Sports

Maxwell Week 8 Summary: Region parity

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 12, 2015

The Maxwell Ratings will rank Georgia's 417 teams throughout the 2015 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Interesting results from this past week:

- Stephenson and Prince Avenue Christian both take over the top spots in their respective classifications this week.  Prince Avenue routed previously undefeated Athens Academy 45-14 while Stephenson dumped Dunwoody 62-0 to jump atop a hotly contested Class AAAAA.

- Although the regular season is about 70 percent complete, several region titles are still up for grabs.  The below chart shows each region's Parity Index, which is the percentage of time the same team would win the region title twice in a row if the season was replayed infinitely from this point forward.  For example, the region champion in 3-AAAAAA would only be the same team twice in a row 35.3% of the time, with the title rotating between Hughes, East Coweta, Westlake, and Newnan 99.97% of the time with the remaining 0.3% going to South Cobb, Douglas County, and Pebblebrook.  Some region titles are fairly well in the bag.  Prince Avenue Christian has what is shown as a 100.0% chance of winning the title, although the math says Athens Academy has 1 in 333,332.33 odds of being declared champion.

Note this is not the same as each team's projected region finish.  The structure of the season makes it possible for one game to determine if a team will finish first or be bumped down to third without a chance to finish second due to some other factor, such a head to head against the second place team.  The brackets in the weekly playoff projections reflect each team's projected finish.

Region Parity Index 1 2 3 4
3 - AAAAAA 35.3% 51.50%: Hughes 21.02%: East Coweta 19.34%: Westlake 8.11%: Newnan
7 - A 36.0% 50.21%: Aquinas 28.96%: Lincoln County 14.82%: Stratford Academy 3.39%: Twiggs County
5 - AA 38.3% 50.27%: Manchester 34.22%: Heard County 10.10%: Bremen 5.38%: Bowdon
4 - AAAAA 38.8% 43.83%: Northgate 43.31%: Stockbridge 7.82%: Starr's Mill 4.24%: Woodland
2 - AAAA 38.9% 55.34%: Mary Persons 24.18%: Veterans 14.42%: West Laurens 5.96%: Upson-Lee
3 - AAAAA 38.9% 51.79%: Coffee 30.14%: Ware County 17.40%: Glynn Academy 0.63%: South Effingham
5 - AAA 39.4% 52.98%: Central (Carrollton) 27.59%: Callaway 19.35%: Pepperell 0.04%: Cedartown
2 - AAA 41.2% 55.36%: Peach County 29.03%: Westside (Macon) 14.39%: Jackson 0.92%: Spencer
7 - AAAAAA 42.4% 58.03%: Mill Creek 22.90%: Peachtree Ridge 18.54%: Norcross 0.53%: Collins Hill
6 - A 43.3% 61.17%: Mt Paran Christian 20.71%: Pinecrest Academy 11.81%: Trion 4.75%: Mt Pisgah Christian
1 - AAA 43.7% 50.37%: Dodge County 42.61%: Pierce County 2.81%: Jenkins 2.69%: Cook
5 - AAAA 45.7% 51.42%: Woodward Acad. 43.57%: Sandy Creek 4.80%: Carrollton 0.21%: Whitewater
4 - AA 45.9% 54.92%: Lamar County 39.30%: Macon County 5.33%: Putnam County 0.45%: Bleckley County
1 - A 46.3% 62.33%: Miller County 25.24%: Mitchell County 9.96%: Terrell County 2.47%: Randolph-Clay
6 - AAAAAA 46.7% 57.86%: South Forsyth 35.88%: Lambert 6.11%: West Forsyth 0.13%: Johns Creek
5 - AAAAA 47.5% 60.07%: East Paulding 33.41%: Allatoona 4.37%: Alexander 1.92%: South Paulding
7 - AAAAA 49.1% 67.41%: Dalton 15.83%: Cambridge 7.60%: Kell 7.45%: Riverwood
2 - A 50.0% 67.79%: Turner County 16.80%: Irwin County 8.45%: Clinch County 6.96%: Charlton County
6 - AAAAA 50.4% 55.55%: Stephenson 44.22%: Mays 0.11%: Creekside 0.07%: Carver (Atlanta)
3 - A 50.7% 57.18%: Savannah Christian 42.42%: ECI 0.26%: Treutlen 0.12%: Calvary Day
3 - AAAA 51.9% 66.46%: Liberty County 26.97%: Thomson 6.54%: Burke County 0.03%: Wayne County
2 - AAAAA 57.8% 72.32%: Northside (WR) 23.22%: Houston County 2.70%: Jones County 1.76%: Warner Robins
4 - AAAA 61.7% 75.24%: Jonesboro 22.50%: Locust Grove 1.16%: Eagle's Landing 0.68%: Eastside
4 - AAA 63.3% 76.13%: Blessed Trinity 23.04%: Cedar Grove 0.65%: Westminster (Atl) 0.16%: Decatur
1 - AAAAAA 71.5% 82.88%: Colquitt County 16.83%: Camden County 0.18%: Valdosta 0.11%: Lee County
1 - AAAA 71.9% 83.73%: Bainbridge 13.34%: Thomas Co Central 2.15%: Cairo 0.39%: Westover
8 - AA 72.2% 84.00%: Rabun County 12.17%: Union County 3.83%: Washington-Wilkes
6 - AA 75.9% 86.30%: GAC 11.50%: Wesleyan 2.19%: Lovett
5 - A 76.8% 86.59%: ELCA 13.38%: Landmark Christian 0.03%: Our Lady of Mercy 0.00%: Mt Vernon Pres
7 - AAA 80.9% 89.79%: Dawson County 3.40%: Banks County 2.61%: East Hall 2.10%: Franklin County
7 - AA 81.9% 90.01%: Darlington 9.16%: Chattooga 0.81%: Model 0.02%: Gordon Lee
1 - AA 86.2% 92.60%: Fitzgerald 6.93%: Brooks County 0.27%: Early County 0.20%: Pelham
3 - AAA 88.5% 93.88%: Laney 6.01%: Josey 0.10%: Washington County 0.01%: Hephzibah
1 - AAAAA 89.7% 94.64%: Carver (Columbus) 4.06%: Northside (Col) 0.81%: Shaw 0.30%: Harris County
4 - AAAAAA 91.6% 95.68%: McEachern 2.68%: Harrison 0.86%: North Cobb 0.77%: Hillgrove
8 - AAA 91.7% 95.70%: Jefferson 2.59%: Elbert County 1.26%: Oconee County 0.45%: Hart County
5 - AAAAAA 92.1% 95.92%: Roswell 2.61%: Walton 1.46%: Etowah 0.00%: Cherokee
6 - AAAA 92.4% 96.11%: St. Pius X 2.05%: Arabia Mountain 1.84%: Marist 0.00%: Grady
2 - AAAAAA 92.5% 96.10%: Newton 3.69%: Lovejoy 0.22%: Tucker 0.00%: Alcovy
8 - AAAA 92.5% 96.12%: Buford 3.50%: Stephens County 0.38%: North Oconee
7 - AAAA 94.3% 97.07%: Cartersville 2.42%: Pickens 0.51%: Northwest Whitfield 0.01%: Heritage (Ringgold)
8 - AAAAA 96.8% 98.40%: Lanier 1.06%: Gainesville 0.45%: Loganville 0.05%: Winder-Barrow
2 - AA 97.8% 98.89%: Benedictine 0.92%: Vidalia 0.18%: McIntosh Co Acad 0.00%: Bacon County
8 - AAAAAA 98.3% 99.12%: Grayson 0.53%: Archer 0.14%: Brookwood 0.11%: Central Gwinnett
3 - AA 98.5% 99.23%: Jefferson County 0.41%: Swainsboro 0.19%: Metter 0.13%: Screven County
4 - A 98.7% 99.35%: Marion County 0.37%: Brookstone 0.18%: Hawkinsville 0.07%: Greenville
8 - A 100.0% 100.00%: PAC 0.00%: Athens Academy
6 - AAA 100.0% 100.00%: Calhoun 0.00%: Adairsville

