Maxwell Week 3 projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50 percent of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Aug 30

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
38.47	AAAA	Troup	92.6%	25	Columbus	AAAA
-14.93	A	Pelham	99.5%	41	Baconton Charter	A

Aug 31

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
80.96	AAAAAAA	Lowndes	66.9%	7	Parkview	AAAAAAA
78.26	AAAAAAA	Norcross	55.4%	2	Mill Creek	AAAAAAA
75.18	AAAAAA	Lee County	64.5%	6	Peach County	AAA
70.20	AAAAAA	Coffee	59.1%	4	Ware County	AAAAA
68.42	AAAAAAA	Brookwood	65.2%	7	South Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
66.10	AAAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	69.9%	9	Jones County	AAAAA
65.35	AAAAAAA	South Forsyth	59.4%	4	Etowah	AAAAAAA
65.12	AAAAAA	Allatoona	52.1%	1	Creekview	AAAAAA
64.04	AAAAAAA	Marietta	58.8%	4	Collins Hill	AAAAAAA
62.80	AAAA	Blessed Trinity	85.5%	18	Woodward Academy	AAAA
61.82	AAA	Westminster (Atlanta)	70.0%	9	St. Pius X	AAAA
60.89	AAAAAAA	Mountain View	67.1%	7	Dacula	AAAAAA
60.72	AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	97.4%	34	Thomasville	AA
58.66	AAAAA	Kell	68.4%	8	Lassiter	AAAAAAA
56.77	AAAAA	Wayne County	52.5%	1	Richmond Hill	AAAAAA
55.96	AAAAAA	Alpharetta	63.5%	6	Lanier	AAAAAA
55.24	AA	Brooks County	70.8%	9	Clinch County	A
54.82	AA	Hapeville Charter	86.9%	19	Heard County	AA
54.32	AAAAA	Dutchtown	72.4%	10	Crisp County	AAA
54.11	AAAAAAA	Camden County	81.9%	15	Locust Grove	AAAAA
54.08	AAAAA	Clarke Central	53.6%	2	Flowery Branch	AAAA
53.85	AAAA	Thomson	71.3%	9	Eagle's Landing	AAAAA
53.57	AAAAAAA	Roswell	89.0%	21	Centennial	AAAAAA
53.44	AAAAAA	Alexander	50.4%	1	Newnan	AAAAAAA
53.43	AAAA	West Laurens	63.7%	6	Dodge County	AA
52.72	A	Irwin County	68.1%	8	Mount Paran Christian	A
52.09	AAA	Pace Academy	74.6%	11	Monroe Area	AAA
51.44	AAAAA	Starr's Mill	77.6%	13	Northgate	AAAAAA
51.26	AAAAAAA	Hillgrove	92.3%	25	Banneker	AAAAA
50.41	AAAA	Spalding	58.7%	4	Oconee County	AAAA
49.71	AAAAAAA	North Cobb	91.7%	24	Campbell	AAAAAAA
47.51	AAAAAAA	Woodstock	74.6%	11	Cambridge	AAAAAA
47.49	AAA	Westside (Macon)	52.7%	1	Perry	AAAA
47.41	AAAAAAA	Kennesaw Mountain	72.8%	10	Riverwood	AAAAA
47.36	AA	Dublin	59.5%	4	Swainsboro	AA
47.00	A	Athens Academy	55.9%	3	Stephens County	AAAA
46.02	AAAAAAA	Lambert	59.0%	4	Gainesville	AAAAAA
44.68	AAAAA	Whitewater	50.8%	1	Ola	AAAAA
44.63	AAAAAAA	Cherokee	60.9%	5	North Hall	AAA
44.47	AAAAAA	Dalton	88.0%	20	Northwest Whitfield	AAAA
44.45	AAAAAAA	North Paulding	93.4%	26	East Paulding	AAAAA
44.12	AA	Vidalia	68.0%	8	Emanuel County Institute	A
43.05	A	Eagle's Landing Christian	91.4%	23	Heritage (Conyers)	AAAAAA
42.49	AAA	Jefferson	79.3%	14	West Hall	AAAA
41.74	AAAAA	Veterans	74.4%	11	Baldwin	AAAA
41.62	AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	72.2%	10	Jonesboro	AAAAA
41.24	AAA	Liberty County	80.2%	14	Statesboro	AAAAA
40.93	AAAAA	Carrollton	93.1%	26	Riverdale	AAAAA
40.82	AAAAAAA	Walton	98.5%	38	Pope	AAAAAA
