Maxwell Week 5 Summary: Irwin County claims Class A-Public while Colquitt County dominates ratings before battle with Grayson

By Loren Maxwell

Updated Sept 17, 2018

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association's 422 teams throughout the 2018 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Interesting results:

- In a rematch of last season’s Class A - Public championship, Irwin County upended region rival Clinch County 21-3 to take the lead as the highest rated team in that classification. The Indians had also defeated the Panthers 21-7 in last year’s regular season match, only to have Clinch County down them in the title game 21-12. A rematch in the championship game would be interesting. Currently there is an 8.8% the two teams will meet again in the finals, but a 64.1% chance they meet in a semifinal bracket.

- For the third week in a row, Colquitt County down a traditional Southern high school football power by an impressive margin, this time Warner Robins to the tune of 41-14. The 27-point “nail-biter” was the Packers’ closest game this season and pushed their rating upward slightly. Meanwhile Grayson suffered through a lackluster 21-15 defeat of Westlake, causing the computer to question the Rams. The ratings say the Packers are over a touchdown favorite in this weekend’s pairing of the two. This also appears to be the best matchup of the regular season and there’s an 18.0% chance it will serve as a preview of the title game.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 26.63%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 764 of 805 total games including 0 tie(s) (94.91%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.16 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.83

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Colquitt County	5-0	96.77	1	Lee County	5-0	80.69
2	Grayson	3-1	88.80	2	Coffee	5-0	73.54
3	Walton	4-0	85.22	3	Creekview	5-0	67.01
4	North Gwinnett	2-2	84.80	4	Valdosta	2-2	66.48
5	Archer	3-1	84.45	5	Tucker	2-2	66.08
6	Parkview	3-0	82.74	6	Glynn Academy	2-2	65.04
7	McEachern	3-1	81.45	7	Harrison	5-0	64.98
8	Lowndes	4-1	79.80	8	Northside (Warner Robins)	3-2	64.71
9	Roswell	4-0	77.80	9	Mays	2-2	63.58
10	Mill Creek	2-2	77.21	10	Sequoyah	4-0	63.14
11	Hillgrove	4-0	75.73	11	Allatoona	2-2	61.41
12	Milton	3-1	75.31	12	Dacula	2-2	60.60
13	Camden County	4-1	74.05	13	Alpharetta	2-1	60.49
14	Tift County	3-2	72.97	14	Douglas County	3-1	59.09
15	Brookwood	3-1	72.82	15	Richmond Hill	1-2	55.09

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Rome	4-0	86.22	1	Blessed Trinity	4-0	85.47
2	Buford	3-1	84.37	2	Cartersville	4-0	83.72
3	Warner Robins	3-1	74.16	3	Mary Persons	5-0	73.68
4	Stockbridge	4-0	73.22	4	St. Pius X	4-1	72.82
5	Jones County	5-0	68.92	5	Marist	3-1	69.78
6	Wayne County	4-0	68.79	6	Troup	4-0	67.76
7	Dutchtown	5-0	66.13	7	Eastside	4-0	59.88
8	Carrollton	3-1	65.41	8	Burke County	2-2	59.81
9	Ware County	3-1	64.45	9	Flowery Branch	3-0	59.73
10	Kell	2-2	58.19	10	Chapel Hill	4-0	57.57
11	Southwest DeKalb	5-0	57.90	11	Sandy Creek	3-1	57.23
12	Veterans	5-0	56.00	12	Woodward Academy	2-2	56.29
13	Locust Grove	2-3	55.09	13	Ridgeland	1-2	56.12
14	Bainbridge	2-2	54.09	14	West Laurens	3-1	53.64
15	Clarke Central	3-2	53.76	15	Thomson	1-3	52.21

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Benedictine	1-1	72.68	1	Hapeville Charter	3-0	73.49
2	Cedar Grove	3-1	71.94	2	Thomasville	3-1	61.68
3	Calhoun	4-0	71.46	3	Dodge County	4-0	59.67
4	Greater Atlanta Christian	2-2	65.82	4	Rockmart	4-0	56.61
5	Peach County	2-2	65.60	5	Callaway	3-1	56.12
6	Westminster (Atlanta)	2-2	61.80	6	Rabun County	3-1	56.01
7	Monroe Area	4-0	56.67	7	Brooks County	3-1	55.89
8	Jefferson	3-1	56.23	8	Bremen	3-0	54.62
9	Lovett	1-3	54.75	9	Fitzgerald	3-2	52.04
10	Pace Academy	2-2	54.12	10	Washington County	4-0	51.14
11	Crisp County	2-3	51.68	11	Vidalia	4-0	49.69
12	Dawson County	4-0	49.92	12	Heard County	2-2	47.29
13	North Hall	4-0	47.35	13	Dublin	3-1	47.18
14	Liberty County	2-1	46.60	14	Douglass	4-0	44.97
15	Jackson	2-2	44.63	15	Swainsboro	2-2	40.74

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	4-0	62.35	1	Eagle's Landing Christian	3-1	63.71
2	Clinch County	3-1	55.18	2	Prince Avenue Christian	4-0	53.55
3	Commerce	4-0	42.78	3	Athens Academy	3-0	52.78
4	Marion County	4-0	40.15	4	Mount Paran Christian	2-1	47.90
5	Dooly County	1-2	35.75	5	Darlington	4-0	43.44
6	Charlton County	3-1	35.69	6	Calvary Day	2-0	43.23
7	Mount Zion (Carroll)	3-1	35.68	7	Fellowship Christian	4-0	40.87
8	Pelham	4-0	35.13	8	Aquinas	4-0	40.81
9	Turner County	3-1	34.19	9	George Walton Academy	4-0	39.83
10	Emanuel County Institute	1-3	33.89	10	Savannah Christian	3-1	36.31
11	Manchester	2-1	33.69	11	Wesleyan	1-3	35.24
12	Lincoln County	2-2	32.91	12	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	3-1	34.42
