Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 3

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Sept 1, 2021

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2021 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	2-0	104.79	999,995	4.58	937,362	862,867	787,188	666,885	0.50
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	1-0	95.29	999,551	3.81	796,278	602,717	455,086	152,243	5.57
North Cobb	3-AAAAAAA	1-1	91.86	963,800	2.57	501,207	311,218	122,170	44,082	21.68
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	1-1	89.41	1,000,000	2.30	427,173	168,714	73,583	21,384	45.76
Walton	3-AAAAAAA	2-0	89.03	932,299	2.14	378,568	197,199	68,658	19,214	51.05
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	1-1	86.58	970,087	2.45	427,053	218,287	63,847	13,942	70.73
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	1-1	86.51	971,546	2.40	402,289	204,204	58,822	12,580	78.49
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	1-1	86.12	969,706	2.33	377,941	187,049	52,219	11,249	87.90
Tift County	1-AAAAAAA	2-0	86.61	1,000,000	2.00	313,832	116,490	39,475	9,043	109.58
Roswell	5-AAAAAAA	2-0	84.95	986,994	2.35	362,013	130,534	39,015	7,413	133.90
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	1-1	85.14	999,963	2.23	341,407	121,246	39,428	7,325	135.52
Archer	7-AAAAAAA	0-2	84.55	999,966	2.19	325,573	115,590	35,563	6,202	160.24
Milton	5-AAAAAAA	1-1	84.07	982,920	2.26	324,656	112,820	29,672	5,494	181.02
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	1-1	83.55	985,457	2.25	364,598	151,955	25,182	5,359	185.60
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	1-1	84.69	1,000,000	1.77	231,598	81,420	21,622	4,158	239.50
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	2-0	84.87	809,813	1.45	190,903	69,602	19,067	3,534	281.97
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	2-0	84.11	1,000,000	1.73	216,884	73,632	18,872	3,402	292.94
McEachern	2-AAAAAAA	1-1	82.50	996,539	1.66	113,340	43,541	12,833	1,799	554.86
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	2-0	80.97	964,033	1.89	204,689	57,402	10,841	1,550	644.16
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	1-0	80.53	863,034	1.53	133,339	43,324	8,145	1,064	938.85
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	2-0	81.57	646,717	0.99	93,816	24,625	5,472	787	1,269.65
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	2-0	79.78	990,148	1.50	82,964	25,369	5,275	600	1,665.67
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	0-1	79.98	502,157	0.71	53,169	11,118	2,017	262	3,815.79
North Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	0-2	76.55	929,146	1.55	126,419	27,786	2,982	242	4,131.23
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	0-1	74.59	805,190	1.14	62,647	12,188	1,062	83	12,047.19
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	2-0	73.46	951,368	1.19	41,464	6,643	486	31	32,257.06
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	1-1	72.68	860,347	1.22	55,399	7,778	470	23	43,477.26
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	1-1	72.28	687,890	0.87	28,786	4,408	325	20	49,999.00
Alpharetta	5-AAAAAAA	1-1	72.88	769,752	1.01	29,236	4,703	321	14	71,427.57
Newnan	2-AAAAAAA	0-1	70.68	920,478	1.07	27,032	3,166	174	10	99,999.00
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	0-2	72.44	145,214	0.17	3,452	254	24	2	499,999.00
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	1-1	68.49	225,627	0.27	2,971	284	18	2	499,999.00
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	1-1	67.35	350,571	0.39	3,833	311	17	1	999,999.00
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	2-0	66.78	329,338	0.36	3,180	254	11	1	999,999.00
Gainesville	6-AAAAAAA	1-1	68.87	463,921	0.53	7,466	742	44	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	1-0	67.58	377,633	0.42	4,290	382	11	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAAA	0-1	65.20	239,639	0.27	1,512	128	3	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	8-AAAAAAA	0-1	61.16	210,961	0.23	1,202	45	-	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	1-0	55.10	141,467	0.14	147	3	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	0-0	52.26	714,329	0.73	115	1	-	-	-
Woodstock	5-AAAAAAA	0-2	58.51	56,662	0.06	54	1	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	1-1	52.49	704,819	0.72	115	-	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	0-2	49.23	468,650	0.47	28	-	-	-	-
Dunwoody	7-AAAAAAA	1-1	41.41	111,800	0.11	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	0-2	27.46	473	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	395,302	280,769	183,648	140,281	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Tift County	262,611	286,292	247,814	203,283	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	171,718	215,155	282,261	330,866	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	170,369	217,784	286,277	325,570	1,000,000	-
2-AAAAAAA	McEachern	476,260	326,179	140,472	53,628	996,539	3,461
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	362,061	349,321	187,521	91,245	990,148	9,852
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	108,431	202,683	366,131	274,123	951,368	48,632
2-AAAAAAA	Newnan	52,909	118,413	289,981	459,175	920,478	79,522
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	339	3,404	15,895	121,829	141,467	858,533
3-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	458,830	284,955	150,630	69,385	963,800	36,200
3-AAAAAAA	Walton	325,728	302,394	197,756	106,421	932,299	67,701
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	118,219	201,297	273,987	216,310	809,813	190,187
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	62,508	122,849	197,385	263,975	646,717	353,283
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	31,878	76,516	144,549	249,214	502,157	497,843
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	2,837	11,989	35,693	94,695	145,214	854,786
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	338,725	283,516	216,624	131,222	970,087	29,913
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	299,135	279,741	238,239	154,431	971,546	28,454
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	269,083	281,409	261,110	158,104	969,706	30,294
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	90,740	144,359	250,304	377,631	863,034	136,966
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	2,317	10,975	33,723	178,612	225,627	774,373
5-AAAAAAA	Roswell	409,301	303,834	199,983	73,876	986,994	13,006
5-AAAAAAA	Milton	348,523	332,344	225,421	76,632	982,920	17,080
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	209,969	279,969	333,645	140,450	964,033	35,967
5-AAAAAAA	Alpharetta	30,068	72,070	195,095	472,519	769,752	230,248
5-AAAAAAA	Etowah	2,002	10,646	38,564	188,427	239,639	760,361
5-AAAAAAA	Woodstock	137	1,137	7,292	48,096	56,662	943,338
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	693,326	198,202	69,874	24,055	985,457	14,543
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	149,928	294,180	214,214	146,868	805,190	194,810
6-AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	82,061	201,216	221,330	183,283	687,890	312,110
6-AAAAAAA	Gainesville	26,401	102,457	151,979	183,084	463,921	536,079
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	17,330	74,558	122,072	163,673	377,633	622,367
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	17,192	66,577	112,944	153,858	350,571	649,429
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	13,762	62,810	107,587	145,179	329,338	670,662
7-AAAAAAA	Archer	514,393	475,783	9,529	261	999,966	34
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	484,969	505,194	9,532	268	999,963	37
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	285	7,782	364,493	332,259	704,819	295,181
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	281	8,015	391,168	314,865	714,329	285,671
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	71	3,003	189,968	275,608	468,650	531,350
7-AAAAAAA	Dunwoody	1	223	35,281	76,295	111,800	888,200
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	29	444	473	999,527
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	797,447	195,887	6,142	519	999,995	5
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	198,162	721,640	73,091	6,658	999,551	449
