Sports

Maxwell Week 9 Summary: Best season tickets?

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 19, 2015

The Maxwell Ratings will rank Georgia's 417 teams throughout the 2015 season. The ratings are based entirely on historical performance and on field results and do not consider personnel changes on the roster or coaching staffs.

Interesting results from this past week:

- Relatively little movement in the ratings this week.  Clinch County jumped from tenth to fourth in Class A with a 30-16 win over previously undefeated Turner County and in Class AAAAA Jones County's 24-17 defeat of previously undefeated Houston County boosted them from fifteenth to eighth while Northgate rose to fifth after improving to 7-0 for only the second time in the school's history.

- Using the matchup ratings for each game (see the bottom of the post for the top matchups of the regular season), it's possible to determine which teams offer the best regular seasons to their fans.  The matchup ratings favor games with highly rated and closely matched opponents and so is a combination of each team's rating and their schedule strength. By this method, Lowndes comes in as the best team to follow.  Not only do their fans get to watch the Class AAAAAA #9 Viking week in and week out, but their opponents include all Region 1-AAAAAA teams (#1 Colquitt County, #6 Camden County, and #14 Lee County) as well as probable region 5-AAAAAA and 2-AAAAAA champions #3 Roswell and #13 Newton.

Below are the top regular seasons for each class.

AAAAAA AAAAA
Season Team Rec Rate [Rnk] Sch [Rnk] Season Team Rec Rate [Rnk] Sch [Rnk]
67.87 Lowndes 5-3 77.69 [9] 68.67 [1] 51.69 Glynn Academy 5-2 63.32 [9] 51.14 [5]
63.84 Camden County 8-0 82.43 [6] 62.76 [6] 49.85 Creekside 6-2 68.01 [4] 48.96 [7]
62.83 Peachtree Ridge 5-2 81.32 [7] 62.74 [7] 48.83 Effingham County 6-2 58.06 [16] 48.86 [8]
62.25 Colquitt County 8-0 99.03 [1] 61.31 [11] 46.74 Ware County 5-2 62.39 [12] 45.73 [18]
59.49 Archer 6-1 88.70 [4] 58.34 [18] 46.23 Allatoona 7-1 65.72 [7] 44.88 [22]
58.46 Grayson 8-0 94.51 [2] 58.06 [19] 45.99 Creekview 5-3 53.46 [25] 47.39 [13]
58.34 Dacula 5-2 63.38 [17] 63.79 [5] 45.98 East Paulding 6-1 61.28 [14] 44.38 [25]
57.78 Roswell 7-0 93.31 [3] 57.35 [22] 45.70 South Effingham 6-1 56.08 [20] 45.66 [19]
57.62 Mill Creek 7-0 84.26 [5] 56.49 [24] 45.48 South Paulding 5-2 56.30 [18] 44.71 [23]
57.61 Parkview 5-2 69.69 [12] 58.36 [17] 44.92 Coffee 7-1 66.37 [6] 43.51 [31]
57.34 Norcross 7-0 74.28 [11] 55.96 [26] 44.44 Alexander 6-1 55.87 [21] 43.95 [28]
56.97 Valdosta 5-3 66.40 [16] 60.78 [12] 43.94 Mays 7-0 76.68 [2] 42.81 [35]
56.88 McEachern 6-1 81.23 [8] 55.55 [28] 43.92 Paulding County 5-2 52.03 [28] 44.53 [24]
56.33 Brookwood 4-4 58.55 [27] 66.15 [3] 42.22 Lanier 7-0 63.18 [10] 40.59 [42]
55.69 Central Gwinnett 4-3 59.78 [23] 59.19 [15] 42.19 Kell 5-2 53.55 [24] 40.60 [41]
AAAA AAA
Season Team Rec Rate [Rnk] Sch [Rnk] Season Team Rec Rate [Rnk] Sch [Rnk]
44.75 Burke County 6-2 52.14 [13] 44.66 [12] 38.83 Jefferson 8-0 65.68 [3] 37.38 [1]
44.04 Sandy Creek 6-1 67.28 [3] 42.07 [14] 38.44 Elbert County 6-1 52.36 [5] 36.77 [2]
43.66 Worth County 4-3 52.30 [12] 45.06 [9] 36.38 Blessed Trinity 7-0 67.03 [2] 35.12 [5]
43.50 Veterans 4-3 46.54 [21] 45.70 [8] 34.66 Pierce County 6-1 45.78 [8] 32.80 [11]
42.40 Mary Persons 7-0 57.67 [9] 40.10 [19] 34.19 Hart County 5-2 43.48 [13] 35.28 [4]
41.88 Liberty County 5-3 50.90 [15] 42.55 [13] 33.25 Westminster (Atlanta) 3-4 38.23 [21] 35.66 [3]
41.56 Wayne County 3-5 45.47 [23] 51.86 [1] 33.14 Westside (Macon) 6-1 47.75 [7] 31.92 [15]
41.34 Carrollton 4-3 49.95 [16] 45.85 [7] 32.02 Spencer 4-3 39.04 [20] 33.49 [10]
40.86 Cairo 3-3 48.54 [18] 41.03 [18] 32.00 Peach County 6-2 44.90 [10] 30.77 [20]
40.62 Bainbridge 8-0 65.36 [5] 38.98 [24] 31.58 Cook 6-2 43.69 [12] 31.51 [16]
40.59 Thomson 6-1 59.27 [6] 38.53 [26] 30.65 Central (Macon) 4-3 39.33 [18] 29.95 [22]
40.41 Jonesboro 7-1 59.20 [7] 39.27 [22] 29.13 Jackson 5-2 42.97 [14] 29.17 [27]
40.40 Woodward Academy 7-0 66.79 [4] 39.39 [21] 29.02 Dodge County 7-0 45.07 [9] 27.02 [30]
40.20 St. Pius X 5-2 59.01 [8] 39.11 [23] 28.78 Appling County 3-4 32.00 [25] 34.81 [6]
39.14 Thomas County Central 4-3 46.06 [22] 41.10 [17] 28.34 Callaway 6-1 41.17 [16] 27.02 [30]
AA A
Season Team Rec Rate [Rnk] Sch [Rnk] Season Team Rec Rate [Rnk] Sch [Rnk]
38.67 Greater Atlanta Christian 6-1 65.06 [2] 37.32 [6] 31.63 Irwin County 4-2-1 42.60 [8] 31.67 [1]
37.36 Fitzgerald 6-1 56.43 [3] 35.56 [8] 30.98 Eagle's Landing Christian 4-3 53.15 [2] 30.83 [2]
36.81 Brooks County 6-2 49.66 [5] 36.71 [7] 28.17 Charlton County 5-1 42.79 [6] 27.13 [5]
35.68 Lovett 4-4 40.73 [12] 40.59 [2] 27.01 Clinch County 6-1 47.47 [4] 25.60 [8]
30.42 Macon County 5-2 42.34 [11] 29.60 [17] 26.05 Christian Heritage 4-4 28.77 [20] 27.83 [3]
30.30 Pace Academy 5-2 42.80 [10] 29.68 [15] 21.65 Turner County 6-1 44.93 [5] 20.84 [17]
30.10 Wesleyan 7-0 47.50 [7] 28.77 [22] 20.70 Mount Paran Christian 7-0 49.25 [3] 19.52 [23]
29.91 Jefferson County 5-2 47.56 [6] 29.09 [20] 19.90 Wilkinson County 5-2 27.33 [21] 19.59 [22]
29.50 Benedictine 7-0 68.34 [1] 29.12 [19] 19.64 Twiggs County 3-4 22.31 [28] 23.84 [11]
29.01 Early County 5-2-1 43.33 [8] 29.65 [16] 19.58 Stratford Academy 5-2 33.20 [18] 19.16 [25]
28.00 B.E.S.T. Academy 2-5 31.36 [22] 37.41 [5] 19.17 Landmark Christian 5-2 37.31 [13] 19.70 [20]
27.70 Berrien 2-5 28.53 [26] 37.58 [4] 18.95 Telfair County 4-3 26.09 [22] 23.31 [12]
27.11 Dublin 6-2 38.09 [14] 26.32 [26] 18.76 Mount Pisgah Christian 3-4 25.19 [25] 22.98 [13]
26.77 Lamar County 5-2 39.78 [13] 26.17 [27] 18.34 Brookstone 4-3 25.79 [24] 19.35 [24]
24.58 Model 7-1 37.09 [16] 22.96 [41] 17.69 Pinecrest Academy 6-1 33.42 [17] 16.49 [37]