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 9.16%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,211 of 1,299 total games including 1 tie(s) (93.26%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.41 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Home Advantage: 2.06

By Class

AAAAAA AAAAA
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Colquitt County 7-0 99.80 1 Stephenson 5-1 77.32
2 Grayson 7-0 94.27 2 Mays 6-0 77.28
3 Roswell 6-0 89.40 3 Northside (Warner Robins) 6-0 74.68
4 Archer 5-1 88.86 4 Creekside 5-2 69.65
5 Mill Creek 7-0 86.81 5 Allatoona 6-1 69.26
6 McEachern 5-1 83.99 6 Coffee 6-1 68.44
7 Camden County 7-0 83.78 7 Ware County 5-1 68.32
8 Peachtree Ridge 5-2 83.36 8 Houston County 6-0 67.20
9 Norcross 7-0 77.73 9 Glynn Academy 5-2 66.74
10 Walton 6-1 76.68 10 Lanier 6-0 66.12
11 Lee County 6-1 75.69 11 Northgate 6-0 65.97
12 Lowndes 4-3 74.79 12 Stockbridge 6-0 65.89
13 Parkview 4-2 70.69 13 East Paulding 5-1 64.04
14 Newton 6-1 70.15 14 Gainesville 4-2 61.58
15 Valdosta 5-2 70.10 15 Jones County 5-1 61.21
AAAA AAA
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Buford 5-1 78.87 1 Calhoun 7-0 73.36
2 Cartersville 6-0 71.63 2 Blessed Trinity 6-0 71.51
3 Sandy Creek 5-1 71.20 3 Jefferson 7-0 66.83
4 Woodward Academy 6-0 70.15 4 Cedar Grove 5-1 60.10
5 Bainbridge 7-0 67.60 5 Elbert County 6-1 54.47
6 St. Pius X 4-2 63.45 6 Peach County 6-1 50.76
7 Jonesboro 6-1 61.68 7 Central (Carrollton) 6-0 49.74
8 Marist 5-2 60.56 8 Westside (Macon) 6-1 48.99
9 Mary Persons 6-0 58.79 9 Dodge County 7-0 47.99
10 Liberty County 5-2 55.04 10 Adairsville 5-1 47.66
11 Thomson 5-1 54.53 11 Pierce County 5-1 47.01
12 Spalding 6-1 54.17 12 Laney 4-2 44.82
13 Thomas County Central 4-2 53.96 13 Callaway 5-1 44.54
14 Locust Grove 6-0 53.45 14 Cook 5-2 42.23
15 Worth County 3-3 53.34 15 Westminster (Atlanta) 3-3 42.12
AA A
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Benedictine 6-0 72.36 1 Prince Avenue Christian 7-0 57.82
2 Greater Atlanta Christian 6-1 68.87 2 Eagle's Landing Christian 4-3 57.00
3 Fitzgerald 6-0 64.59 3 Mount Paran Christian 6-0 51.99
4 Wesleyan 7-0 51.27 4 Turner County 6-0 50.46
5 Rabun County 6-1 50.34 5 Marion County 5-1 46.42
6 Jefferson County 5-2 47.11 6 Charlton County 4-1 45.78
7 Pace Academy 5-2 46.92 7 Aquinas 6-1 43.71
8 Darlington 7-0 46.23 8 Savannah Christian 5-1 43.39
9 Brooks County 5-2 45.04 9 Irwin County 3-2-1 43.28
10 Lovett 3-4 44.73 10 Clinch County 5-1 42.12
11 Early County 4-2-1 44.26 11 Lincoln County 6-0 41.99
12 Macon County 4-2 44.01 12 Landmark Christian 4-2 40.73
13 Lamar County 4-2 42.85 13 Calvary Day 5-1 40.60
14 Dublin 5-2 39.35 14 Emanuel County Institute 5-1 39.98
15 Model 6-1 38.73 15 Trion 5-1 36.26

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. Please submit errors or omissions through their forums.

