Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 8

August 20, 2021 - Kennesaw, Ga: Buford wide receiver Tobi Olawale (4) celebrates his receiving touchdown with running back Victor Venn (6) during the second half against North Cobb at North Cobb high school Friday, August 20, 2021 in Kennesaw, Ga.. Buford won 35-27. JASON GETZ FOR THE ATLANTA JOURNAL-CONSTITUTION

By Loren Maxwell

Oct 4, 2023

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2023 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAAA	6-0	97.68	999,994	3.98	899,280	665,319	435,485	250,463	2.99
Buford	8-AAAAAAA	6-0	97.39	999,997	3.95	895,153	652,759	421,864	236,620	3.23
Newton	4-AAAAAAA	6-0	95.48	999,764	3.65	906,154	479,025	289,376	147,180	5.79
Walton	5-AAAAAAA	5-0	95.14	999,988	3.73	873,631	589,230	287,063	144,446	5.92
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAAA	6-0	95.24	999,988	3.50	728,034	558,644	287,979	144,393	5.93
Westlake	2-AAAAAAA	5-1	90.48	999,980	2.97	602,235	302,114	109,370	39,606	24.25
Carrollton	2-AAAAAAA	5-1	86.71	999,941	2.57	415,322	172,450	45,799	12,206	80.93
North Cobb	5-AAAAAAA	3-2	85.65	999,598	2.70	576,408	190,821	45,555	10,993	89.97
Parkview	4-AAAAAAA	5-1	84.09	991,923	2.50	551,337	113,845	29,417	6,277	158.31
Milton	6-AAAAAAA	3-2	82.43	999,566	2.31	325,030	86,388	16,701	3,062	325.58
Grayson	4-AAAAAAA	4-2	82.43	955,265	2.14	394,858	70,825	14,601	2,587	385.55
Norcross	7-AAAAAAA	5-1	81.14	999,993	2.02	125,351	37,427	8,083	1,293	772.40
Lambert	6-AAAAAAA	5-0	77.80	997,691	1.90	156,502	30,384	3,645	398	2,511.56
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAAA	5-2	77.91	1,000,000	1.84	76,376	19,930	3,008	367	2,723.80
East Coweta	2-AAAAAAA	5-1	73.72	997,473	1.74	75,222	7,628	612	42	23,808.52
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAAA	6-0	72.22	999,982	1.51	30,294	4,702	370	22	45,453.55
Archer	4-AAAAAAA	3-3	72.39	775,912	1.03	52,667	4,284	299	19	52,630.58
McEachern	3-AAAAAAA	2-4	68.49	954,775	1.43	64,500	2,901	188	6	166,665.67
Marietta	3-AAAAAAA	1-5	67.37	940,945	1.33	49,115	2,010	139	6	166,665.67
North Paulding	3-AAAAAAA	5-1	67.11	936,518	1.31	45,671	1,859	121	5	199,999.00
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	4-1	68.47	968,901	1.27	17,396	1,633	86	4	249,999.00
Valdosta	1-AAAAAAA	4-2	69.32	919,925	1.12	35,791	1,964	96	2	499,999.00
Harrison	3-AAAAAAA	6-0	66.36	925,141	1.25	37,576	1,363	67	2	499,999.00
Camden County	1-AAAAAAA	5-1	65.76	840,149	0.94	16,885	512	13	1	999,999.00
Wheeler	5-AAAAAAA	4-1	66.50	941,371	1.01	10,209	586	27	-	-
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAAA	4-2	66.10	849,947	0.96	18,346	600	19	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAAA	3-3	65.32	985,124	1.06	9,645	433	11	-	-
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAAA	4-2	66.67	261,747	0.29	3,300	214	5	-	-
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAAA	1-5	62.50	892,506	0.93	3,791	117	1	-	-
Lowndes	1-AAAAAAA	3-2	57.07	389,991	0.40	1,045	8	-	-	-
Pebblebrook	2-AAAAAAA	2-4	51.51	726,428	0.80	1,626	6	-	-	-
Cherokee	5-AAAAAAA	1-4	55.02	529,447	0.53	210	6	-	-	-
Denmark	6-AAAAAAA	2-3	54.97	571,426	0.60	244	4	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAAA	4-2	49.69	918,179	0.94	313	3	-	-	-
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAAA	2-4	52.13	242,621	0.25	152	2	-	-	-
Osborne	5-AAAAAAA	5-0	54.07	468,292	0.47	112	2	-	-	-
Brookwood	4-AAAAAAA	3-3	59.19	15,389	0.02	92	1	-	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAAA	0-5	51.63	351,951	0.36	45	1	-	-	-
Campbell	2-AAAAAAA	2-4	43.70	276,178	0.29	72	-	-	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAAA	1-5	48.55	93,316	0.09	7	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAAA	2-3	45.13	110,465	0.11	3	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAAA	0-6	30.77	72,351	0.07	-	-	-	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAAAA	1-4	42.75	61,304	0.06	-	-	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAAA	2-4	40.67	29,063	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAAA	2-3-1	20.76	9,495	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	7-AAAAAAA	1-6	10.15	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	953,835	43,707	1,982	464	999,988	12
1-AAAAAAA	Valdosta	23,963	415,835	301,753	178,374	919,925	80,075
1-AAAAAAA	Richmond Hill	11,079	255,951	305,420	277,497	849,947	150,053
1-AAAAAAA	Camden County	10,378	240,273	299,505	289,993	840,149	159,851
1-AAAAAAA	Lowndes	745	44,234	91,340	253,672	389,991	610,009
2-AAAAAAA	Westlake	600,137	338,119	60,828	896	999,980	20
2-AAAAAAA	Carrollton	365,658	508,052	123,890	2,341	999,941	59
2-AAAAAAA	East Coweta	34,114	152,556	764,724	46,079	997,473	2,527
2-AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	85	1,124	43,375	681,844	726,428	273,572
2-AAAAAAA	Campbell	6	149	7,183	268,840	276,178	723,822
3-AAAAAAA	McEachern	302,253	262,355	220,832	169,335	954,775	45,225
3-AAAAAAA	Marietta	248,554	248,003	240,500	203,888	940,945	59,055
3-AAAAAAA	North Paulding	237,279	243,405	244,425	211,409	936,518	63,482
3-AAAAAAA	Harrison	207,356	228,915	251,675	237,195	925,141	74,859
3-AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	4,558	17,322	42,568	178,173	242,621	757,379
4-AAAAAAA	Newton	816,323	151,700	27,656	4,085	999,764	236
4-AAAAAAA	Parkview	144,675	436,013	319,956	91,279	991,923	8,077
4-AAAAAAA	Grayson	29,213	345,261	419,907	160,884	955,265	44,735
4-AAAAAAA	Archer	9,363	62,474	188,942	515,133	775,912	224,088
4-AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	413	4,079	40,390	216,865	261,747	738,253
4-AAAAAAA	Brookwood	13	473	3,149	11,754	15,389	984,611
5-AAAAAAA	Walton	764,021	227,795	7,962	210	999,988	12
5-AAAAAAA	North Cobb	231,514	697,815	67,226	3,043	999,598	402
5-AAAAAAA	Wheeler	4,259	65,792	677,737	193,583	941,371	58,629
5-AAAAAAA	Cherokee	125	4,810	128,921	395,591	529,447	470,553
5-AAAAAAA	Osborne	81	3,698	108,910	355,603	468,292	531,708
5-AAAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	-	90	9,244	51,970	61,304	938,696
6-AAAAAAA	Milton	610,639	308,767	74,590	5,570	999,566	434
6-AAAAAAA	Lambert	327,912	477,975	174,531	17,273	997,691	2,309
6-AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	59,466	195,654	584,175	129,606	968,901	31,099
6-AAAAAAA	Denmark	1,525	12,046	103,350	454,505	571,426	428,574
6-AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	430	4,983	51,616	294,922	351,951	648,049
6-AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	28	575	11,738	98,124	110,465	889,535
7-AAAAAAA	Norcross	535,029	321,159	143,744	61	999,993	7
7-AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	336,807	410,800	252,356	37	1,000,000	-
7-AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	128,164	268,010	565,698	38,110	999,982	18
7-AAAAAAA	Duluth	-	29	38,147	880,003	918,179	81,821
7-AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	2	53	72,296	72,351	927,649
7-AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	2	9,493	9,495	990,505
7-AAAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	508,209	482,910	8,599	276	999,994	6
8-AAAAAAA	Buford	491,229	502,429	6,307	32	999,997	3
8-AAAAAAA	Mountain View	533	11,974	603,934	368,683	985,124	14,876
8-AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	28	2,600	373,096	516,782	892,506	107,494
8-AAAAAAA	Dacula	1	83	4,040	89,192	93,316	906,684
8-AAAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	-	4	4,024	25,035	29,063	970,937

