High School Sports Blog

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 11

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 31, 2018

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2018 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 seasons.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

All out of state opponents were considered equal to the average of the GHSA team’s classification (i.e., out of state opponents of Class AAAAAAA GHSA teams were treated as an average Class AAAAAAA team).

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA9-0104.411,000,0005.50970,359931,449853,010745,9210.34
Grayson8 - AAAAAAA7-287.931,000,0004.45958,047804,881568,895132,9286.52
Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA9-083.351,000,0003.76777,028652,575291,50250,44218.82
Parkview7 - AAAAAAA9-084.281,000,0003.50766,745602,027100,25846,80420.37
Tift County1 - AAAAAAA6-376.121,000,0002.66581,274147,74352,0545,608177.32
North Gwinnett6 - AAAAAAA8-273.441,000,0002.95894,62557,98620,9134,879203.96
Marietta3 - AAAAAAA4-575.021,000,0002.77618,510191,28115,2424,037246.71
Archer8 - AAAAAAA7-274.191,000,0002.32230,526123,1759,2582,308432.28
Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA7-274.101,000,0001.93186,683101,36523,1132,178458.14
Milton5 - AAAAAAA7-269.231,000,0002.91727,427182,27034,1472,102474.74
McEachern3 - AAAAAAA6-373.351,000,0001.9890,22526,8848,6001,477676.05
Westlake2 - AAAAAAA7-266.221,000,0001.88232,58529,8887,2703452,897.55
Walton4 - AAAAAAA8-168.711,000,0001.5169,37335,3105,6373153,173.60
Roswell4 - AAAAAAA8-167.491,000,0001.73188,80638,4881,9442993,343.48
Camden County1 - AAAAAAA6-366.72993,6641.78206,91128,9283,7712134,693.84
Mill Creek6 - AAAAAAA6-362.191,000,0001.95212,46828,2462,7331019,899.99
North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA7-261.191,000,0001.4862,6115,1847702737,036.04
Norcross7 - AAAAAAA5-456.491,000,0001.6927,6045,2155379111,110.11
Brookwood7 - AAAAAAA6-354.851,000,0001.3757,4973,8611813333,332.33
West Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA4-552.921,000,0001.6465,365785482499,999.00
Mountain View6 - AAAAAAA6-352.36990,7951.319,7661,175801999,999.00
East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA3-650.651,000,0001.123,91219051999,999.00
South Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA5-448.621,000,0001.1412,24434912--
Newton8 - AAAAAAA4-547.26994,7991.3525,0181649--
Cherokee4 - AAAAAAA4-546.751,000,0001.067,1321777--
Wheeler2 - AAAAAAA6-345.82667,8130.68701762--
Collins Hill6 - AAAAAAA3-643.661,000,0001.052,156961--
Etowah4 - AAAAAAA4-544.721,000,0001.00292141--
Newnan2 - AAAAAAA5-447.241,000,0001.073,287106---
South Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA4-538.30984,1411.023,26544---
Central Gwinnett7 - AAAAAAA4-540.281,000,0001.046,63724---
Forsyth Central5 - AAAAAAA6-339.321,000,0001.0260423---
North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA6-356.556,3360.0119015---
Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA3-640.89332,1870.341216---
Rockdale County8 - AAAAAAA2-720.4321,0600.026----
Duluth6 - AAAAAAA4-523.369,2050.01-----
Woodstock4 - AAAAAAA3-640.91-------
Lassiter4 - AAAAAAA1-828.25-------
Peachtree Ridge6 - AAAAAAA0-917.70-------
Kennesaw Mountain3 - AAAAAAA4-542.49-------
Lambert5 - AAAAAAA3-629.31-------
North Forsyth5 - AAAAAAA3-635.61-------
Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA6-334.80-------
Shiloh8 - AAAAAAA2-721.53-------
Campbell2 - AAAAAAA1-830.99-------
Lakeside (Atlanta)7 - AAAAAAA1-81.95-------
Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA3-7-2.37-------
Discovery6 - AAAAAAA1-820.42-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAAAAAAColquitt County985,07714,923----
1 - AAAAAAATift County-707,10594,029-198,866-
1 - AAAAAAALowndes14,92322,806854,747-107,524-
1 - AAAAAAACamden County-255,16651,224-687,2746,336
2 - AAAAAAAWestlake1,000,000-----
2 - AAAAAAAEast Coweta-632,755367,245---
2 - AAAAAAANewnan-367,245632,755---
2 - AAAAAAAWheeler---667,813-332,187
2 - AAAAAAAPebblebrook---332,187-667,813
2 - AAAAAAACampbell-----1,000,000
3 - AAAAAAAHillgrove1,000,000-----
3 - AAAAAAAMarietta-1,000,000----
3 - AAAAAAAMcEachern--804,885195,115--
3 - AAAAAAANorth Paulding--195,115804,885--
3 - AAAAAAANorth Cobb----6,336993,664
3 - AAAAAAAKennesaw Mountain-----1,000,000
4 - AAAAAAARoswell1,000,000-----
4 - AAAAAAAWalton-1,000,000----
4 - AAAAAAACherokee--988,27811,722--
4 - AAAAAAAEtowah--11,722988,278--
4 - AAAAAAAWoodstock-----1,000,000
4 - AAAAAAALassiter-----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAAAMilton1,000,000-----
5 - AAAAAAAWest Forsyth-816,989183,011---
5 - AAAAAAASouth Forsyth-183,011241,723575,266--
5 - AAAAAAAForsyth Central--575,266424,734--
5 - AAAAAAANorth Forsyth-----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAAALambert-----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAAANorth Gwinnett1,000,000-----
6 - AAAAAAAMill Creek-943,90341,71414,383--
6 - AAAAAAAMountain View--863,702127,093-9,205
6 - AAAAAAACollins Hill-56,09794,584849,319--
6 - AAAAAAADuluth---9,205-990,795
6 - AAAAAAADiscovery-----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAAAPeachtree Ridge-----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAAParkview1,000,000-----
7 - AAAAAAANorcross-1,000,000----
7 - AAAAAAABrookwood--999,94753--
7 - AAAAAAACentral Gwinnett--53999,947--
7 - AAAAAAAMeadowcreek-----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAALakeside (Atlanta)-----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAABerkmar-----1,000,000
8 - AAAAAAAGrayson1,000,000-----
8 - AAAAAAAArcher-1,000,000----
8 - AAAAAAANewton--990,2384,561-5,201
8 - AAAAAAASouth Gwinnett--601983,540-15,859
8 - AAAAAAARockdale County--9,16111,899-978,940
8 - AAAAAAAShiloh-----1,000,000

