High schools

Maxwell playoff projections after Week 5

The Hillgrove HawkÕs defense brings down McEachern running back Makari Bodiford (22) in the first half of their game at Hillgrove High School Friday, September 25, 2020. PHOTO/Daniel Varnado

By Loren Maxwell

Oct 7, 2020

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings' playoff projections for each class.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation of the 2020 season. The simulation completed 1,000,000 iterations.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments, and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head to head, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie breaker.

Class AAAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Colquitt County	1 - AAAAAAA	3-0	105.69	1,000,000	4.11	876,919	746,683	542,960	367,810	1.72
Grayson	4 - AAAAAAA	4-0	103.90	999,630	4.17	901,397	826,681	484,004	314,395	2.18
Lowndes	1 - AAAAAAA	4-0	101.60	1,000,000	3.76	781,002	630,291	448,890	210,288	3.76
Norcross	7 - AAAAAAA	4-0	94.85	1,000,000	3.07	750,450	252,080	120,988	44,665	21.39
Brookwood	4 - AAAAAAA	4-0	89.58	966,983	2.33	428,107	267,961	78,503	15,361	64.10
Collins Hill	8 - AAAAAAA	4-1	87.47	993,966	2.59	552,828	228,300	63,260	10,666	92.76
Archer	7 - AAAAAAA	1-3	86.67	999,981	2.52	501,230	107,623	42,640	6,898	143.97
North Cobb	3 - AAAAAAA	4-0	87.35	976,155	2.08	165,792	86,231	33,222	5,639	176.34
North Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAAA	3-2	85.72	991,813	2.28	435,646	148,286	35,032	5,232	190.13
Mill Creek	8 - AAAAAAA	2-1	85.70	992,732	2.22	410,218	133,329	31,199	4,752	209.44
Hillgrove	3 - AAAAAAA	2-1	86.53	962,686	2.01	153,300	76,755	28,309	4,496	221.42
Cherokee	5 - AAAAAAA	5-0	84.83	988,137	2.00	298,465	61,697	19,936	2,657	375.36
Roswell	5 - AAAAAAA	3-0	83.20	985,399	1.86	250,298	45,830	12,224	1,519	657.33
Newnan	2 - AAAAAAA	4-0	81.87	998,932	1.88	164,921	74,120	13,233	1,324	754.29
Parkview	4 - AAAAAAA	3-1	83.41	902,607	1.34	129,971	57,292	11,216	1,292	772.99
Milton	5 - AAAAAAA	2-1	82.97	978,270	1.82	240,929	44,358	11,195	1,289	774.80
McEachern	2 - AAAAAAA	2-3	80.10	998,230	1.73	115,820	46,443	6,884	622	1,606.72
West Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	2-2	78.00	935,492	1.94	237,130	42,008	4,450	371	2,694.42
Camden County	1 - AAAAAAA	4-1	78.89	1,000,000	1.33	91,468	30,265	3,462	250	3,999.00
South Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	3-0	76.16	919,855	1.77	178,680	29,480	2,821	177	5,648.72
East Coweta	2 - AAAAAAA	4-1	76.86	996,450	1.50	58,213	18,345	2,036	106	9,432.96
South Gwinnett	4 - AAAAAAA	4-1	77.00	660,946	0.77	27,403	7,633	833	60	16,665.67
Walton	3 - AAAAAAA	2-2	76.10	674,370	1.00	32,660	8,617	811	49	20,407.16
Marietta	3 - AAAAAAA	1-3	75.22	691,678	1.00	29,355	7,305	658	37	27,026.03
North Forsyth	6 - AAAAAAA	4-1	71.44	473,599	0.66	29,029	3,457	233	12	83,332.33
Gainesville	6 - AAAAAAA	3-1	70.83	778,222	1.19	61,016	6,797	378	10	99,999.00
Newton	4 - AAAAAAA	2-1	73.83	469,834	0.51	9,008	1,861	160	10	99,999.00
Tift County	1 - AAAAAAA	0-2	72.40	1,000,000	1.09	19,804	4,149	219	8	124,999.00
Harrison	3 - AAAAAAA	0-3	71.03	397,937	0.52	9,222	1,679	85	2	499,999.00
Denmark	6 - AAAAAAA	1-3	65.32	621,092	0.82	18,387	1,315	45	1	999,999.00
Mountain View	8 - AAAAAAA	1-4	67.64	656,063	0.75	10,635	596	36	1	999,999.00
North Paulding	3 - AAAAAAA	1-3	69.32	297,174	0.37	5,183	790	31	1	999,999.00
Alpharetta	5 - AAAAAAA	1-2	66.92	516,765	0.58	13,262	1,179	33	-	-
Woodstock	5 - AAAAAAA	2-3	63.18	390,595	0.42	4,977	322	10	-	-
Lambert	6 - AAAAAAA	4-1	61.73	147,094	0.16	1,090	50	3	-	-
Etowah	5 - AAAAAAA	0-4	57.79	140,834	0.15	636	19	1	-	-
Forsyth Central	6 - AAAAAAA	2-1	62.37	124,646	0.14	1,242	86	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7 - AAAAAAA	2-3	54.06	911,378	0.99	2,283	53	-	-	-
Pebblebrook	2 - AAAAAAA	4-1	59.15	868,289	0.91	453	18	-	-	-
Peachtree Ridge	8 - AAAAAAA	3-0	61.16	365,426	0.39	1,316	15	-	-	-
Discovery	7 - AAAAAAA	2-3	45.81	558,180	0.58	173	1	-	-	-
Dunwoody	7 - AAAAAAA	0-1	43.10	325,549	0.33	50	-	-	-	-
Duluth	7 - AAAAAAA	1-2	44.54	197,157	0.20	30	-	-	-	-
Campbell	2 - AAAAAAA	1-4	45.03	138,099	0.14	2	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7 - AAAAAAA	0-3	28.24	7,755	0.01	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1 - AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	657,938	325,692	14,887	1,483	1,000,000	-
1 - AAAAAAA	Lowndes	336,818	622,572	37,646	2,964	1,000,000	-
1 - AAAAAAA	Camden County	4,173	41,962	676,396	277,469	1,000,000	-
1 - AAAAAAA	Tift County	1,071	9,774	271,071	718,084	1,000,000	-
2 - AAAAAAA	Newnan	451,360	321,835	202,258	23,479	998,932	1,068
2 - AAAAAAA	McEachern	334,932	369,354	261,738	32,206	998,230	1,770
2 - AAAAAAA	East Coweta	209,053	292,199	410,898	84,300	996,450	3,550
2 - AAAAAAA	Pebblebrook	4,605	16,034	120,052	727,598	868,289	131,711
2 - AAAAAAA	Campbell	50	578	5,054	132,417	138,099	861,901
3 - AAAAAAA	North Cobb	445,439	350,413	133,964	46,339	976,155	23,845
3 - AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	432,626	320,387	149,333	60,340	962,686	37,314
3 - AAAAAAA	Walton	52,954	126,547	241,590	253,279	674,370	325,630
3 - AAAAAAA	Marietta	43,611	116,866	264,930	266,271	691,678	308,322
3 - AAAAAAA	Harrison	17,521	54,413	124,036	201,967	397,937	602,063
3 - AAAAAAA	North Paulding	7,849	31,374	86,147	171,804	297,174	702,826
4 - AAAAAAA	Grayson	800,098	173,466	21,761	4,305	999,630	370
4 - AAAAAAA	Brookwood	154,001	494,944	234,942	83,096	966,983	33,017
4 - AAAAAAA	Parkview	32,859	217,146	434,986	217,616	902,607	97,393
4 - AAAAAAA	South Gwinnett	10,368	78,089	194,625	377,864	660,946	339,054
4 - AAAAAAA	Newton	2,674	36,355	113,686	317,119	469,834	530,166
5 - AAAAAAA	Cherokee	383,324	319,724	234,348	50,741	988,137	11,863
5 - AAAAAAA	Roswell	317,002	320,089	288,890	59,418	985,399	14,601
5 - AAAAAAA	Milton	287,676	313,690	298,566	78,338	978,270	21,730
5 - AAAAAAA	Alpharetta	8,776	30,611	102,681	374,697	516,765	483,235
5 - AAAAAAA	Woodstock	2,788	12,869	58,416	316,522	390,595	609,405
5 - AAAAAAA	Etowah	434	3,017	17,099	120,284	140,834	859,166
6 - AAAAAAA	West Forsyth	439,073	264,466	153,331	78,622	935,492	64,508
6 - AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	319,624	296,562	196,437	107,232	919,855	80,145
6 - AAAAAAA	Gainesville	134,755	197,177	243,597	202,693	778,222	221,778
6 - AAAAAAA	Denmark	55,337	123,175	202,383	240,197	621,092	378,908
6 - AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	45,294	94,456	130,295	203,554	473,599	526,401
6 - AAAAAAA	Forsyth Central	3,363	11,429	32,210	77,644	124,646	875,354
6 - AAAAAAA	Lambert	2,554	12,735	41,747	90,058	147,094	852,906
7 - AAAAAAA	Norcross	759,480	238,919	1,590	11	1,000,000	-
7 - AAAAAAA	Archer	240,246	740,439	18,953	343	999,981	19
7 - AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	255	17,565	631,229	262,329	911,378	88,622
7 - AAAAAAA	Discovery	19	2,559	238,793	316,809	558,180	441,820
7 - AAAAAAA	Dunwoody	-	512	104,001	221,036	325,549	674,451
7 - AAAAAAA	Duluth	-	6	4,502	192,649	197,157	802,843
7 - AAAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	932	6,823	7,755	992,245
8 - AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	441,806	308,254	202,427	41,479	993,966	6,034
8 - AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	294,582	334,458	302,303	60,470	991,813	8,187
8 - AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	254,619	328,258	355,726	54,129	992,732	7,268
8 - AAAAAAA	Mountain View	8,058	24,052	107,404	516,549	656,063	343,937
8 - AAAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	935	4,978	32,140	327,373	365,426	634,574

