Politically Georgia

Donald Trump’s endorsement is powerful but limited in Georgia, poll finds

Your daily jolt of news and analysis from the AJC politics team.
Republicans first declared Georgia as "Trump country" in 2016, when he won the presidential election for the first time. (AJC file photo)
Republicans first declared Georgia as "Trump country" in 2016, when he won the presidential election for the first time. (AJC file photo)

Today’s newsletter highlights:


Trump bump?

Gov. Brian Kemp (left) and President Donald Trump continue to exert influence over Republican voters in Georgia.
Gov. Brian Kemp (left) and President Donald Trump continue to exert influence over Republican voters in Georgia.

Do endorsements matter in Georgia’s midterm elections? Sort of.

The latest Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll offers a reminder of why GOP candidates are lining up for President Donald Trump’s blessing — and why it might only take them so far.

About 36% of likely Republican primary voters say Trump’s endorsement makes it more likely to vote for that candidate, and another 10% say it makes them less likely. But for the majority — 53% — Trump’s support makes no difference at all.

The other most coveted GOP endorsement in Georgia is from Gov. Brian Kemp. About 31% of likely Republican primary voters say his support makes them more likely to vote for a candidate, while 7% say it would dissuade them. About 62% say it doesn’t matter.

Of course, Georgia voters have seen the limits of Trump’s influence before.

He backed former U.S. Sen. David Perdue over Kemp in 2022, along with three other insurgent GOP challengers aiming to unseat GOP statewide incumbents. Trump’s picks went down in Republican primaries.

Two years later, Trump helped former football star Herschel Walker run over his competition in the Republican primary. But he ran out of steam, losing to Democratic U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock in the 2022 runoff.

This year could be an even bigger test. Lt. Gov. Burt Jones has already secured Trump’s endorsement for his gubernatorial bid, and three GOP Senate contenders are fighting for his support in their challenge to incumbent Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Ossoff.

Kemp, meanwhile, has put his chips behind former football coach Derek Dooley’s U.S. Senate bid, betting that the political newcomer stands a better chance of defeating Ossoff than two veteran lawmakers.


Things to know

Atlanta Mayor Andre Dickens is running for reelection.
Atlanta Mayor Andre Dickens is running for reelection.

Good morning! We’re only a week away from the Nov. 4 elections for Public Service Commission and various local governments. It’s day 28 of the federal government shutdown. Members of the National Air Traffic Controllers Association plan to hand out leaflets at 20 airports across the country today, including Atlanta, to mark the first day they are working without pay.

Here are three other things to know for today:


Digging in

Workers stock the shelves at Sandy's IGA in  Hancock County, which has one of the highest rates of childhood food insecurity in the country.
Workers stock the shelves at Sandy's IGA in Hancock County, which has one of the highest rates of childhood food insecurity in the country.

More than a million low-income Georgians will lose their grocery money if the federal government stays shut down beyond Saturday. If it happens, Democrats and Republicans both are working hard to make sure the other side takes the blame.

Shuttering the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program would be perhaps the most disruptive consequence so far of the federal government shutdown, which has dragged on for nearly a month. The Republican National Committee sent out a news release on Monday declaring that “Jon Ossoff voted to shut down the government and now 1,356,000 Georgians, including 526,000 children, will be left to struggle.”

Meanwhile, Ossoff and fellow Georgia Democratic U.S. Sen. Raphael Warnock signed on to a letter urging the Trump administration to use contingency funding or to transfer money from other programs to keep the benefits flowing.

“Democrats remain at the table and ready to negotiate reopening the government,” the letter reads.

In Georgia, state Sen. Nabilah Islam Parkes, D-Duluth, sent a letter to Republican Gov. Brian Kemp, urging him to declare a state of emergency as the Republican governors of Louisiana and Virginia have done. She says Kemp should use some of Georgia’s $14.6 billion surplus to keep the benefits in place.

A Kemp spokesperson says there is “no mechanism by which the state can put money on EBT cards.” Kemp himself continued to blame Democrats.

“Democrats like Senators Ossoff and Warnock still refuse to do their jobs and open the government,” he posted on X.


Price hike

A sign welcomes guests to A.H. Stephens State Park in Crawfordville.
A sign welcomes guests to A.H. Stephens State Park in Crawfordville.

People flocked to Georgia’s state parks during the coronavirus pandemic, a habit they’ve mostly kept up in the years since. Now, Georgia wants to make a little more money from the surge.

The Board of Natural Resources today is expected to double entry fees for Georgia’s 48 state parks. Once approved, it’ll cost $10 per car instead of $5 per car for a day pass. Annual passes are also going up to $70 instead of $50. For people 62 or older, that pass will cost $35 instead of $25.

The increase comes after state auditors suggested it, noting the pass prices have not increased since 2009 and are lower than other states. Interestingly, auditors offered no other justification for the price increase other than it would generate more money for the state.

It’s also worth noting these fees pay for maintenance across the 84,000 acres of state parks. About half of the State Parks and Historic Sites Division spending comes from campsite rentals, gift shop sales, golf course fees and parking passes.

Auditors also encouraged the state to increase fees for state-owned golf courses to take advantage of peak hours. State officials said they are thinking about it.


Term limits

Candidates in this year's Sandy Springs mayor's race: Andy Baumann, Dontaye Carter, Rusty Paul (incumbent) and Jody Reichel.
Candidates in this year's Sandy Springs mayor's race: Andy Baumann, Dontaye Carter, Rusty Paul (incumbent) and Jody Reichel.

