Maxwell Semifinal summary

By Loren Maxwell

Updated Dec 9, 2019

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the Georgia High School Association’s 422 teams throughout the 2019 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

» MORE: GHSA football playoff schedule, brackets

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team’s historical performance is 0.07%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 2,104 of 2,281 total games including 1 tie(s) (92.26%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 13.70 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.02

By Class

AAAAAAA				AAAAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Lowndes	14-0	98.03	1	Harrison	14-0	83.91
2	North Gwinnett	12-2	85.91	2	Dacula	13-1	75.95
3	Marietta	12-2	83.99	3	Valdosta	10-3	70.78
4	Colquitt County	9-3	83.26	4	Lee County	11-2	68.16
5	McEachern	12-1	81.06	5	Allatoona	11-2-1	67.16
6	Grayson	11-2	80.85	6	Coffee	9-4	62.57
7	Parkview	12-2	80.08	7	Johns Creek	10-2	59.21
8	Mill Creek	10-3	74.26	8	Richmond Hill	9-4	57.58
9	Archer	9-4	71.63	9	Houston County	7-6	56.27
10	Camden County	7-3	69.54	10	Lanier	10-2	55.03
11	Milton	8-4	66.81	11	Glynn Academy	6-5	53.47
12	Collins Hill	6-5	63.15	12	Dalton	7-4	53.35
13	North Cobb	7-4	60.68	13	Mays	10-2	52.14
14	Hillgrove	7-4	60.33	14	Stephenson	10-2	50.48
15	Newton	7-4	60.30	15	Brunswick	6-6	47.97

AAAAA				AAAA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Buford	13-1	74.30	1	Blessed Trinity	13-1	72.18
2	Warner Robins	13-1	73.88	2	Woodward Academy	13-1	69.16
3	Carrollton	12-1	68.30	3	Cartersville	12-1	67.99
4	Ware County	8-4	62.45	4	Oconee County	13-1	67.08
5	Rome	9-3	60.67	5	Marist	11-2	66.22
6	Dutchtown	11-2	59.73	6	Sandy Creek	12-2	63.88
7	Jones County	12-2	59.34	7	West Laurens	11-2	60.26
8	Veterans	9-3	57.31	8	Denmark	7-3	56.85
9	Bainbridge	7-4	57.10	9	Flowery Branch	7-4	55.68
10	Griffin	11-2	55.87	10	Carver (Columbus)	10-2	51.83
11	Clarke Central	9-4	55.77	11	North Oconee	10-2	49.25
12	Wayne County	8-3	54.14	12	Cairo	8-3	49.09
13	Starr's Mill	10-4	52.46	13	Burke County	8-3	47.71
14	Kell	9-3	51.59	14	Troup	6-5	46.65
15	Statesboro	5-5	49.43	15	Cedartown	5-6	45.21

AAA				AA
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Cedar Grove	12-2	71.08	1	Dublin	13-1	59.78
2	Peach County	11-2	61.79	2	Hapeville Charter	10-2-1	56.69
3	Crisp County	11-3	59.92	3	Brooks County	10-4	53.71
4	Jefferson	10-2	59.85	4	Callaway	12-2	53.02
5	Jenkins	12-2	56.08	5	Rabun County	12-1	51.62
6	Greater Atlanta Christian	12-2	55.84	6	Thomasville	9-5	49.22
7	Pierce County	11-1	54.65	7	Rockmart	11-1	47.67
8	Hart County	10-3	49.88	8	Fitzgerald	8-4	45.23
9	Appling County	9-3	47.01	9	Washington County	7-4	42.83
10	North Murray	11-2	46.68	10	Bleckley County	7-4	40.43
11	Westminster (Atlanta)	6-5	45.75	11	Douglass	11-2	38.68
12	Dawson County	8-4	43.76	12	Swainsboro	8-4	38.49
13	Benedictine	8-4	42.77	13	Northeast	5-5	36.82
14	North Hall	8-4	42.72	14	Dodge County	4-7	36.70
15	Lovett	7-4	42.22	15	Bremen	8-4	36.31

A - Public				A - Private
Rank	Team	Rec	Rating	Rank	Team	Rec	Rating
1	Irwin County	12-0	68.55	1	Eagle's Landing Christian	12-1	74.91
2	Clinch County	11-2	52.75	2	Holy Innocents	12-1	69.11
3	Mitchell County	10-2	37.36	3	Athens Academy	11-1	62.48
4	Pelham	11-2	36.91	4	Wesleyan	12-2	56.21
5	Marion County	11-2	36.28	5	Prince Avenue Christian	9-3	48.82
6	Wilcox County	9-3	35.65	6	Fellowship Christian	12-1	48.69
7	Commerce	9-3	33.08	7	Hebron Christian	8-5	42.30
8	Manchester	10-3	32.43	8	Darlington	9-2	38.09
9	Lincoln County	9-3	32.21	9	Christian Heritage	9-2	36.93
10	Bowdon	8-3	27.55	10	Savannah Christian	8-4	34.44
11	Johnson County	8-3	25.67	11	Savannah Country Day	10-1	33.43
12	Schley County	7-5	22.49	12	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	7-4	31.82
13	Turner County	7-5	22.42	13	Mount de Sales	10-1	31.01
14	Warren County	8-5	22.01	14	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5-6	30.74
15	McIntosh County Academy	5-6	20.03	15	Whitefield Academy	7-4	30.40

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank	Team	Region	Rec	Rating	SchStr	Rank
1 [1]	Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	14-0	98.03	66.52	3 [3]
2 [2]	North Gwinnett	6 - AAAAAAA	12-2	85.91	56.06	12 [11]
