Maxwell Week 4 summary

Credit: Daniel Varnado

Credit: Daniel Varnado

The Maxwell Ratings will rank the 444 teams of the Georgia High School Association and the Georgia Independent School Association throughout the 2020 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

This offseason, the Maxwell ratings underwent its most significant overall in its 35-year history. The ratings are not only more accurate, but also now offer offense and defense ratings for each team.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season’s games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season’s results in combination with each team’s historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team’s historical performance diminishes as the team’s season progresses.

The ratings are scaled so that there is a 50% chance in any given year of at least one team eclipsing a rating of 100.00.

A hypothetical score at a neutral location can be calculated between two teams by adding their offensive and defensive ratings. To account for home advantage, adjust the hypothetical scores in favor of the home team by half of the home advantage.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 550 of 587 total games including 0 tie(s) (93.70%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game scores within 9.69 points and all game margins within 12.72 points.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Home Advantage: 1.44

By Class

AAAAAAA AAAAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Colquitt County2-0105.811Valdosta2-194.38
2Grayson4-0104.252Buford2-187.00
3Lowndes4-0104.013Lee County2-186.57
4Norcross3-091.964Allatoona3-081.09
5North Gwinnett3-190.335Dacula0-280.25
6Collins Hill3-189.126Carrollton0-179.77
7North Cobb3-088.637Rome1-278.59
8Milton2-088.318Richmond Hill2-178.43
9Brookwood3-088.039Westlake2-077.83
10Mill Creek1-186.0310Northside (Warner Robins)2-277.27
11Parkview2-185.4111Houston County3-176.58
12Hillgrove1-185.1312Douglas County3-076.58
13Archer0-383.9913Lanier3-076.24
14Roswell2-083.3614Lovejoy4-074.96
15McEachern1-382.1815Kell1-274.32



AAAAA AAAA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Warner Robins2-195.281Marist3-087.01
2Blessed Trinity2-091.522Jefferson3-084.87
3Cartersville4-088.243Benedictine4-077.02
4Ware County3-085.234Bainbridge1-274.50
5Veterans3-084.935Flowery Branch2-171.29
6Calhoun3-180.076Hapeville Charter0-271.22
7Coffee2-178.117Stephenson0-070.39
8Jones County0-374.058Jenkins0-068.43
9St. Pius X2-072.959Cedartown1-268.24
10Starr's Mill3-172.5310West Laurens1-266.93
11Dutchtown1-272.2611Carver (Columbus)2-066.82
12Wayne County2-270.3212Cairo0-364.92
13Woodward Academy0-368.6113Hardaway2-163.73
14Stockbridge0-268.1314Baldwin0-063.17
15Griffin1-267.8115Troup0-362.86



AAA AA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Cedar Grove0-088.391Callaway3-076.30
2Crisp County3-083.682Fitzgerald4-074.81
3Peach County1-179.153Rabun County3-173.11
4Oconee County3-078.044Thomasville2-271.81
5Greater Atlanta Christian2-077.295Lovett2-167.52
6Pierce County3-075.536Dodge County1-164.83
7White County4-073.427Heard County4-064.26
8Westminster (Atlanta)1-071.668Pace Academy1-163.65
9Rockmart2-170.789Haralson County4-063.34
10Sandy Creek1-270.7310Bleckley County3-163.22
11Burke County0-169.2311Washington County1-261.07
12Thomson3-168.0212Jefferson County0-259.38
13Appling County2-066.7113Swainsboro2-259.32
14Mary Persons2-165.7014Cook1-258.08
15Liberty County1-063.1715Toombs County2-157.99



A Public A Private
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1Brooks County3-074.861Eagle's Landing Christian2-276.10
2Dublin0-170.342Athens Academy3-073.45
3Clinch County1-170.123Prince Avenue Christian3-168.87
4Irwin County1-269.204Wesleyan4-067.54
5Metter3-062.645Fellowship Christian3-064.79
6Commerce3-160.996North Cobb Christian4-062.30
7Pelham1-158.647Christian Heritage3-159.87
8Macon County2-056.158Holy Innocents0-359.62
9Marion County1-254.669Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)3-158.57
10Mitchell County0-254.3410Hebron Christian2-158.13
11Wilcox County2-153.4711Darlington2-157.93
12Turner County2-153.2012Savannah Christian3-157.85
13Emanuel County Institute1-152.1813Aquinas4-052.80
14Manchester1-252.1014George Walton Academy2-052.37
15McIntosh County Academy1-247.9615Calvary Day2-252.26



GISA AAA GISA AA
Rank Team Rec Rating Rank Team Rec Rating
1John Milledge Academy2-060.151Gatewood School3-042.97
2Bulloch Academy2-143.692Brentwood School2-135.65
3Tiftarea Academy2-140.963Thomas Jefferson4-030.62
4Frederica Academy1-239.224Piedmont Academy3-027.14
5Valwood School2-236.415Southwest Georgia Academy2-126.67



