Maxwell Week 7 summary

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team’s historical performance is 14.49%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,080 of 1,136 total games including 0 tie(s) (95.07%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.68 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. 

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 0.97

By Class

AAAAAAA AAAAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Lowndes7-099.141Valdosta5-184.76
2Colquitt County5-191.792Dacula6-074.33
3McEachern5-084.743Coffee5-174.14
4Grayson4-182.314Harrison6-071.08
5North Gwinnett5-181.605Lee County5-169.75
6Parkview4-180.566Allatoona4-164.90
7Archer3-278.637Dalton5-162.56
8Mill Creek5-178.168Lanier6-062.08
9Hillgrove5-076.029Houston County4-259.62
10Camden County5-075.0510Glynn Academy2-358.12
11Milton2-374.6911Northside (Warner Robins)3-357.68
12Marietta4-173.9312Tucker4-255.17
13Newton5-169.1213Brunswick3-354.64
14Roswell3-167.3114South Paulding4-154.42
15North Paulding5-066.4315Creekview4-253.85
AAAAA AAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Buford6-083.741Marist6-075.92
2Warner Robins5-177.622Cartersville6-073.44
3Carrollton6-070.093Blessed Trinity4-172.02
4Dutchtown6-068.904Woodward Academy5-070.94
5Jones County6-067.395Sandy Creek5-067.24
6Ware County3-366.766Burke County5-163.08
7Rome4-264.677Flowery Branch5-062.61
8Bainbridge5-162.328West Laurens5-161.33
9Stockbridge6-062.189Cairo5-157.06
10Kell4-160.8910Troup4-256.91
11Veterans5-157.9011Oconee County5-156.86
12Ola4-256.8512Chapel Hill3-252.92
13Clarke Central4-256.7313Denmark5-050.68
14South Effingham5-156.5714Howard4-249.80
15Wayne County4-156.5115Thomson2-448.15
AAA AA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Cedar Grove4-274.131Rockmart6-064.24
2Peach County5-170.272Rabun County6-063.70
3Pierce County5-062.993Dublin5-063.48
4Greater Atlanta Christian5-162.614Hapeville Charter4-162.22
5Crisp County4-359.235Callaway5-161.92
6Westminster (Atlanta)2-357.926Swainsboro4-155.01
7Lovett4-257.567Fitzgerald5-153.75
8Benedictine3-256.378Brooks County3-353.01
9Jefferson4-155.629Washington County4-151.71
10Jenkins5-153.4010Dodge County3-345.71
11Liberty County3-053.2011Union County6-044.32
12Hart County5-051.2612Bleckley County4-244.11
13North Murray5-149.8613Bremen2-343.43
14Calhoun4-149.8014Jefferson County4-243.13
15Appling County4-148.6815Thomasville2-439.75
A - Public A - Private
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Irwin County5-067.511Eagle's Landing Christian5-166.21
2Clinch County5-158.962Holy Innocents6-062.96
3Pelham5-043.513Athens Academy5-058.19
4Commerce4-143.194Wesleyan4-246.53
5Wilcox County5-138.595Darlington6-045.52
6Bowdon5-038.376Prince Avenue Christian4-243.76
7Mitchell County4-135.977Fellowship Christian5-043.62
8Manchester4-133.488Savannah Christian2-239.49
9Lincoln County4-233.029Hebron Christian3-238.17
10Marion County4-230.6810Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5-138.12
11Turner County5-129.2911Aquinas5-036.56
12McIntosh County Academy2-328.6212Calvary Day4-136.20
13Johnson County4-126.0513Christian Heritage4-133.41
14Emanuel County Institute2-425.5014North Cobb Christian4-132.80
15Trion5-124.9615Mount Paran Christian3-131.66

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank Team Region Rec Rating SchStr Rank
1 [1]Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA7-099.1467.4111 [11]
2 [2]Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA5-191.7970.804 [4]
3 [1]Valdosta1 - AAAAAA5-184.7664.0613 [1]
4 [3]McEachern3 - AAAAAAA5-084.7456.6631 [21]
5 [1]Buford8 - AAAAA6-083.7460.7117 [3]
6 [4]Grayson8 - AAAAAAA4-182.3168.438 [8]
