Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 6: 3 teams emerge as favorites

The simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments and playoff brackets.

Mercedes-Benz Stadium hosts the high school football state championship games each December. (Jason Getz/AJC 2023)

By Loren Maxwell

2 hours ago

Below are the current Maxwell Ratings’ playoff projections for each class in the GHSA.

The Maxwell Ratings playoff projections are based on a Monte Carlo simulation, a computation of random sampling used to predict outcomes, of the 2025 season.

While the Maxwell Ratings reflect each team’s strength, the simulation highlights the impact of the season’s structure as defined by the games, region alignments and playoff brackets.

Although regions may use different criteria, in the simulation, all standings were determined by 1) region record, 2) head-to-head results, 3) point differential, 4) classification record, and 5) random tie-breaker.

Class AAAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship, along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Buford	8-AAAAAA	4-0	105.88	999,999	878,495	727,698	663,995	433,853	1.30
Grayson	4-AAAAAA	4-0	104.07	999,998	869,913	604,748	530,902	298,995	2.34
Carrollton	2-AAAAAA	5-0	100.13	999,998	918,797	404,112	327,417	157,179	5.36
Douglas County	2-AAAAAA	3-2	93.06	999,960	826,194	238,562	147,476	43,788	21.84
North Gwinnett	7-AAAAAA	3-1	91.11	999,412	645,110	541,308	128,181	33,209	29.11
Colquitt County	1-AAAAAA	2-1	87.54	940,812	377,660	252,904	45,600	9,122	108.63
McEachern	3-AAAAAA	4-0	85.70	999,873	536,917	259,062	40,466	6,957	142.74
Lowndes	1-AAAAAA	5-0	86.76	912,869	295,534	190,342	33,402	6,321	157.20
Valdosta	1-AAAAAA	5-0	86.27	917,111	291,196	185,060	31,458	5,677	175.15
Camden County	1-AAAAAA	4-0	83.49	833,294	169,492	94,339	13,095	1,873	532.90
Hillgrove	3-AAAAAA	4-0	78.77	997,207	284,129	77,078	6,087	561	1,781.53
Collins Hill	8-AAAAAA	2-2	81.02	994,131	81,856	36,433	4,801	506	1,975.28
Newton	4-AAAAAA	2-2	79.80	991,699	95,656	32,047	5,148	451	2,216.29
North Cobb	5-AAAAAA	3-2	78.18	990,913	220,896	37,775	4,274	337	2,966.36
Harrison	3-AAAAAA	4-0	77.28	998,411	257,660	59,837	3,987	312	3,204.13
Norcross	7-AAAAAA	3-1	77.53	941,412	126,195	54,907	3,690	290	3,447.28
Mill Creek	8-AAAAAA	2-2	77.73	987,252	56,240	23,447	1,863	129	7,750.94
West Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	3-1	74.37	989,680	246,753	47,794	2,104	125	7,999.00
North Paulding	5-AAAAAA	4-1	75.43	969,852	157,145	25,402	1,731	117	8,546.01
Westlake	2-AAAAAA	2-3	74.13	993,600	200,301	36,779	1,663	91	10,988.01
Walton	5-AAAAAA	2-3	73.89	907,076	103,896	17,357	776	39	25,640.03
Denmark	6-AAAAAA	2-2	71.37	942,692	120,956	17,713	598	22	45,453.55
Archer	4-AAAAAA	2-2	71.52	931,816	36,045	9,503	387	13	76,922.08
Brookwood	7-AAAAAA	2-2	72.02	718,413	22,281	5,535	272	13	76,922.08
Richmond Hill	1-AAAAAA	4-0	73.95	321,555	11,693	3,417	199	9	111,110.11
Peachtree Ridge	7-AAAAAA	3-1	70.06	657,092	14,181	3,212	126	5	199,999.00
Parkview	7-AAAAAA	2-2	69.25	598,795	10,609	2,231	92	3	333,332.33
Marietta	5-AAAAAA	1-4	67.13	804,232	33,570	3,157	74	1	999,999.00
South Gwinnett	4-AAAAAA	2-2	66.29	837,459	11,267	2,025	46	1	999,999.00
East Coweta	2-AAAAAA	0-4	63.50	949,041	38,715	2,212	29	1	999,999.00
North Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	3-1	65.53	791,600	24,478	1,871	34	-	-
Dacula	8-AAAAAA	2-2	62.72	732,868	5,646	655	9	-	-
Lambert	6-AAAAAA	1-3	64.06	583,935	7,625	444	7	-	-
North Atlanta	6-AAAAAA	2-2	62.73	585,191	7,864	440	6	-	-
Etowah	5-AAAAAA	2-2	58.22	157,497	1,060	40	2	-	-
Campbell	3-AAAAAA	3-1	62.52	851,950	11,908	411	1	-	-
Tift County	1-AAAAAA	3-2	65.92	74,359	449	67	1	-	-
Cherokee	5-AAAAAA	1-4	57.48	108,613	591	24	1	-	-
Wheeler	5-AAAAAA	1-4	58.17	61,817	448	31	-	-	-
Central Gwinnett	8-AAAAAA	2-1	53.85	191,190	195	10	-	-	-
Grovetown	4-AAAAAA	3-1	55.24	183,421	170	7	-	-	-
Duluth	7-AAAAAA	2-2	59.19	84,778	74	2	-	-	-
Mountain View	8-AAAAAA	0-4	48.44	93,742	35	2	-	-	-
Alpharetta	6-AAAAAA	0-4	52.81	65,816	26	-	-	-	-
South Forsyth	6-AAAAAA	2-2	51.90	40,681	26	-	-	-	-
Pebblebrook	3-AAAAAA	1-3	46.75	80,251	21	-	-	-	-
Chapel Hill	2-AAAAAA	1-3	41.84	57,401	19	-	-	-	-
Rockdale County	4-AAAAAA	3-0	47.87	52,385	8	-	-	-	-
Paulding County	3-AAAAAA	1-3	44.03	66,049	5	-	-	-	-
South Cobb	3-AAAAAA	2-2	37.82	5,774	-	-	-	-	-
Heritage (Conyers)	4-AAAAAA	0-3	37.47	3,222	-	-	-	-	-
Discovery	8-AAAAAA	0-3	28.02	818	-	-	-	-	-
Osborne	3-AAAAAA	0-4	28.53	485	-	-	-	-	-
Forsyth Central	6-AAAAAA	0-4	38.86	405	-	-	-	-	-
Meadowcreek	7-AAAAAA	0-3	36.33	87	-	-	-	-	-
Berkmar	7-AAAAAA	0-4	30.84	11	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAAA	Colquitt County	342,977	264,855	201,603	131,377	940,812	59,188
1-AAAAAA	Valdosta	250,035	254,683	234,555	177,838	917,111	82,889
1-AAAAAA	Lowndes	245,353	249,019	236,945	181,552	912,869	87,131
1-AAAAAA	Camden County	147,178	190,233	236,381	259,502	833,294	166,706
1-AAAAAA	Richmond Hill	13,662	37,260	76,921	193,712	321,555	678,445
1-AAAAAA	Tift County	795	3,950	13,595	56,019	74,359	925,641
2-AAAAAA	Carrollton	718,163	259,875	20,922	1,038	999,998	2
2-AAAAAA	Douglas County	268,708	646,706	78,159	6,387	999,960	40
2-AAAAAA	Westlake	12,449	85,722	676,525	218,904	993,600	6,400
2-AAAAAA	East Coweta	679	7,668	222,376	718,318	949,041	50,959
2-AAAAAA	Chapel Hill	1	29	2,018	55,353	57,401	942,599
3-AAAAAA	McEachern	590,626	291,597	115,682	1,968	999,873	127
3-AAAAAA	Hillgrove	239,753	378,726	311,343	67,385	997,207	2,793
3-AAAAAA	Harrison	167,818	306,285	427,760	96,548	998,411	1,589
3-AAAAAA	Campbell	1,797	23,196	140,983	685,974	851,950	148,050
3-AAAAAA	Pebblebrook	4	53	1,592	78,602	80,251	919,749
3-AAAAAA	Paulding County	2	141	2,568	63,338	66,049	933,951
3-AAAAAA	South Cobb	-	2	71	5,701	5,774	994,226
3-AAAAAA	Osborne	-	-	1	484	485	999,515
4-AAAAAA	Grayson	951,930	46,252	1,667	149	999,998	2
4-AAAAAA	Newton	39,241	673,367	224,653	54,438	991,699	8,301
4-AAAAAA	Archer	7,050	189,024	443,879	291,863	931,816	68,184
4-AAAAAA	South Gwinnett	1,745	85,171	290,224	460,319	837,459	162,541
4-AAAAAA	Grovetown	33	5,686	32,164	145,538	183,421	816,579
4-AAAAAA	Rockdale County	1	495	7,213	44,676	52,385	947,615
4-AAAAAA	Heritage (Conyers)	-	5	200	3,017	3,222	996,778
5-AAAAAA	North Cobb	577,802	298,202	87,182	27,727	990,913	9,087
5-AAAAAA	North Paulding	308,995	315,991	232,702	112,164	969,852	30,148
5-AAAAAA	Marietta	57,069	118,864	234,230	394,069	804,232	195,768
5-AAAAAA	Walton	53,058	250,066	379,938	224,014	907,076	92,924
5-AAAAAA	Etowah	1,965	9,786	34,493	111,253	157,497	842,503
5-AAAAAA	Wheeler	713	3,750	11,769	45,585	61,817	938,183
5-AAAAAA	Cherokee	398	3,341	19,686	85,188	108,613	891,387
6-AAAAAA	West Forsyth	566,920	281,847	107,826	33,087	989,680	10,320
6-AAAAAA	Denmark	287,964	337,239	208,884	108,605	942,692	57,308
6-AAAAAA	North Forsyth	93,709	182,245	271,747	243,899	791,600	208,400
6-AAAAAA	North Atlanta	36,637	98,923	188,704	260,927	585,191	414,809
6-AAAAAA	Lambert	14,190	95,458	200,580	273,707	583,935	416,065
6-AAAAAA	Alpharetta	328	2,605	14,839	48,044	65,816	934,184
6-AAAAAA	South Forsyth	252	1,681	7,377	31,371	40,681	959,319
6-AAAAAA	Forsyth Central	-	2	43	360	405	999,595
7-AAAAAA	North Gwinnett	827,907	150,144	17,612	3,749	999,412	588
7-AAAAAA	Norcross	131,469	434,832	253,243	121,868	941,412	58,588
7-AAAAAA	Peachtree Ridge	20,749	125,167	233,079	278,097	657,092	342,908
7-AAAAAA	Parkview	16,077	105,678	203,986	273,054	598,795	401,205
7-AAAAAA	Brookwood	3,696	182,398	270,821	261,498	718,413	281,587
7-AAAAAA	Duluth	102	1,781	21,252	61,643	84,778	915,222
7-AAAAAA	Meadowcreek	-	-	7	80	87	999,913
7-AAAAAA	Berkmar	-	-	-	11	11	999,989
8-AAAAAA	Buford	942,855	52,357	4,654	133	999,999	1
8-AAAAAA	Collins Hill	38,007	529,949	370,118	56,057	994,131	5,869
8-AAAAAA	Mill Creek	18,680	390,988	475,881	101,703	987,252	12,748
8-AAAAAA	Dacula	443	23,738	124,608	584,079	732,868	267,132
8-AAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	15	2,517	18,419	170,239	191,190	808,810
8-AAAAAA	Mountain View	-	451	6,318	86,973	93,742	906,258
8-AAAAAA	Discovery	-	-	2	816	818	999,182

