Sports
Maxwell Week 5 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Sep 15
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74.85 | AAAAAAA | Archer | 81.2% | 15 | Norcross | AAAAAAA |
| 72.66 | AAAAAAA | Tift County | 56.9% | 3 | Parkview | AAAAAAA |
| 72.22 | AAAAAAA | Colquitt County | 90.8% | 23 | Brookwood | AAAAAAA |
| 70.57 | AAAAAAA | Lowndes | 83.7% | 16 | Newton | AAAAAAA |
| 67.90 | AAAAAAA | McEachern | 86.2% | 18 | Westlake | AAAAAAA |
| 66.48 | AAAA | Woodward Academy | 59.2% | 4 | Marist | AAAA |
| 65.34 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 70.2% | 9 | Starr's Mill | AAAAA |
| 65.21 | AAAAAAA | Lassiter | 59.7% | 4 | Marietta | AAAAAAA |
| 63.90 | AAAAAAA | Milton | 57.4% | 3 | Etowah | AAAAAAA |
| 62.27 | AAAAAAA | West Forsyth | 51.0% | 1 | Dacula | AAAAAA |
| 62.26 | AAAAAAA | North Paulding | 65.3% | 7 | Woodstock | AAAAAAA |
| 61.60 | AAAA | Mary Persons | 54.6% | 2 | Peach County | AAA |
| 59.16 | AAAAAA | Stephenson | 66.2% | 7 | Lovejoy | AAAAAA |
| 57.19 | AAAAAAA | North Cobb | 88.3% | 20 | East Coweta | AAAAAAA |
| 57.17 | AAAAA | Carrollton | 79.9% | 14 | East Paulding | AAAAA |
| 56.08 | AAA | Cedar Grove | 85.8% | 18 | Lovett | AAA |
| 54.43 | AAAAAA | Creekview | 60.5% | 5 | Sequoyah | AAAAAA |
| 53.94 | AAA | Greater Atlanta Christian | 88.7% | 21 | St. Pius X | AAAA |
| 53.72 | AAAAAA | Tucker | 92.9% | 25 | Jonesboro | AAAAAA |
| 53.21 | AAAAAAA | Walton | 92.3% | 25 | Wheeler | AAAAAAA |
| 52.41 | AAAAAAA | Lambert | 60.8% | 5 | Lanier | AAAAAA |
| 52.25 | AA | Callaway | 70.8% | 9 | Upson-Lee | AAAA |
| 52.07 | AAAAA | Warner Robins | 83.7% | 16 | Houston County | AAAAAA |
| 51.45 | AAAAA | Dutchtown | 66.6% | 7 | Heritage (Conyers) | AAAAAA |
| 50.93 | A-Public | Irwin County | 50.5% | 1 | Clinch County | A-Public |
| 50.92 | AAAA | Jefferson | 82.0% | 15 | Flowery Branch | AAAAA |
| 47.38 | AAAAAAA | Mountain View | 86.5% | 19 | Shiloh | AAAAAAA |
| 45.20 | AA | Benedictine | 97.2% | 34 | Swainsboro | AA |
| 44.81 | AAAAA | Kell | 90.0% | 22 | Paulding County | AAAAA |
| 44.60 | AAAAAA | Centennial | 59.3% | 4 | Johns Creek | AAAAAA |
| 44.59 | AAAAA | Banneker | 52.2% | 1 | Riverwood | AAAAA |
| 43.84 | AAAAAAA | Hillgrove | 91.7% | 24 | Campbell | AAAAAAA |
| 43.81 | AAAAA | Jones County | 91.1% | 23 | Woodland (Stockbridge) | AAAAA |
| 43.53 | AAAAAA | Northgate | 80.9% | 15 | Creekside | AAAAAA |
| 43.35 | AAAAAAA | North Forsyth | 66.7% | 7 | Pickens | AAAA |
| 41.83 | AAA | Dawson County | 59.7% | 4 | West Hall | AAAA |
| 41.58 | AAAA | Northside (Columbus) | 55.9% | 3 | Carver (Columbus) | AAAA |
| 41.21 | AAAA | Cairo | 80.7% | 14 | Hardaway | AAAA |
