Maxwell playoff projections: Sandy Creek, Hebron Christian emerge as favorites

The simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments and playoff brackets.

Mercedes-Benz Stadium hosts the high school football state championship games each December. (Jason Getz/AJC 2023)

By Loren Maxwell

4 hours ago

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation, a computation of random sampling used to predict outcomes, of the 2025 season.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation, all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head-to-head results, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tiebreaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship, along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	5-0	105.25	999,999	880,429	732,227	664,111	450,951	1.22
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	5-0	102.74	1,000,000	864,436	610,663	526,215	287,086	2.48
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	6-0	98.41	999,998	891,138	377,593	292,982	133,800	6.47
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	3-2	93.07	999,985	809,112	239,212	147,968	48,269	19.72
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	4-1	91.19	999,952	669,677	549,206	145,344	39,481	24.33
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	5-0	87.20	999,984	580,556	302,383	56,704	12,271	80.49
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	4-1	87.05	943,859	377,966	236,847	43,907	9,295	106.58
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	5-0	86.59	921,246	307,257	186,973	34,630	6,757	146.99
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	5-0	85.08	906,370	253,807	143,942	23,427	4,095	243.20
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	5-0	84.96	892,684	248,402	140,011	22,706	3,969	250.95
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	5-0	81.49	999,840	355,434	119,572	13,543	1,712	583.11
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	4-2	79.41	999,482	218,991	27,323	5,902	581	1,720.17
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	4-1	76.87	999,388	377,058	86,635	5,745	460	2,172.91
Newton	4-AAAAAA	3-2	79.47	996,380	75,535	19,667	4,214	423	2,363.07
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	5-0	76.58	999,915	254,837	53,700	3,426	273	3,662.00
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	4-1	75.86	952,112	126,212	45,176	2,596	171	5,846.95
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	3-2	77.85	997,814	52,398	19,130	1,889	154	6,492.51
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	3-2	76.15	990,433	41,861	14,072	1,037	74	13,512.51
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	3-3	73.89	996,980	178,509	32,023	1,304	68	14,704.88
Walton	5-AAAAAA	3-3	73.68	966,198	101,388	16,257	702	41	24,389.24
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	3-2	73.86	841,403	28,720	7,776	461	24	41,665.67
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	4-2	71.34	927,868	62,902	8,627	290	12	83,332.33
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	3-2	71.00	705,697	19,099	3,997	158	9	111,110.11
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	2-4	69.45	957,917	49,900	5,364	181	8	124,999.00
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	2-3	69.16	916,011	41,372	5,347	145	8	124,999.00
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	4-1	72.63	265,807	7,945	1,943	106	6	166,665.67
Archer	4-AAAAAA	2-3	69.76	900,630	27,503	5,957	169	2	499,999.00
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	1-4	65.91	984,809	46,199	3,636	60	-	-
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	2-3	65.84	931,252	21,599	1,963	32	-	-
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	3-2	65.38	878,997	9,776	1,480	22	-	-
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	2-3	66.29	444,619	3,411	445	16	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	2-2	61.61	764,413	4,824	433	3	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	3-2	65.53	70,034	369	43	3	-	-
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	3-2	61.66	669,180	5,316	232	1	-	-
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	3-2	59.61	865,405	3,256	36	1	-	-
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	3-2	61.13	434,015	1,976	86	-	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	3-2	55.47	202,372	186	8	-	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	1-5	56.99	50,582	205	6	-	-	-
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	1-4	54.97	56,042	143	6	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	2-2	52.39	174,314	139	2	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	3-2	57.87	56,159	38	1	-	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	2-3	53.75	41,911	96	-	-	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	0-5	46.05	72,572	10	-	-	-	-
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	1-4	49.75	45,399	8	-	-	-	-
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	1-4	42.66	77,384	2	-	-	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	1-4	39.57	54,092	2	-	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-4	35.67	18,228	1	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	3-1	47.37	19,250	-	-	-	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-3	47.59	4,684	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	1-4	27.90	3,319	-	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	0-3	36.18	2,371	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-4	24.70	455	-	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	0-5	35.66	71	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	2-3	31.36	61	-	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-4	33.55	57	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	0-5	25.59	1	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	332,409	262,676	205,606	143,168	943,859	56,141
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	245,170	246,140	236,870	193,066	921,246	78,754
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	206,199	225,620	239,870	220,995	892,684	107,316
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	206,184	234,484	246,080	219,622	906,370	93,630
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	9,346	27,755	59,467	169,239	265,807	734,193
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	692	3,325	12,107	53,910	70,034	929,966
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	678,301	294,596	25,171	1,930	999,998	2
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	307,272	614,431	70,602	7,680	999,985	15
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	13,119	78,885	621,840	283,136	996,980	3,020
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	1,308	12,083	282,070	689,348	984,809	15,191
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	-	5	317	17,906	18,228	981,772
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	584,304	297,962	117,646	72	999,984	16
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	297,520	414,901	260,246	27,173	999,840	160
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	118,176	286,825	593,018	1,896	999,915	85
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	-	291	28,128	836,986	865,405	134,595
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	-	20	814	53,258	54,092	945,908
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	-	1	133	77,250	77,384	922,616
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	15	3,304	3,319	996,681
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	-	-	61	61	999,939
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	948,665	49,645	1,580	110	1,000,000	-
4-AAAAAA	Newton	46,595	835,193	93,542	21,050	996,380	3,620
4-AAAAAA	Archer	3,244	29,302	509,888	358,196	900,630	99,370
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	1,492	78,921	350,505	448,079	878,997	121,003
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	3	6,792	42,282	153,295	202,372	797,628