Class AAAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Hughes	3-AAAAA	4-0	100.64	999,998	905,111	751,458	630,181	393,667	1.54
Thomas County Central	2-AAAAA	5-0	98.77	999,884	925,843	843,632	550,953	311,103	2.21
Milton	7-AAAAA	3-1	96.92	999,784	967,340	699,051	405,709	208,869	3.79
Roswell	7-AAAAA	3-1	87.28	994,437	833,041	362,976	116,893	29,582	32.80
Gainesville	7-AAAAA	3-1	85.83	989,576	800,370	331,203	88,865	19,814	49.47
Sequoyah	6-AAAAA	5-0	86.93	999,871	635,017	214,671	69,812	17,302	56.80
Houston County	2-AAAAA	5-0	83.68	986,827	381,373	191,505	43,380	7,642	129.86
Rome	5-AAAAA	2-2	81.47	999,851	424,005	198,406	30,824	4,704	211.59
Lee County	2-AAAAA	3-1	81.95	978,800	294,970	123,143	25,229	3,813	261.26
Woodward Academy	4-AAAAA	2-2	78.13	999,986	600,822	100,008	18,177	1,917	520.65
Coffee	2-AAAAA	2-2	77.83	936,261	179,566	48,390	7,217	780	1,281.05
Brunswick	1-AAAAA	3-1	76.40	999,805	217,401	20,249	5,473	486	2,056.61
Jackson County	8-AAAAA	3-1	71.57	999,798	212,681	42,277	2,561	128	7,811.50
Lanier	7-AAAAA	3-1	71.10	845,750	240,557	29,158	1,909	87	11,493.25
Lovejoy	3-AAAAA	4-0	70.26	974,804	71,669	12,249	920	38	26,314.79
Sprayberry	6-AAAAA	4-1	71.53	934,126	26,669	6,352	502	27	37,036.04
Northgate	3-AAAAA	4-0	69.03	977,807	63,277	10,456	786	26	38,460.54
River Ridge	6-AAAAA	4-1	67.95	776,536	18,382	3,599	216	9	111,110.11
East Paulding	5-AAAAA	2-2	66.29	921,121	31,500	2,530	155	3	333,332.33
Newnan	3-AAAAA	3-1	66.53	777,746	25,876	2,809	121	1	999,999.00
Effingham County	1-AAAAA	2-2	62.02	932,559	35,738	2,074	67	1	999,999.00
Seckinger	7-AAAAA	3-1	58.39	169,754	9,322	319	8	1	999,999.00
Glynn Academy	1-AAAAA	2-2	59.15	771,975	23,568	859	18	-	-
Woodstock	6-AAAAA	4-1	61.33	858,506	5,743	545	9	-	-
Clarke Central	8-AAAAA	1-3	56.99	972,318	28,807	826	8	-	-
New Manchester	5-AAAAA	3-0	57.90	681,212	3,128	163	2	-	-
South Paulding	5-AAAAA	2-2	56.93	618,233	2,120	131	2	-	-
Habersham Central	8-AAAAA	3-2	54.53	979,026	14,477	352	1	-	-
Villa Rica	5-AAAAA	1-3	58.02	690,791	3,257	182	1	-	-
Creekview	6-AAAAA	2-3	57.58	422,806	1,230	136	1	-	-
Statesboro	1-AAAAA	2-2	52.81	441,053	4,403	79	-	-	-
Shiloh	4-AAAAA	0-4	52.68	799,907	2,924	74	-	-	-
Bradwell Institute	1-AAAAA	1-2	50.23	427,105	3,218	41	-	-	-
Dunwoody	4-AAAAA	2-2	49.81	710,275	1,549	24	-	-	-
Arabia Mountain	4-AAAAA	2-2	48.02	680,202	940	18	-	-	-
Veterans	2-AAAAA	2-2	57.44	81,413	669	15	-	-	-
Dutchtown	3-AAAAA	0-4	54.04	142,799	338	12	-	-	-
Evans	1-AAAAA	1-3	48.31	224,979	1,011	8	-	-	-
Greenbrier	1-AAAAA	1-2	49.01	127,601	598	7	-	-	-
McIntosh	3-AAAAA	2-2	51.74	124,393	216	7	-	-	-
Winder-Barrow	8-AAAAA	2-3	45.99	796,585	858	5	-	-	-
South Effingham	1-AAAAA	1-2	43.32	71,258	94	1	-	-	-
Chamblee	4-AAAAA	1-3	43.03	440,219	120	-	-	-	-
Decatur	4-AAAAA	0-4	45.41	227,091	115	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Atlanta)	4-AAAAA	2-2	42.06	127,203	35	-	-	-	-
Northside (Warner Robins)	2-AAAAA	0-4	49.86	16,815	30	-	-	-	-
Loganville	8-AAAAA	0-5	38.31	177,137	9	-	-	-	-
Kennesaw Mountain	5-AAAAA	1-3	46.57	33,167	7	-	-	-	-
Alexander	5-AAAAA	1-3	46.25	32,538	3	-	-	-	-
Tri-Cities	4-AAAAA	0-4	33.96	15,117	1	-	-	-	-
Lassiter	6-AAAAA	3-2	48.88	3,835	1	-	-	-	-
Lakeside (Evans)	1-AAAAA	0-4	41.83	3,665	1	-	-	-	-
Alcovy	8-AAAAA	0-4	32.23	54,258	-	-	-	-	-
Lithia Springs	5-AAAAA	1-3	45.07	23,087	-	-	-	-	-
Apalachee	8-AAAAA	1-4	33.37	20,878	-	-	-	-	-
Pope	6-AAAAA	0-5	41.57	2,673	-	-	-	-	-
Banneker	3-AAAAA	1-3	36.80	2,306	-	-	-	-	-
Riverwood	6-AAAAA	1-4	41.82	1,647	-	-	-	-	-
Chattahoochee	7-AAAAA	1-3	31.52	381	-	-	-	-	-
Johns Creek	7-AAAAA	0-4	31.10	318	-	-	-	-	-
Morrow	3-AAAAA	1-3	32.33	147	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAAA	Brunswick	957,528	36,759	4,462	1,056	999,805	195
1-AAAAA	Glynn Academy	28,207	243,777	275,663	224,328	771,975	228,025
1-AAAAA	Effingham County	6,765	579,956	242,065	103,773	932,559	67,441
1-AAAAA	Statesboro	4,176	60,818	137,814	238,245	441,053	558,947
1-AAAAA	Bradwell Institute	2,756	35,607	204,371	184,371	427,105	572,895
1-AAAAA	Greenbrier	400	12,812	41,241	73,148	127,601	872,399
1-AAAAA	South Effingham	91	4,889	19,715	46,563	71,258	928,742
1-AAAAA	Evans	75	25,248	73,717	125,939	224,979	775,021
1-AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	2	134	952	2,577	3,665	996,335
2-AAAAA	Thomas County Central	823,301	146,106	22,972	7,505	999,884	116
2-AAAAA	Houston County	90,075	410,208	315,495	171,049	986,827	13,173
2-AAAAA	Lee County	57,039	291,007	356,544	274,210	978,800	21,200
2-AAAAA	Coffee	29,553	151,165	295,008	460,535	936,261	63,739
2-AAAAA	Veterans	32	1,412	8,552	71,417	81,413	918,587
2-AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	-	102	1,429	15,284	16,815	983,185
3-AAAAA	Hughes	968,190	29,732	1,909	167	999,998	2
3-AAAAA	Lovejoy	16,210	399,423	366,185	192,986	974,804	25,196
3-AAAAA	Northgate	13,606	517,277	390,311	56,613	977,807	22,193
3-AAAAA	Newnan	1,939	44,665	196,998	534,144	777,746	222,254
3-AAAAA	McIntosh	29	5,895	24,954	93,515	124,393	875,607
3-AAAAA	Dutchtown	26	2,992	19,449	120,332	142,799	857,201
3-AAAAA	Banneker	-	16	187	2,103	2,306	997,694
3-AAAAA	Morrow	-	-	7	140	147	999,853
4-AAAAA	Woodward Academy	978,573	19,868	1,390	155	999,986	14
4-AAAAA	Dunwoody	10,681	251,896	242,821	204,877	710,275	289,725
4-AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	7,500	216,630	235,412	220,660	680,202	319,798
4-AAAAA	Shiloh	1,447	368,758	254,877	174,825	799,907	200,093
4-AAAAA	Chamblee	1,189	89,376	148,363	201,291	440,219	559,781
4-AAAAA	Decatur	506	40,620	78,458	107,507	227,091	772,909
4-AAAAA	Lakeside (Atlanta)	102	12,271	35,647	79,183	127,203	872,797
4-AAAAA	Tri-Cities	2	581	3,032	11,502	15,117	984,883
5-AAAAA	Rome	959,528	35,338	3,946	1,039	999,851	149
5-AAAAA	New Manchester	15,051	152,114	246,150	267,897	681,212	318,788
5-AAAAA	Villa Rica	12,912	162,155	252,907	262,817	690,791	309,209
5-AAAAA	South Paulding	8,589	116,405	219,436	273,803	618,233	381,767
5-AAAAA	East Paulding	3,862	530,142	258,640	128,477	921,121	78,879
5-AAAAA	Alexander	27	1,471	6,969	24,071	32,538	967,462
5-AAAAA	Lithia Springs	16	957	4,888	17,226	23,087	976,913
5-AAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	15	1,418	7,064	24,670	33,167	966,833
6-AAAAA	Sequoyah	941,447	51,138	5,488	1,798	999,871	129
6-AAAAA	River Ridge	26,861	149,864	232,005	367,806	776,536	223,464
6-AAAAA	Woodstock	24,146	243,220	362,962	228,178	858,506	141,494
6-AAAAA	Sprayberry	4,086	503,152	284,987	141,901	934,126	65,874
6-AAAAA	Creekview	3,459	52,547	113,131	253,669	422,806	577,194
6-AAAAA	Pope	1	2	315	2,355	2,673	997,327
6-AAAAA	Riverwood	-	45	354	1,248	1,647	998,353
6-AAAAA	Lassiter	-	32	758	3,045	3,835	996,165
7-AAAAA	Milton	679,793	241,839	70,270	7,882	999,784	216
7-AAAAA	Roswell	189,316	394,355	343,982	66,784	994,437	5,563
7-AAAAA	Gainesville	126,122	335,255	425,517	102,682	989,576	10,424
7-AAAAA	Lanier	4,715	26,785	147,028	667,222	845,750	154,250
7-AAAAA	Seckinger	54	1,766	13,198	154,736	169,754	830,246
7-AAAAA	Johns Creek	-	-	3	315	318	999,682
7-AAAAA	Chattahoochee	-	-	2	379	381	999,619
8-AAAAA	Jackson County	814,144	154,983	26,221	4,450	999,798	202
8-AAAAA	Clarke Central	114,843	442,056	303,425	111,994	972,318	27,682
8-AAAAA	Habersham Central	61,372	324,763	435,202	157,689	979,026	20,974
8-AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	9,452	73,309	204,731	509,093	796,585	203,415
8-AAAAA	Loganville	147	3,297	19,304	154,389	177,137	822,863
8-AAAAA	Alcovy	31	968	7,504	45,755	54,258	945,742
8-AAAAA	Apalachee	11	624	3,613	16,630	20,878	979,122