Class AAAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Lee County1 - AAAAAA9-088.431,000,0005.66990,568926,632901,769843,7700.19
Valdosta1 - AAAAAA6-463.971,000,0003.84825,864617,335372,39447,94319.86
Creekview6 - AAAAAA9-064.021,000,0003.12859,583154,343102,73333,35728.98
Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA4-562.47984,2193.38813,973464,307226,73627,48835.38
Allatoona6 - AAAAAA7-261.721,000,0003.36770,912427,843215,19426,53736.68
Coffee1 - AAAAAA7-254.571,000,0002.75633,563327,97220,6755,098195.16
Harrison6 - AAAAAA8-156.181,000,0002.41482,693166,27947,4924,774208.47
Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA8-154.261,000,0002.29449,799285,21814,4594,673213.00
Sequoyah6 - AAAAAA7-253.251,000,0002.05353,953174,79917,8202,417412.74
Dacula8 - AAAAAA7-251.971,000,0002.40407,190131,17043,3422,335427.27
Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA5-447.561,000,0002.15154,09458,46914,3576031,657.37
Creekside5 - AAAAAA6-345.211,000,0002.09185,47649,41110,3003372,966.36
Centennial7 - AAAAAA6-345.861,000,0001.42107,04120,7734,2181327,574.76
Douglas County5 - AAAAAA7-245.631,000,0001.93123,2176,2811,5551307,691.31
Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA4-442.311,000,0001.95105,12426,6599889310,751.69
Stephenson4 - AAAAAA8-141.981,000,0001.36131,21634,3451,5718312,047.19
Lanier8 - AAAAAA6-340.841,000,0001.71109,14535,4794936814,704.88
Tucker4 - AAAAAA7-240.961,000,0001.30108,41025,4961,4886615,150.52
Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA4-539.441,000,0001.91101,76022,7637973528,570.43
Mays5 - AAAAAA5-440.951,000,0001.4571,28319,0895163033,332.33
Effingham County2 - AAAAAA5-436.051,000,0001.7068,4619,0074421376,922.08
Northgate5 - AAAAAA6-337.161,000,0001.3136,6506,7151698124,999.00
Alpharetta7 - AAAAAA5-435.72826,8850.9015,4562,0821943333,332.33
Grovetown3 - AAAAAA5-431.411,000,0001.4136,0513,8241533333,332.33
Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA5-435.20945,5481.1815,132473452499,999.00
Evans3 - AAAAAA3-628.111,000,0001.2515,5611,273331999,999.00
Greenbrier3 - AAAAAA2-726.061,000,0001.165,11840541999,999.00
Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA5-430.261,000,0001.035,24047532--
Gainesville8 - AAAAAA2-728.22815,1930.945,58341411--
Houston County1 - AAAAAA2-736.3315,7810.022,1943768--
Pope7 - AAAAAA5-529.751,000,0001.045,7441238--
Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA4-423.55551,4450.621,596932--
Apalachee8 - AAAAAA3-625.68239,2590.26855341--
Mundy's Mill4 - AAAAAA6-329.11780,5440.78381101--
Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA3-623.44448,5550.4980633---
Cambridge7 - AAAAAA3-622.14157,6350.16246----
Northview7 - AAAAAA5-424.8115,4800.0242----
Drew4 - AAAAAA3-618.42219,4560.2220----
Dalton6 - AAAAAA5-443.89-------
Brunswick2 - AAAAAA3-729.61-------
Hughes5 - AAAAAA4-632.21-------
Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA2-727.28-------
Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA2-735.50-------
Alexander5 - AAAAAA3-628.96-------
Alcovy3 - AAAAAA2-716.98-------
Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA0-97.26-------
Dunwoody7 - AAAAAA2-79.93-------
Forest Park4 - AAAAAA2-78.94-------
M.L. King4 - AAAAAA1-812.89-------
Morrow4 - AAAAAA2-716.88-------
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)4 - AAAAAA2-812.72-------
New Manchester5 - AAAAAA1-814.86-------
North Atlanta7 - AAAAAA4-521.23-------
Osborne6 - AAAAAA0-9-13.32-------
River Ridge6 - AAAAAA1-813.49-------
South Cobb6 - AAAAAA2-827.84-------
South Paulding5 - AAAAAA2-723.71-------
Tri-Cities5 - AAAAAA1-821.74-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAALee County1,000,000----
1 - AAAAAAValdosta-1,000,000---
1 - AAAAAANorthside (Warner Robins)--923,69660,52315,781
1 - AAAAAACoffee--75,411924,589-
1 - AAAAAAHouston County--89314,888984,219
2 - AAAAAAGlynn Academy822,585173,8283,587--
2 - AAAAAABradwell Institute177,415348,728473,857--
2 - AAAAAARichmond Hill-467,250347,235185,515-
2 - AAAAAAEffingham County-10,194175,321814,485-
2 - AAAAAABrunswick----1,000,000
3 - AAAAAAGrovetown630,256369,744---
3 - AAAAAAEvans369,744282,310108,637239,309-
3 - AAAAAAGreenbrier-239,309587,963172,728-
3 - AAAAAALakeside (Evans)-108,637303,400139,408448,555
3 - AAAAAAHeritage (Conyers)---448,555551,445
3 - AAAAAAAlcovy----1,000,000
4 - AAAAAAStephenson575,125424,875---
4 - AAAAAATucker424,875575,125---
4 - AAAAAALovejoy--1,000,000--
4 - AAAAAAMundy's Mill---780,544219,456
4 - AAAAAADrew---219,456780,544
4 - AAAAAAM.L. King----1,000,000
4 - AAAAAAForest Park----1,000,000
4 - AAAAAAMount Zion (Jonesboro)----1,000,000
4 - AAAAAAMorrow----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAACreekside919,99947,30332,698--
5 - AAAAAADouglas County80,001919,999---
5 - AAAAAAMays--561,994438,006-
5 - AAAAAANorthgate-32,698405,308561,994-
5 - AAAAAAHughes----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAAAlexander----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAASouth Paulding----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAATri-Cities----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAANew Manchester----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAACreekview804,496127,86367,641--
6 - AAAAAAAllatoona91,795758,48460,40189,320-
6 - AAAAAAHarrison103,70934,232691,802170,257-
6 - AAAAAASequoyah-79,421180,156740,423-
6 - AAAAAADalton----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAASprayberry----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAASouth Cobb----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAARiver Ridge----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAAOsborne----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAJohns Creek1,000,000----
7 - AAAAAACentennial-1,000,000---
7 - AAAAAAPope--173,115826,885-
7 - AAAAAAAlpharetta--826,885-173,115
7 - AAAAAACambridge---157,635842,365
7 - AAAAAANorthview---15,480984,520
7 - AAAAAANorth Atlanta----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAADunwoody----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAAChattahoochee----1,000,000
8 - AAAAAADacula1,000,000----
8 - AAAAAALanier-936,01260,1353,853-
8 - AAAAAAHabersham Central--773,293172,25554,452
8 - AAAAAAGainesville-63,98870,521680,684184,807
8 - AAAAAAApalachee--96,051143,208760,741
8 - AAAAAAWinder-Barrow----1,000,000

