Sanders, a Vermont senator, held a 7-point lead in the same poll in September when Vice President Biden, Lincoln Chafee and Jim Webb were included. Biden has since announced he would not run, while Webb and Chafee ended their bids.
Clinton’s gains follow last month’s string of positive developments for the former secretary of State’s campaign, including her widely praised debate performance and Biden’s decision.
Sanders, who hails from New Hampshire’s neighboring state, “retains his sizable advantage among registered independents and new voters, men, and younger voters,” according to release from Monmouth about the results. “However, Clinton has made significant gains in the past two months with registered Democrats, women, and older voters.”
Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, N.J., cited the women’s vote in particular.
“The Clinton team has recently taken to charging Sanders with sexism over some of his remarks,” he said. “This may be one reason why she has been able to win back women voters in her base.”
Carson surges ahead of Trump in national poll
Ben Carson is now leading the Republican presidential race, as the choice of 29% of Republican primary voters, according to a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll.
Trailing the retired neurosurgeon in the poll was Donald Trump with 23%, Marco Rubio with 11%, Ted Cruz with 10% and Jeb Bush with 8%.
Carson’s 29% is the highest any Republican candidate has polled in the NBC/WSJ survey to date, according to NBC News.
The poll was conducted Oct. 25-29, before last week’s CNBC debate, so it does not reflect any shifts in the race that might have followed that free-for-all.
This is not the first national poll to show Carson in the lead. A New York Times/CBS News poll from last week showed Carson with 26% of GOP primary voters, while Trump trailed with 22%.
A new Monmouth University poll shows Trump still leading in New Hampshire with 26% of the vote, while Carson trails at 16%. The Monmouth poll also shows Rubio surging into third place in the Granite State with 13% of the vote.
Last week, another Monmouth University poll showed Carson leading in Iowa with 32% of the vote, compared to 18% for Trump.
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