A two-point underdog at Pittsburgh.
A three-point favorite at home against Virginia.
A one-point underdog at N.C. State.
An 8.5-point underdog at home against Clemson.
A 16-point underdog at Georgia.
It's interesting to note that four of the games have a line of three points or fewer. Georgia and Clemson received considerable respect from Kornegay (or, conversely, Tech didn't receive much). Last year, the Bulldogs, without Aaron Murray and playing at Tech, were a 2.5-point favorite last year against the Jackets. Clemson was a 10.5-point favorite against the Jackets last year at Death Valley.
A 5-3 record would put Tech in the picture for the Coastal title, although it’d be tenuous. Probably a little more guess than I’m quite ready for at this point.
The N.C. State and Pittsburgh lines seem off, particularly the latter as the Panthers seem to be reeling, but I'm not the expert. Obviously, home-field advantage is taken into account, as it is for Tech home games.
Another way of looking at it from Atomic Football, which gives algorithm-based predictions with win probability percentage.
Duke, 32-28, W, 62.7 percent.
North Carolina, 37-35, W, 54.9 percent
Pittsburgh, 29-28, W, 52.4 percent
Virginia, 33-25, W, 71.7 percent
N.C. State, 33-25, W, 71.7 percent
Clemson, 38-26, L, 29.0 percent
Georgia, 40-28, L, 20.1 percent
The Atomic Football model gives Tech a 10-2 record, including 7-1 in the ACC, which would get the Jackets to the ACC title game. The probability of winning out is .5 percent.
If you're wondering, Atomic Football has picked 73.3 percent of games correctly this season. It was 76.9 percent last year. (This is interesting – I got the accuracy numbers from a website that tracks how well a number of different models pick games. Last year, there were 58 different models, including the betting line, that ended up between 78 percent and 73 percent, and it's relatively close to that year after year. It's like it's impossible to accurately predict 79 percent of games straight up. When that happens, maybe computers take over the world.)
Anyway, food for thought.
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