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	1	145	2,080	17,024	19,250	980,750
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	-	2	123	2,246	2,371	997,629
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	853,778	128,144	15,468	2,092	999,482	518
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	113,241	198,149	294,246	352,281	957,917	42,083
5-AAAAAA	Walton	19,294	396,886	334,322	215,696	966,198	33,802
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	13,321	273,872	339,053	301,622	927,868	72,132
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	205	1,568	7,770	46,499	56,042	943,958
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	108	904	4,954	35,945	41,911	958,089
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	53	477	4,187	45,865	50,582	949,418
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	942,590	46,977	7,584	2,237	999,388	612
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	27,801	117,717	202,004	321,658	669,180	330,820
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	11,445	33,256	96,353	292,961	434,015	565,985
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	10,410	435,626	308,610	161,365	916,011	83,989
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	7,579	365,220	375,154	183,299	931,252	68,748
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	168	1,056	9,312	34,863	45,399	954,601
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	7	147	980	3,550	4,684	995,316
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	-	1	3	67	71	999,929
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	840,276	144,124	13,938	1,614	999,952	48
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	123,290	531,280	211,178	86,364	952,112	47,888
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	33,919	103,708	375,028	328,748	841,403	158,597
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	1,990	164,587	257,900	281,220	705,697	294,303
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	454	53,944	133,253	256,968	444,619	555,381
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	71	2,357	8,703	45,028	56,159	943,841
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	-	-	57	57	999,943
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
8-AAAAAA	Buford	957,900	38,786	3,208	105	999,999	1
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	25,379	492,201	415,248	64,986	997,814	2,186
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	16,232	440,808	436,467	96,926	990,433	9,567
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	485	27,609	131,746	604,573	764,413	235,587
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	4	477	10,518	163,315	174,314	825,686
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	-	119	2,810	69,643	72,572	927,428
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	3	452	455	999,545

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Hughes	3-AAAAA	5-0	100.84	1,000,000	924,453	788,641	676,345	443,673	1.25
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	5-0	98.36	999,965	932,830	873,831	619,456	338,354	1.96
Milton	7-AAAAA	4-1	93.81	999,734	945,321	692,035	340,663	144,896	5.90
Roswell	7-AAAAA	4-1	87.47	999,806	839,162	448,943	143,645	37,688	25.53
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	4-1	85.03	998,399	783,087	380,408	92,342	20,209	48.48
Houston County	2-AAAAA	5-0	81.38	990,300	382,506	162,370	32,070	4,654	213.87
Lee County	2-AAAAA	4-1	80.78	987,907	353,288	135,711	25,729	3,520	283.09
Rome	5-AAAAA	3-2	79.71	999,905	428,130	161,194	21,105	2,998	332.56
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	3-2	74.85	999,990	628,629	77,579	14,007	1,083	922.36
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	5-1	78.24	994,119	223,658	50,264	9,362	1,027	972.71
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	4-1	77.10	999,951	230,370	23,009	6,911	772	1,294.34
Coffee	2-AAAAA	2-3	74.95	944,222	229,427	43,074	5,369	401	2,492.77
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	4-1	73.67	999,995	220,781	67,855	4,963	382	2,616.80
Northgate	3-AAAAA	5-0	70.83	987,310	119,367	21,929	2,346	92	10,868.57
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	5-1	71.36	932,935	134,051	17,122	1,556	92	10,868.57
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	5-0	70.77	994,605	127,433	20,223	1,873	86	11,626.91
Lanier	7-AAAAA	3-2	69.12	810,172	211,453	16,625	1,427	53	18,866.92
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	5-1	68.13	888,492	29,183	4,719	304	8	124,999.00
Newnan	3-AAAAA	4-1	66.59	813,332	47,413	4,373	177	5	199,999.00
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	4-0	63.17	970,494	38,008	2,566	96	4	249,999.00
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	3-2	61.00	957,705	48,095	3,278	119	2	499,999.00
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	3-2	57.20	782,263	31,861	967	29	1	999,999.00
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	2-3	61.23	943,190	18,249	1,122	51	-	-
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	2-3	61.36	737,949	5,309	494	20	-	-
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	3-2	57.87	191,277	12,000	283	8	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	3-2	53.17	968,845	18,297	359	7	-	-
Creekview	6-AAAAA	3-3	58.49	827,924	3,766	332	7	-	-
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	1-4	52.38	953,817	14,771	282	7	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	3-2	52.10	675,974	8,514	142	2	-	-
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	1-4	53.11	878,204	2,070	103	2	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	2-3	52.10	196,669	112	5	1	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	2-3	42.94	311,893	83	2	1	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	4-2	57.22	353,130	1,556	82	-	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	3-2	47.82	739,229	925	18	-	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	3-3	45.58	972,215	1,585	15	-	-	-
Evans	1-AAAAA	1-3	46.87	226,426	1,100	11	-	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	2-3	53.11	61,045	597	7	-	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	2-3	52.85	124,815	438	7	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	1-3	47.99	126,948	680	6	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	1-3	47.30	182,039	835	5	-	-	-
Decatur	4-AAAAA	1-4	45.13	423,015	198	4	-	-	-
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	0-5	50.79	79,086	150	2	-	-	-
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	0-5	46.90	16,561	42	2	-	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	2-3	48.66	115,471	27	1	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	1-4	43.21	602,022	133	-	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	1-3	41.44	48,174	37	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	2-4	34.73	83,404	12	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	4-2	50.38	2,817	4	-	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	1-4	45.58	34,885	3	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	2-3	38.37	40,238	1	-	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-6	30.62	16,772	-	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	0-5	30.04	5,409	-	-	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	0-5	25.21	4,952	-	-	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-4	41.35	1,437	-	-	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	1-4	33.29	841	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	0-5	38.59	520	-	-	-	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAA	0-6	34.15	433	-	-	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-4	30.51	368	-	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	1-4	27.88	244	-	-	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	1-5	38.77	150	-	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	1-4	29.26	11	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	970,538	26,424	2,386	603	999,951	49