All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

Rank Team Region Rec Rating Offense Defense
1 [1]Colquitt County1 - AAAAAAA2-0105.8135.87-18.47
2 [2]Grayson4 - AAAAAAA4-0104.2537.24-15.53
3 [3]Lowndes1 - AAAAAAA4-0104.0139.77-12.76
4 [1]Warner Robins1 - AAAAA2-195.2834.50-9.31
5 [1]Valdosta1 - AAAAAA2-194.3833.70-9.20
6 [4]Norcross7 - AAAAAAA3-091.9631.71-8.77
7 [2]Blessed Trinity7 - AAAAA2-091.5232.33-7.71
8 [5]North Gwinnett8 - AAAAAAA3-190.3327.93-10.92
9 [6]Collins Hill8 - AAAAAAA3-189.1229.42-8.23
10 [7]North Cobb3 - AAAAAAA3-088.6330.48-6.67
11 [1]Cedar Grove5 - AAA0-088.3928.57-8.35
12 [8]Milton5 - AAAAAAA2-088.3128.69-8.14
13 [3]Cartersville7 - AAAAA4-088.2428.85-7.91
14 [9]Brookwood4 - AAAAAAA3-088.0332.78-3.77
15 [1]Marist6 - AAAA3-087.0126.75-8.79
16 [2]Buford8 - AAAAAA2-187.0028.57-6.95
17 [3]Lee County1 - AAAAAA2-186.5728.71-6.39
18 [10]Mill Creek8 - AAAAAAA1-186.0326.15-8.41
19 [11]Parkview4 - AAAAAAA2-185.4128.45-5.48
20 [4]Ware County1 - AAAAA3-085.2329.43-4.33
21 [12]Hillgrove3 - AAAAAAA1-185.1328.74-4.91
22 [5]Veterans1 - AAAAA3-084.9325.53-7.92
23 [2]Jefferson8 - AAAA3-084.8727.25-6.15
24 [13]Archer7 - AAAAAAA0-383.9926.69-5.82
25 [2]Crisp County2 - AAA3-083.6824.48-7.73
26 [14]Roswell5 - AAAAAAA2-083.3627.20-4.68
27 [15]McEachern2 - AAAAAAA1-382.1829.48-1.22
28 [4]Allatoona6 - AAAAAA3-081.0923.84-5.77
29 [16]Cherokee5 - AAAAAAA4-080.4324.54-4.41
30 [17]Newnan2 - AAAAAAA3-080.3924.83-4.08
31 [5]Dacula8 - AAAAAA0-280.2525.61-3.16
32 [18]Tift County1 - AAAAAAA0-180.0923.76-4.85
33 [6]Calhoun7 - AAAAA3-180.0723.77-4.82
34 [6]Carrollton5 - AAAAAA0-179.7726.70-1.60
35 [3]Peach County2 - AAA1-179.1524.98-2.69
36 [19]Camden County1 - AAAAAAA3-179.0624.26-3.32
37 [7]Rome5 - AAAAAA1-278.5924.64-2.48
38 [20]West Forsyth6 - AAAAAAA2-178.5623.51-3.57
39 [8]Richmond Hill2 - AAAAAA2-178.4325.38-1.57
40 [7]Coffee1 - AAAAA2-178.1123.94-2.69
41 [4]Oconee County8 - AAA3-078.0422.46-4.10
42 [21]Marietta3 - AAAAAAA1-277.9925.29-1.22
43 [9]Westlake4 - AAAAAA2-077.8323.23-3.12
44 [22]North Forsyth6 - AAAAAAA4-077.6722.17-4.02
45 [5]Greater Atlanta Christian5 - AAA2-077.2922.53-3.28
46 [10]Northside (Warner Robins)1 - AAAAAA2-277.2721.25-4.54
47 [3]Benedictine3 - AAAA4-077.0226.731.19
48 [11]Houston County1 - AAAAAA3-176.5821.30-3.80
49 [12]Douglas County5 - AAAAAA3-076.5822.12-2.98
50 [23]Walton3 - AAAAAAA2-276.4424.84-0.12
51 [1]Callaway5 - AA3-076.3023.46-1.37
52 [13]Lanier8 - AAAAAA3-076.2423.50-1.25
53 [1]Eagle's Landing Christian2 - A Private2-276.1023.65-0.98
54 [24]South Gwinnett4 - AAAAAAA3-175.9121.59-2.84
55 [6]Pierce County1 - AAA3-075.5323.16-0.89
56 [25]East Coweta2 - AAAAAAA3-174.9924.681.17
57 [14]Lovejoy4 - AAAAAA4-074.9619.87-3.61
58 [1]Brooks County2 - A Public3-074.8623.02-0.36
59 [2]Fitzgerald1 - AA4-074.8121.37-1.97
60 [26]Newton4 - AAAAAAA2-074.5421.33-1.73
61 [4]Bainbridge1 - AAAA1-274.5021.85-1.17
62 [15]Kell6 - AAAAAA1-274.3224.992.15
63 [8]Jones County4 - AAAAA0-374.0524.041.47
64 [27]South Forsyth6 - AAAAAAA2-073.9624.962.48
65 [2]Athens Academy8 - A Private3-073.4519.57-2.40
66 [7]White County7 - AAA4-073.4224.132.19
67 [3]Rabun County8 - AA3-173.1123.802.17
68 [9]St. Pius X5 - AAAAA2-072.9521.590.12
69 [10]Starr's Mill2 - AAAAA3-172.5319.62-1.44
70 [11]Dutchtown4 - AAAAA1-272.2618.23-2.55
71 [28]Harrison3 - AAAAAAA0-372.0620.52-0.06
72 [4]Thomasville1 - AA2-271.8119.95-0.38
73 [8]Westminster (Atlanta)5 - AAA1-071.6619.60-0.57
74 [16]Sprayberry6 - AAAAAA2-271.3123.423.58
75 [5]Flowery Branch8 - AAAA2-171.2922.182.37
76 [17]Creekview7 - AAAAAA2-171.2318.22-1.54
77 [6]Hapeville Charter6 - AAAA0-271.2221.611.87
78 [18]Glynn Academy2 - AAAAAA2-170.9920.330.81
79 [9]Rockmart6 - AAA2-170.7821.342.04
80 [10]Sandy Creek5 - AAA1-270.7320.160.91
81 [7]Stephenson6 - AAAA0-070.3919.230.32
82 [2]Dublin4 - A Public0-170.3421.342.47
83 [12]Wayne County1 - AAAAA2-270.3218.60-0.24
84 [3]Clinch County2 - A Public1-170.1220.792.15
85 [29]North Paulding3 - AAAAAAA1-269.8122.013.68
86 [19]Dalton5 - AAAAAA1-169.4620.972.98
87 [11]Burke County4 - AAA0-169.2321.443.69
88 [4]Irwin County2 - A Public1-269.2018.540.82
89 [30]Mountain View8 - AAAAAAA1-369.1619.641.96
90 [3]Prince Avenue Christian8 - A Private3-168.8722.765.37
91 [13]Woodward Academy3 - AAAAA0-368.6119.722.60
