Sports
Maxwell Week 10 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.
Oct 20
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.91 | AAAA | Troup | 54.4% | 2 | Cedartown | AAAA |
| 28.26 | AAAAAA | Lovejoy | 93.4% | 26 | M.L. King | AAAAAA |
| 22.30 | AAA | Central (Macon) | 77.4% | 12 | Rutland | AAA |
| 16.19 | AA | South Atlanta | 50.5% | 1 | Washington | AA |
| 13.32 | AAAAA | Fayette County | 93.1% | 26 | Morrow | AAAAA |
Oct 21
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76.39 | AAAAAA | Valdosta | 73.6% | 10 | Lee County | AAAAAA |
| 70.97 | AAAAAA | Harrison | 73.8% | 11 | Dalton | AAAAAA |
| 70.35 | AAAAAAA | Parkview | 57.4% | 3 | Brookwood | AAAAAAA |
| 70.15 | AAAAAAA | Colquitt County | 82.6% | 16 | Tift County | AAAAAAA |
| 66.49 | AAAAAA | Northside (Warner Robins) | 86.4% | 19 | Coffee | AAAAAA |
| 66.01 | AAAAAAA | McEachern | 87.4% | 19 | North Paulding | AAAAAAA |
| 65.01 | AAAAAAA | North Gwinnett | 67.7% | 8 | Peachtree Ridge | AAAAAAA |
| 64.55 | AAAAAAA | Mill Creek | 94.7% | 28 | Mountain View | AAAAAAA |
| 64.18 | AAAAA | Kell | 69.4% | 8 | Carrollton | AAAAA |
| 64.11 | AAAAAAA | Woodstock | 55.1% | 2 | Cherokee | AAAAAAA |
| 62.65 | AAAAAAA | Grayson | 96.3% | 32 | Newton | AAAAAAA |
| 62.00 | AAAAAAA | Lassiter | 72.5% | 10 | Walton | AAAAAAA |
| 60.57 | AAAAAAA | West Forsyth | 70.7% | 9 | Lambert | AAAAAAA |
| 60.25 | AAAAAA | Alexander | 80.6% | 14 | Creekside | AAAAAA |
| 59.40 | AAAAAAA | Roswell | 97.9% | 36 | Etowah | AAAAAAA |
| 55.91 | AAA | Westminster (Atlanta) | 76.3% | 12 | Lovett | AAA |
| 55.77 | AAAA | Marist | 57.4% | 3 | Blessed Trinity | AAAA |
| 55.63 | AA | Fitzgerald | 75.7% | 12 | Brooks County | AA |
| 54.28 | AAAAAAA | Lowndes | 93.6% | 27 | Camden County | AAAAAAA |
| 53.86 | AAAAAAA | South Gwinnett | 81.0% | 15 | Shiloh | AAAAAAA |
| 53.22 | AAAAA | Thomas County Central | 58.4% | 4 | Bainbridge | AAAAA |
| 53.05 | AAAAAAA | South Forsyth | 78.4% | 13 | North Forsyth | AAAAAAA |
| 52.17 | AAAAAA | Effingham County | 58.6% | 4 | Brunswick | AAAAAA |
| 51.81 | AAAA | Stephens County | 61.0% | 5 | Oconee County | AAAA |
| 51.69 | AAAAAAA | Westlake | 80.5% | 14 | Newnan | AAAAAAA |
| 50.78 | AAAAA | Jones County | 74.2% | 11 | Ola | AAAAA |
| 50.67 | AAAA | Mary Persons | 67.1% | 7 | West Laurens | AAAA |
| 49.65 | AAAAAA | Alpharetta | 56.7% | 3 | Cambridge | AAAAAA |
| 49.51 | AAAAAA | Allatoona | 82.6% | 16 | Sequoyah | AAAAAA |
| 49.26 | AAAAAAA | North Cobb | 93.0% | 26 | Marietta | AAAAAAA |
| 48.89 | AAAAAA | Glynn Academy | 89.4% | 21 | Richmond Hill | AAAAAA |
| 47.10 | A - Private | Wesleyan | 62.3% | 5 | Landmark Christian | A - Private |
