By Todd Holcomb
Nov 5, 2014
NOTE: These ratings have been updated from Tuesday's article to include last night's Johnson-Savannah game.
Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.
The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2014 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons and teams with 100 or more championship wins in the simulation are shown.
While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.
All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAA team).
Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) classification record, and 4) random tie breaker.
Class AAAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team |
Region |
Rating |
Qtr |
Semi |
Finals |
Champion |
Odds |
| Colquitt County |
1-AAAAAA |
111.72 |
958,817 |
930,666 |
901,385 |
849,363 |
0.18 |
| Lee County |
1-AAAAAA |
87.66 |
627,817 |
480,111 |
310,063 |
43,895 |
21.78 |
| McEachern |
4-AAAAAA |
83.98 |
785,318 |
448,058 |
198,919 |
26,597 |
36.60 |
| Valdosta |
1-AAAAAA |
83.97 |
518,230 |
343,199 |
170,978 |
19,036 |
51.53 |
| North Gwinnett |
7-AAAAAA |
82.44 |
363,199 |
265,540 |
130,938 |
13,455 |
73.32 |
| Dacula |
8-AAAAAA |
80.62 |
343,303 |
194,296 |
81,590 |
7,884 |
125.84 |
| Milton |
5-AAAAAA |
79.39 |
661,252 |
40,517 |
21,821 |
7,749 |
128.05 |
| Grayson |
8-AAAAAA |
82.05 |
68,049 |
40,559 |
22,066 |
5,405 |
184.01 |
| Peachtree Ridge |
7-AAAAAA |
79.92 |
165,769 |
114,501 |
11,311 |
4,031 |
247.08 |
| Tucker |
2-AAAAAA |
78.31 |
248,216 |
169,623 |
10,933 |
4,009 |
248.44 |
| Mill Creek |
7-AAAAAA |
79.94 |
152,403 |
105,076 |
11,136 |
3,890 |
256.07 |
| Westlake |
3-AAAAAA |
75.48 |
585,363 |
173,349 |
58,820 |
3,657 |
272.45 |
| Lowndes |
1-AAAAAA |
80.28 |
167,398 |
116,386 |
8,276 |
3,433 |
290.29 |
| Archer |
8-AAAAAA |
78.59 |
194,677 |
129,531 |
8,401 |
3,116 |
319.92 |
| Hillgrove |
4-AAAAAA |
70.94 |
426,226 |
123,959 |
10,581 |
1,042 |
958.69 |
| Etowah |
5-AAAAAA |
70.26 |
338,140 |
66,927 |
15,467 |
649 |
1,539.83 |
| Tift County |
1-AAAAAA |
76.37 |
61,851 |
38,000 |
2,027 |
643 |
1,554.21 |
| Hughes |
3-AAAAAA |
72.66 |
181,692 |
5,257 |
1,922 |
479 |
2,086.68 |
| North Cobb |
4-AAAAAA |
72.53 |
159,939 |
4,552 |
1,712 |
419 |
2,385.63 |
| Alpharetta |
6-AAAAAA |
68.56 |
271,529 |
71,129 |
2,144 |
394 |
2,537.07 |
| Roswell |
5-AAAAAA |
68.22 |
246,440 |
44,362 |
8,719 |
324 |
3,085.42 |
| Norcross |
7-AAAAAA |
72.10 |
45,040 |
16,048 |
3,841 |
195 |
5,127.21 |
| Lovejoy |
2-AAAAAA |
69.95 |
53,409 |
17,000 |
3,860 |
161 |
6,210.18 |
Most Likely Region Seeding
Each region is shown with the most likely region seeding orders and odds of each team making the playoffs.
|
1-AAAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 38.8% |
Colquitt County |
Lee County |
Valdosta |
Lowndes |
| 23.8% |
Colquitt County |
Valdosta |
Lee County |
Lowndes |
| 23.2% |
Colquitt County |
Lee County |
Valdosta |
Tift County |
| 14.2% |
Colquitt County |
Valdosta |
Lee County |
Tift County |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Colquitt County |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Lee County |
0.0% |
62.0% |
38.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Valdosta |
0.0% |
38.0% |
62.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Lowndes |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
62.5% |
62.5% |
37.5% |
0.60 |
| Tift County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
37.5% |
37.5% |
62.5% |
1.67 |
|
2-AAAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 70.0% |
Tucker |
Lovejoy |
Newton |
Rockdale County |
| 30.0% |
Tucker |
Lovejoy |
Rockdale County |
Newton |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Tucker |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Lovejoy |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Newton |
0.0% |
0.0% |
70.0% |
30.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Rockdale County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
30.0% |
70.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
|
3-AAAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 89.0% |
Westlake |
Hughes |
East Coweta |
Douglas County |
| 10.2% |
Westlake |
Hughes |
Douglas County |
East Coweta |
| 0.8% |
Westlake |
Hughes |
South Cobb |
East Coweta |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Westlake |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Hughes |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| East Coweta |
0.0% |
0.0% |
89.0% |
11.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Douglas County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
10.2% |
89.0% |
99.2% |
0.8% |
0.01 |
| South Cobb |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.8% |
0.0% |
0.8% |
99.2% |
132.30 |
|
4-AAAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 78.0% |
McEachern |
Hillgrove |
North Cobb |
North Paulding |
| 22.0% |
Hillgrove |
McEachern |
North Cobb |
North Paulding |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| McEachern |
78.0% |
22.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Hillgrove |
22.0% |
