Sports

Maxwell Week 12 Projections

By Todd Holcomb
Nov 5, 2014

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Nov 6

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
38.25 AAAAA LaGrange 67.2% 7 Northside (Columbus) AAAAA
27.08 AAA Jackson 91.1% 23 Rutland AAA
22.28 AAA Westside (Macon) 99.1% 39 Southwest AAA
16.62 AAAA Dougherty 63.6% 6 Albany AAAA
8.31 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 99.2% 40 Hardaway AAAAA
-13.24 AAAA Windsor Forest 77.0% 12 New Hampstead AAAA

Nov 7

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
85.29 AAAAAA Lee County 61.0% 5 Valdosta AAAAAA
79.93 AAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 51.9% 1 Mill Creek AAAAAA
77.75 AAAAAA Lowndes 61.6% 5 Tift County AAAAAA
73.99 AAAAAA McEachern 77.3% 12 Hillgrove AAAAAA
71.16 AAAAAA Colquitt County 98.4% 37 Camden County AAAAAA
70.74 AAAAA Northside (Warner Robins) 55.0% 2 Houston County AAAAA
68.48 AAAAA Alexander 57.3% 3 New Manchester AAAAA
67.95 AAAAAA Norcross 64.2% 6 Collins Hill AAAAAA
67.46 AAAAA Dalton 60.3% 4 Kell AAAAA
66.11 AAA Jefferson 61.6% 5 Hart County AAA
65.16 AAAAA South Paulding 80.4% 14 Hiram AAAAA
63.34 AAAAAA Etowah 71.3% 9 Walton AAAAAA
63.00 AAAAAA Dacula 88.1% 20 Parkview AAAAAA
62.53 AAAAA Jones County 53.6% 2 Warner Robins AAAAA
62.01 AAAAA Creekside 65.4% 7 Stephenson AAAAA
60.95 AAAA Cairo 57.9% 3 Worth County AAAA
59.06 AAAA Mary Persons 79.0% 13 West Laurens AAAA
58.70 AAAAAA North Cobb 83.0% 16 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
58.59 AAAAAA Milton 90.1% 22 Wheeler AAAAAA
58.17 AAAAA East Paulding 66.8% 7 Villa Rica AAAAA
58.02 AAAAA Stockbridge 53.7% 2 Drew AAAAA
55.92 AAAA Cartersville 85.9% 18 Pickens AAAA
54.75 AAAAAA Archer 92.3% 25 Brookwood AAAAAA
54.48 AAAAAA Harrison 72.4% 10 Marietta AAAAAA
54.45 AAAAAA East Coweta 78.0% 13 South Cobb AAAAAA
54.42 AAAA Woodward Academy 81.5% 15 Carrollton AAAA
53.85 AAAA Sandy Creek 84.9% 17 Fayette County AAAA
53.60 AAAAAA South Gwinnett 71.8% 10 Shiloh AAAAAA
53.15 AAA Blessed Trinity 93.4% 26 Cedar Grove AAA
52.29 AAAAA Ware County 94.1% 27 Brunswick AAAAA
52.23 AAAAA Sprayberry 74.2% 11 Sequoyah AAAAA
52.07 AAAA Thomas County Central 65.4% 7 Bainbridge AAAA
52.01 AAAAA Carver (Atlanta) 59.6% 4 Southwest DeKalb AAAAA
51.44 AAAA Whitewater 75.7% 12 Troup AAAA
51.34 AAAA Buford 98.6% 38 Stephens County AAAA
51.34 AAAAAA Woodstock 73.2% 10 Pope AAAAAA
51.01 AA Macon County 55.7% 3 Lamar County AA
50.73 AAAAAA North Gwinnett 96.4% 32 Mountain View AAAAAA
50.35 AAAAAA Lambert 51.3% 1 South Forsyth AAAAAA
49.11 AAAAA Dutchtown 57.3% 3 Starr's Mill AAAAA
48.98 AAAAA Mundy's Mill 67.5% 8 Woodland (Stockbridge) AAAAA
48.78 AAAAA Cambridge 72.3% 10 Creekview AAAAA
48.56 AAAAAA Hughes 92.9% 26 Newnan AAAAAA
48.32 AAAAAA Newton 69.1% 8 Rockdale County AAAAAA
