- Valdosta tops AAAAAA in the only other change among number one teams. The Wildcats move into the top spot off the strength of a 38-13 plowing of cross-town rival Lowndes, also becoming the first high school football program in the country to earn 900 victories. The previous top team in AAAAAA, Allatoona, was dropped 30-14 by Cartersville, the highest rated team in AAAA.

- Buford retains the highest rating in AAAAA in spite of a 24-7 loss to Roswell, the number three team in AAAAAAA. Buford has been Georgia's most consistently successful program for more than two decades and started with a rating well ahead of any other team in their classification. As the season progresses, consideration for their historical performance will diminish, but for now the math says they are still the team to beat in AAAAA.

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 73.73%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 125 of 128 total games including 1 tie(s) (98.05%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 14.97 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

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Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Home Advantage: 1.50

By Class

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. Please submit errors or omissions through their forums.

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the rating required to win 80% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, and its “Average Rating”, which is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.