“There is some talent out there. Particularly there is some really good arm strength guys. So, we will be aggressive on Sunday morning when they open up the gates for us.”
That sounds like the Braves will try to fulfill their long-time organizational mandate of loading up on as many pitching prospects as possible. After a one-year hiatus, they continued their tradition of using early draft picks on pitchers.
The Braves selected Wake Forest left-hander Jared Shuster with their top pick, No. 25 overall. After taking Michigan outfielder Jesse Franklin in the third round, the Braves picked Clemson right-hander Spencer Strider in the fourth round and Texas right-hander Bryce Elder in the fifth.
Michigan's Jesse Franklin (middle) is greeted by teammates after he hit a solo home run in the College World Series on June 17, 2019. (AP Photo/Nati Harnik)
Credit: Nati Harnik
Credit: Nati Harnik
The Braves selected a pitcher with their top pick in five of the past six drafts. They also took pitchers with two of their four additional first-round picks during that span. The exceptions: one first-round pick for third baseman Austin Riley in 2015 and two first-round picks for catcher Shea Langeliers and shortstop Braden Shewmake in 2019, Brown’s first draft as scouting director.
Taking three college pitchers was a change for the Braves, who have favored high school pitchers in recent years. Five of six pitchers they drafted in the first round from 2015-2019 were prep players. Those younger prospects usually have more potential for growth with more risk of failure. College pitchers drafted in the the top two rounds are much better bets to make it to the the majors and stay there.
Brown said the Braves didn’t go into the draft with a focus on college pitchers. It turned out that way once Elder slid down in the draft because teams figured he’d be a “tough signing” that high. The Braves expect to pay Elder a bigger bonus than his slotted value. They project to save money by signing Shuster for lower than his slot value.
Does Brown believe the four-player draft class can quickly move up through the minor leagues together?
“I do,” he said. “These guys are pretty much mastering their craft. They are here for their ability. ... Not only do they have talent, they’ve been able to develop the skill which we think is going to lead to something so they could move along pretty quickly.”
It’s difficult to predict how baseball prospects will turn out. It’s nearly as hard to project future needs for the big-league Braves. But you can see a rough outline of how the newest draft picks fit in the organizational picture.
Franklin may not be needed anytime soon in the big leagues. The Braves are set for years to come at one position with MVP candidate Ronald Acuna, who is under contractual control through 2028. Center fielder Ender Inciarte is signed through 2022 and the Braves' two highest-ranked prospects are outfielders Cristian Pache and Drew Waters. They are projected to play in the big leagues soon.
The Braves could use a fast rise from their three newest pitchers. Two pitchers that Baseball America rank among their best prospects, Kyle Wright and Bryse Wilson, have been knocked around early in their big-league careers. Top pitching prospect Ian Anderson is near the big leagues, but experts don’t see much pitching depth at the lower levels.
The Braves already hit on one of their recent draft picks. Right-hander Mike Soroka was an All-Star in 2019, his first full big-league season. There are signs that Anderson could be the next good Braves pitcher to come from the minors. The Braves can fill other roster holes if Pache, Waters and Anderson are as good as advertised and if Riley can cut down on his strikeouts.
The Braves have good, young players on their roster. They have a handful of prospects who are poised to follow them. Those good developments at the big-league level have left their farm system a bit dry at the lower levels. The Braves started replenishing it in the draft but, in this strange season, there’s a lot more work to do in the days after it.