Rank Team Region Record Rating Sch Str Rank
1 [1] Colquitt County 1-AAAAAA 7-0 99.80 57.57 29
2 [2] Grayson 8-AAAAAA 7-0 94.27 60.84 20
3 [3] Roswell 5-AAAAAA 6-0 89.40 62.94 18
4 [4] Archer 8-AAAAAA 5-1 88.86 63.21 17
5 [5] Mill Creek 7-AAAAAA 7-0 86.81 52.31 54
6 [6] McEachern 4-AAAAAA 5-1 83.99 64.28 14
7 [7] Camden County 1-AAAAAA 7-0 83.78 58.39 25
8 [8] Peachtree Ridge 7-AAAAAA 5-2 83.36 57.74 28
9 [1] Buford 8-AAAA 5-1 78.87 37.72 186
10 [9] Norcross 7-AAAAAA 7-0 77.73 52.46 52
11 [1] Stephenson 6-Div A-AAAAA 5-1 77.32 40.89 148
12 [2] Mays 6-Div B-AAAAA 6-0 77.28 47.27 96
13 [10] Walton 5-AAAAAA 6-1 76.68 58.87 23
14 [11] Lee County 1-AAAAAA 6-1 75.69 42.50 134
15 [12] Lowndes 1-AAAAAA 4-3 74.79 73.42 3
16 [3] Northside (Warner Robins) 2-AAAAA 6-0 74.68 40.36 158
17 [1] Calhoun 6-AAA 7-0 73.36 35.74 206
18 [1] Benedictine 2-AA 6-0 72.36 39.68 166
19 [2] Cartersville 7-AAAA 6-0 71.63 41.69 144
20 [2] Blessed Trinity 4-Div B-AAA 6-0 71.51 39.28 170
21 [3] Sandy Creek 5-AAAA 5-1 71.20 48.48 83
22 [13] Parkview 8-AAAAAA 4-2 70.69 66.95 7
23 [14] Newton 2-AAAAAA 6-1 70.15 50.51 70
24 [4] Woodward Academy 5-AAAA 6-0 70.15 40.41 156
25 [15] Valdosta 1-AAAAAA 5-2 70.10 54.09 40
26 [4] Creekside 6-Div B-AAAAA 5-2 69.65 58.73 24
27 [16] Etowah 5-AAAAAA 6-1 69.52 53.25 46
28 [5] Allatoona 5-AAAAA 6-1 69.26 50.58 69
29 [2] Greater Atlanta Christian 6-AA 6-1 68.87 42.52 133
30 [6] Coffee 3-AAAAA 6-1 68.44 49.75 75
31 [7] Ware County 3-AAAAA 5-1 68.32 44.13 123
32 [5] Bainbridge 1-Div B-AAAA 7-0 67.60 44.87 119
33 [8] Houston County 2-AAAAA 6-0 67.20 38.10 184
34 [3] Jefferson 8-AAA 7-0 66.83 41.84 140
35 [9] Glynn Academy 3-AAAAA 5-2 66.74 55.04 37
36 [10] Lanier 8-AAAAA 6-0 66.12 47.74 91
37 [11] Northgate 4-Div A-AAAAA 6-0 65.97 35.11 212
38 [12] Stockbridge 4-Div B-AAAAA 6-0 65.89 35.90 203
39 [17] Hughes 3-AAAAAA 3-3 65.56 64.57 11
40 [18] Dacula 8-AAAAAA 4-2 64.96 58.11 26
41 [19] North Cobb 4-AAAAAA 3-4 64.87 64.46 12
42 [3] Fitzgerald 1-AA 6-0 64.59 40.88 149
43 [20] East Coweta 3-AAAAAA 5-1 64.58 49.68 76
44 [13] East Paulding 5-AAAAA 5-1 64.04 53.59 42
45 [21] Brookwood 8-AAAAAA 4-3 63.51 61.77 19
46 [6] St. Pius X 6-AAAA 4-2 63.45 52.35 53
47 [22] Central Gwinnett 8-AAAAAA 4-2 63.32 57.78 27
48 [23] Tucker 2-AAAAAA 4-3 63.00 45.43 115
49 [24] Tift County 1-AAAAAA 5-2 62.94 40.85 150
50 [25] South Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 6-0 62.74 38.26 181
51 [26] Westlake 3-AAAAAA 4-2 62.50 51.74 61
52 [27] North Gwinnett 7-AAAAAA 2-5 62.05 75.58 2
53 [7] Jonesboro 4-Div B-AAAA 6-1 61.68 47.48 94
54 [14] Gainesville 8-AAAAA 4-2 61.58 46.87 99
55 [28] Lassiter 5-AAAAAA 3-3 61.44 63.50 16
56 [15] Jones County 2-AAAAA 5-1 61.21 36.33 201
57 [29] Harrison 4-AAAAAA 5-2 61.01 47.80 89
58 [8] Marist 6-AAAA 5-2 60.56 40.15 160
59 [4] Cedar Grove 4-Div A-AAA 5-1 60.10 30.35 266
60 [30] Collins Hill 7-AAAAAA 4-3 59.88 51.79 60
61 [16] Carver (Columbus) 1-AAAAA 5-1 59.71 47.84 88
62 [17] Alexander 5-AAAAA 5-1 59.57 43.56 126
63 [18] South Paulding 5-AAAAA 4-2 59.54 52.93 47
64 [19] Dalton 7-Div A-AAAAA 5-2 59.50 51.35 64
65 [31] Wheeler 5-AAAAAA 3-4 58.89 60.17 21
66 [9] Mary Persons 2-AAAA 6-0 58.79 40.09 161
67 [32] Lambert 6-AAAAAA 5-1 58.54 45.81 109
68 [33] Newnan 3-AAAAAA 4-2 58.38 53.42 44
69 [34] Hillgrove 4-AAAAAA 4-3 58.11 54.63 39
70 [20] Starr's Mill 4-Div A-AAAAA 6-0 57.93 35.22 210
71 [1] Prince Avenue Christian 8-A 7-0 57.82 22.89 337
72 [21] Carver (Atlanta) 6-Div B-AAAAA 5-2 57.04 42.13 137
73 [2] Eagle's Landing Christian 5-A 4-3 57.00 50.01 74
74 [22] Creekview 7-Div A-AAAAA 4-3 56.06 55.16 35
75 [23] Effingham County 3-AAAAA 5-2 55.95 48.31 85
76 [24] Warner Robins 2-AAAAA 5-1 55.90 33.73 230
77 [35] South Gwinnett 8-AAAAAA 1-6 55.80 72.43 4
78 [25] South Effingham 3-AAAAA 5-1 55.64 45.60 112
79 [26] Kell 7-Div B-AAAAA 4-2 55.38 46.34 104
80 [36] Cherokee 5-AAAAAA 4-2 55.20 46.55 103
81 [10] Liberty County 3-AAAA 5-2 55.04 46.57 102
82 [27] Mundy's Mill 4-Div A-AAAAA 5-2 54.86 35.89 204
83 [37] Milton 5-AAAAAA 1-5 54.70 67.42 6
84 [38] Woodstock 5-AAAAAA 4-3 54.63 50.25 71
85 [11] Thomson 3-AAAA 5-1 54.53 37.38 190
86 [5] Elbert County 8-AAA 6-1 54.47 43.30 127
87 [28] Loganville 8-AAAAA 6-1 54.19 34.89 216
88 [12] Spalding 4-Div B-AAAA 6-1 54.17 36.90 195
89 [29] Cambridge 7-Div B-AAAAA 5-1 53.98 39.42 168
90 [13] Thomas County Central 1-Div A-AAAA 4-2 53.96 41.75 142
91 [39] West Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 4-2 53.85 41.58 145
92 [30] Paulding County 5-AAAAA 4-2 53.65 50.78 66