Class AAAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Rome7 - AAAAA10-084.391,000,0004.69985,885735,846516,430455,0041.20
Warner Robins1 - AAAAA8-178.521,000,0004.39903,747855,732367,849293,1232.41
Dutchtown4 - AAAAA9-074.501,000,0003.41955,605262,447125,65992,6939.79
Jones County4 - AAAAA8-167.271,000,0003.53712,174582,586364,67175,18712.30
Buford8 - AAAAA7-265.451,000,0003.58713,263496,308318,31156,55016.68
Kell7 - AAAAA7-259.161,000,0002.57346,895174,31080,0558,620115.01
Stockbridge4 - AAAAA8-157.751,000,0002.21370,884171,89061,0005,704174.32
Wayne County2 - AAAAA9-056.611,000,0002.50352,965135,59749,5214,688212.31
Veterans1 - AAAAA8-156.121,000,0001.72228,426154,86646,7273,914254.49
Carrollton7 - AAAAA7-254.631,000,0002.33539,06489,27613,9831,612619.35
Ware County2 - AAAAA7-252.921,000,0002.21197,73071,52115,7261,232810.69
East Paulding7 - AAAAA5-449.08834,5792.02407,63296,37418,1208311,202.37
Bainbridge1 - AAAAA4-551.351,000,0001.48126,85831,0238,7444322,313.81
Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA9-042.841,000,0002.20329,74360,2288,2431835,463.48
Banneker6 - AAAAA8-147.301,000,0001.77312,90125,8199181367,351.94
Starr's Mill3 - AAAAA6-339.971,000,0001.7976,71027,6782,9153826,314.79
Locust Grove4 - AAAAA5-446.091,000,0001.0511,4784,7061462539,999.00
Clarke Central8 - AAAAA6-341.081,000,0002.03208,4569,1182001471,427.57
Riverwood6 - AAAAA7-235.921,000,0001.2663,9726,3944325199,999.00
Cedar Shoals8 - AAAAA6-341.761,000,0001.9226,6711,322505199,999.00
Statesboro2 - AAAAA3-634.971,000,0001.3814,2202,0541242499,999.00
New Hampstead2 - AAAAA4-433.411,000,0001.3511,1041,352731999,999.00
Loganville8 - AAAAA3-632.04808,2491.0128,5871,781611999,999.00
Griffin3 - AAAAA6-339.381,000,0001.5920,65357317--
Harris County1 - AAAAA3-740.291,000,0001.0414,27022710--
Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA6-328.701,000,0001.044,8152497--
Villa Rica7 - AAAAA5-435.16165,4210.2112,3643225--
Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA2-724.89185,4900.212,071722--
Jonesboro3 - AAAAA5-525.831,000,0001.041,541301--
Arabia Mountain5 - AAAAA5-427.881,000,0001.2315,937213---
Riverdale3 - AAAAA7-227.951,000,0001.121,63577---
Lithonia5 - AAAAA6-318.841,000,0001.091,3387---
Carver (Atlanta)6 - AAAAA4-523.96846,5120.863202---
Miller Grove5 - AAAAA2-711.28915,8120.9252----
Decatur6 - AAAAA4-517.87153,4880.1519----
Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA4-516.386,2610.0111----
Columbia5 - AAAAA2-710.1184,1880.084----
Thomas County Central1 - AAAAA5-445.58-------
Union Grove4 - AAAAA5-435.33-------
Hiram7 - AAAAA4-534.49-------
Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA3-627.81-------
Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA4-525.02-------
Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA1-824.89-------
Ola4 - AAAAA1-821.51-------
Cass7 - AAAAA1-820.80-------
South Effingham2 - AAAAA2-819.91-------
Paulding County7 - AAAAA0-917.12-------
Whitewater3 - AAAAA1-812.80-------
North Springs6 - AAAAA2-711.60-------
McIntosh3 - AAAAA2-710.24-------
Grady6 - AAAAA1-84.29-------
Fayette County3 - AAAAA0-91.88-------
Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA2-7-3.72-------
Chamblee5 - AAAAA0-9-13.83-------
Clarkston5 - AAAAA0-9-32.92-------
Cross Keys5 - AAAAA0-10-84.98-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAAAWarner Robins964,47235,46563--
1 - AAAAABainbridge-920,16679,834--
1 - AAAAAVeterans35,52844,369920,103--
1 - AAAAAHarris County---1,000,000-
1 - AAAAAThomas County Central----1,000,000
2 - AAAAAWayne County638,781361,219---
2 - AAAAAWare County361,219638,781---
2 - AAAAANew Hampstead--501,773498,227-
2 - AAAAAStatesboro--498,227501,773-
2 - AAAAASouth Effingham----1,000,000
3 - AAAAAStarr's Mill1,000,000----
3 - AAAAAGriffin-793,654206,346--
3 - AAAAARiverdale-206,346793,654--
3 - AAAAAJonesboro---1,000,000-
3 - AAAAAMcIntosh----1,000,000
3 - AAAAAWhitewater----1,000,000
3 - AAAAAFayette County----1,000,000
4 - AAAAADutchtown1,000,000----
4 - AAAAAJones County-760,769239,231--
4 - AAAAAStockbridge-239,231760,769--
4 - AAAAALocust Grove---1,000,000-
4 - AAAAAUnion Grove----1,000,000
4 - AAAAAWoodland (Stockbridge)----1,000,000
4 - AAAAAOla----1,000,000
4 - AAAAAEagle's Landing----1,000,000
5 - AAAAASouthwest DeKalb1,000,000----
5 - AAAAAArabia Mountain-719,421280,579--
5 - AAAAALithonia-280,579719,421--
5 - AAAAAMiller Grove---915,81284,188
5 - AAAAAColumbia---84,188915,812
5 - AAAAAChamblee----1,000,000
5 - AAAAAClarkston----1,000,000
5 - AAAAACross Keys----1,000,000
6 - AAAAABanneker1,000,000----
6 - AAAAARiverwood-841,798137,15321,049-
6 - AAAAAMaynard Jackson-158,202340,892500,906-
6 - AAAAACarver (Atlanta)--520,488326,024153,488
6 - AAAAADecatur--1,467152,021846,512
6 - AAAAANorth Springs----1,000,000
6 - AAAAAGrady----1,000,000
6 - AAAAALithia Springs----1,000,000
7 - AAAAARome1,000,000----
7 - AAAAAKell-894,98785,51019,503-
7 - AAAAACarrollton-23,409164,873811,718-
7 - AAAAAEast Paulding-81,604749,6173,358165,421
7 - AAAAAVilla Rica---165,421834,579
7 - AAAAAHiram----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAWoodland (Cartersville)----1,000,000
7 - AAAAACass----1,000,000
7 - AAAAAPaulding County----1,000,000
8 - AAAAABuford988,00012,000---
8 - AAAAACedar Shoals-933,60066,400--
8 - AAAAAClarke Central12,00054,400933,600--
8 - AAAAALoganville---808,249191,751
8 - AAAAAWalnut Grove---185,490814,510
8 - AAAAAJohnson (Gainesville)---6,261993,739

