The eight high school football state championship games will be played at Georgia State Stadium Dec. 13-14. Here’s a look at the complete schedule.

Maxwell Week 12 summary

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

» MORE: GHSA football playoff schedule, brackets

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team’s historical performance is 0.16%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,919 of 2,057 total games including 1 tie(s) (93.32%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.80 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. 

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.20

By Class

AAAAAAA AAAAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Lowndes10-0102.311Valdosta8-283.11
2Colquitt County8-290.182Lee County9-178.09
3McEachern10-085.473Dacula10-075.44
4North Gwinnett9-183.504Harrison10-072.35
5Grayson9-181.115Coffee7-369.90
6Marietta8-278.176Johns Creek9-162.05
7Mill Creek8-273.437Allatoona7-2-161.36
8Parkview9-171.628Houston County5-560.08
9Camden County7-271.579Lanier9-158.71
10Archer7-371.4110Mays9-156.28
11Milton7-364.7811Stephenson9-156.17
12Collins Hill6-462.6112Glynn Academy5-452.77
13Newton7-361.7813Richmond Hill6-351.57
14North Cobb7-361.2214Dalton7-351.45
15Hillgrove7-360.5115Northside (Warner Robins)3-749.58
AAAAA AAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Warner Robins9-174.741Woodward Academy10-076.03
2Carrollton10-074.282Marist9-171.70
3Ware County7-368.513Blessed Trinity9-169.97
4Buford9-168.034Cartersville10-069.63
5Rome8-264.385West Laurens9-162.77
6Dutchtown9-161.336Sandy Creek9-162.69
7Kell8-259.407Denmark7-261.39
8Wayne County7-258.628Oconee County9-160.07
9Veterans8-258.199Flowery Branch7-357.48
10Jones County9-158.1210Burke County8-253.97
11Bainbridge7-357.2411Carver (Columbus)9-152.04
12Griffin9-154.5612Cairo8-251.40
13Statesboro5-454.3213North Oconee9-149.35
14Clarke Central7-353.7214Cedartown5-548.90
15South Effingham6-453.5415Troup6-448.79
AAA AA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Cedar Grove8-271.721Rabun County10-071.08
2Peach County9-171.002Rockmart10-063.29
3Pierce County10-067.923Hapeville Charter8-1-158.77
4Jefferson8-159.934Callaway9-156.15
5Greater Atlanta Christian9-158.075Dublin9-152.25
6Jenkins9-156.926Union County9-144.35
7North Murray9-155.577Washington County7-343.22
8Westminster (Atlanta)6-455.128Brooks County6-442.83
9Crisp County7-355.109Pepperell8-242.52
10Appling County8-253.8110Bremen7-341.56
11Lovett7-349.8111Thomasville6-441.24
12Liberty County6-248.2712Swainsboro7-340.75
13Hart County8-247.4313Bleckley County7-340.14
14Calhoun9-146.5314Metter8-239.67
15Benedictine7-344.9115Fitzgerald7-339.22
A - Public A - Private
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Irwin County9-062.931Holy Innocents10-075.37
2Clinch County9-152.592Eagle's Landing Christian9-172.18
3Wilcox County8-239.753Athens Academy10-067.21
4Bowdon8-238.144Fellowship Christian10-066.26
5Commerce8-236.225Wesleyan8-254.07
6Lincoln County8-233.396Darlington9-153.12
7Johnson County8-232.687Prince Avenue Christian8-248.68
8Mitchell County9-131.558Christian Heritage9-146.14
9Pelham9-124.309Hebron Christian6-443.95
10Marion County8-222.5710Savannah Country Day10-041.35
11Emanuel County Institute5-521.9711Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)7-337.56
12Washington-Wilkes6-421.8812Whitefield Academy7-337.40
13Turner County6-421.3213Mount de Sales10-036.33
14Manchester8-221.1114North Cobb Christian7-334.76
15Claxton6-420.3815Savannah Christian6-334.09

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank Team Region Rec Rating SchStr Rank
1 [1]Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA10-0102.3167.883 [3]