93 [14] Locust Grove 4-Div A-AAAA 6-0 53.45 31.46 254
94 [15] Worth County 1-Div B-AAAA 3-3 53.34 53.57 43
95 [16] Burke County 3-AAAA 5-2 53.24 46.20 107
96 [17] Carrollton 5-AAAA 3-3 52.35 47.70 92
97 [3] Mount Paran Christian 6-Div A-A 6-0 51.99 18.35 367
98 [40] Alpharetta 6-AAAAAA 3-3 51.83 48.87 82
99 [31] Riverwood 7-Div B-AAAAA 6-1 51.81 29.87 271
100 [41] Lovejoy 2-AAAAAA 3-4 51.65 53.35 45
101 [42] Centennial 6-AAAAAA 3-3 51.56 55.35 32
102 [4] Wesleyan 6-AA 7-0 51.27 28.35 286
103 [6] Peach County 2-AAA 6-1 50.76 30.37 264
104 [32] New Manchester 5-AAAAA 3-3 50.70 51.94 57
105 [33] Rome 7-Div A-AAAAA 3-3 50.67 51.39 62
106 [34] Woodland (Stockbridge) 4-Div B-AAAAA 5-1 50.67 32.32 246
107 [4] Turner County 2-A 6-0 50.46 20.20 349
108 [5] Rabun County 8-AA 6-1 50.34 22.47 339
109 [35] Dutchtown 4-Div B-AAAAA 2-4 50.05 57.19 31
110 [18] West Laurens 2-AAAA 5-2 49.85 40.36 157
111 [7] Central (Carrollton) 5-AAA 6-0 49.74 26.01 307
112 [36] Drew 4-Div A-AAAAA 4-2 49.48 32.92 236
113 [19] Wayne County 3-AAAA 3-5 49.34 53.66 41
114 [37] Sequoyah 7-Div A-AAAAA 2-4 49.08 57.47 30
115 [43] Marietta 4-AAAAAA 1-5 49.06 65.52 10
116 [8] Westside (Macon) 2-AAA 6-1 48.99 32.56 244
117 [20] Eastside 4-Div A-AAAA 4-2 48.85 41.18 146
118 [21] Eagle's Landing 4-Div A-AAAA 4-2 48.84 39.09 172
119 [44] North Paulding 4-AAAAAA 1-6 48.82 64.41 13
120 [22] Stephens County 8-AAAA 5-1 48.40 36.94 194
121 [23] Veterans 2-AAAA 3-3 48.19 50.75 68
122 [24] Upson-Lee 2-AAAA 5-1 48.16 30.74 259
123 [45] Mountain View 7-AAAAAA 1-6 48.12 69.99 5
124 [25] Cairo 1-Div A-AAAA 2-3 48.09 47.80 90
125 [38] Cass 7-Div A-AAAAA 4-3 48.04 45.30 117
126 [39] Miller Grove 6-Div A-AAAAA 4-2 47.99 40.61 153
127 [9] Dodge County 1-Div A-AAA 7-0 47.99 25.24 313
128 [46] Shiloh 8-AAAAAA 0-6 47.71 65.79 8
129 [10] Adairsville 6-AAA 5-1 47.66 32.65 241
130 [26] Monroe 1-Div A-AAAA 3-3 47.30 46.77 100
131 [40] Winder-Barrow 8-AAAAA 3-3 47.24 49.12 79
132 [6] Jefferson County 3-AA 5-2 47.11 36.56 198
133 [11] Pierce County 1-Div A-AAA 5-1 47.01 34.52 220
134 [7] Pace Academy 6-AA 5-2 46.92 37.59 188
135 [5] Marion County 4-A 5-1 46.42 24.86 315
136 [8] Darlington 7-AA 7-0 46.23 26.83 299
137 [6] Charlton County 2-A 4-1 45.78 34.90 215
138 [41] LaGrange 1-AAAAA 3-4 45.60 44.32 121
139 [42] Lakeside (Evans) 2-AAAAA 2-4 45.53 55.29 34
140 [47] Johns Creek 6-AAAAAA 3-3 45.13 48.38 84
141 [27] Arabia Mountain 6-AAAA 3-3 45.07 45.66 110
142 [9] Brooks County 1-AA 5-2 45.04 35.87 205
143 [12] Laney 3-AAA 4-2 44.82 33.78 229
144 [10] Lovett 6-AA 3-4 44.73 43.20 128
145 [13] Callaway 5-AAA 5-1 44.54 31.47 253
146 [11] Early County 1-AA 4-2-1 44.26 32.08 248
147 [43] Flowery Branch 8-AAAAA 4-3 44.21 38.50 179
148 [12] Macon County 4-AA 4-2 44.01 35.90 202
149 [44] Sprayberry 7-Div B-AAAAA 4-3 43.83 39.20 171
150 [7] Aquinas 7-Div B-A 6-1 43.71 16.03 382
151 [45] Salem 8-AAAAA 4-2 43.62 34.32 225
152 [8] Savannah Christian 3-Div A-A 5-1 43.39 24.57 320
153 [9] Irwin County 2-A 3-2-1 43.28 40.80 151
154 [46] Columbus 1-AAAAA 5-2 43.00 37.65 187
155 [48] Douglas County 3-AAAAAA 1-5 42.99 52.74 50
156 [28] Howard 2-AAAA 5-2 42.86 36.39 200
157 [13] Lamar County 4-AA 4-2 42.85 33.03 235
158 [47] Brunswick 3-AAAAA 1-5 42.80 55.09 36
159 [48] Richmond Hill 3-AAAAA 3-3 42.61 45.50 114
160 [29] Griffin 4-Div B-AAAA 3-4 42.42 42.21 135
161 [14] Cook 1-Div A-AAA 5-2 42.23 29.40 274
162 [30] Grady 6-AAAA 3-3 42.19 40.20 159
163 [31] North Hall 8-AAAA 2-4 42.15 50.92 65
164 [10] Clinch County 2-A 5-1 42.12 23.02 334
165 [15] Westminster (Atlanta) 4-Div B-AAA 3-3 42.12 37.02 193
166 [11] Lincoln County 7-Div B-A 6-0 41.99 17.08 375
167 [16] Hart County 8-AAA 4-2 41.90 29.61 272
168 [49] South Cobb 3-AAAAAA 2-4 41.89 47.27 95
169 [17] Jenkins 1-Div B-AAA 4-2 41.83 35.59 209
170 [50] Northview 6-AAAAAA 3-3 41.74 42.07 138
171 [49] M. L. King 6-Div A-AAAAA 2-4 41.31 50.07 73
172 [18] Jackson 2-AAA 4-2 41.30 32.59 242
173 [50] Southwest DeKalb 6-Div A-AAAAA 2-4 41.30 49.55 78
174 [19] Pepperell 5-AAA 5-1 41.25 26.07 306
175 [32] Whitewater 5-AAAA 2-4 41.22 52.25 55
176 [33] Westover 1-Div B-AAAA 1-4 40.74 51.79 59
177 [12] Landmark Christian 5-A 4-2 40.73 30.36 265
178 [13] Calvary Day 3-Div A-A 5-1 40.60 18.47 366
179 [34] North Oconee 8-AAAA 3-3 40.26 38.62 176
180 [20] Spencer 2-AAA 3-3 40.16 41.78 141
181 [21] Central (Macon) 2-AAA 3-3 39.99 38.43 180
182 [14] Emanuel County Institute 3-Div B-A 5-1 39.98 19.82 356
183 [22] Oconee County 8-AAA 5-1 39.51 18.87 364
184 [51] Grovetown 2-AAAAA 4-2 39.50 34.32 224
