Sports
Maxwell Week 4 Projections
Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.
The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.
All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.
The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.
Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.
Sep 8
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.12 | AAAAA | Griffin | 77.8% | 13 | Upson-Lee | AAAA |
| 39.80 | AAAAA | Harris County | 66.4% | 7 | Shaw | AAAA |
| 35.18 | AA | Callaway | 92.2% | 25 | Columbus | AAAA |
Sep 9
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.74 | AAAAAAA | Roswell | 66.0% | 7 | Colquitt County | AAAAAAA |
| 86.16 | AAAAAAA | Mill Creek | 74.1% | 11 | Archer | AAAAAAA |
| 76.46 | AAAAAAA | Norcross | 54.5% | 2 | North Gwinnett | AAAAAAA |
| 73.26 | AAAAAA | Mays | 53.1% | 2 | Hughes | AAAAAA |
| 72.56 | AAAA | Cartersville | 80.5% | 14 | Westlake | AAAAAAA |
| 72.48 | AAAAAAA | Camden County | 58.9% | 4 | Glynn Academy | AAAAAA |
| 71.83 | AAAAAA | Valdosta | 80.9% | 15 | Tift County | AAAAAAA |
| 67.03 | AAAAAAA | South Gwinnett | 78.3% | 13 | South Forsyth | AAAAAAA |
| 64.79 | AAAAAA | Northside (Warner Robins) | 74.1% | 11 | Lanier | AAAAAA |
| 64.74 | AAAAAAA | Peachtree Ridge | 77.1% | 12 | Newton | AAAAAAA |
| 64.12 | AAAAA | Kell | 67.4% | 7 | Rome | AAAAA |
| 64.03 | AAAA | St. Pius X | 53.3% | 2 | Marist | AAAA |
| 63.78 | AAAA | Blessed Trinity | 75.1% | 11 | Creekview | AAAAAA |
| 63.61 | AAAAA | Ware County | 74.2% | 11 | Grady | AAAAA |
| 62.93 | AAAAAAA | Etowah | 64.9% | 6 | Newnan | AAAAAAA |
| 62.52 | AAAA | Thomson | 68.8% | 8 | Pace Academy | AAA |
| 62.27 | AAAAAAA | Lowndes | 83.4% | 16 | Shiloh | AAAAAAA |
| 60.73 | AAAAAAA | Central Gwinnett | 63.7% | 6 | Collins Hill | AAAAAAA |
| 60.56 | AAAAAAA | Hillgrove | 76.5% | 12 | West Forsyth | AAAAAAA |
| 59.57 | AAAAAA | Northgate | 72.9% | 10 | Douglas County | AAAAAA |
| 56.91 | AAAAA | Jones County | 70.7% | 9 | Locust Grove | AAAAA |
| 56.70 | AAAAAAA | Lambert | 62.8% | 5 | Cherokee | AAAAAAA |
| 56.22 | A - Private | Eagle's Landing Christian | 69.0% | 8 | Hart County | AAA |
| 56.15 | AAAAAA | Alpharetta | 73.5% | 10 | Centennial | AAAAAA |
| 55.81 | AAAAAA | Lovejoy | 68.3% | 8 | Spalding | AAAA |
| 55.68 | AAAAAA | Stephenson | 70.3% | 9 | Southwest DeKalb | AAAAA |
| 55.06 | AAAAA | Bainbridge | 68.2% | 8 | Cairo | AAAA |
| 53.62 | AAAAAA | Alexander | 83.7% | 16 | South Paulding | AAAAAA |
| 53.32 | AAAAA | Thomas County Central | 68.6% | 8 | Monroe | AAA |
| 52.83 | AA | Vidalia | 60.4% | 5 | West Laurens | AAAA |
| 52.34 | AAAAA | Hiram | 59.0% | 4 | Paulding County | AAAAA |
| 50.41 | AAAAA | Stockbridge | 93.0% | 26 | Dutchtown | AAAAA |
| 50.40 | AA | Fitzgerald | 85.2% | 18 | Macon County | A - Public |
| 50.36 | AAAA | Woodward Academy | 87.9% | 20 | Riverwood | AAAAA |
| 50.31 | AAAAAA | Brunswick | 70.3% | 9 | Wayne County | AAAAA |
| 48.26 | AAAAAAA | Marietta | 61.1% | 5 | Pebblebrook | AAAAAAA |