2 [2]Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA8-290.1871.521 [1]
3 [3]McEachern3 - AAAAAAA10-085.4754.6414 [9]
4 [4]North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA9-183.5049.4226 [17]
5 [1]Valdosta1 - AAAAAA8-283.1162.155 [1]
6 [5]Grayson8 - AAAAAAA9-181.1159.108 [5]
7 [6]Marietta3 - AAAAAAA8-278.1762.884 [4]
8 [2]Lee County1 - AAAAAA9-178.0950.4823 [5]
9 [1]Woodward Academy4 - AAAA10-076.0317.58351 [53]
10 [3]Dacula8 - AAAAAA10-075.4441.2595 [16]
11 [1]Holy Innocents5 - A10-075.3722.37290 [16]
12 [1]Warner Robins1 - AAAAA9-174.7450.9022 [4]
13 [2]Carrollton7 - AAAAA10-074.2838.32129 [25]
14 [7]Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA8-273.4354.2015 [10]
15 [4]Harrison6 - AAAAAA10-072.3535.17161 [43]
16 [2]Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A9-172.1832.60183 [3]
17 [1]Cedar Grove5 - AAA8-271.7241.5292 [3]
18 [2]Marist7 - AAAA9-171.7047.1443 [3]
19 [8]Parkview7 - AAAAAAA9-171.6242.5383 [39]
20 [9]Camden County1 - AAAAAAA7-271.5758.909 [6]
21 [10]Archer8 - AAAAAAA7-371.4158.2811 [8]
22 [1]Rabun County8 - AA10-071.0821.81295 [22]
23 [2]Peach County4 - AAA9-171.0032.50187 [11]
24 [3]Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA9-169.9748.5830 [1]
25 [5]Coffee1 - AAAAAA7-369.9054.1916 [4]
26 [4]Cartersville5 - AAAA10-069.6341.6788 [16]
27 [3]Ware County2 - AAAAA7-368.5155.8612 [1]
28 [4]Buford8 - AAAAA9-168.0343.4175 [14]
29 [3]Pierce County2 - AAA10-067.9225.78257 [38]
30 [3]Athens Academy8 - A10-067.2125.30260 [11]
31 [4]Fellowship Christian6 - A10-066.2616.54358 [29]
32 [11]Milton5 - AAAAAAA7-364.7848.4433 [20]
33 [5]Rome7 - AAAAA8-264.3834.96164 [32]
34 [2]Rockmart7 - AA10-063.2918.68338 [35]
35 [1]Irwin County2 - A9-062.9321.12308 [11]
36 [5]West Laurens2 - AAAA9-162.7739.85109 [21]
37 [6]Sandy Creek5 - AAAA9-162.6938.60124 [23]
38 [12]Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA6-462.6153.9217 [11]
39 [6]Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA9-162.0532.13193 [53]
40 [13]Newton8 - AAAAAAA7-361.7850.1224 [15]
41 [7]Denmark7 - AAAA7-261.3937.08144 [26]
42 [7]Allatoona6 - AAAAAA7-2-161.3643.6469 [11]
43 [6]Dutchtown4 - AAAAA9-161.3341.5989 [17]
44 [14]North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA7-361.2247.7641 [24]
45 [15]Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA7-360.5146.3948 [29]
46 [8]Houston County1 - AAAAAA5-560.0859.627 [3]
47 [8]Oconee County8 - AAAA9-160.0739.40116 [22]
48 [4]Jefferson8 - AAA8-159.9330.59203 [17]
49 [7]Kell7 - AAAAA8-259.4035.66156 [31]
50 [16]East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA5-558.8358.4910 [7]
51 [3]Hapeville Charter6 - AA8-1-158.7721.24305 [26]
52 [9]Lanier8 - AAAAAA9-158.7139.34117 [25]
53 [8]Wayne County2 - AAAAA7-258.6248.0738 [9]
54 [9]Veterans1 - AAAAA8-258.1948.2037 [8]
55 [10]Jones County4 - AAAAA9-158.1241.5890 [18]
56 [5]Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA9-158.0735.22160 [8]
57 [9]Flowery Branch7 - AAAA7-357.4843.7467 [12]
58 [11]Bainbridge1 - AAAAA7-357.2449.2829 [6]
59 [6]Jenkins3 - AAA9-156.9225.71258 [39]
60 [17]Roswell4 - AAAAAAA7-256.4238.28130 [44]
61 [10]Mays5 - AAAAAA9-156.2837.31138 [36]
62 [18]Tift County1 - AAAAAAA3-756.2667.992 [2]
63 [11]Stephenson4 - AAAAAA9-156.1735.47158 [42]
64 [4]Callaway5 - AA9-156.1519.40323 [28]
65 [7]North Murray6 - AAA9-155.5723.76277 [47]
66 [19]Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA7-355.3941.1797 [41]
67 [8]Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA6-455.1245.8452 [1]
68 [9]Crisp County1 - AAA7-355.1042.4485 [2]
69 [12]Griffin3 - AAAAA9-154.5632.95180 [36]
70 [13]Statesboro2 - AAAAA5-454.3251.4820 [3]
71 [5]Wesleyan5 - A8-254.0727.95228 [9]
72 [10]Burke County3 - AAAA8-253.9736.15151 [27]
73 [10]Appling County2 - AAA8-253.8127.68231 [27]