185 [51] Kennesaw Mountain 4-AAAAAA 2-4 39.46 45.10 118
186 [52] Hiram 5-AAAAA 3-3 39.41 40.06 162
187 [14] Dublin 3-AA 5-2 39.35 29.03 278
188 [53] Tri-Cities 6-Div B-AAAAA 4-2 39.28 32.24 247
189 [54] Statesboro 3-AAAAA 1-5 38.99 52.13 56
190 [35] Baldwin 2-AAAA 3-3 38.79 38.04 185
191 [36] Pickens 7-AAAA 5-1 38.75 28.00 290
192 [15] Model 7-AA 6-1 38.73 25.66 310
193 [23] Appling County 1-Div A-AAA 3-3 38.61 34.51 221
194 [55] Chapel Hill 5-AAAAA 2-4 38.28 46.75 101
195 [56] Ola 4-Div B-AAAAA 3-3 38.28 37.42 189
196 [24] Washington County 3-AAA 1-5 37.71 47.08 97
197 [57] Clarke Central 8-AAAAA 2-4 37.59 40.48 154
198 [16] Hapeville 6-AA 4-3 37.27 32.77 239
199 [37] Columbia 6-AAAA 3-4 36.99 38.71 174
200 [25] Decatur 4-Div B-AAA 4-2 36.45 30.77 258
201 [15] Trion 6-Div A-A 5-1 36.26 16.49 381
202 [58] Villa Rica 5-AAAAA 1-6 36.24 49.67 77
203 [16] Pinecrest Academy 6-Div B-A 5-1 36.10 20.55 345
204 [59] Northside (Columbus) 1-AAAAA 3-2 36.08 36.66 197
205 [38] Lithonia 6-AAAA 4-3 35.99 33.67 231
206 [52] Berkmar 8-AAAAAA 0-7 35.59 75.72 1
207 [53] Pebblebrook 3-AAAAAA 3-3 35.47 35.65 208
208 [26] Jackson County 8-AAA 3-4 35.35 40.62 152
209 [17] Vidalia 2-AA 4-2 35.17 21.10 344
210 [18] Chattooga 7-AA 5-1 35.07 22.55 338
211 [60] Shaw 1-AAAAA 4-3 34.96 32.03 250
212 [61] Harris County 1-AAAAA 2-4 34.96 33.66 232
213 [19] B.E.S.T. Academy 6-AA 2-5 34.89 44.69 120
214 [39] Henry County 4-Div A-AAAA 4-2 34.87 26.49 301
215 [62] Evans 2-AAAAA 2-4 34.87 39.45 167
216 [17] Athens Academy 8-A 5-1 34.86 11.91 397
217 [63] Forsyth Central 7-Div B-AAAAA 2-4 34.67 40.43 155
218 [54] Duluth 7-AAAAAA 1-6 34.54 63.56 15
219 [40] Crisp County 1-Div A-AAAA 2-5 34.49 55.34 33
220 [41] Northwest Whitfield 7-AAAA 5-2 34.20 23.82 328
221 [18] Commerce 8-A 3-3 34.13 33.46 233
222 [42] Perry 2-AAAA 1-6 34.05 48.28 86
223 [20] Screven County 3-AA 6-1 33.98 13.67 390
224 [21] Union County 8-AA 7-0 33.89 8.92 407
225 [55] North Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 1-5 33.84 50.14 72
226 [56] Meadowcreek 7-AAAAAA 2-5 33.76 65.76 9
227 [19] Stratford Academy 7-Div A-A 4-2 33.72 22.92 336
228 [43] Ridgeland 7-AAAA 2-4 33.69 38.12 183
229 [44] Americus-Sumter 1-Div B-AAAA 2-5 33.33 42.80 131
230 [45] Redan 6-AAAA 3-4 33.16 34.16 226
231 [57] Pope 5-AAAAAA 0-6 33.07 59.85 22
232 [46] Heritage (Ringgold) 7-AAAA 4-2 32.99 24.16 326
233 [27] Ringgold 6-AAA 3-3 32.79 30.14 269
234 [47] White County 8-AAAA 1-5 32.77 42.85 130
235 [28] Southeast Bulloch 1-Div B-AAA 3-3 32.76 32.33 245
236 [29] Morgan County 8-AAA 3-3 32.64 29.93 270
237 [64] Luella 4-Div B-AAAAA 2-4 32.30 38.86 173
238 [22] Manchester 5-AA 4-2 32.19 24.89 314
239 [23] Heard County 5-AA 3-3 32.17 28.80 281
240 [30] Dawson County 7-AAA 4-2 32.00 27.20 296
241 [65] Union Grove 4-Div B-AAAAA 1-5 31.97 45.37 116
242 [24] Pelham 1-AA 4-2 31.97 28.54 284
243 [25] Bacon County 2-AA 3-3 31.94 34.66 219
244 [26] Putnam County 4-AA 6-1 31.85 16.67 379
245 [20] Christian Heritage 6-Div A-A 4-3 31.66 30.61 261
246 [27] Metter 3-AA 4-2 31.35 29.30 276
247 [31] Sonoraville 6-AAA 4-3 30.66 22.93 335
248 [32] Brantley County 1-Div A-AAA 3-3 30.50 26.42 302
249 [28] Thomasville 1-AA 1-5 30.20 46.91 98
250 [58] Chattahoochee 6-AAAAAA 0-6 30.17 50.77 67
251 [48] Monroe Area 8-AAAA 2-4 30.07 42.19 136
252 [66] North Atlanta 7-Div B-AAAAA 3-4 29.83 39.93 163
253 [49] Fayette County 5-AAAA 1-5 29.78 44.22 122
254 [29] Dade County 7-AA 3-3 29.75 38.23 182
255 [67] Druid Hills 6-Div A-AAAAA 3-3 29.58 28.60 283
256 [30] Bowdon 5-AA 2-4 29.56 34.50 223
257 [68] Cedar Shoals 8-AAAAA 1-5 29.45 47.50 93
258 [21] Wilkinson County 7-Div A-A 4-2 29.23 23.83 327
259 [22] Brookstone 4-A 3-3 29.21 29.46 273
260 [23] Pacelli 4-A 5-2 28.87 18.13 369
261 [31] Washington-Wilkes 8-AA 2-4 28.62 34.84 217
262 [24] Mount Pisgah Christian 6-Div B-A 3-3 28.54 31.01 256
263 [50] Walnut Grove 4-Div A-AAAA 2-4 28.30 35.21 211
264 [25] Dooly County 4-A 3-3 28.01 26.11 305
265 [33] Douglass 4-Div B-AAA 4-2 27.67 20.49 346
266 [34] Tattnall County 1-Div A-AAA 3-4 27.58 31.87 251
267 [69] McIntosh 4-Div A-AAAAA 2-5 27.49 41.72 143
268 [32] Swainsboro 3-AA 3-3 27.38 28.86 279
269 [51] Troup 5-AAAA 0-6 27.32 52.78 49
270 [52] Riverdale 4-Div B-AAAA 4-2 27.29 22.27 340
271 [70] Bradwell Institute 3-AAAAA 0-6 27.23 55.02 38
272 [35] East Hall 7-AAA 2-4 27.12 31.81 252
273 [33] Berrien 1-AA 1-5 27.00 40.96 147
274 [71] Banneker 6-Div B-AAAAA 0-6 26.48 52.89 48
275 [59] Rockdale County 2-AAAAAA 1-6 26.48 51.89 58
276 [34] McIntosh County Academy 2-AA 2-4 26.26 35.68 207