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Valdosta	1 - AAAAAA	2-1	94.17	1,000,000	4.34	914,637	811,228	671,541	535,912	0.87
Buford	8 - AAAAAA	2-1	86.05	997,088	3.15	664,122	417,580	243,350	114,684	7.72
Lee County	1 - AAAAAA	3-1	83.81	1,000,000	3.16	672,027	457,622	249,728	90,242	10.08
Richmond Hill	2 - AAAAAA	3-1	83.72	999,594	3.31	681,326	407,749	225,777	88,508	10.30
Allatoona	6 - AAAAAA	3-0	80.09	999,015	2.68	464,543	261,439	92,561	32,424	29.84
Lovejoy	4 - AAAAAA	5-0	80.49	994,256	2.33	424,107	234,002	85,939	30,186	32.13
Dacula	8 - AAAAAA	1-2	80.18	982,893	2.33	430,305	197,207	78,715	25,938	37.55
Carrollton	5 - AAAAAA	1-1	78.53	965,228	2.27	436,695	179,704	70,731	19,895	49.26
Douglas County	5 - AAAAAA	4-0	77.55	924,389	1.97	344,796	130,946	47,307	12,606	78.33
Rome	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	77.02	924,946	1.93	330,083	121,152	42,498	10,822	91.40
Houston County	1 - AAAAAA	3-2	75.73	1,000,000	1.95	295,678	124,224	34,710	7,728	128.40
Lanier	8 - AAAAAA	3-0	76.03	946,734	1.85	286,183	97,577	30,131	7,317	135.67
Westlake	4 - AAAAAA	2-1	75.84	982,242	1.78	248,805	107,958	30,180	7,227	137.37
Northside (Warner Robins)	1 - AAAAAA	2-3	74.25	1,000,000	1.79	249,147	91,713	21,881	4,374	227.62
Kell	6 - AAAAAA	1-2	73.53	996,904	2.06	243,434	82,198	20,689	3,973	250.70
Creekview	7 - AAAAAA	3-1	72.89	982,340	2.07	288,698	63,812	20,038	3,869	257.46
Sprayberry	6 - AAAAAA	2-2	69.91	993,552	1.78	159,894	38,948	7,239	1,032	967.99
Hughes	4 - AAAAAA	3-0	70.21	928,447	1.28	107,395	33,717	6,425	927	1,077.75
Glynn Academy	2 - AAAAAA	2-2	67.04	921,044	1.94	152,467	33,993	4,800	548	1,823.82
Tucker	4 - AAAAAA	1-0	68.56	884,251	1.13	76,249	21,148	3,589	443	2,256.34
Alexander	5 - AAAAAA	3-1	69.66	626,406	0.88	70,037	15,386	3,045	435	2,297.85
Brunswick	2 - AAAAAA	2-2	65.52	898,319	1.84	123,219	24,396	2,895	278	3,596.12
Riverwood	7 - AAAAAA	3-0	66.57	868,750	1.32	82,577	13,744	2,254	250	3,999.00
River Ridge	7 - AAAAAA	4-0	65.55	825,005	1.18	58,252	9,023	1,294	128	7,811.50
Johns Creek	7 - AAAAAA	1-2	65.26	847,599	1.21	59,269	8,799	1,215	113	8,848.56
Dalton	5 - AAAAAA	1-2	67.70	344,213	0.44	23,368	4,348	701	94	10,637.30
Shiloh	8 - AAAAAA	1-2	64.49	522,116	0.65	29,544	4,093	474	40	24,999.00
Evans	3 - AAAAAA	3-2	54.08	1,000,000	1.40	19,552	1,760	78	3	333,332.33
Statesboro	2 - AAAAAA	0-3	55.74	459,695	0.77	14,681	1,230	62	2	499,999.00
Central Gwinnett	8 - AAAAAA	1-3	60.05	291,419	0.33	7,182	725	45	1	999,999.00
Bradwell Institute	2 - AAAAAA	0-2	54.11	337,042	0.55	8,185	580	19	1	999,999.00
East Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	3-1	61.71	116,983	0.13	2,420	263	22	-	-
Sequoyah	7 - AAAAAA	0-4	58.33	218,652	0.25	2,707	272	21	-	-
South Paulding	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	60.81	93,866	0.10	1,605	167	12	-	-
South Effingham	2 - AAAAAA	0-3	52.70	285,228	0.45	5,446	332	8	-	-
Pope	6 - AAAAAA	1-2	55.86	532,795	0.62	6,217	271	7	-	-
Cambridge	7 - AAAAAA	1-2	56.95	204,511	0.23	1,749	124	6	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	3 - AAAAAA	1-3	47.61	1,000,000	1.18	4,020	152	5	-	-
Wheeler	6 - AAAAAA	1-3	54.37	358,707	0.41	2,951	90	4	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8 - AAAAAA	1-2	55.60	127,924	0.14	1,372	91	3	-	-
Effingham County	2 - AAAAAA	1-3	47.46	99,078	0.14	732	28	1	-	-
Habersham Central	8 - AAAAAA	2-2	56.35	131,826	0.14	1,629	130	-	-	-
Morrow	4 - AAAAAA	1-1	51.13	93,080	0.09	314	22	-	-	-
North Atlanta	4 - AAAAAA	2-0	52.32	117,724	0.12	529	21	-	-	-
Alcovy	3 - AAAAAA	0-4	42.81	1,000,000	1.08	986	16	-	-	-
Grovetown	3 - AAAAAA	1-4	40.45	1,000,000	1.06	498	10	-	-	-
Lassiter	6 - AAAAAA	1-3	48.70	47,493	0.05	148	6	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7 - AAAAAA	1-2	50.15	32,476	0.03	54	2	-	-	-
Centennial	7 - AAAAAA	0-3	48.46	20,667	0.02	26	1	-	-	-
Paulding County	5 - AAAAAA	2-2	52.14	3,969	0.00	9	1	-	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	6 - AAAAAA	0-4	47.51	64,143	0.07	129	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	6 - AAAAAA	0-3	40.65	7,372	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Osborne	6 - AAAAAA	1-2	26.59	19	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	3 - AAAAAA	0-0	55.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	3 - AAAAAA	0-0	52.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4 - AAAAAA	0-1	29.06	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1 - AAAAAA	Valdosta	694,182	243,486	48,027	14,305	1,000,000	-
1 - AAAAAA	Lee County	229,368	469,316	205,553	95,763	1,000,000	-
1 - AAAAAA	Houston County	49,927	168,801	414,051	367,221	1,000,000	-
1 - AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	26,523	118,397	332,369	522,711	1,000,000	-
2 - AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	845,538	131,505	19,915	2,636	999,594	406
2 - AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	92,195	375,647	315,116	138,086	921,044	78,956
2 - AAAAAA	Brunswick	54,472	366,166	324,822	152,859	898,319	101,681
2 - AAAAAA	Statesboro	3,653	56,835	137,879	261,328	459,695	540,305
2 - AAAAAA	Bradwell Institute	2,674	35,397	97,701	201,270	337,042	662,958
2 - AAAAAA	South Effingham	1,312	29,916	83,449	170,551	285,228	714,772
2 - AAAAAA	Effingham County	156	4,534	21,118	73,270	99,078	900,922
3 - AAAAAA	Evans	557,566	285,093	105,549	51,792	1,000,000	-
3 - AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	251,045	317,867	244,735	186,353	1,000,000	-
3 - AAAAAA	Alcovy	99,278	211,739	329,527	359,456	1,000,000	-
3 - AAAAAA	Grovetown	92,111	185,301	320,189	402,399	1,000,000	-
3 - AAAAAA	Rockdale County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3 - AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
4 - AAAAAA	Lovejoy	522,832	300,226	122,554	48,644	994,256	5,744
4 - AAAAAA	Westlake	301,796	326,261	229,676	124,509	982,242	17,758
4 - AAAAAA	Hughes	106,230	221,238	334,545	266,434	928,447	71,553
4 - AAAAAA	Tucker	68,337	145,576	280,686	389,652	884,251	115,749
4 - AAAAAA	North Atlanta	490	3,910	18,534	94,790	117,724	882,276
4 - AAAAAA	Morrow	315	2,789	14,005	75,971	93,080	906,920
4 - AAAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5 - AAAAAA	Carrollton	410,392	282,255	184,797	87,784	965,228	34,772
5 - AAAAAA	Douglas County	266,979	279,965	241,676	135,769	924,389	75,611
5 - AAAAAA	Rome	257,715	280,181	249,732	137,318	924,946	75,054
5 - AAAAAA	Alexander	53,197	104,767	180,566	287,876	626,406	373,594
5 - AAAAAA	Dalton	9,229	40,845	97,273	196,866	344,213	655,787
5 - AAAAAA	East Paulding	1,420	6,623	25,359	83,581	116,983	883,017
5 - AAAAAA	South Paulding	1,060	5,284	19,942	67,580	93,866	906,134
5 - AAAAAA	Paulding County	8	80	655	3,226	3,969	996,031
6 - AAAAAA	Allatoona	651,751	249,049	88,164	10,051	999,015	985
6 - AAAAAA	Kell	234,084	452,983	288,237	21,600	996,904	3,096
6 - AAAAAA	Sprayberry	112,569	288,438	528,018	64,527	993,552	6,448
6 - AAAAAA	Pope	1,109	5,917	65,913	459,856	532,795	467,205
6 - AAAAAA	Wheeler	432	2,814	20,592	334,869	358,707	641,293
6 - AAAAAA	Lassiter	55	664	6,146	40,628	47,493	952,507
6 - AAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	-	131	2,610	61,402	64,143	935,857
6 - AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	4	320	7,048	7,372	992,628
6 - AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	-	19	19	999,981
7 - AAAAAA	Creekview	579,950	240,945	112,668	48,777	982,340	17,660
7 - AAAAAA	Riverwood	170,382	274,658	242,803	180,907	868,750	131,250
7 - AAAAAA	Johns Creek	124,893	229,066	263,867	229,773	847,599	152,401
7 - AAAAAA	River Ridge	115,770	207,651	254,453	247,131	825,005	174,995
7 - AAAAAA	Sequoyah	6,412	21,965	56,085	134,190	218,652	781,348
7 - AAAAAA	Cambridge	2,308	23,693	60,196	118,314	204,511	795,489
7 - AAAAAA	Chattahoochee	184	1,335	6,056	24,901	32,476	967,524
7 - AAAAAA	Centennial	101	687	3,872	16,007	20,667	979,333
8 - AAAAAA	Buford	605,336	267,139	106,789	17,824	997,088	2,912
8 - AAAAAA	Dacula	229,974	390,834	296,189	65,896	982,893	17,107
8 - AAAAAA	Lanier	154,395	288,422	371,256	132,661	946,734	53,266
8 - AAAAAA	Shiloh	8,213	35,548	128,202	350,153	522,116	477,884
8 - AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	1,465	11,731	54,773	223,450	291,419	708,581
8 - AAAAAA	Habersham Central	372	3,578	22,134	105,742	131,826	868,174
8 - AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	245	2,748	20,657	104,274	127,924	872,076