Maxwell GHSA Football Ratings

As this season's games are played, the Maxwell Ratings will be based on a modified logistic regression of the current football season's results in combination with each team's historical performance. More recent games and games against similarly rated opponents carry more weight and the weight of each team's historical performance diminishes as the team's season progresses.

The current total weight of all team's historical performance is 4.61%.

For the current season, the ratings accurately account for the winner of 1,378 of 1,480 total games including 1 tie(s) (93.14%) and accurately reflect approximately 68.3% of all game margins within 12.62 points.

The ratings are scaled so that 100.00 is the rating required to win 91.5% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against all teams in the highest classification. The schedule strength is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin tournament against a particular team's opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Home Advantage: 2.19

By Class

AAAAAA AAAAA
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Colquitt County 8-0 99.03 1 Stephenson 6-1 78.05
2 Grayson 8-0 94.51 2 Mays 7-0 76.68
3 Roswell 7-0 93.31 3 Northside (Warner Robins) 7-0 75.61
4 Archer 6-1 88.70 4 Creekside 6-2 68.01
5 Mill Creek 7-0 84.26 5 Northgate 7-0 67.49
6 Camden County 8-0 82.43 6 Coffee 7-1 66.37
7 Peachtree Ridge 5-2 81.32 7 Allatoona 7-1 65.72
8 McEachern 6-1 81.23 8 Jones County 6-1 64.72
9 Lowndes 5-3 77.69 9 Glynn Academy 5-2 63.32
10 Walton 7-1 76.28 10 Lanier 7-0 63.18
11 Norcross 7-0 74.28 11 Stockbridge 7-0 62.86
12 Parkview 5-2 69.69 12 Ware County 5-2 62.39
13 Newton 6-1 69.43 13 Houston County 6-1 61.35
14 Lee County 6-2 68.81 14 East Paulding 6-1 61.28
15 Etowah 7-1 67.70 15 Starr's Mill 7-0 58.97
AAAA AAA
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Buford 6-1 72.48 1 Calhoun 7-0 70.50
2 Cartersville 7-0 69.51 2 Blessed Trinity 7-0 67.03
3 Sandy Creek 6-1 67.28 3 Jefferson 8-0 65.68
4 Woodward Academy 7-0 66.79 4 Cedar Grove 6-1 57.39
5 Bainbridge 8-0 65.36 5 Elbert County 6-1 52.36
6 Thomson 6-1 59.27 6 Central (Carrollton) 7-0 50.48
7 Jonesboro 7-1 59.20 7 Westside (Macon) 6-1 47.75
8 St. Pius X 5-2 59.01 8 Pierce County 6-1 45.78
9 Mary Persons 7-0 57.67 9 Dodge County 7-0 45.07
10 Marist 6-2 56.00 10 Peach County 6-2 44.90
11 Locust Grove 7-0 55.38 11 Adairsville 6-1 44.55
12 Worth County 4-3 52.30 12 Cook 6-2 43.69
13 Burke County 6-2 52.14 13 Hart County 5-2 43.48
14 Spalding 6-1 51.85 14 Jackson 5-2 42.97
15 Liberty County 5-3 50.90 15 Laney 5-2 42.21
AA A
Rank Team Record Rating Rank Team Record Rating
1 Benedictine 7-0 68.34 1 Prince Avenue Christian 8-0 59.67
2 Greater Atlanta Christian 6-1 65.06 2 Eagle's Landing Christian 4-3 53.15
3 Fitzgerald 6-1 56.43 3 Mount Paran Christian 7-0 49.25
4 Rabun County 7-1 51.81 4 Clinch County 6-1 47.47
5 Brooks County 6-2 49.66 5 Turner County 6-1 44.93
6 Jefferson County 5-2 47.56 6 Charlton County 5-1 42.79
7 Wesleyan 7-0 47.50 7 Aquinas 6-1 42.78
8 Early County 5-2-1 43.33 8 Irwin County 4-2-1 42.60
9 Darlington 7-0 43.24 9 Marion County 6-1 41.77
10 Pace Academy 5-2 42.80 10 Savannah Christian 6-1 40.52
11 Macon County 5-2 42.34 11 Calvary Day 6-1 37.80
12 Lovett 4-4 40.73 12 Lincoln County 7-0 37.44
13 Lamar County 5-2 39.78 13 Landmark Christian 5-2 37.31
14 Dublin 6-2 38.09 14 Emanuel County Institute 6-1 37.11
15 Screven County 7-1 37.23 15 Athens Academy 6-1 36.16

All-Class

Classification rankings are shown in [brackets]. Each team links to its page at the Georgia High School Football Historians Association. Please submit errors or omissions through their forums.