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	20,100	250,034	351,551	160,578	782,263	217,737
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	6,157	103,410	208,760	357,647	675,974	324,026
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	3,072	583,215	266,124	105,294	957,705	42,295
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	90	1,943	53,558	126,448	182,039	817,961
1-AAAAA	Evans	26	22,884	69,936	133,580	226,426	773,574
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	12	703	10,673	36,786	48,174	951,826
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	5	11,386	36,970	78,587	126,948	873,052
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	-	1	42	477	520	999,480
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	858,555	120,552	15,914	4,944	999,965	35
2-AAAAA	Houston County	68,172	412,737	336,486	172,905	990,300	9,700
2-AAAAA	Lee County	53,583	334,312	362,464	237,548	987,907	12,093
2-AAAAA	Coffee	19,684	131,633	278,783	514,122	944,222	55,778
2-AAAAA	Veterans	6	665	5,154	55,220	61,045	938,955
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	-	101	1,199	15,261	16,561	983,439
3-AAAAA	Hughes	966,380	31,159	2,276	185	1,000,000	-
3-AAAAA	Northgate	16,559	557,512	375,860	37,379	987,310	12,690
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	15,399	374,572	407,077	197,557	994,605	5,395
3-AAAAA	Newnan	1,650	34,244	194,402	583,036	813,332	186,668
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	12	1,759	14,000	109,044	124,815	875,185
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	-	754	6,373	71,959	79,086	920,914
3-AAAAA	Banneker	-	-	12	829	841	999,159
3-AAAAA	Morrow	-	-	-	11	11	999,989
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	982,216	16,243	1,423	108	999,990	10
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	12,990	243,101	263,087	220,051	739,229	260,771
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	1,978	480,685	254,476	141,065	878,204	121,796
4-AAAAA	Decatur	1,843	78,812	139,577	202,783	423,015	576,985
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	871	45,496	107,449	158,077	311,893	688,107
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	100	134,204	226,234	241,484	602,022	397,978
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	2	1,427	7,179	31,630	40,238	959,762
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	-	32	575	4,802	5,409	994,591
5-AAAAA	Rome	854,423	131,380	13,436	666	999,905	95
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	97,249	471,162	308,826	93,257	970,494	29,506
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	47,670	316,431	346,392	232,697	943,190	56,810
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	528	8,146	38,079	149,916	196,669	803,331
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	108	1,630	23,589	90,144	115,471	884,529
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	21	70,601	264,440	402,887	737,949	262,051
5-AAAAA	Alexander	1	593	5,031	29,260	34,885	965,115
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	-	57	207	1,173	1,437	998,563
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	480,792	133,013	236,263	82,867	932,935	67,065
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	433,251	455,041	71,511	34,316	994,119	5,881
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	41,389	237,261	370,190	239,652	888,492	111,508
6-AAAAA	Creekview	25,569	103,940	207,807	490,608	827,924	172,076
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	18,901	70,701	113,497	150,031	353,130	646,870
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	98	44	718	1,957	2,817	997,183
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	-	-	14	136	150	999,850
6-AAAAA	Pope	-	-	-	433	433	999,567
7-AAAAA	Milton	589,485	279,653	120,502	10,094	999,734	266
7-AAAAA	Roswell	253,696	368,892	341,516	35,702	999,806	194
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	155,554	348,881	486,824	7,140	998,399	1,601
7-AAAAA	Lanier	1,248	2,267	44,823	761,834	810,172	189,828
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	17	307	6,330	184,623	191,277	808,723
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	-	-	5	363	368	999,632
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	-	-	244	244	999,756
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	949,571	48,403	1,410	611	999,995	5
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	39,708	417,920	343,635	167,582	968,845	31,155
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	9,703	132,641	285,362	544,509	972,215	27,785
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	964	395,644	355,980	201,229	953,817	46,183
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	53	5,296	10,114	67,941	83,404	916,596
8-AAAAA	Loganville	1	38	3,129	13,604	16,772	983,228
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	-	58	370	4,524	4,952	995,048

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
North Oconee	8-AAAA	5-0	97.07	1,000,000	974,359	901,495	790,741	569,153	0.76
Creekside	4-AAAA	5-0	91.80	1,000,000	935,825	863,905	668,136	291,911	2.43
Cartersville	7-AAAA	6-0	84.79	999,988	632,473	505,497	173,096	49,875	19.05
Ware County	1-AAAA	5-0	83.88	999,403	636,390	481,815	123,145	39,394	24.38
Benedictine	1-AAAA	2-2	81.68	998,478	512,903	365,680	84,882	21,754	44.97
Marist	5-AAAA	3-1	79.14	999,747	740,328	118,934	46,897	10,671	92.71
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	5-0	78.37	999,210	723,230	245,557	45,692	9,341	106.05
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	3-2	76.50	998,912	560,853	176,589	31,253	4,633	214.84
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	3-2	72.22	997,629	551,292	91,437	13,254	1,394	716.36
Cass	7-AAAA	5-1	71.77	999,266	217,676	94,420	8,567	941	1,061.70
Cambridge	6-AAAA	4-1	70.19	991,758	291,117	46,797	4,773	416	2,402.85
Kell	6-AAAA	4-2	68.29	988,552	226,947	28,488	2,445	185	5,404.41
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	4-1	67.07	915,373	204,758	15,064	2,073	113	8,848.56
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	4-1	65.27	993,394	222,878	18,664	1,435	74	13,512.51
Ola	2-AAAA	4-1	65.84	972,582	142,694	11,406	1,010	49	20,407.16
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	3-2	63.66	870,288	21,701	5,503	470	29	34,481.76
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	4-1	63.78	975,264	142,038	7,200	718	27	37,036.04
Perry	1-AAAA	2-3	64.22	876,419	24,144	6,734	625	26	38,460.54
Jones County	2-AAAA	3-2	62.13	601,799	52,448	3,250	183	6	166,665.67
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	4-1	61.63	926,524	14,848	3,442	296	3	333,332.33
Griffin	3-AAAA	3-2	59.12	914,966	70,035	3,084	116	2	499,999.00
Hampton	2-AAAA	3-2	56.63	426,042	12,214	442	29	2	499,999.00
Madison County	8-AAAA	3-1	53.78	478,934	1,530	148	3	1	999,999.00
Eastside	8-AAAA	2-3	60.75	749,043	9,526	1,814	97	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	4-0	53.98	908,021	23,687	525	17	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	5-0	56.80	694,240	3,930	506	14	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	5-0	52.07	998,113	4,461	333	11	-	-
Tucker	5-AAAA	2-2	53.28	483,287	6,423	171	6	-	-
Mays	4-AAAA	1-4	53.06	994,126	4,265	344	4	-	-
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	2-4	50.26	578,096	6,922	68	3	-	-
Harris County	3-AAAA	2-3	53.10	498,035	7,674	156	2	-	-
Dalton	7-AAAA	1-5	50.72	752,768	2,430	132	2	-	-
Allatoona	7-AAAA	2-4	51.10	626,670	1,429	116	2	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	1-3	49.97	370,445	3,283	42	2	-	-
Hiram	7-AAAA	1-4	49.32	462,354	732	39	1	-	-
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	4-1	52.00	610,943	6,505	106	-	-	-
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	4-1	47.39	693,212	656	28	-	-	-
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	1-4	50.50	172,391	360	20	-	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAA	4-1	47.24	442,682	2,682	15	-	-	-