8-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	3,245	61,207	567,671	297,023	929,146	70,854
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	1,136	20,100	315,191	523,920	860,347	139,653
8-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	10	1,166	37,905	171,880	210,961	789,039

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Westlake	4-AAAAAA	2-0	97.46	999,976	4.40	951,597	795,813	664,223	409,768	1.44
Buford	8-AAAAAA	2-0	97.60	999,974	4.30	930,822	743,225	647,998	399,241	1.50
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	2-0	88.88	1,000,000	3.27	819,077	272,399	180,176	64,025	14.62
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	2-0	87.66	1,000,000	3.18	790,081	244,251	149,619	47,937	19.86
Carrollton	5-AAAAAA	2-0	86.48	993,613	3.24	712,449	522,691	147,351	43,834	21.81
Rome	5-AAAAAA	1-0	83.40	980,275	2.84	597,929	393,925	85,031	19,317	50.77
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	2-0	80.92	998,549	2.54	469,118	213,696	40,396	7,312	135.76
Creekview	7-AAAAAA	1-0	77.92	933,261	1.74	195,263	58,164	10,808	1,407	709.73
Hughes	4-AAAAAA	1-1	75.85	966,768	1.97	280,921	107,230	11,895	1,168	855.16
Kell	6-AAAAAA	1-1	75.46	974,361	2.00	259,076	100,131	10,834	1,125	887.89
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	1-1	76.29	947,543	1.92	251,506	80,002	10,255	1,113	897.47
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	1-1	77.11	924,905	1.68	180,187	53,946	8,885	1,091	915.59
Richmond Hill	2-AAAAAA	0-1	75.21	988,235	1.84	194,183	60,770	7,156	735	1,359.54
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	0-2	73.69	953,582	1.75	175,544	57,352	5,285	465	2,149.54
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	1-0	73.92	767,033	1.30	124,113	42,883	3,884	369	2,709.03
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	1-1	72.47	1,000,000	2.22	231,082	60,718	4,415	325	3,075.92
Lovejoy	4-AAAAAA	1-0	72.75	914,905	1.54	142,087	41,657	3,517	278	3,596.12
Sequoyah	7-AAAAAA	1-1	72.35	761,835	1.14	88,128	27,101	2,027	133	7,517.80
Sprayberry	6-AAAAAA	0-0	70.87	892,562	1.42	102,209	26,543	1,795	124	8,063.52
River Ridge	7-AAAAAA	2-0	71.00	681,096	0.96	65,293	18,679	1,188	83	12,047.19
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	2-0	71.01	611,619	0.91	56,834	15,073	1,029	66	15,150.52
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	0-1-1	68.27	922,362	1.26	67,992	13,800	632	30	33,332.33
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	0-1	67.13	621,914	0.87	34,746	6,007	225	12	83,332.33
Dalton	5-AAAAAA	1-1	68.48	434,643	0.59	24,916	5,276	278	10	99,999.00
Riverwood	7-AAAAAA	1-0	67.56	419,605	0.52	23,930	5,754	214	8	124,999.00
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	0-1	66.86	597,269	0.83	33,248	5,686	209	6	166,665.67
Tucker	4-AAAAAA	0-2	65.70	700,800	0.89	30,457	4,380	154	6	166,665.67
Kennesaw Mountain	6-AAAAAA	2-0	65.94	703,357	0.88	24,975	3,849	150	4	249,999.00
Statesboro	2-AAAAAA	1-0	63.80	781,171	0.90	18,717	2,501	75	3	333,332.33
Evans	3-AAAAAA	2-0	59.80	989,217	1.10	67,686	10,391	162	2	499,999.00
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAAA	1-1	63.03	316,954	0.40	9,080	1,142	30	2	499,999.00
Cambridge	7-AAAAAA	0-0	64.90	272,457	0.32	10,050	1,899	45	1	999,999.00
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	1-1	61.64	266,125	0.32	5,836	619	14	-	-
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	2-0	60.98	416,332	0.48	7,183	587	14	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	1-1	61.57	250,221	0.30	5,376	586	14	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAAA	1-1	61.99	378,546	0.43	4,811	445	8	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	1-1	63.24	153,904	0.18	2,755	317	8	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	0-1	51.20	841,869	0.87	5,436	295	1	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	3-AAAAAA	0-1	49.59	796,106	0.81	3,127	133	-	-	-
Grovetown	3-AAAAAA	0-1	46.83	675,142	0.68	1,055	26	-	-	-
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	1-1	58.94	46,571	0.05	289	20	-	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	0-1	52.51	129,997	0.13	182	11	-	-	-
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	0-1	53.12	153,218	0.16	222	9	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	3-AAAAAA	0-2	43.27	422,141	0.42	234	8	-	-	-
Wheeler	6-AAAAAA	0-2	53.48	43,700	0.04	62	7	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAAA	0-2	52.73	37,484	0.04	30	1	-	-	-
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	0-2	54.92	12,342	0.01	28	1	-	-	-
Centennial	7-AAAAAA	0-2	51.03	4,646	0.00	6	1	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	0-2	40.35	275,525	0.28	50	-	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	2-AAAAAA	0-1	45.65	26,468	0.03	11	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	6-AAAAAA	1-1	50.30	16,246	0.02	9	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAAA	0-2	49.33	2,195	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Morrow	4-AAAAAA	0-2	35.75	1,219	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	6-AAAAAA	1-0	38.91	162	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	1-1	84.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	2-0	42.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	505,736	422,504	71,760	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	465,722	441,834	92,444	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	28,542	135,662	835,796	-	1,000,000	-
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	664,350	254,093	64,711	15,395	998,549	1,451
2-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	253,027	460,854	206,119	68,235	988,235	11,765
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	58,892	189,898	427,702	245,870	922,362	77,638
2-AAAAAA	Statesboro	23,076	86,955	243,989	427,151	781,171	218,829
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	393	4,469	30,963	117,393	153,218	846,782
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	259	3,536	23,191	103,011	129,997	870,003
2-AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	3	195	3,325	22,945	26,468	973,532
3-AAAAAA	Evans	682,719	208,619	72,803	25,076	989,217	10,783
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	141,698	281,051	248,819	170,301	841,869	158,131
3-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	100,245	250,021	253,371	192,469	796,106	203,894
3-AAAAAA	Grovetown	48,676	150,509	220,411	255,546	675,142	324,858
3-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	19,886	73,337	126,160	202,758	422,141	577,859
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	6,776	36,463	78,436	153,850	275,525	724,475
4-AAAAAA	Westlake	941,833	54,730	2,962	451	999,976	24
4-AAAAAA	Hughes	36,464	532,820	298,573	98,911	966,768	33,232
4-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	18,494	296,199	403,000	197,212	914,905	85,095
4-AAAAAA	Tucker	2,513	85,842	201,639	410,806	700,800	299,200
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	696	30,406	93,700	291,530	416,332	583,668
4-AAAAAA	Morrow	-	3	126	1,090	1,219	998,781
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Carrollton	575,239	310,602	85,459	22,313	993,613	6,387
5-AAAAAA	Rome	349,569	417,463	160,803	52,440	980,275	19,725
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	44,772	143,778	331,740	246,743	767,033	232,967
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	20,450	76,420	221,304	293,445	611,619	388,381
5-AAAAAA	Dalton	8,968	42,209	145,266	238,200	434,643	565,357
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	903	7,983	42,903	102,115	153,904	846,096
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	95	1,381	10,475	34,620	46,571	953,429
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	4	164	2,050	10,124	12,342	987,658
6-AAAAAA	Kell	445,341	287,606	168,913	72,501	974,361	25,639
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	295,610	308,955	234,640	114,377	953,582	46,418
6-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	193,874	245,703	267,272	185,713	892,562	107,438
6-AAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	51,413	113,067	212,445	326,432	703,357	296,643
6-AAAAAA	Pope	13,117	41,026	99,081	225,322	378,546	621,454