92 [8]Jenkins3 - AAAA0-068.4318.001.04
93 [31]Gainesville6 - AAAAAAA2-168.4020.833.90
94 [9]Cedartown7 - AAAA1-268.2416.900.14
95 [20]Alexander5 - AAAAAA2-168.2320.954.20
96 [21]Tucker4 - AAAAAA0-068.1318.952.30
97 [14]Stockbridge4 - AAAAA0-268.1319.562.91
98 [12]Thomson4 - AAA3-168.0218.752.21
99 [15]Griffin2 - AAAAA1-267.8119.803.48
100 [16]Clarke Central8 - AAAAA1-267.7419.072.81
101 [4]Wesleyan5 - A Private4-067.5417.351.29
102 [5]Lovett6 - AA2-167.5218.352.31
103 [17]Harris County2 - AAAAA3-067.3017.201.38
104 [22]Johns Creek7 - AAAAAA0-267.0418.833.27
105 [10]West Laurens4 - AAAA1-266.9317.932.48
106 [11]Carver (Columbus)2 - AAAA2-066.8221.275.93
107 [13]Appling County1 - AAA2-066.7117.872.64
108 [23]Hughes4 - AAAAAA2-066.5417.112.05
109 [18]Ola4 - AAAAA3-066.3820.885.98
110 [14]Mary Persons2 - AAA2-165.7018.794.56
111 [32]Alpharetta5 - AAAAAAA1-165.6815.701.50
112 [19]Creekside3 - AAAAA0-265.3417.763.90
113 [24]Brunswick2 - AAAAAA2-265.3016.532.71
114 [12]Cairo1 - AAAA0-364.9217.784.34
115 [6]Dodge County3 - AA1-164.8318.675.31
116 [5]Fellowship Christian6 - A Private3-064.7919.746.43
117 [20]Cass7 - AAAAA4-064.6414.140.97
118 [7]Heard County5 - AA4-064.2619.146.35
119 [13]Hardaway2 - AAAA2-163.7315.893.64
120 [8]Pace Academy6 - AA1-163.6514.482.31
121 [25]Riverwood7 - AAAAAA2-063.4216.995.05
122 [9]Haralson County5 - AA4-063.3417.075.20
123 [10]Bleckley County3 - AA3-163.2217.786.05
124 [14]Baldwin4 - AAAA0-063.1717.485.78
125 [15]Liberty County3 - AAA1-063.1716.594.90
126 [26]River Ridge7 - AAAAAA3-063.1016.514.89
127 [27]Shiloh8 - AAAAAA1-163.0915.213.60
128 [16]Stephens County8 - AAA3-163.0617.025.44
129 [33]Woodstock5 - AAAAAAA2-262.9016.965.54
130 [21]Union Grove4 - AAAAA2-162.8717.235.83
131 [15]Troup2 - AAAA0-362.8617.606.22
132 [5]Metter3 - A Public3-062.6414.433.27
133 [22]Southwest DeKalb5 - AAAAA0-062.4814.353.35
134 [16]Mays6 - AAAA2-262.3818.577.67
135 [6]North Cobb Christian7 - A Private4-062.3017.596.77
136 [17]Hart County8 - AAA1-262.1518.197.51
137 [18]Dawson County7 - AAA1-362.1418.858.19
138 [34]Peachtree Ridge8 - AAAAAAA3-062.1116.706.07
139 [35]Lambert6 - AAAAAAA4-062.0415.845.27
140 [17]Thomas County Central1 - AAAA1-261.8717.617.22
141 [23]Eastside8 - AAAAA2-161.8316.906.54
142 [28]East Paulding5 - AAAAAA3-061.8117.417.08
143 [36]Forsyth Central6 - AAAAAAA2-061.7115.445.21
144 [24]Northgate2 - AAAAA2-161.3716.796.90
145 [18]Perry4 - AAAA0-261.1115.125.48
146 [11]Washington County3 - AA1-261.0716.316.72
147 [6]Commerce8 - A Public3-160.9917.167.65
148 [29]South Paulding5 - AAAAAA2-160.5116.537.50
149 [19]Northwest Whitfield7 - AAAA4-060.4813.994.99
150 [19]Upson-Lee2 - AAA2-160.2315.957.19
151 [1]John Milledge AcademyGISA 4 - AAA2-060.1514.836.16
152 [20]Howard4 - AAAA1-160.0516.087.51
153 [30]Statesboro2 - AAAAAA0-260.0513.975.40
154 [31]Sequoyah7 - AAAAAA0-359.9016.217.78
155 [7]Christian Heritage7 - A Private3-159.8715.637.24
156 [32]Central Gwinnett8 - AAAAAA1-359.7416.288.01
157 [37]Etowah5 - AAAAAAA0-359.6815.076.86
158 [8]Holy Innocents5 - A Private0-359.6215.026.88
159 [20]Monroe Area8 - AAA2-159.5614.316.23
160 [12]Jefferson County4 - AA0-259.3815.257.34
161 [13]Swainsboro2 - AA2-259.3213.595.74
162 [21]Cedar Shoals8 - AAAA0-359.2612.945.16
163 [38]Pebblebrook2 - AAAAAAA3-159.0416.118.55
164 [33]Habersham Central8 - AAAAAA2-158.8616.869.48
165 [25]Jonesboro3 - AAAAA2-058.7712.445.15
166 [7]Pelham1 - A Public1-158.6416.219.05
167 [9]Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)4 - A Private3-158.5713.055.96
168 [21]Carver (Atlanta)5 - AAA0-358.3415.228.36
169 [22]Jackson2 - AAA1-158.3314.527.67
170 [22]New Hampstead3 - AAAA0-058.1315.088.42
171 [10]Hebron Christian5 - A Private2-158.1313.747.09
172 [14]Cook1 - AA1-258.0814.047.44
173 [15]Toombs County2 - AA2-157.9914.367.84
174 [11]Darlington7 - A Private2-157.9314.377.91
175 [12]Savannah Christian3 - A Private3-157.8514.217.84
176 [39]Denmark6 - AAAAAAA0-357.7713.286.98
177 [26]Loganville8 - AAAAA1-257.7312.526.27
178 [34]Evans3 - AAAAAA3-157.7113.927.69
179 [27]New Manchester6 - AAAAA2-257.6014.308.18
180 [16]Pepperell7 - AA1-257.3413.527.66
181 [28]Locust Grove4 - AAAAA2-157.2614.188.40
182 [23]North Murray6 - AAA1-157.2014.458.73