Class AAAA

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
North Oconee	8-AAAA	4-0	97.11	999,996	952,219	842,919	718,032	523,310	0.91
Creekside	4-AAAA	4-0	91.48	999,999	880,378	820,675	583,838	261,626	2.82
Ware County	1-AAAA	4-0	85.88	999,174	672,288	504,724	159,257	62,302	15.05
Cartersville	7-AAAA	5-0	85.69	999,979	640,274	427,882	165,509	53,793	17.59
Blessed Trinity	6-AAAA	3-1	84.42	999,780	806,078	417,194	149,628	44,279	21.58
Marist	5-AAAA	2-1	82.13	999,892	767,555	148,596	73,661	22,946	42.58
Benedictine	1-AAAA	1-2	82.21	996,788	475,488	307,370	82,024	22,474	43.50
Central (Carrollton)	3-AAAA	4-0	76.95	997,778	616,800	192,458	31,431	5,995	165.81
Cass	7-AAAA	4-1	71.57	998,005	197,450	76,241	7,030	779	1,282.70
Cambridge	6-AAAA	4-1	71.55	987,154	279,450	49,443	5,808	613	1,630.32
Perry	1-AAAA	2-2	71.17	948,238	88,243	35,787	5,154	485	2,060.86
Stockbridge	2-AAAA	4-1	69.76	914,016	271,984	29,556	4,331	364	2,746.25
Kell	6-AAAA	3-2	70.14	985,082	232,503	35,528	3,651	361	2,769.08
Jonesboro	3-AAAA	2-2	68.38	969,622	331,860	38,773	3,838	263	3,801.28
Ola	2-AAAA	4-1	68.45	972,564	193,183	21,752	2,312	178	5,616.98
Locust Grove	2-AAAA	4-1	66.66	976,977	206,801	16,319	1,834	112	8,927.57
Eastside	8-AAAA	2-2	66.38	935,724	29,506	9,076	989	49	20,407.16
Warner Robins	1-AAAA	2-2	66.08	862,317	30,572	8,347	822	48	20,832.33
Jones County	2-AAAA	3-2	64.99	607,344	70,908	6,112	474	19	52,630.58
Harris County	3-AAAA	2-2	56.38	621,814	25,047	785	21	2	499,999.00
St. Pius X	5-AAAA	4-0	58.17	877,434	47,644	1,843	67	1	999,999.00
Hampton	2-AAAA	3-2	59.20	416,378	15,033	802	27	1	999,999.00
Southwest DeKalb	5-AAAA	3-1	58.96	876,151	54,727	2,307	103	-	-
Flowery Branch	8-AAAA	3-1	59.41	723,019	6,507	1,067	44	-	-
Mays	4-AAAA	1-3	56.06	982,225	8,335	854	29	-	-
Griffin	3-AAAA	2-2	56.10	587,050	20,900	643	28	-	-
Allatoona	7-AAAA	2-3	55.05	884,412	6,428	585	16	-	-
Starr's Mill	3-AAAA	0-4	54.83	556,005	15,915	442	9	-	-
Walnut Grove	8-AAAA	4-0	56.03	562,681	2,686	327	6	-	-
Westminster (Atlanta)	6-AAAA	2-3	53.48	615,777	15,851	298	5	-	-
Lithonia	5-AAAA	3-0	51.67	854,670	12,934	283	5	-	-
Madison County	8-AAAA	3-1	55.85	569,970	2,603	281	5	-	-
Northside (Columbus)	3-AAAA	1-3	49.67	262,502	2,267	34	3	-	-
Tucker	5-AAAA	2-2	53.36	377,154	6,558	167	2	-	-
Hiram	7-AAAA	1-4	52.63	592,676	1,747	131	2	-	-
M.L. King	4-AAAA	4-0	51.28	883,586	2,693	165	1	-	-
Maynard Jackson	4-AAAA	3-1	50.10	653,257	1,094	69	1	-	-
Cedartown	7-AAAA	2-3	49.68	286,307	398	21	1	-	-
Pace Academy	4-AAAA	1-3	46.67	465,436	331	15	1	-	-
Dalton	7-AAAA	0-5	45.82	219,548	149	12	1	-	-
Centennial	6-AAAA	4-1	49.38	412,207	4,999	54	-	-	-
New Hampstead	1-AAAA	1-4	52.13	129,881	348	30	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing	2-AAAA	3-2	52.73	80,482	851	24	-	-	-
East Forsyth	8-AAAA	3-1	48.91	177,472	183	7	-	-	-
Eagle's Landing Christian	2-AAAA	2-3	49.33	27,644	139	1	-	-	-
Wayne County	1-AAAA	0-5	47.02	63,602	69	1	-	-	-
Woodland (Stockbridge)	2-AAAA	3-2	44.45	4,567	11	-	-	-	-
Cedar Shoals	8-AAAA	0-4	41.49	31,138	10	-	-	-	-
Druid Hills	5-AAAA	2-2	34.58	14,137	2	-	-	-	-
Midtown	4-AAAA	1-3	27.38	13,893	1	-	-	-	-
Woodland (Cartersville)	7-AAAA	0-3	34.11	19,073	-	-	-	-	-
Mundy's Mill	3-AAAA	0-4	34.01	5,229	-	-	-	-	-
Forest Park	4-AAAA	1-2	21.10	1,509	-	-	-	-	-
Northview	5-AAAA	0-4	23.70	404	-	-	-	-	-
North Springs	5-AAAA	0-4	23.00	158	-	-	-	-	-
Drew	4-AAAA	0-4	15.35	95	-	-	-	-	-
McDonough	2-AAAA	1-4	38.86	28	-	-	-	-	-
Union Grove	2-AAAA	0-5	33.90	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southeast Whitfield	7-AAAA	1-4	15.38	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clarkston	5-AAAA	0-4	8.66	-	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Keys	5-AAAA	0-5	-18.92	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-AAAA	Ware County	610,085	303,404	69,870	15,815	999,174	826
1-AAAA	Benedictine	327,251	465,903	163,503	40,131	996,788	3,212
1-AAAA	Perry	46,955	165,848	471,814	263,621	948,238	51,762
1-AAAA	Warner Robins	15,581	62,223	266,280	518,233	862,317	137,683
1-AAAA	New Hampstead	121	2,211	20,092	107,457	129,881	870,119
1-AAAA	Wayne County	7	411	8,441	54,743	63,602	936,398
2-AAAA	Stockbridge	378,973	257,607	156,176	121,260	914,016	85,984
2-AAAA	Locust Grove	341,552	385,256	184,245	65,924	976,977	23,023
2-AAAA	Ola	200,542	236,105	405,075	130,842	972,564	27,436
2-AAAA	Jones County	72,397	63,968	144,273	326,706	607,344	392,656
2-AAAA	Hampton	6,412	53,900	95,248	260,818	416,378	583,622
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing	85	2,683	11,116	66,598	80,482	919,518
2-AAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	21	199	639	3,708	4,567	995,433
2-AAAA	Eagle's Landing Christian	18	281	3,227	24,118	27,644	972,356
2-AAAA	McDonough	-	1	1	26	28	999,972
2-AAAA	Union Grove	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-AAAA	Central (Carrollton)	707,123	239,246	42,656	8,753	997,778	2,222
3-AAAA	Jonesboro	247,950	487,229	175,936	58,507	969,622	30,378
3-AAAA	Harris County	18,000	98,236	248,750	256,828	621,814	378,186
3-AAAA	Griffin	14,465	79,892	229,141	263,552	587,050	412,950
3-AAAA	Starr's Mill	10,660	74,870	217,939	252,536	556,005	443,995
3-AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	1,801	20,471	84,864	155,366	262,502	737,498
3-AAAA	Mundy's Mill	1	56	714	4,458	5,229	994,771
4-AAAA	Creekside	983,824	15,623	522	30	999,999	1
4-AAAA	Mays	11,104	568,997	292,645	109,479	982,225	17,775
4-AAAA	M.L. King	3,731	296,377	375,800	207,678	883,586	116,414
4-AAAA	Maynard Jackson	1,092	96,736	185,738	369,691	653,257	346,743
4-AAAA	Pace Academy	249	21,992	142,531	300,664	465,436	534,564
4-AAAA	Midtown	-	265	2,605	11,023	13,893	986,107
4-AAAA	Forest Park	-	10	158	1,341	1,509	998,491
4-AAAA	Drew	-	-	1	94	95	999,905
5-AAAA	Marist	924,253	68,479	6,031	1,129	999,892	108
5-AAAA	Southwest DeKalb	36,512	344,918	305,397	189,324	876,151	123,849
5-AAAA	St. Pius X	28,242	353,988	301,031	194,173	877,434	122,566
5-AAAA	Lithonia	8,044	180,155	291,078	375,393	854,670	145,330
5-AAAA	Tucker	2,948	52,291	94,158	227,757	377,154	622,846
5-AAAA	Druid Hills	1	166	2,281	11,689	14,137	985,863
5-AAAA	Northview	-	3	21	380	404	999,596
5-AAAA	North Springs	-	-	3	155	158	999,842
5-AAAA	Clarkston	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAAA	Cross Keys	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAAA	Blessed Trinity	758,120	188,726	48,840	4,094	999,780	220
6-AAAA	Cambridge	134,968	400,670	382,347	69,169	987,154	12,846
6-AAAA	Kell	104,422	381,015	424,080	75,565	985,082	14,918
6-AAAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	2,058	22,120	98,039	493,560	615,777	384,223
6-AAAA	Centennial	432	7,469	46,694	357,612	412,207	587,793
7-AAAA	Cartersville	828,743	165,292	5,608	336	999,979	21
7-AAAA	Cass	166,759	736,613	85,573	9,060	998,005	1,995
7-AAAA	Allatoona	3,414	76,824	542,441	261,733	884,412	115,588
7-AAAA	Hiram	957	7,924	254,582	329,213	592,676	407,324
7-AAAA	Cedartown	119	7,230	35,947	243,011	286,307	713,693
7-AAAA	Dalton	8	6,054	73,059	140,427	219,548	780,452
7-AAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	-	63	2,790	16,220	19,073	980,927
7-AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
8-AAAA	North Oconee	977,403	22,229	334	30	999,996	4
8-AAAA	Eastside	17,950	558,332	248,112	111,330	935,724	64,276
8-AAAA	Flowery Branch	2,950	195,635	278,782	245,652	723,019	276,981
8-AAAA	Walnut Grove	861	107,762	203,394	250,664	562,681	437,319
8-AAAA	Madison County	790	98,311	208,278	262,591	569,970	430,030
8-AAAA	East Forsyth	45	16,625	54,162	106,640	177,472	822,528
8-AAAA	Cedar Shoals	1	1,106	6,938	23,093	31,138	968,862