3 [3]	Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	12-2	83.99	65.96	4 [4]
4 [1]	Harrison	6 - AAAAAA	14-0	83.91	41.33	101 [17]
5 [4]	Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	9-3	83.26	69.70	1 [1]
6 [5]	McEachern	3 - AAAAAAA	12-1	81.06	54.78	15 [13]
7 [6]	Grayson	8 - AAAAAAA	11-2	80.85	58.94	7 [7]
8 [7]	Parkview	7 - AAAAAAA	12-2	80.08	52.25	18 [14]
9 [2]	Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	13-1	75.95	47.15	48 [10]
10 [1]	Eagle's Landing Christian	5 - A	12-1	74.91	37.39	135 [1]
11 [1]	Buford	8 - AAAAA	13-1	74.30	49.04	34 [6]
12 [8]	Mill Creek	6 - AAAAAAA	10-3	74.26	58.15	8 [8]
13 [2]	Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	13-1	73.88	50.63	29 [4]
14 [1]	Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAA	13-1	72.18	48.77	37 [1]
15 [9]	Archer	8 - AAAAAAA	9-4	71.63	60.09	6 [6]
16 [1]	Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	12-2	71.08	40.12	113 [3]
17 [3]	Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	10-3	70.78	55.73	13 [2]
18 [10]	Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	7-3	69.54	63.63	5 [5]
19 [2]	Woodward Academy	4 - AAAA	13-1	69.16	26.24	244 [39]
20 [2]	Holy Innocents	5 - A	12-1	69.11	25.24	251 [11]
21 [1]	Irwin County	2 - A	12-0	68.55	23.13	270 [5]
22 [3]	Carrollton	7 - AAAAA	12-1	68.30	38.35	127 [25]
23 [4]	Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	11-2	68.16	47.46	45 [8]
24 [3]	Cartersville	5 - AAAA	12-1	67.99	44.57	69 [9]
25 [5]	Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	11-2-1	67.16	48.10	41 [7]
26 [4]	Oconee County	8 - AAAA	13-1	67.08	42.52	86 [15]
27 [11]	Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	8-4	66.81	48.69	38 [26]
28 [5]	Marist	7 - AAAA	11-2	66.22	46.66	55 [3]
29 [6]	Sandy Creek	5 - AAAA	12-2	63.88	40.47	109 [18]
30 [12]	Collins Hill	6 - AAAAAAA	6-5	63.15	57.26	9 [9]
31 [6]	Coffee	1 - AAAAAA	9-4	62.57	50.72	27 [5]
32 [3]	Athens Academy	8 - A	11-1	62.48	26.83	239 [8]
33 [4]	Ware County	2 - AAAAA	8-4	62.45	53.20	17 [1]
34 [2]	Peach County	4 - AAA	11-2	61.79	33.84	169 [8]
35 [13]	North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	7-4	60.68	50.54	30 [21]
36 [5]	Rome	7 - AAAAA	9-3	60.67	33.35	175 [34]
37 [14]	Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	7-4	60.33	49.10	33 [23]
38 [15]	Newton	8 - AAAAAAA	7-4	60.30	51.75	24 [18]
39 [7]	West Laurens	2 - AAAA	11-2	60.26	39.41	118 [23]
40 [3]	Crisp County	1 - AAA	11-3	59.92	44.46	70 [1]
41 [4]	Jefferson	8 - AAA	10-2	59.85	33.36	174 [11]
42 [1]	Dublin	3 - AA	13-1	59.78	36.74	142 [4]
43 [6]	Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	11-2	59.73	42.77	83 [15]
44 [7]	Jones County	4 - AAAAA	12-2	59.34	44.42	71 [13]
45 [7]	Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	10-2	59.21	32.32	185 [44]
46 [8]	Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	9-4	57.58	45.67	63 [12]
47 [8]	Veterans	1 - AAAAA	9-3	57.31	48.66	39 [7]
48 [9]	Bainbridge	1 - AAAAA	7-4	57.10	51.99	21 [2]
49 [8]	Denmark	7 - AAAA	7-3	56.85	40.21	112 [20]
50 [16]	Roswell	4 - AAAAAAA	8-3	56.85	40.56	107 [44]
51 [2]	Hapeville Charter	6 - AA	10-2-1	56.69	24.26	259 [19]
52 [17]	East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	6-6	56.54	56.97	11 [10]
53 [18]	Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	3-7	56.48	67.09	2 [2]
54 [9]	Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	7-6	56.27	54.39	16 [3]
55 [4]	Wesleyan	5 - A	12-2	56.21	29.58	213 [6]
56 [5]	Jenkins	3 - AAA	12-2	56.08	28.77	223 [24]
57 [10]	Griffin	3 - AAAAA	11-2	55.87	38.21	128 [26]
58 [6]	Greater Atlanta Christian	7 - AAA	12-2	55.84	35.86	154 [6]
59 [11]	Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	9-4	55.77	45.74	60 [12]
60 [9]	Flowery Branch	7 - AAAA	7-4	55.68	45.70	62 [5]
61 [19]	Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	6-6	55.30	52.20	19 [15]
62 [10]	Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	10-2	55.03	41.09	102 [18]
63 [7]	Pierce County	2 - AAA	11-1	54.65	25.46	249 [36]
64 [20]	Shiloh	8 - AAAAAAA	7-4	54.50	43.55	78 [36]
65 [12]	Wayne County	2 - AAAAA	8-3	54.14	46.02	58 [11]
66 [3]	Brooks County	1 - AA	10-4	53.71	42.87	82 [2]
67 [11]	Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	6-5	53.47	48.42	40 [6]
68 [12]	Dalton	6 - AAAAAA	7-4	53.35	36.29	146 [37]
69 [21]	Cherokee	4 - AAAAAAA	8-4	53.25	45.72	61 [34]