| 45.09 | AAAAA | Riverdale | 64.5% | 6 | Whitewater | AAAAA |
| 44.55 | AAA | Calhoun | 76.2% | 12 | Sonoraville | AAA |
| 43.86 | AAAA | Jefferson | 83.3% | 16 | St. Pius X | AAAA |
| 43.17 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 87.2% | 19 | LaGrange | AAAA |
| 42.31 | AAAAA | Locust Grove | 75.2% | 11 | Eagle's Landing | AAAAA |
| 41.97 | AAAAA | East Paulding | 54.3% | 2 | Hiram | AAAAA |
| 41.29 | AAA | Crisp County | 84.3% | 17 | Cook | AAA |
| 41.23 | AAAA | Cartersville | 98.4% | 37 | Chapel Hill | AAAA |
| 40.78 | AAAAAA | Tucker | 96.1% | 31 | Drew | AAAAAA |
| 40.72 | AAAAAAA | East Coweta | 90.2% | 22 | Pebblebrook | AAAAAAA |
| 40.22 | AAAAAA | Gainesville | 72.7% | 10 | Winder-Barrow | AAAAAA |
| 39.55 | AA | Rabun County | 89.0% | 21 | Elbert County | AA |
| 39.46 | AAAAAA | Dacula | 81.6% | 15 | Habersham Central | AAAAAA |
| 39.39 | AAAAA | Cass | 51.9% | 1 | Paulding County | AAAAA |
| 39.10 | AAAAA | Rome | 95.9% | 31 | Villa Rica | AAAAA |
| 39.08 | AAAA | Cairo | 84.8% | 17 | Westover | AAAA |
| 38.67 | AAAAAAA | Hillgrove | 92.5% | 25 | Kennesaw Mountain | AAAAAAA |
| 38.60 | AAAA | Hardaway | 51.7% | 1 | Americus-Sumter | AAAA |
| 38.45 | AAAAA | Veterans | 72.0% | 10 | Harris County | AAAAA |
| 38.42 | AA | Washington County | 67.1% | 7 | Southwest | AA |
| 37.90 | AAAAA | Carver (Atlanta) | 81.8% | 15 | Banneker | AAAAA |
| 37.55 | AAA | Pike County | 52.0% | 1 | Westside (Macon) | AAA |
| 37.29 | AAAA | Carver (Columbus) | 65.4% | 7 | Columbus | AAAA |
| 37.04 | AAAA | Woodward Academy | 97.6% | 35 | Luella | AAAA |
| 36.41 | AA | Lamar County | 57.1% | 3 | Spencer | AA |
| 35.74 | AAAAAA | Pope | 61.7% | 5 | Chattahoochee | AAAAAA |
| 35.53 | AAAA | Ridgeland | 87.3% | 19 | Pickens | AAAA |
| 35.24 | AAAAAA | Stephenson | 89.4% | 21 | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | AAAAAA |
| 35.21 | AAAAAA | Mays | 97.9% | 36 | South Paulding | AAAAAA |
| 34.67 | AAAAAAA | Milton | 88.0% | 20 | Forsyth Central | AAAAAAA |
| 34.51 | A - Public | Dooly County | 53.5% | 2 | Taylor County | A - Public |
| 34.11 | AAAAAAA | Archer | 97.9% | 36 | Rockdale County | AAAAAAA |
| 33.80 | A - Private | Tattnall Square | 88.7% | 21 | First Presbyterian | A - Private |
| 33.74 | AAAA | Spalding | 86.0% | 18 | Perry | AAAA |
| 33.58 | AAAAA | Griffin | 91.1% | 23 | McIntosh | AAAAA |
| 33.46 | AAAAAA | Mundy's Mill | 51.1% | 1 | Jonesboro | AAAAAA |
| 32.89 | A - Private | Fellowship Christian | 84.5% | 17 | Mount Pisgah Christian | A - Private |
| 32.64 | AA | Hapeville Charter | 66.0% | 7 | Douglass | AA |
| 32.48 | AAAAA | Southwest DeKalb | 77.1% | 12 | Lithonia | AAAAA |
| 32.27 | AAA | Appling County | 67.1% | 7 | Brantley County | AAA |