78.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| North Cobb |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| North Paulding |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
|
5-AAAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 73.8% |
Milton |
Etowah |
Roswell |
Cherokee |
| 23.7% |
Milton |
Roswell |
Etowah |
Cherokee |
| 2.5% |
Roswell |
Milton |
Etowah |
Cherokee |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Milton |
97.5% |
2.5% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Roswell |
2.5% |
23.7% |
73.8% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Etowah |
0.0% |
73.8% |
26.2% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Cherokee |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
|
6-AAAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 32.9% |
Alpharetta |
South Forsyth |
Lambert |
Northview |
| 15.7% |
Alpharetta |
Lambert |
Northview |
West Forsyth |
| 15.7% |
Alpharetta |
Lambert |
Northview |
South Forsyth |
| 14.9% |
Alpharetta |
Lambert |
West Forsyth |
South Forsyth |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Alpharetta |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Lambert |
0.0% |
51.6% |
46.8% |
1.6% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| South Forsyth |
0.0% |
48.4% |
5.3% |
30.6% |
84.3% |
15.7% |
0.19 |
| Northview |
0.0% |
0.0% |
31.5% |
36.5% |
67.9% |
32.1% |
0.47 |
| West Forsyth |
0.0% |
0.0% |
14.9% |
22.7% |
37.6% |
62.4% |
1.66 |
| Centennial |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1.6% |
8.6% |
10.2% |
89.8% |
8.79 |
|
7-AAAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 32.9% |
North Gwinnett |
Peachtree Ridge |
Mill Creek |
Norcross |
| 29.9% |
North Gwinnett |
Mill Creek |
Peachtree Ridge |
Norcross |
| 17.7% |
North Gwinnett |
Peachtree Ridge |
Mill Creek |
Collins Hill |
| 16.0% |
North Gwinnett |
Mill Creek |
Peachtree Ridge |
Collins Hill |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| North Gwinnett |
96.5% |
2.2% |
0.9% |
0.4% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Mill Creek |
1.6% |
45.9% |
51.3% |
1.2% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Peachtree Ridge |
1.8% |
51.0% |
46.8% |
0.4% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Norcross |
0.0% |
0.9% |
1.0% |
63.2% |
65.1% |
34.9% |
0.54 |
| Collins Hill |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
34.9% |
34.9% |
65.1% |
1.86 |
|
8-AAAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 88.5% |
Dacula |
Grayson |
Archer |
Central Gwinnett |
| 11.5% |
Grayson |
Archer |
Dacula |
Central Gwinnett |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Dacula |
88.5% |
0.0% |
11.5% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Grayson |
11.5% |
88.5% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Archer |
0.0% |
11.5% |
88.5% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Central Gwinnett |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket is seeded from the most likely region seeds and assumes every favorite wins.
Class AAAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team |
Region |
Rating |
Qtr |
Semi |
Finals |
Champion |
Odds |
| Allatoona |
5-AAAAA |
87.45 |
851,094 |
798,936 |
698,402 |
551,564 |
0.81 |
| Ware County |
3-AAAAA |
78.86 |
595,342 |
461,781 |
359,939 |
152,066 |
5.58 |
| South Paulding |
5-AAAAA |
77.11 |
346,836 |
255,168 |
188,802 |
73,418 |
12.62 |
| Northside (Warner Robins) |
2-AAAAA |
71.86 |
618,868 |
385,340 |
132,931 |
49,981 |
19.01 |
| Houston County |
2-AAAAA |
69.85 |
644,190 |
414,823 |
128,148 |
38,801 |
24.77 |
| Dalton |
7-AAAAA |
70.38 |
576,009 |
246,120 |
105,368 |
32,601 |
29.67 |
| Alexander |
5-AAAAA |
69.77 |
509,973 |
272,944 |
82,761 |
24,628 |
39.60 |
| Coffee |
3-AAAAA |
70.60 |
138,094 |
101,038 |
55,192 |
23,551 |
41.46 |
| New Manchester |
5-AAAAA |
67.61 |
436,907 |
205,231 |
50,978 |
13,964 |
70.61 |
| Kell |
7-AAAAA |
65.41 |
407,834 |
155,156 |
40,676 |
9,908 |
99.93 |
| Creekside |
6-AAAAA |
65.79 |
314,279 |
132,042 |
28,039 |
7,123 |
139.39 |
| Lanier |
8-AAAAA |
61.82 |
280,667 |
127,096 |
27,579 |
4,169 |
238.87 |
| Harris County |
1-AAAAA |
62.22 |
325,370 |
36,523 |
12,953 |
3,206 |
310.92 |
| Jones County |
2-AAAAA |
62.93 |
202,440 |
71,974 |
17,954 |
2,938 |
339.37 |
| Mays |
6-AAAAA |
66.86 |
54,442 |
26,571 |
13,099 |
2,789 |
357.55 |
| Warner Robins |
2-AAAAA |
62.27 |
250,916 |
32,282 |
11,097 |
2,177 |
458.35 |
| Stephenson |
6-AAAAA |
60.22 |
188,506 |
64,248 |
11,231 |
1,619 |
616.67 |
| Gainesville |
8-AAAAA |
60.05 |
255,969 |
22,639 |
6,734 |
1,430 |
698.30 |
| Stockbridge |
4-AAAAA |
58.41 |
184,555 |
51,699 |
7,077 |
878 |
1,137.95 |
| Sprayberry |
7-AAAAA |
59.75 |
152,877 |
12,818 |
3,829 |
801 |
1,247.44 |
| Drew |
4-AAAAA |
57.75 |
166,079 |
43,774 |
5,565 |
680 |
1,469.59 |
| Glynn Academy |
3-AAAAA |
58.52 |
149,236 |
34,472 |
3,481 |
623 |
1,604.14 |
| Lakeside (Evans) |
2-AAAAA |
60.41 |
95,545 |
8,612 |
2,507 |
550 |
1,817.18 |
| Carver (Columbus) |
1-AAAAA |
56.31 |
82,679 |
8,454 |
2,266 |
233 |
4,290.85 |
| Cambridge |
7-AAAAA |
55.39 |
61,496 |
12,429 |
1,618 |
167 |
5,987.02 |
Most Likely Region Seeding
Each region is shown with the most likely region seeding orders and odds of each team making the playoffs.