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	0-5	49.31	214,687	1,229	11	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	3-2	50.24	83,251	673	8	-	-	-
Cedartown	7-AAAA	2-4	46.71	148,891	136	6	-	-	-
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	3-2	46.84	132,837	96	4	-	-	-
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	1-4	43.14	294,441	64	4	-	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-5	45.27	83,021	64	1	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	2-3	45.95	21,710	80	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	3-2	41.63	3,918	8	-	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-5	40.54	18,422	2	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	2-3	32.49	4,434	1	-	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	1-4	37.18	61	1	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	2-3	25.72	19,751	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	0-4	30.86	10,063	-	-	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-5	31.77	5,028	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	1-3	16.68	352	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	1-4	20.64	155	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	0-5	21.03	19	-	-	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	0-5	10.53	5	-	-	-	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAA	0-5	31.52	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-5	10.19	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-5	3.02	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-6	-25.45	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Ware County	586,154	353,803	50,909	8,537	999,403	597
1-AAAA	Benedictine	386,482	502,278	92,053	17,665	998,478	1,522
1-AAAA	Perry	13,618	76,237	425,327	361,237	876,419	123,581
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	13,589	64,373	378,473	413,853	870,288	129,712
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	140	2,819	37,220	132,212	172,391	827,609
1-AAAA	Wayne County	17	490	16,018	66,496	83,021	916,979
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	384,905	257,775	154,541	118,152	915,373	84,627
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	333,701	387,537	186,290	67,736	975,264	24,736
2-AAAA	Ola	202,844	233,338	405,769	130,631	972,582	27,418
2-AAAA	Jones County	71,766	63,620	143,433	322,980	601,799	398,201
2-AAAA	Hampton	6,679	54,465	95,393	269,505	426,042	573,958
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	75	2,882	11,759	68,535	83,251	916,749
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	18	200	524	3,176	3,918	996,082
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	12	183	2,287	19,228	21,710	978,290
2-AAAA	McDonough	-	-	4	57	61	999,939
2-AAAA	Union Grove	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	630,678	314,455	48,482	5,595	999,210	790
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	342,954	539,220	104,453	11,002	997,629	2,371
3-AAAA	Griffin	23,930	119,462	536,801	234,773	914,966	85,034
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	1,176	13,701	106,438	249,130	370,445	629,555
3-AAAA	Harris County	995	9,109	183,075	304,856	498,035	501,965
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	267	4,050	20,391	189,979	214,687	785,313
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	-	3	360	4,665	5,028	994,972
4-AAAA	Creekside	994,639	5,320	34	7	1,000,000	-
4-AAAA	M.L. King	4,699	448,110	457,104	88,200	998,113	1,887
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	642	68,213	179,650	444,707	693,212	306,788
4-AAAA	Mays	20	478,071	349,541	166,494	994,126	5,874
4-AAAA	Midtown	-	267	3,445	16,039	19,751	980,249
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	-	19	10,216	284,206	294,441	705,559
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	-	10	342	352	999,648
4-AAAA	Drew	-	-	-	5	5	999,995
5-AAAA	Marist	819,354	164,605	13,409	2,379	999,747	253
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	161,525	635,769	167,239	28,861	993,394	6,606
5-AAAA	Lithonia	14,268	157,159	494,624	241,970	908,021	91,979
5-AAAA	Tucker	3,040	32,421	102,291	345,535	483,287	516,713
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	1,813	10,006	221,403	377,721	610,943	389,057
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	40	1,028	3,366	4,434	995,566
5-AAAA	North Springs	-	-	5	150	155	999,845
5-AAAA	Northview	-	-	1	18	19	999,981
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	573,522	284,502	128,029	12,859	998,912	1,088
6-AAAA	Cambridge	244,560	359,892	336,281	51,025	991,758	8,242
6-AAAA	Kell	178,483	334,409	410,573	65,087	988,552	11,448
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	2,590	15,091	79,413	481,002	578,096	421,904
6-AAAA	Centennial	845	6,106	45,704	390,027	442,682	557,318
7-AAAA	Cartersville	813,940	183,556	2,400	92	999,988	12
7-AAAA	Cass	185,126	741,922	67,075	5,143	999,266	734
7-AAAA	Allatoona	419	22,636	173,426	430,189	626,670	373,330
7-AAAA	Hiram	373	3,450	201,159	257,372	462,354	537,646
7-AAAA	Dalton	142	48,199	488,784	215,643	752,768	247,232
7-AAAA	Cedartown	-	216	65,500	83,175	148,891	851,109
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	21	1,656	8,386	10,063	989,937
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	986,025	13,722	222	31	1,000,000	-
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	9,487	589,532	217,279	110,226	926,524	73,476
8-AAAA	Eastside	2,465	101,815	350,765	293,998	749,043	250,957
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	1,536	188,676	240,292	263,736	694,240	305,760
8-AAAA	Madison County	486	92,207	149,776	236,465	478,934	521,066
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	1	13,551	38,543	80,742	132,837	867,163
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	-	497	3,123	14,802	18,422	981,578

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	5-0	82.65	1,000,000	866,936	724,702	593,015	405,881	1.46
Jefferson	8-AAA	4-1	81.16	1,000,000	834,881	645,587	518,646	315,820	2.17
Troup	2-AAA	5-0	74.96	999,872	606,086	345,476	196,610	81,785	11.23
LaGrange	2-AAA	5-1	74.90	999,945	574,532	305,354	176,891	72,607	12.77
Peach County	1-AAA	5-0	70.69	998,364	582,699	325,245	114,906	35,891	26.86
Calhoun	7-AAA	2-2	69.85	999,805	602,252	333,749	109,581	31,594	30.65
Jenkins	3-AAA	4-1	68.56	1,000,000	592,885	301,928	91,780	24,075	40.54
Cairo	1-AAA	2-2	65.70	979,973	346,658	137,725	34,375	7,189	138.10
Douglass	5-AAA	3-2	64.75	998,226	388,401	148,324	33,562	6,468	153.61
North Hall	6-AAA	5-0	64.36	999,934	365,066	144,778	36,080	6,446	154.13
Stephenson	5-AAA	5-0	63.70	999,801	340,764	125,670	29,000	4,831	206.00
West Laurens	4-AAA	5-0	61.30	999,328	293,211	94,019	16,749	2,247	444.04
Pickens	6-AAA	5-0	60.43	999,983	229,612	67,468	12,134	1,486	671.95
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	4-1	60.31	992,053	169,436	48,395	7,830	973	1,026.75
Oconee County	8-AAA	3-2	59.07	982,670	141,802	37,648	4,970	558	1,791.11
Harlem	4-AAA	3-1	57.73	990,963	119,020	28,195	3,587	382	2,616.80
Monroe	1-AAA	2-3	58.64	811,892	82,670	20,870	2,922	304	3,288.47
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	4-1	56.90	998,185	140,025	30,867	3,616	291	3,435.43
Whitewater	2-AAA	2-2	59.25	638,155	74,473	18,937	2,503	289	3,459.21
Monroe Area	8-AAA	4-1	57.37	949,417	97,101	22,154	2,546	233	4,290.85
Mary Persons	2-AAA	3-1	58.57	536,075	55,424	12,906	1,717	187	5,346.59
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	3-2	56.18	945,226	76,949	15,158	1,564	133	7,517.80
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	3-2	54.97	933,971	63,722	10,909	1,064	81	12,344.68
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	4-1	54.97	982,930	70,176	13,002	1,153	70	14,284.71
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	4-1	54.11	994,679	69,740	11,613	1,058	66	15,150.52
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	3-2	56.39	278,788	20,396	4,131	459	41	24,389.24