74 [14]Clarke Central8 - AAAAA7-353.7244.0864 [11]
75 [15]South Effingham2 - AAAAA6-453.5449.3128 [5]
76 [20]Westlake2 - AAAAAAA6-453.4748.2036 [21]
77 [6]Darlington6 - A9-153.1228.54222 [7]
78 [12]Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA5-452.7746.6646 [7]
79 [2]Clinch County2 - A9-152.5924.28274 [7]
80 [5]Dublin3 - AA9-152.2533.63176 [8]
81 [11]Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA9-152.0427.78229 [35]
82 [13]Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA6-351.5742.9081 [12]
83 [14]Dalton6 - AAAAAA7-351.4532.13192 [53]
84 [16]Stockbridge4 - AAAAA8-251.4137.21142 [28]
85 [12]Cairo1 - AAAA8-251.4032.20191 [32]
86 [21]Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA7-351.3742.6582 [38]
87 [22]North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA6-451.2245.1758 [32]
88 [23]Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA5-551.1549.3327 [18]
89 [24]Norcross7 - AAAAAAA5-550.8747.2542 [25]
90 [25]South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA6-450.4947.7940 [23]
91 [11]Lovett5 - AAA7-349.8139.32119 [5]
92 [15]Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA3-749.5861.836 [2]
93 [26]Walton4 - AAAAAAA5-549.5048.5332 [19]
94 [13]North Oconee8 - AAAA9-149.3528.09226 [34]
95 [14]Cedartown5 - AAAA5-548.9045.5954 [5]
96 [15]Troup5 - AAAA6-448.7943.3676 [14]
97 [16]South Paulding5 - AAAAAA8-248.7237.78137 [35]
98 [7]Prince Avenue Christian8 - A8-248.6821.16307 [19]
99 [17]Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA7-348.6338.07135 [34]
100 [17]Ola4 - AAAAA7-348.5039.81110 [20]
101 [12]Liberty County2 - AAA6-248.2725.79256 [37]
102 [18]Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA9-147.9619.85319 [51]
103 [18]Tucker4 - AAAAAA6-447.4840.7399 [18]
104 [27]South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA4-647.4851.4521 [14]
105 [13]Hart County8 - AAA8-247.4329.99209 [20]
106 [19]Union Grove4 - AAAAA7-347.4129.98210 [40]
107 [28]Newnan2 - AAAAAAA6-446.7142.9480 [37]
108 [19]Creekside5 - AAAAAA6-446.6939.85108 [22]
109 [14]Calhoun6 - AAA9-146.5320.99310 [51]
110 [8]Christian Heritage6 - A9-146.1421.39301 [18]
111 [20]Brunswick2 - AAAAAA5-546.0442.5284 [13]
112 [21]Gainesville8 - AAAAAA5-545.8645.2057 [9]
113 [22]Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA6-445.7541.1896 [17]
114 [23]Alexander5 - AAAAAA6-445.5538.25131 [32]
115 [20]Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA7-345.5436.10153 [30]
116 [29]Etowah4 - AAAAAAA5-545.4345.3656 [31]
117 [30]West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA4-545.1943.6171 [36]
118 [15]Benedictine3 - AAA7-344.9127.11243 [32]
119 [16]Chapel Hill5 - AAAA5-544.9145.8651 [4]
120 [24]Morrow4 - AAAAAA6-444.5138.82121 [27]
121 [31]North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA6-444.4440.20103 [43]
122 [17]Perry2 - AAAA6-444.4340.03105 [19]
123 [6]Union County8 - AA9-144.3511.73380 [50]
124 [9]Hebron Christian8 - A6-443.9533.28178 [2]
125 [18]Thomson3 - AAAA5-543.9341.3094 [17]
126 [21]New Hampstead2 - AAAAA3-743.7655.1113 [2]
127 [19]Mary Persons2 - AAAA5-543.4244.1663 [10]
128 [22]Hiram7 - AAAAA5-543.4043.4973 [13]
129 [7]Washington County3 - AA7-343.2234.05173 [7]
130 [25]Creekview6 - AAAAAA6-443.1538.38128 [31]
131 [8]Brooks County1 - AA6-442.8337.24140 [3]
132 [32]Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA5-542.7640.55101 [42]
133 [23]Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA7-342.7432.62182 [37]
134 [24]Riverwood6 - AAAAA10-042.6919.95317 [50]
135 [9]Pepperell7 - AA8-242.5218.87332 [32]
136 [16]North Hall7 - AAA7-342.4129.71212 [21]
137 [25]Harris County1 - AAAAA5-542.1046.0150 [10]
138 [17]Islands3 - AAA8-241.8222.84284 [48]
139 [18]Dawson County7 - AAA7-341.7427.37239 [30]
140 [26]Riverdale3 - AAAAA7-341.7326.96245 [43]