Class AAAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Warner Robins	1 - AAAAA	3-1	96.56	996,130	4.30	944,105	741,348	648,242	502,193	0.99
Blessed Trinity	7 - AAAAA	2-0	89.61	999,706	3.80	934,423	507,567	361,566	183,769	4.44
Ware County	1 - AAAAA	4-0	87.28	953,225	3.36	769,387	499,704	289,405	112,314	7.90
Cartersville	7 - AAAAA	4-1	84.15	998,474	3.47	867,861	417,622	209,479	70,012	13.28
Veterans	1 - AAAAA	4-0	84.79	916,324	2.97	670,212	427,498	184,403	63,057	14.86
Calhoun	7 - AAAAA	4-1	81.63	995,830	3.30	826,509	368,464	146,936	40,958	23.42
Coffee	1 - AAAAA	3-1	79.87	833,041	2.27	473,919	284,668	74,243	18,283	53.70
Starr's Mill	2 - AAAAA	3-1	71.89	989,437	2.21	247,171	110,949	17,175	2,128	468.92
Jones County	4 - AAAAA	1-3	72.93	968,763	1.51	175,067	96,129	14,182	2,121	470.48
St. Pius X	5 - AAAAA	2-1	71.10	998,184	2.10	189,808	45,795	11,074	1,218	820.02
Ola	4 - AAAAA	4-0	71.16	940,445	1.36	133,040	65,062	8,351	1,042	958.69
Clarke Central	8 - AAAAA	2-2	67.75	992,653	2.19	275,719	76,695	7,830	676	1,478.29
Harris County	2 - AAAAA	3-1	68.35	971,810	1.90	146,834	60,376	5,866	544	1,837.24
Wayne County	1 - AAAAA	2-3	70.45	301,280	0.56	78,205	37,680	3,690	436	2,292.58
Cass	7 - AAAAA	5-0	66.36	883,576	2.05	395,007	93,359	5,712	431	2,319.19
Woodward Academy	3 - AAAAA	1-3	66.80	991,591	1.72	84,347	20,964	2,823	206	4,853.37
Stockbridge	4 - AAAAA	1-2	67.66	819,822	1.01	57,160	20,369	2,069	199	5,024.13
Dutchtown	4 - AAAAA	1-3	68.41	746,926	0.90	47,576	14,041	1,776	160	6,249.00
Griffin	2 - AAAAA	1-3	64.64	933,025	1.61	77,727	25,558	1,688	119	8,402.36
Eastside	8 - AAAAA	3-1	61.24	911,672	1.60	122,667	20,570	888	47	21,275.60
Creekside	3 - AAAAA	1-2	62.85	964,228	1.50	45,467	9,780	701	30	33,332.33
Greenbrier	8 - AAAAA	4-0	59.22	956,886	1.68	124,282	17,979	615	17	58,822.53
Southwest DeKalb	5 - AAAAA	0-1	60.91	946,929	1.56	65,439	8,463	468	17	58,822.53
Northgate	2 - AAAAA	2-2	58.87	732,783	1.04	17,731	3,089	131	8	124,999.00
New Manchester	6 - AAAAA	2-2	57.52	986,237	1.29	90,130	12,430	333	6	166,665.67
Chapel Hill	6 - AAAAA	2-2	54.42	967,344	1.15	48,662	5,001	95	5	199,999.00
Jonesboro	3 - AAAAA	3-0	58.87	937,204	1.29	22,602	4,386	158	4	249,999.00
Union Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-2	61.03	276,449	0.29	3,909	488	37	-	-
Loganville	8 - AAAAA	1-3	55.44	631,724	0.84	17,143	1,572	35	-	-
M.L. King	5 - AAAAA	0-1	50.66	566,745	0.70	11,384	616	9	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	4 - AAAAA	4-0	57.46	196,766	0.20	1,490	149	8	-	-
Decatur	5 - AAAAA	1-0	49.14	577,178	0.69	9,139	435	4	-	-
Northview	5 - AAAAA	1-2	48.66	518,517	0.62	7,287	350	4	-	-
Whitewater	2 - AAAAA	1-3	49.28	217,796	0.25	638	30	2	-	-
Jackson County	8 - AAAAA	2-2	47.78	384,039	0.45	3,190	133	1	-	-
Hiram	7 - AAAAA	0-5	46.72	68,809	0.09	2,958	124	1	-	-
Banneker	3 - AAAAA	0-2	50.88	438,444	0.49	1,745	169	-	-	-
Lithonia	5 - AAAAA	0-1	46.84	338,774	0.39	3,331	133	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7 - AAAAA	3-0	44.44	53,605	0.07	1,545	51	-	-	-
Villa Rica	6 - AAAAA	1-3	43.61	695,497	0.71	1,574	47	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	3 - AAAAA	3-0	47.49	310,247	0.34	619	43	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3 - AAAAA	1-3	47.24	242,544	0.26	394	34	-	-	-
Maynard Jackson	6 - AAAAA	0-4	43.04	614,752	0.63	1,139	28	-	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	2 - AAAAA	3-1	48.62	145,071	0.17	434	24	-	-	-
Locust Grove	4 - AAAAA	2-2	54.17	45,927	0.05	134	11	-	-	-
Apalachee	8 - AAAAA	0-4	43.12	108,141	0.12	293	8	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	6 - AAAAA	0-4	40.42	487,230	0.49	391	5	-	-	-
Drew	3 - AAAAA	1-3	43.50	115,725	0.12	83	3	-	-	-
Walnut Grove	8 - AAAAA	1-3	38.82	14,848	0.02	14	1	-	-	-
Grady	6 - AAAAA	0-4	36.49	236,297	0.24	63	-	-	-	-
Stone Mountain	5 - AAAAA	1-0	36.99	53,673	0.06	42	-	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	4 - AAAAA	0-4	47.29	4,902	0.00	3	-	-	-	-
McIntosh	2 - AAAAA	0-4	36.80	10,078	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
North Springs	6 - AAAAA	0-3	22.84	12,643	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	8 - AAAAA	0-4	18.39	37	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	3 - AAAAA	0-4	18.73	17	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Chamblee	5 - AAAAA	0-0	25.70	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5 - AAAAA	1-0	-33.16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1 - AAAAA	Warner Robins	671,712	230,360	70,015	24,043	996,130	3,870
1 - AAAAA	Ware County	169,767	384,927	269,288	129,243	953,225	46,775
1 - AAAAA	Veterans	117,680	232,494	322,990	243,160	916,324	83,676
1 - AAAAA	Coffee	37,234	129,585	277,929	388,293	833,041	166,959
1 - AAAAA	Wayne County	3,607	22,634	59,778	215,261	301,280	698,720
2 - AAAAA	Starr's Mill	537,113	273,596	129,454	49,274	989,437	10,563
2 - AAAAA	Harris County	261,496	340,341	264,687	105,286	971,810	28,190
2 - AAAAA	Griffin	156,807	272,911	328,198	175,109	933,025	66,975
2 - AAAAA	Northgate	41,414	94,842	206,622	389,905	732,783	267,217
2 - AAAAA	Whitewater	1,869	10,578	41,168	164,181	217,796	782,204
2 - AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	1,290	7,555	28,695	107,531	145,071	854,929
2 - AAAAA	McIntosh	11	177	1,176	8,714	10,078	989,922
3 - AAAAA	Woodward Academy	482,149	311,807	162,743	34,892	991,591	8,409
3 - AAAAA	Creekside	319,223	328,965	231,404	84,636	964,228	35,772
3 - AAAAA	Jonesboro	182,785	283,600	351,911	118,908	937,204	62,796
3 - AAAAA	Tri-Cities	7,678	29,855	81,886	190,828	310,247	689,753
3 - AAAAA	Banneker	6,813	31,197	97,008	303,426	438,444	561,556
3 - AAAAA	Mundy's Mill	1,019	11,504	53,329	176,692	242,544	757,456
3 - AAAAA	Drew	333	3,072	21,717	90,603	115,725	884,275
3 - AAAAA	Forest Park	-	-	2	15	17	999,983
4 - AAAAA	Jones County	420,220	267,636	183,234	97,673	968,763	31,237
4 - AAAAA	Ola	334,147	317,374	194,857	94,067	940,445	59,555
4 - AAAAA	Stockbridge	160,995	207,377	229,402	222,048	819,822	180,178
4 - AAAAA	Dutchtown	71,632	152,344	252,002	270,948	746,926	253,074
4 - AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	6,433	21,138	53,832	115,363	196,766	803,234
4 - AAAAA	Union Grove	6,058	31,401	76,146	162,844	276,449	723,551
4 - AAAAA	Locust Grove	505	2,551	9,610	33,261	45,927	954,073
4 - AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	10	179	917	3,796	4,902	995,098
5 - AAAAA	St. Pius X	768,053	192,307	31,623	6,201	998,184	1,816
5 - AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	186,993	480,753	196,813	82,370	946,929	53,071
5 - AAAAA	M.L. King	16,845	99,952	216,812	233,136	566,745	433,255
5 - AAAAA	Decatur	12,553	96,548	229,805	238,272	577,178	422,822
5 - AAAAA	Northview	10,577	86,186	193,638	228,116	518,517	481,483
5 - AAAAA	Lithonia	4,890	41,746	116,900	175,238	338,774	661,226
5 - AAAAA	Stone Mountain	89	2,508	14,409	36,667	53,673	946,327
5 - AAAAA	Chamblee	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5 - AAAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6 - AAAAA	New Manchester	508,194	329,922	113,087	35,034	986,237	13,763
6 - AAAAA	Chapel Hill	389,202	359,313	157,599	61,230	967,344	32,656
6 - AAAAA	Villa Rica	45,456	121,637	270,884	257,520	695,497	304,503
6 - AAAAA	Maynard Jackson	36,612	105,977	221,480	250,683	614,752	385,248
6 - AAAAA	Lithia Springs	17,071	64,405	164,212	241,542	487,230	512,770
6 - AAAAA	Grady	3,442	18,482	70,384	143,989	236,297	763,703
6 - AAAAA	North Springs	23	264	2,354	10,002	12,643	987,357
7 - AAAAA	Blessed Trinity	500,751	317,397	161,865	19,693	999,706	294
7 - AAAAA	Cartersville	277,144	338,784	310,463	72,083	998,474	1,526
7 - AAAAA	Calhoun	214,057	312,889	366,686	102,198	995,830	4,170
7 - AAAAA	Cass	8,042	30,655	157,097	687,782	883,576	116,424
7 - AAAAA	Hiram	5	184	2,307	66,313	68,809	931,191
7 - AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	1	91	1,582	51,931	53,605	946,395
8 - AAAAA	Clarke Central	583,456	264,000	112,164	33,033	992,653	7,347
8 - AAAAA	Greenbrier	225,198	349,734	287,221	94,733	956,886	43,114
8 - AAAAA	Eastside	164,384	283,212	290,080	173,996	911,672	88,328
8 - AAAAA	Loganville	19,435	62,862	189,102	360,325	631,724	368,276
8 - AAAAA	Jackson County	7,170	33,709	93,794	249,366	384,039	615,961
8 - AAAAA	Apalachee	289	5,848	24,439	77,565	108,141	891,859
8 - AAAAA	Walnut Grove	68	635	3,198	10,947	14,848	985,152
8 - AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	2	35	37	999,963