Luella	5-AAA	2-2	52.58	710,557	33,818	4,840	355	24	41,665.67
Gilmer	7-AAA	3-2	52.51	965,665	40,151	5,993	433	22	45,453.55
Westover	1-AAA	3-1	53.61	663,377	32,616	5,268	450	19	52,630.58
Liberty County	3-AAA	4-1	48.77	976,482	21,311	2,143	94	3	333,332.33
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-5	52.60	482,324	10,083	1,394	133	2	499,999.00
Baldwin	4-AAA	2-2	50.55	471,966	13,495	1,535	68	1	999,999.00
North Clayton	5-AAA	4-1	49.06	519,251	11,779	1,274	47	1	999,999.00
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	3-2	49.21	808,279	18,318	1,945	77	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	2-3	45.62	520,127	5,271	345	12	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	2-3	46.33	186,132	2,234	166	9	-	-
Long County	3-AAA	4-1	43.25	542,131	2,980	151	2	-	-
Adairsville	7-AAA	2-3	41.69	303,518	1,039	52	2	-	-
Dawson County	6-AAA	1-3	42.61	116,998	478	23	-	-	-
Dougherty	1-AAA	1-4	45.01	137,293	424	23	-	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	2-3	41.65	81,488	310	14	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	2-3	39.46	127,810	195	8	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	2-3	40.53	73,832	213	6	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	1-3	36.72	129,467	162	3	-	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	3-2	37.26	106,564	140	3	-	-	-
White County	6-AAA	0-5	37.65	34,096	40	2	-	-	-
Spalding	2-AAA	0-5	49.07	1,594	22	2	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	2-3	30.54	14,840	3	-	-	-	-
West Hall	8-AAA	2-3	29.13	15,212	1	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	2-3	25.96	492	-	-	-	-	-
Howard	4-AAA	1-4	32.17	217	-	-	-	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	1-4	21.78	35	-	-	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-4	22.61	13	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-4	19.53	3	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	0-5	27.14	1	-	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	1-4	18.43	1	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-5	9.18	-	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-4	7.45	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-AAA	Jefferson	829,823	927,799	998,635	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	57,923	807,453	992,327	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	North Hall	41,814	519,411	905,300	999,934	66
6-AAA	Pickens	24,252	368,975	867,827	999,983	17
5-AAA	Stephenson	17,459	454,348	862,436	999,801	199
2-AAA	Troup	16,372	305,421	864,146	999,872	128
4-AAA	West Laurens	5,116	539,755	848,305	999,328	672
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	2,613	92,384	536,735	994,679	5,321
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	910	53,024	433,789	992,053	7,947
7-AAA	Calhoun	892	749,691	945,748	999,805	195
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	823	179,600	751,109	998,185	1,815
2-AAA	LaGrange	820	156,049	900,647	999,945	55
1-AAA	Peach County	593	590,153	882,373	998,364	1,636
3-AAA	Jenkins	266	983,868	995,812	1,000,000	-
8-AAA	Oconee County	116	32,967	352,730	982,670	17,330
5-AAA	Douglass	82	513,036	884,688	998,226	1,774
1-AAA	Cairo	54	303,157	682,816	979,973	20,027
4-AAA	Harlem	52	85,093	458,219	990,963	9,037
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	11	48,846	240,330	982,930	17,070
7-AAA	Gilmer	6	14,103	142,362	965,665	34,335
8-AAA	Monroe Area	3	21,723	257,371	949,417	50,583
1-AAA	Monroe	-	69,172	254,802	811,892	188,108
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	-	42,332	142,632	933,971	66,029
5-AAA	Luella	-	35,793	133,911	710,557	289,443
1-AAA	Westover	-	23,192	105,741	663,377	336,623
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	-	21,277	166,210	945,226	54,774
1-AAA	Bainbridge	-	13,915	72,852	482,324	517,676
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	-	12,311	35,943	808,279	191,721
4-AAA	Baldwin	-	12,065	40,219	471,966	528,034
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	11,657	57,371	519,251	480,749
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	3,963	16,708	186,132	813,868
7-AAA	Adairsville	-	2,245	26,125	303,518	696,482
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	1,273	13,176	520,127	479,873
2-AAA	Whitewater	-	996	10,611	638,155	361,845
1-AAA	Dougherty	-	915	8,617	137,293	862,707
3-AAA	Long County	-	519	10,478	542,131	457,869
6-AAA	Dawson County	-	495	4,236	116,998	883,002
2-AAA	Mary Persons	-	422	6,442	536,075	463,925
3-AAA	Liberty County	-	368	80,458	976,482	23,518
8-AAA	East Hall	-	77	4,818	127,810	872,190
7-AAA	LaFayette	-	52	1,148	106,564	893,436
4-AAA	Hephzibah	-	47	381	73,832	926,168
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	41	1,322	81,488	918,512
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	-	11	1,638	278,788	721,212
6-AAA	White County	-	4	217	34,096	965,904
8-AAA	West Hall	-	1	127	15,212	984,788
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	1	108	14,840	985,160
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	-	2	492	999,508
4-AAA	Howard	-	-	2	217	999,783
3-AAA	Beach	-	-	-	129,467	870,533
2-AAA	Spalding	-	-	-	1,594	998,406
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	-	-	35	999,965
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	-	-	-	13	999,987
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	-	3	999,997
3-AAA	Islands	-	-	-	1	999,999
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	1	999,999
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAA	Stone Mountain	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	5-0	74.71	1,000,000	873,789	686,444	498,165	337,901	1.96
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	5-0	71.89	1,000,000	825,776	590,399	374,525	212,516	3.71
Pierce County	3-AA	5-0	71.89	999,972	812,370	568,972	340,285	193,204	4.18
Morgan County	2-AA	5-0	66.89	1,000,000	707,750	417,031	201,169	79,013	11.66
Sumter County	1-AA	5-0	66.60	1,000,000	647,384	333,347	153,360	60,154	15.62
Rockmart	7-AA	4-1	64.76	1,000,000	646,294	351,938	145,577	48,553	19.60
Callaway	2-AA	3-2	63.14	999,561	555,319	237,872	85,508	25,148	38.76
Burke County	4-AA	4-1	61.06	999,993	463,403	167,196	51,886	13,019	75.81
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	1-3	60.98	973,881	304,936	109,290	32,256	8,228	120.54
North Murray	7-AA	5-0	58.80	1,000,000	337,893	112,622	30,959	6,332	156.93
Cook	3-AA	4-2	59.33	991,804	289,208	95,385	24,965	5,428	183.23
Appling County	3-AA	2-3	59.77	986,143	258,597	86,802	23,077	5,386	184.67
Laney	4-AA	4-1	55.85	999,998	257,675	64,497	12,757	1,976	505.07
Thomson	4-AA	2-3	55.55	999,991	200,002	46,843	9,158	1,429	698.79
East Jackson	8-AA	5-0	54.09	988,921	111,320	26,388	4,368	596	1,676.85
Ringgold	7-AA	4-2	52.42	998,553	87,791	18,084	2,693	310	3,224.81
Stephens County	8-AA	2-3	51.95	752,263	62,026	10,301	1,391	169	5,916.16
Columbia	6-AA	0-5	49.84	998,667	130,819	19,077	2,171	154	6,492.51
Crisp County	3-AA	1-5	51.28	899,869	56,237	10,911	1,328	143	6,992.01
Sonoraville	7-AA	4-1	49.76	994,573	71,190	11,555	1,315	117	8,546.01
Franklin County	8-AA	5-0	50.64	935,557	62,508	10,156	1,147	107	9,344.79
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	2-2	48.72	970,884	51,340	7,445	710	48	20,832.33
Hart County	8-AA	1-4	48.79	396,921	20,810	2,626	267	23	43,477.26
Miller Grove	6-AA	4-1	44.82	996,022	64,766	5,942	396	21	47,618.05
Spencer	1-AA	2-3	46.88	976,870	37,022	4,373	333	17	58,822.53
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	4-2	44.83	919,553	24,247	2,118	133	5	199,999.00
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	1-4	42.43	724,611	10,962	765	34	2	499,999.00
Pike County	2-AA	3-2	42.16	833,787	14,192	979	50	1	999,999.00
Jackson	2-AA	1-4	39.75	536,938	4,281	266	12	-	-
Union County	7-AA	1-4	39.88	302,208	3,020	142	3	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	3-1	36.04	931,183	4,282	175	2	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	2-3	36.03	143,351	346	19	-	-	-