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Thomas County Central	1-AAAAAA	6-0	102.18	999,999	4.76	995,214	932,168	839,752	707,350	0.41
Hughes	5-AAAAAA	4-2	91.89	999,998	3.94	933,001	605,710	413,456	130,348	6.67
Gainesville	8-AAAAAA	6-0	87.73	999,999	3.69	870,065	598,375	282,443	64,296	14.55
North Atlanta	4-AAAAAA	6-0	86.56	999,997	3.25	748,133	509,679	123,751	39,993	24.00
Lee County	1-AAAAAA	5-1	84.06	999,333	3.39	912,563	368,165	161,867	26,319	37.00
Marist	4-AAAAAA	5-1	84.04	999,992	2.86	623,519	365,859	78,458	19,417	50.50
Roswell	7-AAAAAA	5-1	78.60	999,975	2.88	686,062	237,503	25,367	4,868	204.42
Woodward Academy	3-AAAAAA	4-2	79.16	1,000,000	2.54	392,320	136,278	33,575	3,545	281.09
Houston County	1-AAAAAA	5-1	79.82	993,298	1.63	212,010	69,498	16,486	2,014	495.52
Douglas County	5-AAAAAA	5-1	74.23	999,884	2.04	304,365	71,380	10,130	771	1,296.02
Rome	6-AAAAAA	5-1	73.92	994,601	2.24	341,310	29,897	6,556	554	1,804.05
New Manchester	5-AAAAAA	3-3	73.16	999,893	2.17	387,969	23,043	4,371	369	2,709.03
Creekview	6-AAAAAA	5-1	69.45	997,058	1.92	171,484	12,565	1,644	84	11,903.76
Blessed Trinity	7-AAAAAA	4-2	69.86	999,805	1.71	77,125	13,516	1,286	45	22,221.22
Lanier	8-AAAAAA	4-2	67.38	994,927	1.50	95,390	9,357	341	18	55,554.56
Sequoyah	6-AAAAAA	4-2	64.88	997,196	1.61	72,222	3,982	260	6	166,665.67
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAAAA	6-0	62.53	1,000,000	1.88	50,041	7,287	126	2	499,999.00
Northside (Warner Robins)	1-AAAAAA	3-3	59.10	660,774	0.69	8,727	703	10	1	999,999.00
Effingham County	2-AAAAAA	3-3	55.91	992,149	1.57	18,790	868	29	-	-
Brunswick	2-AAAAAA	3-2	57.76	943,196	1.38	14,228	830	29	-	-
East Paulding	5-AAAAAA	4-2	60.60	894,164	1.02	17,765	864	19	-	-
North Forsyth	8-AAAAAA	3-3	59.03	998,758	1.14	19,807	624	16	-	-
Jonesboro	3-AAAAAA	4-2	57.50	945,950	1.49	8,533	502	9	-	-
Etowah	6-AAAAAA	4-2	58.80	578,141	0.64	7,645	398	6	-	-
Alpharetta	7-AAAAAA	3-3	56.97	999,530	1.20	8,269	378	6	-	-
St. Pius X	4-AAAAAA	1-5	54.28	940,448	0.96	6,434	178	5	-	-
Lovejoy	3-AAAAAA	3-3	52.35	848,520	1.18	4,436	102	1	-	-
River Ridge	6-AAAAAA	3-3	54.42	366,239	0.39	2,064	63	1	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAAA	3-3	53.50	872,263	0.90	3,151	64	-	-	-
Veterans	1-AAAAAA	3-3	54.13	306,142	0.31	1,407	62	-	-	-
Glynn Academy	2-AAAAAA	4-2	49.95	871,685	1.07	1,838	50	-	-	-
Evans	2-AAAAAA	3-3	47.67	832,292	0.96	1,127	32	-	-	-
Sprayberry	7-AAAAAA	3-3	49.78	610,080	0.65	1,819	7	-	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAAA	5-1	46.04	729,193	0.73	491	7	-	-	-
Pope	7-AAAAAA	0-5	45.50	353,636	0.37	362	2	-	-	-
Allatoona	6-AAAAAA	0-6	45.51	65,351	0.07	48	1	-	-	-
Jackson County	8-AAAAAA	3-4	46.42	54,641	0.06	22	1	-	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	1-5	43.61	40,454	0.04	18	1	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	2-AAAAAA	2-3	39.44	92,732	0.10	7	1	-	-	-
Alcovy	3-AAAAAA	2-4	40.16	202,127	0.23	104	-	-	-	-
South Effingham	2-AAAAAA	4-1	42.09	252,465	0.26	39	-	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAAA	2-4	47.60	105,689	0.11	39	-	-	-	-
Riverwood	4-AAAAAA	3-3	38.74	321,346	0.32	21	-	-	-	-
Shiloh	8-AAAAAA	2-4	41.59	79,407	0.08	15	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	7-AAAAAA	1-4	31.65	35,625	0.04	1	-	-	-	-
Grovetown	2-AAAAAA	2-4	34.78	15,481	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	4-AAAAAA	0-6	24.16	9,024	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAAA	1-5	20.56	3,387	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAAA	1-5	34.84	1,414	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAAA	1-5	22.85	1,349	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAAA	1-5	43.31	231	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Newnan	5-AAAAAA	2-4	40.33	104	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Paulding County	5-AAAAAA	1-5	37.19	37	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3-AAAAAA	2-4	11.40	16	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAAA	0-7	22.94	5	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAAA	3-3	24.28	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3-AAAAAA	0-6	-1.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Thomas County Central	887,924	101,062	10,872	141	999,999	1
1-AAAAAA	Lee County	101,753	838,908	53,542	5,130	999,333	667
1-AAAAAA	Houston County	10,208	52,959	857,926	72,205	993,298	6,702
1-AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	115	5,750	58,769	596,140	660,774	339,226
1-AAAAAA	Veterans	-	1,319	17,981	286,842	306,142	693,858
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	-	2	910	39,542	40,454	959,546
2-AAAAAA	Effingham County	581,433	276,389	89,177	45,150	992,149	7,851
2-AAAAAA	Brunswick	262,845	229,240	282,793	168,318	943,196	56,804
2-AAAAAA	Evans	79,042	163,725	260,520	329,005	832,292	167,708
2-AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	73,328	301,676	283,353	213,328	871,685	128,315
2-AAAAAA	South Effingham	1,874	21,224	63,384	165,983	252,465	747,535
2-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	1,435	7,337	19,010	64,950	92,732	907,268
2-AAAAAA	Grovetown	43	409	1,763	13,266	15,481	984,519
3-AAAAAA	Woodward Academy	874,799	115,346	9,826	29	1,000,000	-
3-AAAAAA	Mundy's Mill	118,791	858,560	22,649	-	1,000,000	-
3-AAAAAA	Jonesboro	6,410	26,068	613,541	299,931	945,950	54,050
3-AAAAAA	Lovejoy	-	25	319,482	529,013	848,520	151,480
3-AAAAAA	Alcovy	-	1	34,418	167,708	202,127	797,873
3-AAAAAA	Morrow	-	-	84	3,303	3,387	996,613
3-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	-	-	16	16	999,984
3-AAAAAA	Forest Park	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	581,283	417,606	1,068	40	999,997	3
4-AAAAAA	Marist	418,597	570,135	11,216	44	999,992	8
4-AAAAAA	St. Pius X	100	11,054	698,107	231,187	940,448	59,552
4-AAAAAA	Dunwoody	16	791	225,560	502,826	729,193	270,807
4-AAAAAA	Riverwood	4	413	63,161	257,768	321,346	678,654
4-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	1	888	8,135	9,024	990,976
4-AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAAA	Hughes	808,646	171,651	7,053	12,648	999,998	2
5-AAAAAA	Douglas County	173,309	14,878	673,898	137,799	999,884	116
5-AAAAAA	New Manchester	17,259	780,990	80,303	121,341	999,893	107
5-AAAAAA	East Paulding	785	32,481	238,715	622,183	894,164	105,836
5-AAAAAA	South Paulding	1	-	14	216	231	999,769
5-AAAAAA	Alexander	-	-	13	105,676	105,689	894,311
5-AAAAAA	Newnan	-	-	2	102	104	999,896
5-AAAAAA	Paulding County	-	-	2	35	37	999,963
6-AAAAAA	Rome	543,861	283,799	133,642	33,299	994,601	5,399
6-AAAAAA	Creekview	301,793	397,207	267,547	30,511	997,058	2,942
6-AAAAAA	Sequoyah	152,422	304,290	510,223	30,261	997,196	2,804
6-AAAAAA	River Ridge	1,894	9,483	42,528	312,334	366,239	633,761
6-AAAAAA	Etowah	30	5,106	38,467	534,538	578,141	421,859
6-AAAAAA	Allatoona	-	113	7,488	57,750	65,351	934,649
6-AAAAAA	Woodstock	-	2	105	1,307	1,414	998,586
7-AAAAAA	Roswell	953,463	37,344	8,198	970	999,975	25
7-AAAAAA	Blessed Trinity	25,096	788,426	180,041	6,242	999,805	195
7-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	21,291	172,271	795,137	10,831	999,530	470
7-AAAAAA	Pope	148	1,856	10,317	341,315	353,636	646,364
7-AAAAAA	Lassiter	2	84	4,335	31,204	35,625	964,375
7-AAAAAA	Sprayberry	-	18	1,954	608,108	610,080	389,920
7-AAAAAA	Johns Creek	-	1	18	1,330	1,349	998,651
8-AAAAAA	Gainesville	989,749	9,882	192	176	999,999	1
8-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	8,636	210,754	533,968	245,400	998,758	1,242
8-AAAAAA	Habersham Central	1,193	10,233	245,133	615,704	872,263	127,737
8-AAAAAA	Lanier	419	768,456	214,942	11,110	994,927	5,073
8-AAAAAA	Shiloh	3	616	2,463	76,325	79,407	920,593
8-AAAAAA	Jackson County	-	59	3,302	51,280	54,641	945,359
8-AAAAAA	Apalachee	-	-	-	5	5	999,995

