The League of Conservation Voters, which is on Michelle Nunn’s side of the U.S. Senate equation, has commissioned a Public Policy Polling survey that – like several others – characterizes the contest as a dead heat headed for a runoff. Crosstabs can be found here. From the polling memo:
Michelle Nunn and David Perdue are tied at 47% in the US Senate race. Libertarian Amanda Swafford is getting 3%, which would be enough to send the race to a runoff if Nunn and Perdue remain this evenly matched. Since a PPP poll in early October, Nunn has gained 4 points while Perdue has gone up just 2.
Nunn has significant leads with African Americans (87/6) and voters under 45 (51/41) that are allowing her to make this race a toss up in a state that generally favors Republicans. She is also benefiting from a more unified party with 88% of Democrats supporting her compared to 84% of Republicans who are for Perdue.
On the governor’s race, the people PPP have come up with this common-sense equation:
The Governor’s race is very close as well. Nathan Deal leads Jason Carter 48/45 but Libertarian Andrew Hunt is getting 4%, which would be enough to send that race to a runoff as well if Deal’s lead over Carter remains smaller than the share of the vote Hunt receives.
As noted, the League of Conservation Voters isn’t a disinterested party -- despite Nunn's support for the Keystone pipeline. The LCV condemns the Republican Senate candidate as a climate-denier. From the press release:
Despite the fact that NASA, the National Academy of Scientists and 97 percent of climate scientists agree that human activities are causing climate change, Perdue has claimed that “in science there's an active debate going on” about the issue. Perdue also made attacks on the Environmental Protection Agency – America’s defender of air and water quality - a centerpiece of his campaign.
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