Class AAAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Mary Persons2 - AAAA9-081.361,000,0005.01978,356845,255685,413511,6670.95
Blessed Trinity7 - AAAA9-073.291,000,0004.62913,983843,098619,181251,4862.98
Cartersville5 - AAAA9-070.611,000,0003.96836,701753,352276,796122,4907.16
Troup5 - AAAA9-068.011,000,0003.70774,827665,394230,68977,58611.89
St. Pius X8 - AAAA8-164.921,000,0002.57534,01495,59345,52816,68058.95
Marist7 - AAAA8-262.851,000,0002.52445,85859,53023,9667,738128.23
Pickens6 - AAAA10-055.451,000,0002.33232,170144,32831,6883,791262.78
Upson-Lee2 - AAAA6-355.091,000,0002.62573,806147,93029,5403,482286.19
Eastside4 - AAAA9-050.341,000,0002.55547,28868,11816,9381,380723.64
Sandy Creek5 - AAAA6-353.181,000,0001.8170,71740,34810,1501,010989.10
Baldwin3 - AAAA4-548.851,000,0002.28554,92190,9835,5386841,460.99
Flowery Branch7 - AAAA7-252.531,000,0001.6781,58652,2413,7875881,699.68
Cairo1 - AAAA7-247.451,000,0002.43387,47364,7008,2164882,048.18
Howard2 - AAAA6-349.331,000,0001.80246,87925,8004,8103432,914.45
Ridgeland6 - AAAA6-349.321,000,0001.5858,75933,6881,9362454,080.63
Burke County3 - AAAA7-347.131,000,0001.70198,01117,5363,1071725,812.95
West Laurens2 - AAAA5-447.21559,2711.00187,92422,8909829210,868.57
North Oconee8 - AAAA8-244.231,000,0001.3414,9715,4377493627,776.78
Perry2 - AAAA5-443.54440,7290.70109,04510,0263331855,554.56
Carver (Columbus)1 - AAAA7-140.871,000,0001.8021,4581,8041611283,332.33
Cedartown5 - AAAA4-546.43417,2840.477,065256414249,999.00
Richmond Academy3 - AAAA7-239.421,000,0001.1329,6401,9941303333,332.33
Chapel Hill5 - AAAA6-347.76582,7160.6712,430525692499,999.00
Oconee County8 - AAAA5-440.47964,7871.028,4452,0141201999,999.00
Thomson3 - AAAA3-635.441,000,0001.0510,339494321999,999.00
Salem4 - AAAA6-330.421,000,0001.6379,4582,572301999,999.00
Stephens County8 - AAAA5-437.721,000,0001.045,8651,69031--
Columbus1 - AAAA5-430.94776,3261.1142,9441,30817--
Westover1 - AAAA4-330.51697,9950.9125,07573114--
Woodward Academy4 - AAAA5-430.541,000,0001.232,130774--
White County7 - AAAA3-630.08855,9610.911,3251262--
Denmark7 - AAAA5-429.94144,0390.16317601--
Northwest Whitfield6 - AAAA6-328.161,000,0001.02821301--
Northside (Columbus)1 - AAAA4-524.93326,7470.383,76250---
Henry County4 - AAAA3-615.09998,8551.0371210---
Hardaway1 - AAAA4-424.77166,6110.186898---
Heritage (Ringgold)6 - AAAA4-518.801,000,0001.011413---
Americus-Sumter1 - AAAA3-622.9532,3210.03901---
Madison County8 - AAAA2-721.3835,2130.045----
Hampton4 - AAAA4-514.881,1450.00-----
LaGrange5 - AAAA1-829.59-------
Spalding2 - AAAA3-629.11-------
West Hall7 - AAAA2-728.43-------
Central (Carrollton)5 - AAAA2-727.20-------
Shaw1 - AAAA3-615.13-------
LaFayette6 - AAAA4-515.00-------
Cross Creek3 - AAAA3-514.79-------
Luella4 - AAAA3-68.15-------
Chestatee7 - AAAA1-84.84-------
Southeast Whitfield6 - AAAA3-63.49-------
Dougherty1 - AAAA0-72.24-------
North Clayton4 - AAAA1-8-4.71-------
Druid Hills4 - AAAA2-7-15.95-------
Gilmer6 - AAAA0-9-20.90-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AAAACairo1,000,000----
1 - AAAACarver (Columbus)-978,41321,587--
1 - AAAAColumbus--572,687203,639223,674
1 - AAAAWestover-21,587309,937366,471302,005
1 - AAAANorthside (Columbus)--95,789230,958673,253
1 - AAAAHardaway---166,611833,389
1 - AAAAAmericus-Sumter---32,321967,679
1 - AAAAShaw----1,000,000
1 - AAAADougherty----1,000,000
2 - AAAAMary Persons995,3924,497111--
2 - AAAAUpson-Lee-967,87232,128--
2 - AAAAHoward4,60827,631967,761--
2 - AAAAWest Laurens---559,271440,729
2 - AAAAPerry---440,729559,271
2 - AAAASpalding----1,000,000
3 - AAAABaldwin1,000,000----
3 - AAAABurke County-1,000,000---
3 - AAAARichmond Academy--645,692354,308-
3 - AAAAThomson--354,308645,692-
3 - AAAACross Creek----1,000,000
4 - AAAAEastside1,000,000----
4 - AAAASalem-1,000,000---
4 - AAAAWoodward Academy--1,000,000--
4 - AAAAHenry County---998,8551,145
4 - AAAAHampton---1,145998,855
4 - AAAALuella----1,000,000
4 - AAAADruid Hills----1,000,000
4 - AAAANorth Clayton----1,000,000
5 - AAAACartersville612,971387,029---
5 - AAAATroup387,029612,971---
5 - AAAASandy Creek--1,000,000--
5 - AAAAChapel Hill---582,716417,284
5 - AAAACedartown---417,284582,716
5 - AAAACentral (Carrollton)----1,000,000
5 - AAAALaGrange----1,000,000
6 - AAAAPickens1,000,000----
6 - AAAARidgeland-1,000,000---
6 - AAAANorthwest Whitfield--692,541307,459-
6 - AAAAHeritage (Ringgold)--307,459692,541-
6 - AAAASoutheast Whitfield----1,000,000
6 - AAAALaFayette----1,000,000
6 - AAAAGilmer----1,000,000
7 - AAAABlessed Trinity1,000,000----
7 - AAAAMarist-1,000,000---
7 - AAAAFlowery Branch--921,49178,509-
7 - AAAAWhite County---855,961144,039
7 - AAAADenmark--78,50965,530855,961
7 - AAAAWest Hall----1,000,000
7 - AAAAChestatee----1,000,000
8 - AAAASt. Pius X1,000,000----
8 - AAAANorth Oconee-1,000,000---
8 - AAAAOconee County--856,508108,27935,213
8 - AAAAStephens County--142,445857,555-
8 - AAAAMadison County--1,04734,166964,787