7 [5]North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA5-181.6060.4118 [14]
8 [6]Parkview7 - AAAAAAA4-180.5670.375 [5]
9 [7]Archer8 - AAAAAAA3-278.6369.687 [7]
10 [8]Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA5-178.1657.9824 [18]
11 [2]Warner Robins1 - AAAAA5-177.6257.7328 [4]
12 [9]Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA5-076.0249.0668 [33]
13 [1]Marist7 - AAAA6-075.9245.9596 [15]
14 [10]Camden County1 - AAAAAAA5-075.0554.9140 [25]
15 [11]Milton5 - AAAAAAA2-374.6971.083 [3]
16 [2]Dacula8 - AAAAAA6-074.3348.0675 [15]
17 [3]Coffee1 - AAAAAA5-174.1436.63193 [47]
18 [1]Cedar Grove5 - AAA4-274.1359.2920 [1]
19 [12]Marietta3 - AAAAAAA4-173.9369.936 [6]
20 [2]Cartersville5 - AAAA6-073.4439.17168 [31]
21 [3]Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA4-172.0253.9842 [2]
22 [4]Harrison6 - AAAAAA6-071.0839.70162 [39]
23 [4]Woodward Academy4 - AAAA5-070.9432.29237 [38]
24 [2]Peach County4 - AAA5-170.2747.8177 [5]
25 [3]Carrollton7 - AAAAA6-070.0944.84107 [22]
26 [5]Lee County1 - AAAAAA5-169.7537.50182 [45]
27 [13]Newton8 - AAAAAAA5-169.1249.1267 [32]
28 [4]Dutchtown4 - AAAAA6-068.9047.1985 [16]
29 [1]Irwin County2 - A5-067.5132.66236 [6]
30 [5]Jones County4 - AAAAA6-067.3944.12114 [23]
31 [14]Roswell4 - AAAAAAA3-167.3139.63163 [43]
32 [5]Sandy Creek5 - AAAA5-067.2440.49148 [25]
33 [6]Ware County2 - AAAAA3-366.7666.3612 [1]
34 [15]North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA5-066.4340.79143 [40]
35 [1]Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A5-166.2143.17122 [1]
36 [6]Allatoona6 - AAAAAA4-164.9043.75118 [27]
37 [7]Rome7 - AAAAA4-264.6746.1294 [18]
38 [1]Rockmart7 - AA6-064.2426.10287 [30]
39 [2]Rabun County8 - AA6-063.7026.93281 [27]
40 [16]Tift County1 - AAAAAAA2-463.6068.169 [9]
41 [3]Dublin3 - AA5-063.4838.90172 [10]
42 [17]South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-263.1960.9115 [12]
43 [6]Burke County3 - AAAA5-163.0847.1086 [11]
44 [3]Pierce County2 - AAA5-062.9935.29209 [21]
45 [2]Holy Innocents5 - A6-062.9633.98220 [3]
46 [4]Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA5-162.6145.17103 [6]
47 [7]Flowery Branch7 - AAAA5-062.6140.16156 [28]
48 [7]Dalton6 - AAAAAA5-162.5641.21139 [34]
49 [18]North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA4-162.5247.0387 [34]
50 [8]Bainbridge1 - AAAAA5-162.3253.4345 [7]
51 [4]Hapeville Charter6 - AA4-162.2230.10255 [21]
52 [19]Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA3-262.1860.7816 [13]
53 [9]Stockbridge4 - AAAAA6-062.1840.25154 [31]
54 [8]Lanier8 - AAAAAA6-062.0841.94133 [31]
55 [20]Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA3-361.9859.4319 [15]
56 [5]Callaway5 - AA5-161.9233.54225 [17]
57 [8]West Laurens2 - AAAA5-161.3348.6672 [8]
58 [21]East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA1-461.3178.771 [1]
59 [10]Kell7 - AAAAA4-160.8945.29101 [21]
60 [22]Norcross7 - AAAAAAA1-560.0072.172 [2]
61 [23]Westlake2 - AAAAAAA2-359.7167.9810 [10]
62 [9]Houston County1 - AAAAAA4-259.6249.3563 [13]
63 [24]Walton4 - AAAAAAA2-359.5059.2621 [16]
64 [25]Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA6-059.4333.18229 [44]
65 [5]Crisp County1 - AAA4-359.2355.1638 [3]
66 [26]West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA1-359.0056.0432 [22]
67 [2]Clinch County2 - A5-158.9638.21177 [2]
68 [3]Athens Academy8 - A5-058.1926.49282 [10]
69 [10]Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA2-358.1257.7130 [2]
70 [6]Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA2-357.9258.1923 [2]
71 [11]Veterans1 - AAAAA5-157.9047.2883 [15]
72 [11]Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA3-357.6855.0939 [5]
73 [7]Lovett5 - AAA4-257.5650.9856 [4]
74 [9]Cairo1 - AAAA5-157.0636.84190 [33]
