Maxwell Week 10 summary

By Loren Maxwell

Updated Oct 28, 2019

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all teams’ historical performance is 1.87%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,579 of 1,667 total games including 1 tie(s) (94.69%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.24 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.58

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Lowndes	9-0	98.56	1	Valdosta	7-2	81.87
2	Colquitt County	8-1	90.20	2	Lee County	7-1	77.37
3	McEachern	8-0	86.18	3	Dacula	8-0	71.17
4	North Gwinnett	8-1	83.18	4	Coffee	7-2	70.25
5	Grayson	7-1	82.88	5	Harrison	8-0	69.71
6	Marietta	6-2	78.11	6	Allatoona	5-2-1	59.75
7	Parkview	7-1	74.03	7	Mays	7-1	59.07
8	Archer	5-3	72.52	8	Houston County	4-4	57.77
9	Mill Creek	7-2	71.37	9	Johns Creek	7-1	57.62
10	Hillgrove	7-1	70.31	10	Lanier	8-0	56.92
11	Camden County	6-2	69.98	11	Northside (Warner Robins)	3-5	54.00
12	Milton	5-3	66.34	12	Stephenson	7-1	52.49
13	Newton	5-3	64.54	13	Glynn Academy	3-4	51.46
14	Collins Hill	5-3	62.59	14	Dalton	6-2	51.07
15	Shiloh	7-1	60.23	15	Richmond Hill	5-3	50.40

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Buford	8-0	77.23	1	Marist	9-0	76.97
2	Carrollton	8-0	75.06	2	Cartersville	9-0	71.35
3	Warner Robins	8-1	72.34	3	Woodward Academy	8-0	70.40
4	Jones County	8-0	69.06	4	Sandy Creek	7-1	64.68
5	Rome	7-2	65.31	5	Blessed Trinity	7-1	63.34
6	Dutchtown	7-1	64.72	6	West Laurens	7-1	59.88
7	Ware County	5-3	63.70	7	Flowery Branch	6-2	57.73
8	Kell	6-2	59.88	8	Denmark	6-2	54.84
9	Wayne County	7-1	59.22	9	Oconee County	7-1	54.03
10	Veterans	7-1	58.81	10	Carver (Columbus)	8-1	52.02
11	Bainbridge	5-3	54.46	11	North Oconee	9-0	51.00
12	South Effingham	6-3	53.81	12	Burke County	7-2	50.82
13	Griffin	8-1	53.52	13	Cairo	6-2	49.56
14	Ola	6-2	51.40	14	Troup	5-3	48.19
15	Riverdale	7-1	51.23	15	Chapel Hill	4-4	47.94

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	7-2	72.94	1	Dublin	8-0	64.39
2	Peach County	7-1	70.58	2	Rabun County	8-0	63.30
3	Pierce County	8-0	62.84	3	Rockmart	8-0	61.88
4	Greater Atlanta Christian	8-1	58.31	4	Hapeville Charter	6-1-1	58.78
5	Jefferson	7-1	56.60	5	Callaway	8-1	56.31
6	Crisp County	6-3	54.30	6	Swainsboro	7-1	55.02
7	Lovett	6-2	53.95	7	Washington County	6-2	48.57
8	Appling County	7-1	53.89	8	Bleckley County	6-2	47.38
9	Westminster (Atlanta)	4-4	53.27	9	Fitzgerald	7-2	42.12
10	Jenkins	8-1	52.95	10	Brooks County	4-4	41.99
11	North Murray	7-1	50.11	11	Thomasville	5-4	41.40
12	Liberty County	5-1	47.87	12	Union County	8-0	41.26
13	Benedictine	6-2	45.56	13	Bremen	5-3	40.79
14	Hart County	6-2	42.60	14	Pepperell	6-2	39.12
15	Pace Academy	4-4	41.29	15	Dodge County	4-5	38.26

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	7-0	61.71	1	Holy Innocents	8-0	68.91
2	Clinch County	7-1	53.52	2	Eagle's Landing Christian	7-1	66.59
3	Wilcox County	6-2	38.87	3	Athens Academy	8-0	57.48
4	Pelham	8-0	36.92	4	Darlington	8-0	51.36
5	Bowdon	6-2	35.38	5	Wesleyan	6-2	46.81
6	Commerce	6-2	33.72	6	Fellowship Christian	8-0	45.25
7	Johnson County	7-1	29.62	7	Hebron Christian	6-2	43.96
8	Lincoln County	6-2	29.16	8	Christian Heritage	7-1	42.30
9	Mitchell County	7-1	26.77	9	Prince Avenue Christian	6-2	41.48
10	Marion County	6-2	25.98	10	Savannah Country Day	8-0	36.96
11	McIntosh County Academy	3-5	23.90	11	Mount de Sales	8-0	36.20
12	Manchester	6-2	22.61	12	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	6-2	35.37
13	Turner County	6-2	21.63	13	Whitefield Academy	7-1	33.86
14	Emanuel County Institute	4-4	20.71	14	Savannah Christian	4-3	32.72
15	Trion	5-3	18.16	15	North Cobb Christian	6-2	31.75

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	9-0	98.56	63.92	7 [6]
2 [2]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	8-1	90.20	66.77	3 [3]
3 [3]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	8-0	86.18	56.23	13 [10]
4 [4]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	8-1	83.18	54.25	18 [14]
5 [5]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	7-1	82.88	67.23	2 [2]
6 [1]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	7-2	81.87	63.99	6 [1]
7 [6]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	6-2	78.11	68.31	1 [1]
8 [2]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	7-1	77.37	42.53	82 [14]
9 [1]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	8-0	77.23	45.76	55 [12]
10 [1]	Marist	7 - AAAA	9-0	76.97	42.81	80 [12]
11 [2]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	8-0	75.06	41.68	92 [19]
12 [7]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	7-1	74.03	50.60	29 [20]
13 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	7-2	72.94	46.83	46 [2]
14 [8]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	5-3	72.52	62.54	8 [7]
15 [3]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	8-1	72.34	50.01	32 [6]
16 [9]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	7-2	71.37	53.12	19 [15]
