Region Strength and Parity
Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the rating required to win 80% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, its “Average Rating”, which is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, and its “Parity Index”, which is the probability of the region champion being a different team in two consecutive simulations adjusted for the number of teams in the region. The Parity Index takes into account each team’s schedule and game site. A higher Parity Index indicates a region whose championship is more open than a region with a lower Parity Index.
Region |
Competitive Rating |
Average Rating |
Parity Index |
7 - AAAAAA |
95.36 |
73.37 |
0.722 |
1 - AAAAAA |
94.53 |
77.75 |
0.785 |
4 - AAAAAA |
86.24 |
71.35 |
0.848 |
8 - AAAAAA |
84.21 |
68.36 |
0.829 |
2 - AAAAAA |
81.53 |
56.50 |
0.626 |
5 - AAAAAA |
79.69 |
63.49 |
0.767 |
3 - AAAAAA |
74.70 |
58.26 |
0.712 |
6 - AAAAAA |
72.39 |
54.96 |
0.676 |
Region by Region Breakdown
Each team is shown with its rating, schedule strength, projected overall and region records, average finish in the region, and the number of times winning the region along with its associated odds.
1 - AAAAAA
|
Projected Record |
|
Team |
Rank |
Rating |
Sch Str |
Overall |
Region |
Avg Fin |
First |
Odds |
Camden County |
4 |
88.44 |
66.25 |
8.44-1.56 |
3.69-1.31 |
1.96 |
456,759 |
1.19 |
Colquitt County |
3 |
89.19 |
68.20 |
8.42-1.58 |
3.82-1.18 |
2.12 |
337,701 |
1.96 |
Lowndes |
8 |
82.98 |
63.52 |
7.81-2.19 |
3.08-1.92 |
2.82 |
137,558 |
6.27 |
Valdosta |
15 |
77.51 |
67.76 |
6.57-3.43 |
2.46-2.54 |
3.63 |
64,181 |
14.58 |
Tift County |
31 |
66.48 |
61.12 |
5.70-4.30 |
1.33-3.67 |
4.88 |
3,377 |
295.12 |
Lee County |
38 |
58.78 |
59.90 |
4.88-5.12 |
0.61-4.39 |
5.58 |
424 |
2,357.49 |
2 - AAAAAA
|
Projected Record |
|
Team |
Rank |
Rating |
Sch Str |
Overall |
Region |
Avg Fin |
First |
Odds |
Lovejoy |
7 |
83.32 |
58.27 |
8.29-1.71 |
4.41-0.59 |
1.55 |
509,737 |
0.96 |
Tucker |
9 |
81.96 |
51.82 |
8.14-1.86 |
4.32-0.68 |
1.61 |
467,374 |
1.14 |
Newton |
44 |
55.58 |
55.60 |
5.01-4.99 |
2.37-2.63 |
3.61 |
18,824 |
52.12 |
Alcovy |
50 |
51.53 |
56.78 |
4.19-5.81 |
2.13-2.87 |
3.97 |
3,144 |
317.07 |
Rockdale County |
58 |
43.82 |
57.85 |
3.26-6.74 |
1.42-3.58 |
4.53 |
918 |
1,088.32 |
Lakeside (Atlanta) |
61 |
29.26 |
50.12 |
1.91-8.09 |
0.34-4.66 |
5.73 |
3 |
333,332.33 |
3 - AAAAAA
|
Projected Record |
|
Team |