183 [35]Winder-Barrow8 - AAAAAA1-257.0914.218.60
184 [29]Chapel Hill6 - AAAAA1-257.0813.748.14
185 [24]Douglass5 - AAA0-256.6712.717.51
186 [23]Westover1 - AAAA0-056.6313.488.33
187 [25]Richmond Academy4 - AAA3-056.4311.276.32
188 [17]Early County1 - AA2-056.4212.197.25
189 [30]Greenbrier8 - AAAAA3-056.4213.228.28
190 [36]Wheeler6 - AAAAAA1-356.4213.118.17
191 [18]Bremen5 - AA2-256.3014.569.74
192 [8]Macon County5 - A Public2-056.1513.098.42
193 [24]North Oconee8 - AAAA0-456.1314.9610.31
194 [37]Pope6 - AAAAAA1-256.1212.978.33
195 [38]Cambridge7 - AAAAAA1-155.9112.708.27
196 [39]Rockdale County3 - AAAAAA †0-055.7412.738.47
197 [25]Westside (Macon)4 - AAAA0-255.6613.289.10
198 [40]Bradwell Institute2 - AAAAAA0-155.3313.759.90
199 [19]Jeff Davis2 - AA3-054.9012.719.29
200 [41]Paulding County5 - AAAAAA2-154.7713.189.88
201 [26]Riverdale5 - AAAA2-154.6812.649.43
202 [9]Marion County5 - A Public1-254.6613.4210.24
203 [20]Vidalia2 - AA0-254.639.886.73
204 [10]Mitchell County1 - A Public0-254.3413.1410.28
205 [40]Meadowcreek7 - AAAAAAA1-353.9515.7213.25
206 [42]Heritage (Conyers)3 - AAAAAA †0-053.5310.608.55
207 [11]Wilcox County4 - A Public2-153.4711.089.09
208 [26]Americus-Sumter2 - AAA0-253.3711.029.12
209 [12]Turner County2 - A Public2-153.2011.489.75
210 [43]North Atlanta4 - AAAAAA2-053.1711.499.79
211 [27]North Hall7 - AAA0-352.9011.4210.00
212 [21]Worth County1 - AA3-152.8412.9411.58
213 [13]Aquinas3 - A Private4-052.8013.0611.74
214 [31]Woodland (Stockbridge)4 - AAAAA3-052.4913.7312.72
215 [44]Lakeside (Evans)3 - AAAAAA1-252.489.268.26
216 [22]Northeast3 - AA1-152.4612.1311.14
217 [23]Elbert County8 - AA1-252.4511.6110.63
218 [27]Heritage (Ringgold)7 - AAAA3-152.4211.2710.33
219 [28]Central (Carrollton)7 - AAAA1-152.3911.9110.99
220 [14]George Walton Academy8 - A Private2-052.3710.9010.01
221 [15]Calvary Day3 - A Private2-252.2610.409.61
222 [13]Emanuel County Institute3 - A Public1-152.1813.0112.31
223 [32]Banneker3 - AAAAA0-152.1210.299.65
224 [14]Manchester5 - A Public1-252.1011.5610.94
225 [28]Franklin County8 - AAA4-051.799.789.47
226 [45]South Effingham2 - AAAAAA0-351.7512.8412.57
227 [29]LaGrange2 - AAAA2-151.7311.1910.93
228 [46]Morrow4 - AAAAAA1-151.7211.1210.87
229 [29]Morgan County4 - AAA1-251.549.469.39
230 [24]Southwest3 - AA1-051.4910.5410.53
231 [30]Madison County8 - AAAA1-251.469.709.72
232 [33]Eagle's Landing4 - AAAAA0-351.448.979.01
233 [34]M.L. King5 - AAAAA0-051.449.919.95
234 [25]Columbia6 - AA0-051.2211.0711.33
235 [47]Effingham County2 - AAAAAA1-250.9310.4611.01
236 [48]Centennial7 - AAAAAA0-250.8013.8114.49
237 [26]Lamar County3 - AA2-250.2311.4512.70
238 [30]Sonoraville6 - AAA2-050.1911.0412.34
239 [27]Union County8 - AA1-250.1411.1712.51
240 [35]Northview5 - AAAAA0-249.9611.6613.17
241 [28]Temple5 - AA2-249.927.769.32
242 [36]Mundy's Mill3 - AAAAA1-249.8411.7713.40
243 [37]Northside (Columbus)2 - AAAAA3-149.8012.5814.25
244 [31]Central (Macon)2 - AAA1-149.629.5011.36
245 [16]Whitefield Academy2 - A Private1-249.609.1311.01
246 [32]Adairsville6 - AAA2-149.5910.1812.07
247 [49]Chattahoochee7 - AAAAAA1-149.3812.3814.48
248 [17]Mount Vernon Presbyterian5 - A Private1-249.3011.3313.51
249 [38]Hiram7 - AAAAA0-449.2710.4412.65
250 [39]Whitewater2 - AAAAA1-349.159.2911.62
251 [18]Mount de Sales1 - A Private2-149.099.8112.19
252 [31]Islands3 - AAAA0-048.7210.1412.90
253 [19]Mount Pisgah Christian6 - A Private2-248.5210.6313.59
254 [50]Lassiter6 - AAAAAA1-348.509.4212.40
255 [40]Decatur5 - AAAAA0-048.378.4511.56
256 [32]Arabia Mountain6 - AAAA0-048.188.4311.73
257 [33]Pickens7 - AAAA2-248.087.1710.56
258 [15]McIntosh County Academy3 - A Public1-247.968.0811.59
259 [29]Fannin County7 - AA2-047.689.0012.80
260 [51]Kennesaw Mountain6 - AAAAAA0-447.559.8513.78
261 [41]Woodland (Cartersville)7 - AAAAA3-047.518.0011.96
262 [42]Villa Rica6 - AAAAA1-247.488.0212.02
263 [20]Tattnall Square1 - A Private3-047.318.1112.28
264 [43]Lithonia5 - AAAAA0-047.258.2312.46
265 [16]Lincoln County8 - A Public2-147.236.9011.14
266 [17]Schley County5 - A Public2-147.188.8413.14
267 [34]Monroe1 - AAAA0-046.948.9513.48
268 [30]Putnam County4 - AA3-046.847.3912.03
269 [21]First Presbyterian1 - A Private2-146.839.0013.65
270 [18]Dooly County4 - A Public0-046.719.1713.93
