Maxwell Week 9 Projections

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 16

Game Rate	Class	Favorite	Percent	Margin	Opponent	Class
59.36	AAAAA	Houston County	50.6%	1	Jones County	AAAAA
58.71	AAAA	Sandy Creek	94.1%	27	Troup	AAAA
50.82	AAAA	Westover	53.4%	2	Worth County	AAAA
29.09	AAAA	Maynard Jackson	75.6%	11	North Clayton	AAA
26.99	AAAAA	Starr's Mill	91.1%	23	Morrow	AAAAA
20.08	AAAA	Pike County	72.4%	10	Mount Zion (Jonesboro)	AAAA
18.91	AA	Groves	51.3%	1	Long County	AA
16.74	AAAAA	Northside (Columbus)	88.1%	20	Hardaway	AAAAA

Oct 17

Game Rate	Class	Favorite	Percent	Margin	Opponent	Class
83.09	AAAAAA	Colquitt County	90.7%	23	Valdosta	AAAAAA
72.85	AAAAAA	Grayson	86.7%	19	Central Gwinnett	AAAAAA
71.30	AAAAAA	Lowndes	85.4%	18	Lee County	AAAAAA
69.98	AAAAAA	Milton	83.0%	16	Walton	AAAAAA
68.59	AAA	Blessed Trinity	71.4%	9	Westminster (Atlanta)	AAA
67.92	AAAAAA	Camden County	77.4%	12	Tift County	AAAAAA
66.12	AAAA	Thomas County Central	51.6%	1	Cairo	AAAA
65.90	AAAAAA	Roswell	67.3%	7	Woodstock	AAAAAA
65.38	AAAAAA	North Cobb	72.6%	10	Marietta	AAAAAA
64.64	AAAAAA	Parkview	61.0%	5	South Gwinnett	AAAAAA
62.98	AA	Benedictine	55.1%	2	Vidalia	AA
61.24	AAAAAA	Westlake	60.6%	5	Douglas County	AAAAAA
61.23	AAAAA	Coffee	79.8%	14	Brunswick	AAAAA
60.26	AAAAAA	McEachern	93.4%	26	North Paulding	AAAAAA
59.89	AAAAAA	Dacula	92.0%	24	Brookwood	AAAAAA
59.73	AA	Brooks County	63.4%	6	Fitzgerald	AA
59.17	AAAAAA	Archer	88.8%	21	Shiloh	AAAAAA
58.73	AAAAA	Drew	59.7%	4	Mundy's Mill	AAAAA
58.25	AAAAA	Allatoona	91.7%	24	Hiram	AAAAA
57.75	AAAAA	Northside (Warner Robins)	83.7%	16	Warner Robins	AAAAA
57.26	AAAAAA	Hughes	91.4%	23	South Cobb	AAAAAA
56.26	AAAAA	Creekside	86.0%	18	Tri-Cities	AAAAA
55.91	AAAAA	New Manchester	68.8%	8	Paulding County	AAAAA
55.29	AAAAAA	South Forsyth	71.9%	10	West Forsyth	AAAAAA
54.93	AAAA	Mary Persons	73.1%	10	Upson-Lee	AAAA
54.69	AAAAAA	Northview	62.7%	5	Lambert	AAAAAA
54.59	AAAA	Marist	83.1%	16	Grady	AAAA
54.44	AAAAAA	Cherokee	84.1%	17	Lassiter	AAAAAA
53.98	A	Hawkinsville	61.9%	5	Marion County	A
52.98	AAAAA	Gainesville	86.5%	19	Clarke Central	AAAAA
52.73	AAAAAA	Wheeler	69.5%	8	Pope	AAAAAA
52.19	AAAAAA	Hillgrove	93.9%	27	Kennesaw Mountain	AAAAAA
51.49	AAAAA	Ware County	94.7%	28	Effingham County	AAAAA
50.76	AAAAA	Alexander	82.7%	16	Villa Rica	AAAAA
50.32	AAAA	West Laurens	72.4%	10	Baldwin	AAAA