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Coffee	1-AAAAA	5-0	86.70	999,997	4.51	938,424	861,327	715,426	583,370	0.71
Jefferson	8-AAAAA	6-0	77.59	999,999	3.54	655,000	571,300	338,269	134,627	6.43
Cartersville	7-AAAAA	6-0	76.26	997,382	3.39	659,940	565,275	232,388	101,177	8.88
Ware County	1-AAAAA	3-2	74.97	999,811	3.52	749,101	517,043	272,622	78,699	11.71
Hiram	7-AAAAA	6-0	73.49	994,524	2.89	515,278	382,374	147,076	47,628	20.00
Calhoun	7-AAAAA	4-2	70.07	949,518	2.11	328,430	155,133	53,191	12,089	81.72
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAAAA	6-0	69.02	999,675	2.30	466,569	104,999	41,121	10,385	95.29
Ola	2-AAAAA	4-1	68.93	997,050	2.27	286,503	112,735	32,307	8,054	123.16
Creekside	5-AAAAA	5-1	67.49	999,948	2.25	362,093	124,567	44,260	7,367	134.74
Warner Robins	2-AAAAA	3-3	65.06	999,938	2.26	243,026	101,485	29,102	3,922	253.97
Kell	6-AAAAA	4-1	66.41	999,197	1.94	306,524	67,348	21,009	3,728	267.24
Eastside	8-AAAAA	4-2	64.75	984,703	2.05	202,628	107,942	21,685	3,280	303.88
Northgate	3-AAAAA	4-2	62.74	998,483	2.25	495,670	105,776	22,310	2,457	406.00
Flowery Branch	8-AAAAA	3-3	64.47	977,179	1.86	220,419	45,494	10,698	1,702	586.54
Harris County	3-AAAAA	5-1	59.29	995,326	1.89	338,051	51,589	6,973	547	1,827.15
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	3-3	61.43	897,971	1.40	90,944	20,953	2,874	332	3,011.05
Jones County	2-AAAAA	4-2	57.92	998,440	1.76	233,432	28,629	2,840	231	4,328.00
Mays	5-AAAAA	1-4	59.45	980,404	1.42	82,100	11,100	1,376	157	6,368.43
Dutchtown	2-AAAAA	2-4	56.94	951,502	1.59	218,716	22,404	1,857	117	8,546.01
Cambridge	6-AAAAA	3-3	56.08	997,485	1.14	18,668	5,252	524	28	35,713.29
Dalton	7-AAAAA	4-2	58.03	545,688	0.70	35,039	3,358	418	26	38,460.54
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	5-1	50.89	997,523	1.69	146,539	9,857	396	20	49,999.00
Cass	7-AAAAA	4-2	56.38	511,911	0.64	25,446	2,655	273	19	52,630.58
Jenkins	1-AAAAA	1-4	50.34	887,248	1.42	95,608	4,610	202	12	83,332.33
Tucker	4-AAAAA	3-3	49.10	997,544	1.71	133,717	7,333	301	10	99,999.00
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	4-2	54.26	963,776	1.20	28,301	3,628	243	9	111,110.11
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	5-1	51.07	961,525	1.20	53,240	3,518	188	7	142,856.14
Decatur	4-AAAAA	2-4	46.08	979,362	1.17	25,905	944	38	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	1-4	45.22	713,714	0.98	30,646	784	11	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAAA	4-2	44.51	856,291	0.93	6,280	193	11	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAAA	1-5	44.82	954,689	0.98	1,278	205	10	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-5	44.51	414,779	0.43	485	64	1	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	2-3	39.39	348,028	0.42	4,595	55	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	5-AAAAA	4-2	42.83	346,015	0.36	269	20	-	-	-
Banneker	5-AAAAA	3-3	44.19	187,227	0.19	158	19	-	-	-
Maynard Jackson	5-AAAAA	3-3	45.16	106,082	0.11	153	17	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAAA	2-4	36.43	46,887	0.05	309	7	-	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	4-2	42.65	125,664	0.13	256	5	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	6-AAAAA	1-5	38.82	36,683	0.04	16	2	-	-	-
Drew	3-AAAAA	2-3	31.78	188,375	0.19	31	1	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	3-3	29.92	811,763	0.82	125	-	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	0-5	29.22	51,202	0.05	65	-	-	-	-
Locust Grove	2-AAAAA	1-4	28.48	5,675	0.01	11	-	-	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAAA	1-5	26.52	111,988	0.11	6	-	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	3-4	38.17	12,126	0.01	6	-	-	-	-
Lithonia	4-AAAAA	1-5	19.92	101,820	0.10	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6-AAAAA	2-3	22.26	12,259	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	8-AAAAA	2-3	30.61	2,358	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	5-AAAAA	2-3	29.02	1,769	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAAA	2-4	35.95	977	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAAA	0-6	25.51	508	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	6-AAAAA	0-6	1.12	12	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Midtown	5-AAAAA	2-4	15.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	4-AAAAA	0-6	-47.52	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Coffee	809,688	188,063	2,191	55	999,997	3
1-AAAAA	Ware County	189,418	771,547	37,234	1,612	999,811	189
1-AAAAA	Jenkins	745	29,161	570,021	287,321	887,248	112,752
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	131	9,047	279,553	424,983	713,714	286,286
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	18	2,109	100,218	245,683	348,028	651,972
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	-	73	10,783	40,346	51,202	948,798
2-AAAAA	Warner Robins	814,311	128,939	54,814	1,874	999,938	62
2-AAAAA	Jones County	98,242	143,946	366,346	389,906	998,440	1,560
2-AAAAA	Ola	84,551	619,251	217,102	76,146	997,050	2,950
2-AAAAA	Dutchtown	2,870	107,587	360,200	480,845	951,502	48,498
2-AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	26	272	1,438	45,151	46,887	953,113
2-AAAAA	Locust Grove	-	5	95	5,575	5,675	994,325
2-AAAAA	Union Grove	-	-	5	503	508	999,492
3-AAAAA	Northgate	556,536	320,203	98,181	23,563	998,483	1,517
3-AAAAA	Harris County	346,268	419,971	178,926	50,161	995,326	4,674
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	79,276	195,867	456,512	229,870	961,525	38,475
3-AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	17,681	60,826	244,918	532,866	856,291	143,709
3-AAAAA	Drew	239	3,133	21,463	163,540	188,375	811,625
4-AAAAA	Tucker	492,217	412,265	77,356	15,706	997,544	2,456
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	444,266	335,118	192,620	25,519	997,523	2,477
4-AAAAA	Decatur	57,822	226,665	581,680	113,195	979,362	20,638
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	5,495	22,139	126,581	657,548	811,763	188,237
4-AAAAA	M.L. King	178	3,368	14,413	94,029	111,988	888,012
4-AAAAA	Lithonia	22	445	7,350	94,003	101,820	898,180
4-AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAAA	Creekside	873,358	97,951	28,383	256	999,948	52
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	89,297	311,679	479,503	83,297	963,776	36,224
5-AAAAA	Mays	36,939	564,179	315,997	63,289	980,404	19,596
5-AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	307	4,513	22,279	78,983	106,082	893,918
5-AAAAA	Banneker	88	1,696	19,807	165,636	187,227	812,773
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	6	13,706	62,845	338,222	414,779	585,221
5-AAAAA	Chapel Hill	5	6,275	71,131	268,604	346,015	653,985
5-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	-	1	55	1,713	1,769	998,231
5-AAAAA	Midtown	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	630,132	358,658	7,606	3,279	999,675	325
6-AAAAA	Kell	363,073	520,004	114,532	1,588	999,197	803
6-AAAAA	Cambridge	5,502	115,338	696,742	179,903	997,485	2,515
6-AAAAA	Centennial	1,290	5,826	179,770	767,803	954,689	45,311
6-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	3	169	629	35,882	36,683	963,317
6-AAAAA	North Springs	-	5	721	11,533	12,259	987,741
6-AAAAA	Northview	-	-	-	12	12	999,988
7-AAAAA	Cartersville	596,781	305,758	78,155	16,688	997,382	2,618
7-AAAAA	Hiram	331,617	389,679	236,733	36,495	994,524	5,476
7-AAAAA	Calhoun	62,864	261,408	473,402	151,844	949,518	50,482
7-AAAAA	Cass	5,487	25,402	102,114	378,908	511,911	488,089
7-AAAAA	Dalton	3,250	17,747	109,328	415,363	545,688	454,312
7-AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	1	6	268	702	977	999,023
8-AAAAA	Jefferson	751,192	207,162	41,387	258	999,999	1
8-AAAAA	Eastside	174,787	536,201	145,254	128,461	984,703	15,297
8-AAAAA	Flowery Branch	74,005	88,049	655,154	159,971	977,179	22,821
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	8	166,461	144,436	587,066	897,971	102,029
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	8	2,117	12,357	111,182	125,664	874,336
8-AAAAA	Loganville	-	6	1,333	10,787	12,126	987,874
8-AAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	-	4	79	2,275	2,358	997,642

