3 intriguing Falcons prop bets vs. Buffalo
Well, folks. We continued our 1-for-3 streak in the Falcons’ last game against Washington. (Hitting the over on points was a good thing, just not for our purposes.)
But to paraphrase a one-time NFL coach now foundering in Chapel Hill with his Gen Z girlfriend: It’s on to Buffalo.
The big bad Bills (4-1) come to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday night. They’re coming off their first loss of the season and enter as a 4.5-point favorite.
Let’s discuss.
EASY: Bijan Robinson, longest rush, 15.5 yards
Robinson has appeared in this spot plenty already, but hey — when you’ve got a horse, you better ride it.
His longest run against Washington in Week 4 was “only” 14 yards, but he hit 17- and 25-yard scampers in the two games before that.
The Bills, meanwhile, have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards in the NFL this season. They’ve also surrendered four runs of 20-plus yards.
Give me the over.
INTERESTING: James Cook, 75.5 rushing yards
The former Georgia Bulldog has been a bell cow for the Bills. He’s well on his way to eclipsing his 2024 totals of 1,009 yards and 16(!) touchdowns.
- That said: Cook put up just 49 yards in Buffalo’s recent loss to New England, and just 44 in his team’s only other particularly close game (a 41-40 win over Baltimore in Week 1).
- Atlanta, meanwhile, leads the league in total defense and passing defense but sits at No. 16 against the rush, allowing a little over 100 yards per game.
The Falcons know slowing Cook down is key to giving themselves a chance to win — but it’s hard to see them bottling him up completely.
Take the over.
OUT THERE: Falcons defense, anytime touchdown
Hear me out: The new-look Falcons defense has three interceptions on the year, all by rookies (two from safety Xavier Watts, one from corner Billy Bowman Jr.). If nothing else, they’re flying around trying to make plays.
The Bills, meanwhile, are coming off a three-turnover game. Quarterback Josh Allen isn’t afraid of taking a risk or five.
It’s certainly out there, but at +500 odds, I’m calling it: We’ll see a primetime pick-six from Jessie Bates III.
Odds are sourced from DraftKings Sportsbook and BetMGM and are subject to change. The content provided is intended solely for informational and entertainment purposes. It does not constitute professional advice or the promotion or endorsement of gambling in any form.
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About the Author
Tyler Estep hosts the AJC Win Column, Atlanta's new weekly destination for all things sports. He also shepherds the Sports Daily and Braves Report newsletters to your inbox.
