- Washington County, the top team in Class AAA entering the season, notched their first win of the season with a 54-0 victory over winless Glenn Hills.  After losing only state championship games for the last two years, the Golden Hawks have four losses on the season while their rating is more than five touchdowns lower than their preseason rating.

- Roswell should be keeping an eye on two different games this weekend to improve their rating.  The first is their 5-AAAAAA showdown with undefeated Walton but they should also be watching the scoreboard for Colquitt County's game with Lowndes.  If the Hornets are victorious and the Vikings can upend the Packers, look for Roswell to enjoy a significant boost.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 20.86%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 886 of 955 total games including 1 tie(s) (92.83%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.57 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

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Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Home Advantage: 0.81

By Class

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. Please submit errors or omissions through their forums.

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the rating required to win 80% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, and its “Average Rating”, which is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.