141 [10]Bremen5 - AA7-341.5626.14252 [17]
142 [10]Savannah Country Day3 - A10-041.3517.97347 [27]
143 [26]Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA6-441.2734.78167 [47]
144 [11]Thomasville1 - AA6-441.2439.74111 [2]
145 [19]Pace Academy5 - AAA5-440.9738.24132 [6]
146 [12]Swainsboro2 - AA7-340.7529.67213 [13]
147 [20]Baldwin3 - AAAA4-640.7544.6561 [8]
148 [21]St. Pius X8 - AAAA5-540.4343.4374 [13]
149 [22]White County7 - AAAA5-540.4239.89107 [20]
150 [33]Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA5-540.3041.5691 [40]
151 [13]Bleckley County3 - AA7-340.1429.80211 [12]
152 [3]Wilcox County2 - A8-239.7514.17365 [22]
153 [14]Metter2 - AA8-239.6721.54299 [24]
154 [34]Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA4-639.6349.7625 [16]
155 [20]Monroe Area8 - AAA7-339.5929.03218 [23]
156 [27]Evans3 - AAAAAA7-239.4828.69221 [57]
157 [28]Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA5-539.3538.74122 [28]
158 [29]Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA3-739.2648.4234 [6]
159 [15]Fitzgerald1 - AA7-339.2226.92247 [16]
160 [35]Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA3-739.0046.6745 [27]
161 [30]M.L. King4 - AAAAAA7-338.9830.89198 [54]
162 [16]Toombs County2 - AA7-238.8918.51341 [37]
163 [31]North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA7-338.5929.31216 [56]
164 [32]Northview7 - AAAAAA6-438.4932.34190 [51]
165 [27]Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA5-538.4538.51126 [24]
166 [4]Bowdon6 - A8-238.1427.64232 [2]
167 [28]Columbia5 - AAAAA5-537.7428.94220 [41]
168 [29]Jonesboro3 - AAAAA5-537.7338.12133 [26]
169 [23]Upson-Lee2 - AAAA4-637.6643.2877 [15]
170 [11]Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A7-337.5626.08253 [10]
171 [12]Whitefield Academy6 - A7-337.4023.06283 [14]
172 [33]Douglas County5 - AAAAAA5-537.3938.41127 [30]
173 [24]Howard2 - AAAA5-536.9437.14143 [25]
174 [25]Eastside4 - AAAA7-336.5519.89318 [49]
175 [13]Mount de Sales7 - A10-036.339.06392 [34]
176 [21]Morgan County8 - AAA7-336.2826.88248 [34]
177 [5]Commerce8 - A8-236.2211.92377 [25]
178 [17]Dodge County3 - AA4-635.8140.06104 [1]
179 [18]Northeast3 - AA5-535.7634.15171 [6]
180 [26]Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA5-535.6935.81154 [28]
181 [22]Jackson4 - AAA7-335.3622.69286 [49]
182 [23]Haralson County6 - AAA8-235.2217.22354 [55]
183 [27]Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA3-735.1244.4162 [9]
184 [19]Vidalia2 - AA7-334.9823.19282 [20]
185 [14]North Cobb Christian6 - A7-334.7622.75285 [15]
186 [20]Douglass6 - AA9-134.494.51401 [59]
187 [21]Elbert County8 - AA6-434.1323.50279 [19]
188 [15]Savannah Christian3 - A6-334.0919.10329 [25]
189 [34]Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA5-534.0834.53169 [48]
190 [28]Hardaway1 - AAAA7-334.0624.64269 [41]
191 [30]East Paulding7 - AAAAA4-634.0241.3593 [19]
192 [29]Westover1 - AAAA6-433.9727.60233 [36]
193 [24]Westside (Macon)4 - AAA6-433.9628.25225 [25]
194 [35]Cambridge7 - AAAAAA4-633.7836.42148 [39]
195 [36]Pope7 - AAAAAA5-533.5735.02162 [44]
196 [36]Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA3-733.5648.0739 [22]
197 [6]Lincoln County7 - A8-233.3913.02373 [24]
198 [22]Jefferson County4 - AA8-233.3913.64370 [46]
199 [37]Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA7-233.3725.13262 [58]
200 [31]Loganville8 - AAAAA3-732.6939.68112 [21]
201 [7]Johnson County3 - A8-232.6811.15386 [30]
202 [32]Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA7-332.5421.60297 [47]
203 [37]Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA3-732.4146.1949 [30]
204 [16]Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A5-532.1829.03219 [6]
205 [30]Ridgeland6 - AAAA6-431.7527.22241 [38]