|
1-AAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 68.0% |
Harris County |
Carver (Columbus) |
LaGrange |
Northside (Columbus) |
| 32.0% |
Harris County |
Carver (Columbus) |
Northside (Columbus) |
LaGrange |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Harris County |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Carver (Columbus) |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| LaGrange |
0.0% |
0.0% |
68.0% |
32.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Northside (Columbus) |
0.0% |
0.0% |
32.0% |
68.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
|
2-AAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 30.4% |
Northside (Warner Robins) |
Houston County |
Jones County |
Warner Robins |
| 25.0% |
Northside (Warner Robins) |
Houston County |
Warner Robins |
Lakeside (Evans) |
| 24.0% |
Houston County |
Jones County |
Northside (Warner Robins) |
Warner Robins |
| 19.7% |
Houston County |
Northside (Warner Robins) |
Warner Robins |
Lakeside (Evans) |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Northside (Warner Robins) |
55.9% |
20.1% |
24.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Houston County |
44.1% |
55.9% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Warner Robins |
0.0% |
0.0% |
45.6% |
54.4% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Jones County |
0.0% |
24.0% |
30.4% |
0.9% |
55.3% |
44.7% |
0.81 |
| Lakeside (Evans) |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
44.7% |
44.7% |
55.3% |
1.24 |
|
3-AAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 99.2% |
Ware County |
Coffee |
Glynn Academy |
Brunswick |
| 0.8% |
Ware County |
Coffee |
Brunswick |
Glynn Academy |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Ware County |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Coffee |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Glynn Academy |
0.0% |
0.0% |
99.2% |
0.8% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Brunswick |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.8% |
99.2% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
|
4-AAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 21.7% |
Stockbridge |
Drew |
Mundy's Mill |
Dutchtown |
| 18.1% |
Drew |
Stockbridge |
Mundy's Mill |
Dutchtown |
| 15.6% |
Stockbridge |
Drew |
Mundy's Mill |
Starr's Mill |
| 13.0% |
Drew |
Stockbridge |
Mundy's Mill |
Starr's Mill |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Stockbridge |
54.6% |
45.4% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Drew |
45.4% |
54.6% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Mundy's Mill |
0.0% |
0.0% |
68.4% |
0.0% |
68.4% |
31.6% |
0.46 |
| Dutchtown |
0.0% |
0.0% |
18.4% |
39.8% |
58.2% |
41.8% |
0.72 |
| Starr's Mill |
0.0% |
0.0% |
13.2% |
28.6% |
41.8% |
58.2% |
1.39 |
| Woodland (Stockbridge) |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
31.6% |
31.6% |
68.4% |
2.16 |
|
5-AAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 58.2% |
Allatoona |
South Paulding |
Alexander |
New Manchester |
| 41.8% |
Allatoona |
South Paulding |
New Manchester |
Alexander |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Allatoona |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| South Paulding |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Alexander |
0.0% |
0.0% |
58.2% |
41.8% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| New Manchester |
0.0% |
0.0% |
41.8% |
58.2% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
|
6-AAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 37.6% |
Creekside |
Stephenson |
Mays |
Carver (Atlanta) |
| 24.6% |
Creekside |
Stephenson |
Mays |
Southwest DeKalb |
| 19.1% |
Stephenson |
Creekside |
Mays |
Carver (Atlanta) |
| 12.5% |
Stephenson |
Creekside |
Mays |
Southwest DeKalb |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Creekside |
66.3% |
33.7% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Stephenson |
33.7% |
66.3% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Mays |
0.0% |
0.0% |
93.7% |
0.0% |
93.7% |
6.3% |
0.07 |
| Carver (Atlanta) |
0.0% |
0.0% |
3.8% |
56.7% |
60.5% |
39.5% |
0.65 |
| Southwest DeKalb |
0.0% |
0.0% |
2.5% |
37.0% |
39.5% |
60.5% |
1.53 |
| Miller Grove |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
6.3% |
6.3% |
93.7% |
14.90 |
|
7-AAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 33.5% |
Dalton |
Kell |
Sprayberry |
Cambridge |
| 21.3% |
Kell |
Dalton |
Sprayberry |
Cambridge |
| 12.4% |
Dalton |
Kell |
Sprayberry |
Creekview |
| 11.2% |
Dalton |
Kell |
Cambridge |
Sequoyah |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Dalton |
61.2% |
38.8% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Kell |
38.8% |
61.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Sprayberry |
0.0% |
0.0% |
75.0% |
0.0% |
75.0% |
25.0% |
0.33 |
| Cambridge |
0.0% |
0.0% |
18.3% |
54.8% |
73.1% |
26.9% |
0.37 |
| Creekview |
0.0% |
0.0% |
6.7% |
20.2% |
26.9% |
73.1% |
2.72 |
| Sequoyah |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
25.0% |
25.0% |
75.0% |
3.00 |
|
8-AAAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 91.9% |
Lanier |
Gainesville |
Salem |
Winder-Barrow |
| 7.4% |
Lanier |
Gainesville |
Winder-Barrow |
Salem |
| 0.5% |
Lanier |
Gainesville |
Winder-Barrow |
Flowery Branch |
| 0.2% |
Lanier |
Gainesville |
Winder-Barrow |
Clarke Central |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Lanier |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Gainesville |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Winder-Barrow |
0.0% |
0.0% |
8.1% |
91.9% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Salem |
0.0% |
0.0% |
91.9% |
7.4% |
99.3% |
0.7% |
0.01 |
| Flowery Branch |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.5% |
0.6% |
99.4% |
178.95 |
| Clarke Central |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
99.8% |
515.53 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket is seeded from the most likely region seeds and assumes every favorite wins.