Rank Team Region Record Rating Sch Str Rank
1 [1] Colquitt County 1-AAAAAA 8-0 99.03 57.58 19
2 [2] Grayson 8-AAAAAA 8-0 94.51 56.99 24
3 [3] Roswell 5-AAAAAA 7-0 93.31 57.77 18
4 [4] Archer 8-AAAAAA 6-1 88.70 57.25 23
5 [5] Mill Creek 7-AAAAAA 7-0 84.26 50.05 48
6 [6] Camden County 1-AAAAAA 8-0 82.43 57.31 22
7 [7] Peachtree Ridge 7-AAAAAA 5-2 81.32 54.75 29
8 [8] McEachern 4-AAAAAA 6-1 81.23 58.52 17
9 [1] Stephenson 6-Div A-AAAAA 6-1 78.05 34.04 192
10 [9] Lowndes 1-AAAAAA 5-3 77.69 71.75 3
11 [2] Mays 6-Div B-AAAAA 7-0 76.68 40.89 128
12 [10] Walton 5-AAAAAA 7-1 76.28 54.47 30
13 [3] Northside (Warner Robins) 2-AAAAA 7-0 75.61 41.67 119
14 [11] Norcross 7-AAAAAA 7-0 74.28 49.40 50
15 [1] Buford 8-AAAA 6-1 72.48 30.63 227
16 [1] Calhoun 6-AAA 7-0 70.50 31.99 214
17 [12] Parkview 8-AAAAAA 5-2 69.69 60.75 12
18 [2] Cartersville 7-AAAA 7-0 69.51 35.41 180
19 [13] Newton 2-AAAAAA 6-1 69.43 48.48 58
20 [14] Lee County 1-AAAAAA 6-2 68.81 45.79 79
21 [1] Benedictine 2-AA 7-0 68.34 36.22 172
22 [4] Creekside 6-Div B-AAAAA 6-2 68.01 52.62 36
23 [15] Etowah 5-AAAAAA 7-1 67.70 50.47 43
24 [5] Northgate 4-Div A-AAAAA 7-0 67.49 28.66 252
25 [3] Sandy Creek 5-AAAA 6-1 67.28 39.23 143
26 [2] Blessed Trinity 4-Div B-AAA 7-0 67.03 38.65 146
27 [4] Woodward Academy 5-AAAA 7-0 66.79 34.52 187
28 [16] Valdosta 1-AAAAAA 5-3 66.40 55.01 28
29 [6] Coffee 3-AAAAA 7-1 66.37 46.75 70
30 [7] Allatoona 5-AAAAA 7-1 65.72 44.57 90
31 [3] Jefferson 8-AAA 8-0 65.68 36.02 174
32 [5] Bainbridge 1-Div B-AAAA 8-0 65.36 39.71 138
33 [2] Greater Atlanta Christian 6-AA 6-1 65.06 38.45 149
34 [8] Jones County 2-AAAAA 6-1 64.72 37.02 166
35 [17] Dacula 8-AAAAAA 5-2 63.38 55.08 27
36 [9] Glynn Academy 3-AAAAA 5-2 63.32 52.00 38
37 [10] Lanier 8-AAAAA 7-0 63.18 42.58 112
38 [11] Stockbridge 4-Div B-AAAAA 7-0 62.86 33.63 199
39 [18] North Cobb 4-AAAAAA 4-4 62.47 59.18 16
40 [12] Ware County 3-AAAAA 5-2 62.39 47.57 63
41 [19] Hughes 3-AAAAAA 4-3 62.25 56.33 26
42 [20] Tucker 2-AAAAAA 4-3 61.69 44.89 88
43 [21] East Coweta 3-AAAAAA 6-1 61.51 43.02 103
44 [13] Houston County 2-AAAAA 6-1 61.35 38.09 156
45 [14] East Paulding 5-AAAAA 6-1 61.28 46.38 72
46 [22] Westlake 3-AAAAAA 5-2 59.97 45.73 80
47 [23] Central Gwinnett 8-AAAAAA 4-3 59.78 57.47 20
48 [24] Tift County 1-AAAAAA 5-3 59.68 43.17 100
49 [1] Prince Avenue Christian 8-A 8-0 59.67 18.30 348
50 [6] Thomson 3-AAAA 6-1 59.27 39.57 139
51 [25] North Gwinnett 7-AAAAAA 2-5 59.24 72.97 2
52 [7] Jonesboro 4-Div B-AAAA 7-1 59.20 42.50 113
53 [8] St. Pius X 6-AAAA 5-2 59.01 44.89 89
54 [15] Starr's Mill 4-Div A-AAAAA 7-0 58.97 28.59 254
55 [26] Lassiter 5-AAAAAA 3-4 58.94 63.29 9
56 [27] Brookwood 8-AAAAAA 4-4 58.55 59.88 15
57 [16] Effingham County 3-AAAAA 6-2 58.06 48.64 55
58 [28] Harrison 4-AAAAAA 5-2 57.70 43.65 96
59 [9] Mary Persons 2-AAAA 7-0 57.67 38.73 145
60 [29] South Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 6-1 57.52 39.39 141
61 [30] Lambert 6-AAAAAA 6-1 57.48 42.72 108
62 [4] Cedar Grove 4-Div A-AAA 6-1 57.39 26.94 273
63 [31] Collins Hill 7-AAAAAA 4-3 56.94 48.68 54
64 [17] Carver (Columbus) 1-AAAAA 6-1 56.80 42.92 106
65 [3] Fitzgerald 1-AA 6-1 56.43 40.18 135
66 [18] South Paulding 5-AAAAA 5-2 56.30 47.76 61
67 [19] Dalton 7-Div A-AAAAA 6-2 56.23 44.03 93
68 [20] South Effingham 3-AAAAA 6-1 56.08 43.12 101
69 [32] Wheeler 5-AAAAAA 3-4 56.01 57.43 21
70 [10] Marist 6-AAAA 6-2 56.00 37.64 159
71 [21] Alexander 5-AAAAA 6-1 55.87 38.17 154
72 [33] West Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 5-2 55.76 43.02 102
73 [11] Locust Grove 4-Div A-AAAA 7-0 55.38 31.85 215
74 [22] Carver (Atlanta) 6-Div B-AAAAA 5-2 55.21 40.56 132
75 [34] Hillgrove 4-AAAAAA 5-3 54.80 49.08 53
76 [35] Newnan 3-AAAAAA 5-2 54.57 45.36 82
77 [23] Loganville 8-AAAAA 7-1 53.92 34.02 194
78 [36] Milton 5-AAAAAA 2-5 53.77 62.72 11
79 [24] Kell 7-Div B-AAAAA 5-2 53.55 43.00 104
80 [25] Creekview 7-Div A-AAAAA 5-3 53.46 50.63 42
81 [2] Eagle's Landing Christian 5-A 4-3 53.15 45.32 83
82 [26] Drew 4-Div A-AAAAA 5-2 52.73 34.25 188
83 [27] Woodland (Stockbridge) 4-Div B-AAAAA 6-1 52.60 30.45 228
84 [5] Elbert County 8-AAA 6-1 52.36 41.00 127