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
North Oconee	8-AAAA	5-0	82.66	1,000,000	4.07	946,260	664,177	467,196	319,589	2.13
Bainbridge	1-AAAA	4-2	80.53	1,000,000	3.55	650,502	584,360	392,689	215,437	3.64
Benedictine	3-AAAA	6-0	79.10	999,841	3.43	821,358	408,314	242,924	137,114	6.29
Spalding	2-AAAA	6-0	78.97	999,993	3.20	556,700	473,389	233,185	131,394	6.61
Cairo	1-AAAA	6-1	76.30	1,000,000	2.91	470,336	384,246	192,282	79,646	11.56
Central (Carrollton)	7-AAAA	6-0	72.02	999,999	3.29	766,195	454,167	188,006	52,289	18.12
Burke County	3-AAAA	6-0	71.07	997,638	2.60	510,244	209,729	75,901	20,975	46.68
Perry	2-AAAA	5-1	71.01	999,945	2.28	259,087	181,046	69,313	18,749	52.34
Stockbridge	5-AAAA	4-2	68.28	999,842	2.81	694,462	187,562	39,228	11,118	88.94
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4-AAAA	4-2	66.11	988,874	2.18	288,964	116,650	31,869	5,243	189.73
Troup	4-AAAA	5-1	66.90	998,870	1.76	168,258	66,235	17,940	3,353	297.24
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	4-2	62.25	973,264	2.35	461,750	74,624	18,526	2,020	494.05
Starr's Mill	4-AAAA	3-3	63.26	999,021	2.02	165,256	33,955	7,181	975	1,024.64
North Hall	8-AAAA	5-1	60.49	995,107	1.97	220,157	37,693	6,142	566	1,765.78
Hapeville Charter	6-AAAA	3-3	59.40	952,549	1.89	255,907	31,070	5,411	471	2,122.14
Holy Innocents	6-AAAA	5-1	61.19	864,498	1.60	177,346	25,748	4,002	461	2,168.20
Wayne County	3-AAAA	4-2	60.81	926,243	1.17	35,181	11,293	1,972	196	5,101.04
Madison County	8-AAAA	4-1	57.09	968,325	1.70	155,187	16,287	1,969	124	8,063.52
Baldwin	2-AAAA	4-2	59.16	983,088	1.26	45,775	11,600	1,647	123	8,129.08
Cedartown	7-AAAA	3-3	59.11	997,901	1.60	50,239	5,836	634	67	14,924.37
LaGrange	4-AAAA	4-2	57.81	985,141	1.11	15,130	3,887	499	33	30,302.03
Pace Academy	5-AAAA	3-3	53.64	928,775	1.23	57,720	4,121	297	19	52,630.58
Miller Grove	6-AAAA	5-1	54.36	676,031	1.00	64,216	4,801	498	13	76,922.08
Stephenson	6-AAAA	4-2	54.41	526,021	0.72	34,076	2,720	257	11	90,908.09
New Hampstead	3-AAAA	2-3	55.82	827,834	0.93	10,330	2,220	207	9	111,110.11
Lovett	5-AAAA	2-4	49.78	916,188	1.21	44,370	1,969	104	3	333,332.33
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	5-0	49.29	747,798	0.95	29,816	1,025	56	2	499,999.00
Luella	5-AAAA	2-4	48.57	837,989	1.03	25,010	936	57	-	-
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAAA	5-1	44.49	955,079	1.08	10,050	168	3	-	-
Howard	2-AAAA	3-3	48.40	628,470	0.65	2,088	63	3	-	-
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAAA	2-4	43.57	286,453	0.31	2,881	39	1	-	-
Whitewater	4-AAAA	3-3	47.36	22,905	0.03	109	13	1	-	-
Sonoraville	7-AAAA	2-4	38.92	751,404	0.80	3,803	25	-	-	-
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAAA	4-2	45.19	248,439	0.25	179	20	-	-	-
Westover	1-AAAA	3-3	37.92	966,326	0.99	374	5	-	-	-
Hampton	5-AAAA	2-4	39.65	179,366	0.18	239	4	-	-	-
McDonough	5-AAAA	4-1	38.84	137,651	0.14	136	2	-	-	-
Griffin	2-AAAA	1-5	38.86	250,278	0.25	93	1	-	-	-
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAAA	4-2	29.51	295,506	0.30	172	-	-	-	-
Westside (Macon)	2-AAAA	4-1	36.38	96,838	0.10	18	-	-	-	-
West Laurens	2-AAAA	2-3	37.37	41,388	0.04	9	-	-	-	-
Southwest DeKalb	6-AAAA	2-4	35.84	7,637	0.01	7	-	-	-	-
Hardaway	1-AAAA	0-6	22.54	498,473	0.50	6	-	-	-	-
Shaw	1-AAAA	3-4	23.11	535,201	0.54	3	-	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	2-4	32.31	1,970	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	4-AAAA	4-3	31.63	5,189	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	1-4	28.01	302	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	5-AAAA	0-6	29.58	185	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-5	5.79	111	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
East Hall	8-AAAA	2-4	22.36	45	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAAA	0-6	6.95	5	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAAA	0-6	10.92	4	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6-AAAA	3-1-1	26.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	4-AAAA	1-5	21.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8-AAAA	2-4	21.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Chestatee	8-AAAA	0-6	16.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Riverdale	4-AAAA	0-7	12.12	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	6-AAAA	0-5	4.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	6-AAAA	1-4	-13.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Bainbridge	627,053	371,588	1,354	5	1,000,000	-
1-AAAA	Cairo	372,890	623,155	3,950	5	1,000,000	-
1-AAAA	Westover	57	5,136	815,086	146,047	966,326	33,674
1-AAAA	Hardaway	-	95	84,327	414,051	498,473	501,527
1-AAAA	Shaw	-	26	95,283	439,892	535,201	464,799
2-AAAA	Spalding	762,939	235,083	1,532	439	999,993	7
2-AAAA	Perry	235,745	623,227	139,439	1,534	999,945	55
2-AAAA	Baldwin	1,316	140,014	791,622	50,136	983,088	16,912
2-AAAA	Griffin	-	940	28,185	221,153	250,278	749,722
2-AAAA	Howard	-	610	24,902	602,958	628,470	371,530
2-AAAA	West Laurens	-	95	5,018	36,275	41,388	958,612
2-AAAA	Westside (Macon)	-	31	9,302	87,505	96,838	903,162
3-AAAA	Benedictine	711,084	255,240	30,929	2,588	999,841	159
3-AAAA	Burke County	268,325	618,140	90,628	20,545	997,638	2,362
3-AAAA	Wayne County	17,041	65,974	542,509	300,719	926,243	73,757
3-AAAA	New Hampstead	3,339	55,293	290,822	478,380	827,834	172,166
3-AAAA	Southeast Bulloch	211	5,353	45,112	197,763	248,439	751,561
3-AAAA	Islands	-	-	-	5	5	999,995
4-AAAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	584,281	137,827	149,015	117,751	988,874	11,126
4-AAAA	Troup	223,207	186,364	387,385	201,914	998,870	1,130
4-AAAA	Starr's Mill	181,199	626,234	183,340	8,248	999,021	979
4-AAAA	LaGrange	11,262	46,279	279,802	647,798	985,141	14,859
4-AAAA	Whitewater	51	3,284	395	19,175	22,905	977,095
4-AAAA	North Clayton	-	12	63	5,114	5,189	994,811
4-AAAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAAA	Riverdale	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Stockbridge	865,351	122,953	8,840	2,698	999,842	158
5-AAAA	Pace Academy	74,875	175,739	315,739	362,422	928,775	71,225
5-AAAA	Lovett	55,415	358,888	375,416	126,469	916,188	83,812
5-AAAA	Luella	3,951	325,530	241,610	266,898	837,989	162,011
5-AAAA	McDonough	402	4,940	22,684	109,625	137,651	862,349
5-AAAA	Hampton	6	11,950	35,699	131,711	179,366	820,634
5-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	-	-	12	173	185	999,815
5-AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	-	-	4	4	999,996
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	541,654	246,202	121,421	63,987	973,264	26,736
6-AAAA	Hapeville Charter	272,767	278,623	251,672	149,487	952,549	47,451
6-AAAA	Holy Innocents	91,610	282,701	287,883	202,304	864,498	135,502
6-AAAA	Miller Grove	69,718	122,645	193,349	290,319	676,031	323,969
6-AAAA	Stephenson	24,207	69,646	144,270	287,898	526,021	473,979
6-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	44	183	1,405	6,005	7,637	992,363
6-AAAA	Druid Hills	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Stone Mountain	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	983,122	14,941	1,655	281	999,999	1
7-AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	8,871	141,124	697,878	107,206	955,079	44,921
7-AAAA	Cedartown	7,237	817,392	156,522	16,750	997,901	2,099
7-AAAA	Sonoraville	703	22,686	97,384	630,631	751,404	248,596
7-AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	67	3,857	46,484	245,098	295,506	704,494
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	77	34	111	999,889
8-AAAA	North Oconee	997,370	2,594	33	3	1,000,000	-