Rank |
Rating |
Sch Str |
Overall |
Region |
Avg Fin |
First |
Odds |
Hughes |
21 |
74.53 |
60.74 |
7.56-2.44 |
5.87-1.13 |
1.77 |
533,074 |
0.88 |
Newnan |
30 |
66.96 |
64.01 |
5.51-4.49 |
4.86-2.14 |
2.56 |
271,623 |
2.68 |
East Coweta |
32 |
65.01 |
58.10 |
6.44-3.56 |
4.62-2.38 |
3.08 |
129,521 |
6.72 |
Westlake |
42 |
57.50 |
56.61 |
5.22-4.78 |
3.36-3.64 |
4.64 |
33,933 |
28.47 |
South Cobb |
41 |
57.75 |
60.94 |
4.39-5.61 |
3.43-3.57 |
4.45 |
26,251 |
37.09 |
Douglas County |
52 |
50.02 |
55.34 |
3.92-6.08 |
2.18-4.82 |
6.14 |
3,171 |
314.36 |
Campbell |
53 |
49.28 |
51.05 |
4.71-5.29 |
2.04-4.96 |
6.34 |
1,994 |
500.50 |
Pebblebrook |
56 |
46.39 |
54.77 |
3.39-6.61 |
1.65-5.35 |
7.02 |
433 |
2,308.47 |
4 - AAAAAA
|
Projected Record |
|
Team |
Rank |
Rating |
Sch Str |
Overall |
Region |
Avg Fin |
First |
Odds |
McEachern |
6 |
84.12 |
76.60 |
6.39-3.61 |
4.65-1.35 |
2.12 |
440,389 |
1.27 |
Hillgrove |
10 |
81.26 |
72.56 |
6.63-3.37 |
4.35-1.65 |
2.63 |
224,647 |
3.45 |
North Cobb |
14 |
77.69 |
71.30 |
6.16-3.84 |
3.89-2.11 |
2.93 |
180,583 |
4.54 |
Marietta |
19 |
74.86 |
69.65 |
6.04-3.96 |
3.39-2.61 |
3.46 |
125,603 |
6.96 |
North Paulding |
28 |
68.01 |
68.56 |
4.89-5.11 |
2.55-3.45 |
4.52 |
24,309 |
40.14 |
Harrison |
33 |
61.54 |
64.26 |
4.55-5.45 |
1.82-4.18 |
5.48 |
4,469 |
222.76 |
Kennesaw Mountain |
59 |
43.44 |
61.86 |
2.60-7.40 |
0.34-5.66 |
6.85 |
- |
- |
Osborne† |
62 |
27.23 |
37.10 |
3.42-5.58 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
† - Plays non-region schedule |
5 - AAAAAA
|
Projected Record |
|
Team |
Rank |
Rating |
Sch Str |
Overall |
Region |
Avg Fin |
First |
Odds |
Lassiter |
17 |
76.16 |
65.30 |
7.12-2.88 |
6.23-1.77 |
2.16 |
390,758 |
1.56 |
Walton |
18 |
75.96 |
64.12 |
7.40-2.60 |
6.18-1.83 |
2.20 |
376,298 |
1.66 |
Milton |
26 |
70.55 |
66.52 |
5.75-4.25 |
5.27-2.73 |
3.23 |
132,095 |
6.57 |
Etowah |
29 |
67.40 |
62.91 |
5.88-4.12 |
4.72-3.29 |
4.06 |
79,992 |
11.50 |
Woodstock |
35 |
60.33 |
59.54 |
5.16-4.84 |
3.41-4.59 |
5.74 |
7,644 |
129.82 |
Wheeler |
39 |
58.60 |
62.69 |
4.11-5.89 |
3.07-4.93 |
6.25 |
7,300 |
135.99 |
Roswell |
40 |
58.51 |
64.64 |
3.85-6.15 |
3.09-4.91 |
6.38 |
4,346 |
229.10 |
Cherokee |
45 |
55.46 |
63.09 |
3.37-6.63 |
2.51-5.49 |
6.83 |
1,507 |
662.57 |
Pope |
54 |
48.90 |
64.08 |
1.99-8.01 |
1.53-6.47 |
8.13 |
60 |
16,665.67 |
6 - AAAAAA
|
Projected Record |
|
Team |
Rank |
Rating |
Sch Str |
Overall |
Region |
