Sports

Maxwell Week 8 Projections

By Loren Maxwell
Oct 8, 2015

Each game is listed showing the game rate, favorite, the expected winning percentage of the favored team, the projected margin, and the opponent.

The game rating is the rating required to win 50% of all games in an infinite round robin competition against the expected rating of the loser of the game, which favors games with highly rated and closely matched opponents.

All data is courtesy of the Georgia High School Football Historians Association.

The Maxwell Ratings are a regular feature of Georgia High School Football Daily, a free e-mail newsletter. To join the mailing list, click here.

Visit the Maxwell Ratings for more ratings and information, including Maxwell's Georgia High School Football Archive.

Oct 8

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
38.62 AAAA Westover 62.5% 5 Americus-Sumter AAAA
25.43 AAA Maynard Jackson 63.7% 6 Towers AAA
23.85 AAAA Griffin 93.1% 26 Mount Zion (Jonesboro) AAAA
23.24 AAA Callaway 94.0% 27 Cedartown AAA
18.34 AAAAA Harris County 90.5% 23 Hardaway AAAAA
9.78 AAAA Heritage (Ringgold) 93.4% 26 LaFayette AAAA
0.71 AA McIntosh County Academy 93.3% 26 Groves AA

Oct 9

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
82.65 AAAAAA Colquitt County 86.8% 19 Lee County AAAAAA
79.27 AAAAAA Camden County 55.7% 3 Lowndes AAAAAA
72.13 AAAAAA McEachern 83.4% 16 North Cobb AAAAAA
71.15 AAAAAA Peachtree Ridge 78.8% 13 North Gwinnett AAAAAA
69.03 AAAAAA Valdosta 61.9% 5 Tift County AAAAAA
66.72 AAAA Marist 58.8% 4 St. Pius X AAAA
66.26 AAAAAA East Coweta 64.0% 6 Hughes AAAAAA
66.23 AAAAAA Central Gwinnett 59.1% 4 Brookwood AAAAAA
65.42 AAAAA Gainesville 68.1% 8 Lanier AAAAA
64.87 AAAAAA Roswell 92.3% 25 Wheeler AAAAAA
64.49 AAAAAA Etowah 69.9% 9 Milton AAAAAA
63.79 AAAAAA Newnan 51.1% 1 Westlake AAAAAA
63.07 AAAAA Ware County 84.5% 17 Glynn Academy AAAAA
62.79 AAAAA Creekside 74.6% 11 Carver (Atlanta) AAAAA
60.75 AAAA Spalding 50.4% 1 Jonesboro AAAA
59.32 AAAAAA Archer 95.7% 30 South Gwinnett AAAAAA
58.30 AAAAA Coffee 81.4% 15 South Effingham AAAAA
58.15 AAAA Bainbridge 76.7% 12 Worth County AAAA
57.16 AAAAAA Cherokee 67.6% 8 Woodstock AAAAAA
57.07 AAAAA Allatoona 85.1% 17 New Manchester AAAAA
56.94 AAAAAA Hillgrove 69.7% 9 North Paulding AAAAAA
55.41 AAAAA Dalton 69.0% 8 Rome AAAAA
55.02 AAAA Burke County 61.9% 5 Liberty County AAAA
51.94 AAAAA South Paulding 85.9% 18 Paulding County AAAAA
51.84 AAAA Mary Persons 76.6% 12 Howard AAAA
51.53 AAAA Eastside 61.2% 5 Locust Grove AAAA
51.10 AAAA West Laurens 67.8% 8 Veterans AAAA
50.95 AAAAAA Alpharetta 75.8% 12 Centennial AAAAAA
50.90 AAAAAA Grayson 98.8% 39 Shiloh AAAAAA
50.23 AAAAA Cambridge 64.1% 6 Sprayberry AAAAA
50.19 AAAAAA Mill Creek 97.7% 35 Mountain View AAAAAA
49.26 AA Greater Atlanta Christian 91.9% 24 Pace Academy AA
48.89 AAAA Sandy Creek 93.5% 26 Whitewater AAAA
48.74 AAAAAA South Forsyth 79.1% 13 Northview AAAAAA
48.21 AAAA Buford 96.9% 33 North Hall AAAA
47.86 AAAAA Southwest DeKalb 55.1% 2 Miller Grove AAAAA
46.68 AAAAA Cass 77.9% 13 Sequoyah AAAAA
46.09 AAAAA Alexander 82.0% 15 Hiram AAAAA
45.22 AAAAAA South Cobb 65.9% 7 Douglas County AAAAAA
44.57 AAAA Columbia 51.5% 1 Grady AAAA
44.16 A Calvary Day 64.2% 6 Savannah Christian A