| 40.32 | AAAAA | Stockbridge | 97.4% | 34 | Ola | AAAAA |
| 40.24 | AAAAAA | Harrison | 94.7% | 28 | River Ridge | AAAAAA |
| 40.24 | AAAA | Chapel Hill | 65.2% | 7 | Whitewater | AAAAA |
| 39.83 | AAAAAA | Allatoona | 94.6% | 28 | South Cobb | AAAAAA |
| 39.69 | AAAAAA | North Atlanta | 52.7% | 1 | Chattahoochee | AAAAAA |
| 39.68 | AAAAA | Griffin | 93.0% | 26 | Baldwin | AAAA |
| 39.50 | AAAAAA | Winder-Barrow | 79.3% | 14 | Loganville | AAAAA |
| 39.30 | AAAA | Americus-Sumter | 58.2% | 4 | Westover | AAAA |
| 37.40 | AA | Brooks County | 88.7% | 21 | Pierce County | AAA |
| 36.93 | AA | Heard County | 80.7% | 14 | Central (Carrollton) | AAAA |
| 36.84 | AAAAAA | Dalton | 92.7% | 25 | Sprayberry | AAAAAA |
| 36.57 | AAAAA | Harris County | 60.3% | 4 | Perry | AAAA |
| 36.52 | AAAAAA | Evans | 68.2% | 8 | Washington County | AA |
| 36.37 | AAAAAA | Alpharetta | 90.1% | 22 | Northview | AAAAAA |
| 35.94 | AAAAA | Villa Rica | 77.8% | 13 | Woodland (Cartersville) | AAAAA |
| 35.85 | AAA | Westside (Macon) | 68.9% | 8 | B.E.S.T. Academy | AA |
| 35.26 | AAAAA | Wayne County | 91.9% | 24 | Appling County | AAA |
| 35.06 | AAAAAA | Cambridge | 69.9% | 9 | Pope | AAAAAA |
| 34.93 | AA | Dodge County | 83.1% | 16 | Dooly County | A-Public |
| 34.15 | AAAAAA | Douglas County | 94.0% | 27 | South Paulding | AAAAAA |
| 33.66 | AAAA | West Laurens | 83.7% | 16 | South Effingham | AAAAA |
| 33.12 | AAA | Adairsville | 73.7% | 10 | Ringgold | AAA |
| 32.36 | AAAAAA | Richmond Hill | 82.6% | 16 | Grovetown | AAAAAA |
| 32.01 | AAAAA | Veterans | 79.9% | 14 | Howard | AAAA |
| 31.97 | AAAAAAA | Newnan | 86.5% | 19 | Washington | AA |
| 31.97 | AAAAA | Hiram | 76.2% | 12 | Cass | AAAAA |
| 31.56 | AAAAA | Bainbridge | 96.6% | 32 | Early County | AA |
| 31.53 | AAAAAAA | Meadowcreek | 56.0% | 3 | Lithonia | AAAAA |
| 31.32 | AAAAA | Clarke Central | 89.7% | 22 | North Oconee | AAAA |
| 31.01 | AAAAA | Fayette County | 64.1% | 6 | Pike County | AAA |
| 30.99 | AAA | Westminster (Atlanta) | 92.9% | 25 | Redan | AAA |
| 30.39 | AAAAA | Locust Grove | 86.2% | 18 | Union Grove | AAAAA |
| 30.11 | A-Public | Turner County | 70.4% | 9 | Telfair County | A-Public |
| 29.00 | A-Public | Trion | 53.0% | 2 | Bowdon | A-Public |
| 28.16 | AA | Lamar County | 51.2% | 1 | Marion County | A-Public |
| 27.90 | AA | Thomasville | 96.2% | 31 | Worth County | AAA |
| 27.57 | AA | Jefferson County | 90.7% | 23 | Laney | AA |
| 27.49 | AAA | Jackson County | 57.9% | 3 | East Hall | AAA |
| 27.46 | AAAA | White County | 75.5% | 11 | North Hall | AAA |
| 27.39 | AAAAA | Eagle's Landing | 94.3% | 28 | Hampton | AAAAA |
| 27.06 | AA | Elbert County | 65.8% | 7 | Franklin County | AAA |