17 [2]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	9-0	71.35	40.88	101 [17]
18 [3]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	8-0	71.17	39.97	113 [23]
19 [2]	Peach County	4 - AAA	7-1	70.58	32.12	189 [14]
20 [3]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	8-0	70.40	21.54	289 [45]
21 [10]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	7-1	70.31	42.50	83 [35]
22 [4]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	7-2	70.25	49.31	34 [5]
23 [11]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	6-2	69.98	58.37	11 [9]
24 [5]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	8-0	69.71	31.93	194 [52]
25 [4]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	8-0	69.06	40.81	103 [21]
26 [1]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	8-0	68.91	29.40	217 [3]
27 [2]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	7-1	66.59	34.86	152 [1]
28 [12]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	5-3	66.34	52.88	21 [17]
29 [5]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	7-2	65.31	38.16	130 [28]
30 [6]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	7-1	64.72	47.20	42 [8]
31 [4]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	7-1	64.68	38.93	125 [21]
32 [13]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	5-3	64.54	54.99	17 [13]
33 [1]	Dublin	3 - AA	8-0	64.39	33.71	168 [9]
34 [7]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	5-3	63.70	56.00	15 [1]
35 [5]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	7-1	63.34	45.02	61 [8]
36 [2]	Rabun County	8 - AA	8-0	63.30	21.07	292 [25]
37 [3]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	8-0	62.84	19.08	318 [50]
38 [14]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	5-3	62.59	51.79	24 [18]
39 [3]	Rockmart	7 - AA	8-0	61.88	18.88	321 [32]
40 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	7-0	61.71	23.93	266 [9]
41 [15]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	7-1	60.23	35.07	148 [42]
42 [16]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	5-3	60.14	55.87	16 [12]
43 [6]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	7-1	59.88	39.89	115 [19]
44 [8]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	6-2	59.88	38.85	126 [25]
45 [6]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	5-2-1	59.75	41.37	94 [16]
46 [9]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	7-1	59.22	43.88	73 [14]
47 [7]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	7-1	59.07	38.97	122 [28]
48 [10]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	7-1	58.81	46.93	45 [9]
49 [4]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	6-1-1	58.78	24.15	261 [19]
50 [17]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	3-5	58.55	65.38	5 [5]
51 [4]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	8-1	58.31	34.65	157 [8]
52 [8]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	4-4	57.77	57.74	12 [3]
53 [7]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	6-2	57.73	41.49	93 [15]
54 [18]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	6-2	57.70	42.07	89 [38]
55 [9]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	7-1	57.62	29.96	212 [57]
56 [3]	Athens Academy	8 - A	8-0	57.48	18.16	323 [21]
57 [10]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	8-0	56.92	33.31	176 [43]
58 [5]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	7-1	56.60	32.49	184 [13]
59 [5]	Callaway	5 - AA	8-1	56.31	23.99	263 [20]
60 [19]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	4-4	55.54	53.01	20 [16]
61 [20]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	3-6	55.49	66.60	4 [4]
62 [6]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	7-1	55.02	28.81	225 [16]
63 [8]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	6-2	54.84	31.23	198 [31]
64 [11]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	5-3	54.46	52.02	23 [2]
65 [6]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	6-3	54.30	43.92	72 [4]
66 [21]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	5-2	54.28	34.75	154 [44]
67 [9]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	7-1	54.03	37.30	135 [22]
68 [11]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	3-5	54.00	61.21	9 [2]
69 [22]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	5-3	53.95	46.17	53 [28]
70 [7]	Lovett	5 - AAA	6-2	53.95	40.80	104 [6]
71 [8]	Appling County	2 - AAA	7-1	53.89	29.36	218 [19]
72 [12]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	6-3	53.81	46.75	47 [10]
73 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	7-1	53.52	28.84	222 [4]
74 [13]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	8-1	53.52	33.12	177 [37]
75 [9]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	4-4	53.27	48.99	37 [1]
76 [10]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	8-1	52.95	20.06	303 [46]
77 [23]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	6-2	52.92	43.13	76 [34]