13	Mitchell County	3-1	32.46	13	Savannah Country Day	3-0	34.34
14	Macon County	1-2	31.89	14	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	3-1	32.61
15	Telfair County	2-2	28.12	15	Whitefield Academy	3-1	32.53

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	5-0	96.77	70.47	10
2 [2]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	3-1	88.80	68.78	11
3 [1]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	4-0	86.22	57.59	51
4 [1]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	4-0	85.47	68.12	13
5 [3]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	4-0	85.22	66.88	15
6 [4]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	2-2	84.80	75.39	5
7 [5]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	3-1	84.45	73.79	7
8 [2]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	3-1	84.37	56.75	54
9 [2]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	4-0	83.72	33.85	237
10 [6]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	3-0	82.74	72.52	9
11 [7]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	3-1	81.45	64.09	23
12 [1]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	5-0	80.69	41.15	172
13 [8]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	4-1	79.80	41.86	163
14 [9]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	4-0	77.80	58.08	48
15 [10]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	2-2	77.21	75.65	4
16 [11]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	4-0	75.73	55.16	64
17 [12]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	3-1	75.31	74.42	6
18 [3]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	3-1	74.16	64.67	21
19 [13]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	4-1	74.05	56.61	55
20 [3]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	5-0	73.68	46.39	117
21 [2]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	5-0	73.54	44.58	136
22 [1]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	3-0	73.49	33.44	243
23 [4]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	4-0	73.22	46.03	118
24 [14]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	3-2	72.97	61.74	32
25 [4]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	4-1	72.82	55.10	66
26 [15]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	3-1	72.82	59.25	41
27 [1]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	1-1	72.68	73.56	8
28 [2]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	3-1	71.94	56.94	53
29 [3]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	4-0	71.46	33.46	242
30 [16]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	4-0	70.67	54.22	71
31 [17]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	3-1	70.19	58.20	45
32 [5]	Marist	7 - AAAA	3-1	69.78	62.59	26
33 [18]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	1-3	69.68	78.38	1
34 [5]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	5-0	68.92	44.63	133
35 [19]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	1-3	68.82	77.69	2
36 [6]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	4-0	68.79	47.12	112
37 [20]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	2-2	68.69	64.78	20
38 [6]	Troup	5 - AAAA	4-0	67.76	47.76	106
39 [21]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	4-0	67.50	44.66	132
40 [3]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	5-0	67.01	46.78	116
41 [4]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	2-2	66.48	58.84	43
42 [22]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	3-1	66.36	59.91	36
43 [7]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	5-0	66.13	45.38	128
44 [5]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	2-2	66.08	59.03	42
45 [4]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	2-2	65.82	55.63	59
46 [5]	Peach County	4 - AAA	2-2	65.60	66.61	16
47 [8]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	3-1	65.41	50.43	90
48 [6]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	2-2	65.04	30.37	263
49 [7]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	5-0	64.98	41.48	167
50 [8]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	3-2	64.71	52.55	74
51 [9]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	3-1	64.45	59.64	40
52 [1]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	3-1	63.71	37.21	208
53 [9]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	63.58	49.56	94
54 [10]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	4-0	63.14	41.98	159
55 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	4-0	62.35	47.65	107
56 [6]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	2-2	61.80	66.37	17
57 [2]	Thomasville	1 - AA	3-1	61.68	61.48	33
58 [11]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	2-2	61.41	53.97	72
59 [23]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	1-3	61.33	66.97	14
60 [24]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	2-2	60.82	54.80	68