206 [31]Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA8-231.7320.90311 [48]
207 [32]Shaw1 - AAAA6-431.6627.41236 [37]
208 [38]Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA5-531.6630.64202 [55]
209 [38]Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA3-731.5943.6170 [36]
210 [8]Mitchell County1 - A9-131.55-25.86418 [48]
211 [23]Jeff Davis2 - AA7-331.4819.22328 [30]
212 [39]Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA3-731.3238.11134 [33]
213 [40]Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA3-630.9440.03106 [21]
214 [33]Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA2-830.8043.5472 [12]
215 [25]Fannin County7 - AAA6-430.7527.47235 [28]
216 [33]Madison County8 - AAAA4-630.5437.21141 [24]
217 [41]Northgate5 - AAAAAA3-730.3739.57114 [24]
218 [17]George Walton Academy8 - A6-429.9317.16355 [28]
219 [34]Pickens6 - AAAA6-429.7723.48280 [43]
220 [39]Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA4-529.7327.19242 [47]
221 [42]Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA3-729.5438.56125 [29]
222 [35]Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA7-329.2221.34302 [47]
223 [43]Effingham County2 - AAAAAA2-828.9245.0359 [10]
224 [26]Sonoraville6 - AAA5-528.6625.97255 [36]
225 [34]Cass7 - AAAAA4-628.6336.12152 [29]
226 [35]Decatur6 - AAAAA7-328.4517.77350 [53]
227 [44]Grovetown3 - AAAAAA4-628.4432.71181 [50]
228 [45]Apalachee8 - AAAAAA3-728.4439.15120 [26]
229 [18]St. Francis6 - A6-428.2319.70320 [23]
230 [27]Beach3 - AAA5-428.0825.09264 [41]
231 [36]Locust Grove4 - AAAAA1-827.9648.2035 [8]
232 [24]Southwest3 - AA4-627.6935.25159 [5]
233 [25]Heard County5 - AA4-627.3731.78195 [10]
234 [46]Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA3-727.0134.90165 [46]
235 [47]Hughes5 - AAAAAA2-826.9542.2386 [14]
236 [36]LaGrange5 - AAAA2-826.9144.8160 [7]
237 [40]Discovery6 - AAAAAAA2-826.5552.1819 [13]
238 [37]Whitewater3 - AAAAA2-826.4043.0679 [16]
239 [19]Aquinas7 - A7-325.4714.00368 [32]
240 [26]Harlem4 - AA7-325.4611.49384 [52]
241 [38]Lithonia5 - AAAAA6-425.3821.51300 [48]
242 [39]Paulding County7 - AAAAA3-725.2239.45115 [22]
243 [27]Early County1 - AA5-524.9321.18306 [27]
244 [48]River Ridge6 - AAAAAA3-724.3740.30102 [20]
245 [9]Pelham1 - A9-124.30-25.91419 [49]
246 [49]New Manchester5 - AAAAAA2-824.2636.34149 [40]
247 [20]Calvary Day3 - A6-423.6821.11309 [20]
248 [28]Windsor Forest3 - AAA5-523.5921.61296 [50]
249 [37]Chestatee7 - AAAA2-823.3943.9765 [11]
250 [38]Stephens County8 - AAAA1-923.2645.3955 [6]
251 [50]Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA3-723.2534.98163 [45]
252 [28]South Atlanta6 - AA7-323.169.74391 [57]
253 [29]Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA3-723.0137.25139 [7]
254 [30]Adairsville6 - AAA5-522.5924.37273 [45]
255 [10]Marion County4 - A8-222.575.34398 [33]
256 [40]McIntosh3 - AAAAA3-722.1932.54186 [38]
257 [11]Emanuel County Institute3 - A5-521.9718.82334 [16]
258 [12]Washington-Wilkes7 - A6-421.8818.75336 [17]
259 [41]Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-921.7346.7544 [26]
260 [51]Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-821.4936.47147 [38]
261 [41]Banneker6 - AAAAA4-621.3625.99254 [46]
262 [13]Turner County2 - A6-421.3219.25325 [14]
263 [31]Cook1 - AAA3-721.2930.21205 [19]
264 [21]First Presbyterian7 - A5-521.1918.77335 [26]
265 [29]Model7 - AA5-521.1618.70337 [34]
266 [14]Manchester4 - A8-221.114.13402 [36]
267 [42]Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA5-521.0921.27304 [49]
268 [39]Richmond Academy3 - AAAA4-521.0830.20206 [33]
269 [30]Chattooga7 - AA5-521.0521.31303 [25]
270 [32]Stone Mountain5 - AAA3-721.0530.88199 [16]
271 [43]Villa Rica7 - AAAAA2-821.0037.82136 [27]
272 [42]Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA3-720.9835.79155 [45]