78 [12]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	7-1	52.49	32.28	186 [48]
79 [24]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	4-4	52.18	50.59	30 [21]
80 [10]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	8-1	52.02	25.42	248 [36]
81 [25]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	3-5	51.57	56.01	14 [11]
82 [13]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	3-4	51.46	52.46	22 [4]
83 [14]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	6-2	51.40	40.80	105 [22]
84 [4]	Darlington	6 - A	8-0	51.36	21.73	288 [12]
85 [15]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	7-1	51.23	22.48	281 [48]
86 [26]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	4-4	51.23	51.41	26 [19]
87 [14]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	6-2	51.07	32.17	188 [49]
88 [11]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	9-0	51.00	24.48	258 [39]
89 [12]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	7-2	50.82	34.67	156 [27]
90 [15]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	5-3	50.40	44.74	66 [11]
91 [11]	North Murray	6 - AAA	7-1	50.11	19.67	313 [48]
92 [13]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	6-2	49.56	33.53	173 [29]
93 [16]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	6-2	49.52	40.89	100 [18]
94 [27]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	4-4	49.44	48.12	39 [24]
95 [16]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	5-3	49.10	36.39	140 [30]
96 [17]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	6-2	48.77	38.83	127 [26]
97 [7]	Washington County	3 - AA	6-2	48.57	34.43	160 [7]
98 [17]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	5-3	48.38	39.18	121 [27]
99 [14]	Troup	5 - AAAA	5-3	48.19	42.39	84 [13]
100 [15]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	4-4	47.94	49.05	36 [2]
101 [12]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	5-1	47.87	23.49	272 [39]
102 [28]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	4-4	47.81	47.56	41 [25]
103 [18]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	3-4	47.72	50.99	27 [4]
104 [29]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	5-3	47.40	42.13	87 [37]
105 [8]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	6-2	47.38	30.09	208 [13]
106 [19]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	5-3	47.07	42.58	81 [17]
107 [18]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	5-3	46.86	39.45	119 [25]
108 [5]	Wesleyan	5 - A	6-2	46.81	27.86	234 [6]
109 [19]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	6-2	46.27	33.92	165 [40]
110 [20]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	4-5	46.23	45.07	60 [9]
111 [13]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	6-2	45.56	19.50	315 [49]
112 [30]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	4-4	45.46	44.34	70 [33]
113 [16]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	4-4	45.46	42.87	79 [11]
114 [21]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	6-2	45.45	32.59	181 [46]
115 [20]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	5-3	45.37	38.95	124 [24]
116 [31]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	6-2	45.30	34.92	149 [43]
117 [6]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	8-0	45.25	7.58	393 [33]
118 [21]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	7-1	44.71	18.00	326 [51]
119 [17]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	4-4	44.31	41.23	98 [16]
120 [22]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	4-4	44.21	45.19	59 [8]
121 [18]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	4-4	44.07	44.86	64 [9]
122 [7]	Hebron Christian	8 - A	6-2	43.96	21.80	287 [11]
123 [23]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	5-3	43.93	36.31	142 [35]
124 [32]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-4	43.93	38.09	131 [41]
125 [22]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	3-5	43.89	51.53	25 [3]
126 [23]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	5-3	43.77	35.99	145 [31]
127 [24]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	5-4	43.69	44.23	71 [13]
128 [19]	Perry	2 - AAAA	5-3	43.13	36.38	141 [24]
129 [20]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	3-6	42.83	50.39	31 [1]
130 [14]	Hart County	8 - AAA	6-2	42.60	28.82	224 [21]
131 [24]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	5-3	42.46	36.72	138 [34]
132 [8]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	7-1	42.30	19.76	308 [17]
133 [9]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	7-2	42.12	24.92	254 [18]
134 [10]	Brooks County	1 - AA	4-4	41.99	39.96	114 [4]
135 [25]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	8-0	41.93	18.93	319 [50]
136 [9]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	6-2	41.48	19.75	310 [18]
137 [11]	Thomasville	1 - AA	5-4	41.40	42.12	88 [1]
138 [25]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	5-4	41.40	38.38	129 [30]