61 [12]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	2-2	60.60	58.09	47
62 [13]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	2-1	60.49	55.61	60
63 [7]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	4-0	59.88	41.81	164
64 [8]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	2-2	59.81	47.47	110
65 [9]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	3-0	59.73	43.04	152
66 [3]	Dodge County	3 - AA	4-0	59.67	45.74	124
67 [25]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	0-4	59.44	77.29	3
68 [14]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	3-1	59.09	47.46	111
69 [26]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	2-3	59.09	61.85	31
70 [27]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	4-0	59.03	45.53	127
71 [10]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	2-2	58.19	57.88	49
72 [11]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	5-0	57.90	39.86	180
73 [10]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	4-0	57.57	43.63	145
74 [11]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	3-1	57.23	41.65	165
75 [7]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	4-0	56.67	36.58	215
76 [4]	Rockmart	7 - AA	4-0	56.61	34.87	229
77 [12]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	2-2	56.29	45.83	122
78 [8]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	3-1	56.23	41.57	166
79 [5]	Callaway	5 - AA	3-1	56.12	32.18	253
80 [13]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	1-2	56.12	65.50	18
81 [6]	Rabun County	8 - AA	3-1	56.01	37.68	204
82 [12]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	5-0	56.00	41.95	160
83 [7]	Brooks County	1 - AA	3-1	55.89	47.89	103
84 [28]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	1-3	55.39	61.99	29
85 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	3-1	55.18	44.40	140
86 [15]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	1-2	55.09	62.39	28
87 [13]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-3	55.09	62.43	27
88 [16]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	2-2	54.92	49.97	92
89 [17]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	1-3	54.91	63.02	24
90 [9]	Lovett	5 - AAA	1-3	54.75	64.78	19
91 [8]	Bremen	5 - AA	3-0	54.62	44.60	135
92 [18]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	3-1	54.18	34.42	233
93 [10]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	2-2	54.12	51.84	80
94 [29]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	0-4	54.10	68.30	12
95 [14]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	2-2	54.09	43.38	150
96 [15]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	3-2	53.76	52.49	75
97 [14]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	3-1	53.64	40.08	177
98 [30]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	1-3	53.61	62.74	25
99 [2]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	4-0	53.55	28.23	280
100 [16]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	2-2	53.52	49.34	96
101 [17]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	1-2	53.35	58.19	46
102 [31]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	2-2	52.81	50.45	88
103 [3]	Athens Academy	8 - A	3-0	52.78	28.60	276
104 [19]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	2-2	52.74	53.37	73
105 [32]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	1-3	52.63	57.32	52
106 [20]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	2-2	52.38	52.26	76
107 [15]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	1-3	52.21	54.43	70
108 [16]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	2-2	52.17	46.79	115
109 [9]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	3-2	52.04	47.10	113
110 [18]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	3-1	52.04	45.60	125
111 [11]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	2-3	51.68	57.66	50
112 [21]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	4-1	51.68	30.80	260
113 [17]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	2-2	51.35	45.01	130
114 [18]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	3-2	51.18	51.19	83
115 [10]	Washington County	3 - AA	4-0	51.14	36.89	211
116 [33]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	3-1	50.48	42.09	158
117 [34]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	2-2	50.47	47.51	108
118 [22]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	1-3	50.20	59.71	39
119 [12]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	4-0	49.92	32.23	252
120 [35]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	4-0	49.89	33.04	249
121 [11]	Vidalia	2 - AA	4-0	49.69	25.10	305
122 [19]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	3-1	49.61	38.59	192
123 [36]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	3-1	49.58	43.00	153
124 [23]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	49.18	50.84	85