70 [4]	Callaway	5 - AA	12-2	53.02	24.04	263 [20]
71 [2]	Clinch County	2 - A	11-2	52.75	25.93	245 [2]
72 [13]	Starr's Mill	3 - AAAAA	10-4	52.46	41.48	100 [20]
73 [13]	Mays	5 - AAAAAA	10-2	52.14	37.11	140 [34]
74 [10]	Carver (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	10-2	51.83	29.57	214 [34]
75 [22]	Mountain View	6 - AAAAAAA	5-6	51.82	55.63	14 [12]
76 [5]	Rabun County	8 - AA	12-1	51.62	21.33	291 [25]
77 [14]	Kell	7 - AAAAA	9-3	51.59	35.05	158 [31]
78 [23]	North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	6-5	50.78	47.92	42 [27]
79 [14]	Stephenson	4 - AAAAAA	10-2	50.48	31.94	188 [46]
80 [24]	Walton	4 - AAAAAAA	6-6	50.25	50.64	28 [20]
81 [8]	Hart County	8 - AAA	10-3	49.88	32.35	184 [14]
82 [15]	Statesboro	2 - AAAAA	5-5	49.43	49.21	32 [5]
83 [11]	North Oconee	8 - AAAA	10-2	49.25	29.18	218 [35]
84 [6]	Thomasville	1 - AA	9-5	49.22	44.06	73 [1]
85 [25]	South Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	6-5	49.11	48.97	36 [25]
86 [12]	Cairo	1 - AAAA	8-3	49.09	34.86	161 [29]
87 [5]	Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A	9-3	48.82	21.22	293 [18]
88 [26]	Westlake	2 - AAAAAAA	6-5	48.72	47.32	46 [30]
89 [6]	Fellowship Christian	6 - A	12-1	48.69	20.87	298 [21]
90 [16]	South Effingham	2 - AAAAA	6-5	48.16	46.94	51 [9]
91 [15]	Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	6-6	47.97	44.82	68 [13]
92 [17]	Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	8-3	47.91	37.28	137 [28]
93 [13]	Burke County	3 - AAAA	8-3	47.71	35.40	156 [28]
94 [7]	Rockmart	7 - AA	11-1	47.67	17.03	348 [37]
95 [27]	South Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	4-6	47.13	51.29	26 [19]
96 [9]	Appling County	2 - AAA	9-3	47.01	29.32	216 [22]
97 [18]	Ola	4 - AAAAA	7-4	46.96	40.61	106 [22]
98 [16]	Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	3-7	46.91	57.11	10 [1]
99 [17]	Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	6-5	46.69	43.77	75 [14]
100 [10]	North Murray	6 - AAA	11-2	46.68	24.34	258 [39]
101 [14]	Troup	5 - AAAA	6-5	46.65	43.87	74 [11]
102 [18]	Creekside	5 - AAAAAA	7-5	46.24	40.43	110 [21]
103 [19]	South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	9-3	46.21	37.37	136 [32]
104 [19]	Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	7-3	45.99	28.57	226 [42]
105 [11]	Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	6-5	45.75	42.08	92 [2]
106 [20]	Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAAA	8-4	45.64	36.12	150 [30]
107 [28]	Etowah	4 - AAAAAAA	5-6	45.28	46.71	54 [32]
108 [8]	Fitzgerald	1 - AA	8-4	45.23	34.61	163 [9]
109 [15]	Cedartown	5 - AAAA	5-6	45.21	44.07	72 [10]
110 [29]	West Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	4-6	45.11	47.73	43 [28]
111 [30]	North Forsyth	5 - AAAAAAA	7-5	44.92	41.86	95 [42]
112 [31]	Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	6-5	44.49	42.37	88 [39]
113 [20]	Gainesville	8 - AAAAAA	5-6	44.44	46.49	57 [11]
114 [21]	Creekview	6 - AAAAAA	6-4	44.05	38.84	121 [24]
115 [16]	Thomson	3 - AAAA	6-6	43.84	41.82	96 [16]
116 [12]	Dawson County	7 - AAA	8-4	43.76	31.03	199 [18]
117 [17]	Chapel Hill	5 - AAAA	5-5	43.76	45.05	65 [7]
118 [18]	Baldwin	3 - AAAA	5-7	43.39	46.60	56 [4]
119 [22]	Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	6-5	42.94	38.36	126 [27]
120 [19]	Perry	2 - AAAA	7-5	42.89	38.96	119 [24]
121 [9]	Washington County	3 - AA	7-4	42.83	36.49	145 [5]
122 [21]	Riverdale	3 - AAAAA	7-4	42.78	30.52	204 [38]
123 [13]	Benedictine	3 - AAA	8-4	42.77	26.88	238 [30]
124 [14]	North Hall	7 - AAA	8-4	42.72	32.60	182 [13]
125 [7]	Hebron Christian	8 - A	8-5	42.30	33.07	178 [3]
126 [15]	Lovett	5 - AAA	7-4	42.22	36.11	151 [5]
127 [23]	Alpharetta	7 - AAAAAA	7-4	42.17	35.92	153 [38]
128 [32]	Brookwood	7 - AAAAAAA	5-6	42.06	42.14	91 [40]
129 [16]	Calhoun	6 - AAA	10-2	42.03	20.24	305 [49]
130 [22]	Thomas County Central	1 - AAAAA	5-5	41.81	42.17	90 [18]
131 [24]	Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	6-5	41.42	38.18	129 [28]
132 [23]	Harris County	1 - AAAAA	5-6	41.17	46.93	52 [10]
133 [24]	Hiram	7 - AAAAA	6-6	41.13	42.48	87 [16]
134 [25]	Sequoyah	6 - AAAAAA	5-5	40.78	40.11	114 [22]
135 [20]	St. Pius X	8 - AAAA	6-6	40.75	43.23	80 [12]
136 [25]	New Hampstead	2 - AAAAA	3-7	40.66	51.87	23 [3]
137 [10]	Bleckley County	3 - AA	7-4	40.43	34.07	167 [10]
138 [26]	Riverwood	6 - AAAAA	11-1	40.23	21.25	292 [48]