Class AAA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Cedar Grove5 - AAA8-171.371,000,0004.82930,647801,316653,269443,3491.26
Peach County4 - AAA7-267.301,000,0004.41930,698734,535497,283255,7282.91
Calhoun6 - AAA9-064.291,000,0003.92788,339648,608339,368148,8195.72
Monroe Area8 - AAA9-060.551,000,0003.57767,435605,641198,82083,61910.96
Greater Atlanta Christian7 - AAA7-254.411,000,0003.01734,160213,01481,98119,92549.19
Benedictine3 - AAA8-153.921,000,0002.84664,613121,60555,44515,00565.64
Pierce County2 - AAA9-051.091,000,0002.94688,232241,60343,9569,845100.57
Crisp County1 - AAA6-351.571,000,0002.86683,921189,94449,7329,684102.26
Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA6-353.461,000,0002.32227,726127,07733,6327,587130.80
Westside (Macon)4 - AAA7-246.961,000,0002.31322,96052,12713,3581,924518.75
Dawson County7 - AAA8-147.831,000,0002.10150,54969,50110,1141,790557.66
North Hall7 - AAA8-146.081,000,0002.00106,26743,2606,2179721,027.81
Appling County2 - AAA5-443.011,000,0002.26330,58652,2275,8756321,581.28
Pace Academy5 - AAA6-445.561,000,0001.64136,28022,7613,9835051,979.20
Jackson4 - AAA5-440.701,000,0002.18252,73639,7442,7062454,080.63
Jefferson8 - AAA8-243.311,000,0001.62116,17415,2682,4282454,080.63
Liberty County2 - AAA6-239.321,000,0001.7564,82411,9741,3599110,988.01
Lovett5 - AAA4-537.101,000,0001.1724,5805,3193072441,665.67
Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA8-130.501,000,0001.3414,6641,463776166,665.67
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA7-228.601,000,0001.185,072550274249,999.00
Jenkins3 - AAA7-225.551,000,0001.1412,24532291999,999.00
Haralson County6 - AAA7-228.551,000,0001.125,96581021--
Pike County4 - AAA6-327.30991,6211.0914,80548412--
Ringgold6 - AAA4-524.13949,1820.973,3771737--
Hart County8 - AAA4-525.711,000,0001.041,4731045--
Morgan County8 - AAA4-525.021,000,0001.031,238814--
Cook1 - AAA2-725.37881,5650.954,031653--
North Murray6 - AAA5-424.91909,4530.953,8481502--
Monroe1 - AAA5-417.581,000,0001.116,082132---
Windsor Forest3 - AAA5-420.30950,3331.005,725131---
Central (Macon)4 - AAA3-726.248,6440.01994---
Fannin County7 - AAA4-57.691,000,0001.00693---
Tattnall County2 - AAA2-711.471,000,0001.024262---
Sonoraville6 - AAA4-514.84107,9780.11831---
Islands3 - AAA3-69.7359,4790.06371---
Worth County1 - AAA1-87.26118,4350.1230----
Beach3 - AAA3-68.4922,8740.024----
Franklin County8 - AAA3-619.064330.00-----
Kendrick4 - AAA1-8-17.9730.00-----
Adairsville6 - AAA4-617.22-------
Jackson County8 - AAA2-711.97-------
Brantley County2 - AAA1-87.55-------
East Hall7 - AAA2-73.62-------
Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-8-1.28-------
Lumpkin County7 - AAA3-6-4.30-------
Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA2-7-6.98-------
Stone Mountain5 - AAA2-7-11.10-------
Long County2 - AAA0-9-11.73-------
Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA0-10-16.08-------
Groves3 - AAA1-9-16.60-------
Redan5 - AAA0-9-18.65-------
Murray County6 - AAA0-9-19.57-------
East Jackson8 - AAA1-8-23.21-------
Rutland4 - AAA0-9-23.76-------
Savannah3 - AAA0-9-24.71-------
Towers5 - AAA0-9-28.88-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 At large Out
1 - AAACrisp County973,37926,621----
1 - AAAMonroe26,621973,379----
1 - AAACook--881,565--118,435
1 - AAAWorth County--118,435--881,565
2 - AAAPierce County798,859159,88341,258---
2 - AAAAppling County191,777795,5713,2729,380--
2 - AAALiberty County9,36441,140912,55836,938--
2 - AAATattnall County-3,40642,912953,682--
2 - AAABrantley County-----1,000,000
2 - AAALong County-----1,000,000
3 - AAABenedictine990,9839,017----
3 - AAASoutheast Bulloch-937,50762,493---
3 - AAAJenkins9,01753,476937,507---
3 - AAAWindsor Forest---948,0272,30649,667
3 - AAAIslands---51,9737,506940,521
3 - AAABeach----22,874977,126
3 - AAAJohnson (Savannah)-----1,000,000
3 - AAASavannah-----1,000,000
3 - AAAGroves-----1,000,000
4 - AAAPeach County903,36296,638----
4 - AAAWestside (Macon)96,638903,362----
4 - AAAJackson--1,000,000---
4 - AAAPike County---991,3532688,379
4 - AAACentral (Macon)---8,644-991,356
4 - AAAKendrick---3-999,997
4 - AAARutland-----1,000,000
5 - AAACedar Grove1,000,000-----
5 - AAAWestminster (Atlanta)-933,25845,66321,079--
5 - AAAPace Academy--883,918116,082--
5 - AAALovett-66,74270,419862,839--
5 - AAARedan-----1,000,000
5 - AAAStone Mountain-----1,000,000
5 - AAATowers-----1,000,000
6 - AAACalhoun977,37422,626----
6 - AAALakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe22,626977,374----
6 - AAAHaralson County--1,000,000---
6 - AAANorth Murray---707,597201,85690,547
6 - AAARinggold---263,007686,17550,818
6 - AAASonoraville---29,39678,582892,022
6 - AAAAdairsville-----1,000,000
6 - AAACoahulla Creek-----1,000,000
6 - AAAMurray County-----1,000,000
7 - AAAGreater Atlanta Christian1,000,000-----
7 - AAADawson County-593,945406,055---
7 - AAANorth Hall-406,055593,945---
7 - AAAFannin County---1,000,000--
7 - AAALumpkin County-----1,000,000
7 - AAAEast Hall-----1,000,000
7 - AAACherokee Bluff-----1,000,000
8 - AAAMonroe Area1,000,000-----
8 - AAAJefferson-1,000,000----
8 - AAAHart County--566,183433,817--
8 - AAAMorgan County--433,817566,183--
8 - AAAFranklin County----433999,567
8 - AAAEast Jackson-----1,000,000
8 - AAAJackson County-----1,000,000