| 48.15 | AAAAAAA | East Coweta | 90.1% | 22 | LaGrange | AAAA |
| 48.09 | AAAA | Burke County | 78.9% | 13 | Lakeside (Evans) | AAAAAA |
| 47.54 | AAAAAA | Houston County | 92.6% | 25 | Veterans | AAAAA |
| 47.22 | AAAA | Northwest Whitfield | 52.2% | 1 | Model | AA |
| 46.82 | AAA | Pierce County | 57.9% | 3 | Richmond Hill | AAAAAA |
| 46.41 | AAAA | Eastside | 73.1% | 10 | Loganville | AAAAA |
| 45.99 | AA | Dodge County | 69.4% | 8 | Appling County | AAA |
| 45.73 | AAAA | Stephens County | 52.7% | 1 | Flowery Branch | AAAAA |
| 45.38 | AAA | Liberty County | 73.3% | 10 | Jenkins | AAA |
| 44.26 | AAAAA | East Paulding | 83.3% | 16 | Villa Rica | AAAAA |
| 44.17 | A - Private | Aquinas | 62.6% | 5 | Calvary Day | A - Private |
| 44.09 | AAAAAAA | Woodstock | 78.2% | 13 | Kennesaw Mountain | AAAAAAA |
| 43.66 | AAAAAA | Creekside | 93.0% | 26 | New Manchester | AAAAAA |
| 43.50 | AAA | North Hall | 57.5% | 3 | Pickens | AAAA |
| 42.72 | AAAAAA | Mundy's Mill | 74.3% | 11 | Fayette County | AAAAA |
| 42.23 | AAAAAA | Effingham County | 76.9% | 12 | South Effingham | AAAAA |
| 41.77 | AAA | Peach County | 83.2% | 16 | Perry | AAAA |
| 41.72 | AAAAA | Starr's Mill | 82.1% | 15 | Chapel Hill | AAAA |
| 41.68 | AA | Heard County | 64.8% | 6 | Darlington | A - Private |
| 41.60 | AAA | Worth County | 58.4% | 4 | Early County | AA |
| 41.46 | AAAA | Salem | 63.3% | 6 | Miller Grove | AAAAA |
| 41.24 | AA | Lamar County | 66.5% | 7 | Troup | AAAA |
| 40.63 | AAAAAAA | McEachern | 99.2% | 40 | Jonesboro | AAAAAA |
| 40.62 | AAAAAA | Cambridge | 75.7% | 12 | Chattahoochee | AAAAAA |
| 40.48 | AAA | Cedar Grove | 89.6% | 22 | Columbia | AAAAA |
| 39.90 | AAAA | Baldwin | 52.3% | 1 | Washington County | AA |
| 39.76 | AAAAAA | Johns Creek | 75.8% | 12 | Pope | AAAAAA |
| 39.36 | AAAAA | McIntosh | 65.1% | 6 | Luella | AAAA |
| 38.83 | AA | Pepperell | 60.5% | 5 | Cedartown | AAAA |
| 38.26 | AAAAAA | Dalton | 95.8% | 30 | Sonoraville | AAA |
| 38.24 | A - Private | Wesleyan | 79.7% | 14 | Hapeville Charter | AA |
| 38.16 | AAAAA | Statesboro | 59.4% | 4 | Screven County | AA |
| 36.71 | AAAA | Oconee County | 86.5% | 19 | Morgan County | AAA |
| 35.57 | A - Private | Savannah Christian | 59.1% | 4 | Charlton County | A - Public |
| 35.37 | AAAAAA | Lee County | 98.2% | 37 | Americus-Sumter | AAAA |
| 35.09 | AAAAAA | Heritage (Conyers) | 70.2% | 9 | Rockdale County | AAAAAAA |
| 33.21 | AAA | Central (Macon) | 69.3% | 8 | Southwest | AA |
| 32.67 | AA | Benedictine | 98.8% | 39 | Southeast Bulloch | AAA |
| 32.66 | AAAAA | Cedar Shoals | 73.9% | 11 | North Oconee | AAAA |
| 31.90 | AAAA | Madison County | 64.4% | 6 | Lumpkin County | AAA |
| 31.89 | AAAAAA | Habersham Central | 62.2% | 5 | Franklin County | AAA |
| 31.76 | A - Public | McIntosh County Academy | 58.4% | 4 | Bryan County | AA |
| 31.26 | A - Private | First Presbyterian | 72.5% | 10 | Hawkinsville | A - Public |