47.01 AAAA Upson-Lee 66.0% 7 Veterans AAAA
44.79 AAAAA Northgate 51.3% 1 Luella AAAAA
44.62 AAAA Griffin 90.3% 22 Eastside AAAA
44.59 A Aquinas 52.8% 1 Tattnall Square A
44.27 AAAAAA Northview 67.1% 7 Centennial AAAAAA
43.91 AAA Elbert County 78.8% 13 Oconee County AAA
43.58 AAAAAA Roswell 93.3% 26 Lassiter AAAAAA
43.43 AA Thomasville 83.9% 17 Early County AA
43.31 AAAA Westover 72.8% 10 Crisp County AAAA
43.25 AAAAA Forsyth Central 51.8% 1 Cass AAAAA
43.16 AAAAA Glynn Academy 84.8% 17 South Effingham AAAAA
42.45 AAAA Eagle's Landing 52.1% 1 Spalding AAAA
42.42 AAAA Baldwin 77.7% 13 Howard AAAA
41.90 AAAAA Mays 93.4% 26 Miller Grove AAAAA
41.87 A Mount Paran Christian 86.7% 19 Mount Pisgah Christian A
41.51 AAAAA Paulding County 87.5% 20 Lithia Springs AAAAA
41.50 A Calvary Day 70.4% 9 Emanuel County Institute A
40.80 AAAAA Gainesville 88.8% 21 Flowery Branch AAAAA
40.53 AAAAA Richmond Academy 67.5% 8 Grovetown AAAAA
40.41 AAA Dodge County 71.6% 9 Jenkins AAA
39.82 A Dooly County 65.0% 6 Greenville A
39.48 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 95.9% 31 Wesleyan AA
39.22 AAAA Gilmer 77.2% 12 Heritage (Ringgold) AAAA
39.12 AAAA North Oconee 90.8% 23 Madison County AAAA
38.33 AA Berrien 57.0% 3 Pelham AA
38.20 AAAAA Clarke Central 65.4% 7 Loganville AAAAA
38.17 AAAA Locust Grove 63.6% 6 Jonesboro AAAA
38.06 AA Fitzgerald 94.9% 29 Seminole County AA
37.79 AAAA Southeast Whitfield 55.1% 2 Northwest Whitfield AAAA
37.50 AAAAA Winder-Barrow 74.9% 11 Heritage (Conyers) AAAAA
37.30 AAAA Monroe 71.6% 9 Americus-Sumter AAAA
37.04 AAAAA Effingham County 73.8% 11 Statesboro AAAAA
36.48 AAAA Burke County 78.2% 13 Thomson AAAA
36.31 A Landmark Christian 70.8% 9 Our Lady of Mercy A
36.08 AAAAA Union Grove 50.7% 1 McIntosh AAAAA
36.03 AA B.E.S.T. Academy 55.0% 2 Pace Academy AA
35.84 AAAAA Tri-Cities 77.2% 12 Druid Hills AAAAA
35.83 AA Swainsboro 53.0% 2 Jefferson County AA
35.56 AAA Washington 59.4% 4 Maynard Jackson AAA
35.49 AAAAA Harris County 94.2% 27 Shaw AAAAA
35.15 AAAAAA Central Gwinnett 96.3% 32 Berkmar AAAAAA
34.65 A Clinch County 73.0% 10 Telfair County A
33.24 AAA Central (Macon) 52.4% 1 Kendrick AAA
33.06 A Schley County 52.6% 1 Brookstone A
33.00 AAAAA Riverwood 75.3% 11 River Ridge AAAAA
32.95 AAAAA Rome 70.7% 9 North Springs AAAAA
31.91 A Stratford Academy 65.3% 7 Lincoln County A
31.76 AAA Appling County 80.9% 15 Southeast Bulloch AAA
31.44 AA Union County 69.7% 9 Washington-Wilkes AA
31.37 A Atkinson County 56.2% 3 Wilcox County A
30.92 AAA West Hall 87.3% 19 Lumpkin County AAA
30.64 AAA Jackson County 54.1% 2 Morgan County AAA
30.56 AAAAA Evans 88.8% 21 Greenbrier AAAAA
30.25 A Claxton 50.2% 0 Johnson County A
30.19 AAA Washington County 99.5% 41 Westside (Augusta) AAA
29.89 A Pinecrest Academy 62.6% 5 Mount Zion (Carroll) A