40.62	AAAAAAA	North Forsyth	74.2%	11	Northview	AAAAAA
40.22	AA	Fitzgerald	81.7%	15	Dooly County	A
39.59	A	Prince Avenue Christian	78.8%	13	Wesleyan	A
39.47	AAAA	Upson-Lee	69.2%	8	Harris County	AAAAA
38.84	AAAAAAA	Wheeler	86.3%	18	Shiloh	AAAAAAA
38.56	AAAAAA	Sprayberry	56.0%	3	South Cobb	AAAAAA
38.25	AAAA	Pickens	59.3%	4	Pepperell	AA
37.98	AAAAAA	Harrison	96.3%	32	River Ridge	AAAAAA
36.87	AAAAA	Hiram	79.0%	13	South Paulding	AAAAAA
36.70	AAAA	White County	76.2%	12	Habersham Central	AAAAAA
36.43	AAAAAA	Valdosta	96.5%	32	Bradwell Institute	AAAAAA
36.21	AAAA	Sandy Creek	93.9%	27	Hampton	AAAA
35.73	AAAAA	Cass	57.5%	3	Forsyth Central	AAAAAAA
35.54	A	Charlton County	64.2%	6	Appling County	AAA
35.34	A	Macon County	62.2%	5	Southwest	AA
35.29	A	Savannah Christian	52.4%	1	Toombs County	AA
35.22	AAAAAA	Evans	82.4%	16	Richmond Academy	AAAA
35.10	AAA	Cook	73.5%	10	Early County	AA
34.84	AAAA	Westover	50.3%	0	Monroe	AAA
34.78	AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	87.7%	20	M.L. King	AAAAAA
34.60	AA	Callaway	94.4%	28	LaGrange	AAAA
34.47	AA	Chattooga	58.2%	4	Heritage (Ringgold)	AAAA
34.12	AAAAAA	Mundy's Mill	54.2%	2	Central (Carrollton)	AAAA
33.87	A	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	51.1%	1	Tattnall Square	A
33.65	AAAA	Eastside	93.6%	26	Alcovy	AAAAAA
33.48	AAA	Cedar Grove	97.5%	35	Columbia	AAAAA
33.06	AAAAA	Loganville	74.0%	11	North Oconee	AAAA
32.71	A	Stratford Academy	65.2%	7	George Walton Academy	A
32.67	AAAA	Northside (Columbus)	80.1%	14	Spencer	AA
32.52	A	Commerce	83.2%	16	Hart County	AAA
32.40	AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	92.4%	25	Tri-Cities	AAAAAA
32.33	AAAAA	Cedar Shoals	63.0%	6	Greenbrier	AAAAAA
32.32	AAAA	Hardaway	66.2%	7	Fayette County	AAAAA
31.99	AA	Bleckley County	59.9%	4	Telfair County	A
31.91	A	Turner County	62.3%	5	Taylor County	A
31.35	AAAAAAA	Discovery	73.2%	10	Rockdale County	AAAAAAA
31.34	AAAA	Howard	82.1%	15	Central (Macon)	AAA
31.20	A	Darlington	86.6%	19	Sonoraville	AAA
30.02	AAA	Lovett	94.7%	28	B.E.S.T. Academy	AA
29.95	AA	Berrien	60.4%	5	Bacon County	AA
29.22	A	First Presbyterian	53.6%	2	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	A
28.62	AAAA	Mary Persons	97.8%	35	Morrow	AAAAAA
27.73	AAA	Southeast Bulloch	84.5%	17	Tattnall County	AAA
26.79	AAAAA	Woodland (Cartersville)	75.8%	12	East Hall	AAA
26.69	A	Mount Zion (Carroll)	87.5%	20	Coosa	AA
26.53	AAAAA	Grady	61.4%	5	Washington	AA
26.40	AAAAAA	Brunswick	96.1%	31	McIntosh County Academy	A
25.46	AAAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	82.1%	15	Duluth	AAAAAAA
24.04	A	Washington-Wilkes	75.1%	11	Harlem	AA
23.56	AAA	Morgan County	79.0%	13	Walnut Grove	AAAAA
22.95	AAAAA	Rome	99.9%	41	North Clayton	AAAA
22.71	AAAAAAA	Tift County	99.4%	41	Worth County	AAA
21.97	AAAA	Madison County	58.8%	4	Apalachee	AAAAAA
21.63	AAA	Jackson County	64.0%	6	Lumpkin County	AAA
21.59	AAAAAA	North Atlanta	79.1%	13	KIPP Atlanta Collegiate	AA