Class AAAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Marist	6 - AAAA	3-0	85.54	999,869	4.00	789,426	665,624	565,320	385,360	1.59
Jefferson	8 - AAAA	4-0	83.81	999,764	3.92	757,430	627,156	543,348	327,513	2.05
Benedictine	3 - AAAA	5-0	79.71	1,000,000	3.08	717,009	297,220	220,858	110,259	8.07
Bainbridge	1 - AAAA	1-3	74.11	997,913	3.18	700,709	479,734	167,671	62,822	14.92
Cedartown	7 - AAAA	2-2	71.02	997,953	2.64	539,335	333,909	94,561	28,344	34.28
Flowery Branch	8 - AAAA	3-1	71.43	990,672	2.58	353,683	202,222	97,563	26,870	36.22
Stephenson	6 - AAAA	1-0	69.62	977,139	2.35	368,749	216,707	70,581	16,911	58.13
Hapeville Charter	6 - AAAA	0-2	69.10	974,250	2.31	360,561	207,792	63,958	14,871	66.24
Carver (Columbus)	2 - AAAA	3-0	66.66	998,148	1.90	296,022	74,008	29,136	5,800	171.41
West Laurens	4 - AAAA	1-2	66.29	936,377	1.97	306,803	85,794	26,752	5,273	188.65
Cairo	1 - AAAA	0-3	63.62	966,319	1.93	292,967	113,791	20,456	3,122	319.31
Jenkins	3 - AAAA	0-1	64.31	1,000,000	1.95	263,418	78,496	15,935	2,803	355.76
Mays	6 - AAAA	2-2	62.67	903,268	1.64	213,754	86,289	12,985	1,991	501.26
Baldwin	4 - AAAA	0-0	62.58	858,895	1.56	195,565	50,069	10,132	1,448	689.61
Hardaway	2 - AAAA	2-1	61.61	987,494	1.61	176,182	32,375	7,936	1,028	971.76
Thomas County Central	1 - AAAA	1-2	60.74	926,894	1.61	190,057	58,573	8,698	1,023	976.52
Northwest Whitfield	7 - AAAA	4-0	59.90	976,652	1.55	176,388	69,238	8,343	932	1,071.96
Perry	4 - AAAA	0-3	61.50	825,162	1.44	167,296	40,604	7,405	904	1,105.19
Troup	2 - AAAA	1-3	60.28	945,632	1.60	153,374	42,226	5,184	641	1,559.06
Howard	4 - AAAA	2-1	60.46	751,956	1.24	130,769	32,593	5,097	567	1,762.67
Cedar Shoals	8 - AAAA	0-3	59.27	850,295	1.68	152,642	47,131	5,027	565	1,768.91
New Hampstead	3 - AAAA	1-0	57.10	1,000,000	1.67	151,479	39,171	4,254	335	2,984.07
North Oconee	8 - AAAA	0-4	57.25	734,176	1.37	109,005	31,253	2,754	243	4,114.23
Westside (Macon)	4 - AAAA	1-2	57.25	558,465	0.81	61,448	13,464	1,400	118	8,473.58
Riverdale	5 - AAAA	2-2	53.01	976,563	1.41	68,347	17,940	1,214	76	13,156.89
Westover	1 - AAAA	0-1	55.21	774,574	1.06	56,299	9,126	880	56	17,856.14
Islands	3 - AAAA	1-0	51.32	1,000,000	1.54	88,713	18,721	1,072	51	19,606.84
Central (Carrollton)	7 - AAAA	2-1	53.13	825,056	0.94	22,133	5,550	398	21	47,618.05
LaGrange	2 - AAAA	3-1	51.41	833,101	1.15	45,713	7,337	366	21	47,618.05
Luella	5 - AAAA	3-1	49.63	982,827	1.30	38,968	7,672	360	17	58,822.53
Heritage (Ringgold)	7 - AAAA	3-2	51.36	727,762	0.81	13,837	2,940	180	9	111,110.11
Madison County	8 - AAAA	1-3	49.12	307,264	0.46	15,097	2,352	80	3	333,332.33
Fayette County	5 - AAAA	3-1	46.49	958,992	1.13	14,376	1,992	73	2	499,999.00
Arabia Mountain	6 - AAAA	0-1	46.36	128,439	0.15	2,961	294	7	1	999,999.00
East Hall	8 - AAAA	3-1	43.79	106,136	0.14	2,064	195	6	-	-
Monroe	1 - AAAA	0-1	46.02	252,731	0.28	2,672	104	4	-	-
Pickens	7 - AAAA	2-3	43.29	311,144	0.32	639	47	3	-	-
Spalding	4 - AAAA	0-3	45.02	67,333	0.07	812	80	1	-	-
Ridgeland	7 - AAAA	0-5	40.16	156,005	0.16	132	8	1	-	-
McDonough	5 - AAAA	1-3	34.35	322,760	0.33	91	8	1	-	-
Shaw	2 - AAAA	0-3	42.54	200,219	0.24	2,395	179	-	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5 - AAAA	0-4	37.89	404,165	0.41	201	6	-	-	-
Dougherty	1 - AAAA	0-1	39.49	81,569	0.09	179	3	-	-	-
Hampton	5 - AAAA	1-4	36.18	350,070	0.36	96	3	-	-	-
Columbus	2 - AAAA	1-3	36.80	33,426	0.04	117	2	-	-	-
Miller Grove	6 - AAAA	0-1	36.76	16,824	0.02	61	1	-	-	-
Chestatee	8 - AAAA	0-4	33.83	11,693	0.01	23	1	-	-	-
Rutland	4 - AAAA	0-2	31.96	1,812	0.00	2	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7 - AAAA	1-4	18.80	5,428	0.01	1	-	-	-	-
North Clayton	5 - AAAA	0-5	20.73	4,623	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	2 - AAAA	1-2	26.46	1,783	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	6 - AAAA	0-1	19.80	211	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	2 - AAAA	0-3	22.10	126	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Spencer	2 - AAAA	0-5	20.48	71	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1 - AAAA	Bainbridge	703,233	214,420	62,076	18,184	997,913	2,087
1 - AAAA	Cairo	145,251	376,060	312,265	132,743	966,319	33,681
1 - AAAA	Thomas County Central	116,714	280,579	321,402	208,199	926,894	73,106
1 - AAAA	Westover	33,147	113,036	241,308	387,083	774,574	225,426
1 - AAAA	Monroe	1,464	13,810	50,307	187,150	252,731	747,269
1 - AAAA	Dougherty	191	2,095	12,642	66,641	81,569	918,431
2 - AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	524,645	296,432	135,913	41,158	998,148	1,852
2 - AAAA	Hardaway	348,757	410,438	162,538	65,761	987,494	12,506
2 - AAAA	Troup	88,469	187,533	438,179	231,451	945,632	54,368
2 - AAAA	LaGrange	37,674	98,452	226,049	470,926	833,101	166,899
2 - AAAA	Shaw	405	6,443	32,842	160,529	200,219	799,781
2 - AAAA	Columbus	50	696	4,395	28,285	33,426	966,574
2 - AAAA	Jordan	-	6	70	1,707	1,783	998,217
2 - AAAA	Kendrick	-	-	13	113	126	999,874
2 - AAAA	Spencer	-	-	1	70	71	999,929
3 - AAAA	Islands	566,162	361,376	72,462	-	1,000,000	-
3 - AAAA	New Hampstead	356,174	236,855	168,934	238,037	1,000,000	-
3 - AAAA	Jenkins	77,664	401,769	215,994	304,573	1,000,000	-
3 - AAAA	Benedictine	-	-	542,610	457,390	1,000,000	-
4 - AAAA	West Laurens	386,918	261,726	179,059	108,674	936,377	63,623
4 - AAAA	Baldwin	228,292	232,996	219,729	177,878	858,895	141,105
4 - AAAA	Perry	202,032	219,287	214,467	189,376	825,162	174,838
4 - AAAA	Howard	126,484	178,593	214,175	232,704	751,956	248,044
4 - AAAA	Westside (Macon)	55,067	102,689	157,392	243,317	558,465	441,535
4 - AAAA	Spalding	1,207	4,683	14,915	46,528	67,333	932,667
4 - AAAA	Rutland	-	26	263	1,523	1,812	998,188
5 - AAAA	Riverdale	431,471	309,747	180,084	55,261	976,563	23,437
5 - AAAA	Luella	371,516	343,219	214,062	54,030	982,827	17,173
5 - AAAA	Fayette County	181,371	282,602	379,752	115,267	958,992	41,008
5 - AAAA	McDonough	5,744	22,868	71,284	222,864	322,760	677,240
5 - AAAA	Hampton	5,658	18,890	62,361	263,161	350,070	649,930
5 - AAAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	4,240	22,639	91,998	285,288	404,165	595,835
5 - AAAA	North Clayton	-	35	459	4,129	4,623	995,377
6 - AAAA	Marist	834,034	138,449	21,430	5,956	999,869	131
6 - AAAA	Stephenson	76,174	373,142	339,468	188,355	977,139	22,861
6 - AAAA	Hapeville Charter	68,499	350,348	351,035	204,368	974,250	25,750
6 - AAAA	Mays	21,211	134,370	271,003	476,684	903,268	96,732
6 - AAAA	Arabia Mountain	81	3,552	15,617	109,189	128,439	871,561
6 - AAAA	Miller Grove	1	139	1,443	15,241	16,824	983,176
6 - AAAA	Druid Hills	-	-	4	207	211	999,789
7 - AAAA	Cedartown	664,525	263,563	56,771	13,094	997,953	2,047
7 - AAAA	Northwest Whitfield	264,763	447,961	181,877	82,051	976,652	23,348
7 - AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	33,612	147,484	349,481	294,479	825,056	174,944
7 - AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	30,513	114,473	289,051	293,725	727,762	272,238
7 - AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	3,864	1,564	-	-	5,428	994,572
7 - AAAA	Pickens	2,079	18,637	85,439	204,989	311,144	688,856
7 - AAAA	Ridgeland	644	6,318	37,381	111,662	156,005	843,995
8 - AAAA	Jefferson	773,025	204,533	19,446	2,760	999,764	236
8 - AAAA	Flowery Branch	202,690	568,450	177,718	41,814	990,672	9,328
8 - AAAA	Cedar Shoals	14,726	144,212	418,137	273,220	850,295	149,705
8 - AAAA	North Oconee	8,814	68,093	276,500	380,769	734,176	265,824
8 - AAAA	Madison County	688	11,755	81,070	213,751	307,264	692,736
8 - AAAA	East Hall	57	2,897	25,557	77,625	106,136	893,864
8 - AAAA	Chestatee	-	60	1,572	10,061	11,693	988,307