6-AAAAAA	Wheeler	349	1,833	8,136	33,382	43,700	956,300
6-AAAAAA	Lassiter	241	1,407	7,006	28,830	37,484	962,516
6-AAAAAA	South Cobb	55	403	2,498	13,290	16,246	983,754
6-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	9	153	162	999,838
7-AAAAAA	Creekview	378,445	280,407	176,903	97,506	933,261	66,739
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	355,452	272,710	188,288	108,455	924,905	75,095
7-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	128,801	191,594	232,693	208,747	761,835	238,165
7-AAAAAA	River Ridge	95,697	152,533	203,152	229,714	681,096	318,904
7-AAAAAA	Riverwood	29,437	67,206	120,867	202,095	419,605	580,395
7-AAAAAA	Cambridge	12,150	35,387	76,954	147,966	272,457	727,543
7-AAAAAA	Centennial	16	114	783	3,733	4,646	995,354
7-AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	2	49	360	1,784	2,195	997,805
8-AAAAAA	Buford	941,822	56,119	1,868	165	999,974	26
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	51,281	607,569	205,197	83,496	947,543	52,457
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	2,882	118,716	264,742	235,574	621,914	378,086
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	2,724	121,969	238,132	234,444	597,269	402,731
8-AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	670	40,731	110,762	164,791	316,954	683,046
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	312	30,486	92,474	142,853	266,125	733,875
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	309	24,410	86,825	138,677	250,221	749,779

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Warner Robins	1-AAAAA	2-0	101.09	999,937	4.49	867,114	841,867	783,570	623,435	0.60
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	2-0	95.02	999,988	3.69	632,333	586,529	475,431	219,933	3.55
Ware County	1-AAAAA	2-0	88.66	994,576	3.07	529,983	446,618	236,759	65,906	14.17
Coffee	1-AAAAA	1-0	87.01	990,902	2.88	488,378	396,109	179,234	44,449	21.50
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAA	1-1	81.80	997,741	2.38	237,357	171,585	61,446	11,480	86.11
Creekside	3-AAAAA	1-0	80.27	999,565	2.22	365,959	260,694	47,514	8,322	119.16
Jones County	4-AAAAA	1-1	77.84	994,979	2.84	760,121	193,411	43,911	5,790	171.71
Starr's Mill	2-AAAAA	2-0	78.33	996,299	2.71	631,263	199,714	42,395	5,742	173.16
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAA	2-0	78.94	999,250	2.08	320,482	217,526	35,131	5,488	181.22
Dutchtown	4-AAAAA	1-1	75.62	988,510	2.65	673,746	173,580	26,843	2,986	333.90
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	1-1	75.76	991,251	2.07	204,911	117,513	15,267	1,798	555.17
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	0-1	74.68	998,538	2.56	527,024	72,348	17,598	1,719	580.73
St. Pius X	5-AAAAA	1-1	75.25	999,109	2.08	208,776	115,028	15,345	1,557	641.26
Griffin	2-AAAAA	1-1	72.54	973,365	2.09	391,493	68,604	9,063	746	1,339.48
Eastside	8-AAAAA	1-0	70.76	993,317	2.32	376,119	45,216	5,757	403	2,480.39
Veterans	1-AAAAA	0-1	71.39	739,359	1.04	70,099	31,037	2,187	153	6,534.95
Decatur	5-AAAAA	2-0	67.39	985,273	1.43	54,478	19,347	1,074	41	24,389.24
Ola	4-AAAAA	1-1	64.28	745,867	1.09	105,308	9,556	433	23	43,477.26
Stockbridge	4-AAAAA	1-1	64.31	733,726	1.07	102,091	9,301	414	19	52,630.58
Jonesboro	3-AAAAA	1-0	63.36	896,448	0.94	4,049	995	46	4	249,999.00
Whitewater	2-AAAAA	1-1	61.25	646,382	0.84	61,936	3,916	112	3	333,332.33
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-1	58.72	888,686	1.57	92,610	3,736	137	1	999,999.00
Northgate	2-AAAAA	1-1	59.71	565,210	0.70	41,312	2,150	55	1	999,999.00
Wayne County	1-AAAAA	0-2	62.87	275,226	0.31	5,128	1,320	30	1	999,999.00
Harris County	2-AAAAA	0-1	61.44	636,600	0.83	61,788	3,926	122	-	-
Chapel Hill	6-AAAAA	0-2	56.67	896,805	1.31	49,128	2,388	45	-	-
New Manchester	6-AAAAA	0-2	56.10	886,522	1.28	44,507	2,073	23	-	-
Cass	7-AAAAA	1-1	60.02	724,290	0.87	6,931	1,184	19	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAAA	0-2	58.78	831,008	0.90	2,625	443	14	-	-
Villa Rica	6-AAAAA	0-2	53.14	757,582	0.96	17,029	492	9	-	-
Maynard Jackson	6-AAAAA	0-1	53.76	769,401	0.99	19,424	589	6	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	4-AAAAA	1-1	55.75	193,309	0.22	4,374	148	3	-	-
Union Grove	4-AAAAA	1-1	56.40	223,341	0.26	6,411	242	2	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	1-0	51.10	369,168	0.51	8,743	173	1	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	0-2	50.27	327,339	0.44	6,400	119	1	-	-
Hiram	7-AAAAA	0-2	53.69	262,051	0.29	549	53	1	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAAA	0-2	54.01	589,539	0.61	401	48	1	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	1-1	56.73	628,767	0.64	323	33	1	-	-
Greenbrier	8-AAAAA	0-1	50.83	361,163	0.50	8,171	163	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	6-AAAAA	0-1	50.22	607,513	0.71	6,571	113	-	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	2-AAAAA	1-0	52.64	143,575	0.16	2,696	64	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	4-AAAAA	1-1	52.86	96,918	0.11	1,177	35	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAAA	0-1	48.72	264,862	0.27	31	6	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAAA	0-2	37.39	61,041	0.07	231	3	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	5-AAAAA	2-0	48.87	245,884	0.25	27	3	-	-	-
Locust Grove	4-AAAAA	0-2	48.14	23,350	0.02	89	1	-	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	0-0	47.14	88,092	0.09	2	1	-	-	-
McIntosh	2-AAAAA	1-1	46.76	38,569	0.04	185	-	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAA	0-1	52.50	287,943	0.29	56	-	-	-	-
Midtown	6-AAAAA	0-1	39.92	78,708	0.08	53	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	1-1	42.47	24,679	0.03	4	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	5-AAAAA	0-2	43.90	84,325	0.08	3	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	3-AAAAA	0-1	45.87	85,388	0.09	1	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAA	1-0	40.81	14,547	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	0-2	29.40	3,469	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAAA	0-1	29.81	748	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	5-AAAAA	2-0	46.54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAAA	1-0	33.50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAAA	0-1	-17.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Warner Robins	758,214	192,493	46,528	2,702	999,937	63
1-AAAAA	Ware County	132,211	408,308	395,309	58,748	994,576	5,424
1-AAAAA	Coffee	107,786	377,655	434,941	70,520	990,902	9,098
1-AAAAA	Veterans	1,721	19,374	106,026	612,238	739,359	260,641
1-AAAAA	Wayne County	68	2,170	17,196	255,792	275,226	724,774
2-AAAAA	Starr's Mill	636,970	283,716	61,632	13,981	996,299	3,701
2-AAAAA	Griffin	301,844	441,042	170,043	60,436	973,365	26,635
2-AAAAA	Whitewater	23,950	99,384	256,382	266,666	646,382	353,618
2-AAAAA	Harris County	23,617	96,467	244,967	271,549	636,600	363,400
2-AAAAA	Northgate	12,949	71,640	216,524	264,097	565,210	434,790
2-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	620	6,908	41,777	94,270	143,575	856,425
2-AAAAA	McIntosh	50	843	8,675	29,001	38,569	961,431
3-AAAAA	Creekside	503,739	439,578	51,712	4,536	999,565	435
3-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	478,174	449,820	64,086	7,170	999,250	750
3-AAAAA	Jonesboro	15,435	84,604	562,096	234,313	896,448	103,552
3-AAAAA	Banneker	2,257	20,214	212,256	394,040	628,767	371,233
3-AAAAA	Mundy's Mill	356	4,826	75,796	206,965	287,943	712,057
3-AAAAA	Drew	28	549	16,881	70,634	88,092	911,908
3-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	11	383	15,413	69,581	85,388	914,612
3-AAAAA	Forest Park	-	26	1,760	12,761	14,547	985,453
4-AAAAA	Jones County	568,873	318,530	86,411	21,165	994,979	5,021
4-AAAAA	Dutchtown	365,473	440,255	141,901	40,881	988,510	11,490
4-AAAAA	Ola	32,597	108,950	322,125	282,195	745,867	254,133
4-AAAAA	Stockbridge	29,769	107,199	299,612	297,146	733,726	266,274
4-AAAAA	Union Grove	1,886	12,947	65,559	142,949	223,341	776,659
4-AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	1,074	8,677	55,430	128,128	193,309	806,691
4-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	302	3,066	24,471	69,079	96,918	903,082
4-AAAAA	Locust Grove	26	376	4,491	18,457	23,350	976,650
5-AAAAA	St. Pius X	702,590	252,946	38,149	5,424	999,109	891