125 [37]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	2-3	48.85	56.52	56
126 [24]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	2-2	48.85	49.61	93
127 [19]	Perry	2 - AAAA	4-0	48.29	36.42	218
128 [20]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	3-2	48.00	45.82	123
129 [4]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	2-1	47.90	14.28	376
130 [38]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-3	47.44	55.11	65
131 [13]	North Hall	7 - AAA	4-0	47.35	30.64	261
132 [12]	Heard County	5 - AA	2-2	47.29	47.77	105
133 [20]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	2-1	47.18	43.99	142
134 [13]	Dublin	3 - AA	3-1	47.18	38.15	194
135 [39]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	2-2	46.98	44.41	139
136 [21]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	5-0	46.82	28.82	273
137 [14]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	2-1	46.60	39.46	186
138 [25]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	2-2	46.43	45.95	119
139 [21]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	2-2	46.34	56.18	57
140 [22]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	2-3	45.94	50.44	89
141 [26]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	3-1	45.76	28.39	279
142 [27]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	1-2	45.29	45.86	121
143 [23]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	3-1	45.14	38.14	195
144 [28]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	2-3	45.10	43.23	151
145 [22]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	2-2	45.01	39.74	182
146 [14]	Douglass	6 - AA	4-0	44.97	27.01	293
147 [24]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	2-3	44.68	47.09	114
148 [15]	Jackson	4 - AAA	2-2	44.63	48.26	99
149 [23]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	4-0	44.58	27.72	288
150 [40]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	1-3	44.52	64.65	22
151 [29]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	1-3	44.43	55.37	63
152 [30]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	1-3	44.31	59.75	38
153 [25]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	1-3	44.14	48.50	98
154 [24]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	3-2	44.02	38.02	198
155 [26]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	1-3	43.63	47.84	104
156 [16]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	2-2	43.46	41.91	162
157 [5]	Darlington	6 - A	4-0	43.44	22.24	330
158 [25]	Howard	2 - AAAA	3-2	43.33	39.91	178
159 [6]	Calvary Day	3 - A	2-0	43.23	1.63	409
160 [31]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	2-2	42.82	43.66	144
161 [27]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	1-4	42.80	55.37	62
162 [3]	Commerce	8 - A	4-0	42.78	20.55	344
163 [26]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	4-0	42.54	14.63	373
164 [28]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	2-2	42.49	45.87	120
165 [29]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	2-1	42.34	26.21	295
166 [27]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	3-2	42.14	39.88	179
167 [17]	Pike County	4 - AAA	4-0	41.92	10.15	392
168 [30]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	1-4	41.54	52.22	77
169 [18]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	4-0	41.48	8.58	397
170 [31]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	4-0	41.16	27.85	287
171 [19]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	2-1	41.14	30.51	262
172 [20]	Appling County	2 - AAA	2-2	41.07	43.62	147
173 [7]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	4-0	40.87	22.14	332
174 [8]	Aquinas	7 - A	4-0	40.81	24.07	313
175 [32]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	2-2	40.80	41.22	171
176 [32]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	0-4	40.79	56.04	58
177 [15]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	2-2	40.74	40.12	176
178 [41]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	0-4	40.74	58.81	44
179 [16]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	2-2	40.73	28.80	274
180 [28]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	2-1	40.68	40.35	174
181 [4]	Marion County	4 - A	4-0	40.15	19.60	349
182 [33]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	2-2	39.92	42.89	155
183 [34]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	2-2	39.85	37.98	199
184 [9]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	4-0	39.83	23.02	322
185 [29]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	3-1	39.29	9.37	395
186 [35]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	2-2	39.29	36.15	220
187 [33]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	3-2	38.92	36.67	213
188 [34]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	0-4	38.51	60.01	35
189 [17]	Elbert County	8 - AA	3-1	38.51	23.33	318