139 [15]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	4-4	41.29	42.87	78 [5]
140 [12]	Union County	8 - AA	8-0	41.26	9.82	378 [54]
141 [16]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	6-2	41.01	23.34	274 [40]
142 [33]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	4-4	40.98	44.87	63 [31]
143 [26]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	5-3	40.98	34.70	155 [38]
144 [27]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	6-2	40.91	31.94	192 [51]
145 [13]	Bremen	5 - AA	5-3	40.79	29.28	219 [14]
146 [17]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	7-1	40.75	15.56	345 [53]
147 [28]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	4-4	40.68	41.96	90 [15]
148 [26]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	4-5	40.68	43.52	74 [15]
149 [29]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	5-3	39.36	30.38	206 [56]
150 [14]	Pepperell	7 - AA	6-2	39.12	19.45	316 [31]
151 [21]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	3-5	39.08	44.41	67 [10]
152 [22]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	4-5	39.04	45.24	58 [7]
153 [18]	Islands	3 - AAA	6-2	39.01	24.52	257 [34]
154 [30]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	5-2	38.92	31.03	203 [55]
155 [3]	Wilcox County	2 - A	6-2	38.87	12.67	363 [21]
156 [23]	Westover	1 - AAAA	6-2	38.77	23.84	269 [42]
157 [24]	Howard	2 - AAAA	4-4	38.60	39.55	117 [20]
158 [27]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	5-3	38.56	32.51	183 [38]
159 [28]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	5-3	38.43	34.29	162 [35]
160 [19]	North Hall	7 - AAA	5-3	38.38	28.28	231 [25]
161 [15]	Dodge County	3 - AA	4-5	38.26	41.33	96 [2]
162 [16]	Vidalia	2 - AA	6-2	38.02	23.37	273 [21]
163 [20]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	6-3	37.85	29.50	216 [18]
164 [21]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	6-2	37.82	25.46	247 [32]
165 [29]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	4-4	37.69	29.84	214 [42]
166 [25]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	5-3	37.47	25.26	251 [37]
167 [26]	White County	7 - AAAA	4-4	37.43	37.02	136 [23]
168 [17]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	6-2	37.06	16.12	338 [40]
169 [34]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	2-6	36.98	45.84	54 [29]
170 [10]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	8-0	36.96	14.71	351 [26]
171 [4]	Pelham	1 - A	8-0	36.92	-21.25	419 [49]
172 [31]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	5-3	36.78	32.01	191 [50]
173 [30]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	2-6	36.52	49.16	35 [7]
174 [11]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	8-0	36.20	5.07	401 [37]
175 [22]	Jackson	4 - AAA	6-2	36.17	22.60	278 [42]
176 [32]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	2-6	36.11	44.84	65 [10]
177 [27]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	3-5	35.50	40.49	108 [18]
178 [5]	Bowdon	6 - A	6-2	35.38	27.94	232 [6]
179 [12]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	6-2	35.37	23.85	267 [9]
180 [33]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	6-1	35.33	25.53	246 [58]
181 [18]	Metter	2 - AA	6-2	34.94	14.42	352 [44]
182 [19]	Douglass	6 - AA	7-1	34.92	10.02	376 [53]
183 [34]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	5-4	34.88	33.06	178 [44]
184 [31]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	6-2	34.72	22.48	280 [48]
185 [35]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	4-4	34.64	34.21	163 [39]
186 [35]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	3-6	34.19	44.37	69 [32]
187 [36]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	3-5	34.17	46.24	52 [27]
188 [23]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	5-3	33.87	26.71	243 [30]
189 [13]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	7-1	33.86	12.67	364 [29]
190 [6]	Commerce	8 - A	6-2	33.72	8.90	384 [29]
191 [36]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	3-5	33.44	39.37	120 [26]
192 [32]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	1-7	33.44	50.74	28 [5]
193 [37]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	4-4	33.21	31.72	197 [54]
194 [38]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	4-5	33.11	33.84	167 [41]
195 [24]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	7-1	32.81	11.91	369 [56]
196 [20]	Northeast	3 - AA	3-5	32.76	36.63	139 [6]
197 [14]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	4-3	32.72	21.01	293 [13]
198 [33]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	2-6	32.70	41.35	95 [20]
199 [37]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	3-5	32.63	40.41	109 [40]
200 [39]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	3-4	32.60	36.11	144 [36]
201 [40]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	3-6	32.27	36.72	137 [34]
202 [41]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	3-5	31.83	38.96	123 [29]