75 [27]Etowah4 - AAAAAAA3-357.0355.8033 [23]
76 [10]Troup5 - AAAA4-256.9148.9469 [6]
77 [11]Oconee County8 - AAAA5-156.8644.90106 [16]
78 [12]Ola4 - AAAAA4-256.8551.1554 [9]
79 [13]Clarke Central8 - AAAAA4-256.7352.9447 [8]
80 [14]South Effingham2 - AAAAA5-156.5742.71126 [25]
81 [15]Wayne County2 - AAAAA4-156.5140.14157 [32]
82 [8]Benedictine3 - AAA3-256.3718.67349 [54]
83 [9]Jefferson8 - AAA4-155.6226.40283 [42]
84 [12]Tucker4 - AAAAAA4-255.1741.65135 [32]
85 [6]Swainsboro2 - AA4-155.0143.11124 [6]
86 [16]Griffin3 - AAAAA5-154.7842.63128 [26]
87 [13]Brunswick2 - AAAAAA3-354.6448.8670 [14]
88 [28]South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA3-354.6053.8843 [26]
89 [14]South Paulding5 - AAAAAA4-154.4247.5478 [16]
90 [15]Creekview6 - AAAAAA4-253.8544.95105 [23]
91 [7]Fitzgerald1 - AA5-153.7533.08231 [19]
92 [29]Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA4-253.7446.1493 [36]
93 [10]Jenkins3 - AAA5-153.4031.61245 [31]
94 [16]Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA4-153.2933.71223 [54]
95 [11]Liberty County2 - AAA3-053.2031.82242 [29]
96 [8]Brooks County1 - AA3-353.0149.1765 [2]
97 [12]Chapel Hill5 - AAAA3-252.9250.6458 [4]
98 [30]Newnan2 - AAAAAAA3-252.7249.6162 [30]
99 [17]Mays5 - AAAAAA4-152.1336.40196 [50]
100 [17]Statesboro2 - AAAAA3-252.0850.8157 [10]
101 [9]Washington County3 - AA4-151.7136.11198 [15]
102 [18]Stephenson4 - AAAAAA4-151.6739.75161 [38]
103 [31]Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA2-351.6251.3753 [28]
104 [19]Creekside5 - AAAAAA4-251.4139.12170 [42]
105 [12]Hart County8 - AAA5-051.2633.37227 [26]
106 [13]Denmark7 - AAAA5-050.6819.53343 [48]
107 [13]North Murray6 - AAA5-149.8624.64296 [44]
108 [14]Howard2 - AAAA4-249.8042.93125 [20]
109 [14]Calhoun6 - AAA4-149.8028.29268 [38]
110 [20]Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA3-248.7945.9197 [20]
111 [15]Appling County2 - AAA4-148.6836.65192 [15]
112 [15]Thomson3 - AAAA2-448.1553.6344 [3]
113 [16]St. Pius X8 - AAAA3-348.1148.3073 [9]
114 [21]Douglas County5 - AAAAAA4-248.1141.25138 [33]
115 [16]Pace Academy5 - AAA4-147.9230.03257 [35]
116 [17]Mary Persons2 - AAAA3-347.7944.82109 [17]
117 [18]Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA5-147.6227.80272 [43]
118 [22]Alexander5 - AAAAAA3-247.5942.47129 [30]
119 [23]Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA2-347.5852.7748 [6]
120 [18]Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA3-347.4947.3782 [14]
121 [19]Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA4-147.3335.23210 [40]
122 [20]Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA5-147.3129.27262 [47]
123 [21]Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA5-146.6926.25285 [49]
124 [19]North Oconee8 - AAAA6-046.5522.59317 [46]
125 [4]Wesleyan5 - A4-246.5339.41165 [2]
126 [22]Hiram7 - AAAAA3-246.3843.89116 [24]
127 [23]Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA4-245.8440.66144 [29]
128 [24]Jonesboro3 - AAAAA3-345.7947.8276 [13]
129 [25]Union Grove4 - AAAAA3-245.7537.92180 [34]
130 [10]Dodge County3 - AA3-345.7144.20113 [5]
131 [26]New Hampstead2 - AAAAA3-345.6750.1960 [11]
132 [24]Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA2-345.6555.4437 [4]
133 [5]Darlington6 - A6-045.5223.57306 [15]
134 [20]Eastside4 - AAAA3-245.2835.81203 [34]
135 [32]Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA2-345.0650.9955 [29]
136 [27]Harris County1 - AAAAA4-244.7742.31130 [27]
137 [11]Union County8 - AA6-044.3216.69365 [51]
138 [33]North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-244.2740.19155 [42]
139 [25]Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA2-344.2343.17123 [29]
140 [21]Cedartown5 - AAAA2-444.2346.3492 [14]