271 [22]Savannah Country Day3 - A Private0-246.718.7113.48
272 [19]Washington-Wilkes8 - A Public2-046.518.0713.04
273 [31]South Atlanta6 - AA1-246.357.0412.16
274 [44]Tri-Cities3 - AAAAA2-046.038.9214.36
275 [20]Lanier County2 - A Public3-046.028.3913.85
276 [33]Ringgold6 - AAA1-245.939.8415.39
277 [34]Southeast Bulloch3 - AAA2-145.927.1112.67
278 [41]Discovery7 - AAAAAAA1-345.906.5612.14
279 [21]Taylor County5 - A Public2-045.778.8614.57
280 [45]Apalachee8 - AAAAA0-345.648.8814.72
281 [46]Jackson County8 - AAAAA1-245.646.4212.27
282 [35]Pike County2 - AAA0-145.567.6713.58
283 [32]Chattooga7 - AA1-345.439.9215.97
284 [36]Cherokee Bluff7 - AAA3-045.417.9714.04
285 [37]Windsor Forest3 - AAA0-045.306.5312.71
286 [35]Spalding4 - AAAA0-345.048.3514.79
287 [36]Ridgeland7 - AAAA0-444.918.1014.67
288 [23]Stratford Academy1 - A Private0-144.785.8312.53
289 [42]Campbell2 - AAAAAAA1-344.768.1814.89
290 [24]Mount Paran Christian7 - A Private0-344.695.4912.27
291 [37]Luella5 - AAAA2-144.605.7112.59
292 [22]Screven County3 - A Public0-244.568.5515.47
293 [43]Duluth7 - AAAAAAA1-144.528.7415.70
294 [33]Model7 - AA2-244.395.2212.30
295 [23]Claxton3 - A Public1-244.376.2213.33
296 [24]Johnson County4 - A Public2-144.325.1512.31
297 [47]Maynard Jackson6 - AAAAA0-344.234.7912.03
298 [38]Fayette County5 - AAAA2-144.064.4811.91
299 [52]Grovetown3 - AAAAAA1-343.935.4012.95
300 [39]Shaw2 - AAAA0-243.915.9813.54
301 [25]Atkinson County2 - A Public3-143.917.3414.91
302 [2]Bulloch AcademyGISA 2 - AAA2-143.698.1015.88
303 [34]Washington6 - AA1-243.656.4414.27
304 [38]Beach3 - AAA0-043.558.6916.62
305 [40]East Hall8 - AAAA2-143.559.9717.90
306 [25]Brookstone4 - A Private2-243.476.4314.43
307 [41]Mount Zion (Jonesboro)5 - AAAA0-343.465.7813.80
308 [44]Dunwoody7 - AAAAAAA0-043.376.5914.70
309 [26]Chattahoochee County5 - A Public2-043.195.6613.95
310 [26]Athens Christian8 - A Private3-043.035.8514.30
311 [1]Gatewood SchoolGISA 1 - AA3-042.976.0414.55
312 [27]Charlton County2 - A Public2-142.978.2016.71
313 [53]Alcovy3 - AAAAAA0-442.898.5017.09
314 [35]Bacon County2 - AA3-142.836.8615.51
315 [28]Gordon Lee6 - A Public3-042.818.0916.75
316 [29]Bowdon6 - A Public1-342.654.5813.41
317 [39]Hephzibah4 - AAA0-142.506.7915.77
318 [40]Salem5 - AAA †0-042.266.7816.00
319 [48]Drew3 - AAAAA1-242.035.4114.86
320 [41]Harlem4 - AAA0-341.717.5617.32
321 [30]B.E.S.T. Academy6 - A Public1-141.626.3716.23
322 [27]Strong Rock Christian1 - A Private3-041.486.0316.04
323 [31]Mount Zion (Carroll)6 - A Public3-040.964.3514.87
324 [3]Tiftarea AcademyGISA 3 - AAA2-140.966.7917.31
325 [32]Telfair County4 - A Public2-240.916.0416.61
326 [28]Pacelli4 - A Private3-040.826.0016.66
327 [54]South Cobb6 - AAAAAA0-340.737.2918.05
328 [33]Montgomery County4 - A Public2-040.366.6517.76
329 [42]Hampton5 - AAAA1-340.084.7116.11
330 [42]West Hall7 - AAA2-239.943.9815.51
331 [43]Dougherty1 - AAAA0-039.923.4915.04
332 [49]Walnut Grove8 - AAAAA1-239.754.8416.57
333 [50]Lithia Springs6 - AAAAA0-339.555.6617.59
334 [4]Frederica AcademyGISA 2 - AAA1-239.224.1816.44
335 [43]LaFayette6 - AAA1-238.896.9719.56
336 [34]Hancock Central7 - A Public1-038.773.6116.31
337 [44]Columbus2 - AAAA0-338.346.6119.75
338 [35]Warren County7 - A Public2-138.284.2517.44
339 [36]Therrell6 - AA1-238.104.7618.14
340 [36]Hawkinsville4 - A Public2-138.013.1316.60
341 [51]Grady6 - AAAAA0-337.984.8618.36
342 [44]Gilmer7 - AAA2-137.633.6217.47
343 [37]Coosa7 - AA2-137.614.4418.31
344 [37]Trion6 - A Public1-236.925.2619.82
345 [5]Valwood SchoolGISA 3 - AAA2-236.414.8319.89
346 [45]Miller Grove6 - AAAA0-036.41-0.1914.88
347 [6]Pinewood ChristianGISA 2 - AAA1-036.044.5419.98
348 [29]St. Francis6 - A Private0-335.854.5220.15
349 [52]McIntosh2 - AAAAA0-435.765.2320.94
350 [2]Brentwood SchoolGISA 1 - AA2-135.654.1019.93
351 [38]Berrien1 - AA1-235.454.8520.88
352 [38]Wheeler County4 - A Public3-035.422.8818.94
353 [45]Tattnall County1 - AAA0-235.392.4918.57
354 [46]Chestatee8 - AAAA0-335.194.1320.42
355 [53]Stone Mountain5 - AAAAA0-035.122.9319.29
356 [30]Lakeview Academy6 - A Private1-135.092.9819.37
357 [39]Laney4 - AA0-234.26-0.8016.41
358 [39]Terrell County1 - A Public0-134.221.7018.95
359 [47]McDonough5 - AAAA0-333.952.5320.06
360 [46]Redan5 - AAA0-032.802.8421.52
361 [31]Deerfield-Windsor1 - A Private2-232.780.7019.40