Class AAAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team |
Region |
Rating |
Qtr |
Semi |
Finals |
Champion |
Odds |
| Buford |
8-AAAA |
94.27 |
970,785 |
924,062 |
860,700 |
811,351 |
0.23 |
| Cartersville |
7-AAAA |
71.44 |
723,233 |
509,858 |
99,932 |
44,684 |
21.38 |
| Mary Persons |
2-AAAA |
69.37 |
590,193 |
424,655 |
262,707 |
36,683 |
26.26 |
| Woodward Academy |
5-AAAA |
67.19 |
801,985 |
534,000 |
297,674 |
35,224 |
27.39 |
| Sandy Creek |
5-AAAA |
69.25 |
803,835 |
450,874 |
104,878 |
30,623 |
31.66 |
| St. Pius X |
6-AAAA |
62.37 |
601,549 |
275,738 |
123,946 |
10,164 |
97.39 |
| Griffin |
4-AAAA |
65.74 |
554,037 |
66,520 |
32,345 |
9,239 |
107.24 |
| Cairo |
1-AAAA |
63.25 |
416,798 |
195,188 |
67,520 |
7,347 |
135.11 |
| Marist |
6-AAAA |
65.95 |
354,111 |
25,312 |
11,203 |
5,248 |
189.55 |
| North Oconee |
8-AAAA |
60.01 |
402,664 |
146,105 |
55,377 |
3,693 |
269.78 |
| Worth County |
1-AAAA |
59.26 |
269,973 |
103,592 |
22,335 |
2,088 |
477.93 |
| West Laurens |
2-AAAA |
56.91 |
161,658 |
63,691 |
15,775 |
1,026 |
973.66 |
| Whitewater |
5-AAAA |
60.15 |
158,175 |
23,372 |
7,874 |
935 |
1,068.52 |
| Pickens |
7-AAAA |
54.15 |
181,154 |
66,342 |
13,684 |
636 |
1,571.33 |
| Thomas County Central |
1-AAAA |
56.70 |
9,651 |
2,744 |
650 |
166 |
6,023.10 |
| Fayette County |
5-AAAA |
51.19 |
109,455 |
24,268 |
4,610 |
140 |
7,141.86 |
| Baldwin |
2-AAAA |
52.30 |
60,880 |
14,633 |
2,626 |
129 |
7,750.94 |
| Stephens County |
8-AAAA |
50.70 |
74,393 |
22,170 |
4,345 |
129 |
7,750.94 |
| Columbia |
6-AAAA |
51.75 |
125,487 |
25,114 |
1,698 |
121 |
8,263.46 |
Most Likely Region Seeding
Each region is shown with the most likely region seeding orders and odds of each team making the playoffs.
|
1-AAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 28.7% |
Cairo |
Worth County |
Thomas County Central |
Westover |
| 20.0% |
Worth County |
Cairo |
Thomas County Central |
Westover |
| 14.6% |
Cairo |
Worth County |
Westover |
Bainbridge |
| 10.3% |
Cairo |
Worth County |
Thomas County Central |
Crisp County |
| 10.3% |
Worth County |
Cairo |
Westover |
Bainbridge |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Cairo |
58.8% |
41.2% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Worth County |
41.2% |
58.8% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Westover |
0.0% |
0.0% |
24.9% |
48.6% |
73.5% |
26.5% |
0.36 |
| Thomas County Central |
0.0% |
0.0% |
66.2% |
0.0% |
66.2% |
33.8% |
0.51 |
| Bainbridge |
0.0% |
0.0% |
8.9% |
24.9% |
33.8% |
66.2% |
1.96 |
| Crisp County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
26.5% |
26.5% |
73.5% |
2.77 |
|
2-AAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 20.9% |
Mary Persons |
Upson-Lee |
West Laurens |
Baldwin |
| 20.8% |
Mary Persons |
Upson-Lee |
Baldwin |
West Laurens |
| 20.8% |
Mary Persons |
Baldwin |
West Laurens |
Veterans |
| 14.4% |
Mary Persons |
West Laurens |
Upson-Lee |
Baldwin |
| 14.3% |
West Laurens |
Mary Persons |
Upson-Lee |
Baldwin |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Mary Persons |
79.7% |
20.3% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| West Laurens |
20.3% |
17.2% |
41.6% |
20.8% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Baldwin |
0.0% |
20.8% |
26.1% |
49.5% |
96.4% |
3.6% |
0.04 |
| Upson-Lee |
0.0% |
41.7% |
32.3% |
0.0% |
73.9% |
26.1% |
0.35 |
| Veterans |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
29.6% |
29.6% |
70.4% |
2.37 |
|
3-AAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 78.9% |
Wayne County |
Burke County |
Thomson |
Liberty County |
| 21.1% |
Wayne County |
Thomson |
Burke County |
Liberty County |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Wayne County |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Burke County |
0.0% |
78.9% |
21.1% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Thomson |
0.0% |
21.1% |
78.9% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Liberty County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
|
4-AAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 30.8% |
Griffin |
Eastside |
Locust Grove |
Eagle's Landing |
| 27.7% |
Griffin |
Eastside |
Locust Grove |
Spalding |
| 17.0% |
Griffin |
Eastside |
Eagle's Landing |
Jonesboro |
| 15.2% |
Griffin |
Eastside |
Spalding |
Jonesboro |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Griffin |
90.7% |
9.3% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Eastside |
9.3% |
90.7% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Locust Grove |
0.0% |
0.0% |
64.5% |
0.0% |
64.5% |
35.5% |
0.55 |
| Eagle's Landing |
0.0% |
0.0% |
18.7% |
34.0% |
52.7% |
47.3% |
0.90 |
| Spalding |
0.0% |
0.0% |
16.8% |
30.5% |
47.3% |