| 32.07 | AAA | Greater Atlanta Christian | 98.1% | 37 | North Hall | AAA |
| 31.95 | AAAAAA | Sprayberry | 82.0% | 15 | River Ridge | AAAAAA |
| 31.85 | AAAAAA | Northgate | 96.6% | 32 | Tri-Cities | AAAAAA |
| 31.44 | A - Private | Aquinas | 66.7% | 7 | Washington-Wilkes | A - Public |
| 31.08 | AAAAA | Clarke Central | 82.2% | 15 | Flowery Branch | AAAAA |
| 30.85 | AAAAAA | Heritage (Conyers) | 81.8% | 15 | Lakeside (Evans) | AAAAAA |
| 30.78 | AAA | Morgan County | 63.2% | 6 | Hart County | AAA |
| 30.32 | A - Public | Lincoln County | 69.4% | 8 | Greene County | A - Public |
| 29.74 | AAAAA | Riverwood | 67.4% | 7 | North Springs | AAAAA |
| 29.17 | A - Private | Athens Academy | 61.6% | 5 | George Walton Academy | A - Private |
| 29.09 | AAAAAA | Creekview | 90.9% | 23 | South Cobb | AAAAAA |
| 28.86 | AAAAA | Loganville | 94.0% | 27 | Cedar Shoals | AAAAA |
| 28.83 | AAAA | Burke County | 91.2% | 23 | Baldwin | AAAA |
| 28.66 | AAA | Bremen | 62.1% | 5 | Adairsville | AAA |
| 27.82 | AAA | Jenkins | 69.1% | 8 | Savannah | AAA |
| 27.80 | AAAAAA | Evans | 80.7% | 14 | Greenbrier | AAAAAA |
| 27.74 | AAAAA | Buford | 99.5% | 41 | Walnut Grove | AAAAA |
| 27.42 | AA | K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | 61.2% | 5 | B.E.S.T. Academy | AA |
| 26.56 | AAAA | Northside (Columbus) | 72.7% | 10 | Shaw | AAAA |
| 25.88 | AAAAAA | Northview | 65.0% | 6 | North Atlanta | AAAAAA |
| 25.80 | AAAAAA | Hughes | 98.1% | 36 | New Manchester | AAAAAA |
| 25.49 | AAA | Worth County | 87.2% | 19 | Dougherty | AAA |
| 24.95 | AAAA | Salem | 82.2% | 15 | North Clayton | AAAA |
| 24.52 | A - Public | Telfair County | 55.4% | 2 | Charlton County | A - Public |
| 24.26 | AAAAA | Dutchtown | 93.5% | 26 | Union Grove | AAAAA |
| 23.60 | AAA | Pierce County | 89.3% | 21 | Tattnall County | AAA |
| 23.52 | AA | Vidalia | 88.1% | 20 | Swainsboro | AA |
| 23.33 | AAAA | Upson-Lee | 88.6% | 21 | Howard | AAAA |
| 23.15 | AAAA | Chestatee | 51.8% | 1 | White County | AAAA |
| 23.05 | AAA | Dawson County | 89.9% | 22 | East Hall | AAA |
| 22.75 | AAAAA | Ware County | 98.8% | 39 | South Effingham | AAAAA |
| 22.39 | A - Public | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 95.0% | 29 | Trion | A - Public |
| 20.41 | AAAAAA | Lanier | 98.3% | 37 | Apalachee | AAAAAA |
| 20.21 | AAAAA | Grady | 99.1% | 40 | Maynard Jackson | AAAAA |
| 20.13 | AAAAA | Columbia | 58.4% | 4 | Miller Grove | AAAAA |
| 19.24 | AAAAAAA | Wheeler | 96.5% | 32 | Campbell | AAAAAAA |
| 19.14 | AA | Toombs County | 87.1% | 19 | Metter | AA |
| 18.70 | AAAAAAA | Discovery | 61.0% | 5 | Duluth | AAAAAAA |
| 18.64 | A - Public | Warren County | 54.9% | 2 | Hancock Central | A - Public |