5-AAAAA	Decatur	258,755	514,946	167,357	44,215	985,273	14,727
5-AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	29,274	147,520	414,401	239,813	831,008	168,992
5-AAAAA	Lithonia	7,044	55,861	212,711	313,923	589,539	410,461
5-AAAAA	Northview	1,296	14,708	76,508	172,350	264,862	735,138
5-AAAAA	Stone Mountain	964	11,864	71,413	161,643	245,884	754,116
5-AAAAA	M.L. King	77	2,155	19,461	62,632	84,325	915,675
5-AAAAA	Chamblee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	310,853	251,394	195,934	138,624	896,805	103,195
6-AAAAA	New Manchester	308,406	246,019	191,934	140,163	886,522	113,478
6-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	150,444	187,256	213,501	218,200	769,401	230,599
6-AAAAA	Villa Rica	149,931	185,378	208,756	213,517	757,582	242,418
6-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	78,352	123,182	170,720	235,259	607,513	392,487
6-AAAAA	Midtown	2,005	6,686	18,594	51,423	78,708	921,292
6-AAAAA	North Springs	9	85	561	2,814	3,469	996,531
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	823,962	156,358	19,004	664	999,988	12
7-AAAAA	Blessed Trinity	144,404	580,210	249,268	23,859	997,741	2,259
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	31,101	250,834	627,859	81,457	991,251	8,749
7-AAAAA	Cass	489	10,771	84,780	628,250	724,290	275,710
7-AAAAA	Hiram	44	1,804	18,169	242,034	262,051	737,949
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	23	920	23,736	24,679	975,321
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	601,833	320,668	68,069	7,968	998,538	1,462
8-AAAAA	Eastside	348,585	478,402	140,819	25,511	993,317	6,683
8-AAAAA	Loganville	44,484	156,280	495,237	192,685	888,686	111,314
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	2,229	17,036	100,550	249,353	369,168	630,832
8-AAAAA	Greenbrier	1,491	14,011	97,285	248,376	361,163	638,837
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	1,341	12,794	86,086	227,118	327,339	672,661
8-AAAAA	Walnut Grove	37	808	11,896	48,300	61,041	938,959
8-AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	1	58	689	748	999,252

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Marist	6-AAAA	1-0	94.50	999,997	4.57	955,388	895,773	735,539	645,588	0.55
Jefferson	8-AAAA	2-0	86.27	999,485	3.92	876,082	734,861	350,752	193,284	4.17
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	2-0	80.00	994,033	3.38	695,115	528,563	296,026	68,235	13.66
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	0-1	77.96	998,217	3.13	754,343	337,105	106,393	28,845	33.67
Cedartown	7-AAAA	1-0	75.35	998,703	3.12	622,965	361,391	166,184	23,178	42.14
Benedictine	3-AAAA	0-1	76.00	1,000,000	2.87	783,247	146,126	60,791	16,015	61.44
Carver (Columbus)	2-AAAA	1-1	72.78	998,764	2.21	239,810	153,689	62,732	7,011	141.63
Perry	4-AAAA	1-0	72.34	968,169	2.17	286,427	138,515	52,249	5,477	181.58
Cairo	1-AAAA	0-0	71.31	981,771	2.47	477,098	165,477	48,327	5,200	191.31
North Oconee	8-AAAA	1-1	69.20	917,514	1.69	223,214	92,541	23,868	1,779	561.11
Stephenson	6-AAAA	2-0	68.94	928,005	1.57	184,719	73,324	20,668	1,471	678.81
Riverdale	5-AAAA	1-0	65.59	997,796	2.24	374,537	81,021	21,612	1,072	931.84
Baldwin	4-AAAA	1-0	68.41	897,188	1.65	134,982	51,759	13,704	1,013	986.17
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	2-0	64.65	1,000,000	1.85	281,498	47,364	10,045	453	2,206.51
Troup	2-AAAA	1-1	66.61	975,875	1.62	86,727	33,742	7,441	427	2,340.92
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	0-2	65.54	838,365	1.16	83,530	26,855	5,600	279	3,583.23
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	1-0	62.93	918,501	1.85	181,628	24,988	3,541	155	6,450.61
Thomas County Central	1-AAAA	0-2	63.00	863,051	1.44	170,945	26,439	4,306	153	6,534.95
West Laurens	4-AAAA	0-1	63.79	738,308	1.12	45,899	13,145	2,256	110	9,089.91
LaGrange	2-AAAA	2-0	63.20	939,824	1.38	49,687	13,571	2,138	95	10,525.32
Howard	4-AAAA	2-0	62.41	623,154	0.89	27,339	7,489	1,124	44	22,726.27
Hardaway	2-AAAA	1-0	61.43	905,151	1.25	37,545	8,146	1,076	28	35,713.29
Westside (Macon)	4-AAAA	1-0	61.12	551,169	0.76	19,109	4,926	634	22	45,453.55
Pickens	7-AAAA	1-0	58.78	785,288	1.37	91,225	7,110	647	16	62,499.00
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-1	61.44	556,035	0.65	21,084	4,623	590	16	62,499.00
Madison County	8-AAAA	1-0	60.11	515,411	0.59	15,146	3,007	352	10	99,999.00
Jenkins	3-AAAA	1-0	57.82	1,000,000	1.29	66,697	6,331	611	9	111,110.11
Monroe	1-AAAA	1-1	56.26	511,214	0.65	32,707	2,008	136	6	166,665.67
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	0-0	55.32	629,056	0.97	42,931	2,204	163	2	499,999.00
Mays	6-AAAA	0-2	57.28	428,097	0.47	6,372	1,077	84	2	499,999.00
Arabia Mountain	6-AAAA	2-0	57.34	425,889	0.46	6,285	1,002	71	2	499,999.00
Westover	1-AAAA	0-1	56.77	532,538	0.68	36,365	2,236	165	1	999,999.00
Fayette County	5-AAAA	1-1	52.21	868,581	1.14	25,853	963	49	1	999,999.00
Spalding	4-AAAA	1-1	55.91	221,256	0.26	2,393	407	32	1	999,999.00
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-1	52.59	472,745	0.67	20,431	722	29	-	-
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	1-1	43.32	375,449	0.40	2,785	332	21	-	-
McDonough	5-AAAA	1-1	50.08	813,074	1.00	14,506	435	20	-	-
Islands	3-AAAA	0-1	50.81	1,000,000	1.08	12,460	489	18	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-1	47.17	624,867	0.71	4,716	121	2	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAAA	1-1	47.41	195,707	0.24	3,155	68	2	-	-
Dougherty	1-AAAA	1-0	47.49	113,209	0.12	1,261	25	1	-	-
Shaw	2-AAAA	0-1	42.42	34,197	0.04	29	3	1	-	-
Hampton	5-AAAA	0-1	42.66	336,458	0.36	702	11	-	-	-
Spencer	2-AAAA	1-1	47.24	110,774	0.12	297	8	-	-	-
Luella	5-AAAA	0-2	42.67	345,901	0.37	729	7	-	-	-
Columbus	2-AAAA	0-2	42.54	35,393	0.04	31	1	-	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	0-1	42.24	9,860	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	0-1	40.99	7,662	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	5-AAAA	0-1	29.69	13,323	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	0-2	13.80	4,198	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rutland	4-AAAA	0-1	35.56	756	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AAAA	0-2	22.14	17	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AAAA	0-2	20.27	5	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	0-2	29.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	659,765	275,925	52,948	9,579	998,217	1,783
1-AAAA	Cairo	285,845	471,758	174,739	49,429	981,771	18,229
1-AAAA	Thomas County Central	40,345	162,171	430,569	229,966	863,051	136,949
1-AAAA	Monroe	7,371	43,659	153,433	306,751	511,214	488,786
1-AAAA	Westover	6,494	42,981	161,673	321,390	532,538	467,462
1-AAAA	Dougherty	180	3,506	26,638	82,885	113,209	886,791
2-AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	598,731	261,143	100,007	38,883	998,764	1,236
2-AAAA	Troup	218,771	337,371	261,914	157,819	975,875	24,125
2-AAAA	LaGrange	109,902	226,434	319,337	284,151	939,824	60,176
2-AAAA	Hardaway	72,384	170,170	292,186	370,411	905,151	94,849
2-AAAA	Spencer	128	3,501	17,589	89,556	110,774	889,226
2-AAAA	Columbus	45	700	4,579	30,069	35,393	964,607
2-AAAA	Shaw	39	681	4,388	29,089	34,197	965,803
2-AAAA	Kendrick	-	-	-	17	17	999,983
2-AAAA	Jordan	-	-	-	5	5	999,995
3-AAAA	Benedictine	810,447	164,234	21,451	3,868	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	143,500	549,545	231,899	75,056	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Jenkins	38,669	216,743	472,462	272,126	1,000,000	-
3-AAAA	Islands	7,384	69,478	274,188	648,950	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	Perry	509,326	269,023	132,058	57,762	968,169	31,831
4-AAAA	Baldwin	272,753	290,400	208,791	125,244	897,188	102,812
4-AAAA	West Laurens	108,847	184,259	231,894	213,308	738,308	261,692
4-AAAA	Howard	57,827	125,984	197,895	241,448	623,154	376,846
4-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	44,085	104,558	168,347	234,179	551,169	448,831
4-AAAA	Spalding	7,162	25,766	60,946	127,382	221,256	778,744
4-AAAA	Rutland	-	10	69	677	756	999,244
5-AAAA	Riverdale	799,295	155,590	34,502	8,409	997,796	2,204
5-AAAA	Fayette County	99,837	335,386	268,294	165,064	868,581	131,419
5-AAAA	McDonough	66,106	268,682	275,817	202,469	813,074	186,926