29.85 AAAAA Richmond Hill 65.7% 7 Liberty County AAAA
29.55 AAAA White County 83.6% 16 North Hall AAAA
28.59 AA Screven County 76.2% 12 Metter AA
28.52 AAAAA Allatoona 99.7% 41 Chapel Hill AAAAA
28.04 AAAAA M. L. King 75.4% 11 Banneker AAAAA
27.90 AAAAAA Westlake 99.1% 40 Campbell AAAAAA
27.83 AAAAAA West Forsyth 89.4% 21 Johns Creek AAAAAA
27.36 A Irwin County 95.1% 29 Turner County A
26.99 AA Bremen 59.8% 4 Heard County AA
26.84 AAAAA Lanier 97.1% 34 Apalachee AAAAA
26.59 AA Vidalia 99.0% 39 Bryan County AA
26.55 AAAAAA Chattahoochee 69.8% 9 Habersham Central AAAAAA
26.45 AAA Ringgold 91.4% 24 North Murray AAA
26.34 AAAAAA Douglas County 96.3% 32 Pebblebrook AAAAAA
25.99 AAA East Hall 70.8% 9 Banks County AAA
25.89 AA Monticello 67.6% 8 Northeast AA
25.68 AAAA Walnut Grove 76.1% 12 Riverdale AAAA
25.14 AAAAA Salem 89.0% 21 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
24.79 AA Rabun County 86.8% 19 Greene County AA
24.49 AAA Cedartown 51.0% 1 Rockmart AAA
22.57 AAAAA Morrow 54.8% 2 Osborne AAAAAA
22.46 AAA Decatur 83.1% 16 Towers AAA
22.37 AAAAAA Tucker 99.6% 41 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAA
22.09 AAAAA Lakeside (Evans) 98.0% 36 Cross Creek AAAAA
21.61 AAA Fannin County 53.0% 2 Franklin County AAA
21.44 AA Darlington 91.1% 23 Chattooga AA
21.41 AAAA Monroe Area 55.1% 2 Chestatee AAAA
21.37 AAAA Henry County 84.5% 17 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
20.93 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 98.8% 39 North Clayton AAA
20.86 AAAAA Coffee 99.3% 40 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
20.69 A St. Francis 62.1% 5 Trion A
20.44 AA Groves 52.4% 1 Jeff Davis AA
20.06 AA Bowdon 93.8% 27 Chattahoochee County AA
20.06 AAA Jordan 56.8% 3 Spencer AAA
19.72 AAAAAA Alpharetta 99.3% 40 North Forsyth AAAAAA
19.61 A Christian Heritage 61.4% 5 Fellowship Christian A
19.34 AAAAA Woodland (Cartersville) 51.9% 1 North Atlanta AAAAA
19.33 AAA Dawson County 52.2% 1 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAA
19.13 A Hancock Central 50.1% 0 Wilkinson County A
17.21 A Pacelli 95.3% 29 Taylor County A
16.31 AAAAAA Lovejoy 99.5% 41 Alcovy AAAAAA
16.11 AAAAA Ola 91.6% 24 Forest Park AAAAA
15.42 A First Presbyterian 86.7% 19 Georgia Military College A
14.57 AAAA Ridgeland 88.3% 20 LaFayette AAAA
14.43 AA Benedictine 99.3% 40 Long County AA
14.09 AAA Therrell 72.6% 10 McNair AAA
13.63 AAA Toombs County 62.5% 5 Portal A
13.08 AAAA St. Pius X 99.3% 40 Redan AAAA
12.99 AAA Hephzibah 58.0% 4 Butler AAA
12.14 AAAA Marist 99.5% 41 Chamblee AAAA
10.53 A Terrell County 52.8% 1 Miller County A
10.36 AA Hapeville 81.5% 15 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA
9.69 AA Dade County 69.3% 8 Gordon Lee AA
9.52 A Athens Christian 87.2% 19 Hebron Christian Academy A
9.51 A Savannah Christian 96.9% 33 Montgomery County A