277 [26] Twiggs County 7-Div A-A 3-3 25.91 27.45 294
278 [36] Franklin County 7-AAA 3-3 25.83 26.99 297
279 [35] Bleckley County 4-AA 1-5 25.70 38.70 175
280 [37] North Clayton 4-Div A-AAA 2-4 25.30 31.33 255
281 [27] Telfair County 2-A 3-3 25.30 23.35 332
282 [36] Jeff Davis 2-AA 4-2 24.99 19.29 362
283 [60] Lakeside (Atlanta) 2-AAAAAA 3-4 24.75 28.00 289
284 [72] Woodland (Cartersville) 7-Div A-AAAAA 1-5 24.54 42.56 132
285 [28] Mount Zion (Carroll) 6-Div A-A 5-2 24.46 10.07 403
286 [38] Maynard Jackson 4-Div A-AAA 2-4 24.29 34.94 214
287 [29] Fellowship Christian 6-Div B-A 3-3 24.13 20.32 347
288 [37] Bremen 5-AA 3-3 23.85 23.74 329
289 [61] Campbell 3-AAAAAA 2-4 23.56 32.67 240
290 [38] Greene County 8-AA 3-4 23.54 28.06 288
291 [39] Gordon Lee 7-AA 4-3 23.39 17.28 374
292 [39] Southwest 2-AAA 3-3 23.10 28.47 285
293 [62] Habersham Central 6-AAAAAA 0-6 22.91 52.52 51
294 [73] Cross Creek 2-AAAAA 1-5 22.89 46.30 105
295 [63] Alcovy 2-AAAAAA 1-6 22.86 45.81 108
296 [40] Holy Innocents 6-AA 2-5 22.58 36.89 196
297 [30] Hawkinsville 4-A 4-3 22.54 19.38 361
298 [40] Banks County 7-AAA 4-2 22.26 16.61 380
299 [41] Therrell 4-Div B-AAA 3-3 22.23 27.68 292
300 [42] West Hall 7-AAA 2-4 22.01 26.87 298
301 [43] Washington 4-Div B-AAA 1-5 21.73 32.59 243
302 [31] Johnson County 3-Div B-A 3-4 21.54 27.24 295
303 [53] Mount Zion (Jonesboro) 4-Div B-AAAA 1-6 21.46 39.75 165
304 [32] Miller County 1-A 3-3 21.33 25.68 309
305 [54] Southeast Whitfield 7-AAAA 4-3 21.24 13.65 391
306 [41] Bryan County 2-AA 2-4 20.96 26.68 300
307 [42] Seminole County 1-AA 1-5 20.75 30.81 257
308 [33] Hancock Central 7-Div B-A 3-4 20.62 24.29 324
309 [55] Gilmer 7-AAAA 1-5 20.60 35.01 213
310 [43] Coosa 7-AA 1-5 20.56 36.53 199
311 [74] Heritage (Conyers) 8-AAAAA 0-6 20.54 43.03 129
312 [44] Jordan 2-AAA 2-5 20.47 32.84 238
313 [56] Chamblee 6-AAAA 2-4 20.38 28.15 287
314 [44] Long County 2-AA 2-4 20.30 27.65 293
315 [34] Athens Christian 8-A 3-4 19.91 23.57 330
316 [35] First Presbyterian 7-Div A-A 2-4 19.77 24.45 322
317 [75] Apalachee 8-AAAAA 0-6 19.57 48.16 87
318 [45] Kendrick 2-AAA 2-4 19.44 33.92 227
319 [64] Osborne 4-AAAAAA† 1-5 19.38 37.31 191
320 [36] Greenville 4-A 3-3 19.31 20.31 348
321 [76] Richmond Academy 2-AAAAA 1-5 19.08 48.91 81
322 [77] Lithia Springs 5-AAAAA 0-6 19.04 45.66 111
323 [46] Fannin County 7-AAA 3-3 18.93 17.95 370
324 [78] North Springs 7-Div B-AAAAA 1-5 18.64 43.86 124
325 [57] Dougherty 1-Div B-AAAA 3-2 18.52 17.44 372
326 [37] Savannah Country Day 3-Div A-A 2-4 18.45 25.93 308
327 [38] Treutlen 3-Div B-A 5-2 18.28 10.98 401
328 [47] Cedartown 5-AAA 0-6 18.24 34.80 218
329 [48] Josey 3-AAA 5-2 18.20 11.68 398
330 [49] Beach 1-Div B-AAA 3-4 18.17 25.65 311
331 [50] Towers 4-Div A-AAA 1-5 18.13 34.51 222
332 [45] East Laurens 3-AA 4-2 18.11 16.94 376
333 [79] Greenbrier 2-AAAAA 1-5 18.04 45.54 113
334 [39] Atkinson County 2-A 2-4 17.94 24.70 319
335 [80] Dunwoody 6-Div A-AAAAA 2-4 17.40 32.06 249
336 [51] Rockmart 5-AAA 1-5 17.16 29.13 277
337 [52] Lumpkin County 7-AAA 2-5 16.29 23.42 331
338 [40] Tattnall Square 7-Div A-A 3-3 15.71 15.47 385
339 [81] River Ridge 7-Div A-AAAAA 0-6 15.40 38.56 177
340 [41] Mitchell County 1-A 2-4 15.26 24.22 325
341 [58] Madison County 8-AAAA 1-5 15.09 27.99 291
342 [82] Forest Park 4-Div A-AAAAA 0-6 14.96 51.38 63
343 [42] George Walton Academy 8-A 3-3 14.66 11.48 399
344 [53] North Murray 6-AAA 2-4 14.48 24.37 323
345 [43] Taylor County 4-A 2-4 14.43 17.55 371
346 [54] Toombs County 1-Div A-AAA 1-5 13.91 33.30 234
347 [59] Pike County 4-Div B-AAAA 0-6 13.75 43.64 125
348 [44] Walker 6-Div A-A 3-4 13.73 24.75 316
349 [55] McNair 4-Div A-AAA 1-5 13.14 29.35 275
350 [45] Mount de Sales 7-Div A-A 2-4 12.69 20.17 351
351 [46] Harlem 3-AA 2-5 12.55 24.73 317
352 [56] Savannah 1-Div B-AAA 2-5 12.48 28.84 280
353 [60] New Hampstead 3-AAAA† 5-2 12.17 2.64 412
354 [61] Johnson (Gainesville) 8-AAAA† 2-5 11.79 19.99 353
355 [46] Randolph-Clay 1-A 4-3 11.78 11.95 396
356 [47] Wilcox County 2-A 2-4 11.62 19.99 354
357 [83] Hardaway 1-AAAAA 1-6 11.10 33.84 228
358 [57] Butler 3-AAA 3-3 10.96 16.71 378
359 [58] Rutland 2-AAA 1-6 10.79 30.48 262
360 [59] Murray County 6-AAA 3-3 10.79 12.29 395
361 [47] Monticello 4-AA 0-7 10.42 30.31 268
362 [48] Terrell County 1-A 2-4 10.41 28.71 282
363 [49] King's Ridge Christian 6-Div B-A 1-5 10.27 30.38 263
364 [50] North Cobb Christian 6-Div A-A† 4-2 9.80 2.31 413
365 [48] Crawford County 4-AA† 6-2 9.59 -0.22 415
366 [49] Northeast 4-AA 0-6 9.16 30.32 267
367 [51] Our Lady of Mercy 5-A 3-4 9.09 14.78 386