49.95	AAAA	Woodward Academy	88.9%	21	Fayette County	AAAA
48.89	AAAA	Whitewater	79.9%	14	Carrollton	AAAA
48.84	AAAAA	Salem	62.6%	5	Loganville	AAAAA
48.37	AAAAA	Luella	50.6%	1	Dutchtown	AAAAA
47.85	AAAA	North Oconee	76.6%	12	White County	AAAA
47.77	AAAAA	Lanier	88.7%	21	Heritage (Conyers)	AAAAA
47.61	AAAAAA	Alpharetta	93.6%	27	Chattahoochee	AAAAAA
47.10	AAA	Cook	51.0%	1	Appling County	AAA
47.04	AAAAA	Stephenson	88.2%	20	Druid Hills	AAAAA
47.01	AAAAA	Sequoyah	64.5%	6	Creekview	AAAAA
45.44	AAA	Peach County	91.5%	24	Jackson	AAA
45.02	AA	Macon County	54.6%	2	Bleckley County	AA
44.92	AAAA	Griffin	96.7%	33	Spalding	AAAA
44.71	AAAAA	Stockbridge	82.2%	15	Ola	AAAAA
44.63	AAAAA	Woodland (Stockbridge)	60.3%	4	Union Grove	AAAAA
44.38	AAAA	Cartersville	94.0%	27	Northwest Whitfield	AAAA
44.32	AA	Thomasville	81.7%	15	Berrien	AA
44.17	AAAA	Eagle's Landing	70.6%	9	Locust Grove	AAAA
43.62	AAAAA	Sprayberry	80.6%	14	Forsyth Central	AAAAA
43.51	AAAAA	Miller Grove	65.2%	7	M. L. King	AAAAA
42.81	AAAAA	Richmond Hill	50.6%	1	South Effingham	AAAAA
42.63	AAAAAA	Newnan	70.6%	9	Campbell	AAAAAA
42.08	AAAAA	Kell	92.7%	25	Riverwood	AAAAA
39.97	AAAAA	Carver (Columbus)	94.5%	28	Shaw	AAAAA
38.72	AAAAA	Lakeside (Evans)	88.5%	20	Grovetown	AAAAA
38.50	A	Charlton County	72.8%	10	Wilcox County	A
38.24	AAAAA	Southwest DeKalb	88.4%	20	Dunwoody	AAAAA
37.53	AAAA	Veterans	60.4%	4	Perry	AAAA
37.19	AAAAA	Evans	85.6%	18	Richmond Academy	AAAAA
36.76	AAAAA	East Paulding	94.2%	27	Lithia Springs	AAAAA
36.60	AA	Early County	59.6%	4	Pelham	AA
36.50	AAAA	Eastside	84.1%	17	Henry County	AAAA
36.24	AAAA	Thomson	76.6%	12	Liberty County	AAAA
35.97	AAAAA	Winder-Barrow	82.6%	16	Cedar Shoals	AAAAA
35.94	A	Tattnall Square	78.5%	13	First Presbyterian	A
35.91	AAAAAA	Johns Creek	53.3%	2	North Forsyth	AAAAAA
35.82	AAAAAA	East Coweta	94.3%	28	Pebblebrook	AAAAAA
35.77	AA	Screven County	77.6%	13	Swainsboro	AA
35.69	AAA	Ringgold	83.6%	16	Sonoraville	AAA
35.28	AAAAA	Flowery Branch	67.4%	7	Apalachee	AAAAA
35.24	AA	Model	73.5%	10	Coosa	AA
35.22	AA	Union County	75.5%	11	Rabun County	AA
34.99	A	Mount Pisgah Christian	57.7%	3	Pinecrest Academy	A
34.57	AAA	Oconee County	66.5%	7	Morgan County	AAA
34.25	AAAA	Madison County	68.8%	8	North Hall	AAAA
34.21	AAAAA	Mays	97.1%	34	Banneker	AAAAA
33.67	AAAA	Gilmer	91.3%	23	Southeast Whitfield	AAAA
33.21	AAAA	Buford	99.8%	41	Monroe Area	AAAA