Class AAA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Jefferson	8-AAA	4-1	82.39	1,000,000	847,429	697,856	550,334	379,579	1.63
Sandy Creek	2-AAA	4-0	80.71	999,989	840,510	667,850	496,213	302,953	2.30
Peach County	1-AAA	4-0	75.21	999,583	729,480	505,314	247,452	108,689	8.20
LaGrange	2-AAA	4-1	74.30	999,662	561,405	289,312	159,610	65,255	14.32
Troup	2-AAA	3-0	72.91	997,351	531,505	280,243	138,989	51,487	18.42
Calhoun	7-AAA	2-2	71.39	999,775	643,240	372,100	145,298	48,222	19.74
Stephenson	5-AAA	5-0	66.08	999,723	406,027	169,197	51,707	10,818	91.44
Cairo	1-AAA	2-2	65.97	975,054	335,827	142,012	39,331	8,332	119.02
North Hall	6-AAA	4-0	63.79	999,718	345,822	127,691	33,540	5,545	179.34
Jenkins	3-AAA	3-1	63.65	999,804	325,706	115,793	26,546	4,579	217.39
Douglass	5-AAA	2-2	62.94	975,365	261,558	89,391	19,051	3,088	322.83
Cedar Grove	5-AAA	3-1	62.09	987,470	233,325	74,725	15,602	2,331	428.00
Oconee County	8-AAA	3-2	61.91	987,142	210,424	66,381	12,913	1,965	507.91
Harlem	4-AAA	3-0	60.72	997,369	256,987	76,813	14,306	1,896	526.43
Pickens	6-AAA	4-0	60.51	999,426	230,410	66,051	13,447	1,693	589.67
Cherokee Bluff	8-AAA	4-1	60.71	982,900	173,948	48,514	9,025	1,184	843.59
West Laurens	4-AAA	4-0	57.66	969,510	135,551	31,162	4,272	402	2,486.56
Upson-Lee	2-AAA	3-1	59.85	572,182	75,151	19,395	3,061	359	2,784.52
Whitewater	2-AAA	1-2	60.01	468,104	62,011	16,004	2,675	312	3,204.13
Westside (Augusta)	4-AAA	4-0	56.38	984,964	112,876	23,634	2,966	275	3,635.36
Monroe Area	8-AAA	3-1	57.42	922,125	89,874	20,292	2,674	237	4,218.41
Gilmer	7-AAA	3-1	55.96	987,890	101,648	19,469	2,411	188	5,318.15
Mary Persons	2-AAA	3-0	58.44	472,629	50,916	11,581	1,770	167	5,987.02
Heritage (Ringgold)	7-AAA	3-1	54.66	986,444	80,457	13,658	1,430	103	9,707.74
Luella	5-AAA	2-2	55.09	781,943	59,417	10,769	1,146	91	10,988.01
Westover	1-AAA	2-1	55.29	724,256	47,481	8,925	1,010	67	14,924.37
Lumpkin County	6-AAA	2-2	54.22	776,086	48,663	7,961	805	47	21,275.60
Monroe	1-AAA	1-2	54.69	620,867	28,194	5,711	630	40	24,999.00
Baldwin	4-AAA	2-2	53.48	656,985	36,152	5,545	524	36	27,776.78
Southeast Bulloch	3-AAA	2-2	52.26	860,305	37,242	5,120	397	18	55,554.56
Northwest Whitfield	7-AAA	3-1	51.61	871,174	38,519	5,066	422	16	62,499.00
Bainbridge	1-AAA	0-5	53.14	518,289	11,809	1,881	197	13	76,922.08
Liberty County	3-AAA	3-1	49.37	960,429	24,260	2,475	140	10	99,999.00
North Clayton	5-AAA	4-1	48.65	403,124	8,581	883	58	3	333,332.33
Long County	3-AAA	3-1	45.25	436,842	4,399	292	14	-	-
Richmond Academy	4-AAA	1-3	46.90	187,479	2,865	258	10	-	-
Dougherty	1-AAA	1-4	46.97	204,281	1,095	110	7	-	-
Chestatee	6-AAA	2-2	44.90	230,945	2,117	144	6	-	-
Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	5-AAA	1-3	43.94	326,472	2,450	141	4	-	-
Spalding	2-AAA	0-4	52.37	6,704	267	38	3	-	-
Dawson County	6-AAA	1-2	44.01	173,410	1,227	81	2	-	-
LaFayette	7-AAA	3-1	41.49	338,504	1,579	86	1	-	-
Adairsville	7-AAA	1-3	41.32	188,985	638	37	1	-	-
East Hall	8-AAA	2-2	40.91	137,218	391	20	-	-	-
Beach	3-AAA	1-2	37.28	170,856	311	9	-	-	-
Hephzibah	4-AAA	1-3	40.07	33,970	117	6	-	-	-
White County	6-AAA	0-4	39.76	54,780	113	4	-	-	-
West Hall	8-AAA	2-2	33.97	33,822	10	-	-	-	-
Ridgeland	7-AAA	2-2	32.63	29,179	10	-	-	-	-
Howard	4-AAA	1-3	37.71	5,494	6	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Savannah)	3-AAA	1-3	30.08	2,970	-	-	-	-	-
Windsor Forest	3-AAA	1-3	25.37	368	-	-	-	-	-
Islands	3-AAA	1-3	20.99	52	-	-	-	-	-
Riverdale	5-AAA	1-4	23.86	19	-	-	-	-	-
Cross Creek	4-AAA	1-3	22.15	11	-	-	-	-	-
Fayette County	2-AAA	0-4	28.84	2	-	-	-	-	-
Johnson (Gainesville)	6-AAA	0-3	11.24	-	-	-	-	-	-
Groves	3-AAA	0-4	9.53	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
8-AAA	Jefferson	826,596	958,718	998,841	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Sandy Creek	44,602	841,856	984,821	999,989	11
6-AAA	North Hall	43,488	572,739	900,771	999,718	282
5-AAA	Stephenson	29,207	567,785	881,394	999,723	277
6-AAA	Pickens	23,040	424,820	845,030	999,426	574
2-AAA	Troup	10,549	317,422	746,627	997,351	2,649
4-AAA	Harlem	8,014	485,804	794,561	997,369	2,631
4-AAA	Westside (Augusta)	2,996	189,812	479,790	984,964	15,036
1-AAA	Peach County	2,199	728,406	953,431	999,583	417
7-AAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	1,902	132,080	532,058	986,444	13,556
4-AAA	West Laurens	1,661	210,022	484,178	969,510	30,490
2-AAA	LaGrange	1,471	301,755	879,485	999,662	338
5-AAA	Cedar Grove	1,274	224,225	528,072	987,470	12,530
7-AAA	Gilmer	1,211	115,285	517,117	987,890	12,110
8-AAA	Oconee County	593	52,976	449,738	987,142	12,858
7-AAA	Calhoun	513	818,720	963,803	999,775	225
8-AAA	Cherokee Bluff	464	53,992	387,862	982,900	17,100
3-AAA	Jenkins	98	276,169	890,843	999,804	196
5-AAA	Douglass	40	256,609	561,358	975,365	24,635
1-AAA	Cairo	38	225,929	697,628	975,054	24,946
7-AAA	Northwest Whitfield	29	38,524	226,929	871,174	128,826
2-AAA	Mary Persons	8	2,292	20,907	472,629	527,371
8-AAA	Monroe Area	4	17,238	209,596	922,125	77,875
5-AAA	Luella	1	51,031	162,400	781,943	218,057
1-AAA	Westover	1	23,949	141,968	724,256	275,744
2-AAA	Upson-Lee	1	1,559	28,269	572,182	427,818
6-AAA	Lumpkin County	-	29,567	109,246	776,086	223,914
4-AAA	Baldwin	-	20,316	99,335	656,985	343,015
1-AAA	Monroe	-	15,688	114,527	620,867	379,133
1-AAA	Bainbridge	-	10,030	81,258	518,289	481,711
3-AAA	Southeast Bulloch	-	8,311	106,851	860,305	139,695
5-AAA	North Clayton	-	7,518	34,630	403,124	596,876
3-AAA	Liberty County	-	4,668	50,698	960,429	39,571
4-AAA	Richmond Academy	-	4,383	18,111	187,479	812,521
6-AAA	Dawson County	-	2,787	14,931	173,410	826,590
2-AAA	Whitewater	-	1,311	13,000	468,104	531,896
1-AAA	Dougherty	-	1,179	16,485	204,281	795,719
7-AAA	LaFayette	-	1,160	19,496	338,504	661,496
7-AAA	Adairsville	-	1,024	17,035	188,985	811,015
6-AAA	Chestatee	-	1,020	10,255	230,945	769,055
5-AAA	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	-	520	6,048	326,472	673,528
3-AAA	Long County	-	513	11,838	436,842	563,158
6-AAA	White County	-	150	1,298	54,780	945,220