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	24,299	143,840	210,986	245,742	624,867	375,133
5-AAAA	Hampton	5,399	49,122	103,618	178,319	336,458	663,542
5-AAAA	Luella	5,055	46,937	104,370	189,539	345,901	654,099
5-AAAA	North Clayton	9	443	2,413	10,458	13,323	986,677
6-AAAA	Marist	963,843	34,647	1,364	143	999,997	3
6-AAAA	Stephenson	24,155	509,080	279,618	115,152	928,005	71,995
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	9,930	293,507	330,634	204,294	838,365	161,635
6-AAAA	Arabia Mountain	701	55,318	122,455	247,415	425,889	574,111
6-AAAA	Mays	656	57,338	125,168	244,935	428,097	571,903
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	492	46,135	140,761	188,061	375,449	624,551
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	223	3,975	-	-	4,198	995,802
7-AAAA	Cedartown	792,860	168,317	30,635	6,891	998,703	1,297
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	131,702	403,655	258,155	124,989	918,501	81,499
7-AAAA	Pickens	50,789	224,704	286,810	222,985	785,288	214,712
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	15,989	113,608	218,373	281,086	629,056	370,944
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	7,614	72,211	152,149	240,771	472,745	527,255
7-AAAA	Ridgeland	1,046	17,505	53,878	123,278	195,707	804,293
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Jefferson	708,553	250,401	35,865	4,666	999,485	515
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	255,737	544,352	166,245	27,699	994,033	5,967
8-AAAA	North Oconee	30,855	160,736	520,047	205,876	917,514	82,486
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	2,929	23,476	147,220	382,410	556,035	443,965
8-AAAA	Madison County	1,926	21,000	128,779	363,706	515,411	484,589
8-AAAA	Chestatee	-	21	1,115	8,724	9,860	990,140
8-AAAA	East Hall	-	14	729	6,919	7,662	992,338

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	1-0	91.52	999,415	4.64	982,782	878,814	787,379	697,937	0.43
Pierce County	1-AAA	1-1	77.71	999,994	3.38	734,306	454,173	204,267	61,331	15.30
Oconee County	8-AAA	2-0	78.38	994,461	3.00	615,279	304,918	169,408	52,221	18.15
Appling County	1-AAA	2-0	76.65	999,983	3.27	709,639	425,380	159,470	47,212	20.18
Peach County	2-AAA	0-2	76.88	995,781	2.75	544,112	185,664	105,899	31,638	30.61
Crisp County	2-AAA	0-1	75.30	993,660	2.61	478,476	168,360	87,940	21,200	46.17
Stephens County	8-AAA	2-0	74.67	985,010	2.60	491,285	202,443	81,525	19,115	51.31
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	1-0	73.91	871,176	2.47	479,380	258,927	103,184	18,680	52.53
Thomson	4-AAA	2-0	72.74	997,863	2.51	445,277	207,175	44,394	11,672	84.68
Hart County	8-AAA	2-0	72.58	966,271	2.35	413,435	157,455	50,434	9,719	101.89
Greater Atlanta Christian	5-AAA	0-2	71.97	818,925	2.13	380,166	183,757	61,144	9,197	107.73
Monroe Area	8-AAA	2-0	69.95	955,585	2.22	376,014	138,624	39,549	6,958	142.72
Westminster (Atlanta)	5-AAA	1-1	71.36	782,826	1.96	331,073	152,837	47,438	6,851	144.96
Rockmart	6-AAA	1-1	69.92	996,749	1.88	275,567	126,403	37,281	4,665	213.36
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	0-1	67.31	497,941	1.03	123,804	42,778	8,373	901	1,108.88
Burke County	4-AAA	0-0	63.80	960,655	1.57	123,759	32,988	4,659	333	3,002.00
Mary Persons	2-AAA	2-0	63.01	794,121	1.27	88,709	19,824	2,851	163	6,133.97
North Hall	7-AAA	1-1	61.65	951,430	1.23	52,542	11,753	1,273	81	12,344.68
Adairsville	6-AAA	2-0	60.16	906,795	1.09	36,369	5,949	559	31	32,257.06
White County	7-AAA	0-2	59.97	923,778	1.13	40,993	7,781	711	29	34,481.76
Dawson County	7-AAA	0-2	58.58	892,624	1.05	33,510	5,638	472	15	66,665.67
North Murray	6-AAA	0-0	58.66	872,457	1.01	24,098	3,206	279	14	71,427.57
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	0-1	58.62	849,310	1.07	30,019	4,716	422	11	90,908.09
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-1	53.70	992,366	1.68	51,701	6,224	348	8	124,999.00
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	0-1	58.41	485,574	0.64	20,988	3,139	220	8	124,999.00
Jackson	2-AAA	1-1	57.91	474,812	0.62	18,796	2,694	172	4	249,999.00
Cherokee Bluff	7-AAA	2-0	54.65	754,535	0.82	14,882	1,646	82	3	333,332.33
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	1-0	51.66	987,299	1.54	31,712	3,053	139	1	999,999.00
West Hall	7-AAA	2-0	50.32	450,895	0.47	3,767	253	8	1	999,999.00
Sonoraville	6-AAA	1-0	52.72	492,232	0.52	2,735	164	7	1	999,999.00
Liberty County	3-AAA	0-1	50.56	982,328	1.45	22,802	1,869	64	-	-
Morgan County	4-AAA	0-1	53.70	590,168	0.66	6,067	560	24	-	-
Franklin County	8-AAA	1-0	51.88	96,923	0.11	2,147	203	8	-	-
Tattnall County	1-AAA	1-0	46.05	923,662	1.21	4,905	159	5	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-AAA	0-2	52.85	154,204	0.18	2,042	157	4	-	-
Harlem	4-AAA	1-1	51.24	426,827	0.46	2,084	139	2	-	-
Sumter County	2-AAA	0-1	50.68	97,132	0.11	758	47	2	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	2-0	50.38	360,176	0.38	1,103	42	2	-	-
Salem	5-AAA	2-0	52.40	20,074	0.03	395	33	2	-	-
Ringgold	6-AAA	1-0	49.36	280,827	0.29	667	19	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-AAA	0-2	37.73	609,103	0.69	833	16	-	-	-
Douglass	5-AAA	0-1	50.34	9,326	0.01	132	8	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	0-1	45.91	169,626	0.17	170	6	-	-	-
Long County	1-AAA	1-1	36.36	467,258	0.52	481	3	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	0-0	37.84	640,455	0.66	170	2	-	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	0-1	43.95	67,776	0.07	34	1	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	0-1	33.23	322,142	0.33	17	-	-	-	-
Gilmer	7-AAA	0-1	36.41	25,976	0.03	7	-	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	0-1	40.79	4,716	0.00	4	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	0-1	37.31	6,368	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
East Jackson	8-AAA	0-2	36.17	1,750	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Murray County	6-AAA	1-0	39.82	16,620	0.02	1	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	0-2	33.39	5,551	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Redan	5-AAA	1-0	41.29	317	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-AAA	0-0	25.71	69,727	0.07	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-1	15.88	5,683	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	0-2	26.04	762	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Forsyth	7-AAA	0-2	26.42	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Pierce County	565,059	428,959	5,867	109	999,994	6
1-AAA	Appling County	434,499	556,469	8,830	185	999,983	17
1-AAA	Tattnall County	387	11,824	692,106	219,345	923,662	76,338
1-AAA	Brantley County	30	1,584	171,985	435,504	609,103	390,897
1-AAA	Long County	25	1,164	121,212	344,857	467,258	532,742
2-AAA	Peach County	550,236	345,725	83,211	16,609	995,781	4,219
2-AAA	Crisp County	399,758	452,501	117,737	23,664	993,660	6,340
2-AAA	Mary Persons	37,774	127,958	394,121	234,268	794,121	205,879
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	6,608	35,779	170,019	273,168	485,574	514,426
2-AAA	Jackson	4,924	30,463	165,343	274,082	474,812	525,188
2-AAA	Central (Macon)	498	5,072	43,499	105,135	154,204	845,796
2-AAA	Sumter County	202	2,491	25,408	69,031	97,132	902,868
2-AAA	Pike County	-	11	662	4,043	4,716	995,284
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	420,681	319,019	208,292	44,374	992,366	7,634
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	315,534	319,148	284,377	68,240	987,299	12,701
3-AAA	Liberty County	251,268	317,235	331,978	81,847	982,328	17,672
3-AAA	Beach	10,493	33,816	123,470	472,676	640,455	359,545
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	1,934	9,992	45,735	264,481	322,142	677,858
3-AAA	Savannah	90	782	5,939	62,916	69,727	930,273
3-AAA	Groves	-	8	209	5,466	5,683	994,317
4-AAA	Thomson	748,512	195,865	43,438	10,048	997,863	2,137
4-AAA	Burke County	175,320	460,363	236,002	88,970	960,655	39,345
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	51,919	205,247	359,895	232,249	849,310	150,690
4-AAA	Morgan County	17,067	87,954	195,232	289,915	590,168	409,832
4-AAA	Harlem	6,528	41,590	124,334	254,375	426,827	573,173
4-AAA	Hephzibah	651	8,928	40,478	119,569	169,626	830,374
4-AAA	Cross Creek	3	53	621	4,874	5,551	994,449
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	865,912	112,835	16,418	4,250	999,415	585