362 [54]North Springs6 - AAAAA0-232.533.4822.43
363 [47]Coahulla Creek6 - AAA1-232.280.7319.93
364 [40]Butler4 - AA2-032.16-0.5218.80
365 [41]Westside (Augusta)4 - AA1-231.94-2.2917.24
366 [42]Monticello3 - AA0-331.571.1021.01
367 [43]Gordon Central7 - AA1-231.50-0.7719.20
368 [32]Heritage School4 - A Private0-331.341.2221.35
369 [44]East Laurens2 - AA2-131.240.9621.20
370 [48]Rutland4 - AAAA0-231.080.6121.01
371 [45]Banks County8 - AA1-331.000.3620.83
372 [40]Wilkinson County7 - A Public0-230.85-0.8419.79
373 [48]Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe6 - AAA0-330.78-0.3420.36
374 [49]East Jackson8 - AAA1-130.651.2422.08
375 [3]Thomas JeffersonGISA 4 - AA4-030.620.1020.95
376 [41]Jenkins County3 - A Public0-330.32-2.4818.67
377 [50]Murray County6 - AAA1-230.041.2922.73
378 [49]Jordan2 - AAAA1-129.770.4122.11
379 [55]Lakeside (Atlanta)4 - AAAAAA †0-029.59-0.4221.47
380 [7]Brookwood SchoolGISA 3 - AAA1-129.520.4322.39
381 [56]Osborne6 - AAAAAA1-229.340.6622.80
382 [42]Greenville5 - A Public1-229.211.3723.64
383 [45]Berkmar7 - AAAAAAA0-228.22-2.3120.95
384 [46]KIPP Atlanta Collegiate6 - AA0-027.94-1.9121.62
385 [51]Brantley County1 - AAA0-427.71-2.9620.81
386 [4]Piedmont AcademyGISA 1 - AA3-027.14-2.6821.65
387 [47]Dade County7 - AA1-226.832.0126.66
388 [5]Southwest Georgia AcademyGISA 2 - AA2-126.670.8625.66
389 [48]Glenn Hills4 - AA0-226.57-2.6122.30
390 [6]Terrell AcademyGISA 2 - AA2-126.54-3.5321.42
391 [55]Chamblee5 - AAAAA †0-026.18-1.5023.80
392 [43]Towns County8 - A Public2-226.01-2.0823.38
393 [52]Savannah3 - AAA0-025.85-3.0622.57
394 [53]Johnson (Savannah)3 - AAA0-025.82-1.8623.80
395 [50]Spencer2 - AAAA0-425.64-4.8820.95
396 [44]Armuchee6 - A Public1-125.53-4.1121.84
397 [8]Southland AcademyGISA 3 - AAA0-325.17-4.6221.69
398 [33]King's Ridge Christian6 - A Private1-025.15-3.1023.24
399 [45]Miller County1 - A Public1-324.93-2.5923.95
400 [9]Creekside ChristianGISA 4 - AAA2-023.99-2.6624.82
401 [46]Treutlen4 - A Public1-223.84-4.3723.27
402 [56]Forest Park3 - AAAAA0-323.60-3.9423.94
403 [51]Kendrick2 - AAAA0-223.39-2.8125.28
404 [49]Towers6 - AA0-023.34-4.2923.84
405 [34]Walker7 - A Private0-423.29-4.5523.63
406 [52]Druid Hills6 - AAAA0-023.25-3.6924.54
407 [53]North Clayton5 - AAAA0-423.22-7.3120.95
408 [7]Briarwood AcademyGISA 4 - AA1-121.95-2.7626.77
409 [47]Seminole County1 - A Public0-321.87-4.1925.42
410 [57]Johnson (Gainesville)8 - AAAAA0-321.35-3.5526.58
411 [35]Landmark Christian2 - A Private0-421.16-4.0126.31
412 [10]Westfield SchoolGISA 4 - AAA1-021.10-5.3725.00
413 [54]Long County1 - AAA0-420.78-4.1726.53
414 [48]Greene County8 - A Public0-320.63-1.1429.71
415 [11]St. Andrew's SchoolGISA 2 - AAA0-1-120.53-5.5125.43
416 [36]Loganville Christian8 - A Private1-220.11-5.4525.92
417 [50]Oglethorpe County4 - AA0-219.26-9.0323.19
418 [49]Social Circle8 - A Public1-319.02-2.3130.15
419 [51]Josey4 - AA1-018.22-5.5327.73
420 [52]McNair6 - AA0-018.10-5.8627.52
421 [8]Memorial DayGISA 2 - AA1-117.98-4.6228.88
422 [9]Edmund Burke AcademyGISA 4 - AA1-317.27-5.9728.24
423 [50]Crawford County7 - A Public0-316.95-4.0430.48
424 [54]Southeast Whitfield7 - AAAA0-416.29-4.1631.03
425 [51]Calhoun County1 - A Public0-014.30-8.9828.20
426 [55]Lumpkin County7 - AAA0-314.03-6.7930.66
427 [12]Bethlehem Christian AcademyGISA 4 - AAA1-213.88-8.7428.86
428 [52]Portal3 - A Public0-313.60-7.2630.61
429 [56]Groves3 - AAA0-013.44-8.9729.06
430 [57]Cross Creek4 - AAA0-413.42-11.4926.56
431 [10]Robert Toombs AcademyGISA 2 - AA0-112.93-6.6531.90
432 [53]Bryan County3 - A Public0-211.49-9.4430.55
433 [37]Providence Christian5 - A Private0-311.46-9.3930.62
434 [54]Randolph-Clay1 - A Public0-29.75-7.9333.80
435 [55]Baconton Charter1 - A Public †1-29.48-11.2030.80
436 [56]ACE Charter7 - A Public1-28.33-12.0031.15
437 [57]Georgia Military College7 - A Public1-28.25-11.1532.08
438 [58]Glascock County7 - A Public †2-27.87-14.0829.53
439 [13]Trinity Christian (Dublin)GISA 2 - AAA0-43.26-11.3036.92
440 [59]Pataula Charter1 - A Public †0-4-5.29-21.0835.69
441 [11]Augusta PrepGISA 4 - AA2-2-5.60-12.8444.24
442 [60]Central (Talbotton)5 - A Public0-3-7.46-18.8440.09
443 [58]Cross Keys5 - AAAAA †0-0-33.47-31.0753.88
444 [61]GSIC7 - A Public †0-2-41.97-38.5454.91