141 [12]Bleckley County3 - AA4-244.1135.89201 [16]
142 [6]Prince Avenue Christian8 - A4-243.7630.59249 [6]
143 [22]Perry2 - AAAA3-343.6644.21112 [18]
144 [26]Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA4-243.6537.10187 [46]
145 [7]Fellowship Christian6 - A5-043.6215.76369 [26]
146 [3]Pelham1 - A5-043.512.23411 [46]
147 [34]Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA1-543.4658.3322 [17]
148 [27]Pope7 - AAAAAA4-243.4336.44195 [49]
149 [13]Bremen5 - AA2-343.4345.23102 [3]
150 [28]Riverwood6 - AAAAA6-043.3624.28300 [51]
151 [23]Baldwin3 - AAAA1-543.1957.8426 [1]
152 [4]Commerce8 - A4-143.1918.91347 [23]
153 [29]Riverdale3 - AAAAA5-143.1824.34299 [50]
154 [14]Jefferson County4 - AA4-243.1328.00271 [23]
155 [35]Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA1-443.1153.2246 [27]
156 [17]Islands3 - AAA5-143.0430.36252 [34]
157 [28]Evans3 - AAAAAA2-242.9544.31110 [25]
158 [18]Westside (Macon)4 - AAA4-242.8035.34208 [20]
159 [29]Gainesville8 - AAAAAA2-442.7352.0950 [8]
160 [36]Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA2-342.6546.0395 [37]
161 [30]Grovetown3 - AAAAAA3-242.5343.20121 [28]
162 [24]Upson-Lee2 - AAAA2-442.5148.6771 [7]
163 [19]Dawson County7 - AAA5-142.5123.44307 [46]
164 [20]Jackson4 - AAA3-241.9835.81202 [18]
165 [37]Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA4-241.9740.52146 [41]
166 [31]Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA2-441.9647.5379 [17]
167 [25]Westover1 - AAAA4-141.6930.13254 [41]
168 [32]M.L. King4 - AAAAAA4-141.1335.94199 [51]
169 [30]Locust Grove4 - AAAAA0-540.8562.0414 [2]
170 [26]Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA4-140.8025.75288 [44]
171 [31]Columbia5 - AAAAA2-440.6048.2374 [12]
172 [33]Effingham County2 - AAAAAA2-440.4847.5180 [18]
173 [32]Paulding County7 - AAAAA3-340.3741.67134 [28]
174 [21]Morgan County8 - AAA5-140.2627.01279 [40]
175 [27]Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA3-340.1641.50137 [22]
176 [15]Thomasville1 - AA2-439.7554.7241 [1]
177 [34]North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA4-139.5731.83241 [56]
178 [8]Savannah Christian3 - A2-239.49-2.44417 [37]
179 [33]Whitewater3 - AAAAA1-539.2755.6334 [6]
180 [28]White County7 - AAAA3-339.1441.09140 [23]
181 [34]East Paulding7 - AAAAA0-538.9857.7229 [5]
182 [38]Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA1-538.9757.7927 [20]
183 [5]Wilcox County2 - A5-138.5916.54366 [29]
184 [16]Pepperell7 - AA5-138.5721.33331 [39]
185 [17]Douglass6 - AA5-138.5519.92340 [43]
186 [6]Bowdon6 - A5-038.3724.51297 [11]
187 [35]Hughes5 - AAAAAA1-538.2551.8451 [9]
188 [9]Hebron Christian8 - A3-238.1732.13239 [4]
189 [10]Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A5-138.1227.34276 [9]
190 [36]Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA2-337.9140.90142 [35]
191 [22]Monroe Area8 - AAA4-237.6729.30261 [37]
192 [18]Vidalia2 - AA4-137.6317.39362 [49]
193 [37]Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA4-037.5722.45318 [58]
194 [23]North Hall7 - AAA3-337.3434.58216 [23]
195 [19]Metter2 - AA4-237.0327.41275 [26]
196 [29]Ridgeland6 - AAAA1-436.9649.1466 [5]
197 [38]Cambridge7 - AAAAAA3-336.6736.44194 [49]
198 [11]Aquinas7 - A5-036.5613.11380 [28]
199 [12]Calvary Day3 - A4-136.2020.18336 [19]
200 [20]Jeff Davis2 - AA6-036.1210.37393 [56]
201 [21]Northeast3 - AA2-436.0939.17167 [9]
202 [7]Mitchell County1 - A4-135.973.75408 [44]
203 [39]Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA2-335.7838.85173 [43]
204 [40]Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA2-435.7540.45149 [37]
205 [30]Madison County8 - AAAA3-335.0138.10179 [32]
206 [41]Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA3-434.9439.13169 [41]