139 [26]	Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	3-8	39.72	51.59	25 [4]
140 [21]	Americus-Sumter	1 - AAAA	6-6	39.59	40.39	111 [19]
141 [27]	Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	9-2	39.59	18.59	328 [53]
142 [17]	Islands	3 - AAA	8-2	38.91	19.48	312 [50]
143 [33]	Woodstock	4 - AAAAAAA	3-7	38.81	46.76	53 [31]
144 [34]	Rockdale County	8 - AAAAAAA	4-6	38.72	48.99	35 [24]
145 [11]	Douglass	6 - AA	11-2	38.68	12.32	378 [46]
146 [22]	White County	7 - AAAA	5-5	38.57	38.13	131 [26]
147 [23]	Mary Persons	2 - AAAA	6-6	38.55	39.89	116 [21]
148 [12]	Swainsboro	2 - AA	8-4	38.49	28.92	222 [15]
149 [18]	Liberty County	2 - AAA	6-3	38.49	26.74	241 [32]
150 [28]	Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	5-6	38.47	42.05	93 [19]
151 [27]	Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	6-5	38.15	35.51	155 [39]
152 [8]	Darlington	6 - A	9-2	38.09	21.70	286 [15]
153 [35]	Wheeler	2 - AAAAAAA	5-6	38.03	42.02	94 [41]
154 [28]	Evans	3 - AAAAAA	7-3	37.74	29.60	212 [54]
155 [3]	Mitchell County	1 - A	10-2	37.36	-1.48	413 [45]
156 [19]	Monroe Area	8 - AAA	7-4	37.20	29.84	208 [21]
157 [24]	Upson-Lee	2 - AAAA	4-7	37.13	44.91	67 [8]
158 [20]	Jackson	4 - AAA	8-4	37.12	26.81	240 [31]
159 [9]	Christian Heritage	6 - A	9-2	36.93	18.76	324 [25]
160 [4]	Pelham	1 - A	11-2	36.91	2.64	406 [39]
161 [13]	Northeast	3 - AA	5-5	36.82	35.05	157 [8]
162 [14]	Dodge County	3 - AA	4-7	36.70	41.77	97 [3]
163 [15]	Bremen	5 - AA	8-4	36.31	24.35	257 [18]
164 [5]	Marion County	4 - A	11-2	36.28	18.62	326 [13]
165 [16]	Metter	2 - AA	10-3	36.14	21.82	281 [23]
166 [25]	Howard	2 - AAAA	5-5	35.98	36.28	147 [27]
167 [29]	Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	6-4	35.81	29.72	211 [53]
168 [6]	Wilcox County	2 - A	9-3	35.65	13.63	367 [27]
169 [30]	Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	5-5	35.60	36.62	143 [36]
170 [21]	Pace Academy	5 - AAA	5-5	35.58	37.18	138 [4]
171 [26]	Madison County	8 - AAAA	6-7	35.25	38.82	123 [25]
172 [27]	Westover	1 - AAAA	6-4	34.87	28.67	225 [36]
173 [31]	Northview	7 - AAAAAA	6-5	34.49	31.38	194 [50]
174 [10]	Savannah Christian	3 - A	8-4	34.44	21.37	290 [17]
175 [32]	M.L. King	4 - AAAAAA	7-4	34.23	29.01	220 [56]
176 [33]	North Atlanta	7 - AAAAAA	7-4	34.14	27.97	232 [57]
177 [17]	Toombs County	2 - AA	8-3	33.98	18.70	325 [29]
178 [22]	Morgan County	8 - AAA	7-4	33.92	28.56	227 [25]
179 [18]	Pepperell	7 - AA	9-3	33.73	17.24	345 [35]
180 [19]	Union County	8 - AA	10-2	33.57	12.28	379 [47]
181 [11]	Savannah Country Day	3 - A	10-1	33.43	16.18	351 [31]
182 [23]	Westside (Macon)	4 - AAA	6-5	33.23	30.82	201 [19]
183 [28]	Hardaway	1 - AAAA	7-4	33.15	27.76	233 [37]
184 [7]	Commerce	8 - A	9-3	33.08	13.23	374 [30]
185 [36]	Peachtree Ridge	6 - AAAAAAA	3-7	32.91	47.47	44 [29]
186 [20]	Jefferson County	4 - AA	9-3	32.89	15.99	353 [40]
187 [37]	Central Gwinnett	7 - AAAAAAA	3-8	32.43	49.34	31 [22]
188 [8]	Manchester	4 - A	10-3	32.43	15.59	355 [20]
189 [9]	Lincoln County	7 - A	9-3	32.21	15.69	354 [19]
190 [29]	Columbia	5 - AAAAA	5-6	32.10	28.74	224 [41]
191 [29]	Eastside	4 - AAAA	7-4	32.05	20.52	302 [45]
192 [30]	Loganville	8 - AAAAA	3-8	32.05	40.00	115 [23]
193 [30]	Central (Carrollton)	5 - AAAA	3-7	32.02	40.88	104 [17]
194 [34]	Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	7-3	31.99	27.74	234 [58]
195 [12]	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	5 - A	7-4	31.82	25.44	250 [10]
196 [31]	Shaw	1 - AAAA	6-4	31.76	27.57	235 [38]
197 [31]	East Paulding	7 - AAAAA	4-6	31.41	38.65	124 [24]
198 [13]	Mount de Sales	7 - A	10-1	31.01	9.03	397 [35]
199 [14]	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A	5-6	30.74	30.75	202 [5]
200 [35]	Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	4-6	30.44	33.32	176 [43]
201 [15]	Whitefield Academy	6 - A	7-4	30.40	21.81	283 [14]
202 [36]	Pope	7 - AAAAAA	5-5	30.06	31.53	190 [48]
203 [37]	Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	5-6	30.05	32.06	187 [45]
204 [38]	Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	3-7	30.04	38.83	122 [25]
205 [32]	Carver (Atlanta)	6 - AAAAA	7-4	29.65	21.72	285 [47]
206 [39]	Mundy's Mill	4 - AAAAAA	5-5	29.61	30.09	206 [52]
207 [33]	Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	2-8	29.51	42.33	89 [17]
208 [16]	North Cobb Christian	6 - A	8-4	29.37	21.06	296 [20]
