PECOTA’s projections for 2020 have the Los Angeles Dodgers winning 103 games and the NL West in a landslide and the Cincinnati Reds winning the NL Central with 86 victories.
Behind the Mets, Nationals and Braves in the NL East, the Phillies are projected to finish fourth with 77 wins and the Miami Marlins last with 71.
Based on projected win totals, the Nationals and Chicago Cubs would be the NL’s wild-card teams.
In the American League, the New York Yankees are projected to win the East with 99 victories, the Minnesota Twins to win the Central with 93 and the scandal-tarnished Houston Astros to win the West with 98.
Baseball Prospectus noted that its projections will "continue to be tuned" as teams set rosters during spring training.