8-AAA	East Hall	-	85	5,111	137,218	862,782
4-AAA	Hephzibah	-	19	185	33,970	966,030
7-AAA	Ridgeland	-	13	886	29,179	970,821
4-AAA	Howard	-	11	106	5,494	994,506
2-AAA	Spalding	-	8	118	6,704	993,296
8-AAA	West Hall	-	2	468	33,822	966,178
3-AAA	Beach	-	-	604	170,856	829,144
3-AAA	Johnson (Savannah)	-	-	3	2,970	997,030
3-AAA	Windsor Forest	-	-	-	368	999,632
3-AAA	Islands	-	-	-	52	999,948
5-AAA	Riverdale	-	-	-	19	999,981
4-AAA	Cross Creek	-	-	-	11	999,989
2-AAA	Fayette County	-	-	-	2	999,998
3-AAA	Groves	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
5-AAA	Stone Mountain	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
6-AAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class AA Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Carver (Columbus)	1-AA	4-0	75.64	1,000,000	875,071	704,396	523,892	368,375	1.71
Pierce County	3-AA	4-0	72.65	999,920	798,276	561,471	348,423	201,593	3.96
Carver (Atlanta)	5-AA	4-0	69.44	1,000,000	724,917	469,250	251,890	117,980	7.48
Morgan County	2-AA	5-0	68.96	1,000,000	741,054	466,526	246,616	110,377	8.06
Rockmart	7-AA	3-1	67.59	999,999	741,311	459,177	225,639	91,215	9.96
Callaway	2-AA	2-2	64.77	999,748	566,759	260,310	101,465	33,954	28.45
Sumter County	1-AA	4-0	63.13	999,995	506,633	200,115	70,531	21,065	46.47
Burke County	4-AA	4-1	62.69	999,996	489,206	190,940	65,496	18,624	52.69
Appling County	3-AA	1-3	62.44	988,223	336,887	131,381	42,716	12,187	81.05
Hapeville Charter	5-AA	1-2	61.35	969,736	305,644	111,183	33,579	8,733	113.51
Ringgold	7-AA	4-1	59.38	999,972	265,890	86,513	23,134	5,033	197.69
Cook	3-AA	3-2	58.35	978,645	216,307	63,889	14,955	3,120	319.51
Laney	4-AA	4-1	57.39	999,998	278,635	75,706	16,541	3,024	329.69
Thomson	4-AA	2-3	56.70	999,984	217,244	53,165	11,257	1,849	539.83
North Murray	7-AA	4-0	54.52	999,697	133,382	33,233	5,779	759	1,316.52
East Jackson	8-AA	4-0	54.85	971,432	105,517	26,048	4,491	657	1,521.07
Columbia	6-AA	0-4	52.98	998,883	190,705	34,185	5,090	596	1,676.85
Stephens County	8-AA	2-3	53.78	766,133	77,975	15,159	2,385	289	3,459.21
Crisp County	3-AA	1-4	52.79	888,444	69,508	13,868	1,938	220	4,544.45
Sonoraville	7-AA	3-1	50.98	993,743	73,945	13,362	1,625	175	5,713.29
Hart County	8-AA	1-3	50.88	514,066	31,980	4,882	544	56	17,856.14
Miller Grove	6-AA	4-1	46.78	995,238	82,645	8,632	693	44	22,726.27
Spencer	1-AA	1-3	47.35	964,222	39,276	4,477	386	25	39,999.00
Westside (Macon)	2-AA	1-3	47.66	896,601	37,590	4,237	366	24	41,665.67
Franklin County	8-AA	4-0	47.84	818,067	32,165	3,658	314	16	62,499.00
KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	5-AA	4-1	45.46	923,870	25,185	2,416	173	8	124,999.00
Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	7-AA	1-2	41.66	569,992	7,400	439	14	1	999,999.00
Jackson	2-AA	1-3	39.96	549,333	4,045	227	10	1	999,999.00
Union County	7-AA	1-3	42.93	543,493	9,610	607	43	-	-
Columbus	1-AA	3-0	36.31	909,879	3,994	141	5	-	-
Tattnall County	3-AA	2-2	38.76	188,240	1,001	52	4	-	-
Pike County	2-AA	2-2	38.39	558,844	4,061	145	3	-	-
Therrell	5-AA	1-3	40.46	141,907	1,516	75	3	-	-
Shaw	1-AA	1-3	35.42	528,205	1,892	68	-	-	-
South Atlanta	6-AA	1-4	32.93	819,189	1,837	47	-	-	-
Redan	6-AA	2-3	29.66	647,950	461	13	-	-	-
Salem	6-AA	1-2	26.54	544,851	142	4	-	-	-
Coahulla Creek	7-AA	1-3	34.30	71,575	221	3	-	-	-
Rutland	2-AA	0-4	30.31	119,708	64	-	-	-	-
Murray County	7-AA	2-3	27.30	102,023	44	-	-	-	-
Butler	4-AA	0-4	14.88	610,150	4	-	-	-	-
Kendrick	1-AA	2-2	14.77	36,148	1	-	-	-	-
Josey	4-AA	1-3	9.53	289,692	-	-	-	-	-
Glenn Hills	4-AA	0-4	2.48	100,197	-	-	-	-	-
Hardaway	1-AA	0-4	14.74	1,822	-	-	-	-	-
Washington	5-AA	1-4	20.99	189	-	-	-	-	-
Jordan	1-AA	0-4	-5.15	1	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
7-AA	Rockmart	417,525	919,616	997,129	999,999	1
5-AA	Carver (Atlanta)	229,479	782,901	994,342	1,000,000	-
2-AA	Morgan County	201,021	786,191	996,533	1,000,000	-
1-AA	Carver (Columbus)	96,953	858,170	999,805	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Murray	24,845	195,536	860,132	999,697	303
1-AA	Sumter County	18,411	381,514	969,405	999,995	5
7-AA	Ringgold	8,470	445,799	968,467	999,972	28
7-AA	Sonoraville	2,558	80,165	568,609	993,743	6,257
8-AA	East Jackson	459	16,209	420,013	971,432	28,568
3-AA	Pierce County	166	735,844	955,998	999,920	80
2-AA	Callaway	37	344,714	918,589	999,748	252
5-AA	Hapeville Charter	26	149,948	457,617	969,736	30,264
4-AA	Laney	24	240,347	720,030	999,998	2
5-AA	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	17	2,963	88,203	923,870	76,130
8-AA	Franklin County	6	993	66,180	818,067	181,933
3-AA	Cook	1	84,878	384,964	978,645	21,355
1-AA	Columbus	1	784	79,667	909,879	90,121
7-AA	Lakeview Ft. Oglethorpe	1	377	25,413	569,992	430,008
6-AA	Columbia	-	642,015	945,075	998,883	1,117
4-AA	Burke County	-	521,580	847,458	999,996	4
6-AA	Miller Grove	-	321,764	823,300	995,238	4,762
4-AA	Thomson	-	241,176	568,911	999,984	16
3-AA	Appling County	-	159,566	587,462	988,223	11,777
6-AA	South Atlanta	-	22,644	136,319	819,189	180,811
3-AA	Crisp County	-	22,323	135,134	888,444	111,556
2-AA	Westside (Macon)	-	13,390	97,929	896,601	103,399
6-AA	Redan	-	10,102	65,181	647,950	352,050
8-AA	Stephens County	-	7,656	66,940	766,133	233,867
6-AA	Salem	-	3,645	32,921	544,851	455,149
8-AA	Hart County	-	2,689	26,639	514,066	485,934
2-AA	Jackson	-	1,581	19,701	549,333	450,667
2-AA	Pike County	-	828	15,367	558,844	441,156
1-AA	Spencer	-	765	120,813	964,222	35,778
7-AA	Union County	-	544	22,170	543,493	456,507
3-AA	Tattnall County	-	303	5,705	188,240	811,760
5-AA	Therrell	-	296	3,093	141,907	858,093
1-AA	Shaw	-	150	7,711	528,205	471,795
2-AA	Rutland	-	27	877	119,708	880,292
4-AA	Butler	-	6	45	610,150	389,850
7-AA	Coahulla Creek	-	1	70	71,575	928,425
7-AA	Murray County	-	-	67	102,023	897,977
1-AA	Kendrick	-	-	7	36,148	963,852
4-AA	Josey	-	-	6	289,692	710,308
1-AA	Hardaway	-	-	2	1,822	998,178
4-AA	Glenn Hills	-	-	1	100,197	899,803
5-AA	Washington	-	-	-	189	999,811
1-AA	Jordan	-	-	-	1	999,999