190 [18]	Early County	1 - AA	3-1	38.41	33.90	235
191 [35]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	2-2	38.34	48.17	101
192 [36]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	3-1	38.31	28.86	272
193 [19]	Southwest	3 - AA	2-2	38.12	43.92	143
194 [30]	Salem	4 - AAAA	2-2	37.87	41.44	168
195 [36]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	3-1	37.84	33.33	246
196 [31]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	4-1	37.78	27.59	289
197 [32]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	0-5	37.69	61.98	30
198 [37]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	0-5	37.68	51.99	79
199 [38]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	3-2	37.48	35.26	225
200 [39]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	1-3	36.89	50.81	86
201 [37]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	0-4	36.49	50.43	91
202 [33]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	2-2	36.44	33.22	248
203 [40]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	1-3	36.43	49.35	95
204 [38]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	0-4	36.31	51.43	82
205 [10]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	3-1	36.31	22.17	331
206 [34]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	3-1	36.28	30.01	265
207 [42]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	1-3	36.14	41.28	170
208 [39]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	0-4	36.12	55.58	61
209 [21]	North Murray	6 - AAA	2-2	36.04	41.39	169
210 [41]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	0-5	35.93	61.35	34
211 [42]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	1-3	35.80	49.12	97
212 [5]	Dooly County	4 - A	1-2	35.75	44.57	137
213 [6]	Charlton County	2 - A	3-1	35.69	24.65	309
214 [7]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	3-1	35.68	21.53	340
215 [40]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-2	35.28	42.91	154
216 [22]	Cook	1 - AAA	2-3	35.25	39.10	188
217 [11]	Wesleyan	5 - A	1-3	35.24	39.85	181
218 [23]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	3-0	35.17	22.09	333
219 [8]	Pelham	1 - A	4-0	35.13	-6.54	414
220 [35]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	1-2	35.11	45.15	129
221 [36]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	2-2	35.05	33.74	240
222 [20]	Union County	8 - AA	4-0	34.71	13.39	380
223 [43]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	3-1	34.57	22.59	328
224 [12]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	3-1	34.42	29.41	270
225 [37]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	1-3	34.39	43.63	146
226 [13]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	3-0	34.34	11.34	388
227 [43]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	1-4	34.33	59.77	37
228 [9]	Turner County	2 - A	3-1	34.19	25.08	306
229 [38]	Westover	1 - AAAA	2-2	34.13	33.89	236
230 [21]	Chattooga	7 - AA	3-1	33.94	25.74	301
231 [10]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	1-3	33.89	36.43	217
232 [22]	Screven County	4 - AA	2-2	33.87	26.42	294
233 [44]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	0-4	33.79	54.63	69
234 [11]	Manchester	4 - A	2-1	33.69	20.76	343
235 [23]	Berrien	1 - AA	3-1	33.68	27.56	290
236 [24]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	2-2	33.47	32.85	250
237 [44]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	1-3	33.19	39.30	187
238 [12]	Lincoln County	7 - A	2-2	32.91	34.63	232
239 [45]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-3	32.73	43.54	149
240 [25]	Metter	2 - AA	4-0	32.72	19.00	351
241 [14]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	3-1	32.61	25.80	300
242 [26]	Washington	6 - AA	2-2	32.57	34.96	228
243 [15]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	3-1	32.53	21.59	339
244 [46]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	1-3	32.50	47.48	109
245 [13]	Mitchell County	1 - A	3-1	32.46	14.97	372
246 [41]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	1-3	32.44	51.13	84
247 [27]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	3-1	32.40	28.72	275
248 [42]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	1-3	32.32	42.49	157
249 [47]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	1-2	32.27	38.49	193
250 [14]	Macon County	4 - A	1-2	31.89	25.97	297
251 [48]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-3	31.65	50.47	87
252 [39]	White County	7 - AAAA	1-3	31.59	35.89	221
253 [28]	Pepperell	7 - AA	2-2	31.50	30.01	264
254 [24]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	1-3	31.35	39.64	184
255 [29]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	4-0	31.02	15.24	370
256 [16]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	4-0	30.73	13.97	378
257 [45]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	1-3	30.72	44.49	138
258 [25]	Hart County	8 - AAA	1-3	30.63	38.14	196