273 [33]Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA4-620.9424.69268 [43]
274 [34]Central (Macon)4 - AAA3-720.6730.96197 [15]
275 [31]Hephzibah4 - AA7-220.426.25394 [58]
276 [15]Claxton3 - A6-420.3815.47363 [21]
277 [32]Temple5 - AA6-420.3016.39359 [43]
278 [16]McIntosh County Academy3 - A4-620.1924.41272 [6]
279 [52]Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA2-820.1535.53157 [41]
280 [22]Stratford Academy7 - A4-619.6224.81266 [12]
281 [35]Monroe1 - AAA4-619.1626.73250 [35]
282 [17]Warren County7 - A6-418.9211.89378 [26]
283 [33]Screven County4 - AA7-318.689.99390 [56]
284 [23]Mount Paran Christian6 - A5-418.5314.02367 [31]
285 [36]Brantley County2 - AAA5-518.0820.27314 [52]
286 [40]Dougherty1 - AAAA2-817.9733.98174 [29]
287 [37]Jackson County8 - AAA3-717.6229.12217 [22]
288 [41]Hampton4 - AAAA5-517.4818.62340 [51]
289 [24]Tattnall Square7 - A5-517.1120.17316 [22]
290 [38]Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA4-617.0819.49321 [53]
291 [34]B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA4-616.9823.78275 [18]
292 [18]Telfair County2 - A4-616.9720.43313 [13]
293 [42]LaFayette6 - AAAA3-716.9525.25261 [40]
294 [44]Grady6 - AAAAA3-716.4726.95246 [44]
295 [45]Fayette County3 - AAAAA2-816.3530.16207 [39]
296 [43]Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-1016.3443.7368 [34]
297 [44]Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-1016.1352.1918 [12]
298 [43]Spalding2 - AAAA1-916.0341.1298 [18]
299 [39]Franklin County8 - AAA2-815.8731.86194 [13]
300 [19]Gordon Lee6 - A4-615.7722.66287 [9]
301 [35]Lamar County5 - AA6-415.6110.64389 [55]
302 [36]Monticello8 - AA3-715.3827.54234 [15]
303 [44]Luella4 - AAAA4-615.3022.21291 [46]
304 [46]Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA1-914.8743.0878 [15]
305 [47]Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA2-814.8634.87166 [33]
306 [20]Trion6 - A5-514.8517.55352 [18]
307 [37]Putnam County8 - AA5-514.7818.87331 [32]
308 [25]Walker6 - A4-614.2322.04293 [17]
309 [38]Washington6 - AA4-614.0017.77349 [41]
310 [45]Gilmer6 - AAAA4-613.9218.41342 [52]
311 [48]Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA4-613.0318.13345 [52]
312 [21]Hancock Central7 - A5-512.5411.85379 [27]
313 [22]Schley County4 - A6-412.423.78403 [37]
314 [40]East Hall7 - AAA2-812.3633.94175 [10]
315 [26]Brookstone4 - A6-412.316.30393 [35]
316 [45]Campbell2 - AAAAAAA0-1012.1346.4847 [28]
317 [23]Lanier County2 - A3-712.0924.76267 [5]
318 [24]Montgomery County3 - A5-511.7513.79369 [23]
319 [25]Atkinson County2 - A3-711.4221.85294 [10]
320 [27]Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A3-711.1524.52271 [13]
321 [53]Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-1011.0840.60100 [19]
322 [41]Murray County6 - AAA4-611.0319.24327 [54]
323 [54]South Cobb6 - AAAAAA1-910.7445.7253 [8]
324 [42]Redan5 - AAA3-710.3331.62196 [14]
325 [39]Spencer5 - AA3-710.3322.13292 [21]
326 [40]Berrien1 - AA2-810.1630.08208 [11]
327 [26]Macon County4 - A6-49.964.80400 [35]
328 [41]Gordon Central7 - AA3-79.7021.56298 [23]
329 [43]East Jackson8 - AAA3-79.5524.90265 [42]
330 [28]Athens Christian8 - A4-69.5320.17315 [22]
331 [49]Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-99.3534.60168 [34]
332 [44]Worth County1 - AAA2-89.3327.07244 [33]
333 [45]Pike County4 - AAA4-69.3014.17364 [56]
334 [46]McDonough4 - AAAA4-69.2619.44322 [50]
335 [47]Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA1-98.9332.39188 [31]
336 [55]Drew4 - AAAAAA1-98.5641.9187 [15]
337 [27]Treutlen3 - A5-58.555.63396 [31]
338 [42]Therrell6 - AA3-78.3818.12346 [39]
339 [48]Columbus1 - AAAA1-98.0033.20179 [30]
340 [56]Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-107.4139.68113 [23]
341 [29]Riverside Military Academy8 - A5-57.226.12395 [36]