85 [37] South Gwinnett 8-AAAAAA 1-7 52.30 69.80 4
86 [12] Worth County 1-Div B-AAAA 4-3 52.30 47.06 68
87 [13] Burke County 3-AAAA 6-2 52.14 41.48 120
88 [28] Paulding County 5-AAAAA 5-2 52.03 46.47 71
89 [14] Spalding 4-Div B-AAAA 6-1 51.85 34.54 186
90 [4] Rabun County 8-AA 7-1 51.81 22.86 305
91 [29] Cambridge 7-Div B-AAAAA 6-1 51.21 33.35 203
92 [38] Woodstock 5-AAAAAA 4-4 50.98 50.67 41
93 [15] Liberty County 3-AAAA 5-3 50.90 46.32 73
94 [6] Central (Carrollton) 5-AAA 7-0 50.48 25.11 288
95 [16] Carrollton 5-AAAA 4-3 49.95 41.88 116
96 [30] Mundy's Mill 4-Div A-AAAAA 5-3 49.68 37.64 158
97 [5] Brooks County 1-AA 6-2 49.66 38.40 150
98 [31] Warner Robins 2-AAAAA 5-2 49.56 34.87 184
99 [39] Cherokee 5-AAAAAA 4-3 49.32 45.31 84
100 [3] Mount Paran Christian 6-Div A-A 7-0 49.25 15.84 369
101 [40] Alpharetta 6-AAAAAA 4-3 49.14 45.00 87
102 [32] Dutchtown 4-Div B-AAAAA 3-4 49.10 52.45 37
103 [33] Gainesville 8-AAAAA 4-3 49.02 43.64 97
104 [41] Lovejoy 2-AAAAAA 3-4 48.77 50.35 45
105 [34] Rome 7-Div A-AAAAA 4-3 48.69 44.20 92
106 [17] Eastside 4-Div A-AAAA 5-2 48.56 37.51 161
107 [18] Cairo 1-Div A-AAAA 3-3 48.54 46.24 75
108 [42] Centennial 6-AAAAAA 4-3 48.49 48.51 57
109 [19] West Laurens 2-AAAA 6-2 48.07 35.88 176
110 [7] Westside (Macon) 2-AAA 6-1 47.75 30.37 230
111 [6] Jefferson County 3-AA 5-2 47.56 36.48 169
112 [7] Wesleyan 6-AA 7-0 47.50 24.89 291
113 [4] Clinch County 2-A 6-1 47.47 26.06 277
114 [20] Eagle's Landing 4-Div A-AAAA 4-3 47.10 41.28 124
115 [21] Veterans 2-AAAA 4-3 46.54 45.00 86
116 [22] Thomas County Central 1-Div A-AAAA 4-3 46.06 40.34 133
117 [35] Riverwood 7-Div B-AAAAA 6-2 45.88 28.88 247
118 [8] Pierce County 1-Div A-AAA 6-1 45.78 31.20 221
119 [36] New Manchester 5-AAAAA 3-4 45.69 49.25 52
120 [23] Wayne County 3-AAAA 3-5 45.47 49.70 49
121 [24] Upson-Lee 2-AAAA 5-2 45.10 31.29 219
122 [9] Dodge County 1-Div A-AAA 7-0 45.07 22.14 311
123 [37] Sequoyah 7-Div A-AAAAA 2-5 44.99 53.97 31
124 [5] Turner County 2-A 6-1 44.93 22.13 312
125 [10] Peach County 2-AAA 6-2 44.90 29.84 234
126 [38] Lakeside (Evans) 2-AAAAA 3-4 44.62 48.12 60
127 [11] Adairsville 6-AAA 6-1 44.55 24.24 295
128 [43] North Paulding 4-AAAAAA 1-7 44.52 63.87 7
129 [44] Mountain View 7-AAAAAA 1-6 44.31 67.04 5
130 [39] Cass 7-Div A-AAAAA 4-3 44.31 41.21 125
131 [25] Stephens County 8-AAAA 6-1 44.21 27.91 265
132 [40] Winder-Barrow 8-AAAAA 4-3 44.01 42.62 111
133 [26] Arabia Mountain 6-AAAA 4-3 43.97 39.35 142
134 [45] Marietta 4-AAAAAA 1-6 43.81 63.25 10
135 [41] Flowery Branch 8-AAAAA 5-3 43.74 33.75 197
136 [12] Cook 1-Div A-AAA 6-2 43.69 29.45 239
137 [46] Shiloh 8-AAAAAA 0-7 43.61 66.02 6
138 [13] Hart County 8-AAA 5-2 43.48 31.45 218
139 [8] Early County 1-AA 5-2-1 43.33 28.10 263
140 [9] Darlington 7-AA 7-0 43.24 22.42 308
141 [27] Monroe 1-Div A-AAAA 4-3 43.16 37.35 165
142 [14] Jackson 2-AAA 5-2 42.97 33.21 206
143 [47] Johns Creek 6-AAAAAA 4-3 42.84 43.45 98
144 [10] Pace Academy 6-AA 5-2 42.80 33.05 207
145 [6] Charlton County 2-A 5-1 42.79 28.36 256
146 [7] Aquinas 7-Div B-A 6-1 42.78 13.30 382
147 [42] LaGrange 1-AAAAA 3-4 42.65 41.38 122
148 [8] Irwin County 2-A 4-2-1 42.60 36.37 170
149 [43] M. L. King 6-Div A-AAAAA 3-4 42.42 46.97 69
150 [11] Macon County 4-AA 5-2 42.34 31.56 216
151 [15] Laney 3-AAA 5-2 42.21 28.14 262
152 [9] Marion County 4-A 6-1 41.77 19.67 333
153 [44] Clarke Central 8-AAAAA 3-4 41.70 40.80 129
154 [16] Callaway 5-AAA 6-1 41.17 25.79 280
155 [28] Griffin 4-Div B-AAAA 3-4 40.96 40.74 131
156 [45] Richmond Hill 3-AAAAA 3-4 40.86 47.22 65
157 [46] Columbus 1-AAAAA 6-2 40.76 33.64 198
158 [12] Lovett 6-AA 4-4 40.73 36.14 173
159 [29] Howard 2-AAAA 5-2 40.70 34.21 190
160 [47] Miller Grove 6-Div A-AAAAA 4-3 40.69 37.75 157
161 [10] Savannah Christian 3-Div A-A 6-1 40.52 18.23 351
162 [30] Grady 6-AAAA 3-4 40.40 41.44 121
163 [48] Sprayberry 7-Div B-AAAAA 5-3 40.23 34.03 193
164 [49] Salem 8-AAAAA 4-3 39.97 34.92 183
165 [17] Jenkins 1-Div B-AAA 5-2 39.89 27.80 267
166 [13] Lamar County 4-AA 5-2 39.78 26.34 276
167 [50] Brunswick 3-AAAAA 1-6 39.56 56.44 25
168 [48] Northview 6-AAAAAA 3-4 39.55 43.69 95
169 [18] Central (Macon) 2-AAA 4-3 39.33 33.90 196