259 [46]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	2-2	30.06	33.73	241
260 [30]	Harlem	4 - AA	2-1	29.82	24.16	312
261 [49]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	2-1	29.75	28.41	278
262 [40]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	1-3	29.65	41.94	161
263 [31]	Northeast	3 - AA	1-3	29.31	37.27	206
264 [50]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	1-4	28.95	51.78	81
265 [43]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	3-1	28.81	16.39	360
266 [51]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	2-1	28.77	28.22	282
267 [44]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	1-3	28.53	35.67	223
268 [26]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	1-2	28.46	44.61	134
269 [41]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	2-3	28.18	29.97	266
270 [15]	Telfair County	2 - A	2-2	28.12	22.69	327
271 [27]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	1-3	27.73	33.24	247
272 [17]	Hebron Christian Academy	8 - A	1-2	27.57	39.68	183
273 [52]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	0-3	27.55	45.57	126
274 [32]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	2-1	27.46	15.26	369
275 [18]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	1-3	27.46	34.73	231
276 [53]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	2-3	27.37	33.43	244
277 [16]	Schley County	4 - A	3-1	27.27	16.71	359
278 [33]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	1-3	27.25	44.38	141
279 [42]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	1-3	27.04	37.74	202
280 [54]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	0-4	27.03	43.56	148
281 [28]	East Hall	7 - AAA	1-3	26.92	39.62	185
282 [45]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	1-3	26.79	37.22	207
283 [46]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-2	26.78	25.87	298
284 [34]	Spencer	5 - AA	0-4	26.59	37.82	201
285 [29]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	2-1	26.37	22.70	326
286 [47]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	1-2	26.20	33.79	239
287 [30]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	1-3	25.85	32.10	254
288 [19]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	4-0	25.42	14.34	375
289 [17]	Trion	6 - A	3-1	25.38	12.93	382
290 [20]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	4-0	25.29	15.30	366
291 [31]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	2-2	25.09	23.23	320
292 [48]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	1-3	24.81	35.26	226
293 [21]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	1-3	24.79	31.94	255
294 [22]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	2-2	24.44	27.06	292
295 [49]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	1-3	24.38	31.44	256
296 [32]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	2-2	24.32	23.64	314
297 [23]	Brookstone	4 - A	2-1	24.16	4.38	407
298 [33]	Monroe	1 - AAA	2-3	24.14	28.08	285
299 [43]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	2-2	24.11	25.31	304
300 [55]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	0-4	24.00	44.81	131
301 [35]	Laney	4 - AA	2-1	23.94	21.72	337
302 [56]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	1-3	23.30	37.96	200
303 [34]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	3-0	23.20	7.39	400
304 [50]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	0-4	22.49	36.60	214
305 [35]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	1-3	22.35	34.29	234
306 [18]	Taylor County	4 - A	1-2	22.32	23.24	319
307 [44]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	0-4	22.27	54.88	67
308 [45]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	1-3	22.26	28.18	284
309 [19]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	1-3	22.26	26.09	296
310 [51]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	1-3	22.25	28.49	277
311 [36]	Lamar County	5 - AA	2-2	22.24	16.71	358
312 [37]	Butler	4 - AA	2-2	22.23	27.19	291
313 [47]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	1-3	22.03	32.78	251
314 [24]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	1-3	21.95	28.99	271
315 [20]	Jenkins County	3 - A	2-2	21.83	19.77	348
316 [21]	Atkinson County	2 - A	2-2	21.37	25.52	303
317 [22]	Wilcox County	2 - A	3-1	21.25	11.80	386
318 [36]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	3-1	21.25	12.54	384
319 [38]	Toombs County	2 - AA	2-2	20.96	15.61	364
320 [39]	Coosa	7 - AA	0-4	20.56	33.79	238
321 [25]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	1-3	20.42	25.86	299
322 [23]	Claxton	3 - A	3-1	20.39	17.63	353
323 [37]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	0-4	20.07	36.21	219
324 [24]	Johnson County	3 - A	2-0	19.77	8.26	399
325 [46]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	2-2	19.49	21.18	342
326 [38]	Worth County	1 - AAA	1-4	19.13	36.74	212
