Maxwell Week 7 projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50 percent of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Sep 27

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
50.55	AAA	Greater Atlanta Christian	81.1%	15	North Hall	AAA
33.14	AAAA	Cedartown	90.6%	23	LaGrange	AAAA
27.17	AAA	Southeast Bulloch	74.1%	11	Windsor Forest	AAA
26.26	AAAA	Eastside	96.6%	32	Luella	AAAA
24.01	AAAA	Hardaway	85.5%	18	Shaw	AAAA
3.41	AAA	Kendrick	57.9%	3	Rutland	AAA
-9.22	AAA	Benedictine	100.0%	42	Johnson (Savannah)	AAA

Sep 28

Game Rate	Class	Team	Pct	Proj	Team	Class
70.69	AAAAAAA	Parkview	81.9%	15	Norcross	AAAAAAA
68.67	AAAAAAA	North Gwinnett	84.2%	17	Mountain View	AAAAAAA
68.10	AAAAAAA	Lowndes	82.8%	16	Ware County	AAAAA
62.72	AAAAAA	Creekview	63.5%	6	Sequoyah	AAAAAA
60.70	AAAAAAA	Camden County	80.2%	14	Glynn Academy	AAAAAA
60.51	AAAA	Troup	76.7%	12	Sandy Creek	AAAA
57.69	AAAAA	Jones County	76.2%	12	Locust Grove	AAAAA
56.66	AA	Thomasville	66.2%	7	Crisp County	AAA
55.94	AA	Callaway	55.6%	3	Bremen	AA
54.13	AAAAAAA	Newton	66.9%	7	South Gwinnett	AAAAAAA
53.18	A	Athens Academy	54.2%	2	Prince Avenue Christian	A
52.13	AAAAAA	Alpharetta	75.5%	11	Centennial	AAAAAA
51.47	AAAAAA	Lee County	94.4%	28	Thomson	AAAA
50.37	AAAAA	East Paulding	64.0%	6	Hiram	AAAAA
49.80	AAAAAAA	Etowah	77.5%	13	Cherokee	AAAAAAA
49.76	AAAAAAA	Tift County	91.0%	23	Bainbridge	AAAAA
49.68	AAAA	Upson-Lee	54.2%	2	Perry	AAAA
46.82	AAAAAA	Tucker	86.7%	19	Lovejoy	AAAAAA
46.78	AA	Hapeville Charter	93.2%	26	Douglass	AA
46.74	AAAAA	Griffin	73.6%	10	Starr's Mill	AAAAA
46.19	AAAAAA	Alexander	51.0%	1	Northgate	AAAAAA
45.93	AAAA	West Laurens	75.6%	11	Howard	AAAA
45.45	AAAAA	Warner Robins	95.5%	30	Houston County	AAAAAA
45.17	AAAA	Burke County	84.9%	17	Statesboro	AAAAA
44.68	AAAAAA	Hughes	66.3%	7	Creekside	AAAAAA
44.01	AAA	Peach County	89.2%	21	Pike County	AAA
43.94	AAAAA	Clarke Central	77.4%	12	Cedar Shoals	AAAAA
43.84	AAAA	Mary Persons	95.3%	30	Spalding	AAAA
43.24	AAAAA	Stockbridge	94.7%	28	Ola	AAAAA
43.04	AAAAA	Dutchtown	92.3%	25	Woodland (Stockbridge)	AAAAA
41.76	AAAAAA	Dacula	87.6%	20	Gainesville	AAAAAA
40.97	AAAA	Ridgeland	83.7%	17	Northwest Whitfield	AAAA
39.71	AAAA	Cairo	79.1%	13	Columbus	AAAA
39.29	AAAAA	Rome	98.8%	39	Woodland (Cartersville)	AAAAA
38.78	AAAAA	Wayne County	93.8%	27	Bradwell Institute	AAAAAA
38.71	A	Irwin County	92.4%	25	Charlton County	A
38.37	AAAAAA	Lanier	86.1%	18	Habersham Central	AAAAAA
38.00	AAAAAAA	Mill Creek	98.2%	37	Peachtree Ridge	AAAAAAA
37.26	AAAAA	Eagle's Landing	57.8%	3	Union Grove	AAAAA
36.96	AAAAAA	Dalton	83.3%	16	River Ridge	AAAAAA
36.81	AA	Elbert County	62.8%	5	Union County	AA
36.25	A	Eagle's Landing Christian	93.3%	26	Wesleyan	A
36.22	AAAAAAA	Colquitt County	99.8%	41	Alcovy	AAAAAA
35.63	AAAAA	Jonesboro	67.4%	8	Whitewater	AAAAA