Class AAA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Cedar Grove	5 - AAA	1-0	88.43	998,124	4.18	888,824	765,465	573,691	447,025	1.24
Oconee County	8 - AAA	4-0	82.00	999,466	3.21	729,694	460,024	235,629	134,000	6.46
Crisp County	2 - AAA	3-0	80.19	996,228	3.52	814,748	482,574	242,771	116,850	7.56
Pierce County	1 - AAA	4-0	77.91	1,000,000	3.37	807,364	399,300	216,487	80,912	11.36
Peach County	2 - AAA	2-1	77.88	997,385	3.35	757,331	420,619	194,559	75,419	12.26
Greater Atlanta Christian	5 - AAA	3-0	78.43	970,738	2.84	572,298	347,128	177,585	65,710	14.22
Rockmart	6 - AAA	3-1	72.22	999,746	2.73	478,269	221,643	85,030	19,616	49.98
White County	7 - AAA	4-0	72.68	999,524	2.56	368,145	179,016	74,842	18,019	54.50
Westminster (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	2-0	73.60	909,836	2.06	358,434	162,641	58,389	15,555	63.29
Appling County	1 - AAA	3-0	70.85	999,995	2.76	647,800	185,048	60,061	13,787	71.53
Sandy Creek	5 - AAA	1-2	70.18	833,998	1.58	228,856	81,230	22,246	4,672	213.04
Burke County	4 - AAA	0-2	67.33	990,326	2.23	254,630	80,516	20,076	3,201	311.40
Thomson	4 - AAA	3-1	67.34	990,919	2.20	244,546	74,831	18,417	3,011	331.12
Stephens County	8 - AAA	4-1	64.75	911,736	1.24	88,015	22,186	4,146	527	1,896.53
Liberty County	3 - AAA	2-0	63.29	851,387	1.54	144,028	23,345	4,010	510	1,959.78
Dawson County	7 - AAA	1-3	62.19	987,645	1.88	107,037	26,570	3,886	427	2,340.92
Upson-Lee	2 - AAA	3-1	62.04	714,464	1.36	118,073	18,853	2,707	252	3,967.25
Mary Persons	2 - AAA	2-2	62.34	625,342	1.17	95,508	14,181	2,002	210	4,760.90
Hart County	8 - AAA	1-3	62.28	893,113	1.11	53,492	11,415	1,640	198	5,049.51
Monroe Area	8 - AAA	3-1	59.31	815,987	0.94	28,962	5,065	495	35	28,570.43
North Murray	6 - AAA	1-1	56.53	921,831	1.44	44,364	4,984	376	23	43,477.26
Jackson	2 - AAA	1-1	58.14	422,281	0.73	42,924	4,535	440	15	66,665.67
Morgan County	4 - AAA	2-2	55.08	841,746	1.10	33,447	2,796	219	13	76,922.08
Carver (Atlanta)	5 - AAA	0-3	58.50	183,333	0.22	10,513	1,240	114	5	199,999.00
Richmond Academy	4 - AAA	3-1	51.64	689,902	0.86	15,465	961	48	4	249,999.00
North Hall	7 - AAA	1-3	49.84	805,410	1.04	9,997	628	21	2	499,999.00
Central (Macon)	2 - AAA	2-1	53.31	211,712	0.33	10,518	652	32	1	999,999.00
Franklin County	8 - AAA	4-0	51.81	375,703	0.39	2,856	290	14	1	999,999.00
Cherokee Bluff	7 - AAA	4-0	49.59	807,116	1.04	9,776	560	19	-	-
Douglass	5 - AAA	0-2	55.78	103,481	0.12	3,891	301	17	-	-
Adairsville	6 - AAA	2-1	48.98	634,841	0.79	6,330	393	11	-	-
Sonoraville	6 - AAA	2-1	49.88	719,475	0.92	8,155	493	8	-	-
Windsor Forest	3 - AAA	0-1	45.28	983,232	1.10	6,119	223	5	-	-
Beach	3 - AAA	1-0	42.26	983,334	1.05	2,804	64	3	-	-
Ringgold	6 - AAA	2-2	45.08	372,566	0.42	1,251	59	2	-	-
Southeast Bulloch	3 - AAA	3-1	46.24	148,613	0.18	1,856	73	1	-	-
Harlem	4 - AAA	1-3	44.44	312,011	0.34	1,488	50	1	-	-
Americus-Sumter	2 - AAA	0-3	48.33	26,523	0.04	638	22	-	-	-
LaFayette	6 - AAA	2-2	41.31	310,962	0.34	505	12	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4 - AAA	1-1	41.68	174,688	0.19	474	6	-	-	-
West Hall	7 - AAA	2-2	39.30	274,010	0.29	277	6	-	-	-
Pike County	2 - AAA	0-2	42.84	6,065	0.01	73	1	-	-	-
Gilmer	7 - AAA	2-1	35.78	126,180	0.13	52	1	-	-	-
Tattnall County	1 - AAA	0-3	30.86	848,427	0.87	110	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3 - AAA	1-0	27.10	599,347	0.60	19	-	-	-	-
Brantley County	1 - AAA	0-5	23.82	617,859	0.62	17	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3 - AAA	0-1	26.48	431,331	0.43	16	-	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	6 - AAA	1-2	33.05	38,663	0.04	6	-	-	-	-
Long County	1 - AAA	0-5	20.98	533,719	0.54	4	-	-	-	-
Redan	5 - AAA	1-0	34.45	490	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
East Jackson	8 - AAA	1-2	29.12	3,995	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3 - AAA	0-1	9.95	2,756	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	6 - AAA	0-4	30.52	1,367	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Murray County	6 - AAA	1-3	27.47	549	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4 - AAA	0-4	15.39	408	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Lumpkin County	7 - AAA	0-4	6.87	115	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Salem	5 - AAA	0-0	41.77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1 - AAA	Pierce County	646,337	352,317	1,336	10	1,000,000	-
1 - AAA	Appling County	353,601	640,821	5,525	48	999,995	5
1 - AAA	Tattnall County	53	5,454	554,980	287,940	848,427	151,573
1 - AAA	Brantley County	7	931	248,173	368,748	617,859	382,141
1 - AAA	Long County	2	477	189,986	343,254	533,719	466,281
2 - AAA	Crisp County	576,749	336,336	68,812	14,331	996,228	3,772
2 - AAA	Peach County	396,693	518,721	71,860	10,111	997,385	2,615
2 - AAA	Upson-Lee	17,515	77,915	348,072	270,962	714,464	285,536
2 - AAA	Jackson	5,196	32,143	154,600	230,342	422,281	577,719
2 - AAA	Mary Persons	3,165	27,230	284,497	310,450	625,342	374,658
2 - AAA	Central (Macon)	666	7,310	65,839	137,897	211,712	788,288
2 - AAA	Americus-Sumter	15	321	5,710	20,477	26,523	973,477
2 - AAA	Pike County	1	24	610	5,430	6,065	993,935
3 - AAA	Liberty County	505,452	345,935	-	-	851,387	148,613
3 - AAA	Windsor Forest	229,870	325,550	360,125	67,687	983,232	16,768
3 - AAA	Beach	172,126	235,515	486,397	89,296	983,334	16,666
3 - AAA	Southeast Bulloch	88,264	60,349	-	-	148,613	851,387
3 - AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	4,288	21,967	98,980	474,112	599,347	400,653
3 - AAA	Savannah	-	10,647	53,514	367,170	431,331	568,669
3 - AAA	Groves	-	37	984	1,735	2,756	997,244
4 - AAA	Burke County	499,890	346,545	111,520	32,371	990,326	9,674
4 - AAA	Thomson	423,609	407,319	126,669	33,322	990,919	9,081
4 - AAA	Morgan County	42,722	128,568	379,956	290,500	841,746	158,254
4 - AAA	Richmond Academy	29,749	92,417	258,782	308,954	689,902	310,098
4 - AAA	Harlem	2,843	16,983	80,983	211,202	312,011	687,989
4 - AAA	Hephzibah	1,187	8,168	42,085	123,248	174,688	825,312
4 - AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	5	403	408	999,592
5 - AAA	Cedar Grove	681,546	236,018	62,489	18,071	998,124	1,876
5 - AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	198,543	361,148	267,839	143,208	970,738	29,262
5 - AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	77,976	233,397	330,448	268,015	909,836	90,164
5 - AAA	Sandy Creek	40,833	157,375	285,272	350,518	833,998	166,002
5 - AAA	Carver (Atlanta)	859	8,592	36,153	137,729	183,333	816,667
5 - AAA	Douglass	243	3,470	17,783	81,985	103,481	896,519
5 - AAA	Redan	-	-	16	474	490	999,510
5 - AAA	Salem	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6 - AAA	Rockmart	905,406	83,481	9,838	1,021	999,746	254
6 - AAA	North Murray	68,158	454,897	273,508	125,268	921,831	78,169
6 - AAA	Adairsville	19,315	159,007	216,879	239,640	634,841	365,159
6 - AAA	Ringgold	3,360	43,056	124,940	201,210	372,566	627,434
6 - AAA	Sonoraville	2,340	218,184	266,367	232,584	719,475	280,525
6 - AAA	LaFayette	1,420	39,960	100,192	169,390	310,962	689,038
6 - AAA	Coahulla Creek	1	1,377	8,049	29,236	38,663	961,337
6 - AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	-	34	185	1,148	1,367	998,633
6 - AAA	Murray County	-	4	42	503	549	999,451
7 - AAA	White County	726,934	238,140	29,584	4,866	999,524	476
7 - AAA	Dawson County	238,333	527,314	173,380	48,618	987,645	12,355
7 - AAA	Cherokee Bluff	18,506	101,466	361,958	325,186	807,116	192,884
7 - AAA	North Hall	15,413	116,723	332,793	340,481	805,410	194,590
7 - AAA	West Hall	628	13,127	72,184	188,071	274,010	725,990
7 - AAA	Gilmer	186	3,230	30,100	92,664	126,180	873,820
7 - AAA	Lumpkin County	-	-	1	114	115	999,885
8 - AAA	Oconee County	857,346	120,324	16,679	5,117	999,466	534
8 - AAA	Stephens County	66,433	382,334	287,069	175,900	911,736	88,264
8 - AAA	Hart County	41,147	275,764	336,223	239,979	893,113	106,887
8 - AAA	Monroe Area	31,481	181,122	271,221	332,163	815,987	184,013
8 - AAA	Franklin County	3,591	40,422	88,164	243,526	375,703	624,297
8 - AAA	East Jackson	2	34	644	3,315	3,995	996,005