Shaw	1-AA	1-4	32.65	435,078	983	17	-	-	-
Therrell	5-AA	1-4	36.71	59,881	274	8	-	-	-
South Atlanta	6-AA	2-4	28.74	760,632	575	7	-	-	-
Redan	6-AA	2-4	27.08	637,314	254	4	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	1-4	33.23	66,329	161	3	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	2-2	25.15	612,476	157	1	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	2-4	26.36	65,965	23	-	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-4	26.78	57,973	11	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-5	11.16	529,682	4	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	1-4	9.61	410,031	2	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	3-2	14.28	52,093	1	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-5	-2.57	60,311	-	-	-	-	-
Washington	5-AA	1-5	17.07	117	-	-	-	-	-
Hardaway	1-AA	0-5	8.41	44	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-5	-10.13	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	355,222	878,769	998,636	1,000,000	-
7-AA	Rockmart	251,616	829,835	990,654	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Murray	169,609	605,857	986,622	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Morgan County	116,845	754,902	996,417	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	67,589	786,405	999,951	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Sumter County	37,273	532,471	989,974	1,000,000	-
7-AA	Sonoraville	1,284	60,823	486,519	994,573	5,427
8-AA	East Jackson	416	14,382	490,233	988,921	11,079
3-AA	Pierce County	73	745,770	958,405	999,972	28
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	49	20,798	365,011	970,884	29,116
2-AA	Callaway	7	352,276	924,856	999,561	439
7-AA	Ringgold	7	22,745	651,141	998,553	1,447
4-AA	Laney	5	233,855	680,894	999,998	2
8-AA	Franklin County	5	2,327	146,150	935,557	64,443
6-AA	Columbia	-	612,630	944,981	998,667	1,333
4-AA	Burke County	-	514,211	837,462	999,993	7
6-AA	Miller Grove	-	357,927	855,965	996,022	3,978
4-AA	Thomson	-	252,765	581,733	999,991	9
3-AA	Cook	-	121,297	485,945	991,804	8,196
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	-	118,078	437,272	973,881	26,119
3-AA	Appling County	-	115,564	480,880	986,143	13,857
3-AA	Crisp County	-	18,596	121,390	899,869	100,131
6-AA	South Atlanta	-	14,622	96,324	760,632	239,368
6-AA	Redan	-	9,859	63,196	637,314	362,686
6-AA	Salem	-	4,976	40,777	612,476	387,524
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	-	4,848	44,214	724,611	275,389
2-AA	Pike County	-	4,422	54,506	833,787	166,213
8-AA	Stephens County	-	3,874	46,003	752,263	247,737
2-AA	Jackson	-	2,429	27,395	536,938	463,062
8-AA	Hart County	-	1,033	18,471	396,921	603,079
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	651	30,860	919,553	80,447
1-AA	Spencer	-	404	76,577	976,870	23,130
1-AA	Columbus	-	386	82,699	931,183	68,817
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	130	3,443	143,351	856,649
1-AA	Shaw	-	49	408	435,078	564,922
5-AA	Therrell	-	17	354	59,881	940,119
2-AA	Rutland	-	10	391	57,973	942,027
7-AA	Union County	-	4	3,218	302,208	697,792
4-AA	Butler	-	2	16	529,682	470,318
4-AA	Josey	-	1	11	410,031	589,969
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	-	-	42	66,329	933,671
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	3	65,965	934,035
1-AA	Kendrick	-	-	1	52,093	947,907
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	-	60,311	939,689
5-AA	Washington	-	-	-	117	999,883
1-AA	Hardaway	-	-	-	44	999,956
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Thomasville	1-A Division I	4-1	74.32	1,000,000	889,524	716,629	595,457	459,997	1.17
Worth County	1-A Division I	5-0	68.69	1,000,000	792,475	484,961	334,964	178,980	4.59
Toombs County	3-A Division I	4-1	65.84	999,983	692,499	480,805	238,457	106,782	8.36
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	6-0	65.42	1,000,000	689,296	423,130	242,734	99,793	9.02
Northeast	2-A Division I	4-1	62.25	1,000,000	608,924	360,844	154,248	51,404	18.45
Rabun County	8-A Division I	5-0	61.08	1,000,000	586,737	323,755	134,690	40,224	23.86
Dublin	2-A Division I	4-1	59.51	1,000,000	479,995	239,987	88,156	23,723	41.15
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	2-2	60.11	999,748	368,554	180,995	66,154	18,607	52.74
Heard County	6-A Division I	4-0	55.46	1,000,000	405,984	161,870	45,162	8,485	116.86
Lamar County	4-A Division I	4-0	52.32	999,999	301,833	101,035	21,444	2,934	339.83
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	4-1	53.72	999,969	226,612	78,027	17,390	2,852	349.63
Haralson County	6-A Division I	4-1	50.67	999,963	231,139	66,329	11,288	1,359	734.84
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	4-0	51.56	999,675	158,613	46,463	8,454	1,114	896.67
Jasper County	4-A Division I	5-0	48.59	1,000,000	187,421	47,701	7,321	713	1,401.52
Dodge County	2-A Division I	4-1	50.32	999,674	146,612	38,884	6,417	710	1,407.45
Gordon Lee	7-A Division I	3-1	47.76	999,987	251,968	59,550	7,276	667	1,498.25
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	4-1	48.71	999,110	119,773	28,619	3,998	415	2,408.64
Putnam County	4-A Division I	3-2	47.55	1,000,000	157,182	35,628	4,622	404	2,474.25
Bremen	6-A Division I	3-2	47.30	996,725	125,166	27,328	3,083	269	3,716.47
Pepperell	6-A Division I	2-3	46.17	986,607	104,561	20,831	2,179	147	6,801.72
Fannin County	7-A Division I	3-2	44.94	999,393	134,249	24,361	2,162	146	6,848.32
Elbert County	8-A Division I	1-4	46.16	936,076	61,889	12,316	1,266	102	9,802.92
Social Circle	4-A Division I	3-2	43.91	999,596	74,180	12,088	1,007	63	15,872.02
Bacon County	1-A Division I	3-2	43.81	998,073	52,865	7,919	667	39	25,640.03
Washington County	2-A Division I	1-4	43.89	759,082	35,866	5,818	464	29	34,481.76
Commerce	8-A Division I	0-5	44.05	779,075	28,583	4,549	395	21	47,618.05
Berrien	1-A Division I	2-2	41.61	850,059	27,543	3,624	220	9	111,110.11
Temple	6-A Division I	4-1	40.54	985,822	29,682	3,356	216	6	166,665.67
Southwest	2-A Division I	2-3	39.55	838,448	19,141	2,012	99	6	166,665.67
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	2-3	35.21	412,195	3,511	259	4	-	-
McNair	4-A Division I	1-4	29.51	557,057	1,313	55	2	-	-
Vidalia	3-A Division I	1-4	33.32	168,605	482	26	2	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	5-0	29.49	990,872	3,465	137	1	-	-
East Laurens	2-A Division I	1-4	34.11	241,832	1,494	83	1	-	-
Dade County	7-A Division I	0-5	25.77	237,800	134	9	-	-	-
Model	6-A Division I	1-4	28.95	110,245	198	8	-	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	2-2	21.04	988,100	403	4	-	-	-
Banks County	8-A Division I	0-5	29.87	88,063	99	4	-	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-5	25.42	33,884	33	1	-	-	-
Chattooga	7-A Division I	1-4	19.11	29,862	2	-	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	1-4	18.36	13,357	-	-	-	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	0-3	7.93	1,002	-	-	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-A Division I	0-5	13.59	44	-	-	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	1-4	-5.94	12	-	-	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	0-5	-4.13	5	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-5	11.08	1	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	342,335	744,285	999,821	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Thomasville	292,753	833,954	998,595	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Worth County	188,878	802,482	997,238	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Heard County	82,262	578,370	945,069	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Jasper County	42,589	390,814	952,733	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Lamar County	20,626	488,585	928,015	999,999	1
8-A Division I	Rabun County	14,311	671,770	971,502	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Dublin	6,967	374,582	886,753	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Northeast	4,181	607,829	942,636	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Haralson County	2,237	293,218	748,907	999,963	37