Class AA

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs AvgDepth Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Dublin3 - AA8-160.671,000,0004.19831,042646,005474,318262,4122.81
Rockmart7 - AA9-061.781,000,0004.00842,839570,291364,422236,6183.23
Hapeville Charter6 - AA8-158.261,000,0003.55770,711445,871215,462121,5117.23
Dodge County3 - AA9-158.881,000,0003.19692,860318,752163,87794,6009.57
Fitzgerald1 - AA7-354.921,000,0003.31621,189457,893199,41078,34111.76
Brooks County1 - AA7-255.951,000,0002.99558,929278,644118,17260,35515.57
Washington County3 - AA8-156.541,000,0002.78512,874248,411118,50057,24916.47
Callaway5 - AA8-250.111,000,0002.68501,927164,85472,63921,94344.57
Swainsboro2 - AA7-248.821,000,0002.62367,896236,61679,97421,00946.60
Rabun County8 - AA8-147.491,000,0002.84642,854253,25878,66818,69252.50
Bremen5 - AA8-149.471,000,0002.19278,61988,96834,05210,29296.16
Thomasville1 - AA5-448.351,000,0002.07173,12075,33028,8997,471132.85
Heard County5 - AA7-245.761,000,0002.21334,64182,45229,3106,288158.03
Union County8 - AA9-039.171,000,0001.73199,94644,2587,5731,001998.00
Early County1 - AA6-341.921,000,0001.6477,06317,3233,9406341,576.29
Jefferson County4 - AA7-241.761,000,0001.6094,06115,1182,7615861,705.48
Douglass6 - AA8-137.881,000,0002.01191,22423,6214,8485221,914.71
Vidalia2 - AA8-143.681,000,0001.2846,8079,8481,5973942,537.07
Washington6 - AA7-331.241,000,0001.71120,66011,6689195019,999.00
Chattooga7 - AA7-228.451,000,0001.4357,6624,3272811471,427.57
Hephzibah4 - AA8-229.541,000,0001.198,6761,3651349111,110.11
Elbert County8 - AA6-332.621,000,0001.159,857775445199,999.00
Pepperell7 - AA6-324.991,000,0001.3032,2191,666841999,999.00
Northeast3 - AA3-627.541,000,0001.106,0701,118581999,999.00
Harlem4 - AA6-325.821,000,0001.054,844837411999,999.00
Spencer5 - AA2-719.33983,0731.0613,740466111999,999.00
Toombs County2 - AA5-420.021,000,0001.021,416563--
Metter2 - AA6-323.36474,7620.491,1421012--
Jeff Davis2 - AA6-322.52523,5260.541,268421--
Monticello8 - AA4-514.20919,1130.952,29733---
Screven County4 - AA6-320.451,000,0001.0274320---
South Atlanta6 - AA5-418.07999,5471.014899---
Coosa7 - AA3-614.06714,3210.722654---
Banks County8 - AA4-57.0880,8870.0832----
Gordon Central7 - AA3-63.65285,6790.2911----
Lamar County5 - AA3-68.061,0310.004----
Jordan5 - AA2-7-8.2815,8960.023----
Bacon County2 - AA2-714.181,7120.00-----
B.E.S.T. Academy6 - AA3-66.574530.00-----
Berrien1 - AA5-431.87-------
Southwest3 - AA3-629.35-------
Bleckley County3 - AA3-626.50-------
Butler4 - AA5-419.78-------
Laney4 - AA3-68.88-------
Therrell6 - AA2-75.43-------
Glenn Hills4 - AA2-73.34-------
Putnam County8 - AA2-72.52-------
Model7 - AA2-70.08-------
East Laurens3 - AA1-8-2.80-------
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA2-7-4.31-------
Bryan County2 - AA1-8-4.86-------
Dade County7 - AA1-8-6.10-------
Westside (Augusta)4 - AA1-8-6.22-------
Social Circle8 - AA4-5-6.90-------
Temple5 - AA1-8-7.42-------
McNair6 - AA2-7-10.56-------
Armuchee7 - AA1-8-10.86-------
Josey4 - AA0-9-13.77-------
Oglethorpe County8 - AA0-9-31.10-------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team 1 2 3 4 Out
1 - AABrooks County1,000,000----
1 - AAFitzgerald-1,000,000---
1 - AAThomasville--699,255300,745-
1 - AAEarly County--300,745699,255-
1 - AABerrien----1,000,000
2 - AASwainsboro1,000,000----
2 - AAVidalia-1,000,000---
2 - AAToombs County--506,085493,915-
2 - AAJeff Davis--493,91529,611476,474
2 - AAMetter---474,762525,238
2 - AABacon County---1,712998,288
2 - AABryan County----1,000,000
3 - AADublin890,87483,13225,994--
3 - AADodge County-669,803330,197--
3 - AAWashington County109,126247,065643,809--
3 - AANortheast---1,000,000-
3 - AABleckley County----1,000,000
3 - AAEast Laurens----1,000,000
3 - AASouthwest----1,000,000
4 - AAJefferson County1,000,000----
4 - AAHephzibah-1,000,000---
4 - AAHarlem--997,2012,799-
4 - AAScreven County--2,799997,201-
4 - AAGlenn Hills----1,000,000
4 - AAButler----1,000,000
4 - AALaney----1,000,000
4 - AAWestside (Augusta)----1,000,000
4 - AAJosey----1,000,000
5 - AACallaway459,407540,593---
5 - AAHeard County359,996191,755448,249--
5 - AABremen180,597267,652551,751--
5 - AASpencer---983,07316,927
5 - AAJordan---15,896984,104
5 - AALamar County---1,031998,969
5 - AATemple----1,000,000
6 - AAHapeville Charter1,000,000----
6 - AADouglass-1,000,000---
6 - AAWashington--1,000,000--
6 - AASouth Atlanta---999,547453
6 - AAB.E.S.T. Academy---453999,547
6 - AATherrell----1,000,000
6 - AAKIPP Atlanta Collegiate----1,000,000
6 - AAMcNair----1,000,000
7 - AARockmart1,000,000----
7 - AAChattooga-553,502446,498--
7 - AAPepperell-446,498553,502--
7 - AACoosa---714,321285,679
7 - AAGordon Central---285,679714,321
7 - AAModel----1,000,000
7 - AADade County----1,000,000
7 - AAArmuchee----1,000,000
8 - AARabun County738,521261,479---
8 - AAUnion County261,479738,521---
8 - AAElbert County--980,38719,613-
8 - AAMonticello---919,11380,887
8 - AABanks County--19,61361,274919,113
8 - AAPutnam County----1,000,000
8 - AASocial Circle----1,000,000
8 - AAOglethorpe County----1,000,000