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	2,530	83,150	194,159	467,959	747,798	252,202
8-AAAA	North Hall	66	561,227	336,895	96,919	995,107	4,893
8-AAAA	Madison County	34	352,951	438,249	177,091	968,325	31,675
8-AAAA	Cherokee Bluff	-	65	30,423	255,965	286,453	713,547
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	-	13	236	1,721	1,970	998,030
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	-	-	3	299	302	999,698
8-AAAA	East Hall	-	-	2	43	45	999,955
8-AAAA	Chestatee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Seckinger	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Stephens County	8-AAA	6-0	80.18	999,995	3.80	927,917	538,796	349,723	288,359	2.47
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	2-4	77.94	1,000,000	3.87	941,078	634,111	329,280	249,167	3.01
Calvary Day	3-AAA	6-0	78.92	1,000,000	3.76	958,134	504,983	298,259	241,880	3.13
Mary Persons	2-AAA	5-1	74.64	1,000,000	3.50	889,180	447,338	179,228	121,196	7.25
Thomasville	1-AAA	3-3	63.94	998,507	3.19	628,329	394,065	225,830	33,781	28.60
Savannah Christian	3-AAA	4-2	63.17	999,999	2.88	549,785	305,900	152,597	20,785	47.11
Sandy Creek	5-AAA	5-2	61.82	1,000,000	2.56	536,335	244,078	110,583	13,303	74.17
Morgan County	4-AAA	5-1	61.08	999,997	2.46	355,623	188,441	91,165	10,022	98.78
Lumpkin County	7-AAA	6-0	60.42	998,294	2.60	382,536	174,873	80,286	8,157	121.59
White County	7-AAA	3-2	59.39	997,825	2.43	308,816	126,752	53,948	4,943	201.31
Oconee County	8-AAA	2-4	58.61	981,805	2.06	301,965	113,304	42,052	3,454	288.52
Crisp County	1-AAA	4-2	57.45	992,954	2.17	257,401	110,079	41,772	3,021	330.02
Hebron Christian	8-AAA	3-3	56.79	916,134	1.45	181,328	58,929	17,564	1,161	860.33
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	5-1	50.51	999,699	1.54	91,693	24,585	4,535	127	7,873.02
Carver (Columbus)	1-AAA	3-3	50.93	856,401	1.33	62,433	16,586	3,658	115	8,694.65
Peach County	2-AAA	2-4	50.03	999,607	1.50	82,176	21,163	3,814	112	8,927.57
Adairsville	6-AAA	4-2	48.47	999,130	1.80	125,009	26,722	4,884	101	9,899.99
Monroe Area	8-AAA	3-3	51.55	831,600	1.08	71,921	15,397	2,808	99	10,100.01
Douglass	5-AAA	5-2	50.81	1,000,000	1.28	71,175	14,518	2,681	95	10,525.32
Hephzibah	4-AAA	5-1	50.16	999,888	1.48	37,380	6,967	1,399	31	32,257.06
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AAA	1-4	48.76	1,000,000	1.18	40,461	6,578	993	27	37,036.04
Wesleyan	7-AAA	3-3	47.92	964,749	1.57	42,104	4,934	578	18	55,554.56
Savannah Country Day	3-AAA	4-2	45.65	965,529	1.28	32,444	6,060	677	12	83,332.33
Monroe	1-AAA	3-2	47.87	723,786	0.96	17,543	2,558	326	12	83,332.33
Harlem	4-AAA	4-2	48.16	999,396	1.38	23,920	3,448	547	11	90,908.09
Bremen	6-AAA	5-1	43.65	999,006	1.54	44,947	5,744	600	7	142,856.14
Long County	3-AAA	3-3	45.28	866,016	0.93	8,170	739	56	2	499,999.00
Dawson County	7-AAA	1-5	41.28	604,476	0.82	12,494	990	61	1	999,999.00
Gilmer	7-AAA	4-2	39.71	371,842	0.48	6,782	520	28	1	999,999.00
Dougherty	1-AAA	3-3	43.35	428,209	0.51	5,036	566	58	-	-
Hart County	8-AAA	3-3	41.00	270,292	0.28	2,705	175	7	-	-
Ringgold	6-AAA	3-3	36.47	871,434	0.93	1,463	46	2	-	-
Jackson	2-AAA	1-5	34.25	983,311	1.00	638	23	1	-	-
Gordon Lee	6-AAA	4-2	32.88	909,685	0.95	837	23	-	-	-
Pickens	7-AAA	1-4	29.02	62,306	0.07	86	4	-	-	-
Liberty County	3-AAA	2-4	29.25	167,613	0.17	61	2	-	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	2-4	18.50	440,109	0.44	26	2	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6-AAA	3-3	26.24	181,467	0.18	35	1	-	-	-
Salem	4-AAA	1-5	18.58	440,059	0.44	27	-	-	-	-
LaFayette	6-AAA	1-5	25.93	22,507	0.02	3	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6-AAA	2-4	18.13	16,638	0.02	2	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	2-3	10.91	120,551	0.12	1	-	-	-	-
West Hall	7-AAA	1-5	22.07	508	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Pike County	2-AAA	0-6	3.00	17,383	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	2-4	13.44	733	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Franklin County	8-AAA	1-5	18.16	174	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Columbus	1-AAA	1-5	10.03	143	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	6-AAA	0-6	10.48	133	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	1-5	1.86	110	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	1-5	-11.33	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAA	Thomasville	666,463	268,231	55,572	8,241	998,507	1,493
1-AAA	Crisp County	261,687	449,796	214,844	66,627	992,954	7,046
1-AAA	Carver (Columbus)	63,959	179,747	359,052	253,643	856,401	143,599
1-AAA	Monroe	5,185	89,914	262,028	366,659	723,786	276,214
1-AAA	Dougherty	2,706	12,312	108,495	304,696	428,209	571,791
1-AAA	Columbus	-	-	9	134	143	999,857
2-AAA	Mary Persons	941,823	53,881	4,051	245	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	30,072	473,065	419,969	76,593	999,699	301
2-AAA	Peach County	27,448	446,756	441,678	83,725	999,607	393
2-AAA	Jackson	657	26,289	134,221	822,144	983,311	16,689
2-AAA	Pike County	-	9	81	17,293	17,383	982,617
3-AAA	Calvary Day	994,804	4,802	241	153	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Savannah Christian	5,001	993,311	1,647	40	999,999	1
3-AAA	Savannah Country Day	195	410	887,938	76,986	965,529	34,471
3-AAA	Liberty County	-	1,468	29,497	136,648	167,613	832,387
3-AAA	Long County	-	9	80,459	785,548	866,016	133,984
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	-	218	515	733	999,267
3-AAA	Beach	-	-	-	110	110	999,890
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AAA	Morgan County	740,291	200,861	58,494	351	999,997	3
4-AAA	Hephzibah	154,305	442,343	397,688	5,552	999,888	112
4-AAA	Harlem	105,385	356,151	522,059	15,801	999,396	604
4-AAA	Salem	14	90	8,263	431,692	440,059	559,941
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	5	545	12,767	426,792	440,109	559,891
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	10	729	119,812	120,551	879,449
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	877,599	114,167	6,940	1,294	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Sandy Creek	105,367	652,142	184,058	58,433	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Douglass	10,623	139,382	445,771	404,224	1,000,000	-
5-AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	6,411	94,309	363,231	536,049	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Adairsville	623,239	327,746	38,062	10,083	999,130	870
6-AAA	Bremen	369,407	608,717	17,753	3,129	999,006	994
6-AAA	Gordon Lee	6,453	37,040	382,534	483,658	909,685	90,315
6-AAA	Coahulla Creek	845	8,500	47,735	124,387	181,467	818,533
6-AAA	Ringgold	55	17,736	509,056	344,587	871,434	128,566
6-AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	1	173	3,592	12,872	16,638	983,362
6-AAA	LaFayette	-	88	1,255	21,164	22,507	977,493
6-AAA	Ridgeland	-	-	13	120	133	999,867
7-AAA	Lumpkin County	546,802	397,458	46,369	7,665	998,294	1,706
7-AAA	White County	429,159	439,242	115,947	13,477	997,825	2,175
7-AAA	Wesleyan	19,402	131,925	617,693	195,729	964,749	35,251
7-AAA	Dawson County	2,692	21,126	178,186	402,472	604,476	395,524
7-AAA	Gilmer	1,943	9,803	30,571	329,525	371,842	628,158
7-AAA	Pickens	2	445	11,209	50,650	62,306	937,694
7-AAA	West Hall	-	1	25	482	508	999,492
8-AAA	Stephens County	927,586	68,139	3,978	292	999,995	5
8-AAA	Oconee County	59,128	690,968	183,096	48,613	981,805	18,195
8-AAA	Hebron Christian	12,718	83,749	499,869	319,798	916,134	83,866
8-AAA	Monroe Area	320	142,059	266,181	423,040	831,600	168,400
8-AAA	Hart County	248	15,084	46,810	208,150	270,292	729,708
8-AAA	Franklin County	-	1	66	107	174	999,826