170 [19] Oconee County 8-AAA 6-1 39.09 19.82 331
171 [20] Spencer 2-AAA 4-3 39.04 36.29 171
172 [31] North Hall 8-AAAA 3-4 38.34 42.06 115
173 [21] Westminster (Atlanta) 4-Div B-AAA 3-4 38.23 37.37 163
174 [51] Southwest DeKalb 6-Div A-AAAAA 3-4 38.16 42.47 114
175 [14] Dublin 3-AA 6-2 38.09 25.42 284
176 [11] Calvary Day 3-Div A-A 6-1 37.80 13.76 378
177 [12] Lincoln County 7-Div B-A 7-0 37.44 14.75 373
178 [13] Landmark Christian 5-A 5-2 37.31 22.28 309
179 [52] Ola 4-Div B-AAAAA 3-4 37.30 40.33 134
180 [49] Douglas County 3-AAAAAA 1-6 37.30 50.73 40
181 [15] Screven County 3-AA 7-1 37.23 14.38 376
182 [14] Emanuel County Institute 3-Div B-A 6-1 37.11 16.32 363
183 [16] Model 7-AA 7-1 37.09 22.00 313
184 [50] South Cobb 3-AAAAAA 2-5 36.74 46.02 78
185 [53] Statesboro 3-AAAAA 2-5 36.33 47.17 67
186 [32] Westover 1-Div B-AAAA 1-5 36.31 50.21 47
187 [22] Pepperell 5-AAA 5-2 36.22 25.61 281
188 [15] Athens Academy 8-A 6-1 36.16 7.61 405
189 [33] North Oconee 8-AAAA 4-3 36.00 31.21 220
190 [23] Douglass 4-Div B-AAA 5-2 35.69 23.46 300
191 [54] Tri-Cities 6-Div B-AAAAA 4-3 35.49 33.27 204
192 [55] Chapel Hill 5-AAAAA 2-5 35.39 45.43 81
193 [56] Grovetown 2-AAAAA 4-3 35.22 34.81 185
194 [57] Hiram 5-AAAAA 3-4 35.19 41.19 126
195 [34] Columbia 6-AAAA 3-4 35.05 36.69 167
196 [24] Washington County 3-AAA 2-5 34.89 41.72 117
197 [16] Commerce 8-A 4-3 34.48 27.72 268
198 [51] Kennesaw Mountain 4-AAAAAA 2-5 33.98 42.81 107
199 [35] Whitewater 5-AAAA 2-5 33.81 50.41 44
200 [36] Pickens 7-AAAA 6-1 33.73 18.70 339
201 [58] Northside (Columbus) 1-AAAAA 4-2 33.59 29.16 244
202 [17] Pinecrest Academy 6-Div B-A 6-1 33.42 18.62 343
203 [37] Crisp County 1-Div A-AAAA 2-5 33.32 53.76 32
204 [59] Villa Rica 5-AAAAA 1-7 33.24 48.35 59
205 [18] Stratford Academy 7-Div A-A 5-2 33.20 18.95 337
206 [38] Henry County 4-Div A-AAAA 4-3 33.15 28.77 249
207 [39] Baldwin 2-AAAA 3-4 33.15 37.39 162
208 [60] Shaw 1-AAAAA 4-4 33.05 33.01 210
209 [17] Hapeville 6-AA 4-3 32.65 27.99 264
210 [18] Union County 8-AA 7-1 32.56 12.57 386
211 [52] Berkmar 8-AAAAAA 0-7 32.49 73.48 1
212 [40] Ridgeland 7-AAAA 3-4 32.39 33.23 205
213 [53] North Forsyth 6-AAAAAA 1-6 32.36 47.24 64
214 [41] Lithonia 6-AAAA 4-4 32.33 34.22 189
215 [19] Chattooga 7-AA 6-1 32.24 18.64 340
216 [25] Appling County 1-Div A-AAA 3-4 32.00 33.45 202
217 [20] Bacon County 2-AA 4-3 31.91 30.89 226
218 [26] Southeast Bulloch 1-Div B-AAA 4-3 31.81 25.36 285
219 [42] Redan 6-AAAA 4-4 31.73 28.28 257
220 [54] Duluth 7-AAAAAA 1-6 31.69 60.69 13
221 [27] Decatur 4-Div B-AAA 4-3 31.67 29.39 242
222 [21] Heard County 5-AA 4-3 31.65 25.58 282
223 [28] Brantley County 1-Div A-AAA 4-3 31.51 24.11 297
224 [22] B.E.S.T. Academy 6-AA 2-5 31.36 41.71 118
225 [55] Pebblebrook 3-AAAAAA 3-4 31.34 35.27 181
226 [29] Sonoraville 6-AAA 5-3 30.91 20.77 325
227 [61] Evans 2-AAAAA 3-4 30.87 30.91 225
228 [43] Perry 2-AAAA 1-7 30.81 46.09 77
229 [30] Jackson County 8-AAA 3-5 30.77 38.47 148
230 [56] Meadowcreek 7-AAAAAA 2-5 30.68 63.42 8
231 [62] Harris County 1-AAAAA 2-5 30.17 33.04 209
232 [23] Metter 3-AA 5-2 29.95 25.94 278
233 [44] Americus-Sumter 1-Div B-AAAA 2-5 29.94 39.02 144
234 [63] Luella 4-Div B-AAAAA 2-5 29.73 38.52 147
235 [24] Vidalia 2-AA 4-3 29.61 21.40 321
236 [19] Trion 6-Div A-A 5-2 29.26 14.48 374
237 [64] Cedar Shoals 8-AAAAA 1-6 28.86 46.26 74
238 [65] Forsyth Central 7-Div B-AAAAA 2-5 28.78 35.95 175
239 [45] Northwest Whitfield 7-AAAA 5-3 28.78 21.90 315
240 [20] Christian Heritage 6-Div A-A 4-4 28.77 30.03 233
241 [25] Putnam County 4-AA 6-1 28.56 12.89 385
242 [26] Berrien 1-AA 2-5 28.53 39.41 140
243 [66] Union Grove 4-Div B-AAAAA 1-6 28.28 44.57 91
244 [57] Chattahoochee 6-AAAAAA 0-7 28.19 48.61 56
245 [31] Morgan County 8-AAA 3-4 27.96 30.21 231
246 [27] Dade County 7-AA 4-3 27.80 30.38 229
247 [46] Fayette County 5-AAAA 1-6 27.72 47.66 62
248 [28] Manchester 5-AA 4-3 27.55 24.47 294
249 [21] Wilkinson County 7-Div A-A 5-2 27.33 18.30 349
250 [67] Druid Hills 6-Div A-AAAAA 3-4 27.33 33.05 208
251 [29] Pelham 1-AA 4-3 27.17 28.74 250
252 [58] Pope 5-AAAAAA 0-7 26.94 60.37 14
253 [68] Bradwell Institute 3-AAAAA 0-7 26.45 50.33 46