342 [28]Wilkinson County7 - A2-86.6425.11263 [4]
343 [46]Duluth6 - AAAAAAA1-96.5843.8066 [33]
344 [29]Dooly County4 - A4-66.5611.62382 [28]
345 [30]Jenkins County3 - A3-76.3916.18360 [20]
346 [43]Banks County8 - AA3-75.7117.40353 [42]
347 [50]Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA4-65.7017.03356 [54]
348 [44]East Laurens3 - AA1-95.5536.75145 [4]
349 [45]Laney4 - AA4-65.4013.21372 [48]
350 [46]Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA2-85.2428.01227 [26]
351 [47]Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-94.9328.29224 [24]
352 [51]Miller Grove5 - AAAAA0-104.7733.62177 [35]
353 [52]Chamblee5 - AAAAA1-84.5926.77249 [45]
354 [47]Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA4-64.2218.35344 [48]
355 [30]Strong Rock Christian5 - A2-83.8836.19150 [1]
356 [46]Westside (Augusta)4 - AA3-73.7011.05387 [53]
357 [31]Pinecrest Academy6 - A2-83.7019.28324 [24]
358 [49]Salem4 - AAAA2-83.6322.62288 [44]
359 [48]Tattnall County2 - AAA1-93.4934.14172 [9]
360 [32]Lakeview Academy8 - A2-73.4828.49223 [8]
361 [49]Coahulla Creek6 - AAA2-83.0724.57270 [44]
362 [31]Taylor County4 - A5-52.494.94399 [34]
363 [47]Glenn Hills4 - AA4-62.2412.28374 [49]
364 [50]North Clayton4 - AAAA2-81.9623.54278 [42]
365 [50]Rutland4 - AAA2-81.6627.39238 [29]
366 [57]Forest Park4 - AAAAAA1-91.2334.24170 [49]
367 [53]Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-100.8838.73123 [23]
368 [51]Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-80.4126.36251 [39]
369 [32]Charlton County2 - A1-9-0.0630.66201 [1]
370 [54]North Springs6 - AAAAA1-9-0.4627.71230 [42]
371 [51]Ringgold6 - AAA0-10-0.5430.53204 [18]
372 [48]Butler4 - AA2-8-0.9110.68388 [54]
373 [49]Bacon County2 - AA1-9-1.1132.57184 [9]
374 [33]Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-9-1.2123.26281 [8]
375 [33]Pacelli4 - A5-5-2.23-0.20407 [38]
376 [50]Dade County7 - AA2-8-2.2915.81361 [44]
377 [34]Terrell County1 - A7-3-2.33-25.01416 [46]
378 [35]Greenville4 - A4-6-2.762.05405 [38]
379 [34]Landmark Christian5 - A2-8-2.8830.79200 [4]
380 [52]Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-10-3.0922.42289 [45]
381 [51]KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-8-3.3118.84333 [33]
382 [53]West Hall7 - AAAA0-10-3.7048.5631 [2]
383 [52]Long County2 - AAA1-9-4.7939.33118 [4]
384 [36]Greene County7 - A1-9-4.9020.44312 [12]
385 [54]Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-8-6.6311.71381 [54]
386 [53]Kendrick4 - AAA1-9-7.5923.77276 [46]
387 [54]Savannah3 - AAA1-9-7.6625.51259 [40]
388 [37]Portal3 - A1-9-8.4418.88330 [15]
389 [52]Jordan5 - AA0-10-9.1918.66339 [36]
390 [53]Oglethorpe County8 - AA2-8-9.5414.10366 [45]
391 [38]Twiggs County7 - A1-9-10.0616.92357 [19]
392 [58]Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-10-11.0736.72146 [37]
393 [39]Chattahoochee County1 - A6-4-11.72-23.40415 [45]
394 [54]Coosa7 - AA1-9-11.9317.94348 [40]
395 [48]Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA0-10-12.1632.56185 [46]
396 [40]Hawkinsville4 - A2-8-13.725.52397 [32]
397 [55]Towers5 - AAA1-9-16.4832.37189 [12]
398 [35]King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-9-17.5615.64362 [30]
399 [41]Central (Talbotton)4 - A2-8-18.470.62406 [39]
400 [42]Crawford County4 - A2-8-19.44-5.08408 [40]
401 [56]Groves3 - AAA0-9-20.0627.34240 [31]
402 [55]Josey4 - AA0-10-20.3411.55383 [51]
403 [36]Georgia Military College7 - A2-8-22.403.64404 [37]
404 [56]Social Circle8 - AA2-8-23.6813.60371 [47]
405 [43]Seminole County1 - A5-5-24.51-20.53414 [44]
406 [37]Providence Christian8 - A2-8-25.7912.26375 [33]
407 [57]Armuchee7 - AA0-10-26.7319.24326 [29]
408 [38]Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-10-26.9329.63214 [5]
409 [58]Bryan County2 - AA0-9-28.3029.50215 [14]