| 30.96 | A - Private | Athens Christian | 53.6% | 2 | Athens Academy | A - Private |
| 30.38 | AA | B.E.S.T. Academy | 56.6% | 3 | Douglass | AA |
| 30.10 | AA | Jefferson County | 93.7% | 27 | Washington-Wilkes | A - Public |
| 29.86 | AA | Dublin | 82.7% | 16 | Swainsboro | AA |
| 29.41 | A - Private | Landmark Christian | 85.7% | 18 | Brookstone | A - Private |
| 29.37 | AAAAAAA | Lakeside (Atlanta) | 60.7% | 5 | Druid Hills | AAAA |
| 29.35 | AAAAA | Eagle's Landing | 85.5% | 18 | Union Grove | AAAAA |
| 28.26 | AAAAAA | Sprayberry | 91.5% | 24 | Campbell | AAAAAAA |
| 27.80 | AAAA | West Hall | 77.8% | 13 | Jackson County | AAA |
| 27.74 | AAAA | Ridgeland | 87.8% | 20 | Chattooga | AA |
| 27.62 | AAAA | North Clayton | 75.5% | 11 | Maynard Jackson | AAAAA |
| 27.00 | A - Public | Trion | 78.4% | 13 | Bremen | AAA |
| 26.62 | AA | Rabun County | 94.1% | 27 | White County | AAAA |
| 26.55 | AAA | North Murray | 67.9% | 8 | Heritage (Ringgold) | AAAA |
| 26.46 | AAAA | Howard | 58.9% | 4 | Rutland | AAA |
| 26.23 | AAAAAA | North Atlanta | 54.5% | 2 | Dunwoody | AAAAAA |
| 25.69 | AAAAAAA | Forsyth Central | 80.1% | 14 | Meadowcreek | AAAAAAA |
| 25.45 | AAA | Monroe Area | 50.5% | 1 | Walnut Grove | AAAAA |
| 25.30 | A - Private | Fellowship Christian | 78.2% | 13 | Our Lady of Mercy | A - Private |
| 25.12 | AAAAA | Whitewater | 92.5% | 25 | Banneker | AAAAA |
| 24.95 | A - Public | Johnson County | 53.5% | 2 | Wilkinson County | A - Public |
| 24.94 | AA | Washington | 61.4% | 5 | Lithia Springs | AAAAA |
| 24.35 | AA | Bacon County | 66.6% | 7 | Berrien | AA |
| 24.08 | AA | Spencer | 83.9% | 17 | Kendrick | AAA |
| 23.45 | AAAA | Chestatee | 55.8% | 3 | Fannin County | AAA |
| 23.26 | A - Private | Stratford Academy | 82.8% | 16 | Atkinson County | A - Public |
| 20.70 | A - Private | Christian Heritage | 65.4% | 7 | Murray County | AAA |
| 20.45 | AA | Northeast | 55.2% | 2 | Twiggs County | A - Public |
| 19.97 | AAAAAAA | Discovery | 53.4% | 2 | Apalachee | AAAAAA |
| 19.80 | AAAAAA | Bradwell Institute | 72.1% | 10 | Warren County | A - Public |
| 19.37 | A - Public | Telfair County | 70.1% | 9 | Toombs County | AA |
| 19.31 | A - Public | Mount Zion (Carroll) | 88.4% | 20 | Coosa | AA |
| 19.22 | A - Public | Mitchell County | 60.7% | 5 | Miller County | A - Public |
| 17.90 | AAAAAA | Osborne | 60.5% | 5 | K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate | AA |
| 17.72 | AAAA | Northside (Columbus) | 87.9% | 20 | Jordan | AA |
| 17.07 | AAA | Tattnall County | 81.5% | 15 | Beach | AAA |
| 16.33 | AAAAA | Cass | 94.1% | 27 | Woodland (Cartersville) | AAAAA |
| 15.52 | A - Public | Greene County | 82.8% | 16 | Monticello | AA |
| 14.98 | AAA | Brantley County | 84.1% | 17 | Jeff Davis | AA |
| 14.54 | AAAAA | Woodland (Stockbridge) | 98.4% | 37 | Hampton | AAAAA |
| 13.80 | A - Public | Seminole County | 88.9% | 21 | Chattahoochee County | A - Public |
| 13.27 | AA | Bleckley County | 75.3% | 11 | Wilcox County | A - Public |