209 [38]	Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	3-7	29.22	41.56	99 [43]
210 [40]	Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	3-7	29.17	40.70	105 [19]
211 [41]	Northgate	5 - AAAAAA	3-7	29.07	38.52	125 [26]
212 [24]	Haralson County	6 - AAA	8-3	28.96	14.82	362 [55]
213 [21]	Early County	1 - AA	5-6	28.93	29.83	209 [12]
214 [22]	Vidalia	2 - AA	7-4	28.80	22.03	278 [22]
215 [23]	Southwest	3 - AA	4-6	28.58	36.02	152 [7]
216 [42]	Apalachee	8 - AAAAAA	3-7	28.55	38.94	120 [23]
217 [39]	Forsyth Central	5 - AAAAAAA	4-5	28.21	25.59	247 [47]
218 [25]	Fannin County	7 - AAA	6-5	28.07	27.42	236 [29]
219 [24]	Jeff Davis	2 - AA	7-3	27.72	16.25	350 [38]
220 [10]	Bowdon	6 - A	8-3	27.55	22.26	277 [6]
221 [43]	Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	2-8	27.54	43.59	77 [15]
222 [17]	St. Francis	6 - A	7-5	27.29	21.67	287 [16]
223 [44]	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4 - AAAAAA	3-7	27.25	34.68	162 [40]
224 [45]	Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	4-6	27.18	31.79	189 [47]
225 [34]	Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	1-8	27.01	47.08	49 [8]
226 [35]	Decatur	6 - AAAAA	7-4	26.75	18.98	322 [52]
227 [25]	Elbert County	8 - AA	6-5	26.70	21.64	288 [24]
228 [36]	Whitewater	3 - AAAAA	2-8	26.61	43.61	76 [14]
229 [18]	George Walton Academy	8 - A	6-5	26.04	17.77	335 [28]
230 [32]	Ridgeland	6 - AAAA	6-5	26.03	24.05	262 [40]
231 [40]	Discovery	6 - AAAAAAA	2-8	25.87	52.14	20 [16]
232 [11]	Johnson County	3 - A	8-3	25.67	9.65	393 [34]
233 [37]	Cass	7 - AAAAA	4-6	25.60	32.88	180 [35]
234 [46]	Hughes	5 - AAAAAA	2-8	25.25	40.53	108 [20]
235 [33]	Heritage (Ringgold)	6 - AAAA	8-3	25.17	17.53	340 [50]
236 [26]	Beach	3 - AAA	5-4	24.97	21.97	279 [45]
237 [34]	LaGrange	5 - AAAA	2-8	24.80	42.65	84 [14]
238 [35]	Northwest Whitfield	6 - AAAA	7-4	24.71	19.46	313 [49]
239 [36]	Pickens	6 - AAAA	6-5	24.57	20.91	297 [44]
240 [47]	River Ridge	6 - AAAAAA	3-7	24.48	41.61	98 [16]
241 [27]	Cook	1 - AAA	4-8	24.23	33.16	177 [12]
242 [37]	Stephens County	8 - AAAA	1-9	24.20	45.18	64 [6]
243 [19]	Brookstone	4 - A	7-5	23.70	18.60	327 [26]
244 [26]	Heard County	5 - AA	4-7	23.68	29.56	215 [14]
245 [48]	Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	3-7	23.38	31.14	197 [51]
246 [27]	South Atlanta	6 - AA	7-4	23.07	12.53	376 [44]
247 [20]	Mount Paran Christian	6 - A	7-5	23.07	19.18	319 [24]
248 [38]	Paulding County	7 - AAAAA	3-7	22.56	36.56	144 [29]
249 [12]	Schley County	4 - A	7-5	22.49	13.81	365 [25]
250 [28]	Sonoraville	6 - AAA	5-6	22.47	22.83	273 [43]
251 [13]	Turner County	2 - A	7-5	22.42	21.21	294 [8]
252 [49]	New Manchester	5 - AAAAAA	2-8	22.25	33.99	168 [42]
253 [28]	Harlem	4 - AA	7-4	22.12	11.59	380 [48]
254 [14]	Warren County	7 - A	8-5	22.01	13.71	366 [26]
255 [38]	Chestatee	7 - AAAA	2-8	21.73	42.94	81 [13]
256 [21]	First Presbyterian	7 - A	5-6	21.55	21.16	295 [19]
257 [22]	Aquinas	7 - A	7-4	21.50	13.19	375 [33]
258 [39]	McIntosh	3 - AAAAA	3-7	21.43	32.28	186 [36]
259 [29]	Monroe	1 - AAA	4-7	21.40	31.07	198 [17]
260 [30]	Central (Macon)	4 - AAA	3-8	21.31	33.79	170 [9]
261 [40]	Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	6-5	20.96	20.57	299 [49]
262 [31]	Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	3-7	20.66	34.93	159 [7]
263 [41]	Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	3-7	20.50	36.20	149 [45]
264 [42]	Lassiter	4 - AAAAAAA	1-9	20.07	45.79	59 [33]
265 [15]	McIntosh County Academy	3 - A	5-6	20.03	19.90	307 [10]
266 [23]	Calvary Day	3 - A	6-5	19.92	19.58	311 [23]
267 [39]	Richmond Academy	3 - AAAA	4-6	19.75	32.43	183 [33]
268 [50]	Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	2-8	19.69	34.54	165 [41]
269 [51]	Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAA	3-7	19.54	31.42	193 [49]
270 [41]	Banneker	6 - AAAAA	4-6	19.52	23.94	264 [45]
271 [32]	Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	5-6	19.51	19.38	316 [51]
272 [16]	Emanuel County Institute	3 - A	6-6	19.29	17.28	344 [16]
273 [42]	Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	5-5	19.23	19.41	315 [50]
274 [52]	Greenbrier	3 - AAAAAA	2-9	19.20	37.16	139 [33]
275 [29]	Hephzibah	4 - AA	7-3	19.15	7.06	402 [59]
276 [40]	Dougherty	1 - AAAA	2-8	18.85	34.55	164 [30]
277 [30]	Temple	5 - AA	6-5	18.44	17.22	346 [36]
278 [43]	Villa Rica	7 - AAAAA	2-8	18.00	34.28	166 [32]