Class A-Public

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Irwin County2 - A9-070.371,000,000992,652967,059876,461770,7820.30
Clinch County2 - A8-158.241,000,000958,200852,079447,858169,1624.91
Pelham1 - A9-045.221,000,000929,976660,967349,95636,60826.32
Marion County4 - A9-040.751,000,000844,781404,603159,00111,93582.79
Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A8-138.041,000,000767,143323,87850,6325,047197.14
Commerce8 - A8-135.881,000,000405,933202,14334,6922,098475.64
Charlton County2 - A6-336.041,000,000589,63271,17927,0032,045488.00
Schley County4 - A8-132.181,000,000524,672131,83318,1491,054947.77
Mitchell County1 - A8-130.471,000,000628,119127,30925,6158211,217.03
Turner County2 - A6-327.671,000,000231,44962,9792,0471556,450.61
Greene County7 - A7-223.771,000,000476,68191,2562,4291228,195.72
Emanuel County Institute3 - A6-326.161,000,000224,03452,0724,0291188,473.58
Wilcox County2 - A4-523.35952,997103,50616,6825272049,999.00
Trion6 - A6-324.461,000,00011,4392,3493062049,999.00
Dooly County4 - A5-419.541,000,00046,8436,2033623333,332.33
Macon County4 - A5-419.851,000,00051,8718,2382703333,332.33
Chattahoochee County1 - A6-313.391,000,00063,5143,7171382499,999.00
Hancock Central7 - A6-315.881,000,00018,3721,908962499,999.00
Montgomery County3 - A6-315.401,000,00049,3365,666502499,999.00
Telfair County2 - A4-520.88121,7336,358340101999,999.00
Claxton3 - A6-317.501,000,00043,3385,336350--
Atkinson County2 - A3-615.38339,51216,0841,81615--
Manchester4 - A5-413.44177,7753,062223--
Miller County1 - A5-33.571,000,0006,0362701--
Seminole County1 - A5-40.541,000,0003,07963---
Jenkins County3 - A5-410.23418,4433,26826---
Terrell County1 - A3-6-8.45986,2315856---
Taylor County4 - A4-512.463,309371---
Washington-Wilkes7 - A3-68.04------
Gordon Lee6 - A2-75.97------
Bowdon6 - A0-94.54------
Lincoln County7 - A3-64.03------
Johnson County3 - A5-43.07------
Warren County7 - A4-52.75------
McIntosh County Academy3 - A1-8-0.09------
Hawkinsville4 - A3-6-7.61------
Greenville4 - A3-6-7.65------
Towns County8 - A2-7-9.18------
Portal3 - A1-8-9.46------
Wilkinson County7 - A1-8-10.05------
Lanier County2 - A0-9-10.67------
Calhoun County1 - A2-7-14.83------
Treutlen3 - A3-6-18.91------
Baconton Charter1 - A3-6-21.55------
Crawford County4 - A2-7-23.40------
Stewart County1 - A2-7-31.44------
Wheeler County3 - A1-8-33.49------
Twiggs County7 - A0-9-34.86------
Central (Talbotton)4 - A0-9-40.35------
Randolph-Clay1 - A0-9-55.21------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
1 - APelham842,561996,3413,659-
1 - AMitchell County157,439958,84241,158-
1 - AChattahoochee County-7,050992,950-
1 - ASeminole County--1,000,000-
1 - AMiller County--1,000,000-
1 - ATerrell County--986,23113,769
1 - ACalhoun County---1,000,000
1 - ABaconton Charter---1,000,000
1 - AStewart County---1,000,000
1 - ARandolph-Clay---1,000,000
2 - AIrwin County1,000,0001,000,000--
2 - AClinch County-999,97426-
2 - ACharlton County-575,008424,992-
2 - ATurner County--1,000,000-
2 - AWilcox County--952,99747,003
2 - AAtkinson County--339,512660,488
2 - ATelfair County--121,733878,267
2 - ALanier County---1,000,000
3 - AEmanuel County Institute187,693187,693812,307-
3 - AMontgomery County--1,000,000-
3 - AClaxton--1,000,000-
3 - AJenkins County--418,443581,557
3 - AJohnson County---1,000,000
3 - APortal---1,000,000
3 - AMcIntosh County Academy---1,000,000
3 - AWheeler County---1,000,000
3 - ATreutlen---1,000,000
4 - AMarion County674,742992,8127,188-
4 - ASchley County325,258543,484456,516-
4 - ADooly County--1,000,000-
4 - AMacon County--1,000,000-
4 - AManchester--177,775822,225
4 - ATaylor County--3,309996,691
4 - AGreenville---1,000,000
4 - AHawkinsville---1,000,000
4 - ACrawford County---1,000,000
4 - ACentral (Talbotton)---1,000,000
6 - AMount Zion (Carroll)524,757847,656152,344-
6 - ATrion--1,000,000-
6 - AGordon Lee---1,000,000
6 - ABowdon---1,000,000
7 - AGreene County758,586758,674241,326-
7 - AHancock Central--1,000,000-
7 - ALincoln County---1,000,000
7 - AWashington-Wilkes---1,000,000
7 - AWarren County---1,000,000
7 - AWilkinson County---1,000,000
7 - ATwiggs County---1,000,000
8 - ACommerce132,414132,466867,534-
8 - ATowns County---1,000,000