Avg Fin |
First |
Odds |
Alpharetta |
22 |
73.43 |
54.86 |
8.22-1.78 |
7.58-1.42 |
1.81 |
487,270 |
1.05 |
West Forsyth |
24 |
71.30 |
55.53 |
7.70-2.30 |
7.36-1.64 |
2.04 |
396,978 |
1.52 |
Lambert |
36 |
60.13 |
53.35 |
6.32-3.68 |
5.45-3.55 |
4.34 |
50,916 |
18.64 |
Chattahoochee |
37 |
59.86 |
54.45 |
6.08-3.92 |
5.41-3.59 |
4.27 |
36,269 |
26.57 |
North Forsyth |
46 |
55.21 |
54.76 |
5.08-4.92 |
4.63-4.38 |
5.46 |
14,084 |
70.00 |
South Forsyth |
47 |
53.90 |
53.46 |
5.09-4.91 |
4.36-4.65 |
5.77 |
10,617 |
93.19 |
Centennial |
49 |
51.87 |
55.85 |
4.20-5.80 |
3.92-5.08 |
6.40 |
3,119 |
319.62 |
Johns Creek |
55 |
48.22 |
56.56 |
3.40-6.60 |
3.24-5.76 |
7.12 |
652 |
1,532.74 |
Northview |
57 |
44.78 |
56.04 |
2.90-7.10 |
2.62-6.38 |
7.93 |
95 |
10,525.32 |
Habersham Central |
63 |
24.84 |
54.98 |
0.73-9.27 |
0.44-8.56 |
9.86 |
- |
- |
7 - AAAAAA
|
Projected Record |
|
Team |
Rank |
Rating |
Sch Str |
Overall |
Region |
Avg Fin |
First |
Odds |
Norcross |
1 |
96.86 |
71.96 |
8.68-1.32 |
5.99-1.01 |
1.78 |
481,333 |
1.08 |
North Gwinnett |
2 |
93.63 |
74.56 |
8.09-1.91 |
5.74-1.26 |
1.99 |
401,463 |
1.49 |
Mill Creek |
11 |
80.16 |
74.05 |
5.89-4.11 |
4.21-2.79 |
3.94 |
50,854 |
18.66 |
Collins Hill |
5 |
84.24 |
69.32 |
7.13-2.87 |
4.68-2.32 |
3.42 |
49,175 |
19.34 |
Peachtree Ridge |
13 |
78.67 |
74.04 |
5.68-4.32 |
4.08-2.92 |
3.96 |
17,166 |
57.25 |
Duluth |
48 |
52.78 |
64.59 |
3.85-6.15 |
1.87-5.13 |
6.17 |
9 |
111,110.11 |
Mountain View |
60 |
42.86 |
69.77 |
2.11-7.89 |
1.27-5.73 |
6.83 |
- |
- |
Meadowcreek |
64 |
20.09 |
65.47 |
1.00-9.00 |
0.16-6.85 |
7.91 |
- |
- |
8 - AAAAAA
|
Projected Record |
|
Team |
Rank |
Rating |
Sch Str |
Overall |
Region |
Avg Fin |
First |
Odds |
Grayson |
12 |
79.70 |
69.00 |
7.24-2.76 |
6.05-1.95 |
2.30 |
403,686 |
1.48 |
Archer |
16 |
77.35 |
70.71 |
6.33-3.67 |
5.63-2.37 |
2.87 |
254,352 |
2.93 |
Brookwood |
20 |
74.58 |
71.16 |
5.66-4.34 |
5.14-2.86 |
3.57 |
146,629 |
5.82 |
Dacula |
23 |
72.24 |
70.78 |
5.28-4.72 |
4.75-3.25 |
4.03 |
91,123 |
9.97 |
South Gwinnett |
25 |
70.97 |
70.67 |
5.04-4.96 |
4.48-3.52 |
4.30 |
66,599 |
14.02 |
Parkview |
27 |
68.47 |
67.05 |
5.25-4.75 |
4.05-3.96 |
5.18 |
34,519 |
27.97 |
Central Gwinnett |
34 |
60.93 |
69.52 |
3.41-6.59 |
2.66-5.34 |
6.82 |
2,568 |
388.41 |
Shiloh |
43 |
56.88 |
69.68 |
2.48-7.52 |
1.99-6.01 |
7.51 |
454 |
2,201.64 |
Berkmar |
51 |
51.38 |
71.01 |
1.59-8.41 |
1.26-6.74 |
8.43 |
70 |
14,284.71 |