44.11 AAAAA Clarke Central 52.5% 1 Flowery Branch AAAAA
43.83 AAA Westminster (Atlanta) 50.9% 1 Decatur AAA
43.62 AAAAAA Harrison 91.6% 24 Kennesaw Mountain AAAAAA
43.08 AAA Dodge County 74.8% 11 Appling County AAA
41.87 AAAAAA Collins Hill 91.1% 23 Duluth AAAAAA
41.65 AA Lovett 70.0% 9 Hapeville AA
40.99 AAAA Upson-Lee 77.0% 12 Perry AAAA
40.81 AAAAAA Parkview 95.8% 30 Berkmar AAAAAA
40.42 AAAAAA West Forsyth 85.7% 18 North Forsyth AAAAAA
40.37 AAAA North Oconee 62.1% 5 Monroe Area AAAA
40.23 AAAAA Statesboro 64.0% 6 Richmond Hill AAAAA
40.21 AAAAA East Paulding 94.8% 28 Chapel Hill AAAAA
39.87 AAAA Cairo 80.0% 14 Crisp County AAAA
39.40 AAAAAA Walton 97.8% 36 Pope AAAAAA
38.15 AAAAA M. L. King 75.6% 11 Druid Hills AAAAA
37.85 AA Wesleyan 86.8% 19 B.E.S.T. Academy AA
37.59 A Prince Avenue Christian 88.6% 20 Athens Academy A
37.58 AAAA Cartersville 97.9% 36 Ridgeland AAAA
37.55 AAAAA Ola 52.2% 1 Union Grove AAAAA
37.31 AA Jefferson County 77.8% 13 Metter AA
37.12 AAAA Stephens County 86.0% 18 White County AAAA
36.87 A Marion County 83.0% 16 Brookstone A
36.59 AAA Elbert County 92.2% 25 Jackson County AAA
36.55 AAAAA Columbus 83.8% 17 Shaw AAAAA
36.49 AAAAA Stockbridge 96.5% 32 Luella AAAAA
36.47 AAAAAA Johns Creek 77.4% 12 Chattahoochee AAAAAA
35.01 AAAA Carrollton 91.3% 23 Fayette County AAAA
34.95 AAAAA Tri-Cities 76.5% 12 Banneker AAAAA
34.71 AA Darlington 79.6% 14 Dade County AA
34.35 AAA Jefferson 97.7% 35 Morgan County AAA
34.20 AA Early County 81.2% 15 Berrien AA
34.10 AAAA Woodward Academy 97.8% 36 Troup AAAA
33.90 AA Thomasville 67.4% 7 Pelham AA
33.77 AAAA Henry County 55.1% 2 Walnut Grove AAAA
33.75 AAAAAA Norcross 99.1% 40 Meadowcreek AAAAAA
33.34 AA Lamar County 83.3% 16 Bleckley County AA
33.30 AAA Calhoun 98.7% 38 Sonoraville AAA
33.27 AAA Dawson County 60.5% 5 Franklin County AAA
32.51 AAAAA Loganville 92.3% 25 Cedar Shoals AAAAA
31.87 AAA Pierce County 89.2% 21 Tattnall County AAA
31.78 A Mount Zion (Carroll) 53.5% 2 Christian Heritage A
31.66 AAAAAA Pebblebrook 69.1% 8 Campbell AAAAAA
31.64 A Emanuel County Institute 74.2% 11 Johnson County A
31.26 AAAAA Starr's Mill 95.5% 30 McIntosh AAAAA
31.00 AAAAAA Lovejoy 93.0% 26 Lakeside (Atlanta) AAAAAA
30.81 AAAAA Effingham County 92.2% 25 Bradwell Institute AAAAA
30.74 AAAAAA Tucker 97.5% 35 Rockdale County AAAAAA
30.45 A Dooly County 50.2% 0 Hawkinsville A
30.11 AAA West Hall 54.7% 2 East Hall AAA
29.67 AAAAA Creekview 95.1% 29 Woodland (Cartersville) AAAAA
28.93 AAAA Pickens 79.7% 14 Southeast Whitfield AAAA
28.54 AA Union County 67.9% 8 Greene County AA
28.41 AA Bowdon 63.7% 6 Greenville A
28.40 AAAA Northwest Whitfield 76.0% 12 Gilmer AAAA
27.16 AAAA Lithonia 84.1% 17 Chamblee AAAA
26.93 AAAAA Villa Rica 80.5% 14 Lithia Springs AAAAA
26.81 A Mount Pisgah Christian 67.0% 7 Fellowship Christian A
26.44 AAA Washington 57.2% 3 Douglass AAA
26.37 AAAAAA Newton 99.0% 39 Alcovy AAAAAA
26.27 AA Brooks County 92.5% 25 Seminole County AA
25.79 AAAAA Forsyth Central 85.7% 18 North Atlanta AAAAA
25.70 AAA Blessed Trinity 99.2% 40 Therrell AAA
24.99 AAAAAA Lambert 97.2% 34 Habersham Central AAAAAA
24.86 AA Benedictine 99.4% 40 Jeff Davis AA
24.63 AAAAA Grovetown 86.8% 19 Greenbrier AAAAA
24.37 AAA Peach County 95.8% 30 Kendrick AAA