Class A-Private

Modal Bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team Region Rec Rating Playoffs Qtrfinals Semifinals Finals Champion Odds
Athens Academy8 - A9-052.611,000,000937,378847,426691,661456,2231.19
Eagle's Landing Christian5 - A8-148.511,000,000904,702786,964513,370254,1422.93
Prince Avenue Christian8 - A8-148.001,000,000857,313644,771335,399166,1275.02
Savannah Christian3 - A8-140.441,000,000791,330557,248172,75158,85815.99
George Walton Academy8 - A7-240.641,000,000436,136205,29171,55723,30941.90
Fellowship Christian6 - A9-035.601,000,000685,493267,67573,29216,65359.05
North Cobb Christian6 - A8-134.011,000,000656,265143,51640,5628,739113.43
Calvary Day3 - A8-132.211,000,000607,850118,25530,7125,743173.13
Hebron Christian Academy8 - A5-432.701,000,000171,43578,81616,2143,177313.76
Darlington6 - A7-230.181,000,000420,56368,82515,1472,403415.15
Mount Paran Christian6 - A7-230.471,000,00091,55841,2418,8211,434696.35
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)5 - A7-225.511,000,000338,05363,1637,9128351,196.60
Wesleyan5 - A5-426.831,000,000177,46937,4865,9597581,318.26
Aquinas7 - A8-123.991,000,000383,90645,0966,2655731,744.20
Christian Heritage6 - A6-326.631,000,00072,57725,3903,8544892,043.99
Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A6-325.041,000,000167,17931,3093,5603612,769.08
Whitefield Academy6 - A6-322.291,000,00036,7498,3238755916,948.15
Riverside Military Academy8 - A5-421.351,000,00073,8107,7356794621,738.13
Mount de Sales7 - A8-119.871,000,00043,1977,6805462539,999.00
Brookstone4 - A6-318.451,000,00030,8334,1652801855,554.56
Tattnall Square7 - A6-314.321,000,00063,3445,6793241566,665.67
Holy Innocents5 - A4-517.11995,24740,6952,9532051190,908.09
Savannah Country Day3 - A6-315.031,000,0005,896847532499,999.00
Stratford Academy7 - A4-56.90787,8854,431851--
Pinecrest Academy6 - A4-510.9299,0581,159451--
Strong Rock Christian5 - A3-66.76115,46864414---
St. Francis6 - A4-511.642,342352---
Providence Christian8 - A4-58.65------
Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A3-66.28------
Athens Christian8 - A2-70.34------
King's Ridge Christian6 - A1-8-1.83------
First Presbyterian7 - A2-7-2.69------
Landmark Christian5 - A2-7-5.29------
Lakeview Academy8 - A1-8-8.35------
Pacelli4 - A4-5-9.45------
Walker6 - A0-9-12.55------
Georgia Military College7 - A3-6-13.99------
Our Lady of Mercy5 - A0-9-20.92------

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Seed
Region Team Rgn Champ 1 to 8 9 to 24 Out
3 - ASavannah Christian812,3071,000,000--
3 - ACalvary Day-717,217282,783-
3 - ASavannah Country Day--1,000,000-
4 - ABrookstone--1,000,000-
4 - APacelli---1,000,000
5 - AEagle's Landing Christian1,000,0001,000,000--
5 - ATrinity Christian (Sharpsburg)-417,322582,678-
5 - AWesleyan-71999,929-
5 - AMount Vernon Presbyterian--1,000,000-
5 - AHoly Innocents--995,2474,753
5 - AStrong Rock Christian--115,468884,532
5 - ALandmark Christian---1,000,000
5 - AOur Lady of Mercy---1,000,000
6 - AFellowship Christian475,243999,568432-
6 - ANorth Cobb Christian-694,388305,612-
6 - ADarlington-212,362787,638-
6 - AMount Paran Christian--1,000,000-
6 - AWhitefield Academy--1,000,000-
6 - AChristian Heritage--1,000,000-
6 - APinecrest Academy--99,058900,942
6 - ASt. Francis--2,342997,658
6 - AMount Pisgah Christian---1,000,000
6 - AKing's Ridge Christian---1,000,000
6 - AWalker---1,000,000
7 - AAquinas-717,658282,342-
7 - ATattnall Square241,414241,414758,586-
7 - AMount de Sales--1,000,000-
7 - AStratford Academy--787,885212,115
7 - AFirst Presbyterian---1,000,000
7 - AGeorgia Military College---1,000,000
8 - AAthens Academy867,5861,000,000--
8 - APrince Avenue Christian-1,000,000--
8 - AGeorge Walton Academy--1,000,000-
8 - AHebron Christian Academy--1,000,000-
8 - ARiverside Military Academy--1,000,000-
8 - AAthens Christian---1,000,000
8 - AProvidence Christian---1,000,000
8 - ALakeview Academy---1,000,000

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

More Stories