9.43 A Charlton County 98.3% 37 Lanier County A
9.43 AA Bleckley County 96.2% 31 Putnam County AA
9.24 A Marion County 99.4% 41 Central (Talbotton) A
8.87 AAA Cook 98.8% 39 Beach AAA
7.91 A Mitchell County 87.8% 20 Randolph-Clay A
7.48 AAA Douglass 60.8% 5 South Atlanta AAA
5.82 A Whitefield Academy 78.8% 13 Walker A
5.28 A George Walton Academy 75.0% 11 Athens Academy A
5.14 AAA Laney 98.3% 37 Glenn Hills AAA
4.49 A Savannah Country Day 83.3% 16 Treutlen A
3.70 AAA Pepperell 89.5% 21 Haralson County AAA
3.42 AAAA Pike County 82.7% 16 Hampton AAAA
3.08 AA Bacon County 97.1% 33 McIntosh County Academy AA
2.58 A Strong Rock Christian 85.4% 18 King's Ridge Christian A
2.47 A Mount de Sales 87.3% 19 Warren County A
0.93 AAA Sonoraville 96.2% 31 Murray County AAA
-1.49 A Commerce 95.9% 31 Lakeview Academy A
-3.28 AAA Adairsville 99.8% 41 Gordon Central AAA
-3.85 AA Manchester 88.9% 21 Temple AA
-5.50 A Jenkins County 93.8% 27 Wheeler County A
-5.63 AA East Laurens 88.5% 20 Harlem AA
-7.17 AA Coosa 98.8% 39 Armuchee AA
-11.40 AA Riverside Military Academy 93.3% 26 Social Circle AA
-11.73 A Eagle's Landing Christian 99.6% 41 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A
-12.29 A Calhoun County 98.5% 38 Baconton A
-13.37 AAA Brantley County 99.0% 39 Islands AAA
-15.02 AAAAAA Duluth 99.4% 40 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
-16.25 A Twiggs County 87.1% 19 Glascock County A
-19.41 A North Cobb Christian 85.1% 18 Stewart County A
-22.87 AAA Calhoun 100.0% 42 Coahulla Creek AAA
-30.37 A Prince Avenue Christian 99.7% 41 Providence Christian A
-31.61 AAAAA Dunwoody 99.6% 41 Clarkston AAAAA

Nov 8

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
44.49 AAA Central (Carrollton) 89.0% 21 Callaway AAA
38.95 AAAA Columbia 82.1% 15 Arabia Mountain AAAA
17.50 AAA Pierce County 96.4% 32 Johnson (Savannah) AAA
3.54 AAA Tattnall County 91.0% 23 Savannah AAA
-8.12 AAAA Grady 99.2% 40 Stone Mountain AAAA

About the Author

Todd Holcomb

More Stories

The Latest

020625 hawks photo

Atlanta TV sports listings

38m ago

Ukraine's Vladyslav Heraskevych out of Winter Olympics over banned helmet honoring war dead

52m ago

Will American 'Quad God' Ilia Malinin try hardest quad of all in his last skate at the Olympics?

55m ago

Keep Reading

In debut season of $12.3M facility, KSU baseball has high expectations

College football hopefuls finding paths blocked by transfer portal

Former 4-star UGA lineman among 34 transfers who join Georgia State

Featured

FBI raids Fulton County election office seeking ballots from Trump’s 2020 loss

FBI affidavit for Fulton’s 2020 records fuels GOP calls for state takeover

DeKalb County could close 27 schools, initial plan says. Here’s the list.

Downtown Athens gateway breaks ground, opening timed for UGA football season