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	58,918	317,826	285,234	209,198	871,176	128,824
5-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	35,834	266,457	278,618	238,016	818,925	181,075
5-AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	32,101	219,631	265,646	265,448	782,826	217,174
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	7,223	82,352	148,565	259,801	497,941	502,059
5-AAA	Salem	9	667	3,898	15,500	20,074	979,926
5-AAA	Douglass	3	231	1,603	7,489	9,326	990,674
5-AAA	Redan	-	1	18	298	317	999,683
6-AAA	Rockmart	753,578	181,239	49,927	12,005	996,749	3,251
6-AAA	Adairsville	125,868	355,987	285,423	139,517	906,795	93,205
6-AAA	North Murray	95,197	311,507	302,681	163,072	872,457	127,543
6-AAA	Sonoraville	14,934	72,658	153,698	250,942	492,232	507,768
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	6,347	45,107	108,252	200,470	360,176	639,824
6-AAA	Ringgold	3,699	28,779	79,847	168,502	280,827	719,173
6-AAA	LaFayette	343	3,991	16,001	47,441	67,776	932,224
6-AAA	Murray County	30	595	3,167	12,828	16,620	983,380
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	4	137	1,004	5,223	6,368	993,632
7-AAA	North Hall	390,892	273,001	183,421	104,116	951,430	48,570
7-AAA	White County	281,377	277,252	223,385	141,764	923,778	76,222
7-AAA	Dawson County	214,059	239,993	247,863	190,709	892,624	107,376
7-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	86,135	145,365	224,197	298,838	754,535	245,465
7-AAA	West Hall	27,434	63,573	116,736	243,152	450,895	549,105
7-AAA	Gilmer	103	813	4,325	20,735	25,976	974,024
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	-	3	73	686	762	999,238
7-AAA	East Forsyth	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAA	Oconee County	432,314	290,862	170,630	100,655	994,461	5,539
8-AAA	Stephens County	265,678	282,587	248,853	187,892	985,010	14,990
8-AAA	Hart County	178,095	229,050	277,518	281,608	966,271	33,729
8-AAA	Monroe Area	123,684	195,152	293,900	342,849	955,585	44,415
8-AAA	Franklin County	229	2,346	9,030	85,318	96,923	903,077
8-AAA	East Jackson	-	3	69	1,678	1,750	998,250

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Callaway	5-AA	2-0	80.39	999,726	3.88	745,830	679,053	463,652	287,185	2.48
Fitzgerald	1-AA	1-0	80.62	999,325	3.64	788,499	595,256	408,235	251,012	2.98
Thomasville	1-AA	2-0	77.49	997,738	3.25	677,648	514,372	289,910	141,279	6.08
Rabun County	8-AA	1-1	77.07	999,993	3.56	876,498	438,805	286,817	136,615	6.32
Dodge County	3-AA	2-0	74.96	994,369	2.88	520,560	400,819	181,097	76,253	12.11
Northeast	3-AA	2-0	74.26	989,828	2.68	465,065	351,025	151,393	60,743	15.46
Lovett	6-AA	1-1	70.24	997,953	3.16	779,069	336,282	100,409	28,764	33.77
Bleckley County	3-AA	2-0	67.54	935,074	1.62	185,791	105,979	28,094	6,449	154.06
Heard County	5-AA	2-0	64.10	945,613	2.00	181,815	80,396	15,587	2,407	414.45
Pace Academy	6-AA	0-1	62.22	968,650	2.24	445,563	93,318	14,910	2,100	475.19
Washington County	3-AA	0-0	64.53	878,917	1.28	107,917	50,121	10,413	1,794	556.41
Vidalia	2-AA	0-0	61.58	982,849	2.09	309,298	50,472	9,357	1,268	787.64
Fannin County	7-AA	1-0	61.04	995,241	1.74	94,772	44,670	7,024	883	1,131.50
Jeff Davis	2-AA	1-0	60.48	974,305	2.01	280,474	40,874	7,096	817	1,222.99
Swainsboro	2-AA	1-1	60.20	974,558	1.98	265,486	37,978	6,165	703	1,421.48
Jefferson County	4-AA	0-2	59.65	998,746	1.85	238,077	42,219	5,646	594	1,682.50
Bremen	5-AA	1-1	59.34	844,766	1.50	73,848	23,325	2,895	267	3,744.32
Haralson County	5-AA	1-1	58.30	842,946	1.44	59,920	17,321	1,907	166	6,023.10
Cook	1-AA	0-1	59.35	745,222	0.91	33,461	12,280	1,384	146	6,848.32
Elbert County	8-AA	0-1	55.95	991,181	1.63	179,395	15,039	1,800	117	8,546.01
Early County	1-AA	1-1	58.73	730,615	0.88	29,346	10,116	1,095	112	8,927.57
Washington	6-AA	1-0	56.25	852,123	1.41	160,238	16,084	1,596	104	9,614.38
Toombs County	2-AA	0-1	56.05	930,768	1.60	145,318	14,710	1,412	98	10,203.08
Putnam County	4-AA	1-0	55.27	993,587	1.51	105,085	11,801	986	73	13,697.63
Union County	8-AA	0-1	52.15	973,999	1.34	85,186	5,182	373	17	58,822.53
South Atlanta	6-AA	0-1	52.47	680,627	0.92	57,049	3,602	243	15	66,665.67
Pepperell	7-AA	0-2	53.07	932,610	1.22	17,059	3,199	222	9	111,110.11
Laney	4-AA	1-1	49.74	966,162	1.21	33,769	1,636	89	4	249,999.00
Worth County	1-AA	1-1	53.22	360,359	0.39	5,058	1,037	56	4	249,999.00
Temple	5-AA	0-1	50.00	366,949	0.49	5,044	784	38	1	999,999.00
Berrien	1-AA	1-0	48.43	166,741	0.17	877	101	8	1	999,999.00
Columbia	6-AA	0-1	49.17	444,595	0.54	17,426	759	34	-	-
Lamar County	3-AA	2-0	51.84	178,905	0.19	1,759	236	23	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	1-0	46.54	918,785	1.08	18,368	544	21	-	-
Model	7-AA	1-1	47.00	719,779	0.80	2,775	285	7	-	-
Chattooga	7-AA	0-1	45.51	674,616	0.74	1,904	174	4	-	-
Dade County	7-AA	2-0	44.12	569,992	0.61	1,019	84	2	-	-
Banks County	8-AA	0-1	39.94	692,066	0.72	2,578	43	-	-	-
East Laurens	2-AA	1-1	39.67	93,573	0.10	655	14	-	-	-
Bacon County	2-AA	0-2	35.64	43,947	0.05	115	2	-	-	-
Riverside Military Academy	8-AA	0-0	33.46	342,761	0.35	225	1	-	-	-
Therrell	6-AA	0-1	37.16	28,411	0.03	62	1	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	0-1	36.84	26,367	0.03	29	1	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	4-AA	0-0	28.98	49,304	0.05	27	-	-	-	-
Southwest	3-AA	0-1	42.42	14,951	0.02	14	-	-	-	-
Coosa	7-AA	0-1	34.59	88,110	0.09	12	-	-	-	-
Jasper County	3-AA	0-1	40.32	7,956	0.01	7	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-1	27.59	35,264	0.04	5	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-0	26.83	26,384	0.03	3	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	0-0	24.04	11,768	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
Towers	6-AA	0-1	28.29	1,260	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-2	28.95	19,652	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
McNair	6-AA	0-1	18.15	14	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Fitzgerald	624,549	336,067	34,518	4,191	999,325	675
1-AA	Thomasville	359,169	544,758	81,999	11,812	997,738	2,262
1-AA	Cook	8,995	56,687	357,994	321,546	745,222	254,778
1-AA	Early County	6,379	49,652	353,209	321,375	730,615	269,385
1-AA	Worth County	806	10,508	123,860	225,185	360,359	639,641
1-AA	Berrien	102	2,328	48,420	115,891	166,741	833,259
2-AA	Vidalia	303,184	275,950	235,794	167,921	982,849	17,151
2-AA	Jeff Davis	298,281	270,333	231,581	174,110	974,305	25,695
2-AA	Swainsboro	274,295	274,021	248,588	177,654	974,558	25,442
2-AA	Toombs County	123,543	175,485	267,919	363,821	930,768	69,232
2-AA	East Laurens	590	3,309	11,855	77,819	93,573	906,427
2-AA	Bacon County	107	902	4,263	38,675	43,947	956,053
3-AA	Dodge County	459,968	331,328	146,703	56,370	994,369	5,631
3-AA	Northeast	374,728	335,174	191,800	88,126	989,828	10,172
3-AA	Bleckley County	107,262	197,194	341,308	289,310	935,074	64,926
3-AA	Washington County	57,208	129,940	288,991	402,778	878,917	121,083
3-AA	Lamar County	826	6,175	29,258	142,646	178,905	821,095
3-AA	Southwest	7	140	1,303	13,501	14,951	985,049
3-AA	Jasper County	1	49	637	7,269	7,956	992,044
4-AA	Jefferson County	587,655	275,635	99,138	36,318	998,746	1,254
4-AA	Putnam County	273,570	393,422	222,398	104,197	993,587	6,413
4-AA	Laney	84,012	192,378	368,772	321,000	966,162	33,838
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	54,684	137,334	297,805	428,962	918,785	81,215
4-AA	Oglethorpe County	37	623	5,330	43,314	49,304	950,696
4-AA	Butler	28	353	3,301	31,582	35,264	964,736
4-AA	Glenn Hills	11	202	2,360	23,811	26,384	973,616
4-AA	Josey	3	53	896	10,816	11,768	988,232
5-AA	Callaway	857,080	124,397	14,642	3,607	999,726	274
5-AA	Heard County	89,458	443,244	276,578	136,333	945,613	54,387
5-AA	Bremen	30,492	217,010	307,182	290,082	844,766	155,234
5-AA	Haralson County	21,330	180,914	316,983	323,719	842,946	157,054
5-AA	Temple	1,640	34,435	84,615	246,259	366,949	633,051
6-AA	Lovett	690,852	240,627	54,092	12,382	997,953	2,047
6-AA	Pace Academy	230,574	427,665	222,284	88,127	968,650	31,350
6-AA	Washington	52,941	195,968	355,173	248,041	852,123	147,877
6-AA	South Atlanta	19,853	93,309	229,943	337,522	680,627	319,373
6-AA	Columbia	5,746	41,462	129,227	268,160	444,595	555,405
6-AA	Therrell	22	504	4,762	23,123	28,411	971,589