4-A Division I	Putnam County	2,143	268,736	765,076	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	393	15,126	294,751	999,675	325
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	81	25,918	423,978	999,748	252
3-A Division I	Toombs County	80	433,939	829,214	999,983	17
4-A Division I	Social Circle	65	99,843	342,653	999,596	404
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	30	673,400	956,715	999,987	13
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	27	22,248	477,392	999,110	890
2-A Division I	Dodge County	20	34,681	353,896	999,674	326
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	11	58,938	365,743	999,969	31
6-A Division I	Temple	5	6,175	89,928	985,822	14,178
6-A Division I	Bremen	4	124,107	347,039	996,725	3,275
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	1	12,825	65,141	990,872	9,128
1-A Division I	Bacon County	1	681	71,483	998,073	1,927
7-A Division I	Fannin County	-	286,945	695,517	999,393	607
6-A Division I	Pepperell	-	110,820	317,149	986,607	13,393
8-A Division I	Elbert County	-	34,491	161,247	936,076	63,924
8-A Division I	Commerce	-	4,163	36,641	779,075	220,925
4-A Division I	McNair	-	352	3,405	557,057	442,943
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	305	3,601	412,195	587,805
1-A Division I	Berrien	-	142	3,723	850,059	149,941
3-A Division I	Vidalia	-	98	1,445	168,605	831,395
6-A Division I	Model	-	57	399	110,245	889,755
7-A Division I	Chattooga	-	43	468	29,862	970,138
4-A Division I	Towers	-	30	12,392	988,100	11,900
7-A Division I	Dade County	-	27	889	237,800	762,200
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	20	787	88,063	911,937
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	1	55	13,357	986,643
2-A Division I	Southwest	-	-	7,688	838,448	161,552
2-A Division I	Washington County	-	-	312	759,082	240,918
2-A Division I	East Laurens	-	-	2	241,832	758,168
7-A Division I	Armuchee	-	-	1	1,002	998,998
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	-	1	5	999,995
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	-	-	33,884	966,116
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	-	-	44	999,956
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	12	999,988
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	-	1	999,999
5-A Division I	Mount Bethel Christian	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Brooks County	2-A Division II	1-4	59.08	997,016	817,292	641,713	436,018	276,594	2.62
Bowdon	7-A Division II	3-2	58.87	999,800	752,623	645,058	405,304	254,824	2.92
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	5-0	57.56	999,968	832,581	557,245	401,780	218,414	3.58
Clinch County	2-A Division II	5-0	54.77	987,708	688,284	424,807	247,182	112,400	7.90
Early County	1-A Division II	3-2	50.64	998,360	537,572	338,290	129,270	46,280	20.61
Metter	3-A Division II	3-1	48.01	961,409	455,846	211,752	70,102	20,673	47.37
Seminole County	1-A Division II	4-0	46.47	994,277	374,969	185,516	54,295	14,100	69.92
Johnson County	5-A Division II	5-0	47.54	999,985	314,969	100,994	44,232	12,167	81.19
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	3-2	45.07	998,775	415,824	165,389	43,293	10,117	97.84
Manchester	7-A Division II	2-3	46.26	990,491	291,555	140,933	40,401	9,931	99.69
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	5-0	44.97	937,841	310,394	92,645	28,135	6,525	152.26
Screven County	3-A Division II	4-0	44.01	931,248	322,424	108,759	26,843	5,710	174.13
Irwin County	2-A Division II	1-4	44.08	837,331	268,571	83,041	19,108	3,957	251.72
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	3-2	44.17	797,059	174,386	56,978	15,166	3,287	303.23
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	4-0	41.60	810,885	144,191	37,532	8,331	1,437	694.89
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	3-2	40.36	690,902	125,229	26,869	5,158	743	1,344.90
Schley County	6-A Division II	3-3	39.17	997,583	148,221	29,723	5,010	695	1,437.85
Charlton County	2-A Division II	2-3	39.44	635,761	123,574	24,549	3,767	485	2,060.86
Taylor County	6-A Division II	3-2	37.98	995,055	109,530	20,342	2,998	358	2,792.30
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	2-2	36.72	878,333	133,147	20,764	2,887	318	3,143.65
Treutlen	4-A Division II	3-2	37.07	785,102	82,663	14,010	2,165	221	4,523.89
Trion	7-A Division II	2-3	36.93	903,864	91,111	14,206	2,014	196	5,101.04
Turner County	2-A Division II	1-2	37.09	501,432	71,545	11,252	1,422	154	6,492.51
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	5-1	36.12	910,073	81,342	11,084	1,435	129	7,750.94
Telfair County	4-A Division II	2-3	36.73	573,134	43,941	8,269	1,118	123	8,129.08
Macon County	6-A Division II	2-4	35.28	995,127	66,041	9,504	1,057	82	12,194.12
Warren County	8-A Division II	2-4	31.63	866,665	43,559	3,977	352	19	52,630.58
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	0-5	30.61	987,967	39,910	3,205	237	16	62,499.00
Bryan County	3-A Division II	3-2	34.11	302,542	21,680	2,458	222	16	62,499.00
Pelham	1-A Division II	0-5	32.05	515,187	28,123	2,295	204	14	71,427.57
Greene County	8-A Division II	1-4	31.02	833,979	34,335	3,080	249	13	76,922.08
Miller County	1-A Division II	1-4	29.91	413,241	16,011	1,074	88	1	999,999.00
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	2-4	28.48	748,881	17,426	1,211	77	1	999,999.00
Crawford County	6-A Division II	2-3	28.79	801,210	4,062	580	36	-	-
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	2-3	31.98	112,766	3,797	290	23	-	-
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-4	28.00	87,103	863	102	9	-	-
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	2-4	24.71	550,507	4,680	236	7	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	1-2-1	26.86	181,070	2,509	121	3	-	-
Greenville	7-A Division II	3-1	21.81	195,772	1,974	46	2	-	-
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	2-3	19.67	849,798	1,610	44	-	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	1-4	17.98	776,058	963	29	-	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Division II	0-5	23.18	40,752	513	24	-	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	1-4	21.04	8,876	17	2	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	1-4	9.57	325,904	49	1	-	-	-
Portal	3-A Division II	1-4	25.59	2,273	27	1	-	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	0-5	15.84	141,110	29	-	-	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Division II	1-3	16.46	19,532	28	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	1-4	12.70	69,537	9	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	0-5	0.33	60,288	1	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	0-2	-8.70	378	-	-	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	0-5	16.89	60	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-3	10.60	25	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	4-1	32.90	-	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	3-2	24.10	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	2-2	8.04	-	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	0-3	-0.72	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-4	-2.15	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	0-4	-8.12	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	623,530	295,326	68,189	11,315	998,360	1,640
1-A Division II	Seminole County	322,715	483,115	164,104	24,343	994,277	5,723
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	48,409	172,693	428,011	229,220	878,333	121,667
1-A Division II	Pelham	3,917	21,163	171,897	318,210	515,187	484,813
1-A Division II	Miller County	974	22,754	136,333	253,180	413,241	586,759
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	454	4,779	28,498	147,339	181,070	818,930
1-A Division II	Terrell County	1	170	2,968	16,393	19,532	980,468
1-A Division II	Calhoun County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Brooks County	626,638	289,388	65,865	15,125	997,016	2,984
2-A Division II	Clinch County	316,179	476,646	154,093	40,790	987,708	12,292