Two Sandy Springs city council members are trying to oust longtime Mayor Rusty Paul in Tuesday’s election. But if they win, don’t expect them to stay as long.

Both Andy Bauman and Jody Reichel have backed term limits for the city’s top job, specifically limiting the mayor to eight years in office. Paul is seeking his fourth term. He’s only the second mayor in the city’s 20-year history.

Reichel said the city needs “new energy,” adding it would have been better had Paul used his most recent term to mentor her and Bauman to eventually take over.

“He decided he’s going to run against two people who are in our own rights are both ready to become the mayor of Sandy Springs,” she said in a recent interview for an upcoming “Politically Georgia” podcast.

Bauman said term limits are “not the biggest issue in this race,” but noted cities with no restrictions on mayors often “lose your sense of urgency.”

Paul has promised he won’t run for reelection if he wins on Tuesday. But both Bauman and Reichel say he’s said that before, which Paul denies. Still, Paul says term limits are bad for voters because it limits their options.

“Voters can term limit any candidate during any election if they so choose,” he said.

Dontaye Carter, the fourth candidate in the race, says all three of them have been in office too long. Bauman has been on the City Council for 12 years and Reichel for eight, which he says was plenty of time for them to push their agendas.

“Everybody that’s in this race had an opportunity to guide the direction of this city,” he said.


Listen up

Former DeKalb County CEO Michael Thurmond is a Democratic candidate for governor.
Former DeKalb County CEO Michael Thurmond is a Democratic candidate for governor.

Today on the “Politically Georgia” podcast we break down the results from the AJC poll detailing President Donald Trump’s support among the state’s likely Republican and Democratic primary voters. Patricia Murphy will also talk about her visit with Democratic gubernatorial candidate Michael Thurmond.

You can listen and subscribe to Politically Georgia for free an Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

Have a question or comment for the show? Email us at politicallygeorgia@ajc.com or give us a call at 770-810-5297 and you could be featured on a future episode.


Loeffler spotlight

House Speaker Mike Johnson spoke as (left to right) Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Majority Whip Tom Emmer and Small Business Administrator Kelly Loeffler listened at a news conference on Monday in Washington.
House Speaker Mike Johnson spoke as (left to right) Majority Leader Steve Scalise, Majority Whip Tom Emmer and Small Business Administrator Kelly Loeffler listened at a news conference on Monday in Washington.

Small Business Administrator Kelly Loeffler, the former Republican U.S. senator from Georgia, on Monday joined House Speaker Mike Johnson for his news conference on the government shutdown.

Loeffler accused Senate Democrats, including Georgia’s Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, of causing the shutdown by refusing to approve the House Republicans’ government funding bill. Programs providing loans and grants to small businesses have dried up as a result and those awarded federal contracts are no longer being paid, she said.

“Senate Democrats have intentionally put that momentum at risk, the SBA loan guarantee programs have been halted, and Main Street’s capital has been choked off because Senate Democrats are playing politics with lives and livelihoods,” she said.

Loeffler said the shutdown will shrink the economy and will lead to job losses that will not easily be recovered.

Ossoff and Warnock have voted repeatedly for the Democrats’ bill to reopen the government that would also extend federal health insurance subsidies set to expire at the end of the year. But Republicans have voted against that proposal.


Today in Washington

U.S. soldiers greeted President Donald Trump today as he arrived at the U.S. Navy's Yokosuka base south of Tokyo, Japan.
U.S. soldiers greeted President Donald Trump today as he arrived at the U.S. Navy's Yokosuka base south of Tokyo, Japan.

Happenings:


Shoutouts

State Rep. Karen Lupton, D-Chamblee, spoke against the elimination of DEI programs at Kennesaw State University at a rally in Atlanta in May.
State Rep. Karen Lupton, D-Chamblee, spoke against the elimination of DEI programs at Kennesaw State University at a rally in Atlanta in May.

Today’s birthday:

Honors:

Want a birthday shoutout in the Politically Georgia newsletter? There’s a form for that. Click here to submit the shoutouts. It’s not just birthdays. We’re also interested in new jobs, engagements, birth announcements, etc.


Before you go

Fulton County Superior Court Judge Shermela Williams has faced numerous questions about her handling of cases.
Fulton County Superior Court Judge Shermela Williams has faced numerous questions about her handling of cases.

Fulton County Superior Court Judge Shermela Williams is being sued by a 21-year-old woman that she put in jail after the woman testified during a contentious divorce proceeding. The Georgia Judicial Qualifications Commission has previously ruled Williams’ decision was illegal.

That’ll do it for us today. As always, you can send your best scoops, gossip and insider info to greg.bluestein@ajc.com, tia.mitchell@ajc.com, patricia.murphy@ajc.com and adam.beam@ajc.com.

About the Authors

Greg Bluestein is the Atlanta Journal Constitution's chief political reporter. He is also an author, TV analyst and co-host of the Politically Georgia podcast.

Tia Mitchell is the AJC’s Washington Bureau Chief and a co-host of the "Politically Georgia" podcast. She writes about Georgia’s congressional delegation, campaigns, elections and the impact that decisions made in D.C. have on residents of the Peach State.

Patricia Murphy is the AJC's senior political columnist. She was previously a nationally syndicated columnist for CQ Roll Call, national political reporter for the Daily Beast and Politics Daily, and wrote for The Washington Post and Garden & Gun. She graduated from Vanderbilt and holds a master’s degree in journalism from Columbia University.

Adam Beam helps write and edit the Politically Georgia morning newsletter.

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