368 [52] Hebron Christian Academy 8-A 5-2 8.73 -0.47 416
369 [53] Jenkins County 3-Div A-A 2-4 8.65 13.21 393
370 [54] Warren County 7-Div B-A 2-5 8.53 20.18 350
371 [55] Portal 3-Div A-A 1-5 8.52 19.78 359
372 [84] Morrow 4-Div A-AAAAA 0-7 8.49 46.25 106
373 [60] Haralson County 5-AAA 1-5 8.21 19.80 357
374 [56] Whitefield Academy 6-Div B-A 1-5 7.02 19.76 360
375 [50] Riverside Military Academy 8-AA 1-5 6.52 25.41 312
376 [61] South Atlanta 4-Div A-AAA 0-6 6.23 26.19 304
377 [51] Temple 5-AA 3-3 6.02 8.03 408
378 [62] Albany 1-Div A-AAAA 0-7 5.44 30.68 260
379 [57] Claxton 3-Div A-A 1-5 5.44 19.87 355
380 [52] Social Circle 8-AA 2-4 4.97 21.36 343
381 [58] Central (Talbotton) 4-A 3-4 4.96 12.50 394
382 [62] Johnson (Savannah) 1-Div B-AAA 1-5 4.92 19.79 358
383 [63] Hephzibah 3-AAA 2-4 4.67 9.52 404
384 [63] LaFayette 7-AAAA 1-5 3.77 24.72 318
385 [64] Chestatee 8-AAAA 0-6 3.64 37.28 192
386 [59] Wheeler County 3-Div B-A 2-4 3.53 13.49 392
387 [64] Westside (Augusta) 3-AAA 1-6 3.12 23.20 333
388 [60] Strong Rock Christian 5-A 1-5 2.99 15.56 383
389 [53] Chattahoochee County 5-AA 2-4 2.55 6.22 410
390 [65] Stone Mountain 6-AAAA 0-6 1.52 42.01 139
391 [61] Lanier County 2-A 1-5 1.50 19.07 363
392 [54] Oglethorpe County 8-AA 0-7 0.47 39.80 164
393 [65] East Jackson 8-AAA 1-6 0.44 24.46 321
394 [66] Hampton 4-Div A-AAAA 0-6 0.43 49.00 80
395 [62] St. Francis 6-Div B-A 1-5 -0.90 14.40 388
396 [67] Windsor Forest 3-AAAA 1-5 -0.94 21.96 341
397 [66] Glenn Hills 3-AAA 0-7 -1.33 38.50 178
398 [55] K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate 6-AA 0-7 -1.51 32.87 237
399 [56] Armuchee 7-AA 1-6 -1.84 26.37 303
400 [63] Georgia Military College 7-Div B-A 1-5 -3.19 18.77 365
401 [67] Islands 1-Div B-AAA 1-5 -3.42 21.37 342
402 [57] Groves 2-AA 0-6 -5.46 15.53 384
403 [64] Baconton 1-A 2-5 -5.48 9.27 406
404 [65] Mount Vernon Presbyterian 5-A 2-4 -5.72 0.10 414
405 [85] Clarkston 6-Div A-AAAAA† 0-6 -6.96 39.32 169
406 [68] Coahulla Creek 6-AAA 2-4 -7.38 3.11 411
407 [66] Lakeview Academy 8-A 2-4 -7.50 -2.13 417
408 [67] Montgomery County 3-Div B-A 0-7 -8.01 20.09 352
409 [68] Towns County 8-A 1-6 -9.88 14.14 389
410 [69] Schley County 4-A 0-6 -10.77 17.32 373
411 [70] Calhoun County 1-A 0-7 -11.59 18.26 368
412 [69] Gordon Central 6-AAA 1-6 -17.13 16.71 377
413 [71] Glascock County 7-Div B-A† 0-7 -21.57 10.09 402
414 [72] Providence Christian 8-A 0-6 -22.52 6.27 409
415 [70] Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe 6-AAA 0-7 -23.75 14.62 387
416 [73] Stewart County 1-A† 0-7 -27.59 11.13 400
417 [68] Cross Keys 6-AAAA† 0-3 -28.27 9.29 405
†-Plays non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the rating required to win 80% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, and its “Average Rating”, which is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Competitive Average
1 1 - AAAAAA 95.31 77.12
2 8 - AAAAAA 86.18 64.39
3 7 - AAAAAA 84.27 61.16
4 5 - AAAAAA 80.69 61.26
5 4 - AAAAAA 73.85 57.12
6 5 - AAAA 70.93 48.09
7 3 - AAAAA 70.89 52.21
8 6 - AAAAA 69.49 46.50
6 - Div B - AAAAA 76.66 54.89
6 - Div A - AAAAA 60.15 40.86
9 3 - AAAAAA 68.83 50.06
10 5 - AAAAA 68.21 49.81
11 2 - AAAAA 67.24 43.62
12 2 - AAAAAA 67.00 42.18
13 4 - AAAAA 63.49 43.30
4 - Div A - AAAAA 64.16 41.96
4 - Div B - AAAAA 62.70 44.31
14 6 - AAAAAA 63.10 45.72
15 8 - AAAAA 62.16 42.61
16 3 - AAAA 61.72 47.95
17 2 - AAAA 61.26 45.79
18 7 - AAAAA 61.22 43.51
7 - Div A - AAAAA 62.83 45.32
7 - Div B - AAAAA 59.46 41.80
19 1 - AAAA 60.88 41.56
1 - Div B - AAAA 63.81 42.46
1 - Div A - AAAA 58.26 40.75
20 8 - AAA 60.33 40.08
21 6 - AA 59.86 39.67
22 4 - AAAA 57.69 37.42
4 - Div B - AAAA 58.74 36.31
4 - Div A - AAAA 56.77 38.40
23 6 - AAAA 57.03 38.56
24 1 - AA 56.29 36.62
25 1 - AAAAA 56.17 38.50
26 8 - AAAA 55.88 35.52
27 7 - AAAA 51.90 30.72
28 4 - AAA 51.76 28.25
4 - Div B - AAA 57.34 34.37
4 - Div A - AAA 44.52 21.86
29 2 - AAA 51.68 33.12
30 2 - A 50.99 30.70
31 5 - AAA 50.59 29.97
32 5 - A 49.58 17.00
33 2 - AA 48.35 26.76
34 6 - AAA 48.17 16.93
35 1 - AAA 47.61 28.20
1 - Div A - AAA 52.65 36.00
1 - Div B - AAA 38.15 17.15
36 3 - AA 47.15 30.10
37 7 - AA 46.24 28.60
38 4 - AA 44.38 27.65
39 8 - AA 42.22 20.54
40 6 - A 41.89 23.96
6 - Div A - A 47.10 31.31
6 - Div B - A 36.07 17.50
41 8 - A 40.48 14.04
42 7 - A 39.87 22.67
7 - Div B - A 41.91 22.37
7 - Div A - A 38.32 22.82
43 4 - A 39.60 21.14
44 3 - A 39.07 17.33
3 - Div A - A 41.70 19.31
3 - Div B - A 35.71 14.94
45 5 - AA 38.92 21.90
46 3 - AAA 38.34 14.98
47 7 - AAA 38.06 23.47
48 1 - A 22.27 7.55