203 [15]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	6-2	31.75	19.82	306 [16]
204 [16]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	6-2	31.72	7.49	394 [34]
205 [38]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	1-7	31.52	60.18	10 [8]
206 [21]	Toombs County	2 - AA	6-2	31.34	12.30	367 [49]
207 [34]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	2-6	31.10	42.14	86 [18]
208 [39]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	2-6	31.09	48.13	38 [23]
209 [42]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	2-7	30.95	45.71	56 [7]
210 [28]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	4-4	30.60	31.04	202 [33]
211 [35]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	3-5	30.04	38.47	128 [27]
212 [43]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	2-6	29.88	41.31	97 [17]
213 [36]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	6-2	29.66	14.02	356 [53]
214 [29]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	6-2	29.64	20.07	302 [50]
215 [7]	Johnson County	3 - A	7-1	29.62	7.25	396 [33]
216 [30]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	2-6	29.55	46.42	51 [5]
217 [22]	Elbert County	8 - AA	4-4	29.32	27.34	239 [17]
218 [8]	Lincoln County	7 - A	6-2	29.16	9.90	377 [25]
219 [37]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	1-6	29.15	46.74	48 [11]
220 [31]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	4-4	28.64	29.74	215 [35]
221 [32]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	5-3	28.43	22.31	282 [44]
222 [33]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	3-5	28.41	34.83	153 [26]
223 [34]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	5-3	28.39	23.96	265 [41]
224 [44]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	2-6	28.13	40.31	111 [21]
225 [17]	Aquinas	7 - A	7-1	27.93	8.27	389 [32]
226 [18]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	4-4	27.82	24.73	255 [8]
227 [25]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	5-3	27.75	24.45	260 [36]
228 [35]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	5-4	27.42	21.44	290 [46]
229 [45]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	3-5	27.05	32.87	180 [45]
230 [40]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	3-4	26.96	21.94	286 [48]
231 [9]	Mitchell County	1 - A	7-1	26.77	-15.82	416 [46]
232 [36]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	7-2	26.72	16.65	334 [51]
233 [23]	Heard County	5 - AA	3-5	26.05	33.62	171 [10]
234 [46]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	2-6	26.00	39.63	116 [24]
235 [24]	Harlem	4 - AA	6-3	25.99	12.94	362 [48]
236 [10]	Marion County	4 - A	6-2	25.98	9.41	379 [26]
237 [47]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	2-6	25.21	43.49	75 [13]
238 [37]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	1-7	25.01	45.45	57 [6]
239 [26]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	4-4	24.66	22.26	283 [43]
240 [48]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	3-5	24.49	31.77	196 [53]
241 [19]	St. Francis	6 - A	5-3	24.36	16.89	332 [23]
242 [41]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	3-5	24.18	30.11	207 [46]
243 [20]	Brookstone	4 - A	6-2	24.13	8.68	386 [31]
244 [25]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	6-2	23.97	10.46	374 [51]
245 [11]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	3-5	23.90	28.83	223 [5]
246 [38]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	4-4	23.83	25.38	249 [45]
247 [26]	Early County	1 - AA	4-4	23.82	20.71	295 [26]
248 [39]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	3-6	23.82	37.50	134 [29]
249 [49]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	2-6	23.74	38.09	132 [31]
250 [50]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-8	23.62	40.05	112 [22]
251 [51]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	2-6	23.22	34.91	150 [37]
252 [27]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	5-3	23.15	16.60	335 [39]
253 [27]	Beach	3 - AAA	3-3	22.77	26.94	242 [29]
254 [12]	Manchester	4 - A	6-2	22.61	5.94	398 [34]
255 [40]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	5-3	22.42	15.99	341 [52]
256 [28]	Southwest	3 - AA	2-6	22.31	39.48	118 [5]
257 [38]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	3-4	22.25	31.05	201 [32]
258 [21]	Calvary Day	3 - A	5-3	22.08	16.35	337 [24]
259 [22]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	4-4	21.92	19.71	311 [19]
260 [28]	Cook	1 - AAA	3-6	21.83	28.36	230 [24]
261 [13]	Turner County	2 - A	6-2	21.63	13.65	357 [19]
262 [29]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	6-2	21.54	10.27	375 [52]
263 [29]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	3-6	21.31	32.88	179 [12]
264 [42]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-7	21.29	44.88	62 [30]
265 [30]	Lamar County	5 - AA	6-2	21.23	8.51	388 [57]
266 [41]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	2-6	21.02	35.51	146 [32]