Class A Division I Public

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Thomasville	1-A Division I	3-1	74.03	1,000,000	860,971	704,044	558,238	420,408	1.38
Toombs County	3-A Division I	4-1	68.15	999,994	714,276	499,170	285,337	149,651	5.68
Swainsboro	3-A Division I	5-0	67.20	1,000,000	711,820	464,033	277,292	130,731	6.65
Worth County	1-A Division I	4-0	65.73	1,000,000	648,057	376,162	200,460	88,190	10.34
Fitzgerald	1-A Division I	2-1	64.34	999,919	546,736	302,015	146,375	58,180	16.19
Northeast	2-A Division I	3-1	62.85	999,997	573,221	320,377	140,272	49,308	19.28
Dublin	2-A Division I	3-1	62.14	1,000,000	546,899	291,057	124,062	41,410	23.15
Rabun County	8-A Division I	4-0	61.35	999,995	554,351	288,122	115,973	36,568	26.35
Heard County	6-A Division I	4-0	57.53	999,995	456,278	195,668	61,358	14,078	70.03
Lamar County	4-A Division I	3-0	52.36	999,975	281,157	84,369	16,729	2,444	408.17
Jeff Davis	1-A Division I	3-0	53.95	999,649	193,782	62,074	13,795	2,289	435.87
Bleckley County	2-A Division I	3-1	53.83	998,976	201,234	63,140	13,654	2,267	440.11
Fannin County	7-A Division I	2-2	49.79	999,585	235,598	56,484	8,459	902	1,107.65
Dodge County	2-A Division I	3-1	51.28	997,827	144,942	38,025	6,552	869	1,149.75
ACE Charter	2-A Division I	4-0	50.22	998,683	142,524	34,624	5,697	614	1,627.66
Putnam County	4-A Division I	2-2	48.25	999,874	155,997	32,948	4,449	433	2,308.47
Temple	6-A Division I	4-0	48.05	997,396	125,486	26,502	3,448	304	3,288.47
Gordon Lee	7-A Division I	2-1	46.43	999,438	140,862	25,937	2,811	211	4,738.34
Bremen	6-A Division I	2-2	47.57	963,008	109,426	21,187	2,552	206	4,853.37
Jasper County	4-A Division I	4-0	46.67	999,992	122,002	23,722	2,799	200	4,999.00
Haralson County	6-A Division I	3-1	47.10	990,527	105,363	20,006	2,359	196	5,101.04
Elbert County	8-A Division I	0-4	48.35	840,415	73,180	15,575	2,065	191	5,234.60
Commerce	8-A Division I	0-4	47.36	814,680	59,469	11,831	1,421	112	8,927.57
Social Circle	4-A Division I	2-2	45.35	999,069	88,518	14,355	1,375	97	10,308.28
Washington County	2-A Division I	1-3	46.62	840,505	55,908	9,769	1,069	71	14,083.51
Bacon County	1-A Division I	3-1	43.93	992,688	47,244	6,297	528	36	27,776.78
Berrien	1-A Division I	2-2	43.87	830,943	35,502	4,896	379	20	49,999.00
Pepperell	6-A Division I	1-3	43.62	740,333	37,716	5,304	399	14	71,427.57
Southwest	2-A Division I	1-3	39.18	696,120	12,221	1,107	46	-	-
Oglethorpe County	8-A Division I	2-2	38.25	504,627	7,695	630	24	-	-
Model	6-A Division I	1-3	35.59	287,687	2,529	177	10	-	-
East Laurens	2-A Division I	1-3	36.07	278,165	2,493	167	5	-	-
McNair	4-A Division I	1-3	31.67	543,712	2,035	87	3	-	-
Gordon Central	7-A Division I	4-0	29.20	882,701	2,432	84	2	-	-
Vidalia	3-A Division I	1-4	34.20	174,318	440	26	2	-	-
Towers	4-A Division I	2-1	24.81	971,821	896	14	1	-	-
Dade County	7-A Division I	0-4	29.39	375,826	580	13	-	-	-
Banks County	8-A Division I	0-4	31.33	64,916	87	1	-	-	-
Coosa	7-A Division I	1-3	23.88	149,946	61	1	-	-	-
Jefferson County	2-A Division I	0-4	25.37	15,665	9	-	-	-	-
Chattooga	7-A Division I	0-4	20.72	26,663	2	-	-	-	-
Armuchee	7-A Division I	0-2	16.76	24,065	1	-	-	-	-
Brantley County	1-A Division I	0-4	17.30	236	-	-	-	-	-
Utopian Academy	4-A Division I	1-3	-1.34	42	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Macon)	2-A Division I	0-4	14.49	15	-	-	-	-	-
B.E.S.T. Academy	5-A Division I	0-5	-0.30	12	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
3-A Division I	Swainsboro	318,765	733,879	999,090	1,000,000	-
1-A Division I	Thomasville	313,022	845,047	997,108	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Heard County	131,706	710,165	955,571	999,995	5
1-A Division I	Worth County	113,291	524,797	981,288	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Lamar County	25,599	514,131	863,045	999,975	25
1-A Division I	Fitzgerald	19,193	259,400	757,638	999,919	81
2-A Division I	Dublin	18,419	514,256	912,014	1,000,000	-
4-A Division I	Jasper County	18,253	285,839	851,108	999,992	8
8-A Division I	Rabun County	17,877	665,283	947,875	999,995	5
2-A Division I	Northeast	10,335	545,230	893,182	999,997	3
6-A Division I	Temple	4,844	157,465	500,879	997,396	2,604
4-A Division I	Putnam County	2,965	297,645	714,302	999,874	126
1-A Division I	Jeff Davis	1,548	37,975	423,744	999,649	351
3-A Division I	Toombs County	1,538	474,188	862,158	999,994	6
2-A Division I	ACE Charter	1,190	76,895	528,461	998,683	1,317
6-A Division I	Haralson County	919	110,859	383,464	990,527	9,473
4-A Division I	Social Circle	263	145,527	409,756	999,069	931
7-A Division I	Gordon Lee	144	320,687	726,820	999,438	562
2-A Division I	Dodge County	61	34,197	287,125	997,827	2,173
2-A Division I	Bleckley County	40	43,039	253,584	998,976	1,024
6-A Division I	Bremen	20	106,513	314,471	963,008	36,992
1-A Division I	Bacon County	5	1,386	47,637	992,688	7,312
7-A Division I	Fannin County	2	467,274	797,925	999,585	415
4-A Division I	Towers	1	446	25,609	971,821	28,179
8-A Division I	Elbert County	-	46,944	180,379	840,415	159,585
8-A Division I	Commerce	-	34,325	145,120	814,680	185,320
6-A Division I	Pepperell	-	33,369	128,407	740,333	259,667
7-A Division I	Gordon Central	-	4,643	31,326	882,701	117,299
4-A Division I	McNair	-	2,579	14,548	543,712	456,288
8-A Division I	Oglethorpe County	-	2,124	15,870	504,627	495,373
6-A Division I	Model	-	2,008	12,699	287,687	712,313
7-A Division I	Dade County	-	905	5,545	375,826	624,174
1-A Division I	Berrien	-	405	6,378	830,943	169,057
2-A Division I	Washington County	-	259	18,187	840,505	159,495
8-A Division I	Banks County	-	113	1,404	64,916	935,084
7-A Division I	Coosa	-	110	1,670	149,946	850,054
3-A Division I	Vidalia	-	60	1,266	174,318	825,682
7-A Division I	Chattooga	-	22	230	26,663	973,337
7-A Division I	Armuchee	-	7	103	24,065	975,935
2-A Division I	East Laurens	-	4	126	278,165	721,835
2-A Division I	Southwest	-	-	2,887	696,120	303,880
5-A Division I	B.E.S.T. Academy	-	-	1	12	999,988
2-A Division I	Jefferson County	-	-	-	15,665	984,335
1-A Division I	Brantley County	-	-	-	236	999,764
4-A Division I	Utopian Academy	-	-	-	42	999,958
2-A Division I	Central (Macon)	-	-	-	15	999,985
5-A Division I	Mount Bethel Christian	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Class A Division II