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Appling County	3-AA	4-1	70.62	999,995	4.19	884,221	761,529	554,954	426,378	1.35
Northeast	2-AA	5-1	65.20	1,000,000	3.64	817,676	576,955	273,136	165,274	5.05
Thomson	4-AA	5-1	63.51	999,999	3.23	571,513	419,952	285,087	117,400	7.52
Pierce County	3-AA	5-1	62.40	999,316	3.00	508,580	357,270	199,408	76,871	12.01
Callaway	5-AA	3-2	61.13	1,000,000	2.82	678,583	304,326	116,346	54,930	17.20
Fitzgerald	1-AA	3-2	59.63	998,386	2.75	435,666	306,132	137,334	44,309	21.57
Toombs County	3-AA	6-0	58.14	999,846	2.65	417,426	254,657	97,941	26,943	36.12
Rockmart	7-AA	3-2	56.66	999,684	2.83	579,551	189,146	91,823	22,731	42.99
Athens Academy	8-AA	3-2	58.16	886,889	2.36	540,087	173,395	68,018	22,568	43.31
Fellowship Christian	8-AA	3-2	57.65	873,447	2.27	511,279	159,231	60,179	19,071	51.44
East Jackson	8-AA	6-0	54.77	804,770	1.81	367,786	95,389	28,286	6,972	142.43
Union County	8-AA	4-1	53.93	723,331	1.55	299,668	73,098	20,058	4,572	217.72
Cook	1-AA	3-2	52.85	997,062	2.04	184,708	88,563	22,322	4,227	235.57
Providence Christian	8-AA	5-0	53.13	678,027	1.39	258,411	59,447	14,884	3,064	325.37
Laney	4-AA	3-2-1	53.48	991,825	1.86	95,021	38,582	8,644	2,339	426.53
Columbia	5-AA	3-3	50.34	999,419	1.64	214,474	53,505	10,762	1,509	661.69
North Cobb Christian	6-AA	4-2	45.44	999,915	2.02	232,719	45,278	6,635	537	1,861.20
Eagle's Landing Christian	5-AA	1-4	45.07	991,886	1.30	83,656	11,033	1,358	119	8,402.36
ACE Charter	2-AA	5-1	44.34	998,006	1.20	30,943	9,551	1,036	68	14,704.88
Fannin County	7-AA	3-2	41.70	914,596	1.60	83,367	5,372	446	29	34,481.76
Washington County	4-AA	2-4	44.43	843,143	1.04	17,653	4,065	394	29	34,481.76
Sumter County	1-AA	2-3	44.51	740,255	0.91	9,811	2,020	211	22	45,453.55
Putnam County	4-AA	4-2	43.15	976,202	1.23	18,171	3,635	286	15	66,665.67
Model	7-AA	3-2	39.94	873,775	1.41	52,792	2,892	170	14	71,427.57
North Murray	7-AA	4-2	39.64	978,592	1.60	62,592	3,306	207	7	142,856.14
Jeff Davis	1-AA	3-3	40.30	541,404	0.61	2,712	371	26	2	499,999.00
Washington	6-AA	2-5	33.77	985,484	1.32	15,416	378	13	-	-
Therrell	6-AA	4-2	34.04	954,534	1.20	13,240	265	9	-	-
Worth County	1-AA	4-2	36.50	544,639	0.59	1,420	151	9	-	-
Vidalia	3-AA	3-2	34.46	676,823	0.70	1,947	161	7	-	-
Spencer	2-AA	4-2	31.51	999,695	1.02	1,139	83	4	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4-AA	3-3	34.24	187,910	0.20	586	65	3	-	-
Dodge County	1-AA	1-5	38.10	177,577	0.19	530	47	2	-	-
Banks County	8-AA	4-2	38.72	33,536	0.04	1,436	74	1	-	-
Haralson County	7-AA	1-5	30.04	231,683	0.27	1,624	36	1	-	-
South Atlanta	6-AA	2-4	27.81	726,621	0.78	1,681	22	-	-	-
McNair	5-AA	3-3	25.70	589,210	0.60	1,168	7	-	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	2-4	28.67	314,987	0.32	158	7	-	-	-
Redan	5-AA	2-4	22.85	418,692	0.42	418	2	-	-	-
Southwest	2-AA	3-3	24.54	941,605	0.95	119	1	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6-AA	3-4	18.94	62,308	0.06	17	1	-	-	-
Mount Paran Christian	6-AA	2-3	18.53	176,879	0.18	31	-	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	6-AA	3-4	16.29	94,259	0.10	4	-	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	2-4	14.97	33,830	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2-AA	2-4	6.00	26,817	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Brantley County	3-AA	3-3	12.08	9,020	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	1-5	12.93	1,651	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	2-3	11.35	921	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Berrien	1-AA	1-4	23.09	677	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Towers	5-AA	0-5	-0.98	477	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Landmark Christian	5-AA	0-6	-0.69	316	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-AA	0-6	-1.57	46	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7-AA	0-6	-3.26	19	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AA	2-4	14.96	13	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2-AA	0-6	-11.52	1	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Walker	6-AA	3-3	-2.53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	1-6	-5.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	1-5	-9.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AA	Fitzgerald	662,584	276,733	49,818	9,251	998,386	1,614
1-AA	Cook	321,601	612,669	55,254	7,538	997,062	2,938
1-AA	Sumter County	7,815	38,557	418,871	275,012	740,255	259,745
1-AA	Worth County	5,517	43,896	195,263	299,963	544,639	455,361
1-AA	Jeff Davis	2,438	17,675	226,034	295,257	541,404	458,596
1-AA	Dodge County	43	10,461	54,733	112,340	177,577	822,423
1-AA	Berrien	2	9	27	639	677	999,323
2-AA	Northeast	996,321	3,625	54	-	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Spencer	3,439	147,414	579,626	269,216	999,695	305
2-AA	ACE Charter	240	812,757	160,631	24,378	998,006	1,994
2-AA	Southwest	-	36,201	258,847	646,557	941,605	58,395
2-AA	Rutland	-	3	699	33,128	33,830	966,170
2-AA	Kendrick	-	-	142	26,675	26,817	973,183
2-AA	Central (Macon)	-	-	1	45	46	999,954
2-AA	Jordan	-	-	-	1	1	999,999
3-AA	Appling County	831,098	119,241	48,774	882	999,995	5
3-AA	Toombs County	97,284	331,428	546,581	24,553	999,846	154
3-AA	Pierce County	71,387	546,715	367,062	14,152	999,316	684
3-AA	Vidalia	225	2,506	34,693	639,399	676,823	323,177
3-AA	Tattnall County	6	110	2,889	311,982	314,987	685,013
3-AA	Brantley County	-	-	1	9,019	9,020	990,980
3-AA	Windsor Forest	-	-	-	13	13	999,987
4-AA	Thomson	969,106	27,832	2,763	298	999,999	1
4-AA	Putnam County	22,538	150,828	410,821	392,015	976,202	23,798
4-AA	Laney	7,984	784,715	175,447	23,679	991,825	8,175
4-AA	Westside (Augusta)	371	7,741	20,194	159,604	187,910	812,090
4-AA	Washington County	1	28,884	390,772	423,486	843,143	156,857
4-AA	Butler	-	-	3	918	921	999,079
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4-AA	Josey	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AA	Callaway	893,687	78,351	27,468	494	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Eagle's Landing Christian	60,254	303,277	570,822	57,533	991,886	8,114
5-AA	Columbia	45,857	614,852	331,083	7,627	999,419	581
5-AA	McNair	202	667	41,853	546,488	589,210	410,790
5-AA	Redan	-	2,853	28,750	387,089	418,692	581,308
5-AA	Towers	-	-	15	462	477	999,523
5-AA	Landmark Christian	-	-	9	307	316	999,684
6-AA	North Cobb Christian	972,321	24,353	2,818	423	999,915	85
6-AA	South Atlanta	21,201	64,524	92,298	548,598	726,621	273,379
6-AA	Washington	5,852	742,023	162,086	75,523	985,484	14,516
6-AA	Mount Paran Christian	286	5,880	42,290	128,423	176,879	823,121
6-AA	Therrell	261	160,647	670,293	123,333	954,534	45,466
6-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	54	2,220	12,368	47,666	62,308	937,692
6-AA	B.E.S.T. Academy	25	353	17,847	76,034	94,259	905,741
6-AA	Walker	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-AA	Rockmart	857,773	124,972	13,719	3,220	999,684	316
7-AA	Fannin County	77,062	328,071	287,829	221,634	914,596	85,404
7-AA	North Murray	59,959	283,739	342,407	292,487	978,592	21,408
7-AA	Model	4,196	251,334	316,875	301,370	873,775	126,225
7-AA	Haralson County	1,010	11,884	39,074	179,715	231,683	768,317
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	94	1,557	1,651	998,349
7-AA	Gordon Central	-	-	2	17	19	999,981
8-AA	Athens Academy	308,322	243,930	191,145	143,492	886,889	113,111
8-AA	Fellowship Christian	280,941	239,883	197,400	155,223	873,447	126,553
8-AA	East Jackson	171,632	197,051	219,900	216,187	804,770	195,230
8-AA	Union County	130,738	168,626	198,142	225,825	723,331	276,669
8-AA	Providence Christian	107,959	148,872	186,861	234,335	678,027	321,973
8-AA	Banks County	408	1,638	6,552	24,938	33,536	966,464