267 [14]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	4-4	20.71	16.04	339 [16]
268 [42]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	2-6	20.70	30.68	205 [40]
269 [39]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-7	20.17	46.71	49 [4]
270 [30]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	2-7	19.61	33.35	175 [11]
271 [31]	Temple	5 - AA	5-4	19.58	17.53	328 [35]
272 [23]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	3-5	19.51	26.05	245 [7]
273 [52]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	1-7	19.14	37.89	133 [32]
274 [32]	Screven County	4 - AA	6-2	19.06	9.04	381 [55]
275 [43]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	2-6	18.93	33.66	169 [36]
276 [31]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	4-5	18.91	23.10	277 [41]
277 [44]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	2-6	18.67	35.29	147 [33]
278 [40]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	4-4	18.54	20.21	300 [48]
279 [32]	Monroe	1 - AAA	3-6	18.52	30.06	209 [17]
280 [33]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	4-4	18.41	17.14	331 [51]
281 [15]	Trion	6 - A	5-3	18.16	11.65	371 [23]
282 [16]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	4-4	18.10	19.77	307 [12]
283 [17]	Claxton	3 - A	5-3	18.01	13.17	361 [20]
284 [34]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	3-5	17.97	22.15	285 [44]
285 [33]	Chattooga	7 - AA	4-4	17.83	18.10	325 [34]
286 [35]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	4-4	17.60	15.50	346 [54]
287 [34]	Model	7 - AA	4-4	17.34	15.43	347 [42]
288 [36]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	4-4	17.24	19.69	312 [47]
289 [45]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	2-6	17.13	28.64	228 [43]
290 [46]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	3-5	17.13	25.01	252 [46]
291 [37]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	2-6	16.93	29.15	220 [20]
292 [41]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	1-7	16.78	41.87	91 [14]
293 [42]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	3-5	16.59	23.21	276 [43]
294 [47]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	1-7	16.49	42.98	77 [16]
295 [43]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	0-8	15.78	49.86	33 [22]
296 [35]	Putnam County	8 - AA	4-4	15.35	19.76	309 [30]
297 [18]	Telfair County	2 - A	3-5	15.32	18.91	320 [13]
298 [24]	Walker	6 - A	4-4	15.14	17.98	327 [22]
299 [19]	Warren County	7 - A	5-3	14.61	4.47	402 [35]
300 [43]	Luella	4 - AAAA	3-5	14.56	20.97	294 [47]
301 [36]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	3-5	14.46	22.18	284 [24]
302 [38]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	2-6	14.44	26.64	244 [31]
303 [44]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	1-7	13.99	31.94	193 [30]
304 [44]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	0-8	13.83	41.01	99 [39]
305 [39]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	2-5	13.81	23.97	264 [37]
306 [45]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	1-7	13.79	36.28	143 [25]
307 [25]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	3-4	13.78	14.21	355 [28]
308 [37]	Washington	6 - AA	3-5	12.28	15.70	343 [41]
309 [38]	Berrien	1 - AA	2-6	12.28	28.99	221 [15]
310 [20]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	2-5	11.84	23.51	271 [10]
311 [21]	Lanier County	2 - A	2-6	11.72	32.18	187 [2]
312 [22]	Atkinson County	2 - A	3-5	11.57	16.56	336 [15]
313 [23]	Hancock Central	7 - A	4-4	11.50	10.98	372 [24]
314 [24]	Montgomery County	3 - A	5-3	11.36	8.10	390 [31]
315 [40]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	3-5	11.21	23.85	268 [38]
316 [41]	Long County	2 - AAA	1-7	11.13	46.70	50 [3]
317 [53]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-8	11.04	40.39	110 [20]
318 [45]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	0-8	11.04	42.31	85 [36]
319 [26]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	4-4	10.92	14.36	353 [27]
320 [39]	Spencer	5 - AA	2-6	10.89	23.34	275 [22]
321 [46]	McDonough	4 - AAAA	3-5	10.86	20.20	301 [49]
322 [46]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	1-7	10.80	47.04	43 [26]
323 [54]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	1-8	10.61	47.94	40 [6]
324 [42]	Worth County	1 - AAA	2-7	10.47	28.74	227 [22]
325 [43]	Pike County	4 - AAA	3-5	10.39	16.00	340 [52]
326 [40]	Monticello	8 - AA	1-7	10.32	32.06	190 [11]
327 [55]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-7	10.28	44.38	68 [12]
328 [25]	Schley County	4 - A	5-3	9.40	-0.68	406 [38]
329 [41]	Therrell	6 - AA	2-6	9.35	22.48	279 [23]
330 [56]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-8	9.32	40.66	107 [19]
331 [44]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	2-6	9.22	28.53	229 [23]
332 [45]	Redan	5 - AAA	2-6	8.90	31.77	195 [15]
333 [27]	Athens Christian	8 - A	2-6	8.82	28.77	226 [4]
334 [42]	Banks County	8 - AA	3-5	8.74	14.75	350 [43]