52.7% |
1.11 |
| Jonesboro |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
35.5% |
35.5% |
64.5% |
1.82 |
|
5-AAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 62.7% |
Woodward Academy |
Sandy Creek |
Whitewater |
Fayette County |
| 12.0% |
Sandy Creek |
Carrollton |
Whitewater |
Woodward Academy |
| 8.3% |
Woodward Academy |
Sandy Creek |
Whitewater |
Carrollton |
| 8.3% |
Woodward Academy |
Sandy Creek |
Carrollton |
Whitewater |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Woodward Academy |
82.7% |
0.7% |
4.3% |
12.3% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Sandy Creek |
17.3% |
79.3% |
3.4% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Whitewater |
0.0% |
0.7% |
83.3% |
12.6% |
96.6% |
3.4% |
0.04 |
| Fayette County |
0.0% |
3.4% |
0.0% |
62.7% |
66.1% |
33.9% |
0.51 |
| Carrollton |
0.0% |
16.0% |
9.0% |
12.4% |
37.3% |
62.7% |
1.68 |
|
6-AAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 41.7% |
St. Pius X |
Marist |
Columbia |
Lithonia |
| 41.1% |
St. Pius X |
Marist |
Columbia |
Arabia Mountain |
| 17.2% |
St. Pius X |
Marist |
Arabia Mountain |
Columbia |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| St. Pius X |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Marist |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Columbia |
0.0% |
0.0% |
82.8% |
17.2% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Arabia Mountain |
0.0% |
0.0% |
17.2% |
41.1% |
58.3% |
41.7% |
0.72 |
| Lithonia |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
41.7% |
41.7% |
58.3% |
1.40 |
|
7-AAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 49.4% |
Cartersville |
Pickens |
Gilmer |
Southeast Whitfield |
| 11.6% |
Cartersville |
Pickens |
Gilmer |
Heritage (Ringgold) |
| 10.2% |
Cartersville |
Pickens |
Heritage (Ringgold) |
Gilmer |
| 9.9% |
Cartersville |
Pickens |
Gilmer |
Northwest Whitfield |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Cartersville |
86.4% |
13.6% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Pickens |
13.6% |
86.4% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Gilmer |
0.0% |
0.0% |
82.1% |
13.8% |
95.9% |
4.1% |
0.04 |
| Southeast Whitfield |
0.0% |
0.0% |
4.1% |
59.2% |
63.3% |
36.7% |
0.58 |
| Heritage (Ringgold) |
0.0% |
0.0% |
13.8% |
15.5% |
29.4% |
70.6% |
2.41 |
| Northwest Whitfield |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
11.5% |
11.5% |
88.5% |
7.73 |
|
8-AAAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 88.0% |
Buford |
North Oconee |
Stephens County |
White County |
| 6.1% |
Buford |
North Oconee |
Stephens County |
Madison County |
| 4.8% |
Buford |
North Oconee |
Stephens County |
North Hall |
| 0.3% |
Stephens County |
Buford |
North Oconee |
White County |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Buford |
99.1% |
0.5% |
0.4% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Stephens County |
0.5% |
0.4% |
99.1% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| North Oconee |
0.4% |
99.1% |
0.5% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| White County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
89.0% |
89.0% |
11.0% |
0.12 |
| Madison County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
6.2% |
6.2% |
93.8% |
15.09 |
| North Hall |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
4.8% |
4.8% |
95.2% |
19.82 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket is seeded from the most likely region seeds and assumes every favorite wins.
Class AAA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team |
Region |
Rating |
Qtr |
Semi |
Finals |
Champion |
Odds |
| Washington County |
3-AAA |
83.68 |
963,227 |
938,358 |
686,076 |
391,061 |
1.56 |
| Peach County |
2-AAA |
84.32 |
949,604 |
591,751 |
523,320 |
303,532 |
2.29 |
| Calhoun |
6-AAA |
80.45 |
925,280 |
392,089 |
329,398 |
158,513 |
5.31 |
| Blessed Trinity |
4-AAA |
78.05 |
834,219 |
604,117 |
234,547 |
101,498 |
8.85 |
| Jefferson |
8-AAA |
69.45 |
675,157 |
344,650 |
72,473 |
18,095 |
54.26 |
| Westside (Macon) |
2-AAA |
68.76 |
470,214 |
166,207 |
34,705 |
8,646 |
114.66 |
| Hart County |
8-AAA |
63.95 |
634,915 |
288,229 |
37,506 |
6,331 |
156.95 |
| Westminster (Atlanta) |
4-AAA |
64.68 |
487,361 |
247,964 |
32,943 |
5,676 |
175.18 |
| Central (Carrollton) |
5-AAA |
63.57 |
473,381 |
249,852 |
33,700 |
5,314 |
187.18 |
| Adairsville |
6-AAA |
60.63 |
172,144 |
53,394 |
6,586 |
843 |
1,185.24 |
| Cook |
1-AAA |
52.75 |
198,310 |
51,173 |
2,407 |
155 |
6,450.61 |
| Elbert County |
8-AAA |
54.09 |
127,954 |
8,830 |
1,501 |
111 |
9,008.01 |
Most Likely Region Seeding
Each region is shown with the most likely region seeding orders and odds of each team making the playoffs.