32.34	AAAAA	Dalton	97.7%	35	River Ridge	AAAAA
32.33	AA	Lamar County	92.1%	24	Northeast	AA
32.00	AAAA	Jonesboro	76.6%	12	Riverdale	AAAA
31.02	AAAAA	Statesboro	76.7%	12	Bradwell Institute	AAAAA
30.68	AAAA	Stephens County	90.0%	22	Chestatee	AAAA
30.35	AAAAA	Cambridge	89.0%	21	North Springs	AAAAA
29.96	AAA	Hart County	97.1%	34	Jackson County	AAA
29.48	A	Lincoln County	55.4%	2	Hancock Central	A
28.80	AAA	Southwest	52.6%	1	Central (Macon)	AAA
28.49	AAAAA	Harris County	97.0%	33	Columbus	AAAAA
28.35	A	Telfair County	56.6%	3	Atkinson County	A
27.87	AAA	Cedar Grove	95.8%	31	Towers	AAA
27.83	AAA	Pierce County	90.5%	22	Toombs County	AAA
27.71	AAAAA	Rome	84.7%	17	Woodland (Cartersville)	AAAAA
27.55	AA	Heard County	59.9%	4	Manchester	AA
27.12	AAAA	Ridgeland	90.7%	23	Heritage (Ringgold)	AAAA
27.08	AAAAA	South Paulding	98.6%	38	Chapel Hill	AAAAA
26.83	AAA	Washington	86.2%	18	Therrell	AAA
26.62	AAA	Callaway	90.8%	23	Rockmart	AAA
26.62	AAAA	St. Pius X	98.3%	37	Chamblee	AAAA
26.39	AAA	Rutland	56.4%	3	Spencer	AAA
26.15	AAA	Tattnall County	62.0%	5	Brantley County	AAA
25.68	A	Athens Christian	56.8%	3	George Walton Academy	A
25.65	AA	Lovett	97.8%	36	Holy Innocents	AA
25.51	AAA	Kendrick	55.9%	3	Jordan	AAA
25.31	A	Clinch County	86.6%	19	Turner County	A
25.05	A	Mount Zion (Carroll)	58.8%	4	Trion	A
25.01	A	Mount Paran Christian	93.1%	26	Christian Heritage	A
24.89	AA	Bacon County	80.1%	14	Jeff Davis	AA
24.61	AAA	East Hall	68.0%	8	Johnson (Gainesville)	AAAA
24.50	A	Claxton	76.7%	12	Savannah Country Day	A
24.06	AAAAAA	Centennial	94.9%	29	Habersham Central	AAAAAA
23.72	A	Dooly County	90.9%	23	Schley County	A
23.32	AAA	Dawson County	61.7%	5	Fannin County	AAA
22.07	AAAAA	Northgate	92.2%	24	Forest Park	AAAAA
21.98	AAA	West Hall	93.6%	26	Franklin County	AAA
21.63	AAA	Central (Carrollton)	98.2%	37	Pepperell	AAA
21.57	AAAA	Bainbridge	95.4%	30	Dougherty	AAAA
21.39	A	Our Lady of Mercy	82.8%	16	Strong Rock Christian	A
20.99	AA	Bremen	80.3%	14	Chattahoochee County	AA
20.93	A	Mount de Sales	61.1%	5	Wilkinson County	A
20.87	AAA	Southeast Bulloch	67.5%	8	Johnson (Savannah)	AAA
20.83	AAAAA	Cross Creek	58.6%	4	Greenbrier	AAAAA
20.01	A	Greenville	87.3%	19	Taylor County	A
19.49	A	Savannah Christian	91.2%	23	Jenkins County	A
19.29	AAA	Lumpkin County	83.1%	16	Banks County	AAA
18.70	AA	Dublin	87.7%	20	East Laurens	AA