327 [47]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	3-1	19.12	11.52	387
328 [48]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	1-3	18.86	34.73	230
329 [39]	Savannah	3 - AAA	0-3	18.72	37.68	203
330 [40]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-3	18.67	23.62	315
331 [49]	Luella	4 - AAAA	1-3	18.45	31.41	257
332 [41]	Bacon County	2 - AA	0-4	18.44	38.73	191
333 [25]	Greene County	7 - A	1-2	18.12	22.72	325
334 [42]	Therrell	6 - AA	1-3	17.93	52.12	78
335 [26]	Hancock Central	7 - A	3-1	17.34	6.67	403
336 [50]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	3-1	17.33	13.76	379
337 [26]	Athens Christian	8 - A	2-2	17.16	18.90	352
338 [43]	McNair	6 - AA	2-2	16.72	23.09	321
339 [51]	Henry County	4 - AAAA	0-4	16.70	40.18	175
340 [27]	Montgomery County	3 - A	2-2	16.65	15.17	371
341 [40]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	0-3	16.23	31.27	259
342 [52]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-4	16.07	47.91	102
343 [27]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	2-2	15.97	20.17	345
344 [53]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-2	15.95	16.24	363
345 [28]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	0-3	15.73	38.03	197
346 [29]	Miller County	1 - A	2-1	15.35	-0.31	410
347 [57]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	0-4	14.61	36.90	210
348 [30]	Bowdon	6 - A	0-3	14.59	35.85	222
349 [44]	Banks County	8 - AA	2-2	14.28	10.74	389
350 [41]	Islands	3 - AAA	0-3	14.21	38.83	189
351 [42]	Redan	5 - AAA	0-4	14.12	28.23	281
352 [45]	Model	7 - AA	1-3	13.91	21.81	335
353 [46]	Monticello	8 - AA	1-3	13.41	24.24	311
354 [31]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	2-2	13.41	16.31	361
355 [47]	Temple	5 - AA	1-3	13.36	23.48	316
356 [28]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	0-4	13.25	29.69	267
357 [43]	Beach	3 - AAA	0-3	13.12	38.79	190
358 [48]	Bryan County	2 - AA	1-2	12.69	19.88	347
359 [52]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	2-2	12.34	6.99	402
360 [49]	Putnam County	8 - AA	1-3	12.12	29.46	269
361 [29]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-4	11.83	35.21	227
362 [30]	St. Francis	6 - A	1-2	11.58	14.25	377
363 [44]	Towers	5 - AAA	0-4	11.44	28.05	286
364 [50]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-3	11.20	25.68	302
365 [31]	Walker	6 - A	0-3	11.09	28.19	283
366 [45]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	2-2	9.90	8.46	398
367 [32]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	1-3	9.16	22.87	324
368 [53]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	4-1	9.13	-7.48	415
369 [33]	Seminole County	1 - A	3-1	8.75	-6.45	413
370 [34]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	0-4	8.35	36.55	216
371 [51]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	0-3	7.61	25.06	307
372 [35]	Towns County	8 - A	2-2	7.03	37.27	205
373 [46]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	1-3	6.85	15.29	367
374 [54]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-4	6.82	42.61	156
375 [47]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-3	6.26	19.05	350
376 [36]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	1-3	5.61	19.96	346
377 [37]	Warren County	7 - A	2-2	5.32	6.34	404
378 [48]	Long County	2 - AAA	0-4	5.27	40.95	173
379 [49]	Rutland	4 - AAA	0-4	4.54	25.03	308
380 [38]	Greenville	4 - A	1-2	4.49	22.43	329
381 [32]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	1-3	4.05	13.33	381
382 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-5	3.62	36.93	209
383 [52]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	1-3	3.00	21.36	341
384 [53]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	0-3	2.63	35.51	224
385 [33]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	1-2	2.39	9.02	396
386 [39]	Portal	3 - A	1-3	2.05	14.62	374
387 [54]	Armuchee	7 - AA	1-3	1.73	24.55	310
388 [55]	Social Circle	8 - AA	2-1	1.62	-10.32	417
389 [56]	Dade County	7 - AA	0-4	0.46	16.72	357
390 [50]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-3	0.01	21.80	336
391 [40]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-3	-0.28	16.29	362
392 [57]	Jordan	5 - AA	0-4	-0.82	15.26	368
393 [41]	Lanier County	2 - A	0-4	-1.79	17.11	356
394 [34]	Providence Christian	8 - A	2-2	-2.73	17.52	354
395 [35]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	0-3	-2.90	11.94	385
396 [58]	Josey	4 - AA	0-3	-3.11	23.47	317
397 [42]	Terrell County	1 - A	0-4	-3.36	21.69	338
398 [36]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	3-1	-3.65	-23.58	422
399 [43]	Treutlen	3 - A	2-1	-3.90	-19.08	420
400 [51]	Murray County	6 - AAA	0-4	-4.02	10.62	390
401 [44]	Calhoun County	1 - A	1-3	-4.05	10.09	393
402 [48]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	2-2	-5.89	-3.99	412
403 [52]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	0-4	-6.64	33.36	245