335 [26]	Macon County	4 - A	5-3	8.14	1.67	404 [37]
336 [48]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	0-8	8.08	40.77	106 [23]
337 [46]	East Hall	7 - AAA	1-7	7.92	33.64	170 [10]
338 [47]	Murray County	6 - AAA	4-5	7.58	12.64	365 [55]
339 [49]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	2-6	7.39	19.23	317 [49]
340 [28]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	4-4	6.78	5.60	399 [35]
341 [47]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	3-5	6.71	27.14	240 [47]
342 [47]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	2-6	6.69	24.11	262 [40]
343 [48]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	3-5	6.03	13.34	359 [53]
344 [50]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	4-4	5.71	7.84	391 [55]
345 [27]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	1-7	5.60	27.42	236 [7]
346 [43]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	2-6	5.42	17.50	329 [36]
347 [44]	Laney	4 - AA	2-6	5.25	20.23	299 [28]
348 [29]	Pacelli	4 - A	5-3	5.24	0.88	405 [38]
349 [30]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	2-6	5.13	32.58	182 [2]
350 [51]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	1-7	5.10	29.84	213 [42]
351 [28]	Terrell County	1 - A	5-3	4.66	-3.70	414 [44]
352 [45]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	3-5	4.62	7.14	397 [59]
353 [31]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	2-6	4.23	23.55	270 [10]
354 [29]	Charlton County	2 - A	1-7	3.84	29.99	210 [3]
355 [48]	Rutland	4 - AAA	2-6	3.44	27.02	241 [28]
356 [30]	Dooly County	4 - A	3-5	3.22	8.86	385 [30]
357 [49]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	1-7	2.93	27.47	235 [26]
358 [49]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	0-8	2.72	33.93	164 [28]
359 [32]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	1-6	2.62	27.87	233 [5]
360 [50]	Salem	4 - AAAA	1-7	2.59	29.99	211 [34]
361 [31]	Jenkins County	3 - A	2-6	2.41	15.65	344 [17]
362 [46]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	3-5	2.40	13.29	360 [47]
363 [47]	Butler	4 - AA	2-6	2.39	13.35	358 [46]
364 [57]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	1-7	2.07	32.38	185 [47]
365 [52]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	0-8	1.77	34.51	159 [34]
366 [32]	Taylor County	4 - A	4-4	1.11	2.81	403 [36]
367 [50]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	0-8	1.10	34.90	151 [7]
368 [51]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-6	0.92	24.95	253 [38]
369 [48]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-7	0.89	40.82	102 [3]
370 [51]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	0-8	0.62	31.13	199 [16]
371 [33]	Greenville	4 - A	2-6	0.37	12.54	366 [22]
372 [34]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	1-7	-0.01	25.34	250 [8]
373 [35]	Treutlen	3 - A	4-4	-0.16	-1.83	409 [39]
374 [52]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	0-8	-0.32	46.93	44 [3]
375 [33]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	2-6	-0.78	19.57	314 [20]
376 [53]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-7	-0.93	27.38	237 [44]
377 [54]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-7	-1.19	30.70	204 [39]
378 [36]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	4-4	-1.92	-1.92	411 [41]
379 [37]	Greene County	7 - A	1-7	-2.16	21.08	291 [11]
380 [34]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	1-7	-3.06	19.85	305 [15]
381 [49]	Bacon County	2 - AA	0-8	-3.59	33.87	166 [8]
382 [50]	Dade County	7 - AA	1-7	-3.63	16.70	333 [38]
383 [52]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-8	-3.66	24.46	259 [35]
384 [53]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-7	-3.94	24.69	256 [33]
385 [51]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-6	-5.05	14.29	354 [45]
386 [52]	Jordan	5 - AA	0-8	-5.24	19.91	304 [29]
387 [53]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-6	-6.32	11.65	370 [54]
388 [54]	Savannah	3 - AAA	1-7	-7.58	20.38	297 [45]
389 [54]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	0-8	-8.02	15.79	342 [52]
390 [53]	Coosa	7 - AA	1-7	-8.59	20.47	296 [27]
391 [54]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	2-6	-9.78	8.96	382 [56]
392 [48]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	0-8	-10.47	34.36	161 [45]
393 [55]	Bryan County	2 - AA	0-8	-11.30	31.12	200 [12]
394 [38]	Miller County	1 - A	3-5	-11.51	-1.95	412 [42]
395 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-9	-11.96	33.59	172 [42]
396 [39]	Portal	3 - A	0-8	-13.41	18.39	322 [14]
397 [40]	Crawford County	4 - A	2-6	-13.81	-3.23	413 [43]
398 [41]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	1-7	-14.35	9.12	380 [27]
399 [55]	Towers	5 - AAA	1-7	-15.71	34.58	158 [9]
400 [42]	Twiggs County	7 - A	0-8	-16.03	15.43	348 [18]
401 [43]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	1-7	-16.26	8.93	383 [28]
402 [56]	Josey	4 - AA	0-8	-17.33	11.91	368 [50]