2-A Division II	Irwin County	38,234	133,042	391,755	274,300	837,331	162,669
2-A Division II	Charlton County	12,513	64,360	225,386	333,502	635,761	364,239
2-A Division II	Turner County	6,390	35,894	154,468	304,680	501,432	498,568
2-A Division II	Lanier County	46	670	8,433	31,603	40,752	959,248
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	402,165	336,887	215,975	43,748	998,775	1,225
3-A Division II	Metter	363,356	286,166	209,852	102,035	961,409	38,591
3-A Division II	Screven County	207,285	263,501	289,324	171,138	931,248	68,752
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	24,698	94,308	200,658	371,238	690,902	309,098
3-A Division II	Bryan County	2,475	17,364	71,201	211,502	302,542	697,458
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	21	1,752	12,723	98,270	112,766	887,234
3-A Division II	Portal	-	21	261	1,991	2,273	997,727
3-A Division II	Claxton	-	1	3	56	60	999,940
3-A Division II	Savannah	-	-	3	22	25	999,975
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	414,786	249,235	169,827	103,993	937,841	62,159
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	184,278	214,547	211,846	200,214	810,885	189,115
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	168,240	201,940	225,126	201,753	797,059	202,941
4-A Division II	Treutlen	161,593	211,879	213,258	198,372	785,102	214,898
4-A Division II	Telfair County	69,910	115,327	156,804	231,093	573,134	426,866
4-A Division II	Dooly County	1,126	6,708	21,345	57,924	87,103	912,897
4-A Division II	Montgomery County	67	364	1,794	6,651	8,876	991,124
5-A Division II	Johnson County	897,205	97,864	4,356	560	999,985	15
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	90,952	672,887	181,200	42,928	987,967	12,033
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	7,073	120,711	397,541	324,473	849,798	150,202
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	4,470	90,648	321,218	359,722	776,058	223,942
5-A Division II	Glascock County	298	16,936	82,996	225,674	325,904	674,096
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	2	954	12,689	46,643	60,288	939,712
6-A Division II	Schley County	426,553	344,552	211,358	15,120	997,583	2,417
6-A Division II	Taylor County	342,676	293,725	244,056	114,598	995,055	4,945
6-A Division II	Macon County	230,562	349,899	394,916	19,750	995,127	4,873
6-A Division II	Marion County	190	2,012	14,949	123,959	141,110	858,890
6-A Division II	Crawford County	19	9,763	132,236	659,192	801,210	198,790
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	-	49	2,482	67,006	69,537	930,463
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	3	375	378	999,622
7-A Division II	Bowdon	785,731	182,025	26,687	5,357	999,800	200
7-A Division II	Manchester	167,859	525,538	214,851	82,243	990,491	9,509
7-A Division II	Trion	27,947	160,369	351,949	363,599	903,864	96,136
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	18,283	126,609	378,537	386,644	910,073	89,927
7-A Division II	Greenville	180	5,459	27,976	162,157	195,772	804,228
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	946,091	50,457	2,710	710	999,968	32
8-A Division II	Greene County	20,578	282,482	288,225	242,694	833,979	166,021
8-A Division II	Warren County	20,234	351,472	291,325	203,634	866,665	133,335
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	9,230	217,492	255,134	267,025	748,881	251,119
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	3,867	98,097	162,606	285,937	550,507	449,493
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Smaller Private

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Hebron Christian	8-AA	3-1	78.66	1,000,000	961,262	863,470	709,102	539,581	0.85
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	4-1	71.97	1,000,000	910,448	715,139	483,296	210,009	3.76
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	4-1	71.34	1,000,000	889,241	649,343	350,134	158,757	5.30
Calvary Day	3-AAA	4-1	66.05	1,000,000	798,583	429,329	171,621	50,259	18.90
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	3-2	60.13	1,000,000	531,074	204,760	53,054	9,532	103.91
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	4-1	58.80	1,000,000	620,795	212,775	51,632	8,181	121.23
Aquinas	4-AAA	4-0	58.30	1,000,000	635,225	232,921	54,879	8,002	123.97
Holy Innocents	5-AA	4-1	58.76	1,000,000	402,242	140,210	33,457	5,385	184.70
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	4-1	56.63	1,000,000	438,566	133,901	26,949	3,448	289.02
Lovett	5-AA	4-1	56.10	1,000,000	339,666	99,009	18,916	2,280	437.60
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	2-3	57.02	1,000,000	192,099	69,952	14,222	1,876	532.05
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	4-1	53.06	1,000,000	443,312	100,524	14,777	1,303	766.46
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	3-2	53.16	1,000,000	211,229	55,747	8,378	735	1,359.54
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	5-0	50.76	1,000,000	357,566	63,517	7,457	545	1,833.86
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	3-2	48.13	1,000,000	81,383	13,957	1,298	80	12,499.00
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	2-3	45.92	1,000,000	54,343	7,277	450	16	62,499.00
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	2-3	42.25	1,000,000	70,567	5,037	286	10	99,999.00
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	3-2	39.21	1,000,000	27,773	1,643	64	1	999,999.00
Darlington	6-A Division I	2-3	37.46	1,000,000	12,232	714	12	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	4-1	33.37	1,000,000	13,347	457	9	-	-
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	2-3	34.93	1,000,000	7,157	306	7	-	-
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	1-3	28.82	1,000,000	1,842	12	-	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	1-4	14.68	1,000,000	48	-	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	2-3	-1.01	1,000,000	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-AA	Hebron Christian	580,767	983,922	999,999	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	258,825	940,005	1,000,000	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Aquinas	89,101	751,594	999,861	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	44,323	885,412	999,470	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	13,531	484,495	999,988	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	11,872	626,982	999,841	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	528	407,903	984,296	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	351	71,921	891,410	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	345	412,072	970,575	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	178	773,883	991,689	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Lovett	80	231,617	951,579	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Holy Innocents	73	288,510	893,650	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Calvary Day	15	896,428	999,993	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	11	47,165	685,546	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	-	157,410	755,972	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	-	15,449	88,639	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	-	9,162	606,415	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	-	8,447	790,915	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Darlington	-	4,958	67,848	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	-	1,230	280,811	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	-	1,005	40,638	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	-	430	863	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Walker	-	-	2	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	-	-	-	1,000,000	-

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Maxwell playoff projections: Sandy Creek, Hebron Christian emerge as favorites

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Playoff Projections by Team

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