† - Plays a non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating,” which is the mode of the Extreme Value Type I Distribution (i.e., the Gumbel minimum distribution) applied to the ratings. This calculation favors regions with large numbers of highly rated teams. The “Average Rating” is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Teams Comp Rating Avg Rating
11 - AAAAAAA498.9092.24
24 - AAAAAAA591.5285.63
31 - AAAAAA487.7983.70
41 - AAAAA587.2482.78
58 - AAAAAAA584.8579.35
63 - AAAAAAA681.8178.34
77 - AAAAA678.9670.21
85 - AAAAAAA678.9473.39
92 - AAAAAAA575.0768.27
108 - AAAAAA774.7168.90
115 - AAAAAA873.0768.72
126 - AAAAAAA772.8068.59
135 - AAA770.6665.13
142 - AAA868.7161.96
153 - AAAA468.7163.08
164 - AAAAA867.5463.11
174 - AAAAAA667.4465.39
187 - AAAAAAA767.4155.99
196 - AAAA767.0756.98
202 - AAAAAA766.8861.82
215 - AA566.6762.02
228 - AAAA765.5157.39
231 - AA664.5558.24
248 - AAA664.4157.54
256 - AAAAAA964.2956.15
267 - AAAAAA863.9960.10
272 - A Public763.6957.18
282 - AAAAA763.6457.67
291 - AAAA663.1457.46
308 - A Private560.9551.56
312 - A Private360.0648.95
324 - AAAA759.8654.72
338 - AA459.2351.67
343 - AA758.2853.55
355 - A Private557.6749.21
364 - AAA757.2548.98
373 - AAAAA857.1850.79
381 - AAA556.4245.22
397 - A Private556.1049.62
408 - AAAAA855.9649.51
417 - AAAA755.8348.97
427 - AAA755.2146.50
432 - AA654.7250.15
443 - A Private454.5352.41
453 - AAAAAA453.9049.25
462 - AAAA953.2745.13
475 - AAAAA751.9852.51
486 - AAA951.8445.07
496 - AA950.4042.21
504 - A Public950.2843.71
516 - AAAAA749.8245.21
526 - A Private549.1041.88
534 - A Private448.6843.55
545 - A Public847.9540.10
553 - A Public846.6838.39
567 - AA746.5441.54
571 - A Private646.2043.71
583 - AAA745.3837.58
595 - AAAA745.0940.58
608 - A Public644.8936.73
616 - A Public641.3938.41
624 - AA840.6233.58
63GISA 4 - AAA439.5129.78
64GISA 1 - AA338.5735.26
65GISA 3 - AAA436.2333.02
66GISA 2 - AAA535.4128.55
671 - A Public735.1531.15
68GISA 2 - AA424.4821.03
697 - A Public624.1623.57
70GISA 4 - AA422.3016.06