18.07	AAA	Washington County	99.8%	41	Butler	AAA
17.40	A	Whitefield Academy	60.1%	4	Fellowship Christian	A
17.38	AAA	Decatur	91.5%	24	Douglass	AAA
16.13	AAAA	Pickens	96.7%	32	LaFayette	AAAA
15.60	AAAA	Monroe	95.8%	31	Albany	AAAA
15.49	AA	Bryan County	78.0%	13	McIntosh County Academy	AA
14.62	AAA	McNair	63.1%	6	South Atlanta	AAA
14.45	AAA	Cedartown	89.7%	22	Haralson County	AAA
14.21	A	Calvary Day	95.8%	30	Portal	A
13.02	AA	Chattooga	57.9%	3	Gordon Lee	AA
10.52	A	Brookstone	92.7%	25	Central (Talbotton)	A
10.41	AAA	Hephzibah	61.4%	5	Glenn Hills	AAA
10.24	AAA	Jenkins	96.6%	32	Savannah	AAA
9.01	A	Irwin County	98.8%	39	Lanier County	A
8.52	AAAA	Walnut Grove	94.3%	28	Hampton	AAAA
7.20	A	St. Francis	90.2%	22	King's Ridge Christian	A
5.93	AAA	Adairsville	99.4%	41	Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe	AAA
5.86	AAA	Laney	98.6%	38	Josey	AAA
5.59	A	Emanuel County Institute	97.1%	33	Treutlen	A
5.27	AA	Riverside Military Academy	78.7%	13	Oglethorpe County	AA
2.85	A	Stratford Academy	96.9%	33	Twiggs County	A
2.78	A	Montgomery County	68.7%	8	Wheeler County	A
2.19	A	Georgia Military College	59.7%	4	Warren County	A
0.83	AA	Bowdon	99.0%	39	Temple	AA
0.15	A	Athens Academy	88.5%	20	Lakeview Academy	A
-1.39	AAA	Jefferson	99.9%	42	East Jackson	AAA
-2.41	AAA	Gordon Central	67.8%	8	Murray County	AAA
-2.89	AA	Dade County	95.5%	30	Armuchee	AA
-3.23	A	Terrell County	84.4%	17	Baconton	A
-5.80	A	Prince Avenue Christian	98.2%	37	Towns County	A
-7.02	AA	Metter	97.4%	34	Harlem	AA
-7.57	A	Landmark Christian	99.6%	41	Mount Vernon Presbyterian	A
-9.50	AAAA	New Hampstead	51.9%	1	North Cobb Christian	A
-10.38	AA	Seminole County	98.8%	39	Stewart County	A
-10.39	AA	Washington-Wilkes	99.1%	40	Social Circle	AA
-16.12	AAA	North Murray	98.1%	36	Coahulla Creek	AAA
-18.71	AA	Crawford County	91.4%	24	Glascock County	A
-24.57	AAAAA	Clarkston	96.6%	32	Cross Keys	AAA
-30.00	A	Commerce	99.7%	41	Providence Christian	A

Oct 18

Game Rate	Class	Favorite	Percent	Margin	Opponent	Class
42.14	AAAA	Arabia Mountain	60.0%	4	Lithonia	AAAA
18.37	AAAA	Redan	64.9%	6	Stone Mountain	AAAA
18.31	A	Mitchell County	62.0%	5	Miller County	A
3.84	AAAA	Burke County	99.5%	41	Windsor Forest	AAAA
-1.09	AAA	Beach	87.6%	20	Islands	AAA

Alerts

Maxwell Week 9 Projections

Oct 16

Oct 17

Oct 18

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