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	12	457	4,409	21,489	26,367	973,633
6-AA	Towers	-	8	110	1,142	1,260	998,740
6-AA	McNair	-	-	-	14	14	999,986
7-AA	Fannin County	717,108	206,130	55,564	16,439	995,241	4,759
7-AA	Pepperell	181,181	401,658	233,117	116,654	932,610	67,390
7-AA	Model	47,950	149,787	255,986	266,056	719,779	280,221
7-AA	Chattooga	32,576	138,465	239,569	264,006	674,616	325,384
7-AA	Dade County	20,632	98,496	189,724	261,140	569,992	430,008
7-AA	Coosa	519	4,923	22,320	60,348	88,110	911,890
7-AA	Gordon Central	34	541	3,720	15,357	19,652	980,348
8-AA	Rabun County	936,170	59,463	4,055	305	999,993	7
8-AA	Elbert County	41,890	585,435	310,534	53,322	991,181	8,819
8-AA	Union County	20,990	315,967	521,184	115,858	973,999	26,001
8-AA	Banks County	895	32,267	124,585	534,319	692,066	307,934
8-AA	Riverside Military Academy	55	6,868	39,642	296,196	342,761	657,239

Class A Public

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A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Irwin County	2-A Public	0-1	76.91	998,360	4.37	921,359	795,956	689,459	466,622	1.14
Brooks County	2-A Public	0-1	74.98	996,869	4.17	887,892	732,086	605,647	339,832	1.94
Pelham	1-A Public	2-0	65.74	999,983	3.12	767,552	299,312	155,693	50,152	18.94
Dublin	4-A Public	0-1	65.22	994,934	2.85	587,795	433,328	127,289	41,734	22.96
Metter	3-A Public	2-0	64.96	996,977	3.15	697,586	384,902	135,158	41,629	23.02
Macon County	5-A Public	2-0	63.76	986,045	2.82	615,986	189,728	88,441	25,981	37.49
Clinch County	2-A Public	0-2	61.69	843,570	1.89	341,269	175,445	40,671	9,304	106.48
Bowdon	6-A Public	2-0	59.50	995,830	2.31	347,523	168,785	34,057	6,636	149.69
Wilcox County	4-A Public	0-1	58.46	950,873	1.72	243,347	116,762	20,827	3,699	269.34
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Public	0-1-1	57.55	963,039	2.13	360,329	106,362	21,261	3,620	275.24
Mitchell County	1-A Public	1-1	56.69	996,457	2.12	384,027	134,381	18,608	2,962	336.61
Manchester	5-A Public	1-0	56.37	878,350	1.99	278,965	72,915	13,494	2,041	488.96
Commerce	8-A Public	1-1	56.39	993,694	1.96	135,711	52,666	11,571	1,683	593.18
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Public	1-1	55.24	925,202	1.79	262,464	68,938	10,297	1,393	716.88
Turner County	2-A Public	0-1	55.46	548,449	0.89	102,502	39,931	4,779	644	1,551.80
Chattahoochee County	5-A Public	2-0	53.42	748,696	1.54	174,252	38,328	4,943	556	1,797.56
Schley County	5-A Public	1-0	52.89	717,929	1.45	156,876	32,894	3,989	385	2,596.40
Lincoln County	8-A Public	1-0	52.55	980,217	1.71	91,850	28,979	3,714	346	2,889.17
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Public	0-1	51.98	979,424	1.68	84,477	25,711	3,037	313	3,193.89
Atkinson County	2-A Public	1-0	52.15	318,343	0.45	36,319	11,788	951	73	13,697.63
Johnson County	4-A Public	1-0	50.93	646,383	0.76	29,398	7,234	810	70	14,284.71
Charlton County	2-A Public	1-0	51.34	281,778	0.39	28,654	8,450	614	67	14,924.37
Social Circle	8-A Public	2-0	48.68	947,708	1.43	52,603	12,213	931	51	19,606.84
Mount Zion (Carroll)	6-A Public	2-0	47.75	866,044	1.23	35,876	8,686	543	39	25,640.03
Warren County	7-A Public	1-1	47.13	992,815	1.40	65,859	10,154	550	34	29,410.76
Hancock Central	7-A Public	0-0	47.65	992,922	1.44	77,171	13,101	721	33	30,302.03
Terrell County	1-A Public	2-0	46.86	908,602	1.16	50,814	5,577	379	24	41,665.67
Telfair County	4-A Public	0-0	48.66	509,200	0.57	14,699	3,033	296	18	55,554.56
Trion	6-A Public	1-0	46.81	826,035	1.13	27,293	5,819	328	16	62,499.00
Screven County	3-A Public	0-0	46.49	559,621	0.69	30,405	3,408	219	15	66,665.67
Taylor County	5-A Public	1-0	46.82	345,169	0.58	34,005	4,425	231	12	83,332.33
Dooly County	4-A Public	1-1	48.67	510,727	0.57	13,537	2,709	248	9	111,110.11
Gordon Lee	6-A Public	1-1	44.42	731,873	0.93	12,636	2,161	114	3	333,332.33
Montgomery County	4-A Public	1-0	45.47	277,023	0.29	3,207	496	47	2	499,999.00
Marion County	5-A Public	0-2	43.86	170,541	0.26	10,371	1,030	27	1	999,999.00
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-A Public	1-1	37.76	287,185	0.32	866	68	2	1	999,999.00
Greenville	5-A Public	2-0	43.35	153,267	0.23	8,517	841	27	-	-
Jenkins County	3-A Public	0-1	41.43	194,810	0.22	3,817	218	10	-	-
Claxton	3-A Public	0-1	42.38	257,642	0.29	6,288	473	9	-	-
Georgia Military College	7-A Public	2-0	38.69	927,419	1.04	7,875	388	4	-	-
Wilkinson County	7-A Public	1-0	35.28	928,430	1.00	3,676	125	1	-	-
Miller County	1-A Public	0-2	34.64	508,079	0.53	1,420	54	1	-	-
Wheeler County	4-A Public	1-0	41.40	100,873	0.10	386	33	1	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Public	1-1	38.80	12,631	0.01	100	11	1	-	-
Armuchee	6-A Public	1-0	36.84	293,033	0.33	636	42	-	-	-
Bryan County	3-A Public	1-1	38.14	101,489	0.11	924	41	-	-	-
Seminole County	1-A Public	0-2	32.69	438,944	0.45	758	13	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Public	1-0	26.88	147,935	0.15	47	-	-	-	-
Greene County	8-A Public	0-1	28.63	55,546	0.06	39	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Public	1-1	27.62	43,411	0.04	23	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	7-A Public	0-2	23.39	113,412	0.11	13	-	-	-	-
ACE Charter	7-A Public	0-1	18.77	43,971	0.04	3	-	-	-	-
Hawkinsville	4-A Public	0-1	34.34	9,712	0.01	3	-	-	-	-
Portal	3-A Public	0-1	24.50	1,220	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	7-A Public	0-2	11.64	1,031	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Public	0-1	25.99	275	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	5-A Public	0-2	12.98	3	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Public	0-0	17.78	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Public	0-1	16.32	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Glascock County	7-A Public	0-0	11.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
GSIC	7-A Public	0-0	-4.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Public	Pelham	907,461	88,880	2,865	777	999,983	17
1-A Public	Mitchell County	64,913	760,690	150,168	20,686	996,457	3,543
1-A Public	Terrell County	26,201	133,573	577,607	171,221	908,602	91,398
1-A Public	Miller County	1,077	10,546	136,749	359,707	508,079	491,921
1-A Public	Seminole County	328	5,506	103,355	329,755	438,944	561,056
1-A Public	Randolph-Clay	20	805	29,256	117,854	147,935	852,065
1-A Public	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Public	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Public	Irwin County	579,718	352,912	57,718	8,012	998,360	1,640
2-A Public	Brooks County	388,423	487,532	106,143	14,771	996,869	3,131
2-A Public	Clinch County	26,511	114,240	460,740	242,079	843,570	156,430
2-A Public	Turner County	3,434	26,386	198,379	320,250	548,449	451,551
2-A Public	Atkinson County	1,086	10,314	92,073	214,870	318,343	681,657
2-A Public	Charlton County	826	8,567	83,414	188,971	281,778	718,222
2-A Public	Lanier County	2	49	1,533	11,047	12,631	987,369
3-A Public	Metter	685,026	227,757	70,773	13,421	996,977	3,023
3-A Public	McIntosh County Academy	191,510	406,137	274,371	91,021	963,039	36,961
3-A Public	Emanuel County Institute	109,692	283,262	380,397	151,851	925,202	74,798
3-A Public	Screven County	9,274	49,534	148,105	352,708	559,621	440,379
3-A Public	Claxton	2,597	17,792	62,424	174,829	257,642	742,358
3-A Public	Jenkins County	1,553	12,201	45,799	135,257	194,810	805,190
3-A Public	Bryan County	348	3,316	18,045	79,780	101,489	898,511
3-A Public	Portal	-	1	86	1,133	1,220	998,780
4-A Public	Dublin	708,916	219,454	52,895	13,669	994,934	5,066
4-A Public	Wilcox County	221,933	458,463	189,759	80,718	950,873	49,127
4-A Public	Johnson County	29,615	123,602	256,227	236,939	646,383	353,617
4-A Public	Telfair County	19,530	86,297	187,345	216,028	509,200	490,800
4-A Public	Dooly County	15,168	76,975	190,445	228,139	510,727	489,273
4-A Public	Montgomery County	4,118	28,393	92,149	152,363	277,023	722,977
4-A Public	Wheeler County	710	6,541	29,073	64,549	100,873	899,127
4-A Public	Hawkinsville	10	274	2,066	7,362	9,712	990,288
4-A Public	Treutlen	-	1	41	233	275	999,725
5-A Public	Macon County	640,430	221,204	89,422	34,989	986,045	13,955
5-A Public	Manchester	169,877	321,031	234,019	153,423	878,350	121,650
5-A Public	Chattahoochee County	88,815	189,199	240,267	230,415	748,696	251,304