207 [35]Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA4-234.8828.09269 [48]
208 [42]Morrow4 - AAAAAA2-434.7144.10115 [26]
209 [31]Hardaway1 - AAAA3-334.5233.91221 [36]
210 [43]Northview7 - AAAAAA3-334.4633.37226 [55]
211 [39]Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-434.3049.2164 [31]
212 [44]Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA2-334.1340.64145 [36]
213 [22]Hephzibah4 - AA4-133.8017.12363 [50]
214 [36]Cass7 - AAAAA3-333.6137.23184 [35]
215 [8]Manchester4 - A4-133.4813.15379 [34]
216 [13]Christian Heritage6 - A4-133.4119.74341 [20]
217 [32]LaGrange5 - AAAA2-333.3940.35151 [27]
218 [33]Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA2-333.2740.52147 [24]
219 [23]Heard County5 - AA1-433.2544.23111 [4]
220 [24]Elbert County8 - AA3-333.0927.44274 [25]
221 [37]Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-533.0345.35100 [20]
222 [9]Lincoln County7 - A4-233.0222.41320 [19]
223 [38]Villa Rica7 - AAAAA1-432.9440.32152 [30]
224 [25]Screven County4 - AA5-132.8818.14354 [46]
225 [14]North Cobb Christian6 - A4-132.8021.65328 [17]
226 [34]Stephens County8 - AAAA1-532.6847.2284 [10]
227 [26]Early County1 - AA4-232.5517.91358 [47]
228 [35]Richmond Academy3 - AAAA3-232.3631.65244 [40]
229 [36]Shaw1 - AAAA4-132.0822.10324 [47]
230 [40]Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA3-131.98-0.38415 [48]
231 [41]Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-431.8057.8925 [19]
232 [15]Mount Paran Christian6 - A3-131.667.19403 [33]
233 [27]Southwest3 - AA2-331.5039.89159 [8]
234 [39]Banneker6 - AAAAA2-431.3335.34207 [39]
235 [28]Toombs County2 - AA4-131.2812.10385 [55]
236 [42]Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA3-331.2327.08278 [46]
237 [16]Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A3-331.1228.50266 [8]
238 [17]George Walton Academy8 - A5-131.056.02405 [35]
239 [29]Lamar County5 - AA6-030.968.48397 [57]
240 [18]Savannah Country Day3 - A5-030.9216.04368 [25]
241 [24]Haralson County6 - AAA5-030.888.12398 [56]
242 [40]Loganville8 - AAAAA1-530.7139.44164 [33]
243 [10]Marion County4 - A4-230.6819.71342 [22]
244 [37]Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA4-230.6525.01294 [45]
245 [41]Decatur6 - AAAAA4-230.5522.81315 [52]
246 [19]Mount de Sales7 - A5-030.447.55401 [32]
247 [20]Whitefield Academy6 - A5-130.1713.50378 [27]
248 [45]Northgate5 - AAAAAA0-629.8949.9761 [12]
249 [25]Sonoraville6 - AAA3-229.8623.30310 [47]
250 [46]New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-529.7945.09104 [22]
251 [30]South Atlanta6 - AA5-129.5914.08375 [54]
252 [47]Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA2-429.5138.44175 [44]
253 [48]Alcovy3 - AAAAAA1-429.4951.6952 [10]
254 [11]Turner County2 - A5-129.2919.92339 [21]
255 [38]Pickens6 - AAAA4-229.1111.56389 [54]
256 [39]Columbus1 - AAAA1-428.9846.4491 [13]
257 [49]Apalachee8 - AAAAAA2-428.6533.88222 [53]
258 [50]Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-528.6250.2359 [11]
259 [12]McIntosh County Academy3 - A2-328.6237.10188 [3]
260 [31]Chattooga7 - AA3-328.5029.37260 [22]
261 [43]Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA0-528.4043.37120 [38]
262 [26]Fannin County7 - AAA4-127.9819.97338 [53]
263 [42]Lithonia5 - AAAAA3-327.9529.52259 [46]
264 [40]Spalding2 - AAAA1-527.9343.76117 [19]
265 [27]Monroe1 - AAA3-427.4533.15230 [27]
266 [43]Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA1-527.3146.8389 [17]
267 [51]River Ridge6 - AAAAAA2-427.1252.2249 [7]
268 [44]Fayette County3 - AAAAA2-326.6130.09256 [45]
269 [21]Brookstone4 - A4-126.237.08404 [34]
270 [28]Adairsville6 - AAA3-326.0727.09277 [39]
271 [13]Johnson County3 - A4-126.0514.70370 [30]
272 [32]Temple5 - AA4-226.0118.95345 [44]