| 12.93 | A - Private | Mount Pisgah Christian | 93.7% | 27 | Walker | A - Private |
| 12.56 | AAAA | Sandy Creek | 99.8% | 41 | Morrow | AAAAA |
| 12.55 | AAAA | Cross Creek | 69.7% | 9 | Westside (Augusta) | AA |
| 12.42 | A - Private | Tattnall Square | 74.0% | 11 | East Laurens | AA |
| 11.95 | A - Private | Savannah Country Day | 67.4% | 7 | Johnson (Savannah) | AAA |
| 11.36 | AAA | Pike County | 79.5% | 14 | Strong Rock Christian | A - Private |
| 11.30 | A - Public | Bowdon | 92.1% | 24 | Greenville | A - Public |
| 11.07 | AAAAAA | Greenbrier | 82.6% | 16 | Harlem | AA |
| 10.73 | AAAA | Richmond Academy | 88.6% | 21 | Josey | AA |
| 9.74 | A - Public | Jenkins County | 66.8% | 7 | Portal | A - Public |
| 7.53 | AAA | East Hall | 84.9% | 17 | Johnson (Gainesville) | AAAAA |
| 7.19 | A - Private | Mount de Sales | 75.6% | 12 | Social Circle | AA |
| 7.10 | A - Public | Marion County | 97.3% | 34 | Pacelli | A - Private |
| 6.10 | AAAA | Mary Persons | 99.5% | 41 | Forest Park | AAAAAA |
| 5.87 | AAAAAA | Evans | 98.5% | 38 | Glenn Hills | AA |
| 5.67 | AA | Metter | 91.9% | 24 | Claxton | A - Public |
| 5.18 | A - Other | Georgia Military College | 56.1% | 3 | Schley County | A - Public |
| 5.15 | A - Private | Whitefield Academy | 54.0% | 2 | King's Ridge Christian | A - Private |
| 4.49 | A - Private | George Walton Academy | 87.3% | 19 | Riverside Military Academy | A - Private |
| 3.29 | AA | Temple | 73.4% | 10 | Armuchee | AA |
| 2.38 | AAA | East Jackson | 68.3% | 8 | Oglethorpe County | AA |
| 1.16 | A - Private | Mount Vernon Presbyterian | 83.1% | 16 | North Cobb Christian | A - Private |
| 0.29 | A - Private | Prince Avenue Christian | 99.6% | 41 | Towns County | A - Public |
| -1.27 | AA | Butler | 78.8% | 13 | Hephzibah | AAAA |
| -1.89 | A - Public | Lanier County | 67.4% | 7 | Groves | AAA |
| -2.04 | AAA | Long County | 87.4% | 19 | Windsor Forest | AAA |
| -2.84 | A - Public | Wheeler County | 63.3% | 6 | Montgomery County | A - Public |
| -3.42 | A - Public | Commerce | 98.9% | 39 | Lakeview Academy | A - Private |
| -6.80 | A - Public | Taylor County | 95.9% | 31 | Central (Talbotton) | A - Public |
| -7.85 | AA | South Atlanta | 90.4% | 22 | Clarkston | AAAAA |
| -10.78 | A - Private | Hebron Christian Academy | 94.0% | 27 | Providence Christian | A - Private |
| -11.92 | A - Public | Gordon Lee | 98.0% | 36 | Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe | AAA |
| -13.40 | AAAA | LaFayette | 92.9% | 26 | Gordon Central | AA |
| -26.24 | A - Other | Glascock County | 69.3% | 8 | Stewart County | A - Public |
Sep 10
| Game Rate | Class | Favorite | Percent | Margin | Opponent | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.70 | AAAAAA | Dacula | 91.8% | 24 | Arabia Mountain | AAAAA |
| 31.82 | AAAAAA | Alcovy | 66.5% | 7 | Henry County | AAAA |
| 22.41 | AAAA | Westover | 89.3% | 21 | Dougherty | AAA |
| 20.63 | AA | Therrell | 72.1% | 10 | McNair | AAA |