410 [44]Miller County1 - A4-6-28.82-18.78413 [43]
411 [55]Clarkston5 - AAAAA†0-10-31.4512.21376 [55]
412 [45]Wheeler County3 - A1-9-32.4911.22385 [29]
413 [59]McNair6 - AA0-10-32.6518.36343 [38]
414 [46]Towns County8 - A0-10-37.1727.40237 [3]
415 [47]Baconton Charter1 - A4-6-39.53-28.41420 [50]
416 [1]ACE Charter7 - A†3-5-45.38-9.24409 [1]
417 [48]Calhoun County1 - A2-8-51.53-17.07412 [42]
418 [2]Glascock County7 - A†2-7-56.61-37.26421 [2]
419 [49]Stewart County1 - A1-9-63.10-25.57417 [47]
420 [3]Pataula Charter1 - A†3-7-69.64-51.39422 [3]
421 [50]Randolph-Clay1 - A0-10-69.99-15.33411 [41]
422 [56]Cross Keys5 - AAAAA†0-10-88.79-9.64410 [56]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Comp Rating Avg Rating
11 - AAAAAAA95.9580.42
21 - AAAAAA81.1068.52
33 - AAAAAAA79.9761.50
46 - AAAAAAA75.7649.32
58 - AAAAAAA75.6059.22
67 - AAAA70.3650.70
75 - A69.0133.44
81 - AAAAA68.2253.77
97 - AAAAA66.6938.36
102 - AAAAA66.3655.70
118 - AAAAAA65.7044.69
125 - AAAA65.1048.00
136 - AAAAAA64.5140.38
145 - AAA62.1236.32
154 - AAAAA60.8343.67
167 - AAAAAAA59.5531.10
172 - AAA59.5431.71
188 - AAAAA59.1335.59
195 - AAAAAAA58.5342.44
204 - AAAA57.1814.08
214 - AAAAAAA57.0744.81
222 - AAAAAAA56.6041.85
236 - A56.0123.70
 6-Div B - A50.5318.65
 6-Div A - A48.8929.71
242 - AAAA55.7940.44
258 - AA55.4217.14
268 - A55.2520.72
 8-Div A - A56.7429.17
 8-Div B - A37.3913.21
274 - AAA54.9920.95
288 - AAAA54.7740.54
295 - AAAAAA54.6036.68
307 - AAAAAA54.5134.84
312 - A53.8324.51
322 - AAAAAA53.7642.30
334 - AAAAAA53.6835.83
348 - AAA52.6132.06
353 - AAAAA51.0034.97
367 - AAA50.5230.51
371 - AAAA50.3630.74
383 - AA50.0435.62
393 - AAAA49.6134.30
403 - AAA49.1222.40
417 - AA49.1113.20
426 - AAA48.1624.19
435 - AA46.2722.55
446 - AA44.6015.57
451 - AA44.4432.72
462 - AA44.2228.95
471 - AAA43.9423.39
483 - AAAAAA40.2829.09
495 - AAAAA39.3421.70
503 - A38.8217.24
 3-Div A - A37.8923.35
 3-Div B - A27.0711.04
516 - AAAAA38.5321.98
526 - AAAA36.1722.51
537 - A35.5015.16
 7-Div B - A30.1214.54
 7-Div A - A29.8915.81
544 - AA29.6210.18
554 - A23.223.03
 4-Div A - A21.525.90
 4-Div B - A13.620.48
561 - A20.27-26.08

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
09/12StephensonMount Zion (Jonesboro)9 - 1424.8492.3%0.138
10/11Clarke CentralLoganville21 - 3819.8487.9%0.154
10/18Dooly CountyCrawford County19 - 2024.8092.3%0.157
09/06Turner CountyTaylor County7 - 1217.6385.4%0.221
11/01Carver (Atlanta)Lithia Springs14 - 1518.3286.2%0.233
10/25Burke CountyBaldwin30 - 4414.4280.9%0.235
11/08McIntosh County AcademyTreutlen0 - 2712.8378.3%0.236
10/03HamptonNorth Clayton7 - 815.5282.5%0.272
09/27ThomsonGrovetown12 - 1614.2980.7%0.275
09/05PerryWestside (Macon)13 - 3310.4774.0%0.289
11/08BufordClarke Central28 - 3113.1178.8%0.298
11/08Bleckley CountySouthwest11 - 1612.4577.6%0.299
10/18AquinasHancock Central14 - 2211.7376.4%0.299
11/01WestlakeWheeler15 - 1811.9876.8%0.316
09/06White CountyHabersham Central28 - 429.6872.5%0.317

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
92.1811/01LowndesColquitt County28 - 1713.3379.1%
85.8009/13Colquitt CountyValdosta49 - 505.8764.3%
85.7508/24Colquitt CountyNorth Gwinnett17 - 66.6866.1%
84.4109/27LowndesValdosta24 - 020.4088.5%
83.1409/27Colquitt CountyGrayson31 - 710.2773.6%
80.9010/18McEachernMarietta14 - 126.1164.8%
79.6510/25ValdostaLee County50 - 536.2265.1%
79.2109/13GraysonMarietta28 - 144.1460.2%
76.5710/11North GwinnettMill Creek45 - 38.8770.8%
76.4809/20Colquitt CountyWarner Robins31 - 1416.6484.1%
74.5110/18GraysonArcher34 - 318.5070.1%
74.4310/18Colquitt CountyCamden County34 - 1717.4185.1%
74.1808/30DaculaMill Creek24 - 213.2057.9%
73.6909/06Lee CountyPeach County17 - 405.8964.3%
73.6109/14McEachernCedar Grove29 - 714.9581.7%

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