Watching Donald Trump these last few months, I've been dogged by the feeling that he reminds me of somebody ... somebody .... maybe some bully in a movie or something? Or a cartoon character?

Much as I tried, I couldn't put my finger on it. Then it finally hit me:

The guy from "A Christmas Story"! Scott Farkus!

The look, the bullying behavior, the insults ... I mean, even the dead raccoon is right.

And if so, I guess this would be the Donald with his little buddy Ted Cruz:

And little Ralphie, who gets picked on and picked on until finally he can't take it anymore?

As any fan of the movie can tell you, the Ralphie-Farkus confrontation ends with one of the classic whuppings in cinema history.

Now, I very much doubt that tonight's debate on CNN will result in physical violence. But it's true that Jeb, the one-time frontrunner, is now polling down in the mid-single digits, and part of the problem has been that he has come across as someone who would let the dynamic Trump steal his lunch money. That's devastating to any politician, but particularly so in a GOP primary.  According to Politico, Bush backers fear that if Jeb doesn't throw and land a few figurative punches at Trump during tonight's CNN debate, "Well, you know, it might be over."

Of course, I hear that Carly "The Face" Fiorina is out for revenge herself, and might get to Trump first:

Whatever you do, please, don't ask Trump what that is on her face.

See you back here at 8 p.m. to participate in the flawed process that is democracy. Bring your popcorn. As H.L. Mencken reminded us almost a century ago:

"No one in this world, so far as I know — and I have researched the records for years, and employed agents to help me — has ever lost money by underestimating the intelligence of the great masses of the plain people. Nor has anyone ever lost public office thereby"