| 26.70 | AA | Chattooga | 73.6% | 10 | Coosa | AA |
| 25.80 | A-Private | Eagle's Landing Christian | 98.6% | 38 | Holy Innocents | A-Private |
| 25.63 | AAAAA | North Springs | 71.8% | 10 | Decatur | AAAAA |
| 25.28 | AA | Bacon County | 81.6% | 15 | Jeff Davis | AA |
| 25.23 | AAAAAA | Lee County | 99.4% | 40 | Luella | AAAA |
| 24.22 | AAA | Morgan County | 83.2% | 16 | Putnam County | AA |
| 24.18 | AAAAAA | Hughes | 98.5% | 38 | Tri-Cities | AAAAAA |
| 24.04 | AAA | Monroe Area | 82.4% | 16 | Madison County | AAAA |
| 23.69 | AAAAAA | Greenbrier | 65.8% | 7 | Richmond Academy | AAAA |
| 23.62 | AAAAAAA | Lakeside (Atlanta) | 60.0% | 4 | Miller Grove | AAAAA |
| 23.12 | AA | Vidalia | 86.2% | 18 | Metter | AA |
| 23.02 | A-Public | Manchester | 92.7% | 25 | Jordan | AA |
| 21.53 | AAAA | Blessed Trinity | 98.6% | 38 | Hart County | AAA |
| 21.53 | AAA | Union County | 79.9% | 14 | Banks County | AA |
| 21.42 | AAAAA | Walnut Grove | 58.6% | 4 | Apalachee | AAAAAA |
| 20.33 | A-Private | Wesleyan | 94.7% | 28 | Our Lady of Mercy | A-Private |
| 19.39 | A-Private | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | 59.3% | 4 | Temple | AA |
| 18.17 | AAAAAAA | Forsyth Central | 80.7% | 14 | Duluth | AAAAAAA |
| 17.99 | A-Private | Calvary Day | 93.9% | 27 | Montgomery County | A-Public |
| 17.51 | A-Public | Greene County | 61.8% | 5 | Twiggs County | A-Public |
| 17.13 | A-Public | Mitchell County | 68.4% | 8 | Chattahoochee County | A-Public |
| 16.57 | A-Private | Pinecrest Academy | 76.6% | 12 | Walker | A-Private |
| 15.35 | AAAA | Salem | 89.2% | 21 | Chamblee | AAAAA |
| 15.30 | AAAAA | Riverdale | 82.1% | 15 | Henry County | AAAA |
| 14.07 | AAAA | Chestatee | 79.6% | 14 | Lumpkin County | AAA |
| 13.57 | AA | Model | 84.7% | 17 | Dade County | AA |
| 13.56 | A-Private | Aquinas | 94.3% | 28 | Mount de Sales | A-Private |
| 13.11 | A-Public | Wilkinson County | 53.3% | 2 | Hancock Central | A-Public |
| 12.80 | AAA | Bremen | 96.2% | 31 | Murray County | AAA |
| 12.57 | AA | Glenn Hills | 53.4% | 2 | Harlem | AA |
| 12.16 | AAA | Towers | 73.6% | 10 | McNair | AAA |
| 11.14 | A-Public | Seminole County | 56.8% | 3 | Terrell County | A-Public |
| 10.70 | AAA | Jackson | 96.3% | 32 | Monticello | AA |
| 9.56 | AAAAAAA | Kennesaw Mountain | 97.5% | 35 | Osborne | AAAAAA |
| 8.83 | AA | South Atlanta | 67.0% | 7 | Forest Park | AAAAAA |
| 8.31 | A-Private | Savannah Christian | 88.2% | 20 | Treutlen | A-Public |
| 7.36 | A-Public | Schley County | 50.9% | 1 | Hawkinsville | A-Public |
| 7.24 | A-Private | Darlington | 96.1% | 31 | Gordon Lee | A-Public |
| 6.87 | A-Private | Fellowship Christian | 94.9% | 29 | St. Francis | A-Private |