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
08/28 Richmond Academy Westside (Augusta) 20 - 27 18.02 85.8% 0.207
09/25 Swainsboro Harlem 27 - 34 16.89 84.4% 0.223
09/25 Westminster (Atlanta) Therrell 23 - 25 17.83 85.6% 0.234
08/28 Southeast Whitfield Murray County 21 - 35 12.51 77.7% 0.267
09/04 Bryan County Claxton 7 - 13 13.46 79.3% 0.279
09/18 Pacelli Greenville 12 - 22 11.62 76.2% 0.294
09/11 Jonesboro Eagle's Landing 7 - 17 10.79 74.6% 0.308
09/04 Pierce County Bacon County 40 - 41 13.00 78.6% 0.310
09/11 Northwest Whitfield Southeast Whitfield 12 - 21 10.90 74.8% 0.310
08/28 Druid Hills Chamblee 12 - 19 11.26 75.5% 0.311
09/18 Dalton Cass 8 - 23 9.39 71.9% 0.319
09/11 Macon County Perry 33 - 34 12.02 76.9% 0.326
08/28 Sandy Creek Jonesboro 15 - 17 11.58 76.1% 0.327
10/09 Bacon County Bryan County 14 - 28 8.92 70.9% 0.331
08/28 Putnam County Greene County 33 - 38 10.38 73.8% 0.334

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
90.21 09/11 Grayson Archer 26 - 24 7.47 67.9%
87.38 11/06 Colquitt County Camden County - 13.96 80.2%
84.72 08/29 Archer Peachtree Ridge 26 - 10 7.56 68.1%
84.34 11/06 Mill Creek Peachtree Ridge - 5.51 63.4%
83.62 09/11 Peachtree Ridge McEachern 9 - 6 1.43 53.6%
80.23 10/23 Peachtree Ridge Norcross - 3.57 58.8%
80.17 09/04 McEachern Buford 37 - 14 7.18 67.2%
79.34 10/30 Mill Creek Norcross - 11.14 75.3%
78.84 10/30 Camden County Lee County - 6.03 64.6%
78.42 10/09 Colquitt County Lee County 54 - 17 22.05 90.1%
78.16 10/02 Roswell Walton 48 - 14 14.79 81.4%
77.41 10/02 Colquitt County Lowndes 42 - 20 22.95 90.8%
76.40 10/09 Camden County Lowndes 38 - 19 11.05 75.1%
76.09 08/21 Roswell Lowndes 35 - 8 16.68 84.1%
75.21 10/16 Lowndes Lee County - 1.16 52.9%

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