Ken Sugiura

CFP committee grants Georgia a favorable draw to reach title game

The Bulldogs had a shot at the No. 2 seed, but it might prefer its path as the No. 3 seed.
Georgia had a chance at the No. 2 seed after winning the SEC Championship, but the Bulldogs' path as the No. 3 seed has its advantages. (Jason Getz/AJC)
Georgia had a chance at the No. 2 seed after winning the SEC Championship, but the Bulldogs' path as the No. 3 seed has its advantages. (Jason Getz/AJC)
3 hours ago

With its SEC championship win over Alabama, there was a school of thought that Georgia would elevate to the No. 2 seed in the College Football Playoff over the Big Ten title game loser.

The CFP committee didn’t see it that way, moving Indiana to No. 1, swapping Ohio State into the No. 2 slot and keeping the Bulldogs at No. 3.

But, at first blush, it appears that staying at No. 3 is hardly the worst outcome for the Bulldogs. There isn’t an easy path to the CFP championship game, but you could do a lot worse than Georgia’s.

First, the Bulldogs will play the winner of sixth-seeded Ole Miss and 11th-seeded Tulane in the Sugar Bowl on New Year’s Day. Put another way, that’s a team (Ole Miss) that it already defeated this season that just lost its head coach (Lane Kiffin) and will be under the guidance of a new coach (Pete Golding) who has never been a head coach before, or a team that will be at a significant talent disadvantage (Tulane) whose coach (Jon Sumrall) will be juggling coaching his current team and his future one (Florida).

Compare that with what the Bulldogs would have prepared for as the No. 2 seed — No. 7 Texas A&M, which nearly made it through the regular season undefeated, or No. 10 seed Miami, a program with as much talent as many SEC teams.

It doesn’t mean Georgia can be penciled into the semifinal. You might remember that after all the SEC huffing and puffing before last year’s inaugural 12-team field, the SEC went 2-3 and didn’t reach the title game for the second year in a row. The only wins were provided by Texas, as Tennessee and Georgia were both ousted by Ohio State and Notre Dame, respectively.

Regardless, it’s a favorable draw.

Both Ole Miss and Tulane would have significant crowd support at the Sugar Bowl quarterfinal, but Bulldogs fans will surely be there in force, too.

And if Georgia should get past either Ole Miss or Tulane, the Bulldogs would likely face No. 2 seed Ohio State in the Fiesta Bowl. (The Buckeyes will play the Texas A&M-Miami winner in the Cotton Bowl.)

The defending national champions would be formidable, obviously, but they proved beatable Saturday night by Indiana in the Big Ten championship.

The Hoosiers limited the Buckeyes to 322 yards, including just 58 on the ground, and sacked Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin five times.

Either Indiana is far and away better than the rest of the field — in which case Georgia probably isn’t winning — or Ohio State can be beaten. (A third possibility is that the Hoosiers and Buckeyes are both far superior, but that doesn’t seem likely.)

For what it’s worth, the Buckeyes and Bulldogs have one common opponent, Texas. Ohio State won 14-7 in the teams’ season opener (when Longhorns quarterback Arch Manning was at his most raw), and Georgia delivered a 35-10 thrashing of the same Longhorns.

With a win in the Fiesta Bowl, Georgia would advance to the national championship game in Miami.

Can the Bulldogs take out whoever survives that half the bracket, presumably top-seeded Indiana, and claim its third national title under coach Kirby Smart?

You would think so.

About the Author

Ken Sugiura is a sports columnist at the Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Formerly the Georgia Tech beat reporter, Sugiura started at the AJC in 1998 and has covered a variety of beats, mostly within sports.

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