Class AA

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Callaway	5 - AA	3-0	74.74	996,758	3.93	893,112	631,839	433,222	281,778	2.55
Fitzgerald	1 - AA	4-0	74.35	995,197	3.85	835,705	607,672	438,971	267,384	2.74
Rabun County	8 - AA	3-1	72.42	1,000,000	3.42	688,368	560,813	307,709	177,138	4.65
Thomasville	1 - AA	2-3	69.30	980,890	3.26	710,320	409,220	236,311	102,075	8.80
Lovett	6 - AA	3-1	67.63	999,998	3.23	619,014	462,835	211,102	83,815	10.93
Pace Academy	6 - AA	2-1	63.66	995,146	2.55	375,426	225,170	77,460	23,662	41.26
Bleckley County	3 - AA	3-1	62.87	960,693	2.14	297,180	118,934	45,063	13,127	75.18
Heard County	5 - AA	4-1	60.88	891,012	2.04	359,937	131,206	43,397	10,212	96.92
Haralson County	5 - AA	4-0	60.72	858,640	1.96	349,800	126,254	41,961	9,665	102.47
Washington County	3 - AA	2-2	60.36	922,232	1.87	229,742	81,213	25,147	5,969	166.53
Dodge County	3 - AA	1-2	60.09	901,807	1.81	224,225	77,679	22,869	5,221	190.53
Cook	1 - AA	2-2	59.23	801,734	1.72	284,632	80,916	19,756	4,186	237.89
Jefferson County	4 - AA	1-2	57.90	999,673	1.91	285,561	87,947	21,142	3,901	255.34
Early County	1 - AA	3-0	58.61	796,670	1.67	264,641	73,734	16,965	3,406	292.60
Toombs County	2 - AA	3-1	57.72	945,537	1.73	209,654	59,273	13,448	2,615	381.41
Swainsboro	2 - AA	2-3	56.75	919,652	1.59	170,702	45,732	9,788	1,768	564.61
Pepperell	7 - AA	1-3	53.05	974,746	1.74	164,004	28,817	6,708	746	1,339.48
Temple	5 - AA	3-2	54.73	629,110	1.03	105,471	27,040	5,389	721	1,385.96
Vidalia	2 - AA	1-2	54.42	889,274	1.42	122,023	27,483	4,767	656	1,523.39
Bremen	5 - AA	3-2	53.68	624,480	0.97	87,340	20,893	3,667	434	2,303.15
Jeff Davis	2 - AA	4-0	53.49	870,717	1.30	89,993	18,964	3,074	417	2,397.08
Putnam County	4 - AA	4-0	51.68	998,299	1.46	121,490	21,173	2,941	329	3,038.51
Columbia	6 - AA	1-0	50.65	928,964	1.54	77,870	15,129	1,953	168	5,951.38
Union County	8 - AA	2-2	49.99	1,000,000	1.35	68,763	13,286	1,647	132	7,574.76
Northeast	3 - AA	2-1	51.94	523,420	0.78	51,205	8,518	1,103	132	7,574.76
Fannin County	7 - AA	3-0	49.52	943,593	1.41	72,906	10,226	1,575	123	8,129.08
Worth County	1 - AA	3-1	51.32	414,846	0.65	55,283	8,711	1,026	98	10,203.08
Elbert County	8 - AA	1-3	47.71	1,000,000	1.26	54,268	6,946	757	39	25,640.03
Lamar County	3 - AA	2-2	48.83	394,857	0.54	24,499	3,030	294	38	26,314.79
Southwest	3 - AA	1-1	48.08	283,993	0.38	15,575	1,799	180	18	55,554.56
South Atlanta	6 - AA	1-3	45.58	841,134	1.19	37,874	2,830	243	16	62,499.00
Model	7 - AA	2-2	44.32	800,441	0.99	19,927	1,984	157	5	199,999.00
Chattooga	7 - AA	1-3	44.29	814,202	1.00	18,988	1,903	145	5	199,999.00
Bacon County	2 - AA	4-1	43.85	350,955	0.40	4,855	441	33	1	999,999.00
Washington	6 - AA	2-2	42.36	157,465	0.21	4,710	221	20	-	-
Coosa	7 - AA	2-1	36.32	343,183	0.37	1,171	60	5	-	-
Laney	4 - AA	1-2	35.57	805,273	0.83	1,623	69	3	-	-
Butler	4 - AA	2-1	34.32	673,011	0.69	834	26	1	-	-
Therrell	6 - AA	1-3	35.21	70,741	0.08	542	9	1	-	-
Banks County	8 - AA	1-4	27.43	1,000,000	1.01	448	3	-	-	-
Berrien	1 - AA	1-3	32.90	10,663	0.01	40	1	-	-	-
Gordon Central	7 - AA	1-3	28.66	80,225	0.08	39	1	-	-	-
Westside (Augusta)	4 - AA	1-3	30.25	432,495	0.44	158	-	-	-	-
Monticello	3 - AA	1-3	33.28	12,998	0.01	49	-	-	-	-
Dade County	7 - AA	1-3	26.22	43,610	0.04	17	-	-	-	-
East Laurens	2 - AA	2-1	29.28	23,865	0.02	11	-	-	-	-
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	6 - AA	0-1	28.80	3,773	0.00	4	-	-	-	-
Towers	6 - AA	0-0	22.86	2,179	0.00	1	-	-	-	-
Josey	4 - AA	1-1	19.68	62,153	0.06	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4 - AA	0-3	17.27	18,286	0.02	-	-	-	-	-
Oglethorpe County	4 - AA	0-3	13.11	10,810	0.01	-	-	-	-	-
McNair	6 - AA	0-1	18.98	600	0.00	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1 - AA	Fitzgerald	560,590	321,817	87,349	25,441	995,197	4,803
1 - AA	Thomasville	355,480	409,857	158,997	56,556	980,890	19,110
1 - AA	Early County	40,675	112,051	302,518	341,426	796,670	203,330
1 - AA	Cook	37,784	123,196	336,493	304,261	801,734	198,266
1 - AA	Worth County	5,462	32,969	112,897	263,518	414,846	585,154
1 - AA	Berrien	9	110	1,746	8,798	10,663	989,337
2 - AA	Toombs County	331,727	263,000	206,663	144,147	945,537	54,463
2 - AA	Swainsboro	260,973	258,363	229,754	170,562	919,652	80,348
2 - AA	Vidalia	231,847	239,010	228,394	190,023	889,274	110,726
2 - AA	Jeff Davis	159,857	197,849	248,862	264,149	870,717	129,283
2 - AA	Bacon County	15,471	41,104	82,723	211,657	350,955	649,045
2 - AA	East Laurens	125	674	3,604	19,462	23,865	976,135
3 - AA	Bleckley County	453,050	275,014	162,575	70,054	960,693	39,307
3 - AA	Washington County	266,357	294,664	239,030	122,181	922,232	77,768
3 - AA	Dodge County	218,308	270,039	267,909	145,551	901,807	98,193
3 - AA	Northeast	35,552	80,493	147,872	259,503	523,420	476,580
3 - AA	Lamar County	16,633	48,466	107,793	221,965	394,857	605,143
3 - AA	Southwest	10,061	30,960	72,788	170,184	283,993	716,007
3 - AA	Monticello	39	364	2,033	10,562	12,998	987,002
4 - AA	Jefferson County	625,599	337,250	33,652	3,172	999,673	327
4 - AA	Putnam County	354,253	512,616	113,086	18,344	998,299	1,701
4 - AA	Laney	15,867	89,265	385,011	315,130	805,273	194,727
4 - AA	Butler	3,725	54,545	302,489	312,252	673,011	326,989
4 - AA	Westside (Augusta)	527	5,694	149,396	276,878	432,495	567,505
4 - AA	Josey	26	542	13,008	48,577	62,153	937,847
4 - AA	Glenn Hills	2	60	1,697	16,527	18,286	981,714
4 - AA	Oglethorpe County	1	28	1,661	9,120	10,810	989,190
5 - AA	Callaway	749,834	188,109	43,858	14,957	996,758	3,242
5 - AA	Haralson County	112,383	289,705	266,260	190,292	858,640	141,360
5 - AA	Heard County	90,338	308,590	307,580	184,504	891,012	108,988
5 - AA	Temple	29,166	111,217	191,648	297,079	629,110	370,890
5 - AA	Bremen	18,279	102,379	190,654	313,168	624,480	375,520
6 - AA	Lovett	682,888	279,014	37,520	576	999,998	2
6 - AA	Pace Academy	270,650	459,548	225,998	38,950	995,146	4,854
6 - AA	Columbia	45,534	207,779	477,963	197,688	928,964	71,036
6 - AA	South Atlanta	927	48,129	238,776	553,302	841,134	158,866
6 - AA	Washington	1	4,979	13,398	139,087	157,465	842,535
6 - AA	Therrell	-	527	5,746	64,468	70,741	929,259
6 - AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	-	22	419	3,332	3,773	996,227
6 - AA	Towers	-	2	161	2,016	2,179	997,821
6 - AA	McNair	-	-	19	581	600	999,400
7 - AA	Pepperell	508,221	265,883	137,393	63,249	974,746	25,254
7 - AA	Fannin County	267,402	318,041	228,792	129,358	943,593	56,407
7 - AA	Model	110,529	182,785	256,404	250,723	800,441	199,559
7 - AA	Chattooga	99,927	187,136	259,481	267,658	814,202	185,798
7 - AA	Coosa	12,827	39,756	91,550	199,050	343,183	656,817
7 - AA	Gordon Central	830	4,519	17,400	57,476	80,225	919,775
7 - AA	Dade County	264	1,880	8,980	32,486	43,610	956,390
8 - AA	Rabun County	922,679	70,126	6,962	233	1,000,000	-
8 - AA	Union County	42,744	547,235	366,147	43,874	1,000,000	-
8 - AA	Elbert County	34,287	371,311	538,622	55,780	1,000,000	-
8 - AA	Banks County	290	11,328	88,269	900,113	1,000,000	-