35.36	AA	Jefferson County	67.0%	7	Hephzibah	AA
35.34	A	Darlington	56.4%	3	Christian Heritage	A
35.28	AAAAA	Kell	90.5%	22	Paulding County	AAAAA
35.17	AAAA	Denmark	63.9%	6	West Hall	AAAA
34.47	AAA	Cook	54.0%	2	Berrien	AA
34.12	AA	Dublin	78.6%	13	Bleckley County	AA
33.51	AAAAAAA	Shiloh	66.9%	7	Rockdale County	AAAAAAA
33.16	AAA	Westside (Macon)	80.1%	14	Central (Macon)	AAA
33.15	AAAAAA	Northview	61.9%	5	North Atlanta	AAAAAA
33.08	AAAA	Carver (Columbus)	86.3%	18	Northside (Columbus)	AAAA
32.93	AAAA	Flowery Branch	92.6%	25	White County	AAAA
32.83	AA	Rockmart	93.9%	27	Chattooga	AA
31.95	AAAAAA	Douglas County	93.9%	27	New Manchester	AAAAAA
31.65	AAAAAA	Stephenson	91.1%	23	M.L. King	AAAAAA
31.54	AAAA	Cartersville	99.1%	40	Central (Carrollton)	AAAA
31.39	A	Macon County	57.5%	3	Dooly County	A
31.27	AAAAA	Riverwood	77.4%	12	Decatur	AAAAA
30.95	AA	Dodge County	95.6%	30	Northeast	AA
30.63	AAAAAA	Mays	96.1%	31	Tri-Cities	AAAAAA
30.42	AAAAAAA	Collins Hill	95.3%	29	Duluth	AAAAAAA
29.13	AA	Swainsboro	80.7%	14	Metter	AA
28.96	AAAAA	Carrollton	97.0%	33	Cass	AAAAA
28.90	AAAAAA	Winder-Barrow	84.4%	17	Apalachee	AAAAAA
28.48	AAAA	Richmond Academy	86.5%	19	Greenbrier	AAAAAA
28.46	AAA	Dawson County	90.4%	22	East Hall	AAA
27.38	AAAAA	Arabia Mountain	87.0%	19	Miller Grove	AAAAA
26.53	AAA	Sonoraville	55.0%	2	Ringgold	AAA
26.41	AAAAA	Loganville	83.1%	16	Walnut Grove	AAAAA
26.39	AAAAAA	Mundy's Mill	84.4%	17	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	AAAAAA
26.16	AAAAAA	Cambridge	69.0%	8	Chattahoochee	AAAAAA
25.85	AAAAA	Riverdale	80.7%	14	Fayette County	AAAAA
24.95	AA	Harlem	67.4%	7	Butler	AA
24.49	A	Savannah Country Day	77.9%	13	Claxton	A
24.45	A	Emanuel County Institute	71.3%	9	Johnson County	A
24.42	A	Telfair County	57.3%	3	Wilcox County	A
24.29	A	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	80.8%	15	Holy Innocents	A
24.11	A	Mount Zion (Carroll)	86.3%	19	Trion	A
23.81	AA	Toombs County	60.9%	5	Bacon County	AA
23.72	A	Lincoln County	52.5%	1	Washington-Wilkes	A
23.51	AAA	Jefferson	96.1%	31	Franklin County	AAA
23.47	AAAAA	Carver (Atlanta)	88.9%	21	Grady	AAAAA
23.47	AAA	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	61.2%	5	Adairsville	AAA
23.24	AA	Spencer	65.8%	7	Lamar County	AA
23.11	AAAAAA	Brunswick	95.8%	30	Monroe	AAA
22.96	AAAAA	South Effingham	65.1%	6	Tattnall County	AAA
22.77	AAAA	Hampton	64.2%	6	North Clayton	AAAA
22.60	AAA	Morgan County	66.7%	7	Jackson County	AAA
22.06	AAAAAA	Pope	86.3%	19	Dunwoody	AAAAAA
21.91	A	Clinch County	96.2%	31	Atkinson County	A
21.57	AAAAAAA	Central Gwinnett	95.9%	31	Lakeside (Atlanta)	AAAAAAA
20.74	AAAA	Heritage (Ringgold)	60.6%	5	LaFayette	AAAA
20.51	AA	Brooks County	95.9%	31	B.E.S.T. Academy	AA
19.80	AA	South Atlanta	73.7%	11	Therrell	AA