|
1-AAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 28.2% |
Cook |
Pierce County |
Dodge County |
Appling County |
| 28.1% |
Cook |
Dodge County |
Pierce County |
Appling County |
| 10.7% |
Cook |
Pierce County |
Jenkins |
Appling County |
| 10.7% |
Cook |
Jenkins |
Pierce County |
Appling County |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Cook |
98.9% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
98.9% |
1.1% |
0.01 |
| Pierce County |
0.4% |
39.5% |
47.8% |
8.9% |
96.5% |
3.5% |
0.04 |
| Appling County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.9% |
80.6% |
81.5% |
18.5% |
0.23 |
| Dodge County |
0.4% |
30.6% |
35.1% |
6.4% |
72.4% |
27.6% |
0.38 |
| Jenkins |
0.1% |
11.7% |
13.4% |
2.4% |
27.6% |
72.4% |
2.62 |
| Southeast Bulloch |
0.2% |
18.3% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
18.5% |
81.5% |
4.41 |
| Johnson (Savannah) |
0.0% |
0.0% |
2.8% |
0.6% |
3.5% |
96.5% |
27.95 |
| Beach |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1.1% |
1.1% |
98.9% |
87.57 |
|
2-AAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 53.0% |
Peach County |
Westside (Macon) |
Jackson |
Central (Macon) |
| 43.0% |
Peach County |
Westside (Macon) |
Jackson |
Kendrick |
| 4.0% |
Peach County |
Westside (Macon) |
Jackson |
Rutland |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Peach County |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Westside (Macon) |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Jackson |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Central (Macon) |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
53.0% |
53.0% |
47.0% |
0.89 |
| Kendrick |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
43.0% |
43.0% |
57.0% |
1.33 |
| Rutland |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
4.0% |
4.0% |
96.0% |
23.69 |
|
3-AAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 59.0% |
Washington County |
Laney |
Westside (Augusta) |
Hephzibah |
| 41.0% |
Washington County |
Laney |
Westside (Augusta) |
Butler |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Washington County |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Laney |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Westside (Augusta) |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Hephzibah |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
59.0% |
59.0% |
41.0% |
0.70 |
| Butler |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
41.0% |
41.0% |
59.0% |
1.44 |
|
4-AAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 55.9% |
Blessed Trinity |
Cedar Grove |
Westminster (Atlanta) |
Washington |
| 36.7% |
Blessed Trinity |
Cedar Grove |
Westminster (Atlanta) |
Maynard Jackson |
| 3.8% |
Cedar Grove |
Blessed Trinity |
Westminster (Atlanta) |
Washington |
| 2.5% |
Cedar Grove |
Blessed Trinity |
Westminster (Atlanta) |
Maynard Jackson |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Blessed Trinity |
93.6% |
6.4% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Cedar Grove |
6.4% |
93.6% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Westminster (Atlanta) |
0.0% |
0.0% |
98.9% |
0.0% |
98.9% |
1.1% |
0.01 |
| Washington |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.7% |
59.7% |
60.4% |
39.6% |
0.66 |
| Maynard Jackson |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.4% |
39.1% |
39.6% |
60.4% |
1.53 |
| North Clayton |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1.1% |
1.1% |
98.9% |
88.82 |
|
5-AAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 61.3% |
Central (Carrollton) |
Callaway |
Rockmart |
Pepperell |
| 22.1% |
Central (Carrollton) |
Callaway |
Rockmart |
Cedartown |
| 7.2% |
Callaway |
Central (Carrollton) |
Rockmart |
Pepperell |
| 4.6% |
Central (Carrollton) |
Callaway |
Cedartown |
Rockmart |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Central (Carrollton) |
89.4% |
10.6% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Callaway |
10.6% |
89.4% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Rockmart |
0.0% |
0.0% |
94.8% |
5.2% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Pepperell |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
68.5% |
68.5% |
31.5% |
0.46 |
| Cedartown |
0.0% |
0.0% |
5.2% |
24.7% |
29.9% |
70.1% |
2.34 |
| Haralson County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1.6% |
1.6% |
98.4% |
60.55 |
|
6-AAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 91.7% |
Calhoun |
Adairsville |
Ringgold |
Sonoraville |
| 8.0% |
Calhoun |
Adairsville |
Sonoraville |
Ringgold |
| 0.3% |
Calhoun |
Adairsville |
North Murray |
Ringgold |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Calhoun |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Adairsville |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Ringgold |
0.0% |
0.0% |
91.7% |
8.3% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Sonoraville |
0.0% |
0.0% |
8.0% |
91.7% |
99.7% |
0.3% |
0.00 |
| North Murray |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.3% |
0.0% |
0.3% |
99.7% |
336.27 |
|
7-AAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 33.8% |
West Hall |
Lumpkin County |
East Hall |
Fannin County |
| 29.1% |
West Hall |
Lumpkin County |
East Hall |
Franklin County |
| 11.5% |
West Hall |
Lumpkin County |
Banks County |
East Hall |
| 6.7% |
West Hall |
Lumpkin County |
Fannin County |
Banks County |
| 6.7% |
West Hall |
Lumpkin County |
Banks County |
Fannin County |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| West Hall |
87.7% |
12.3% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Lumpkin County |
12.3% |
87.7% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| East Hall |
0.0% |
0.0% |
71.7% |
13.1% |
84.8% |
15.2% |
0.18 |
| Fannin County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
7.6% |
46.1% |
53.7% |
46.3% |
0.86 |
| Franklin County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
33.2% |
33.2% |
66.8% |
2.01 |
| Banks County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
20.7% |
7.6% |
28.3% |
71.7% |
2.53 |
|
8-AAA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 49.7% |
Jefferson |
Hart County |
Elbert County |
Oconee County |
| 29.8% |
Hart County |
Jefferson |
Elbert County |
Oconee County |
| 12.8% |
Jefferson |
Hart County |
Oconee County |
Elbert County |
| 7.7% |
Hart County |
Jefferson |
Oconee County |
Elbert County |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Jefferson |
62.5% |
37.5% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Hart County |
37.5% |
62.5% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Elbert County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
79.5% |
20.5% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Oconee County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
20.5% |
79.5% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket is seeded from the most likely region seeds and assumes every favorite wins.