279 [33]	Adairsville	6 - AAA	5-6	17.19	21.81	282 [46]
280 [31]	Screven County	4 - AA	7-4	17.19	10.63	385 [50]
281 [32]	B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - AA	4-7	16.71	27.23	237 [16]
282 [34]	Brantley County	2 - AAA	5-6	16.67	21.76	284 [47]
283 [17]	Washington-Wilkes	7 - A	6-5	16.55	15.41	358 [22]
284 [35]	Stone Mountain	5 - AAA	3-7	16.13	25.48	248 [35]
285 [44]	Fayette County	3 - AAAAA	2-8	16.09	30.42	205 [39]
286 [36]	Jackson County	8 - AAA	3-7	15.97	27.99	231 [28]
287 [24]	Stratford Academy	7 - A	4-7	15.92	23.04	271 [12]
288 [18]	Macon County	4 - A	6-5	15.88	13.37	372 [28]
289 [19]	Telfair County	2 - A	4-6	15.81	19.46	314 [11]
290 [41]	Hampton	4 - AAAA	5-6	15.43	19.87	308 [48]
291 [33]	Model	7 - AA	5-6	15.40	16.05	352 [39]
292 [37]	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	4-6	15.27	18.93	323 [53]
293 [34]	Lamar County	5 - AA	6-4	15.03	10.62	386 [52]
294 [20]	Claxton	3 - A	6-5	14.98	13.26	373 [29]
295 [35]	Chattooga	7 - AA	5-6	14.85	19.19	318 [28]
296 [25]	Tattnall Square	7 - A	5-5	14.73	17.64	338 [29]
297 [45]	Grady	6 - AAAAA	3-7	14.63	24.73	255 [44]
298 [43]	Lambert	5 - AAAAAAA	0-10	14.55	42.54	85 [38]
299 [38]	Franklin County	8 - AAA	2-8	14.54	31.18	196 [16]
300 [42]	Spalding	2 - AAAA	1-9	14.35	39.73	117 [22]
301 [21]	Dooly County	4 - A	4-6	14.33	19.38	317 [12]
302 [39]	Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	4-7	14.24	20.56	300 [48]
303 [44]	Kennesaw Mountain	3 - AAAAAAA	0-10	14.10	51.98	22 [17]
304 [36]	Washington	6 - AA	4-6	13.45	17.44	342 [34]
305 [43]	Luella	4 - AAAA	4-7	13.37	23.40	267 [42]
306 [46]	Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	1-9	13.31	40.96	103 [21]
307 [40]	Worth County	1 - AAA	2-8	12.92	30.66	203 [20]
308 [26]	Walker	6 - A	4-6	12.63	19.86	309 [22]
309 [44]	LaFayette	6 - AAAA	3-7	11.92	20.04	306 [47]
310 [22]	Trion	6 - A	5-6	11.64	16.38	349 [18]
311 [47]	Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	4-7	11.48	19.11	320 [51]
312 [23]	Gordon Lee	6 - A	4-6	11.21	17.15	347 [17]
313 [48]	Arabia Mountain	5 - AAAAA	2-9	11.11	33.44	173 [33]
314 [37]	Berrien	1 - AA	2-8	11.04	32.97	179 [11]
315 [24]	Hancock Central	7 - A	5-5	11.00	10.03	390 [33]
316 [25]	Chattahoochee County	1 - A	7-5	10.84	0.62	411 [43]
317 [38]	Spencer	5 - AA	3-7	10.84	22.27	276 [21]
318 [41]	Pike County	4 - AAA	4-6	10.70	15.28	359 [54]
319 [39]	Putnam County	8 - AA	5-6	10.32	18.28	330 [30]
320 [26]	Lanier County	2 - A	3-7	10.22	23.25	269 [4]
321 [27]	Atkinson County	2 - A	3-7	9.97	20.55	301 [9]
322 [40]	Monticello	8 - AA	3-7	9.86	20.50	303 [26]
323 [53]	South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	1-9	9.80	47.21	47 [9]
324 [27]	Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A	3-7	9.80	22.65	275 [13]
325 [45]	Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	0-10	9.79	45.00	66 [35]
326 [42]	East Hall	7 - AAA	2-8	9.76	31.21	195 [15]
327 [45]	Northside (Columbus)	1 - AAAA	1-9	9.48	32.78	181 [32]
328 [28]	Taylor County	4 - A	5-6	9.26	14.48	364 [24]
329 [46]	Gilmer	6 - AAAA	4-6	9.06	13.57	369 [53]
330 [47]	Columbus	1 - AAAA	1-9	8.62	33.47	172 [31]
331 [29]	Terrell County	1 - A	7-4	8.52	-5.16	416 [48]
332 [28]	Athens Christian	8 - A	4-6	8.16	18.22	332 [27]
333 [41]	Therrell	6 - AA	3-7	7.81	17.65	337 [33]
334 [43]	East Jackson	8 - AAA	3-7	7.64	24.08	261 [41]
335 [54]	Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-10	7.31	36.98	141 [35]
336 [48]	McDonough	4 - AAAA	4-6	7.27	17.45	341 [51]
337 [30]	Montgomery County	3 - A	5-5	6.99	9.25	395 [35]
338 [49]	Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	1-9	6.24	31.44	192 [37]
339 [55]	Tri-Cities	5 - AAAAAA	0-10	5.95	37.73	133 [30]
340 [44]	Redan	5 - AAA	3-7	5.88	25.71	246 [34]
341 [46]	Duluth	6 - AAAAAAA	1-9	5.86	43.50	79 [37]
342 [45]	Murray County	6 - AAA	4-6	5.52	13.54	370 [56]
343 [29]	Riverside Military Academy	8 - A	5-5	5.17	4.00	405 [37]
344 [42]	Gordon Central	7 - AA	3-7	4.26	15.26	360 [41]
345 [56]	Drew	4 - AAAAAA	1-9	4.23	37.48	134 [31]
346 [31]	Wilkinson County	7 - A	2-8	3.99	21.90	280 [7]
347 [46]	Rutland	4 - AAA	2-8	3.97	28.05	230 [27]
348 [30]	Pacelli	4 - A	5-5	3.95	6.13	404 [36]
349 [43]	East Laurens	3 - AA	1-9	3.79	36.22	148 [6]
350 [47]	Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	4-6	3.53	17.90	333 [48]