Class A Division I

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Prince Avenue Christian	5-A Division I	6-1	70.63	1,000,000	4.29	983,264	735,163	567,971	470,706	1.12
Rabun County	8-A Division I	5-1	64.47	1,000,000	4.15	918,716	830,484	415,215	254,709	2.93
Swainsboro	2-A Division I	6-0	64.06	999,989	3.50	910,384	356,757	234,254	141,701	6.06
Commerce	8-A Division I	5-1	56.51	1,000,000	3.48	738,348	532,029	250,759	60,611	15.50
Elbert County	8-A Division I	5-1	53.12	1,000,000	3.09	646,278	383,930	141,577	24,354	40.06
Brooks County	1-A Division I	1-4	52.67	1,000,000	2.90	540,965	259,177	124,649	19,514	50.25
Trion	7-A Division I	5-0	50.79	999,787	2.53	320,777	211,907	87,905	11,314	87.39
Dublin	2-A Division I	4-1	49.43	998,004	2.47	442,777	143,941	51,843	5,866	169.47
Lamar County	4-A Division I	5-2	46.99	1,000,000	2.40	449,038	130,369	42,571	3,725	267.46
Mount Vernon	6-A Division I	4-2	46.99	1,000,000	2.26	243,908	98,549	32,891	2,837	351.49
Bryan County	3-A Division I	5-1	46.95	999,999	2.49	556,464	116,614	15,685	2,348	424.89
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	4-2	45.47	994,483	2.06	304,741	71,118	18,190	1,352	738.64
Irwin County	1-A Division I	2-4	43.56	1,000,000	2.05	212,747	37,484	7,481	484	2,065.12
Metter	3-A Division I	2-4	41.93	999,991	1.91	298,163	42,945	4,966	348	2,872.56
Bacon County	1-A Division I	3-2	38.69	1,000,000	1.72	124,520	12,274	1,209	45	22,221.22
Darlington	7-A Division I	4-2	37.93	983,347	1.63	39,873	11,623	873	42	23,808.52
Whitefield Academy	6-A Division I	2-4	37.61	1,000,000	1.62	38,290	7,584	869	31	32,257.06
Temple	4-A Division I	4-3	34.18	1,000,000	1.45	73,492	4,310	211	6	166,665.67
Pelham	1-A Division I	3-4	34.89	1,000,000	1.46	65,687	4,328	264	3	333,332.33
Jasper County	5-A Division I	4-2	35.61	1,000,000	1.12	28,131	4,044	387	2	499,999.00
St. Francis	6-A Division I	1-3	33.71	1,000,000	1.40	15,976	2,417	132	2	499,999.00
Mount Pisgah Christian	6-A Division I	3-3	29.83	1,000,000	1.22	6,126	651	26	-	-
Pepperell	7-A Division I	2-3	30.50	785,729	1.00	6,062	624	21	-	-
Dade County	7-A Division I	1-5	30.91	704,310	0.87	4,728	401	21	-	-
Screven County	3-A Division I	2-4	27.45	999,494	1.08	9,071	356	10	-	-
Social Circle	5-A Division I	1-4	27.08	1,000,000	1.02	3,144	241	8	-	-
Oglethorpe County	5-A Division I	2-4	29.06	1,000,000	1.03	5,146	427	7	-	-
East Laurens	2-A Division I	2-3	24.18	606,404	0.65	5,335	95	2	-	-
Heard County	4-A Division I	1-5	24.64	1,000,000	1.11	4,913	92	2	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	4-2	24.73	518,205	0.59	1,231	52	1	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-6	20.86	401,120	0.42	1,680	14	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division I	1-5	9.85	966,267	0.97	23	-	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	3-3	12.15	4,445	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	4-A Division I	1-5	-6.31	1,000,000	1.00	-	-	-	-	-
Athens Christian	8-A Division I	0-5	-22.88	1,000,000	1.00	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division I	0-6	-16.35	34,249	0.03	-	-	-	-	-
Chattooga	7-A Division I	1-5	13.09	4,177	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6-A Division I	2-3	9.26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division I	Brooks County	697,675	227,891	54,924	19,510	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Irwin County	190,431	417,953	255,950	135,666	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Bacon County	77,453	231,019	381,123	310,405	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Pelham	34,441	123,137	308,003	534,419	1,000,000	-
2-A Division I	Swainsboro	838,145	138,806	22,441	597	999,989	11
2-A Division I	Dublin	110,763	524,418	343,369	19,454	998,004	1,996
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	50,832	330,106	567,449	46,096	994,483	5,517
2-A Division I	East Laurens	198	4,675	45,087	556,444	606,404	393,596
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	62	1,995	21,654	377,409	401,120	598,880
3-A Division I	Bryan County	643,238	316,723	38,855	1,183	999,999	1
3-A Division I	Metter	334,200	555,664	106,207	3,920	999,991	9
3-A Division I	Screven County	22,292	124,892	760,826	91,484	999,494	506
3-A Division I	Claxton	270	2,717	93,900	869,380	966,267	33,733
3-A Division I	Savannah	-	4	212	34,033	34,249	965,751
4-A Division I	Lamar County	827,668	154,597	17,658	77	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Temple	149,938	632,845	215,588	1,629	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Heard County	22,390	212,357	749,274	15,979	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Crawford County	4	201	17,480	982,315	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Prince Avenue Christian	989,049	10,818	113	20	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Jasper County	8,114	597,649	269,257	124,980	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	1,751	230,522	393,322	374,405	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Social Circle	1,086	161,011	337,308	500,595	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Mount Vernon	692,493	227,840	57,820	21,847	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	180,648	394,836	270,179	154,337	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	St. Francis	87,661	245,413	367,306	299,620	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	39,198	131,911	304,695	524,196	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Division I	Trion	819,029	162,730	15,850	2,178	999,787	213
7-A Division I	Darlington	152,994	589,122	190,624	50,607	983,347	16,653
7-A Division I	Pepperell	23,155	156,223	313,960	292,391	785,729	214,271
7-A Division I	Armuchee	4,752	54,393	153,437	305,623	518,205	481,795
7-A Division I	Dade County	66	37,513	324,520	342,211	704,310	295,690
7-A Division I	Chattooga	4	13	359	3,801	4,177	995,823
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	6	1,250	3,189	4,445	995,555
8-A Division I	Rabun County	668,070	243,059	88,871	-	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Commerce	213,371	435,111	351,506	12	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Elbert County	118,559	321,830	559,595	16	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Christian	-	-	28	999,972	1,000,000	-