Class AA
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team |
Region |
Rating |
Qtr |
Semi |
Finals |
Champion |
Odds |
| Vidalia |
2-AA |
72.48 |
943,127 |
557,402 |
384,833 |
302,896 |
2.30 |
| Fitzgerald |
1-AA |
66.90 |
922,556 |
845,959 |
331,543 |
223,183 |
3.48 |
| Greater Atlanta Christian |
6-AA |
70.57 |
896,965 |
426,023 |
278,100 |
209,621 |
3.77 |
| Brooks County |
1-AA |
61.09 |
634,583 |
537,585 |
299,337 |
88,902 |
10.25 |
| Benedictine |
2-AA |
63.01 |
563,927 |
379,003 |
259,806 |
85,472 |
10.70 |
| Lovett |
6-AA |
58.14 |
666,992 |
304,684 |
177,365 |
42,063 |
22.77 |
| Thomasville |
1-AA |
57.21 |
483,002 |
371,945 |
165,914 |
36,511 |
26.39 |
| Macon County |
4-AA |
51.94 |
232,196 |
67,740 |
29,974 |
4,675 |
212.90 |
| Lamar County |
4-AA |
50.46 |
179,441 |
45,507 |
18,451 |
2,568 |
388.41 |
| Darlington |
7-AA |
43.54 |
184,266 |
127,351 |
23,438 |
1,633 |
611.37 |
| Bowdon |
5-AA |
45.69 |
510,959 |
73,699 |
5,513 |
1,191 |
838.63 |
| Wesleyan |
6-AA |
38.34 |
421,472 |
70,781 |
7,622 |
340 |
2,940.18 |
| Rabun County |
8-AA |
41.21 |
101,283 |
21,503 |
5,267 |
284 |
3,520.13 |
| Screven County |
3-AA |
37.33 |
327,348 |
53,572 |
5,787 |
236 |
4,236.29 |
| Bleckley County |
4-AA |
40.73 |
254,909 |
24,095 |
1,071 |
152 |
6,577.95 |
Most Likely Region Seeding
Each region is shown with the most likely region seeding orders and odds of each team making the playoffs.
|
1-AA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 31.6% |
Fitzgerald |
Brooks County |
Thomasville |
Early County |
| 23.3% |
Fitzgerald |
Thomasville |
Brooks County |
Berrien |
| 23.3% |
Fitzgerald |
Brooks County |
Thomasville |
Berrien |
| 16.9% |
Fitzgerald |
Thomasville |
Brooks County |
Early County |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Fitzgerald |
95.1% |
0.0% |
4.9% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Brooks County |
4.9% |
54.9% |
40.2% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Thomasville |
0.0% |
45.1% |
54.9% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Early County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
52.2% |
52.2% |
47.8% |
0.92 |
| Berrien |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
46.6% |
46.6% |
53.4% |
1.14 |
| Seminole County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
1.2% |
1.2% |
98.8% |
81.85 |
|
2-AA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 100.0% |
Vidalia |
Benedictine |
Bacon County |
Bryan County |
| 0.0% |
Vidalia |
Benedictine |
Bryan County |
Bacon County |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Vidalia |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Benedictine |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Bacon County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Bryan County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
|
3-AA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 41.3% |
Screven County |
Swainsboro |
Jefferson County |
Dublin |
| 35.6% |
Screven County |
Jefferson County |
Swainsboro |
Dublin |
| 12.4% |
Swainsboro |
Jefferson County |
Screven County |
Dublin |
| 5.3% |
Jefferson County |
Screven County |
Dublin |
Swainsboro |
| 5.3% |
Jefferson County |
Screven County |
Swainsboro |
Dublin |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Screven County |
76.9% |
10.7% |
12.4% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Swainsboro |
12.4% |
41.3% |
40.9% |
5.3% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Jefferson County |
10.7% |
48.0% |
41.3% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Dublin |
0.0% |
0.0% |
5.3% |
94.7% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
|
4-AA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 38.7% |
Macon County |
Lamar County |
Bleckley County |
Monticello |
| 29.7% |
Lamar County |
Macon County |
Bleckley County |
Monticello |
| 17.9% |
Macon County |
Lamar County |
Bleckley County |
Northeast |
| 13.7% |
Lamar County |
Macon County |
Bleckley County |
Northeast |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Macon County |
56.6% |
43.4% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Lamar County |
43.4% |
56.6% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Bleckley County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Monticello |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
68.4% |
68.4% |
31.6% |
0.46 |
| Northeast |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
31.6% |
31.6% |
68.4% |
2.16 |
|
5-AA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 60.7% |
Bowdon |
Bremen |
Heard County |
Chattahoochee County |
| 39.3% |
Bowdon |
Heard County |
Bremen |
Chattahoochee County |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Bowdon |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Bremen |
0.0% |
60.7% |
39.3% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Heard County |
0.0% |
39.3% |
60.7% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Chattahoochee County |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
|
6-AA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 55.9% |
Greater Atlanta Christian |
Lovett |
Wesleyan |
B.E.S.T. Academy |
| 44.1% |
Greater Atlanta Christian |
Lovett |
Wesleyan |
Pace Academy |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Greater Atlanta Christian |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Lovett |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Wesleyan |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| B.E.S.T. Academy |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
55.9% |
55.9% |
44.1% |
0.79 |
| Pace Academy |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
44.1% |
44.1% |
55.9% |
1.27 |
|
7-AA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 100.0% |
Darlington |
Coosa |
Model |
Chattooga |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Darlington |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Coosa |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Model |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Chattooga |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
|
8-AA
|
| Seed Orders |
| Pct |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
| 61.6% |
Rabun County |
Union County |
Greene County |
Washington-Wilkes |
| 25.7% |
Rabun County |
Greene County |
Union County |
Washington-Wilkes |
| 4.5% |
Greene County |
Union County |
Rabun County |
Washington-Wilkes |
| 4.5% |
Greene County |
Rabun County |
Union County |
Washington-Wilkes |
| Each Team's Odds |
| Team |
1st |
2nd |
3rd |
4th |
In |
Out |
Odds |
| Rabun County |
87.3% |
8.2% |
4.5% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Greene County |
12.7% |
25.7% |
61.6% |
0.0% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Union County |
0.0% |
66.1% |
30.1% |
3.7% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
| Washington-Wilkes |
0.0% |
0.0% |
3.7% |
96.3% |
100.0% |
0.0% |
0.00 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket is seeded from the most likely region seeds and assumes every favorite wins.