351 [50]	Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	4-6	3.42	15.42	357 [54]
352 [44]	Laney	4 - AA	4-6	3.32	11.09	383 [49]
353 [31]	Strong Rock Christian	5 - A	2-8	3.26	34.89	160 [2]
354 [47]	Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	1-9	2.34	26.53	243 [33]
355 [32]	Pinecrest Academy	6 - A	2-8	2.29	17.62	339 [30]
356 [45]	Banks County	8 - AA	3-7	2.19	13.47	371 [43]
357 [32]	Greenville	4 - A	4-6	2.19	7.25	400 [36]
358 [48]	Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	2-8	2.03	24.18	260 [40]
359 [46]	Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	3-7	1.71	9.18	396 [56]
360 [33]	Lakeview Academy	8 - A	2-7	1.70	26.59	242 [9]
361 [49]	Salem	4 - AAAA	2-8	1.65	20.37	304 [46]
362 [51]	Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	1-8	1.01	23.01	272 [46]
363 [52]	Miller Grove	5 - AAAAA	0-10	0.87	29.85	207 [40]
364 [49]	Tattnall County	2 - AAA	1-9	0.56	29.10	219 [23]
365 [33]	Jenkins County	3 - A	3-7	0.44	11.41	381 [31]
366 [47]	Glenn Hills	4 - AA	4-6	0.27	10.23	388 [53]
367 [50]	North Clayton	4 - AAAA	2-8	-0.08	21.39	289 [43]
368 [53]	Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	0-10	-1.13	38.18	130 [27]
369 [34]	Landmark Christian	5 - A	2-8	-1.67	28.05	229 [7]
370 [51]	Cross Creek	3 - AAAA	2-8	-1.75	23.85	266 [41]
371 [48]	Bacon County	2 - AA	1-9	-2.03	29.75	210 [13]
372 [34]	Charlton County	2 - A	1-9	-2.16	28.97	221 [1]
373 [54]	North Springs	6 - AAAAA	1-9	-2.25	25.24	252 [43]
374 [50]	Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	2-8	-2.28	18.99	321 [52]
375 [57]	Forest Park	4 - AAAAAA	1-9	-3.01	29.22	217 [55]
376 [49]	Butler	4 - AA	2-8	-3.25	8.37	399 [58]
377 [35]	Treutlen	3 - A	4-6	-3.98	1.31	408 [41]
378 [50]	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	2-8	-4.13	18.22	331 [31]
379 [36]	Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A	1-9	-4.27	18.54	329 [14]
380 [52]	West Hall	7 - AAAA	0-10	-5.84	47.03	50 [2]
381 [51]	Kendrick	4 - AAA	1-9	-5.98	23.88	265 [42]
382 [52]	Ringgold	6 - AAA	0-10	-6.05	24.94	253 [37]
383 [51]	Dade County	7 - AA	2-8	-7.05	10.62	387 [52]
384 [53]	Long County	2 - AAA	1-9	-7.22	33.47	171 [10]
385 [52]	Jordan	5 - AA	0-10	-7.22	19.80	310 [27]
386 [37]	Greene County	7 - A	1-9	-7.54	17.83	334 [15]
387 [53]	Southeast Whitfield	6 - AAAA	0-10	-7.97	17.35	343 [52]
388 [38]	Hawkinsville	4 - A	2-8	-8.18	11.33	382 [32]
389 [54]	Druid Hills	4 - AAAA	2-8	-8.72	9.77	391 [54]
390 [39]	Seminole County	1 - A	5-6	-9.14	1.75	407 [40]
391 [54]	Savannah	3 - AAA	1-9	-10.76	22.74	274 [44]
392 [58]	Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	0-10	-11.98	37.96	132 [29]
393 [40]	Central (Talbotton)	4 - A	2-8	-12.76	7.08	401 [37]
394 [53]	Oglethorpe County	8 - AA	2-8	-12.90	9.75	392 [54]
395 [48]	Lakeside (Atlanta)	7 - AAAAAAA	0-10	-13.09	31.52	191 [46]
396 [41]	Twiggs County	7 - A	1-9	-13.72	15.12	361 [23]
397 [42]	Crawford County	4 - A	2-8	-13.74	1.21	409 [42]
398 [43]	Miller County	1 - A	4-6	-14.45	-3.77	415 [47]
399 [44]	Portal	3 - A	1-9	-14.75	15.52	356 [21]
400 [54]	Coosa	7 - AA	1-9	-16.29	12.36	377 [45]
401 [35]	King's Ridge Christian	6 - A	1-9	-18.76	14.50	363 [32]
402 [55]	Towers	5 - AAA	1-9	-19.03	28.36	228 [26]
403 [55]	Josey	4 - AA	0-10	-22.38	9.64	394 [55]
404 [56]	Groves	3 - AAA	0-9	-23.15	24.55	256 [38]
405 [36]	Georgia Military College	7 - A	2-8	-25.65	1.08	410 [38]
406 [37]	Our Lady of Mercy	5 - A	0-10	-26.03	30.87	200 [4]
407 [38]	Providence Christian	8 - A	2-8	-26.69	10.10	389 [34]
408 [56]	Social Circle	8 - AA	2-8	-26.75	8.48	398 [57]
409 [45]	Baconton Charter	1 - A	4-6	-27.18	-13.97	419 [50]
410 [57]	Bryan County	2 - AA	0-9	-30.13	24.89	254 [17]
411 [58]	Armuchee	7 - AA	0-10	-31.09	13.58	368 [42]
412 [55]	Clarkston	5 - AAAAA†	0-10	-34.31	10.78	384 [55]
413 [59]	McNair	6 - AA	0-10	-34.71	17.70	336 [32]
414 [46]	Wheeler County	3 - A	1-9	-36.57	6.39	403 [38]
415 [47]	Towns County	8 - A	0-10	-39.05	23.36	268 [3]
416 [48]	Calhoun County	1 - A	2-8	-41.28	-1.82	414 [46]
417 [1]	ACE Charter	7 - A†	3-5	-45.73	-15.67	420 [1]
418 [2]	Glascock County	7 - A†	2-7	-55.24	-37.91	421 [2]
419 [49]	Stewart County	1 - A	1-9	-56.22	-11.16	417 [49]
420 [50]	Randolph-Clay	1 - A	0-10	-62.15	-0.42	412 [44]
421 [3]	Pataula Charter	1 - A†	3-7	-70.45	-47.81	422 [3]
422 [56]	Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA†	0-10	-89.39	-11.54	418 [56]

† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the Competitive Rating is the rating required for a new team to that region to have a chance of going undefeated in a round robin schedule among region teams equal to the chance of being selected region champion if picked at random. For example, there are four teams in 1-AAAAAAA, so the chance of a new team being region champion if picked at random is 1 / (4 + 1) = 20%. Therefore the Competitive Rating is the rating required to go undefeated in a round robin tournament among region teams 20% of the time. This rating favors regions with larger numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank	Region	Comp Rating	Avg Rating
1	1 - AAAAAAA	91.15	76.66
2	3 - AAAAAAA	80.24	61.44
3	6 - AAAAAAA	77.29	49.63
4	8 - AAAAAAA	75.24	58.52
5	6 - AAAAAA	71.78	41.94
6	1 - AAAAAA	71.70	61.17
7	7 - AAAA	68.34	48.25
8	5 - A	67.80	31.06
9	1 - AAAAA	67.69	53.83
10	7 - AAAAAAA	65.80	31.39
11	8 - AAAAAA	65.03	43.91
12	5 - AAAA	64.05	46.02
13	8 - AAAAA	63.56	36.70
14	7 - AAAAA	61.44	35.05
15	2 - AAAAA	61.18	50.90
16	4 - AAAAA	59.75	42.21
17	5 - AAAAAAA	59.19	42.05
18	8 - AAAA	58.79	42.55
19	5 - AAA	58.27	30.12
20	4 - AAAAAAA	57.74	45.20
21	2 - AAAAAA	56.37	43.56
22	2 - A	56.37	23.37
23	2 - AAAAAAA	53.66	39.11
24	3 - AAAAA	53.53	36.28
25	2 - AAAA	53.49	38.43
26	3 - AA	53.12	36.68
27	8 - AAA	52.62	30.70
28	1 - AA	52.55	39.30
29	8 - A	52.36	18.40
	8-Div A - A	53.56	26.65
	8-Div B - A	35.15	11.12
30	5 - AAAAAA	52.15	34.75
31	4 - AAAA	50.89	11.89
32	7 - AAAAAA	50.56	30.82
33	1 - AAAA	50.18	31.32
34	7 - AAA	49.70	29.20
35	2 - AAA	49.13	26.07
36	4 - AAA	48.97	21.81
37	1 - AAA	48.35	26.34
38	4 - AAAAAA	48.14	30.70
39	3 - AAAA	47.61	33.53
40	3 - AAA	47.22	19.27
41	6 - A	44.45	19.87
	6-Div B - A	39.33	17.55
	6-Div A - A	38.38	22.37
42	6 - AA	44.30	15.51
43	5 - AA	42.80	20.68
44	6 - AAA	41.47	18.41
45	2 - AA	40.31	24.87
46	8 - AA	40.15	11.67
47	3 - AAAAAA	38.77	27.64
48	7 - AA	36.83	7.43
49	6 - AAAAA	36.30	20.03
50	3 - A	34.44	12.43
	3-Div A - A	34.14	20.07
	3-Div B - A	21.29	4.34
51	4 - A	33.66	10.66
	4-Div A - A	33.21	14.69
	4-Div B - A	21.40	7.53
52	7 - A	33.00	12.93
	7-Div B - A	28.37	12.61
	7-Div A - A	26.66	13.27
53	5 - AAAAA	32.85	17.14
54	6 - AAAA	30.72	17.24
55	1 - A	30.15	-11.57
56	4 - AA	28.03	8.23

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct	Likelihood
10/11	Clarke Central	Loganville	21 - 38	22.70	90.6%	0.123
10/18	Dooly County	Crawford County	19 - 20	27.06	93.7%	0.135
09/12	Stephenson	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	9 - 14	23.23	91.1%	0.154
09/27	Richmond Hill	Liberty County	23 - 31	18.08	85.9%	0.203
09/20	Richmond Hill	New Hampstead	14 - 21	17.94	85.7%	0.209
11/08	Dublin	Washington County	23 - 27	17.97	85.8%	0.221
11/08	Buford	Clarke Central	28 - 31	17.51	85.2%	0.233
11/01	Carver (Atlanta)	Lithia Springs	14 - 15	17.15	84.7%	0.249
11/22	Darlington	Mount Paran Christian	13 - 16	16.04	83.3%	0.254
09/27	Thomson	Grovetown	12 - 16	15.65	82.7%	0.254
09/27	Starr's Mill	Jonesboro	14 - 21	13.99	80.2%	0.266
10/03	Hampton	North Clayton	7 - 8	15.50	82.5%	0.272
11/08	Jones County	Stockbridge	14 - 44	10.41	73.9%	0.276
09/12	Schley County	Spencer	21 - 35	11.65	76.2%	0.281
10/11	Warren County	Georgia Military College	37 - 33	48.68	99.2%	0.299

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating	Date	Team	Opponent	Score	Diff	Pct
88.01	12/06	Lowndes	North Gwinnett	49 - 28	13.14	78.8%
86.55	12/14	Lowndes	Marietta	-	14.04	80.3%
85.17	11/01	Lowndes	Colquitt County	28 - 17	15.79	82.9%
84.41	08/24	North Gwinnett	Colquitt County	6 - 17	2.65	56.6%
83.12	11/29	North Gwinnett	McEachern	32 - 13	3.83	59.5%
82.50	11/29	Lowndes	Grayson	28 - 20	18.20	86.1%
82.31	09/13	Marietta	Grayson	14 - 28	2.12	55.3%
82.14	10/18	Marietta	McEachern	12 - 14	3.95	59.7%
81.83	12/06	Marietta	Parkview	42 - 31	2.89	57.2%
81.76	09/27	Colquitt County	Grayson	31 - 7	3.43	58.5%
81.64	09/06	Lowndes	Parkview	38 - 7	18.97	87.0%
81.55	11/22	Colquitt County	Parkview	21 - 40	2.16	55.4%
78.75	12/06	Harrison	Dacula	38 - 7	6.95	66.7%
77.41	10/11	North Gwinnett	Mill Creek	45 - 3	10.63	74.3%
76.39	11/29	Marietta	Mill Creek	42 - 10	10.75	74.5%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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