Class A Division II

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Division I
A Division II

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Greene County	8-A Division II	6-0	60.33	999,959	4.64	823,109	730,831	543,695	722,401	0.38
Schley County	6-A Division II	6-0	58.79	999,998	4.03	909,812	796,176	518,555	637,296	0.57
Bowdon	7-A Division II	5-2	54.73	1,000,000	3.75	690,684	530,775	274,079	247,807	3.04
Manchester	6-A Division II	5-1	51.75	999,962	3.56	822,177	566,439	238,972	169,265	4.91
Clinch County	2-A Division II	5-1	49.45	999,982	3.19	732,980	328,824	121,712	78,723	11.70
Telfair County	4-A Division II	5-0	48.56	998,343	3.10	704,849	246,742	90,058	53,482	17.70
Aquinas	8-A Division II	5-1	47.50	998,349	2.61	315,997	186,373	64,868	32,738	29.55
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	6-0	45.36	999,519	2.62	537,462	131,250	43,945	20,412	47.99
Macon County	6-A Division II	4-2	46.89	999,137	2.26	188,468	106,186	34,846	17,954	54.70
Early County	1-A Division II	4-1	40.66	999,999	2.36	467,968	79,317	17,629	5,199	191.34
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	3-3	42.95	987,565	2.09	139,739	68,182	14,836	5,180	192.05
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	3-3	41.12	998,221	2.17	350,492	58,816	13,023	4,093	243.32
Dooly County	4-A Division II	2-3	39.10	967,572	2.16	322,131	48,393	8,179	2,125	469.59
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	4-2	38.86	952,358	2.08	299,812	43,677	7,139	1,782	560.17
Lanier County	2-A Division II	4-1	37.40	998,274	1.84	244,576	31,432	4,350	950	1,051.63
Johnson County	5-A Division II	3-2	35.01	999,983	1.55	58,398	15,876	1,789	309	3,235.25
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	4-2	34.48	998,247	1.66	45,122	10,938	1,017	145	6,895.55
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	3-3	32.33	983,080	1.40	92,214	6,364	514	59	16,948.15
Turner County	2-A Division II	2-4	30.91	991,112	1.34	66,850	3,954	276	36	27,776.78
Portal	3-A Division II	3-3	31.29	978,629	1.33	75,075	4,802	328	31	32,257.06
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	3-3	30.27	542,800	0.78	41,689	2,325	131	11	90,908.09
Terrell County	1-A Division II	2-2	24.10	902,475	1.07	17,747	618	14	1	999,999.00
Christian Heritage	7-A Division II	1-4	24.85	1,000,000	1.09	3,786	351	9	1	999,999.00
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	4-2	26.30	339,761	0.45	13,761	482	17	-	-
Charlton County	2-A Division II	0-6	23.30	952,487	1.06	11,234	241	11	-	-
Seminole County	1-A Division II	3-3	22.81	777,405	0.88	8,459	219	4	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	3-2	20.55	850,155	0.94	6,831	146	2	-	-
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	3-3	19.85	1,000,000	1.03	1,376	88	2	-	-
Treutlen	4-A Division II	1-5	23.98	199,166	0.25	4,919	117	-	-	-
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	3-3	17.27	984,073	1.04	506	30	-	-	-
Taylor County	6-A Division II	5-1	19.49	601,812	0.62	468	22	-	-	-
Miller County	1-A Division II	1-4	17.92	314,527	0.33	811	9	-	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	3-3	18.62	396,815	0.41	191	3	-	-	-
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	0-6	13.20	155,255	0.16	130	1	-	-	-
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	2-3	11.90	884,219	0.90	90	1	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	2-4	9.91	790,367	0.80	51	-	-	-	-
Warren County	8-A Division II	2-4	15.89	14,644	0.02	23	-	-	-	-
Montgomery County	3-A Division II	0-6	4.39	40,551	0.04	9	-	-	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	1-6	1.12	340,996	0.34	3	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	0-6	0.91	58,145	0.06	1	-	-	-	-
Greenville	6-A Division II	1-5	10.64	2,190	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	0-5	-1.38	1,236	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	0-5	-27.07	362	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	1-4	-7.86	184	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	0-6	2.16	86	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	2-3	-0.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	1-5	-20.54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	899,293	93,075	6,618	1,013	999,999	1
1-A Division II	Terrell County	66,514	362,601	291,783	181,577	902,475	97,525
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	32,521	241,214	300,412	276,008	850,155	149,845
1-A Division II	Seminole County	1,670	261,481	279,070	235,184	777,405	222,595
1-A Division II	Miller County	2	34,387	83,023	197,115	314,527	685,473
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	-	7,242	39,086	108,927	155,255	844,745
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	8	176	184	999,816
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Clinch County	795,466	174,690	25,308	4,518	999,982	18
2-A Division II	Lanier County	153,697	531,204	243,770	69,603	998,274	1,726
2-A Division II	Turner County	43,199	234,599	485,179	228,135	991,112	8,888
2-A Division II	Charlton County	7,637	59,265	243,558	642,027	952,487	47,513
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	1	242	2,185	55,717	58,145	941,855
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	572,014	302,331	90,557	34,617	999,519	481
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	314,956	411,261	186,210	85,794	998,221	1,779
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	62,785	154,699	374,467	391,129	983,080	16,920
3-A Division II	Portal	50,240	131,493	347,168	449,728	978,629	21,371
3-A Division II	Montgomery County	5	216	1,598	38,732	40,551	959,449
4-A Division II	Telfair County	670,647	237,409	76,961	13,326	998,343	1,657
4-A Division II	Dooly County	170,973	371,657	336,331	88,611	967,572	32,428
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	150,159	329,462	342,949	129,788	952,358	47,642
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	6,668	32,590	129,228	374,314	542,800	457,200
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	855	22,371	78,515	238,020	339,761	660,239
4-A Division II	Treutlen	698	6,511	36,016	155,941	199,166	800,834
5-A Division II	Johnson County	883,848	105,074	9,295	1,766	999,983	17
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	88,005	603,262	241,903	50,903	984,073	15,927
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	21,524	218,456	370,015	274,224	884,219	115,781
5-A Division II	Glascock County	6,542	48,752	302,337	432,736	790,367	209,633
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	81	24,455	76,423	240,037	340,996	659,004
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	-	1	27	334	362	999,638
6-A Division II	Schley County	709,446	290,294	235	23	999,998	2
6-A Division II	Manchester	290,418	694,925	8,908	5,711	999,962	38
6-A Division II	Taylor County	136	796	36,250	564,630	601,812	398,188
6-A Division II	Macon County	-	13,967	942,761	42,409	999,137	863
6-A Division II	Marion County	-	18	11,804	384,993	396,815	603,185
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	-	-	39	47	86	999,914
6-A Division II	Greenville	-	-	3	2,187	2,190	997,810
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7-A Division II	Bowdon	979,683	19,657	660	-	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Christian Heritage	15,426	634,605	349,969	-	1,000,000	-
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	4,891	345,738	649,371	-	1,000,000	-
8-A Division II	Greene County	793,924	174,429	26,929	4,677	999,959	41
8-A Division II	Aquinas	174,791	663,513	124,089	35,956	998,349	1,651
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	23,385	96,032	588,942	279,206	987,565	12,435
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	7,900	65,761	259,624	664,962	998,247	1,753
8-A Division II	Warren County	-	265	372	14,007	14,644	985,356
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	44	1,192	1,236	998,764
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Class AAAAAAA

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Class AAAAAA

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Class AAAAA

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Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AAAA

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Class AAA

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Playoff Projections by Team

Playoff Seeding Projections

Class AA

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Class A Division I

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Class A Division II

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