404 [53]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	0-4	-7.08	31.33	258
405 [54]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	1-2	-7.28	29.50	268
406 [55]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	1-3	-7.58	9.97	394
407 [37]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	0-3	-8.21	10.55	391
408 [45]	Crawford County	4 - A	2-1	-9.78	-21.28	421
409 [38]	Pacelli	4 - A	2-2	-10.03	-2.97	411
410 [54]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	0-4	-14.39	4.75	406
411 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-3	-15.36	48.17	100
412 [46]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	1-3	-16.13	15.50	365
413 [47]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	0-3	-16.94	21.98	334
414 [59]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	0-4	-19.20	5.87	405
415 [48]	Twiggs County	7 - A	0-4	-19.40	12.77	383
416 [49]	Stewart County	1 - A	2-2	-20.17	-13.20	418
417 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-5	-20.93	17.43	355
418 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-4	-23.79	22.91	323
419 [1]	Glascock County	7 - A†	0-5	-32.19	-8.33	416
420 [2]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	2-3	-45.98	3.47	408
421 [3]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	0-4	-49.87	-14.91	419
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-5	-53.78	7.23	401

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	91.14	80.29
2	8 - AAAAAAA	83.13	58.40
3	3 - AAAAAAA	81.57	69.68
4	4 - AAAAAAA	79.35	61.10
5	6 - AAAAAAA	78.80	55.83
6	1 - AAAAAA	78.61	66.85
7	7 - AAAAAAA	76.77	54.42
8	7 - AAAA	74.89	45.54
9	5 - AAAA	74.82	54.57
10	7 - AAAAA	74.06	49.30
11	5 - AAAAAAA	72.27	56.65
12	4 - AAAAA	71.45	53.06
13	8 - AAAAA	70.25	41.90
14	6 - AAAAAA	69.01	50.50
15	1 - AAAAA	67.45	53.71
16	2 - AAAAAAA	66.63	54.76
17	2 - AAAA	66.17	51.46
18	5 - AAA	66.11	41.89
19	2 - AAAAA	65.08	49.52
20	2 - AAAAAA	63.68	52.96
21	8 - AAAA	62.42	44.21
22	5 - AAAAAA	62.17	45.39
23	1 - AA	60.35	48.56
24	4 - AAAAAA	58.33	36.76
25	6 - AA	58.04	29.44
26	8 - AAAAAA	58.03	44.67
27	3 - AAAA	56.96	43.98
28	7 - AAAAAA	56.58	38.79
29	7 - AAA	56.55	28.04
30	4 - AAA	56.32	35.53
31	3 - AA	55.83	39.24
32	3 - AAA	55.72	20.89
33	2 - A	55.14	31.67
34	6 - AAA	54.27	23.97
35	4 - AAAA	54.11	30.11
36	5 - AA	53.92	31.52
37	8 - AAA	52.75	30.26
38	1 - AAAA	52.38	36.86
39	3 - AAAAA	52.03	37.67
40	8 - A	51.10	23.18
	8-Div A - A	52.07	35.08
	8-Div B - A	33.89	13.59
41	5 - A	50.69	26.56
42	6 - AAAAA	49.59	33.23
43	5 - AAAAA	48.92	32.65
44	6 - AAAA	48.56	27.42
45	6 - A	47.34	24.32
	6-Div B - A	42.80	22.45
	6-Div A - A	40.93	26.12
46	3 - AAAAAA	45.77	35.19
47	8 - AA	45.37	18.40
48	2 - AA	45.31	29.19
49	2 - AAA	45.21	28.93
50	1 - AAA	44.84	31.83
51	7 - AA	44.42	18.50
52	3 - A	41.59	20.29
	3-Div A - A	40.88	25.94
	3-Div B - A	29.64	15.01
53	4 - A	40.53	18.00
	4-Div B - A	35.30	21.24
	4-Div A - A	35.15	13.25
54	4 - AA	39.82	22.03
55	7 - A	37.78	17.49
	7-Div B - A	35.41	19.11
	7-Div A - A	28.31	15.65
56	1 - A	29.46	3.18

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
08/24	Shiloh	Discovery	0 - 31	7.25	67.4%	0.338
08/17	Archer	Milton	19 - 21	9.14	71.4%	0.367
09/07	Manchester	Northeast	6 - 19	6.22	65.1%	0.384
08/24	Eagle's Landing Christian	Pace Academy	16 - 17	7.75	68.5%	0.393
08/17	Jefferson	Oconee County	13 - 20	6.39	65.5%	0.396
08/17	Chattooga	Adairsville	20 - 21	7.01	66.9%	0.405
09/07	McIntosh	Luella	37 - 44	5.64	63.7%	0.409
09/14	Tucker	Mundy's Mill	36 - 35	28.99	94.8%	0.415
09/14	Griffin	Upson-Lee	7 - 21	4.17	60.3%	0.422
08/24	Greater Atlanta Christian	Westminster (Atlanta)	21 - 22	5.86	64.2%	0.423
09/14	Pepperell	Gordon Central	28 - 27	26.66	93.5%	0.437
08/24	East Paulding	Upson-Lee	16 - 21	4.00	59.9%	0.441
09/14	Mount Zion (Carroll)	Christian Heritage	22 - 30	3.12	57.7%	0.450
08/17	Heritage (Conyers)	Salem	16 - 22	3.12	57.7%	0.453
09/14	Ringgold	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	25 - 35	2.77	56.9%	0.453

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
91.85	09/21	Colquitt County	Grayson	-	6.14	64.9%
85.69	10/12	Grayson	Archer	-	6.18	65.0%
84.88	09/14	Walton	North Gwinnett	27 - 24	2.26	55.6%
84.32	09/21	Archer	Buford	-	1.91	54.8%
83.91	08/18	Colquitt County	McEachern	41 - 7	15.32	82.2%
80.98	10/26	Colquitt County	Lowndes	-	18.80	86.8%
80.71	08/31	Parkview	Lowndes	39 - 27	4.78	61.7%
79.66	08/18	Walton	Mill Creek	48 - 27	8.01	69.0%
79.45	10/19	Walton	Roswell	-	9.26	71.6%
78.87	10/05	North Gwinnett	Mill Creek	-	9.42	72.0%
78.85	09/07	Archer	Mill Creek	42 - 0	9.08	71.3%
78.22	10/05	McEachern	Hillgrove	-	3.88	59.6%
77.87	08/17	Archer	Milton	19 - 21	9.14	71.4%
76.96	09/21	Parkview	Milton	-	9.27	71.6%
76.93	09/14	Colquitt County	Warner Robins	41 - 14	20.77	88.9%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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