19.57	A	Trinity Christian (Sharpsburg)	85.1%	18	Strong Rock Christian	A
19.40	AAAA	Salem	86.5%	19	Henry County	AAAA
18.80	AAAA	Marist	99.3%	40	Chestatee	AAAA
17.45	AA	Pepperell	81.2%	15	Model	AA
17.22	A	Mount Paran Christian	93.4%	26	Mount Pisgah Christian	A
16.36	AAAA	Pickens	93.1%	26	Southeast Whitfield	AAAA
15.97	A	Greene County	57.3%	3	Warren County	A
15.86	AA	Fitzgerald	97.6%	35	Worth County	AAA
14.58	AAA	Brantley County	57.8%	3	McIntosh County Academy	A
14.58	A	Chattahoochee County	53.7%	2	Miller County	A
13.82	AAA	Jenkins	93.6%	27	Islands	AAA
13.68	AA	Jeff Davis	82.1%	15	Bryan County	AA
13.49	AA	Rabun County	98.4%	37	Banks County	AA
13.03	AAA	Cedar Grove	99.7%	41	Redan	AAA
12.42	AA	Monticello	62.0%	5	Putnam County	AA
11.55	AA	Washington County	97.9%	36	East Laurens	AA
9.87	A	Bowdon	63.6%	6	Gordon Lee	A
9.76	A	St. Francis	55.6%	3	Walker	A
9.55	AAAA	Woodward Academy	99.0%	39	Druid Hills	AAAA
9.13	AAAAA	Banneker	98.8%	39	Lithia Springs	AAAAA
8.84	A	Tattnall Square	81.2%	15	Wilkinson County	A
8.11	AA	Laney	79.4%	14	Glenn Hills	AA
7.83	AAAAA	Buford	99.9%	42	Johnson (Gainesville)	AAAAA
6.08	AAA	Lovett	99.1%	40	Towers	AAA
4.73	AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	99.5%	41	Chamblee	AAAAA
4.59	A	Our Lady of Mercy	54.7%	2	Landmark Christian	A
4.21	A	Towns County	56.4%	3	Riverside Military Academy	A
4.15	A	Savannah Christian	96.3%	32	Portal	A
4.02	AAAA	Cross Creek	80.6%	14	Westside (Augusta)	AA
3.98	A	Marion County	97.8%	36	Greenville	A
1.40	A	Seminole County	67.6%	8	Terrell County	A
0.62	AA	Coosa	87.7%	20	Armuchee	AA
0.54	AA	Gordon Central	62.4%	5	Dade County	AA
0.03	AA	Temple	80.2%	14	Jordan	AA
-0.02	AAA	Haralson County	87.2%	19	Coahulla Creek	AAA
-0.31	A	Jenkins County	90.1%	22	Wheeler County	A
-1.39	A	Turner County	96.0%	31	Lanier County	A
-1.48	A	George Walton Academy	98.3%	37	Providence Christian	A
-3.61	A	Hebron Christian Academy	96.8%	33	Lakeview Academy	A
-3.88	AA	Screven County	97.6%	35	Josey	AA
-4.51	A	Aquinas	98.7%	38	Georgia Military College	A
-5.16	A	Montgomery County	91.7%	24	Treutlen	A
-5.34	A	Whitefield Academy	97.7%	35	King's Ridge Christian	A
-5.46	AAA	Fannin County	82.6%	16	Cherokee Bluff	AAA
-6.55	A	Brookstone	96.2%	31	Pacelli	A
-6.94	AAA	Pace Academy	99.7%	41	Stone Mountain	AAA
-7.72	A	Taylor County	93.0%	26	Crawford County	A
-7.86	AAAAAAA	Meadowcreek	99.7%	41	Berkmar	AAAAAAA
-8.22	AAA	North Murray	98.9%	39	Murray County	AAA
-8.23	AAA	Monroe Area	99.8%	41	East Jackson	AAA
-16.81	AA	Social Circle	86.6%	19	Oglethorpe County	AA
-18.11	A	First Presbyterian	95.9%	31	Twiggs County	A
-18.64	AAA	Savannah	97.7%	35	Groves	AAA
-20.99	A	Manchester	99.5%	41	Central (Talbotton)	A
-21.83	A	Baconton Charter	63.5%	6	Randolph-Clay	A
-21.92	A	Pelham	99.8%	41	Stewart County	A
-53.15	AAAAA	Cross Keys	50.6%	1	Pataula Charter	A