Very little polling has been made public in the suburban Atlanta district, which includes portions of Cobb, DeKalb and Fulton counties. Democrat Lucy McBath's campaign released an internal poll last month that showed a tight race but few voters in the know about who McBath was.
McBath has since released her first broadcast television ad and ramped up her fundraising efforts to help build name ID. Between July and October, the first-time candidate pulled in nearly $1 million, nearly double Handel's haul from the same period.
McBath's former employer, Everytown for Gun Safety, has also gotten involved in the race on her behalf. (McBath is on leave until after the election.)The Michael Bloomberg-backed gun control group has spent more than $3.7 million on pro-McBath ads in the district, including more than $2 million this month alone.
Mason Rainey, Handel’s campaign manager, said the Republican is “appreciative of the NRCC engaging in this race to counteract the $2.5 million of out of state special interest money put in by Michael Bloomberg and those that want to put Nancy Pelosi back in the Speaker's Chair."
Handel has hit McBath for denouncing so-called dark money from super PACs while also benefiting from Everytown's expenditures. She's also recently zeroed in on tax breaks McBath and her husband received on their homes, while expanding on efforts to sell her own work in Washington over the last 15 months.
McBath has ignored most of Handel's attacks and instead framed the Republican as a Trump lackey on issues from immigration to trade. She's focused much of her recent messaging on health care, abortion and the GOP's tax plan, as well as her own tragic family story.
It's unclear whether House Democrats will up their investment in the 6th District to counter the NRCC's spending. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee short-listed the race back in August and upped its organizational support of McBath but has yet to spend big money on ads this year.
The House GOP’s spot will run on Atlanta-area broadcast and cable stations tomorrow through the election.
The ad buy is also notable for what it doesn't cover: the nearby 7th Congressional District race. Many D.C. handicappers have put U.S. Rep. Rob Woodall's Gwinnett and Forsyth-based reelection battle in the same category as the Handel-McBath contest, but Woodall's team has emanated confidence about its prospects in recent weeks.