273 [52]Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA1-525.9839.36166 [40]
274 [29]Central (Macon)4 - AAA0-625.7043.57119 [7]
275 [44]Campbell2 - AAAAAAA0-525.5655.4836 [24]
276 [14]Emanuel County Institute3 - A2-425.5028.08270 [10]
277 [30]Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA2-325.4223.18311 [48]
278 [31]Cook1 - AAA1-625.3237.14186 [14]
279 [32]Windsor Forest3 - AAA2-325.2129.66258 [36]
280 [33]Harlem4 - AA3-325.1120.22335 [42]
281 [45]Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA1-525.0745.4798 [19]
282 [15]Trion6 - A5-124.969.48396 [42]
283 [53]South Cobb6 - AAAAAA1-524.9555.5035 [3]
284 [34]Spencer5 - AA2-424.8430.57250 [20]
285 [16]Telfair County2 - A2-424.6830.18253 [8]
286 [17]Schley County4 - A3-224.5914.37372 [31]
287 [33]Beach3 - AAA1-224.1738.39176 [12]
288 [46]Grady6 - AAAAA2-424.1535.40205 [38]
289 [54]Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA0-523.9845.4099 [21]
290 [45]Lambert5 - AAAAAAA0-523.5742.09132 [39]
291 [34]Jackson County8 - AAA2-423.3930.56251 [33]
292 [41]Hampton4 - AAAA2-322.8028.30267 [42]
293 [35]Brantley County2 - AAA3-222.7522.12323 [49]
294 [42]Chestatee7 - AAAA1-522.3640.09158 [29]
295 [35]Washington6 - AA2-422.2325.13293 [32]
296 [22]St. Francis6 - A3-222.2217.99356 [23]
297 [36]Pike County4 - AAA2-322.0121.41330 [51]
298 [23]Stratford Academy7 - A1-421.7631.43246 [5]
299 [43]McDonough4 - AAAA2-321.5432.78234 [37]
300 [46]Duluth6 - AAAAAAA1-521.4846.8688 [35]
301 [18]Claxton3 - A3-221.3917.95357 [26]
302 [55]Drew4 - AAAAAA1-421.3747.4681 [19]
303 [19]Dooly County4 - A1-421.1734.10219 [5]
304 [37]Worth County1 - AAA2-421.1033.59224 [25]
305 [47]McIntosh3 - AAAAA1-420.7031.89240 [44]
306 [24]Tattnall Square7 - A3-220.637.76400 [31]
307 [56]Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA0-520.4544.84108 [24]
308 [20]Washington-Wilkes7 - A3-320.4422.60316 [17]
309 [25]First Presbyterian7 - A2-319.8121.93325 [16]
310 [21]Macon County4 - A2-319.2822.41319 [19]
311 [22]Taylor County4 - A3-219.2112.72383 [36]
312 [36]Berrien1 - AA2-419.0726.17286 [29]
313 [44]Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA0-618.9741.61136 [21]
314 [37]Westside (Augusta)4 - AA3-218.8116.46367 [52]
315 [26]Riverside Military Academy8 - A3-218.8012.96382 [29]
316 [45]North Clayton4 - AAAA1-418.5640.37150 [26]
317 [23]Terrell County1 - A4-218.2113.05381 [35]
318 [38]B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA1-518.1837.23185 [13]
319 [38]Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA2-417.9120.14337 [52]
320 [39]East Hall7 - AAA1-517.8842.21131 [8]
321 [46]LaFayette6 - AAAA3-317.8319.51344 [49]
322 [24]Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A1-516.8228.72263 [9]
323 [40]East Jackson8 - AAA3-316.6424.14301 [45]
324 [25]Charlton County2 - A1-516.6034.85213 [4]
325 [47]Luella4 - AAAA1-416.3335.11212 [35]
326 [39]Therrell6 - AA1-516.1437.50181 [11]
327 [41]Redan5 - AAA2-415.9734.75214 [22]
328 [42]Franklin County8 - AAA0-415.9438.48174 [11]
329 [48]Dougherty1 - AAAA0-515.8539.82160 [30]
330 [48]Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA1-515.6534.68215 [42]
331 [26]Chattahoochee County1 - A3-315.0614.14374 [32]
332 [40]Laney4 - AA2-414.8025.27291 [31]
333 [41]Putnam County8 - AA2-414.6333.19228 [18]
334 [49]Miller Grove5 - AAAAA0-514.6235.13211 [41]
335 [49]Salem4 - AAAA0-514.5132.27238 [39]
336 [43]Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA1-514.4135.90200 [17]
337 [27]Atkinson County2 - A2-414.2021.09333 [20]
338 [42]Banks County8 - AA3-314.1614.27373 [53]
339 [28]Montgomery County3 - A3-213.8111.69387 [37]
340 [27]Walker6 - A2-313.6921.59329 [18]
341 [44]Tattnall County2 - AAA0-513.6634.24218 [24]
342 [29]Gordon Lee6 - A2-413.4723.76302 [12]
