It’s clear the industry is changing. What’s less clear is how much that will translate into a jobs boom or bust as automation and artificial intelligence increasingly take over the work.
The robot-powered warehouse in McDonough just south of Atlanta will begin operations in June after test runs. It belongs to Project Verte, a Sandy Springs start-up aiming to compete with Amazon. Project Verte targets mom-and-pop to mid-size sellers, offering to help them track, keep inventory, sell and move their goods ranging from shoes to cosmetics from manufacturer to home.
The low-slung Butlers are manufactured by GreyOrange in Alpharetta, the American headquarters of the Singapore company. It can retrofit any warehouse with a flat floor into a roboticized one that can endlessly reconfigure its movable shelves for maximum efficiency. Products that arrive at one door can be stocked and on their way to buyers in as little as two hours, touched by human hands only two or three times.
The Butlers at the McDonough warehouse look like giant Roombas, the disc-shaped robotic vacuum cleaners. They glide among 6,000 refrigerator-size shelving units lined up in rows 85 deep between the delivery and shipping bays. They roll precisely under a unit holding an item someone has ordered, jack it up with enough electric power to lift more than 3,000 pounds, and move it to the waiting Usher, a human picker. Usher then grabs the item out of one of its bins, scans it and hands it to team members who pack it and label it for shipping to a customer’s home.
The warehouse is cutting edge when it comes to automation. But it isn’t alone. E-commerce giant Amazon is adding highly roboticized warehouses across the nation similar to Project Verte’s. The closest one to Georgia is in Jacksonville, Fla., which uses movable shelving units and scooter-like robots that look like GreyOrange’s.
Repetitive work, like warehouse jobs, is widely predicted to be among those more vulnerable to disappearing thanks to robots and artificial intelligence. At the same time, new jobs are created through the industry’s growth and adoption of technology. Programmers and robot mechanics are now on staffs, but they typically take more education or skills. There is unsettled debate about whether continuing technological and social changes will create as many jobs as those shorn off.
“I think there’s definitely going to be fewer workers in warehouses, but warehouses are also experiencing labor shortages,” said Nancey Green Leigh, a Georgia Tech professor who studies robots and works with a National Science Foundation grant.
Packing goods for shipping is often tedious work at low pay, which has led to employee turnover and unfilled jobs. With the unemployment rate below 4%, there also are fewer available workers. Indeed.com lists more than 6,000 warehouse jobs in Georgia, the bulk of them paying $25,000 a year or less.
“On the one hand, we can be concerned about the job loss, but on the other hand, many of the jobs are not great jobs,” said Green Leigh.
Don’t forget to turn off the lights
Georgia long has been a logistics and warehousing center. Atlanta has the sixth-most warehousing space among metro areas, with 683 million square feet. It is home to companies such as UPS and Manhattan Associates and has major operations for big global logistics providers such as XPO. Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport is a cargo hub and Savannah is the fourth-busiest U.S. container port in the U.S., connecting Georgia businesses to the world. The state boasts excellent rail and interstate access.
Project Verte, backed by $45 million in venture capital, is hoping to leapfrog larger and older competitors with the help of GreyOrange’s robots. GreyOrange, also a start-up, has received more than $170 million in venture capital.
“Anybody who built five or 10 years ago was too early,” said Project Verte founder Julian Kahlon, in reference to fast-changing technology.
Kahlon added that he wanted to build a warehouse capable of doing Black Friday business volumes every day, to keep up with the explosion in demand as consumers increasingly opt to have goods shipped directly to their homes.
At Usher’s work station, Butlers scoot to her, line up and move in unison past her as she picks goods from bins. A laser focuses a point of light on the bin holding the item. A screen shows her what to pick and pack for the next order.
Cut off the lights, the Butlers don’t care. They don’t need light to do their jobs 24/7, and the warehouse could operate with lights only over the picking stations, said Project Verte’s chief product officer Padhu Raman.
If a particular item trends up suddenly in sales, the system figures out that the Butler should drop the shelving unit close to a picking station. That saves time in transporting it when the next order comes in.
The dance of the shelving units delivering goods to pickers allows them to select an item a minute. If the McDonough warehouse reaches full capacity, it will be able to ship 200,000 items in a 24-hour period, helped by 400 human pickers, packers, supervisors and technicians.
Project Verte will start using about half the warehouse floor for 60 customers and add workers if the business grows.
Tye Brady, chief technologist for Amazon, said even mom-and-pop operations can sell to customers worldwide through the internet, helping drive growth at Amazon too. And with that growth comes new jobs.
“Just last year alone, we added 120,00 full-time jobs at Amazon,” Brady said.
Brady describes the jobs in a virtuous cycle: Rising demand and new technologies create new jobs, even as older jobs are shed. Collaborative robots take on dangerous tasks, such as heavy lifting, saving workers from injuries and making them more productive.
Low-skilled warehouse work is not well paid, the average job paying about $13 an hour, according to the Georgia Department of Labor. And the work can be arduous. Before mobile delivery robots, pickers could walk up to 12 miles a day finding and moving items, said Leigh, the Georgia Tech professor.
But the drive for efficiency means companies also are searching for additional ways to replace humans with robots. Both Amazon and GreyOrange say they have built and are perfecting picking robots - the same job that Usher is currently doing at Project Verte’s McDonough warehouse. Amazon also has a test delivery program in Washington state, where a wheeled robot traveling on sidewalks is delivering packages to doorsteps, and has made investments in self-driving vehicles, including shipping trucks.
The question is whether robots can perform some of the least desirable aspects of the jobs and make companies more efficient, creating enough new and higher-paying jobs from the savings. A lot depends on how well educators and companies prepare workers for the new jobs that will be opened up by the inevitable changes.
“We are not there on that yet,” said Leigh.
Rapid technological change is remaking just about every job as automation and artificial intelligence increasingly do the work of humans. The Atlanta Journal-Constitution in this series of in-depth articles will explore changes in the workplace and what they mean for Georgians.