20.51	AAAAA	McIntosh	78.3%	13	Henry County	AAAA
20.36	A	Atkinson County	51.2%	1	Brantley County	AAA
19.53	AAAA	Cartersville	99.9%	42	Luella	AAAA
19.49	A	Manchester	95.1%	29	Our Lady of Mercy	A
19.37	AAA	Redan	53.0%	2	McNair	AA
19.20	AAA	Pierce County	94.3%	28	Beach	AAA
18.69	AAA	Calhoun	99.6%	41	Therrell	AA
18.57	A	Brookstone	63.7%	6	Jordan	AA
17.95	AA	Metter	71.4%	9	Jenkins County	A
17.73	AAAAA	Union Grove	88.7%	21	Strong Rock Christian	A
17.46	AA	Douglass	92.2%	24	Towers	AAA
16.09	AAA	North Murray	84.3%	17	Model	AA
16.06	A	Mitchell County	84.1%	17	Chattahoochee County	A
15.50	A	Mount de Sales	61.1%	5	Pinecrest Academy	A
15.19	A	Wilcox County	65.8%	7	Hawkinsville	A
15.02	AA	Butler	55.6%	3	Montgomery County	A
14.53	A	Greene County	63.9%	6	Putnam County	AA
14.31	AAAAAA	Tucker	99.7%	41	Forest Park	AAAAAA
14.26	AA	Union County	88.7%	21	Towns County	A
13.37	A	Walker	58.2%	4	North Cobb Christian	A
13.01	AAAA	Cross Creek	58.6%	4	Glenn Hills	AA
12.61	A	Johnson County	65.5%	7	Warren County	A
11.60	A	Bowdon	77.0%	12	Monticello	AA
11.38	AAAA	LaFayette	60.2%	4	Gordon Lee	A
11.10	AAAAA	North Springs	88.1%	20	Denmark	AAAA
10.90	AAAAAA	Dunwoody	83.8%	17	Chamblee	AAAAA
10.69	AA	Bryan County	64.6%	6	Long County	AAA
10.42	A	Aquinas	94.4%	28	Wilkinson County	A
9.95	AA	Temple	57.9%	3	Kendrick	AAA
9.59	AA	Jeff Davis	91.6%	24	East Laurens	AA
8.95	A	Mount Pisgah Christian	80.7%	14	St. Francis	A
8.50	A	Calvary Day	97.8%	36	Islands	AAA
8.25	AAA	Haralson County	57.1%	3	Armuchee	AA
6.80	AAAAAA	Houston County	98.4%	37	Rutland	AAA
6.63	A	Athens Christian	88.6%	20	Landmark Christian	A
5.71	AAAAAA	Sequoyah	99.4%	41	Osborne	AAAAAA
5.47	A	Miller County	78.6%	13	Terrell County	A
3.91	A	Trion	96.0%	31	Dade County	AA
-0.03	A	Hancock Central	83.1%	16	Josey	AA
-0.91	AAA	Pike County	98.8%	39	Greenville	A
-4.59	AAAAA	Lithonia	97.6%	35	Stone Mountain	AAA
-4.73	AAAAA	Lithia Springs	92.9%	25	Berkmar	AAAAAAA
-5.79	A	King's Ridge Christian	63.1%	6	Providence Christian	A
-6.00	A	Treutlen	52.9%	1	Twiggs County	A
-6.25	A	Seminole County	90.1%	22	Calhoun County	A
-7.45	AAAAA	Johnson (Gainesville)	71.1%	9	Cherokee Bluff	AAA
-9.84	AAAAAA	Glynn Academy	100.0%	42	Groves	AAA
-11.40	AAAA	Gilmer	50.8%	1	Gordon Central	AA
-13.26	A	Savannah Country Day	99.5%	41	Johnson (Savannah)	AAA
-15.59	A	Central (Talbotton)	69.1%	8	Crawford County	A
-16.38	AAA	East Jackson	81.9%	15	Oglethorpe County	AA
-17.43	AAAA	Southeast Whitfield	98.5%	38	Coahulla Creek	AAA
-18.64	AA	South Atlanta	98.8%	39	Clarkston	AAAAA
-21.41	A	Randolph-Clay	87.7%	20	Stewart County	A
-31.67	A	Wheeler County	97.5%	34	Glascock County	A
-52.28	AA	Lamar County	100.0%	42	ACE Charter	A
-53.12	AA	Social Circle	99.7%	41	Cross Keys	AAAAA

Sep 1

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
48.22	AAAAA	Stockbridge	94.1%	27	Carver (Atlanta)	AAAAA

Alerts

Maxwell Week 3 projections

Aug 30

Aug 31

Sep 1

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