343 [30]Warren County7 - A3-313.2011.51390 [39]
344 [28]Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A1-512.8028.56265 [7]
345 [50]North Springs6 - AAAAA1-512.7936.79191 [36]
346 [45]Rutland4 - AAA2-412.5131.79243 [30]
347 [51]Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA0-612.4535.71204 [37]
348 [31]Lanier County2 - A2-412.2723.71303 [13]
349 [43]Model7 - AA2-412.2221.13332 [40]
350 [46]Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA1-411.4738.19178 [13]
351 [44]Monticello8 - AA0-611.2937.27183 [12]
352 [29]Athens Christian8 - A2-311.2517.41361 [24]
353 [50]West Hall7 - AAAA0-611.1946.7690 [12]
354 [45]Coosa7 - AA1-511.1226.32284 [28]
355 [47]Stone Mountain5 - AAA1-410.7231.06247 [32]
356 [48]Ringgold6 - AAA0-610.5940.31153 [10]
357 [51]Cross Creek3 - AAAA2-410.0718.95346 [50]
358 [32]Jenkins County3 - A2-49.9818.09355 [25]
359 [46]Glenn Hills4 - AA1-49.1824.37298 [34]
360 [49]Long County2 - AAA1-49.1840.97141 [9]
361 [57]Forest Park4 - AAAAAA0-59.1534.28217 [52]
362 [33]Hancock Central7 - A2-38.8910.41392 [40]
363 [50]Murray County6 - AAA3-38.8511.24391 [55]
364 [52]Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA3-38.5010.21394 [55]
365 [51]Lumpkin County7 - AAA1-47.9225.23292 [43]
366 [30]Strong Rock Christian5 - A2-47.2418.90348 [21]
367 [47]Bacon County2 - AA0-66.7936.84189 [14]
368 [48]KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-46.3017.87359 [48]
369 [34]Greene County7 - A1-46.2317.71360 [27]
370 [35]Miller County1 - A1-56.0823.35309 [14]
371 [49]Gordon Central7 - AA1-55.8323.40308 [35]
372 [50]Butler4 - AA0-55.8124.87295 [33]
373 [36]Wilkinson County7 - A0-55.2439.03171 [1]
374 [31]Pacelli4 - A4-25.00-1.82416 [36]
375 [47]Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA3-24.652.35410 [47]
376 [51]East Laurens3 - AA1-54.2342.67127 [7]
377 [53]Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA1-53.7321.89326 [53]
378 [52]Gilmer6 - AAAA2-33.3312.29384 [53]
379 [52]Kendrick4 - AAA1-53.2726.96280 [41]
380 [37]Greenville4 - A1-42.7023.13312 [15]
381 [38]Seminole County1 - A3-32.693.09409 [45]
382 [48]Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA0-62.5932.70235 [45]
383 [32]Landmark Christian5 - A2-41.5711.85386 [30]
384 [53]Savannah3 - AAA1-51.1035.37206 [19]
385 [52]Jordan5 - AA0-60.2720.91334 [41]
386 [53]Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-30.0814.68371 [52]
387 [39]Treutlen3 - A3-3-0.181.71414 [48]
388 [40]Hawkinsville4 - A1-4-0.8722.99314 [16]
389 [33]Pinecrest Academy6 - A0-5-1.3925.53290 [12]
390 [53]Bryan County2 - AA0-5-1.8927.73273 [24]
391 [34]King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-4-1.9918.39352 [22]
392 [54]Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-4-2.4121.65327 [50]
393 [35]Lakeview Academy8 - A0-4-2.6025.68289 [11]
394 [54]Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-5-3.0332.95232 [43]
395 [54]Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA0-6-4.3418.60351 [51]
396 [58]Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-6-4.4728.60264 [57]
397 [55]Towers5 - AAA1-5-4.4936.22197 [16]
398 [36]Providence Christian8 - A1-4-6.3323.64305 [14]
399 [54]Oglethorpe County8 - AA2-4-6.657.83399 [58]
400 [55]Dade County7 - AA0-6-7.3618.61350 [45]
401 [56]Armuchee7 - AA0-6-8.1622.24321 [37]
402 [41]Portal3 - A0-5-9.4116.81364 [28]
403 [42]Calhoun County1 - A1-4-9.729.55395 [41]
404 [57]Josey4 - AA0-5-9.8522.13322 [38]
405 [56]Groves3 - AAA0-5-10.6732.79233 [28]
406 [58]McNair6 - AA0-6-12.6323.10313 [36]
407 [43]Crawford County4 - A1-4-12.81-3.41418 [49]
408 [44]Baconton Charter1 - A2-3-12.882.20413 [47]
409 [59]Social Circle8 - AA1-4-13.455.30406 [59]
410 [45]Central (Talbotton)4 - A1-4-13.6013.59376 [33]