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Favorite Underdog Score Diff Prob Likelihood
09/25North GwinnettLovejoy7 - 1916.8186.4%0.200
09/25CartersvilleCreekside21 - 1821.4791.4%0.340
09/18Lincoln CountyWestside (Augusta)7 - 616.7386.3%0.361
09/12LovejoyCarver (Atlanta)27 - 2616.6286.2%0.363
09/18LovejoyEagle's Landing12 - 624.9694.0%0.368
09/04Clinch CountyMacon County19 - 2112.5479.9%0.371
09/25EastsideAlcovy34 - 3118.9589.0%0.372
09/18Glascock CountyAugusta Prep29 - 2714.9183.8%0.403
09/25Mount Zion (Carroll)Towns County21 - 2013.5181.6%0.404
09/18HarrisonHughes7 - 146.9568.3%0.404
09/04Telfair CountyWheeler County19 - 266.9368.2%0.405
09/25CassTemple17 - 1416.1685.6%0.406
09/18Jeff DavisBrantley County14 - 625.7694.5%0.411
09/25FitzgeraldJefferson County14 - 1213.9982.4%0.415
09/18Irwin CountyCook20 - 219.6974.4%0.424

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Prob
105.3411/06Colquitt CountyLowndes - 3.2458.8%
98.1810/09LowndesValdosta - 8.1971.2%
96.8909/25Colquitt CountyValdosta24 - 1012.8780.5%
95.5409/04ValdostaWarner Robins28 - 250.5351.5%
91.8811/06GraysonBrookwood - 14.7983.6%
91.4209/18GraysonCollins Hill28 - 716.5786.1%
90.5110/30Blessed TrinityCartersville - 1.8455.1%
90.4410/30Collins HillNorth Gwinnett - 0.2250.6%
90.2610/09Warner RobinsLee County - 7.2769.0%
90.1211/13ValdostaLee County - 6.3766.9%
89.9310/09North GwinnettNorth Cobb - 3.1458.6%
89.0210/02MiltonCedar Grove - 1.3653.7%
88.8011/20Warner RobinsVeterans - 8.9172.8%
88.6709/25LowndesLee County38 - 1318.8788.9%
88.4909/04NorcrossHillgrove30 - 215.3964.4%