Class A-Public
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team |
Region |
Rating |
Qtr |
Semi |
Finals |
Champion |
Odds |
| Marion County |
4-A |
60.54 |
950,897 |
847,133 |
743,125 |
470,160 |
1.13 |
| Hawkinsville |
4-A |
57.13 |
917,468 |
840,945 |
466,702 |
241,857 |
3.13 |
| Irwin County |
2-A |
56.55 |
939,140 |
681,803 |
420,746 |
202,422 |
3.94 |
| Charlton County |
2-A |
49.91 |
786,293 |
299,856 |
125,682 |
42,732 |
22.40 |
| Dooly County |
4-A |
43.53 |
704,745 |
197,294 |
77,118 |
17,931 |
54.77 |
| Emanuel County Institute |
3-A |
39.52 |
683,285 |
472,635 |
75,808 |
12,227 |
80.79 |
| Clinch County |
2-A |
41.69 |
459,680 |
100,197 |
32,554 |
6,546 |
151.77 |
| Greenville |
4-A |
38.13 |
184,125 |
81,255 |
15,589 |
2,342 |
425.99 |
| Telfair County |
2-A |
32.55 |
381,278 |
86,825 |
9,218 |
930 |
1,074.27 |
| Schley County |
4-A |
33.27 |
227,610 |
76,863 |
7,185 |
745 |
1,341.28 |
| Claxton |
3-A |
30.85 |
300,477 |
97,158 |
7,596 |
693 |
1,442.00 |
| Atkinson County |
2-A |
32.51 |
132,396 |
41,727 |
4,893 |
432 |
2,313.81 |
| Commerce |
8-A |
28.93 |
468,791 |
50,800 |
4,147 |
319 |
3,133.80 |
| Calhoun County |
1-A |
28.76 |
224,201 |
12,345 |
3,226 |
265 |
3,772.58 |
| Mount Zion (Carroll) |
6-A |
27.59 |
260,322 |
43,829 |
2,881 |
197 |
5,075.14 |
| Mitchell County |
1-A |
25.72 |
333,497 |
66,493 |
3,354 |
195 |
5,127.21 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.
Class A-Private
Playoff Projections by Team
Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.
| Team |
Region |
Rating |
Qtr |
Semi |
Finals |
Champion |
Odds |
| Mount Paran Christian |
6-A |
58.11 |
944,891 |
794,721 |
631,205 |
509,758 |
0.96 |
| Calvary Day |
3-A |
47.38 |
864,331 |
603,498 |
241,342 |
125,392 |
6.97 |
| Aquinas |
7-A |
44.83 |
804,904 |
439,688 |
245,846 |
79,569 |
11.57 |
| Pacelli |
4-A |
46.13 |
664,850 |
386,384 |
214,385 |
75,497 |
12.25 |
| Tattnall Square |
7-A |
44.51 |
774,563 |
474,916 |
237,169 |
74,576 |
12.41 |
| Eagle's Landing Christian |
5-A |
43.85 |
748,329 |
185,896 |
86,333 |
39,226 |
24.49 |
| Landmark Christian |
5-A |
43.07 |
506,803 |
244,068 |
90,361 |
30,710 |
31.56 |
| Savannah Christian |
3-A |
43.04 |
594,162 |
236,293 |
69,443 |
28,334 |
34.29 |
| Mount Pisgah Christian |
6-A |
40.19 |
670,520 |
283,588 |
111,338 |
25,051 |
38.92 |
| Stratford Academy |
7-A |
36.50 |
259,114 |
87,955 |
21,308 |
4,629 |
215.03 |
| Pinecrest Academy |
6-A |
33.52 |
293,921 |
85,431 |
20,109 |
2,767 |
360.40 |
| Our Lady of Mercy |
5-A |
33.41 |
250,810 |
75,447 |
17,039 |
2,412 |
413.59 |
| First Presbyterian |
7-A |
32.53 |
116,411 |
32,118 |
5,841 |
1,061 |
941.51 |
| Prince Avenue Christian |
8-A |
28.09 |
275,926 |
44,923 |
4,884 |
600 |
1,665.67 |
| Athens Christian |
8-A |
26.32 |
170,204 |
17,050 |
1,776 |
202 |
4,949.50 |
| Brookstone |
4-A |
33.02 |
21,513 |
5,007 |
1,385 |
197 |
5,075.14 |
Modal Bracket
Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets. The modal bracket assumes every favorite wins.