5-A Public	Schley County	78,341	177,078	232,478	230,032	717,929	282,071
5-A Public	Taylor County	15,478	55,588	109,634	164,469	345,169	654,831
5-A Public	Marion County	4,337	19,641	50,096	96,467	170,541	829,459
5-A Public	Greenville	2,722	16,259	44,084	90,202	153,267	846,733
5-A Public	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	3	3	999,997
6-A Public	Bowdon	747,325	182,344	50,501	15,660	995,830	4,170
6-A Public	Mount Zion (Carroll)	98,279	307,712	277,868	182,185	866,044	133,956
6-A Public	Trion	93,390	263,041	265,466	204,138	826,035	173,965
6-A Public	Gordon Lee	51,489	175,782	243,390	261,212	731,873	268,127
6-A Public	B.E.S.T. Academy	5,110	34,216	78,842	169,017	287,185	712,815
6-A Public	Armuchee	4,407	36,905	83,933	167,788	293,033	706,967
7-A Public	Hancock Central	445,166	312,999	157,266	77,491	992,922	7,078
7-A Public	Warren County	374,616	351,037	178,129	89,033	992,815	7,185
7-A Public	Georgia Military College	94,190	167,037	328,995	337,197	927,419	72,581
7-A Public	Wilkinson County	85,531	165,000	314,208	363,691	928,430	71,570
7-A Public	Crawford County	442	3,295	16,138	93,537	113,412	886,588
7-A Public	ACE Charter	55	629	5,228	38,059	43,971	956,029
7-A Public	Twiggs County	-	3	36	992	1,031	998,969
7-A Public	Glascock County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Public	GSIC	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-A Public	Commerce	453,912	287,797	162,143	89,842	993,694	6,306
8-A Public	Lincoln County	232,709	260,872	266,918	219,718	980,217	19,783
8-A Public	Washington-Wilkes	213,066	279,384	278,730	208,244	979,424	20,576
8-A Public	Social Circle	100,082	169,919	282,833	394,874	947,708	52,292
8-A Public	Greene County	148	1,215	5,508	48,675	55,546	944,454
8-A Public	Towns County	83	813	3,868	38,647	43,411	956,589

Class A Private

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A Private

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Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-A Private	0-2	76.24	1,000,000	4.03	816,500	710,353	512,285	396,281	1.52
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-A Private	2-0	72.07	1,000,000	2.95	827,487	698,028	360,782	232,620	3.30
Fellowship Christian	6-A Private	1-0	68.83	999,979	3.60	779,154	565,467	361,774	141,698	6.06
Prince Avenue Christian	8-A Private	1-1	67.46	999,946	3.01	508,306	376,955	199,436	74,449	12.43
Athens Academy	8-A Private	1-1	64.78	999,759	2.67	395,517	264,863	117,844	35,996	26.78
Calvary Day	3-A Private	2-0	64.74	1,000,000	2.71	550,230	211,834	98,265	31,117	31.14
Wesleyan	5-A Private	1-1	64.96	997,016	2.64	545,579	189,581	83,637	29,930	32.41
North Cobb Christian	7-A Private	2-0	61.71	997,479	2.80	515,730	184,352	53,133	15,314	64.30
Holy Innocents	5-A Private	1-0	62.18	992,338	2.35	427,671	132,817	49,141	12,978	76.05
Whitefield Academy	2-A Private	2-0	60.64	1,000,000	2.34	285,720	153,816	50,236	9,908	99.93
Savannah Christian	3-A Private	0-1	59.42	1,000,000	2.16	344,155	85,477	23,758	4,869	204.38
Darlington	7-A Private	0-1	58.70	994,508	2.16	319,360	91,364	22,047	4,521	220.19
Savannah Country Day	3-A Private	2-0	58.95	1,000,000	2.13	333,565	80,098	21,932	4,245	234.57
Aquinas	3-A Private	2-0	57.10	1,000,000	1.97	268,570	55,851	12,518	2,047	487.52
Stratford Academy	1-A Private	1-0	57.14	981,169	1.68	201,530	47,406	11,111	1,695	588.97
Hebron Christian	5-A Private	0-1	55.13	961,106	1.70	175,855	35,430	6,273	838	1,192.32
Mount Paran Christian	7-A Private	2-0	53.92	975,371	1.54	130,438	23,580	3,794	420	2,379.95
Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5-A Private	0-2	53.08	937,985	1.55	125,633	21,727	2,889	365	2,738.73
First Presbyterian	1-A Private	1-0	52.92	943,393	1.33	90,636	12,916	1,985	207	4,829.92
Landmark Christian	2-A Private	1-1	50.47	1,000,000	1.63	72,202	16,050	2,343	163	6,133.97
Brookstone	4-A Private	2-0	50.32	1,000,000	1.40	55,905	13,193	1,595	110	9,089.91
Christian Heritage	7-A Private	0-2	51.21	962,937	1.30	67,320	8,507	1,051	88	11,362.64
Mount de Sales	1-A Private	1-0	51.12	905,899	1.19	59,237	7,004	916	73	13,697.63
Tattnall Square	1-A Private	1-0	48.97	840,355	1.04	34,582	3,251	347	23	43,477.26
Athens Christian	8-A Private	2-0	46.51	968,239	1.07	14,414	2,002	176	16	62,499.00
St. Anne-Pacelli	4-A Private	1-0	47.09	1,000,000	1.24	24,858	4,327	396	15	66,665.67
George Walton Academy	8-A Private	0-2	46.73	977,392	1.07	13,073	1,823	177	9	111,110.11
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Private	0-2	46.14	938,457	1.01	10,277	1,551	145	5	199,999.00
St. Francis	6-A Private	0-2	40.23	774,482	0.81	1,868	164	8	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Private	1-0	38.73	744,131	0.77	1,204	76	4	-	-
Deerfield-Windsor	1-A Private	1-1	39.89	296,062	0.31	1,327	42	2	-	-
Heritage (Newnan)	4-A Private	0-1	36.82	1,000,000	1.03	1,107	59	-	-	-
Lakeview Academy	6-A Private	0-1	36.52	542,951	0.56	575	23	-	-	-
Providence Christian	5-A Private	1-1	35.98	111,555	0.12	377	13	-	-	-
Walker	7-A Private	0-2	30.15	69,705	0.07	23	-	-	-	-
Strong Rock Christian	1-A Private	0-2	29.12	33,122	0.03	10	-	-	-	-
Loganville Christian	8-A Private	0-2	22.70	54,664	0.05	5	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Private	Stratford Academy	494,818	272,460	143,275	70,616	981,169	18,831
1-A Private	First Presbyterian	228,643	289,130	254,042	171,578	943,393	56,607
1-A Private	Mount de Sales	165,363	225,791	274,104	240,641	905,899	94,101
1-A Private	Tattnall Square	103,859	186,176	259,518	290,802	840,355	159,645
1-A Private	Deerfield-Windsor	7,214	25,614	64,205	199,029	296,062	703,938
1-A Private	Strong Rock Christian	103	829	4,856	27,334	33,122	966,878
2-A Private	Eagle's Landing Christian	877,661	114,894	7,445	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Whitefield Academy	111,321	669,095	219,584	-	1,000,000	-
2-A Private	Landmark Christian	11,018	216,011	772,971	-	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Calvary Day	473,567	281,098	148,679	96,656	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Country Day	200,914	253,607	274,209	271,270	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Savannah Christian	179,308	253,358	288,328	279,006	1,000,000	-
3-A Private	Aquinas	146,211	211,937	288,784	353,068	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	934,961	60,924	3,673	442	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Brookstone	44,811	530,432	340,149	84,608	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	St. Anne-Pacelli	18,317	357,472	452,300	171,911	1,000,000	-
4-A Private	Heritage (Newnan)	1,911	51,172	203,878	743,039	1,000,000	-
5-A Private	Wesleyan	538,222	300,391	111,048	47,355	997,016	2,984
5-A Private	Holy Innocents	323,016	391,912	191,678	85,732	992,338	7,662
5-A Private	Hebron Christian	79,265	178,543	382,678	320,620	961,106	38,894
5-A Private	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	59,313	126,756	303,986	447,930	937,985	62,015
5-A Private	Providence Christian	184	2,398	10,610	98,363	111,555	888,445
6-A Private	Fellowship Christian	943,287	54,064	2,155	473	999,979	21
6-A Private	Mount Pisgah Christian	41,907	513,593	266,218	116,739	938,457	61,543
6-A Private	St. Francis	6,840	179,562	295,779	292,301	774,482	225,518
6-A Private	King's Ridge Christian	5,268	173,283	272,379	293,201	744,131	255,869
6-A Private	Lakeview Academy	2,698	79,498	163,469	297,286	542,951	457,049
7-A Private	North Cobb Christian	508,835	295,017	132,780	60,847	997,479	2,521
7-A Private	Darlington	286,354	348,642	234,214	125,298	994,508	5,492
7-A Private	Mount Paran Christian	140,849	218,115	319,056	297,351	975,371	24,629
7-A Private	Christian Heritage	63,921	137,317	309,771	451,928	962,937	37,063
7-A Private	Walker	41	909	4,179	64,576	69,705	930,295
8-A Private	Prince Avenue Christian	547,292	404,103	41,324	7,227	999,946	54
8-A Private	Athens Academy	432,245	488,314	66,034	13,166	999,759	241
8-A Private	Athens Christian	11,610	55,931	411,749	488,949	968,239	31,761
8-A Private	George Walton Academy	8,851	51,525	477,488	439,528	977,392	22,608
8-A Private	Loganville Christian	2	127	3,405	51,130	54,664	945,336

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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