254 [47] Walnut Grove 4-Div A-AAAA 3-4 26.38 28.71 251
255 [48] Monroe Area 8-AAAA 2-5 26.21 43.97 94
256 [22] Telfair County 2-A 4-3 26.09 20.23 329
257 [23] Mount Zion (Carroll) 6-Div A-A 6-2 25.95 10.06 396
258 [24] Brookstone 4-A 4-3 25.79 21.88 316
259 [30] Washington-Wilkes 8-AA 3-4 25.63 28.20 259
260 [69] McIntosh 4-Div A-AAAAA 2-5 25.30 39.85 136
261 [59] Habersham Central 6-AAAAAA 0-7 25.30 51.25 39
262 [49] White County 8-AAAA 1-6 25.29 38.15 155
263 [25] Mount Pisgah Christian 6-Div B-A 3-4 25.19 30.16 232
264 [70] North Atlanta 7-Div B-AAAAA 3-4 25.10 35.57 179
265 [50] Riverdale 4-Div B-AAAA 4-3 25.03 23.45 301
266 [31] Bowdon 5-AA 3-4 24.76 26.43 275
267 [32] Franklin County 7-AAA 4-3 24.55 22.73 306
268 [33] Dawson County 7-AAA 4-3 23.93 21.78 318
269 [26] Pacelli 4-A 5-2 23.57 12.57 387
270 [34] Banks County 7-AAA 5-2 23.47 15.40 370
271 [35] Tattnall County 1-Div A-AAA 3-5 23.27 29.05 246
272 [60] Rockdale County 2-AAAAAA 1-6 23.08 49.38 51
273 [51] Heritage (Ringgold) 7-AAAA 4-3 23.05 18.58 344
274 [36] Maynard Jackson 4-Div A-AAA 3-4 22.87 29.14 245
275 [37] Ringgold 6-AAA 3-4 22.52 24.91 290
276 [38] Washington 4-Div B-AAA 2-5 22.35 29.71 236
277 [27] Dooly County 4-A 4-3 22.31 16.77 360
278 [28] Twiggs County 7-Div A-A 3-4 22.31 26.62 274
279 [32] Bryan County 2-AA 3-4 22.17 25.03 289
280 [33] Swainsboro 3-AA 3-4 22.15 27.59 269
281 [34] Bleckley County 4-AA 1-6 22.07 37.52 160
282 [39] Jordan 2-AAA 3-5 21.81 28.60 253
283 [35] Greene County 8-AA 3-4 21.57 25.83 279
284 [40] East Hall 7-AAA 3-4 21.57 23.34 302
285 [71] Banneker 6-Div B-AAAAA 0-7 21.51 52.78 35
286 [36] Thomasville 1-AA 1-6 21.40 39.76 137
287 [61] Lakeside (Atlanta) 2-AAAAAA 3-4 21.22 24.66 293
288 [37] Jeff Davis 2-AA 4-3 21.07 18.64 341
289 [41] Southwest 2-AAA 3-4 21.06 29.78 235
290 [52] Troup 5-AAAA 0-7 21.05 53.20 34
291 [42] Fannin County 7-AAA 4-3 20.76 17.09 358
292 [43] North Clayton 4-Div A-AAA 2-5 20.52 28.23 258
293 [29] Fellowship Christian 6-Div B-A 4-3 20.46 11.39 392
294 [38] Gordon Lee 7-AA 4-4 19.72 16.02 366
295 [72] Woodland (Cartersville) 7-Div A-AAAAA 1-6 19.67 40.78 130
296 [53] Mount Zion (Jonesboro) 4-Div B-AAAA 2-6 19.63 33.57 200
297 [39] McIntosh County Academy 2-AA 2-5 19.54 29.41 241
298 [30] Johnson County 3-Div B-A 3-4 19.54 25.50 283
299 [62] Alcovy 2-AAAAAA 1-6 19.16 42.70 109
300 [63] Campbell 3-AAAAAA 2-5 19.12 35.04 182
301 [31] Hawkinsville 4-A 4-4 18.27 18.03 353
302 [32] First Presbyterian 7-Div A-A 3-4 18.27 18.73 338
303 [33] Treutlen 3-Div B-A 5-3 18.11 13.65 379
304 [34] Athens Christian 8-A 4-4 18.00 18.98 336
305 [44] Therrell 4-Div B-AAA 3-4 17.98 24.79 292
306 [40] Bremen 5-AA 4-3 17.79 15.35 371
307 [54] Gilmer 7-AAAA 2-5 17.76 27.88 266
308 [55] Chamblee 6-AAAA 2-5 17.62 29.70 237
309 [41] Holy Innocents 6-AA 2-6 17.55 33.92 195
310 [35] Hancock Central 7-Div B-A 3-5 17.47 22.23 310
311 [56] Dougherty 1-Div B-AAAA 3-3 17.47 24.22 296
312 [42] Long County 2-AA 3-4 17.40 20.55 327
313 [73] Greenbrier 2-AAAAA 2-5 16.49 35.84 177
314 [74] North Springs 7-Div B-AAAAA 1-6 16.36 42.69 110
315 [75] Apalachee 8-AAAAA 0-7 16.33 46.14 76
316 [76] Heritage (Conyers) 8-AAAAA 0-7 16.32 43.00 105
317 [77] Cross Creek 2-AAAAA 1-6 16.26 38.18 153
318 [43] East Laurens 3-AA 4-3 16.25 18.30 347
319 [44] Coosa 7-AA 1-6 15.53 32.85 211
320 [36] Mitchell County 1-A 3-4 15.37 18.62 342
321 [45] Beach 1-Div B-AAA 4-4 15.28 18.44 346
322 [46] Cedartown 5-AAA 1-6 15.23 28.16 261
323 [64] Osborne 4-AAAAAA† 1-5 15.18 33.52 201
324 [47] Josey 3-AAA 5-3 14.98 11.41 391
325 [45] Seminole County 1-AA 2-5 14.83 21.82 317
326 [48] Towers 4-Div A-AAA 1-6 14.55 34.14 191
327 [78] Lithia Springs 5-AAAAA 0-7 14.12 45.12 85
328 [37] Taylor County 4-A 3-4 13.83 13.09 383
329 [49] West Hall 7-AAA 2-5 13.77 21.13 323
330 [79] Dunwoody 6-Div A-AAAAA 2-5 13.69 31.18 222
331 [38] North Cobb Christian 6-Div A-A† 5-2 13.05 2.40 412
332 [39] Miller County 1-A 3-4 12.98 19.49 334
333 [40] Atkinson County 2-A 2-5 12.93 23.63 299
334 [50] Lumpkin County 7-AAA 2-6 12.84 21.92 314
335 [57] Southeast Whitfield 7-AAAA 4-4 12.60 10.23 394
336 [51] Rockmart 5-AAA 1-6 12.55 27.54 270