| 18.57 | A - Public | Turner County | 83.7% | 16 | Atkinson County | A - Public |
| 18.25 | A - Public | Randolph-Clay | 71.5% | 9 | Miller County | A - Public |
| 18.15 | AA | Dublin | 84.0% | 17 | Northeast | AA |
| 17.79 | AA | Benedictine | 99.5% | 41 | Bacon County | AA |
| 17.78 | AAAAA | Stockbridge | 99.7% | 41 | Hampton | AAAAA |
| 17.64 | AA | Rockmart | 86.7% | 19 | Coosa | AA |
| 16.53 | AAAA | Madison County | 92.4% | 25 | North Oconee | AAAA |
| 15.63 | A - Private | Our Lady of Mercy | 72.6% | 10 | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | A - Private |
| 14.16 | AAAAA | Wayne County | 87.8% | 20 | New Hampstead | AAAAA |
| 14.12 | AAAA | Thomson | 99.7% | 41 | Cross Creek | AAAA |
| 13.97 | AAA | Peach County | 98.7% | 38 | Kendrick | AAA |
| 13.79 | AAA | Redan | 88.3% | 20 | Towers | AAA |
| 13.59 | AA | Bryan County | 70.6% | 9 | Jeff Davis | AA |
| 13.13 | AAAAA | Arabia Mountain | 98.2% | 37 | Chamblee | AAAAA |
| 12.54 | AA | Callaway | 99.1% | 40 | Temple | AA |
| 12.47 | AAAA | Druid Hills | 55.1% | 2 | Henry County | AAAA |
| 12.37 | A - Public | Emanuel County Institute | 95.2% | 29 | Johnson County | A - Public |
| 12.13 | AAA | Lumpkin County | 81.9% | 15 | Fannin County | AAA |
| 11.50 | A - Public | Macon County | 98.7% | 38 | Hawkinsville | A - Public |
| 11.12 | AA | Screven County | 92.5% | 25 | Josey | AA |
| 10.91 | AAA | Liberty County | 98.1% | 36 | Long County | AAA |
| 10.46 | AA | Thomasville | 94.7% | 28 | Albany | AA |
| 10.17 | A - Public | Crawford County | 61.2% | 5 | Schley County | A - Public |
| 9.93 | AA | Heard County | 94.3% | 28 | Jordan | AA |
| 9.70 | A - Private | Stratford Academy | 96.2% | 31 | Wilkinson County | A - Public |
| 9.40 | A - Public | Wheeler County | 64.3% | 6 | Treutlen | A - Public |
| 8.48 | AAAAA | Decatur | 75.1% | 11 | Lithia Springs | AAAAA |
| 8.16 | A - Public | Twiggs County | 98.0% | 36 | Mount de Sales | A - Private |
| 7.20 | AAAAAAA | Central Gwinnett | 98.6% | 38 | Meadowcreek | AAAAAAA |
| 7.13 | A - Private | Eagle's Landing Christian | 99.4% | 41 | Strong Rock Christian | A - Private |
| 6.98 | AA | Laney | 89.9% | 22 | Butler | AA |
| 6.20 | A - Private | Walker | 57.7% | 3 | King's Ridge Christian | A - Private |
| 6.11 | AA | Pepperell | 98.5% | 38 | Dade County | AA |
| 5.72 | AAAA | Heritage (Ringgold) | 91.0% | 23 | LaFayette | AAAA |
| 5.34 | AA | Dodge County | 95.0% | 29 | East Laurens | AA |
| 4.63 | A - Public | Terrell County | 81.9% | 15 | Chattahoochee County | A - Public |
| 4.59 | AAAAAA | Osborne | 53.7% | 2 | Forest Park | AAAAAA |
| 4.57 | AAAA | Northwest Whitfield | 97.3% | 34 | Gilmer | AAAA |