Class A Public

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Brooks County	2 - A Public	4-0	72.60	995,152	3.81	738,190	662,128	480,932	306,189	2.27
Irwin County	2 - A Public	2-2	71.05	991,950	3.56	679,394	601,272	391,237	226,574	3.41
Clinch County	2 - A Public	1-1	69.44	987,179	3.37	634,521	549,298	324,791	169,399	4.90
Dublin	4 - A Public	1-1	68.83	998,490	3.17	492,064	429,032	273,580	144,204	5.93
Metter	3 - A Public	4-0	64.90	996,116	2.86	563,586	429,154	181,605	72,402	12.81
Macon County	5 - A Public	3-0	58.47	982,288	3.16	818,123	349,598	99,195	25,456	38.28
Commerce	8 - A Public	3-1	59.26	999,923	2.75	698,376	182,414	80,544	22,106	44.24
Pelham	1 - A Public	1-1	58.41	999,925	2.44	296,231	220,935	64,818	17,533	56.04
Wilcox County	4 - A Public	3-1	54.49	977,746	2.01	141,217	76,626	22,098	4,086	243.74
Marion County	5 - A Public	2-2	53.35	900,329	1.98	431,436	89,415	17,743	3,113	320.23
Washington-Wilkes	8 - A Public	3-0	52.29	998,927	2.14	452,648	68,256	16,879	2,799	356.27
Mitchell County	1 - A Public	0-3	53.00	992,987	1.91	171,991	75,783	12,988	2,169	460.04
Turner County	2 - A Public	3-1	54.15	637,675	1.05	112,646	56,366	10,199	1,806	552.71
Taylor County	5 - A Public	3-0	47.34	834,820	1.54	266,999	38,257	4,616	437	2,287.33
Chattahoochee County	5 - A Public	3-0	47.62	792,447	1.43	243,744	33,985	4,238	428	2,335.45
Gordon Lee	6 - A Public	4-0	46.76	945,679	2.11	287,013	28,017	4,256	427	2,340.92
Emanuel County Institute	3 - A Public	1-2	49.45	737,194	0.87	28,799	12,341	1,930	256	3,905.25
McIntosh County Academy	3 - A Public	2-2	47.96	779,791	0.91	28,357	11,168	1,427	147	6,801.72
Screven County	3 - A Public	1-2	45.91	841,057	0.96	25,174	9,032	918	85	11,763.71
Dooly County	4 - A Public	0-0	46.21	574,047	0.83	26,280	8,280	898	73	13,697.63
Schley County	5 - A Public	2-2	46.46	216,961	0.32	35,882	3,060	410	42	23,808.52
Bowdon	6 - A Public	1-3	41.61	858,071	1.66	144,004	8,985	752	41	24,389.24
Lincoln County	8 - A Public	2-2	41.69	984,728	1.37	128,558	8,858	580	35	28,570.43
B.E.S.T. Academy	6 - A Public	1-1	41.62	813,128	1.55	129,544	8,361	676	34	29,410.76
Manchester	5 - A Public	1-3	45.21	270,473	0.41	50,064	4,843	498	34	29,410.76
Claxton	3 - A Public	2-2	44.93	635,143	0.69	10,793	3,536	380	32	31,249.00
Montgomery County	4 - A Public	3-0	42.47	605,195	0.82	16,259	4,043	316	26	38,460.54
Lanier County	2 - A Public	3-0	45.79	206,510	0.26	11,408	3,297	281	18	55,554.56
Hancock Central	7 - A Public	2-0	38.58	999,310	1.59	93,539	6,909	312	15	66,665.67
Warren County	7 - A Public	3-1	38.07	997,484	1.56	88,442	6,000	289	8	124,999.00
Johnson County	4 - A Public	3-1	42.80	404,751	0.52	10,072	2,528	174	8	124,999.00
Mount Zion (Carroll)	6 - A Public	4-0	38.27	739,458	1.28	74,697	3,645	208	7	142,856.14
Atkinson County	2 - A Public	3-1	43.84	114,577	0.14	4,717	1,244	74	5	199,999.00
Trion	6 - A Public	1-2	36.83	627,332	1.04	50,956	2,057	108	4	249,999.00
Terrell County	1 - A Public	1-1	35.24	781,211	0.88	3,636	514	21	1	999,999.00
Charlton County	2 - A Public	2-2	40.05	66,957	0.08	1,436	271	16	1	999,999.00
Wheeler County	4 - A Public	3-0	33.90	296,133	0.35	2,080	239	9	-	-
Hawkinsville	4 - A Public	2-2	36.03	131,664	0.15	892	156	4	-	-
Wilkinson County	7 - A Public	0-3	24.35	909,673	1.02	3,607	45	-	-	-
Social Circle	8 - A Public	2-3	23.92	535,774	0.55	1,621	26	-	-	-
Telfair County	4 - A Public	2-3	37.21	11,713	0.01	73	10	-	-	-
Miller County	1 - A Public	1-3	25.25	306,780	0.31	70	6	-	-	-
Towns County	8 - A Public	2-3	20.33	354,771	0.36	484	4	-	-	-
Seminole County	1 - A Public	0-3	23.63	385,650	0.40	96	4	-	-	-
Greene County	8 - A Public	0-4	14.44	125,877	0.13	45	1	-	-	-
Greenville	5 - A Public	1-3	26.48	2,682	0.00	12	1	-	-	-
Georgia Military College	7 - A Public	1-3	13.74	517,307	0.53	133	-	-	-	-
Crawford County	7 - A Public	0-4	9.95	320,018	0.33	31	-	-	-	-
Armuchee	6 - A Public	1-2	16.78	16,332	0.02	22	-	-	-	-
ACE Charter	7 - A Public	1-2	9.11	256,208	0.26	20	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1 - A Public	0-0	13.84	464,978	0.47	16	-	-	-	-
Jenkins County	3 - A Public	0-4	27.08	10,357	0.01	2	-	-	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1 - A Public	0-3	13.76	68,469	0.07	-	-	-	-	-
Portal	3 - A Public	0-4	12.91	310	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Treutlen	4 - A Public	1-3	24.12	261	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Bryan County	3 - A Public	0-3	8.37	32	0.00	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1 - A Public	1-2	9.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Glascock County	7 - A Public	2-3	5.23	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1 - A Public	1-4	-2.93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	5 - A Public	0-4	-3.62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
GSIC	7 - A Public	0-2	-42.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1 - A Public	Pelham	917,871	72,508	8,262	1,284	999,925	75
1 - A Public	Calhoun County	51,752	42,868	54,600	315,758	464,978	535,022
1 - A Public	Mitchell County	17,756	749,554	201,167	24,510	992,987	7,013
1 - A Public	Terrell County	10,551	103,808	463,924	202,928	781,211	218,789
1 - A Public	Seminole County	1,539	21,467	156,956	205,688	385,650	614,350
1 - A Public	Miller County	515	9,129	96,232	200,904	306,780	693,220
1 - A Public	Randolph-Clay	16	666	18,859	48,928	68,469	931,531
1 - A Public	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1 - A Public	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2 - A Public	Brooks County	462,218	307,065	187,372	38,497	995,152	4,848
2 - A Public	Irwin County	276,510	328,200	320,329	66,911	991,950	8,050
2 - A Public	Clinch County	251,183	328,293	338,255	69,448	987,179	12,821
2 - A Public	Turner County	9,455	31,338	116,929	479,953	637,675	362,325
2 - A Public	Lanier County	408	3,140	21,529	181,433	206,510	793,490
2 - A Public	Atkinson County	193	1,616	11,424	101,344	114,577	885,423
2 - A Public	Charlton County	33	348	4,162	62,414	66,957	933,043
3 - A Public	Metter	770,900	170,457	39,925	14,834	996,116	3,884
3 - A Public	Screven County	80,914	311,056	255,379	193,708	841,057	158,943
3 - A Public	McIntosh County Academy	68,924	215,501	246,386	248,980	779,791	220,209
3 - A Public	Emanuel County Institute	52,671	154,599	261,837	268,087	737,194	262,806
3 - A Public	Claxton	26,571	148,070	193,945	266,557	635,143	364,857
3 - A Public	Jenkins County	20	316	2,495	7,526	10,357	989,643
3 - A Public	Portal	-	1	30	279	310	999,690
3 - A Public	Bryan County	-	-	3	29	32	999,968
4 - A Public	Dublin	727,878	226,972	36,486	7,154	998,490	1,510
4 - A Public	Wilcox County	234,150	535,325	150,929	57,342	977,746	22,254
4 - A Public	Dooly County	16,729	81,646	237,734	237,938	574,047	425,953
4 - A Public	Montgomery County	16,269	95,227	245,156	248,543	605,195	394,805
4 - A Public	Wheeler County	2,558	36,641	133,162	123,772	296,133	703,867
4 - A Public	Johnson County	2,179	19,003	164,015	219,554	404,751	595,249
4 - A Public	Hawkinsville	237	5,174	30,187	96,066	131,664	868,336
4 - A Public	Telfair County	-	10	2,319	9,384	11,713	988,287
4 - A Public	Treutlen	-	2	12	247	261	999,739
5 - A Public	Macon County	731,239	169,342	58,651	23,056	982,288	17,712
5 - A Public	Taylor County	111,779	224,192	266,021	232,828	834,820	165,180
5 - A Public	Chattahoochee County	81,751	208,852	254,335	247,509	792,447	207,553
5 - A Public	Marion County	59,592	349,192	302,644	188,901	900,329	99,671
5 - A Public	Manchester	12,970	36,535	68,113	152,855	270,473	729,527
5 - A Public	Schley County	2,663	11,839	49,983	152,476	216,961	783,039
5 - A Public	Greenville	6	48	253	2,375	2,682	997,318
5 - A Public	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6 - A Public	Gordon Lee	429,298	261,816	158,909	95,656	945,679	54,321
6 - A Public	Bowdon	223,080	236,244	218,705	180,042	858,071	141,929
6 - A Public	B.E.S.T. Academy	169,888	211,823	224,820	206,597	813,128	186,872
6 - A Public	Mount Zion (Carroll)	103,993	167,409	217,494	250,562	739,458	260,542
6 - A Public	Trion	73,639	122,124	176,862	254,707	627,332	372,668
6 - A Public	Armuchee	102	584	3,210	12,436	16,332	983,668
7 - A Public	Warren County	490,621	386,419	107,545	12,899	997,484	2,516
7 - A Public	Hancock Central	466,590	446,569	81,526	4,625	999,310	690
7 - A Public	Wilkinson County	40,981	143,747	527,270	197,675	909,673	90,327
7 - A Public	Crawford County	717	7,823	81,611	229,867	320,018	679,982
7 - A Public	Georgia Military College	558	9,302	149,640	357,807	517,307	482,693
7 - A Public	ACE Charter	533	6,140	52,408	197,127	256,208	743,792
7 - A Public	Glascock County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
7 - A Public	GSIC	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8 - A Public	Commerce	648,235	298,429	51,041	2,218	999,923	77
8 - A Public	Washington-Wilkes	307,353	488,157	190,824	12,593	998,927	1,073
8 - A Public	Lincoln County	43,762	205,338	644,683	90,945	984,728	15,272
8 - A Public	Social Circle	540	5,745	62,948	466,541	535,774	464,226
8 - A Public	Towns County	96	1,973	42,040	310,662	354,771	645,229
8 - A Public	Greene County	14	358	8,464	117,041	125,877	874,123