337 [52] McNair 4-Div A-AAA 2-5 12.53 25.34 286
338 [80] Forest Park 4-Div A-AAAAA 0-7 12.49 53.63 33
339 [46] Harlem 3-AA 2-6 11.73 23.19 303
340 [81] Richmond Academy 2-AAAAA 1-6 11.35 41.32 123
341 [53] North Murray 6-AAA 3-4 11.23 16.07 365
342 [41] Greenville 4-A 3-4 11.17 15.93 367
343 [42] Walker 6-Div A-A 3-4 10.98 22.64 307
344 [43] George Walton Academy 8-A 3-4 10.97 12.11 388
345 [82] River Ridge 7-Div A-AAAAA 0-7 10.64 38.37 151
346 [54] Toombs County 1-Div A-AAA 1-6 10.54 32.19 213
347 [55] Kendrick 2-AAA 2-5 10.27 29.29 243
348 [44] Savannah Country Day 3-Div A-A 2-5 9.98 19.11 335
349 [56] Savannah 1-Div B-AAA 2-6 9.18 28.38 255
350 [45] Terrell County 1-A 3-4 9.14 17.17 356
351 [83] Hardaway 1-AAAAA 1-7 9.06 32.24 212
352 [57] Murray County 6-AAA 4-3 9.04 3.49 410
353 [46] Tattnall Square 7-Div A-A 3-4 8.91 13.58 381
354 [47] Monticello 4-AA 0-7 8.40 28.16 260
355 [47] Randolph-Clay 1-A 4-3 8.23 8.48 401
356 [48] Wilcox County 2-A 2-5 7.98 21.63 320
357 [58] Pike County 4-Div B-AAAA 0-7 7.89 38.35 152
358 [49] Mount de Sales 7-Div A-A 2-5 7.85 18.47 345
359 [48] Crawford County 4-AA† 7-2 7.82 -5.21 417
360 [50] Hebron Christian Academy 8-A 5-2 7.80 -1.20 416
361 [59] Madison County 8-AAAA 1-6 7.69 25.21 287
362 [51] Our Lady of Mercy 5-A 4-4 7.69 9.41 397
363 [52] Jenkins County 3-Div A-A 2-5 7.55 16.31 364
364 [53] Claxton 3-Div A-A 2-5 7.19 17.72 354
365 [58] Rutland 2-AAA 1-7 6.57 29.43 240
366 [59] Butler 3-AAA 3-4 6.54 16.72 361
367 [60] Johnson (Gainesville) 8-AAAA† 2-6 6.21 15.85 368
368 [49] Oglethorpe County 8-AA 1-7 6.19 36.60 168
369 [61] New Hampstead 3-AAAA† 5-3 6.10 1.43 415
370 [54] Portal 3-Div A-A 1-6 5.63 20.28 328
371 [84] Morrow 4-Div A-AAAAA 0-8 4.38 47.19 66
372 [50] Northeast 4-AA 0-7 4.24 28.86 248
373 [60] Haralson County 5-AAA 1-6 3.84 17.13 357
374 [55] St. Francis 6-Div B-A 2-5 3.50 10.19 395
375 [62] Albany 1-Div A-AAAA 0-8 3.49 30.91 224
376 [51] Temple 5-AA 3-4 2.85 8.31 402
377 [56] Wheeler County 3-Div B-A 3-4 2.77 8.88 399
378 [61] Hephzibah 3-AAA 3-4 2.03 3.91 409
379 [57] Central (Talbotton) 4-A 3-5 1.66 11.77 390
380 [52] Social Circle 8-AA 2-5 1.57 20.80 324
381 [62] South Atlanta 4-Div A-AAA 0-7 1.49 22.94 304
382 [58] Warren County 7-Div B-A 2-6 1.27 14.17 377
383 [53] Chattahoochee County 5-AA 2-5 1.16 6.99 406
384 [59] Whitefield Academy 6-Div B-A 1-6 0.33 18.22 352
385 [63] Johnson (Savannah) 1-Div B-AAA 1-6 0.29 21.40 322
386 [64] Westside (Augusta) 3-AAA 1-6 -0.45 19.69 332
387 [63] Hampton 4-Div A-AAAA 0-7 -0.52 43.24 99
388 [65] East Jackson 8-AAA 1-7 -0.75 27.45 271
389 [60] King's Ridge Christian 6-Div B-A 1-6 -0.84 21.78 319
390 [54] Riverside Military Academy 8-AA 1-6 -1.09 18.24 350
391 [61] Lanier County 2-A 1-6 -1.85 20.07 330
392 [55] K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate 6-AA 0-7 -2.46 29.49 238
393 [62] Georgia Military College 7-Div B-A 2-5 -2.69 11.99 389
394 [64] Stone Mountain 6-AAAA 0-7 -3.53 37.37 164
395 [63] Strong Rock Christian 5-A 1-6 -4.09 10.53 393
396 [65] Windsor Forest 3-AAAA 1-6 -4.17 27.26 272
397 [66] LaFayette 7-AAAA 1-6 -4.45 20.70 326
398 [56] Armuchee 7-AA 1-7 -4.50 23.86 298
399 [67] Chestatee 8-AAAA 0-7 -5.30 35.70 178
400 [64] Mount Vernon Presbyterian 5-A 2-5 -6.17 2.74 411
401 [85] Clarkston 6-Div A-AAAAA† 1-6 -6.56 31.51 217
402 [66] Islands 1-Div B-AAA 1-6 -7.78 17.22 355
403 [65] Lakeview Academy 8-A 2-5 -8.25 1.73 414
404 [67] Glenn Hills 3-AAA 0-8 -8.37 31.05 223
405 [66] Baconton 1-A 2-6 -8.86 5.50 408
406 [67] Towns County 8-A 1-7 -11.05 17.09 359
407 [57] Groves 2-AA 0-7 -11.52 13.03 384
408 [68] Coahulla Creek 6-AAA 2-5 -11.58 1.99 413
409 [68] Montgomery County 3-Div B-A 0-8 -12.54 14.98 372
410 [69] Calhoun County 1-A 0-7 -13.82 16.55 362
411 [70] Schley County 4-A 0-7 -16.21 14.47 375
412 [71] Providence Christian 8-A 0-7 -22.14 8.26 403
413 [72] Glascock County 7-Div B-A† 0-8 -24.18 8.25 404
414 [69] Gordon Central 6-AAA 1-7 -24.37 9.15 398
415 [73] Stewart County 1-A† 0-8 -30.01 8.71 400
416 [68] Cross Keys 6-AAAA† 0-4 -31.52 6.54 407
417 [70] Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe 6-AAA 0-8 -32.00 13.61 380
†-Plays non-region schedule