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Brooks County	2-A Division II	1-3	60.63	993,799	815,599	613,942	410,963	258,279	2.87
Bowdon	7-A Division II	3-2	60.59	999,767	738,700	615,623	391,604	245,408	3.07
Lincoln County	8-A Division II	4-0	58.87	999,911	786,707	509,636	345,777	187,103	4.34
Clinch County	2-A Division II	5-0	57.42	984,187	726,815	464,276	273,716	135,753	6.37
Early County	1-A Division II	2-2	52.92	997,287	534,070	316,780	129,221	48,942	19.43
Metter	3-A Division II	2-1	51.03	960,419	451,917	226,540	83,141	27,380	35.52
Irwin County	2-A Division II	1-3	51.21	922,328	487,047	220,564	80,064	26,341	36.96
Seminole County	1-A Division II	4-0	49.81	994,048	407,354	211,702	71,188	21,493	45.53
Wilcox County	4-A Division II	3-1	49.77	976,459	406,442	145,930	55,414	16,888	58.21
Emanuel County Institute	3-A Division II	2-2	46.72	974,921	340,290	134,100	35,762	8,394	118.13
Manchester	7-A Division II	1-3	47.66	990,235	274,254	114,344	33,016	8,060	123.07
Johnson County	5-A Division II	5-0	47.20	999,916	242,684	72,461	25,895	6,118	162.45
Hawkinsville	4-A Division II	4-0	44.40	894,832	161,847	44,073	10,750	2,076	480.70
Schley County	6-A Division II	2-3	43.11	993,915	195,862	45,923	9,676	1,703	586.20
Mount Zion (Carroll)	7-A Division II	5-0	42.64	969,165	146,756	35,461	7,097	1,114	896.67
Jenkins County	3-A Division II	2-2	42.66	649,165	146,534	32,854	6,470	1,077	927.51
Charlton County	2-A Division II	2-3	42.55	613,906	160,128	34,784	6,431	1,023	976.52
Screven County	3-A Division II	3-0	40.95	617,147	120,253	25,215	4,294	601	1,662.89
Trion	7-A Division II	2-3	40.65	942,800	118,886	22,465	3,909	509	1,963.64
Wheeler County	4-A Division II	4-0	40.47	758,344	67,555	14,783	2,517	344	2,905.98
Telfair County	4-A Division II	1-3	40.54	760,881	68,118	15,283	2,585	336	2,975.19
Mitchell County	1-A Division II	1-2	38.98	758,301	93,563	16,242	2,377	271	3,689.04
Turner County	2-A Division II	1-2	39.64	453,979	85,777	13,782	1,978	241	4,148.38
Bryan County	3-A Division II	3-1	38.23	484,443	66,859	11,043	1,494	150	6,665.67
Crawford County	6-A Division II	3-1	36.79	978,798	63,941	8,986	1,069	108	9,258.26
Greene County	8-A Division II	0-4	36.73	897,654	68,256	8,917	1,147	102	9,802.92
Taylor County	6-A Division II	2-2	35.49	918,865	36,592	4,700	507	56	17,856.14
McIntosh County Academy	3-A Division II	2-2	37.18	307,872	33,908	4,489	533	50	19,999.00
Pelham	1-A Division II	0-4	36.70	597,114	44,683	5,450	706	48	20,832.33
Dooly County	4-A Division II	0-3	34.59	403,959	11,354	1,738	152	11	90,908.09
Miller County	1-A Division II	1-3	33.73	445,598	19,911	1,830	181	9	111,110.11
Warren County	8-A Division II	1-4	32.90	811,053	26,544	2,629	196	8	124,999.00
Macon County	6-A Division II	0-5	31.21	712,118	6,603	758	38	3	333,332.33
Treutlen	4-A Division II	2-2	30.32	198,549	2,139	226	8	1	999,999.00
Lake Oconee Academy	8-A Division II	2-3	30.49	700,252	13,176	1,051	59	-	-
Wilkinson County	5-A Division II	0-5	27.45	933,666	14,000	710	34	-	-
Washington-Wilkes	8-A Division II	2-3	28.37	591,130	6,394	414	22	-	-
Randolph-Clay	1-A Division II	1-1-1	28.20	192,827	2,883	146	8	-	-
Marion County	6-A Division II	0-4	20.42	188,216	150	5	1	-	-
Georgia Military Prep	5-A Division II	1-4	21.70	767,328	2,048	60	-	-	-
Hancock Central	5-A Division II	2-3	20.79	745,227	1,645	38	-	-	-
Lanier County	2-A Division II	0-5	25.39	31,801	667	18	-	-	-
Chattahoochee County	6-A Division II	1-3	21.43	207,943	193	12	-	-	-
Glascock County	5-A Division II	1-3	16.85	539,831	406	6	-	-	-
Portal	3-A Division II	1-3	27.06	5,577	80	6	-	-	-
Greenville	7-A Division II	2-2	20.15	98,033	381	4	-	-	-
Terrell County	1-A Division II	1-2	18.08	14,825	23	1	-	-	-
Montgomery County	4-A Division II	1-3	17.73	6,976	4	-	-	-	-
Claxton	3-A Division II	0-4	20.20	433	2	-	-	-	-
Twiggs County	5-A Division II	0-4	-2.85	14,032	-	-	-	-	-
Central (Talbotton)	6-A Division II	0-1	-6.70	145	-	-	-	-	-
Savannah	3-A Division II	0-3	12.96	23	-	-	-	-	-
Atkinson County	2-A Division II	3-1	31.22	-	-	-	-	-	-
Towns County	8-A Division II	2-2	22.94	-	-	-	-	-	-
Southwest Georgia STEM	1-A Division II	2-1	10.14	-	-	-	-	-	-
Calhoun County	1-A Division II	0-2	-1.25	-	-	-	-	-	-
Baconton Charter	1-A Division II	0-3	-2.21	-	-	-	-	-	-
Pataula Charter	1-A Division II	0-4	-13.49	-	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	Playoffs	Out
1-A Division II	Early County	588,076	319,572	74,748	14,891	997,287	2,713
1-A Division II	Seminole County	366,251	477,994	128,580	21,223	994,048	5,952
1-A Division II	Mitchell County	36,097	129,604	337,972	254,628	758,301	241,699
1-A Division II	Pelham	6,972	36,170	237,811	316,161	597,114	402,886
1-A Division II	Miller County	1,662	28,043	161,962	253,931	445,598	554,402
1-A Division II	Randolph-Clay	936	8,459	56,593	126,839	192,827	807,173
1-A Division II	Terrell County	6	158	2,334	12,327	14,825	985,175
1-A Division II	Calhoun County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Pataula Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Baconton Charter	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
1-A Division II	Southwest Georgia STEM	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
2-A Division II	Brooks County	553,413	297,233	113,902	29,251	993,799	6,201
2-A Division II	Clinch County	323,165	400,026	201,264	59,732	984,187	15,813
2-A Division II	Irwin County	103,548	219,609	404,049	195,122	922,328	77,672
2-A Division II	Charlton County	13,911	54,806	171,397	373,792	613,906	386,094
2-A Division II	Turner County	5,941	27,907	104,615	315,516	453,979	546,021
2-A Division II	Lanier County	22	419	4,773	26,587	31,801	968,199
2-A Division II	Atkinson County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000
3-A Division II	Metter	470,406	283,016	142,936	64,061	960,419	39,581
3-A Division II	Emanuel County Institute	394,436	363,135	156,437	60,913	974,921	25,079
3-A Division II	Screven County	62,854	130,341	204,285	219,667	617,147	382,853
3-A Division II	Jenkins County	34,843	111,316	243,797	259,209	649,165	350,835
3-A Division II	Bryan County	33,081	85,736	152,642	212,984	484,443	515,557
3-A Division II	McIntosh County Academy	4,353	26,271	99,083	178,165	307,872	692,128
3-A Division II	Portal	27	176	759	4,615	5,577	994,423
3-A Division II	Claxton	-	9	58	366	433	999,567
3-A Division II	Savannah	-	-	3	20	23	999,977
4-A Division II	Wilcox County	570,849	247,027	110,929	47,654	976,459	23,541
4-A Division II	Hawkinsville	214,170	298,957	232,352	149,353	894,832	105,168
4-A Division II	Wheeler County	94,447	187,351	240,959	235,587	758,344	241,656
4-A Division II	Telfair County	93,196	184,155	245,010	238,520	760,881	239,119
4-A Division II	Dooly County	21,902	61,202	117,457	203,398	403,959	596,041
4-A Division II	Treutlen	5,423	21,120	52,182	119,824	198,549	801,451
4-A Division II	Montgomery County	13	188	1,111	5,664	6,976	993,024
5-A Division II	Johnson County	913,680	79,502	5,555	1,179	999,916	84
5-A Division II	Wilkinson County	57,223	494,691	262,411	119,341	933,666	66,334
5-A Division II	Georgia Military Prep	14,201	183,667	288,048	281,412	767,328	232,672
5-A Division II	Hancock Central	11,099	156,378	276,228	301,522	745,227	254,773
5-A Division II	Glascock County	3,797	85,543	165,014	285,477	539,831	460,169
5-A Division II	Twiggs County	-	219	2,744	11,069	14,032	985,968
6-A Division II	Schley County	532,283	288,262	133,433	39,937	993,915	6,085
6-A Division II	Crawford County	286,216	397,517	249,791	45,274	978,798	21,202
6-A Division II	Taylor County	160,432	244,420	328,177	185,836	918,865	81,135
6-A Division II	Macon County	18,275	47,888	208,853	437,102	712,118	287,882
6-A Division II	Marion County	1,961	10,514	36,963	138,778	188,216	811,784
6-A Division II	Chattahoochee County	833	11,399	42,779	152,932	207,943	792,057
6-A Division II	Central (Talbotton)	-	-	4	141	145	999,855
7-A Division II	Bowdon	764,466	185,513	38,515	11,273	999,767	233
7-A Division II	Manchester	147,264	426,041	263,771	153,159	990,235	9,765
7-A Division II	Mount Zion (Carroll)	49,068	215,868	385,686	318,543	969,165	30,835
7-A Division II	Trion	39,143	170,910	304,903	427,844	942,800	57,200
7-A Division II	Greenville	59	1,668	7,125	89,181	98,033	901,967
8-A Division II	Lincoln County	920,845	72,756	5,015	1,295	999,911	89
8-A Division II	Greene County	46,506	396,765	283,266	171,117	897,654	102,346
8-A Division II	Warren County	17,323	254,547	288,696	250,487	811,053	188,947
8-A Division II	Lake Oconee Academy	9,179	171,089	238,698	281,286	700,252	299,748
8-A Division II	Washington-Wilkes	6,147	104,843	184,325	295,815	591,130	408,870
8-A Division II	Towns County	-	-	-	-	-	1,000,000