Class A Private

AAAAAAA
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA
AA
A Public
A Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Depth	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Eagle's Landing Christian	2 - A Private	2-3	71.69	1,000,000	3.69	875,852	492,654	397,789	245,287	3.08
Prince Avenue Christian	8 - A Private	4-1	72.19	999,938	3.34	652,388	442,289	352,732	214,700	3.66
Athens Academy	8 - A Private	4-0	72.09	999,952	3.28	621,797	434,678	344,092	206,021	3.85
Fellowship Christian	6 - A Private	4-0	69.71	999,986	3.22	524,813	422,916	323,351	166,488	5.01
Wesleyan	5 - A Private	4-1	63.85	999,770	2.71	477,074	356,066	121,062	47,872	19.89
North Cobb Christian	7 - A Private	4-1	61.55	999,672	2.72	436,497	288,557	90,800	29,800	32.56
Christian Heritage	7 - A Private	3-1	59.56	999,126	2.57	385,532	240,189	65,577	18,626	52.69
Savannah Christian	3 - A Private	4-1	58.11	1,000,000	2.41	655,486	270,793	62,100	16,159	60.89
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	4 - A Private	4-1	58.41	1,000,000	2.56	514,092	121,126	59,569	14,543	67.76
Darlington	7 - A Private	3-1	58.70	999,022	2.44	336,818	195,709	49,960	13,323	74.06
Holy Innocents	5 - A Private	1-3	58.83	998,647	1.92	235,706	145,469	35,891	9,711	101.98
Aquinas	3 - A Private	5-0	54.63	1,000,000	2.08	476,350	149,298	26,127	5,141	193.51
Hebron Christian	5 - A Private	2-1	56.60	997,452	1.74	181,296	101,395	20,777	4,690	212.22
Calvary Day	3 - A Private	3-2	54.09	1,000,000	2.11	489,545	149,112	24,854	4,655	213.82
Whitefield Academy	2 - A Private	2-2	52.37	1,000,000	1.81	236,634	29,657	9,148	1,288	775.40
George Walton Academy	8 - A Private	2-0	52.18	987,632	1.40	79,120	33,261	4,657	680	1,469.59
Mount de Sales	1 - A Private	2-1	48.11	907,725	1.81	198,332	39,976	4,156	418	2,391.34
Savannah Country Day	3 - A Private	1-2	46.98	1,000,000	1.40	144,153	21,814	2,085	190	5,262.16
Mount Vernon Presbyterian	5 - A Private	2-2	48.55	984,253	1.16	30,273	9,232	1,021	112	8,927.57
First Presbyterian	1 - A Private	2-2	45.25	802,761	1.40	105,427	15,210	1,260	102	9,802.92
Stratford Academy	1 - A Private	1-1	45.47	799,206	1.39	105,534	15,604	1,299	87	11,493.25
Tattnall Square	1 - A Private	3-1	43.75	823,677	1.36	81,975	10,188	728	49	20,407.16
Mount Pisgah Christian	6 - A Private	2-2	45.79	970,296	1.23	21,316	4,112	426	34	29,410.76
Brookstone	4 - A Private	2-2	41.59	1,000,000	1.47	45,630	3,143	206	11	90,908.09
Pacelli	4 - A Private	3-0	39.47	1,000,000	1.38	34,266	2,163	103	7	142,856.14
Strong Rock Christian	1 - A Private	3-1	40.79	579,030	0.85	32,224	2,830	150	4	249,999.00
Athens Christian	8 - A Private	3-1	40.58	923,345	1.02	8,806	1,581	42	2	499,999.00
Mount Paran Christian	7 - A Private	0-4	39.52	946,387	1.04	4,157	514	29	-	-
Lakeview Academy	6 - A Private	2-1	35.68	846,365	0.91	2,840	296	7	-	-
St. Francis	6 - A Private	1-3	32.27	690,732	0.72	1,083	85	2	-	-
King's Ridge Christian	6 - A Private	2-0	30.17	492,621	0.51	477	30	-	-	-
Heritage School	4 - A Private	0-4	24.88	1,000,000	1.07	2,332	28	-	-	-
Landmark Christian	2 - A Private	0-5	22.82	1,000,000	1.02	1,677	15	-	-	-
Deerfield-Windsor	1 - A Private	2-3	30.83	87,601	0.10	491	10	-	-	-
Loganville Christian	8 - A Private	1-3	22.14	89,133	0.09	7	-	-	-	-
Walker	7 - A Private	0-5	17.09	55,793	0.06	-	-	-	-	-
Providence Christian	5 - A Private	0-4	14.32	19,878	0.02	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1 - A Private	Mount de Sales	363,229	250,896	175,398	118,202	907,725	92,275
1 - A Private	First Presbyterian	197,572	218,510	204,962	181,717	802,761	197,239
1 - A Private	Stratford Academy	196,812	201,428	206,427	194,539	799,206	200,794
1 - A Private	Tattnall Square	165,857	202,523	233,523	221,774	823,677	176,323
1 - A Private	Strong Rock Christian	74,409	119,665	160,774	224,182	579,030	420,970
1 - A Private	Deerfield-Windsor	2,121	6,978	18,916	59,586	87,601	912,399
2 - A Private	Eagle's Landing Christian	919,947	79,653	400	-	1,000,000	-
2 - A Private	Whitefield Academy	79,891	897,485	22,624	-	1,000,000	-
2 - A Private	Landmark Christian	162	22,862	976,976	-	1,000,000	-
3 - A Private	Savannah Christian	407,030	302,345	187,340	103,285	1,000,000	-
3 - A Private	Calvary Day	266,846	303,900	267,539	161,715	1,000,000	-
3 - A Private	Aquinas	258,373	273,883	267,840	199,904	1,000,000	-
3 - A Private	Savannah Country Day	67,751	119,872	277,281	535,096	1,000,000	-
4 - A Private	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	845,900	131,512	20,746	1,842	1,000,000	-
4 - A Private	Brookstone	82,329	486,807	344,737	86,127	1,000,000	-
4 - A Private	Pacelli	69,381	349,719	475,116	105,784	1,000,000	-
4 - A Private	Heritage School	2,390	31,962	159,401	806,247	1,000,000	-
5 - A Private	Wesleyan	507,416	301,147	139,808	51,399	999,770	230
5 - A Private	Holy Innocents	236,552	309,560	285,902	166,633	998,647	1,353
5 - A Private	Hebron Christian	212,843	283,648	298,232	202,729	997,452	2,548
5 - A Private	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	43,188	105,608	275,795	559,662	984,253	15,747
5 - A Private	Providence Christian	1	37	263	19,577	19,878	980,122
6 - A Private	Fellowship Christian	952,027	46,218	1,490	251	999,986	14
6 - A Private	Mount Pisgah Christian	38,513	607,410	247,647	76,726	970,296	29,704
6 - A Private	Lakeview Academy	5,249	203,033	382,877	255,206	846,365	153,635
6 - A Private	St. Francis	2,984	98,371	229,237	360,140	690,732	309,268
6 - A Private	King's Ridge Christian	1,227	44,968	138,749	307,677	492,621	507,379
7 - A Private	Christian Heritage	362,658	320,482	263,395	52,591	999,126	874
7 - A Private	North Cobb Christian	354,181	338,539	275,298	31,654	999,672	328
7 - A Private	Darlington	277,751	325,873	346,216	49,182	999,022	978
7 - A Private	Mount Paran Christian	5,409	15,033	114,328	811,617	946,387	53,613
7 - A Private	Walker	1	73	763	54,956	55,793	944,207
8 - A Private	Prince Avenue Christian	539,380	402,759	54,548	3,251	999,938	62
8 - A Private	Athens Academy	438,801	490,763	66,746	3,642	999,952	48
8 - A Private	George Walton Academy	20,991	98,687	654,332	213,622	987,632	12,368
8 - A Private	Athens Christian	827	7,688	219,050	695,780	923,345	76,655
8 - A Private	Loganville Christian	1	103	5,324	83,705	89,133	910,867

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

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