24.17 A Wilkinson County 81.5% 15 Twiggs County A
23.99 AAA Pepperell 87.7% 20 Rockmart AAA
22.83 A Stratford Academy 84.4% 17 Tattnall Square A
22.53 AA Coosa 69.1% 8 Gordon Lee AA
21.98 AAAAA Stephenson 99.6% 41 Dunwoody AAAAA
21.11 AA Screven County 84.3% 17 East Laurens AA
21.10 AAAAA Riverwood 97.0% 33 North Springs AAAAA
20.17 AAA Jenkins 92.4% 25 Beach AAA
20.01 AAA Lumpkin County 63.5% 6 Fannin County AAA
19.46 AA Bacon County 91.9% 24 Bryan County AA
19.43 A Mount Paran Christian 97.4% 34 Walker A
19.43 AAA Southwest 67.7% 8 Rutland AAA
18.59 AAAAAA Osborne 55.1% 2 Johnson (Gainesville) AAAA
18.55 AA Long County 63.4% 6 New Hampstead AAAA
18.06 AAAAA Mundy's Mill 98.5% 38 Forest Park AAAAA
17.76 AAAA Chestatee 58.1% 4 Madison County AAAA
17.13 AAA Laney 96.0% 31 Butler AAA
16.78 AAA Cook 95.7% 30 Toombs County AAA
16.65 A Savannah Country Day 56.9% 3 Portal A
16.22 A Hancock Central 66.0% 7 Warren County A
15.58 AA Putnam County 88.0% 20 Northeast AA
15.34 AAA Southeast Bulloch 88.6% 21 Savannah AAA
14.77 AA Dublin 94.5% 28 Harlem AA
14.58 AA Macon County 96.7% 33 Monticello AA
14.32 AAA Central (Carrollton) 97.9% 36 Haralson County AAA
13.94 A Taylor County 59.7% 4 Central (Talbotton) A
13.84 AAAAA Drew 97.9% 36 Morrow AAAAA
13.52 A First Presbyterian 83.8% 17 Mount de Sales A
12.64 AAA Adairsville 97.7% 35 Murray County AAA
11.94 A Whitefield Academy 65.8% 7 King's Ridge Christian A
11.47 AAA North Clayton 87.7% 20 South Atlanta AAA
10.86 AA Crawford County 51.1% 1 Social Circle AA
10.30 AA Washington-Wilkes 92.8% 25 Riverside Military Academy AA
9.90 A Claxton 68.4% 8 Jenkins County A
9.81 AAAA Thomas County Central 99.0% 39 Albany AAAA
6.65 A Eagle's Landing Christian 99.5% 41 Strong Rock Christian A
5.47 A Pinecrest Academy 96.4% 32 St. Francis A
4.69 AAA Hart County 98.8% 39 East Jackson AAA
4.35 AAA Johnson (Savannah) 57.4% 3 Islands AAA
3.42 AAA Westside (Augusta) 82.5% 16 Hephzibah AAA
2.81 AA Rabun County 99.1% 40 Oglethorpe County AA
2.63 A Mitchell County 84.2% 17 Baconton A
1.10 AAAA Wayne County 99.3% 40 Windsor Forest AAAA
0.45 A Aquinas 99.0% 39 Georgia Military College A
0.34 A Our Lady of Mercy 84.2% 17 Mount Vernon Presbyterian A
0.18 A George Walton Academy 86.9% 19 Lakeview Academy A
-0.84 A Randolph-Clay 82.7% 16 Calhoun County A
-2.25 AA Model 98.7% 38 Armuchee AA
-3.23 A Pacelli 97.5% 35 Schley County A
-3.77 A Athens Christian 93.7% 27 Towns County A
-4.51 A Treutlen 94.5% 28 Montgomery County A
-4.87 AAAA Thomson 99.8% 41 Clarkston AAAAA
-7.26 AAA Coahulla Creek 51.9% 1 Gordon Central AAA
-14.82 AAA Ringgold 99.4% 40 Lakeview-Ft. Oglethorpe AAA
-15.40 A North Cobb Christian 92.0% 24 Glascock County A
-21.02 A Hebron Christian Academy 97.1% 34 Providence Christian A
-22.87 AA Chattahoochee County 95.6% 30 Stewart County A

Oct 10

Game Rate Class Favorite Percent Margin Opponent Class
53.44 AAAAA Carver (Columbus) 76.0% 12 LaGrange AAAAA
40.87 AAAA Arabia Mountain 70.4% 9 Redan AAAA
39.63 AAA Jackson 79.3% 14 Spencer AAA
24.89 AAA Westside (Macon) 95.4% 30 Jordan AAA
16.51 AAA Cedar Grove 99.0% 39 McNair AAA
10.44 AAA Josey 77.1% 12 Glenn Hills AAA
2.81 AA Holy Innocents 91.4% 23 K.I.P.P. Atlanta Collegiate AA

About the Author

Loren Maxwell

More Stories