411 [37]Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-6-15.9123.64304 [14]
412 [46]Towns County8 - A0-6-16.7831.05248 [7]
413 [38]Georgia Military College7 - A2-4-17.57-3.88419 [38]
414 [47]Twiggs County7 - A0-6-17.8918.23353 [24]
415 [48]Wheeler County3 - A1-4-18.3111.63388 [38]
416 [55]Clarkston5 - AAAAA†0-6-25.4013.57377 [54]
417 [49]Stewart County1 - A1-4-30.90-11.86420 [50]
418 [1]Glascock County7 - A†1-5-35.09-19.61422 [3]
419 [50]Randolph-Clay1 - A0-5-41.187.33402 [43]
420 [2]ACE Charter7 - A†0-5-50.682.22412 [1]
421 [3]Pataula Charter1 - A†2-4-56.30-15.90421 [2]
422 [56]Cross Keys5 - AAAAA†0-7-74.074.39407 [56]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Comp Rating Avg Rating
11 - AAAAAAA95.2382.66
23 - AAAAAAA82.1968.21
31 - AAAAAA81.0068.98
48 - AAAAAAA80.0364.65
56 - AAAAAAA77.4354.71
67 - AAAA72.0749.51
71 - AAAAA71.2757.44
88 - AAAAA69.9937.86
95 - AAAA69.4752.35
104 - AAAAA68.8250.66
117 - AAAAAAA68.6440.70
125 - AAAAAAA68.6149.89
136 - AAAAAA68.0246.11
147 - AAAAA66.3844.52
158 - AAAAAA66.1946.54
165 - AAA65.9340.18
174 - AAAAAAA65.8252.89
182 - AAAAA65.5855.45
192 - AAAAAAA61.7448.54
205 - A60.6831.92
212 - A58.5830.02
222 - AAAA58.3545.66
232 - AAAAAA58.0847.35
243 - AA58.0741.21
255 - AAAAAA57.8641.89
262 - AAA57.1935.05
274 - AAA56.9229.51
283 - AAAA56.2940.59
294 - AAAA55.3622.81
308 - AAAA54.9443.82
314 - AAAAAA54.2937.16
323 - AAAAA54.2040.21
331 - AA53.1740.11
347 - AAAAAA53.1637.64
358 - AAA52.3934.32
361 - AAAA52.3734.20
375 - AA51.8631.50
387 - AAA51.7728.79
393 - AAA51.7625.60
408 - AA50.7318.21
418 - A50.5923.23
 8-Div A - A49.8828.78
 8-Div B - A38.4317.47
427 - AA49.1115.07
431 - AAA48.7830.84
446 - AA48.7121.80
452 - AA48.4930.76
466 - AAA46.7524.18
476 - A46.5624.21
 6-Div A - A43.8329.46
 6-Div B - A38.0318.84
483 - AAAAAA46.2835.19
496 - AAAAA45.8629.20
505 - AAAAA41.0126.20
513 - A39.8318.89
 3-Div A - A40.0727.16
 3-Div B - A25.6110.71
526 - AAAA39.8123.40
534 - AA39.2419.72
547 - A36.0315.34
 7-Div B - A32.5215.21
 7-Div A - A28.2215.48
554 - A34.7014.00
 4-Div A - A32.1814.94
 4-Div B - A26.4313.25
561 - A34.263.32

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
09/12StephensonMount Zion (Jonesboro)9 - 1415.9283.1%0.246
09/06Turner CountyTaylor County7 - 129.1171.3%0.355
09/13Peach CountyHouston County31 - 329.6972.5%0.363
09/14CambridgeDunwoody19 - 218.1369.3%0.383
08/30CassAdairsville7 - 146.5765.8%0.393
09/06WoodstockCambridge20 - 227.4067.7%0.395
09/06Central (Carrollton)Mundy's Mill19 - 276.1965.0%0.396
09/06HarlemWashington-Wilkes14 - 265.6463.7%0.397
10/04CartersvilleCentral (Carrollton)16 - 1432.3196.2%0.400
10/04GriffinStarr's Mill35 - 386.3265.3%0.409
10/04Taylor CountyCrawford County50 - 4732.9996.4%0.411
09/13VeteransStatesboro19 - 294.8561.9%0.416
09/27WaltonNewnan7 - 105.8264.2%0.417
09/13Colquitt CountyValdosta49 - 506.0664.7%0.419
09/20West LaurensSouth Effingham30 - 315.7363.9%0.425

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
93.7911/01LowndesColquitt County - 8.3169.7%
87.3709/13Colquitt CountyValdosta49 - 506.0664.7%
86.7409/27LowndesValdosta24 - 015.3482.3%
84.4609/27Colquitt CountyGrayson31 - 710.4574.0%
84.2208/24Colquitt CountyNorth Gwinnett17 - 610.2073.5%
82.0709/06LowndesParkview38 - 719.5587.6%
80.2810/18GraysonArcher - 2.7156.7%
80.2709/27BufordArcher29 - 286.0864.7%
79.7310/11North GwinnettMill Creek - 2.4756.1%
79.6109/20Colquitt CountyWarner Robins31 - 1415.1482.0%
78.3909/13Mill CreekArcher10 - 70.5051.2%
78.1310/11McEachernHillgrove - 9.6972.5%
77.9610/18Colquitt CountyCamden County - 15.7782.9%
77.2509/06BufordMilton26 - 239.0471.2%
77.2210/18ValdostaCoffee - 9.6672.4%

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