| 4.16 | AAA | Pace Academy | 99.3% | 40 | McNair | AAA |
| 3.99 | A - Public | Irwin County | 97.4% | 34 | Wilcox County | A - Public |
| 2.97 | AAA | Windsor Forest | 62.9% | 6 | Islands | AAA |
| 2.56 | A - Public | Commerce | 94.4% | 28 | Towns County | A - Public |
| 2.45 | AAA | East Jackson | 58.6% | 4 | Haralson County | AAA |
| 1.94 | A - Public | Jenkins County | 76.0% | 12 | Montgomery County | A - Public |
| 0.10 | A - Private | Darlington | 99.0% | 39 | Christian Heritage | A - Private |
| -0.41 | A - Private | Hebron Christian Academy | 84.6% | 17 | Lakeview Academy | A - Private |
| -0.66 | A - Public | Clinch County | 99.5% | 41 | Lanier County | A - Public |
| -2.95 | AA | Banks County | 87.6% | 20 | Social Circle | AA |
| -3.83 | A - Other | Georgia Military College | 73.1% | 10 | Riverside Military Academy | A - Private |
| -4.52 | AAA | Southeast Bulloch | 94.5% | 28 | Groves | AAA |
| -4.85 | A - Private | Pinecrest Academy | 98.1% | 36 | Whitefield Academy | A - Private |
| -5.02 | AA | Glenn Hills | 76.2% | 12 | Westside (Augusta) | AA |
| -5.76 | AA | Chattooga | 98.4% | 37 | Armuchee | AA |
| -6.14 | A - Private | Brookstone | 91.7% | 24 | Central (Talbotton) | A - Public |
| -8.23 | A - Public | Mitchell County | 96.9% | 33 | Calhoun County | A - Public |
| -8.25 | AAAAAAA | Norcross | 100.0% | 42 | Berkmar | AAAAAAA |
| -9.73 | AAA | Beach | 72.3% | 10 | Johnson (Savannah) | AAA |
| -12.16 | AA | Monticello | 92.1% | 24 | Oglethorpe County | AA |
| -12.30 | A - Private | Mount Paran Christian | 99.7% | 41 | St. Francis | A - Private |
| -13.29 | A - Public | Gordon Lee | 96.8% | 33 | North Cobb Christian | A - Private |
| -15.09 | A - Private | Athens Christian | 98.5% | 38 | Providence Christian | A - Private |
| -15.66 | AAA | Murray County | 97.0% | 33 | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | AAA |
| -16.66 | AAAA | Richmond Academy | 96.7% | 33 | Hephzibah | AAAA |
| -18.09 | A - Public | Pelham | 98.8% | 39 | Stewart County | A - Public |
| -22.05 | A - Public | Seminole County | 96.9% | 33 | Baconton Charter | A - Public |
| -23.53 | AA | Model | 99.8% | 41 | Gordon Central | AA |
| -27.33 | AAA | North Murray | 99.4% | 41 | Coahulla Creek | AAA |
| -30.02 | A - Private | Holy Innocents | 99.4% | 40 | Fulton Leadership Academy | A - Public |
| -33.48 | A - Other | Glascock County | 69.0% | 8 | Cross Keys | AAAAA |
| -47.32 | A - Other | Webster County | 68.7% | 8 | Pataula Charter | A - Other |
Oct 22
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.39 | AAAAAA | Centennial | 96.4% | 32 | Dunwoody | AAAAAA |
| -4.90 | AAA | Cedar Grove | 99.8% | 41 | Stone Mountain | AAA |