403 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-8	-19.10	27.35	238 [27]
404 [35]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-7	-19.79	10.71	373 [30]
405 [44]	Seminole County	1 - A	4-4	-20.22	-16.36	417 [47]
406 [36]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	2-7	-21.10	5.33	400 [36]
407 [57]	Armuchee	7 - AA	0-8	-21.88	17.25	330 [37]
408 [58]	Social Circle	8 - AA	2-6	-23.41	7.40	395 [58]
409 [37]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-8	-24.78	20.29	298 [14]
410 [38]	Providence Christian	8 - A	2-6	-27.27	14.77	349 [25]
411 [59]	McNair	6 - AA	0-8	-29.99	18.11	324 [33]
412 [45]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-7	-30.40	7.69	392 [32]
413 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-9	-31.31	8.66	387 [54]
414 [46]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	3-5	-31.62	-17.48	418 [48]
415 [47]	Towns County	8 - A	0-8	-32.72	33.52	174 [1]
416 [48]	Calhoun County	1 - A	2-6	-36.43	-1.92	410 [41]
417 [1]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	1-6	-49.14	-1.03	407 [1]
418 [49]	Stewart County	1 - A	1-7	-53.15	-23.96	420 [50]
419 [2]	Glascock County	7 - A†	2-7	-54.05	-35.86	422 [3]
420 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-8	-57.73	-14.57	415 [45]
421 [3]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	2-6	-69.15	-30.80	421 [2]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-9	-85.14	-1.31	408 [56]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	93.70	79.10
2	3 - AAAAAAA	81.36	63.80
3	1 - AAAAAA	80.45	68.38
4	8 - AAAAAAA	77.61	61.81
5	6 - AAAAAAA	75.32	50.76
6	7 - AAAA	69.58	47.82
7	7 - AAAAA	67.45	38.96
8	1 - AAAAA	66.76	53.26
9	5 - AAAA	66.30	48.42
10	4 - AAAAA	65.36	45.55
11	2 - AAAAA	63.87	53.66
12	8 - AAAAA	63.12	33.27
13	5 - AAA	63.10	36.30
14	5 - A	63.00	30.00
15	6 - AAAAAA	62.82	39.66
16	8 - AAAAAA	62.56	42.82
17	7 - AAAAAAA	61.61	33.33
18	5 - AAAAAAA	59.25	42.03
19	2 - AAAAAAA	58.35	41.68
20	4 - AAAAAAA	57.63	45.36
21	2 - AAA	57.00	32.45
22	3 - AA	56.96	37.72
23	5 - AAAAAA	56.20	37.95
24	4 - AAA	54.77	21.46
25	2 - AAAA	54.73	40.76
26	3 - AAAAA	53.48	37.88
27	2 - A	53.43	24.43
28	2 - AAAAAA	53.19	42.32
29	4 - AAAA	52.84	15.07
30	8 - AAAA	52.36	39.47
31	4 - AAAAAA	52.27	35.43
32	7 - AAAAAA	51.76	33.40
33	8 - AAA	49.94	30.97
34	8 - A	49.39	19.71
	8-Div A - A	48.84	27.43
	8-Div B - A	36.41	12.41
35	7 - AAA	49.36	28.04
36	8 - AA	49.25	15.70
37	1 - AAAA	49.07	28.41
38	3 - AAAA	48.92	34.78
39	6 - A	48.14	21.09
	6-Div A - A	46.41	28.20
	6-Div B - A	37.30	14.49
40	7 - AA	46.99	10.68
41	2 - AA	46.94	26.80
42	3 - AAA	46.58	19.79
43	5 - AA	46.25	23.48
44	1 - AA	45.01	33.21
45	6 - AA	44.55	14.76
46	6 - AAA	43.38	20.61
47	1 - AAA	43.35	23.59
48	3 - AAAAAA	41.03	30.00
49	6 - AAAAA	38.86	21.87
50	5 - AAAAA	37.92	21.88
51	3 - A	36.59	15.19
	3-Div A - A	35.88	22.37
	3-Div B - A	24.39	7.51
52	7 - A	34.04	12.92
	7-Div A - A	28.88	12.91
	7-Div B - A	28.15	12.92
53	6 - AAAA	34.02	19.82
54	4 - AA	31.38	11.24
55	4 - A	26.09	4.61
	4-Div A - A	26.62	11.46
	4-Div B - A	11.51	-0.71
56	1 - A	24.93	-15.94

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
09/12	Stephenson	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	9 - 14	20.22	88.3%	0.188
09/06	Turner County	Taylor County	7 - 12	18.94	86.9%	0.204
10/18	Aquinas	Hancock Central	14 - 22	14.86	81.5%	0.249
09/27	Thomson	Grovetown	12 - 16	15.68	82.8%	0.254
10/11	Clarke Central	Loganville	21 - 38	12.79	78.2%	0.254
10/18	Dooly County	Crawford County	19 - 20	15.46	82.4%	0.273
10/18	Maynard Jackson	Lithia Springs	25 - 28	13.45	79.3%	0.293
09/05	Perry	Westside (Macon)	13 - 33	9.26	71.6%	0.312
10/25	Burke County	Baldwin	30 - 44	9.57	72.3%	0.319
09/06	Harlem	Washington-Wilkes	14 - 26	9.46	72.0%	0.326
10/03	Hampton	North Clayton	7 - 8	11.85	76.6%	0.328
09/13	Veterans	Statesboro	19 - 29	9.51	72.1%	0.331
09/13	Peach County	Houston County	31 - 32	11.24	75.5%	0.338
09/14	Cambridge	Dunwoody	19 - 21	10.20	73.5%	0.350
09/27	North Forsyth	Woodstock	13 - 14	9.90	72.9%	0.359

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
92.03	11/01	Lowndes	Colquitt County	-	9.94	73.0%
85.49	08/24	Colquitt County	North Gwinnett	17 - 6	7.02	66.9%
84.92	09/13	Colquitt County	Valdosta	49 - 50	6.76	66.3%
84.63	09/27	Colquitt County	Grayson	31 - 7	8.89	70.9%
83.24	09/27	Lowndes	Valdosta	24 - 0	18.27	86.1%
81.11	10/18	McEachern	Marietta	14 - 12	6.50	65.7%
79.50	09/13	Grayson	Marietta	28 - 14	6.35	65.4%
78.71	10/25	Valdosta	Lee County	50 - 53	6.07	64.7%
75.84	10/18	Grayson	Archer	34 - 31	8.79	70.7%
74.79	10/11	North Gwinnett	Mill Creek	45 - 3	10.24	73.6%
74.66	09/14	McEachern	Cedar Grove	29 - 7	14.81	81.5%
74.49	09/06	Lowndes	Parkview	38 - 7	26.11	93.2%
73.90	09/27	Buford	Archer	29 - 28	6.29	65.2%
73.65	10/18	Valdosta	Coffee	28 - 7	10.04	73.2%
73.57	09/20	Colquitt County	Warner Robins	31 - 14	19.44	87.5%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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