Georgia’s hotly contested and nationally watched races for governor and the U.S. Senate have prompted a surge of interest in early voting that is likely to carry into Election Day on Tuesday.

With new voters more likely to be racial minorities, the push bodes well for Democrats, but it is a gradual rise rather than a demographic tidal wave. In order to pull off any upsets, Democrats still must chip into Republicans’ huge edge with white voters, which polls show them struggling to do.

In the campaign’s closing days, Republicans and Democrats circled the state trying to rally their base voters to the polls. It is working.

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