Smaller Private

AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAA
AAA Public
AA Public
A Division I Public
A Division II
Smaller Private

Modal bracket

Although any specific bracket is highly unlikely, the modal bracket represents the most probable of all the possible brackets.

Playoff Projections by Team

Each team is shown with its region, rating, the number of times making it to the finals, and the number of times of winning the state championship along with the associated odds.

Team	Region	Rec	Rating	Playoffs	Qtr	Semi	Finals	Champ	Odds
Prince Avenue Christian	8-AA	3-1	75.76	1,000,000	920,265	730,782	511,290	333,862	2.00
Hebron Christian	8-AA	2-1	73.46	1,000,000	888,618	630,046	390,913	219,313	3.56
Calvary Day	3-AAA	4-0	72.74	1,000,000	893,073	680,640	405,918	216,860	3.61
Fellowship Christian	5-A Division I	3-1	71.09	1,000,000	866,302	644,663	393,932	178,795	4.59
Savannah Christian	3-A Division I	3-2	61.88	1,000,000	530,860	219,242	66,339	15,090	65.27
Athens Academy	8-A Division I	3-1	59.21	1,000,000	543,221	191,544	48,747	8,730	113.55
Holy Innocents	5-AA	3-1	60.00	1,000,000	423,617	157,712	42,143	8,063	123.02
Lovett	5-AA	3-1	58.00	1,000,000	357,285	116,227	26,392	4,181	238.18
Greater Atlanta Christian	6-AAA	3-1	57.19	1,000,000	412,217	126,951	26,910	3,935	253.13
Aquinas	4-AAA	3-0	56.35	1,000,000	459,720	129,083	25,691	3,496	285.04
Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	2-AAA	2-2	58.55	1,000,000	192,466	76,111	17,314	2,962	336.61
Whitefield Academy	5-A Division I	3-1	54.93	1,000,000	474,978	115,864	20,265	2,304	433.03
Wesleyan	5-A Division I	3-1	55.26	1,000,000	303,493	78,904	14,018	1,758	567.83
Landmark Christian	5-A Division I	4-0	49.64	1,000,000	280,034	41,127	4,515	307	3,256.33
North Cobb Christian	7-AA	3-2	51.37	1,000,000	128,111	26,965	3,297	258	3,874.97
Christian Heritage	7-A Division I	2-2	45.18	1,000,000	151,159	16,857	1,285	46	21,738.13
Savannah Country Day	3-A Division I	1-3	46.61	1,000,000	54,113	7,859	572	29	34,481.76
Darlington	6-A Division I	2-2	43.24	1,000,000	45,355	4,418	248	6	166,665.67
Mount Paran Christian	5-A Division I	2-2	42.51	1,000,000	44,585	3,469	173	4	249,999.00
Mount Vernon	5-A Division I	1-3	38.73	1,000,000	13,189	1,002	29	1	999,999.00
King's Ridge Christian	5-A Division I	4-0	34.77	1,000,000	13,396	487	8	-	-
Providence Christian	8-A Division I	1-3	31.80	1,000,000	3,676	44	1	-	-
Mount Pisgah Christian	5-A Division I	1-3	21.33	1,000,000	267	3	-	-	-
Walker	5-A Division I	2-3	3.90	1,000,000	-	-	-	-	-

Playoff Seeding Projections

Each team is shown with its region and the number of times of capturing each seed in the region plus the number of times the team did not make the playoffs.

Region	Team	#1	#1 to #8	#1 to #16	Playoffs	Out
5-A Division I	Fellowship Christian	494,477	903,020	999,964	1,000,000	-
3-AAA	Calvary Day	150,541	978,213	999,999	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Prince Avenue Christian	141,899	939,093	999,535	1,000,000	-
8-AA	Hebron Christian	78,338	883,865	996,900	1,000,000	-
4-AAA	Aquinas	63,814	452,329	990,675	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Whitefield Academy	41,981	661,508	997,950	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Landmark Christian	21,237	364,954	997,066	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Wesleyan	5,047	153,859	927,289	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Christian	1,349	393,751	974,855	1,000,000	-
6-AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	550	428,093	932,678	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Lovett	285	269,766	888,620	1,000,000	-
5-AA	Holy Innocents	271	331,906	886,416	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Athens Academy	128	666,079	949,609	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	King's Ridge Christian	41	9,802	721,191	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Paran Christian	30	73,992	603,020	1,000,000	-
7-A Division I	Christian Heritage	8	385,104	766,393	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Vernon	2	2,419	37,594	1,000,000	-
6-A Division I	Darlington	1	67,862	242,408	1,000,000	-
2-AAA	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	1	5,631	275,610	1,000,000	-
7-AA	North Cobb Christian	-	15,925	763,443	1,000,000	-
3-A Division I	Savannah Country Day	-	12,072	47,128	1,000,000	-
8-A Division I	Providence Christian	-	746	1,600	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Mount Pisgah Christian	-	8	48	1,000,000	-
5-A Division I	Walker	-	3	9	1,000,000	-

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

Maxwell playoff projections heading into Week 6: 3 teams emerge as favorites

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Playoff Projections by Team

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