| 6.44 | AAA | North Murray | 81.5% | 15 | Haralson County | AAA |
| 4.69 | AA | Screven County | 98.7% | 38 | Butler | AA |
| 2.62 | A-Public | Jenkins County | 83.6% | 16 | Portal | A-Public |
| 1.82 | AAAA | Southeast Whitfield | 89.3% | 21 | Christian Heritage | A-Private |
| 1.72 | AAA | Sonoraville | 97.8% | 35 | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | AAA |
| 0.94 | AA | Rockmart | 97.5% | 34 | Armuchee | AA |
| 0.93 | A-Public | Towns County | 64.9% | 6 | Riverside Military Academy | A-Private |
| -0.88 | A-Public | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 98.3% | 37 | North Cobb Christian | A-Private |
| -1.17 | AAA | Pace Academy | 99.3% | 40 | Stone Mountain | AAA |
| -1.93 | A-Private | Mount Paran Christian | 99.1% | 40 | King's Ridge Christian | A-Private |
| -7.28 | AAAAAAA | Pebblebrook | 99.1% | 39 | Berkmar | AAAAAAA |
| -7.51 | A-Public | Pelham | 97.4% | 34 | Calhoun County | A-Public |
| -9.47 | A-Public | Crawford County | 91.2% | 23 | Central (Talbotton) | A-Public |
| -10.69 | A-Other | Georgia Military College | 77.6% | 13 | Oglethorpe County | AA |
| -11.28 | A-Private | Tattnall Square | 99.5% | 41 | Pacelli | A-Private |
| -13.59 | A-Public | Miller County | 96.2% | 31 | Baconton Charter | A-Public |
| -13.74 | A-Public | Randolph-Clay | 84.8% | 17 | Stewart County | A-Public |
| -15.27 | AA | Pepperell | 99.7% | 41 | Gordon Central | AA |
| -17.17 | AAA | Calhoun | 100.0% | 42 | Coahulla Creek | AAA |
| -18.45 | AAAA | Druid Hills | 95.0% | 29 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
| -27.68 | A-Public | Wheeler County | 97.2% | 34 | Glascock County | A-Other |
Sep 16
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.45 | AAAAAAA | Camden County | 79.6% | 14 | Brunswick | AAAAAA |
| 46.44 | AAAAAA | Mays | 94.9% | 29 | New Manchester | AAAAAA |
| 37.47 | AAAAA | Carver (Atlanta) | 83.7% | 16 | Maynard Jackson | AAAAA |
| 32.08 | AAAA | Stephens County | 75.5% | 11 | Habersham Central | AAAAAA |
| 30.86 | AAAAAA | Mundy's Mill | 51.8% | 1 | M.L. King | AAAAAA |
| 29.92 | AAA | Cook | 72.4% | 10 | Berrien | AA |
| 29.02 | AAAAAA | Effingham County | 94.2% | 28 | Statesboro | AAAAA |
| 28.35 | AAAAAA | Bradwell Institute | 77.7% | 13 | Tattnall County | AAA |
| 25.17 | AA | Spencer | 83.6% | 16 | Dougherty | AAA |
| 23.62 | AAAAAA | Drew | 92.5% | 25 | Mount Zion (Jonesboro) | AAAAAA |
| 18.81 | AAAAA | Grady | 91.9% | 24 | Lithia Springs | AAAAA |
| 4.53 | A-Private | First Presbyterian | 92.4% | 25 | Warren County | A-Public |
| 2.72 | AAAAAA | Glynn Academy | 99.9% | 41 | East Jackson | AAA |
| 0.23 | A-Public | Emanuel County Institute | 98.0% | 36 | Claxton | A-Public |