Regions

Each region is shown with its “Competitive Rating”, which is the rating required to win 80% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition, and its “Average Rating”, which is the rating required to win 50% of all games against the region’s teams in an infinite round robin competition.

Rank Region Competitive Average
1 1 - AAAAAA 93.88 74.88
2 8 - AAAAAA 84.91 61.55
3 7 - AAAAAA 81.55 58.15
4 5 - AAAAAA 79.85 58.63
5 4 - AAAAAA 70.59 53.31
6 3 - AAAAA 68.68 50.51
7 6 - AAAAA 68.04 43.59
6 - Div B - AAAAA 75.31 52.62
6 - Div A - AAAAA 57.71 37.98
8 5 - AAAA 67.29 43.80
9 2 - AAAAAA 65.44 39.31
10 3 - AAAAAA 65.39 45.96
11 2 - AAAAA 65.36 40.16
12 5 - AAAAA 64.94 46.42
13 4 - AAAAA 63.05 42.25
4 - Div A - AAAAA 64.35 41.15
4 - Div B - AAAAA 61.58 43.07
14 6 - AAAAAA 61.13 43.96
15 3 - AAAA 60.95 46.59
16 2 - AAAA 59.05 43.13
17 8 - AAA 58.97 38.22
18 8 - AAAAA 58.72 40.42
19 1 - AAAA 57.95 38.60
1 - Div B - AAAA 61.64 39.64
1 - Div A - AAAA 54.68 37.72
20 7 - AAAAA 57.88 39.75
7 - Div A - AAAAA 59.71 41.97
7 - Div B - AAAAA 55.82 37.69
21 4 - AAAA 56.52 35.82
4 - Div A - AAAA 56.54 37.43
4 - Div B - AAAA 56.51 33.99
22 6 - AA 55.91 35.60
23 6 - AAAA 54.04 36.16
24 1 - AA 54.03 34.00
25 1 - AAAAA 53.36 35.66
26 8 - AAAA 51.13 30.42
27 2 - AAA 49.98 31.31
28 2 - A 49.92 29.33
29 4 - AAA 49.61 26.56
4 - Div B - AAA 55.04 33.62
4 - Div A - AAA 41.66 18.95
30 5 - AAA 48.13 26.41
31 7 - AAAA 47.19 25.12
32 3 - AA 46.81 29.01
33 5 - A 46.01 13.95
34 1 - AAA 45.72 25.74
1 - Div A - AAA 50.84 33.78
1 - Div B - AAA 36.13 14.04
35 2 - AA 45.19 23.68
36 6 - AAA 44.57 13.06
37 7 - AA 43.56 25.60
38 4 - AA 41.63 24.51
39 8 - AA 41.19 18.70
40 8 - A 40.71 12.63
41 6 - A 38.87 20.69
6 - Div A - A 44.19 28.48
6 - Div B - A 32.55 13.34
42 7 - A 37.24 19.36
7 - Div B - A 38.97 18.82
7 - Div A - A 35.92 19.64
43 3 - A 36.44 15.04
3 - Div A - A 38.63 16.28
3 - Div B - A 33.81 13.47
44 5 - AA 35.31 18.12
45 3 - AAA 35.29 11.17
46 4 - A 34.99 16.64
47 7 - AAA 34.58 20.18
48 1 - A 18.91 4.50

Least Likely Results

These are the least likely results of the season using the ratings above. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, and the likelihood of the on-field result.

Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct Likelihood
09/25 Westminster (Atlanta) Therrell 23 - 25 18.05 85.9% 0.231
09/18 Pacelli Greenville 12 - 22 14.59 81.1% 0.246
09/11 Northwest Whitfield Southeast Whitfield 12 - 21 13.99 80.2% 0.259
08/28 Richmond Academy Westside (Augusta) 20 - 27 13.99 80.2% 0.266
09/25 Swainsboro Harlem 27 - 34 12.61 77.9% 0.288
09/04 Bryan County Claxton 7 - 13 12.79 78.2% 0.290
09/11 Macon County Perry 33 - 34 13.72 79.8% 0.299
08/28 Druid Hills Chamblee 12 - 19 11.90 76.7% 0.300
09/04 St. Francis Lakeview Academy 7 - 27 9.56 72.2% 0.306
09/18 Dalton Cass 8 - 23 9.74 72.6% 0.313
08/28 Emanuel County Institute Swainsboro 28 - 29 12.77 78.2% 0.314
09/11 Jonesboro Eagle's Landing 7 - 17 9.90 72.9% 0.324
09/04 Pierce County Bacon County 40 - 41 11.68 76.3% 0.331
09/25 Dublin Metter 14 - 17 10.33 73.7% 0.343
09/04 Central Gwinnett Mundy's Mill 20 - 35 7.92 68.8% 0.347

Highest Rated Matchups

These are the highest rated matchups of the season using the ratings above. The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents. These may change as the season progresses. Each row shows the game rating, the game data, the difference in the teams after accounting for the home advantage, and the expected winning percentage of the favored team.

Game Rating Date Team Opponent Score Diff Pct
90.05 09/11 Grayson Archer 26 - 24 8.00 69.0%
86.06 11/06 Colquitt County Camden County - 14.41 80.9%
82.82 08/29 Archer Peachtree Ridge 26 - 10 9.56 72.2%
82.14 11/06 Mill Creek Peachtree Ridge - 5.13 62.5%
81.15 09/11 Peachtree Ridge McEachern 9 - 6 2.29 55.7%
80.83 10/02 Colquitt County Lowndes 42 - 20 19.15 87.2%
78.88 10/09 Camden County Lowndes 38 - 19 6.93 66.7%
78.80 08/21 Roswell Lowndes 35 - 8 17.81 85.6%
77.23 10/02 Roswell Walton 48 - 14 19.21 87.2%
77.22 10/23 Peachtree Ridge Norcross - 4.85 61.9%
75.83 10/30 Mill Creek Norcross - 12.17 77.1%
74.03 09/04 McEachern Buford 37 - 14 10.94 74.9%
72.55 10/30 Camden County Lee County - 11.43 75.8%
72.41 09/18 Grayson Parkview 49 - 10 22.63 90.6%
70.99 09/11 Walton Etowah 35 - 10 6.39 65.5%

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

More Stories